Try the model
CP

Cal Poly 7 at Stanford 41

STAN
2024 · Week 2 · Sep 7, 2024 · Stanford Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · STAN
modelSTAN aheadCP aheadconfidence bandkey playSTAN scoreCP score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · Jackson Akins pass incomplete
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+48.5+24.30−24.3−48.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 12:09: Michael Briscoe pass complete to Jake Woods for 22 yds for a TD (Gianluca Dimauro KICK) — CP win probability +1.6 pts (now 6%) (top driver: CP has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:21: Justin Lamson run for 2 yds for a TD (Emmet Kenney KICK) — STAN win probability +2.9 pts (now 94%) (top driver: STAN has the ball).
  3. PUNT · Q3 11:52: Ryan Collins punt for 45 yds , Tiger Bachmeier returns for 90 yds for a TD (Emmet Kenney KICK) — STAN win probability +3.1 pts (now 96%) (top driver: CP has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 5:26: Emmet Kenney 32 yd FG GOOD — STAN win probability +1.6 pts (now 97%) (top driver: STAN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 2:02: Ashton Daniels pass complete to Sam Roush for 5 yds for a TD (Emmet Kenney KICK) — STAN win probability +1.7 pts (now 99%) (top driver: STAN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
STAN made the numbers' call on 5 of 6CP made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 8:56CP 4th & 19 at STAN 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 3.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.3%−0.2
    11% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    3.5%
    68% to make
    Punt
    3.1%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:37STAN 4th & 17 at STAN 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.8%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:11CP 4th & 5 at CP 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.2%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.3%
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:01STAN 4th & 2 at STAN 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 92.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    92.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    92.7%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 3:57STAN 4th & 4 at CP 4, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 90.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    90.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    90.4%−0.2
    93% to make
    Punt
    88.4%−2.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:42CP 4th & 7 at CP 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.9%−0.5
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.5%
    average punt
  7. Q3 11:52CP 4th & 4 at CP 45, down 7
    Close callPunted · 8.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.9%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 9:53CP 4th & 4 at CP 27, down 14
    Close callPunted · 4.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.9%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 5:26STAN 4th & 4 at CP 14, up 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 95.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.4%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.4%−<0.1
    84% to make
    Punt
    92.7%−2.8
    average punt
  10. Q3 2:02STAN 4th & 4 at CP 5, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.2%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    97.0%−0.1
    92% to make
    Punt
    95.3%−1.8
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:14CP 4th & 11 at STAN 47, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%
    average punt
  12. Q4 6:20CP 4th & 10 at CP 45, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 1:55STAN 4th & 16 at CP 25, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%
    66% to make
    Punt
    99.6%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
STAN made the numbers' call on 4 of 4CP made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 0:00STAN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 12:09CP Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    6.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    6.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:21STAN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 2:02STAN Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 10:02STAN Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
STANDrive 1FUMBLE
5 plays · 13 yds · 1:5298% → 98%
Q1 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
98.2%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Micah Ford for 9 yds to the STAN 34Similar
Q1 14:32
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+4
98.2%
