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CLT

Charlotte 20 at North Carolina 38

UNC
2024 · Week 2 · Sep 7, 2024 · Kenan Stadium
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Win probability · UNC
modelUNC aheadCLT aheadconfidence bandkey playUNC scoreCLT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFGTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:35 · J.Criswell pass complete. Catch made by C.French for 2 yards. Tackled by M.McDaniel; K.Evans at CHA 26.
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+41.0+20.50−20.5−41.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 6:06: C.Harrell rushed for 4 yards. TOUCHDOWN. — UNC win probability +3.1 pts (now 93%) (top driver: UNC has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 11:52: D.Purdie pass complete. Catch made by B.Kennon for 5 yards. TOUCHDOWN. — CLT win probability +5.0 pts (now 14%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 11:10: C.Harrell pass complete. Catch made by C.Hamilton for 58 yards. TOUCHDOWN. — UNC win probability +5.4 pts (now 94%) (top driver: UNC has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 6:43: D.Gause rushed for 1 yards. TOUCHDOWN. — UNC win probability +1.5 pts (now 100%) (top driver: UNC has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 5:01: D.Purdie pass complete. Catch made by H.Rutledge for 28 yards. TOUCHDOWN. — CLT win probability +1.5 pts (now 2%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UNC made the numbers' call on 3 of 3CLT made the numbers' call on 6 of 10
  1. Q1 11:56CLT 4th & 4 at UNC 44, tied
    Close callPunted · 9.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    9.4%−0.1
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    9.4%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:31CLT 4th & 5 at UNC 45, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.0%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    9.8%−0.1
    25% to make
    Punt
    9.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:47CLT 4th & 8 at UNC 8, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 10.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.2%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    10.2%
    90% to make
    Punt
    9.6%−0.6
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:35CLT 4th & 3 at UNC 3, down 11
    Close callKicked a field goal · 10.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.9%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    10.6%−0.3
    93% to make
    Punt
    9.3%−1.7
    average punt
  5. Q2 4:12CLT 4th & 19 at UNC 44, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.6%−0.4
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    7.8%−0.2
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    8.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:00UNC 4th & 17 at UNC 31, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.9%−0.6
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:52CLT 4th & 2 at CLT 30, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.6%−0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.7%
    average punt
  8. Q3 8:01CLT 4th & 4 at CLT 44, down 15
    Close callPunted · 7.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 4:16UNC 4th & 7 at CLT 26, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 94.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.7%−0.2
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.9%
    64% to make
    Punt
    92.2%−2.7
    average punt
  10. Q3 2:35CLT 4th & 1 at CLT 34, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.1%−0.6
    average punt
  11. Q3 0:54UNC 4th & 8 at CLT 32, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 96.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.6%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.7%
    51% to make
    Punt
    96.3%−0.4
    average punt
  12. Q4 12:46CLT 4th & 15 at CLT 39, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.3%−0.8
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.0%
    average punt
  13. Q4 5:01CLT 4th & 5 at UNC 28, down 25
    Close callWent for it · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.3%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    0.4%
    60% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UNC made the numbers' call on 5 of 5CLT made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 9:07UNC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:30UNC Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 6:06UNC Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 11:52CLT Touchdown, down 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    12.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    12.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 11:10UNC Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 6:43UNC Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 5:01CLT Touchdown, down 19 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.4%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.5%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CLTDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:259% → 9%
Q1 13:21
1ST & 10
OPP 0
+1
91.2%
T.Kellman rushed for 1 yards. Tackled by K.Hester, A.Lane at NC 49.Similar
Q1 12:40
2ND & 9
OPP 49
0
91.0%
M.Brown steps back to pass. Sacked at CHA 43 for yards (A.Huzzie). M.Brown FUMBLES, forced by A.Huzzie. Fumble RECOVERED by NC-J.Ritzie at CHA 43. Tackled by CHA at CHA 43. The Replay Official reviewed the loose ball recovery and the play was overturned. M.Brown steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for.Similar
Q1 12:37
3RD & 9
OPP 49
+5
91.1%
M.Brown pass complete. Catch made by S.Brown for 5 yards. Tackled by A.Huzzie at NC 44.Similar
Q1 11:56
4TH & 4
OPP 44
+38
90.9%