Justin Lamson run for 4 yds to the STAN 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:49
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+10
98.1%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Elic Ayomanor for 10 yds to the STAN 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:12
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
98.0%
Ashton Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:07
2ND & 10
OWN 48
-10
98.0%
Micah Ford run for a loss of 10 yards to the STAN 38 Micah Ford fumbled, recovered by CP Ethan Calvert E. Calvert return for 0 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CPDrive 2MISSED FG
9 plays · 14 yds · 4:022% → 3%
Q1 12:58
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
98.0%
Aiden Ramos run for 3 yds to the STAN 35Similar
Q1 12:26
2ND & 7
OPP 35
+10
97.9%
Bo Kelly pass complete to Aiden Ramos for 10 yds to the STAN 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:50
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
97.8%
Aiden Ramos run for 1 yd to the STAN 24Similar
Q1 11:16
2ND & 9
OPP 24
+9
97.7%
Bo Kelly pass complete to Giancarlo Woods for 9 yds to the STAN 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:43
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
97.6%
Bo Kelly pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:38
2ND & 10
OPP 15
-10
97.6%
(10:38) SANDERS, Kendric rush to the left for a gain of 5 yards to the STA10 (EDWARDS, Scotty), clock 10:32. PENALTY CPU Holding on BOURLAND, Ty enforced 10 yards from the STA15 to the STA25 [NH]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 10:21
2ND & 20
OPP 25
-5
97.6%
Kendric Sanders run for a loss of 5 yards to the STAN 30Similar
Q1 9:37
3RD & 25
OPP 30
+6
97.5%
Bo Kelly pass complete to Jake Woods for 6 yds to the STAN 24Similar
Q1 8:56
4TH & 19
OPP 24
+41
97.4%
Noah Serna 41 yd FG BLOCKED blocked bySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 2:1397% → 97%
Q1 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-2
97.4%
Ashton Daniels run for a loss of 2 yards to the STAN 34Similar
Q1 8:07
2ND & 12
OWN 34
-8
97.3%
Ashton Daniels sacked by Elijah Ponder for a loss of 8 yards to the STAN 26Similar
Q1 7:30
3RD & 20
OWN 26
-5
97.1%
Stanford Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the STAN 21Similar
Q1 7:13
3RD & 25
OWN 21
+8
97.1%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Elic Ayomanor for 8 yds to the STAN 29Similar
Q1 6:37
4TH & 17
OWN 29
0
97.0%
Aidan Flintoft punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CPDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:193% → 3%
Q1 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
97.0%
Bo Kelly pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:25
2ND & 10
OWN 33
0
97.0%
Aiden Ramos run for no gain to the CP 33Similar
Q1 5:47
3RD & 10
OWN 33
+5
96.9%
Bo Kelly pass complete to Aiden Ramos for 5 yds to the CP 38Similar
Q1 5:11
4TH & 5
OWN 38
0
96.8%
Ryan Collins punt for 40 yds, downed at the STAN 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 5TD
9 plays · 78 yds · 5:0397% → 97%
Q1 5:03
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+7
96.8%
Ashton Daniels run for 7 yds to the STAN 29Similar
Q1 4:23
2ND & 3
OWN 29
+11
96.7%
Ismael Cisse run for 11 yds to the STAN 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:44
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+11
96.6%
Ashton Daniels run for 11 yds to the CP 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:08
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
96.6%
Ashton Daniels run for 2 yds to the CP 47Similar
Q1 2:26
2ND & 8
OPP 47
+41
96.5%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Sedrick Irvin for 41 yds to the CP 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-5
96.3%
Stanford Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the CP 11Similar
Q1 1:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 11
+7
96.3%
Justin Lamson run for 7 yds to the CP 4Similar
Q1 0:44
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-1
96.2%
Justin Lamson run for a loss of 1 yard to the CP 5Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
96.6%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Mudia Reuben for 5 yds for a TD (Emmet Kenney KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CPDrive 6TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:514% → 6%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
96.5%
Bo Kelly pass complete to Giancarlo Woods for 17 yds to the CP 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:28
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
96.2%
Evan Burkhart run for 5 yds to the CP 47Similar
Q2 13:55
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+5
96.1%
Bo Kelly pass complete to Logan Booher for 5 yds to the STAN 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:18
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
95.9%
Bo Kelly pass complete to Kendric Sanders for 6 yds to the STAN 42Similar
Q2 12:43
2ND & 4
OPP 42
+20
95.8%
Bo Kelly pass complete to Michael Briscoe for 20 yds to the STAN 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:09
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
94.2%
Michael Briscoe pass complete to Jake Woods for 22 yds for a TD (Gianluca Dimauro KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 7DOWNS
16 plays · 64 yds · 8:0395% → 92%
Q2 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
94.9%
Micah Ford run for 3 yds to the STAN 35Similar
Q2 11:27
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+4
94.8%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Ismael Cisse for 4 yds to the STAN 39Similar
Q2 10:47
3RD & 3
OWN 39
+1
94.7%
Ismael Cisse run for 1 yd to the STAN 40Similar
Q2 10:01
4TH & 2
OWN 40
+6
94.3%
Tristan Sinclair run for 6 yds to the STAN 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:21
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-1
94.5%
Sedrick Irvin run for a loss of 1 yard to the STAN 45Similar
Q2 8:50
2ND & 11
OWN 45
+6
94.1%
(08:50) DANIELS, Ashton pass short up the middle incomplete intended for AYOMANOR, Elic thrown to the STA50, clock 08:47. PENALTY CPU Pass Interference on RIVERA, Mason enforced at the spot of the foul for 6 yards to the CPU49 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 8:47
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+23
94.4%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Ismael Cisse for 23 yds to the CP 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:24
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+2
94.4%
Sedrick Irvin run for 2 yds to the CP 24Similar
Q2 7:49
2ND & 8
OPP 24
-5
94.2%
Stanford Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the CP 29Similar
Q2 7:24
2ND & 13
OPP 29
+4
94.0%
Sedrick Irvin run for 4 yds to the CP 25Similar
Q2 6:41
3RD & 9
OPP 25
+17
93.6%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Micah Ford for 17 yds to the CP 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
93.7%
Ashton Daniels run for 5 yds to the CP 3Similar
Q2 5:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-2
93.4%
Justin Lamson run for a loss of 2 yards to the CP 5Similar
Q2 4:36
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
92.9%
Justin Lamson run for 1 yd to the CP 4Similar
Q2 3:57
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
0
92.2%
Ashton Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CPDrive 8PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 2:049% → 10%
Q2 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+16
90.8%
Bo Kelly pass complete to Michael Briscoe for 16 yds to the CP 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:09
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
90.3%
Aiden Ramos run for a loss of 1 yard to the CP 19Similar
Q2 2:34
2ND & 11
OWN 19
+5
90.1%
Bo Kelly pass complete to Michael Otterstedt for 5 yds to the CP 24Similar
Q2 1:58
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+4
89.9%
Aiden Ramos run for 4 yds to the CP 28Similar
Q2 1:48
4TH & 2
OWN 28
-5
89.9%
(01:48) COLLINS, Ryan punt 47 yards to the STA25, fair catch by BACHMEIER, Tiger, clock 01:43. PENALTY Before the snap, CPU Illegal Formation enforced 5 yards from the CPU28 to the CPU23. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 1:42
4TH & 7
OWN 23
+2
90.1%
Ryan Collins punt for 52 yds , Tiger Bachmeier returns for 2 yds to the STAN 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 9TD
7 plays · 73 yds · 1:1090% → 94%
Q2 1:31
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+7
90.0%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Micah Ford for 7 yds to the STAN 34Similar
Q2 1:10
2ND & 3
OWN 34
+7
90.3%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Micah Ford for 7 yds to the STAN 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+9
90.4%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Ismael Cisse for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 0:44
2ND & 1
50
+27
90.6%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Elic Ayomanor for 27 yds to the CP 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:35
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+21
90.9%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Sam Roush for 21 yds to the CP 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
94.3%
Justin Lamson run for 2 yds for a TD (Emmet Kenney KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CPDrive 10END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q2 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-1
93.6%
(00:15) [NHSG] Kneel down by KELLY, Bo at CPU20 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CPDrive 11PUNT RETURN TD
6 plays · 18 yds · 3:047% → 4%
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-3
93.3%
Aiden Ramos run for a loss of 3 yards to the CP 24Similar
Q3 14:21
2ND & 13
OWN 24
+15
93.3%
Bo Kelly pass complete to Giancarlo Woods for 15 yds to the CP 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
92.6%
Bo Kelly pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:40
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+1
92.7%
Aiden Ramos run for 1 yd to the CP 40Similar
Q3 12:56
3RD & 9
OWN 40
+5
92.7%
Bo Kelly pass complete to Logan Booher for 5 yds to the CP 45Similar
Q3 11:52
4TH & 4
OWN 45
+90
95.8%
Ryan Collins punt for 45 yds , Tiger Bachmeier returns for 90 yds for a TD (Emmet Kenney KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CPDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 17 yds · 1:554% → 4%
Q3 11:48
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+11
96.0%
Bo Kelly pass complete to Michael Briscoe for 11 yds to the CP 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:18
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+6
95.9%
Jaedon Matthews run for 6 yds to the CP 27Similar
Q3 10:38
2ND & 4
OWN 27
0
95.6%
Jaedon Matthews run for no gain to the CP 27Similar
Q3 9:56
3RD & 4
OWN 27
0
95.6%
Bo Kelly pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:53
4TH & 4
OWN 27
+10
95.9%
Ryan Collins punt for 43 yds , Tiger Bachmeier returns for 10 yds to the STAN 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 13FG
11 plays · 46 yds · 4:1696% → 97%
Q3 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
96.4%
Micah Ford run for 3 yds to the STAN 43Similar
Q3 9:08
2ND & 7
OWN 43
0
96.4%
Ashton Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:03
3RD & 7
OWN 43
+17
95.4%
Ashton Daniels run for 17 yds to the CP 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:28
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
95.8%
Ashton Daniels run for 1 yd to the CP 39Similar
Q3 7:44
2ND & 9
OPP 39
+19
96.0%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Ismael Cisse for 19 yds to the CP 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:06
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-4
96.0%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Micah Ford for a loss of 4 yards to the CP 24Similar
Q3 6:27
2ND & 14
OPP 24
0
95.9%
Ashton Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:24
3RD & 14
OPP 24
+5
95.8%
(06:24) DANIELS, Ashton pass deep to the left incomplete intended for CISSE, Ismael broken up by DUKES, Brian at the CPU0, clock 06:17. PENALTY CPU Offsides on FINAU, Soni enforced 5 yards from the CPU24 to the CPU19 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 6:17
3RD & 9
OPP 19
+5
95.8%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Ismael Cisse for 5 yds to the CP 14Similar
Q3 5:26
4TH & 4
OPP 14
+32
97.4%
Emmet Kenney 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CPDrive 14FUMBLE
2 plays · -4 yds · 0:353% → 3%
Q3 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
96.9%
Bo Kelly pass complete to Aiden Ramos for a loss of 1 yard to the CP 24Similar
Q3 4:50
2ND & 11
OWN 24
-13
97.1%
Bo Kelly pass intercepted Collin Wright return for 13 yds to the CP 21 Ryan Collins fumbled, recovered by STAN Collin Wright C. Wright return for 0 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 15TD
5 plays · 21 yds · 2:4198% → 99%
Q3 4:43
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+10
97.7%
Chris Davis Jr. run for 10 yds to the CP 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:12
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-2
97.7%
Ashton Daniels run for a loss of 2 yards to the CP 13Similar
Q3 3:36
2ND & 12
OPP 13
+6
97.6%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Ismael Cisse for 6 yds to the CP 7Similar
Q3 2:49
3RD & 6
OPP 7
+2
97.6%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Sam Roush for 2 yds to the CP 5Similar
Q3 2:02
4TH & 4
OPP 5
+5
99.3%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Sam Roush for 5 yds for a TD (Emmet Kenney KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CPDrive 16PUNT
10 plays · 32 yds · 2:431% → 1%
Q3 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-1
99.0%
Bo Kelly pass complete to Kendric Sanders for a loss of 1 yard to the CP 20Similar
Q3 1:21
2ND & 11
OWN 20
0
99.0%
Bo Kelly pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:18
3RD & 11
OWN 20
+17
99.0%
Bo Kelly pass complete to Tyrece Fairly-Diyem for 17 yds to the CP 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
98.9%
Bo Kelly run for no gain to the CP 37Similar
Q3 0:19
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+17
99.0%
Aiden Ramos run for 17 yds to the STAN 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:59
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
99.0%
Bo Kelly pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:52
2ND & 10
OPP 46
-5
99.0%
Cal Poly Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the CP 49Similar
Q4 14:51
2ND & 15
OWN 49
+4
99.1%
Bo Kelly pass complete to Giancarlo Woods for 4 yds to the STAN 47Similar
Q4 14:19
3RD & 11
OPP 47
0
99.0%
Bo Kelly pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:14
4TH & 11
OPP 47
0
99.1%
Jesse Ehrlich punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Tiger Bachmeier at the STAN 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 17TD
7 plays · 85 yds · 4:07100% → 100%
Q4 14:09
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+6
99.5%
Elijah Brown pass complete to Mudia Reuben for 6 yds to the STAN 21Similar
Q4 13:30
2ND & 4
OWN 21
+1
99.5%
Elijah Brown pass complete to Ismael Cisse for 1 yd to the STAN 22Similar
Q4 12:50
3RD & 3
OWN 22
+10
99.5%
Elijah Brown pass complete to Mudia Reuben for 10 yds to the STAN 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
99.5%
Sedrick Irvin run for 1 yd to the STAN 33Similar
Q4 11:25
2ND & 9
OWN 33
+51
99.5%
Elijah Brown pass complete to Sedrick Irvin for 51 yds to the CP 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:44
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+4
99.6%
Sedrick Irvin run for 4 yds to the CP 12Similar
Q4 10:02
2ND & 6
OPP 12
+12
99.9%
Elijah Brown pass complete to Ismael Cisse for 12 yds for a TD (Emmet Kenney KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CPDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 3:400% → 0%
Q4 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.9%
Jaedon Matthews run for 5 yds to the CP 30Similar
Q4 9:29
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-1
99.9%
Jaedon Matthews run for a loss of 1 yard to the CP 29Similar
Q4 8:55
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+16
99.9%
Jackson Akins pass complete to Aiden Ramos for 16 yds to the CP 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
99.9%
Tyrece Fairly-Diyem run for 2 yds to the CP 47Similar
Q4 7:44
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+6
99.9%
Jackson Akins pass complete to Jake Woods for 6 yds to the STAN 47Similar
Q4 7:02
3RD & 2
OPP 47
-8
99.9%
Jackson Akins sacked by Jshawn Frausto-Ramos for a loss of 8 yards to the CP 45Similar
Q4 6:20
4TH & 10
OWN 45
0
99.9%
Jesse Ehrlich punt for 40 yds , Tiger Bachmeier returns for no gain to the STAN 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 19FG
10 plays · 60 yds · 4:18100% → 100%
Q4 6:13
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+7
99.9%
Chris Davis Jr. run for 7 yds to the STAN 22Similar
Q4 5:49
2ND & 3
OWN 22
+15
99.9%
Cal Poly Penalty, Targeting on PONDER, Elijah enforced (Elijah Ponder) to the STAN 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+7
99.9%
Chris Davis Jr. run for 7 yds to the STAN 49Similar
Q4 4:56
2ND & 3
OWN 49
+32
99.9%
Chris Davis Jr. run for 32 yds to the CP 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:07
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-3
99.9%
Chris Davis Jr. run for a loss of 3 yards to the CP 22Similar
Q4 3:29
2ND & 13
OPP 22
-15
99.9%
(03:29) BROWN, Elijah pass to the right complete for 11 yards to REUBEN, Mudia caught at the CPU11 and advanced to the CPU11, out of bounds, clock 03:24. PENALTY STA Pass Interference on BLACKBURN, Benji enforced 15 yards to the CPU37 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 3:06
2ND & 28
OPP 37
0
99.9%
Chris Davis Jr. run for no gain to the CP 37Similar
Q4 2:21
3RD & 28
OPP 37
+12
99.9%
Elijah Brown pass complete to Benjamin Blackburn for 12 yds to the CP 25Similar
Q4 1:55
4TH & 16
OPP 25
+43
99.9%
Emmet Kenney 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CPDrive 20END OF GAME
4 plays · 11 yds · 1:470% → 0%
Q4 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
99.9%
Kendric Sanders run for 1 yd to the CP 37Similar
Q4 1:04
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+11
100.0%
Jackson Akins pass complete to Ty Bourland for 11 yds to the CP 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:39
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-1
100.0%
Kendric Sanders run for a loss of 1 yard to the CP 47Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 11
OWN 47
0
100.0%
Jackson Akins pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
PUNT · Q3 11:52
Ryan Collins punt for 45 yds , Tiger Bachmeier returns for 90 yds for a TD (Emmet Kenney KICK)
+3.1
TD · Q2 0:21
Justin Lamson run for 2 yds for a TD (Emmet Kenney KICK)
+2.9
TD · Q3 2:02
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Sam Roush for 5 yds for a TD (Emmet Kenney KICK)
+1.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com