M.O'Shaughnessy punts 38 yards to NC 6, Center-A.Booker. Downed by CHA.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 2TD
11 plays · 94 yds · 2:4791% → 91%
Q1 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+5
90.9%
C.Harrell rushed for 5 yards. Tackled by A.Ali at NC 11.Similar
Q1 11:35
2ND & 5
OWN 11
0
90.8%
C.Harrell steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for.Similar
Q1 11:24
3RD & 5
OWN 11
+13
90.7%
C.Harrell pass complete. Catch made by J.Jones for 13 yards. Tackled by D.Balfour at NC 24.Similar
Q1 11:01
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
90.7%
O.Hampton rushed for 3 yards. Tackled by C.Williams; D.Clowney at NC 27.Similar
Q1 10:32
2ND & 7
OWN 27
+16
90.6%
C.Harrell pass complete. Catch made by K.Paysour for 16 yards. Tackled by C.Jackson at NC 43.Similar
Q1 10:11
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
90.6%
PENALTY on NC-H.Sampson, False Start, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q1 10:11
1ST & 15
OWN 38
+9
90.5%
O.Hampton rushed for 9 yards. Tackled by R.Williford at NC 47.Similar
Q1 9:31
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+22
90.5%
O.Hampton rushed for 22 yards. Tackled by T.McGee at CHA 31.Similar
Q1 9:07
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+1
90.5%
O.Hampton rushed for 1 yards. Tackled by C.Jackson at CHA 30.Similar
Q1 9:07
2ND & 9
OPP 30
+30
91.2%
C.Harrell pass complete. Catch made by B.Nesbit for 30 yards. TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 3FG
10 plays · 67 yds · 3:569% → 11%
Q1 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
90.8%
M.Brown steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for.Similar
Q1 8:38
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+25
90.8%
M.Brown pass complete. Catch made by J.Olson for 25 yards. Tackled by K.Cost at CHA 50.Similar
Q1 8:17
1ST & 10
OPP 0
0
90.4%
M.Brown steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for C.Weber.Similar
Q1 8:06
2ND & 10
OPP 0
+5
90.4%
M.Brown scrambles for 5 yards. Tackled by P.Echols; A.Campbell at NC 45.Similar
Q1 7:17
3RD & 5
OPP 45
0
90.4%
M.Brown scrambles for 0 yards. Tackled by K.Cost; A.Campbell at NC 45.Similar
Q1 6:31
4TH & 5
OPP 45
+37
90.4%
M.Brown pass complete. Catch made by J.Mack for 37 yards. J.Mack ran out of bounds.Similar
Q1 6:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
89.9%
C.Norton rushed for 3 yards. Tackled by K.Hester at NC 5.Similar
Q1 5:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-3
89.8%
M.Brown steps back to pass. Sacked at NC 8 for -3 yards (A.Campbell).Similar
Q1 4:52
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
0
89.8%
M.Brown steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for B.Kennon.Similar
Q1 4:47
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
0
89.2%
K.Cunanan 25 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-A.Booker, Holder-M.O'Shaughnessy.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 4TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:1389% → 91%
Q1 4:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
89.3%
O.Hampton rushed for 10 yards. Tackled by T.McGee at NC 35.Similar
Q1 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
89.3%
C.Harrell steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for N.McCollum.Similar
Q1 4:20
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+26
89.2%
O.Hampton rushed for 26 yards. Tackled by A.Ali at CHA 39.Similar
Q1 3:58
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
89.5%
O.Hampton rushed for 2 yards. Tackled by C.Burton; D.Butler at CHA 37.Similar
Q1 3:30
2ND & 8
OPP 37
+37
90.9%
N.McCollum rushed for 37 yards. TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 5FG
12 plays · 72 yds · 5:4110% → 11%
Q1 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+23
90.4%
M.Brown pass complete. Catch made by B.Kennon for 23 yards. Tackled by J.Harvey at CHA 48.Similar
Q1 2:43
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+30
90.0%
M.Brown pass complete. Catch made by C.Weber for 30 yards. Tackled by M.Allen at NC 22.Similar
Q1 2:01
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+10
89.5%
M.Brown pass complete. Catch made by J.Olson for 10 yards. Tackled by M.Allen; W.Hardy at NC 12.Similar
Q1 1:25
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
89.4%
T.Kellman rushed for 3 yards. Tackled by P.Echols; D.Boykins at NC 9.Similar
Q1 0:48
2ND & 7
OPP 9
+5
89.3%
T.Kellman rushed for 5 yards. Tackled by M.Allen; P.Echols at NC 4.Similar
Q1 0:07
3RD & 2
OPP 4
0
89.4%
PENALTY on NC-D.Evans, Defensive Offside, 2 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
89.2%
T.Kellman rushed for -1 yards. Tackled by D.Evans; A.Lane at NC 3.Similar
Q2 14:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
89.1%
T.Kellman rushed for 0 yards. Tackled by A.Campbell; J.Harris at NC 3.Similar
Q2 13:35
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+5
89.4%
PENALTY on CHA-CHA, Delay of Game, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q2 13:23
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
89.3%
M.Brown pass complete. Catch made by J.Mack for 5 yards. Tackled by M.Allen at NC 3.Similar
Q2 12:35
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+20
89.1%
K.Cunanan 20 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-A.Booker, Holder-M.O'Shaughnessy.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 6TD
17 plays · 75 yds · 6:2389% → 93%
Q2 12:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
89.2%
O.Hampton rushed for 2 yards. Tackled by P.Wallace-Bemah; C.Clinkscales at NC 27.Similar
Q2 12:01
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+5
89.1%
O.Hampton rushed for 5 yards. Tackled by C.Jackson at NC 32.Similar
Q2 11:20
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
88.8%
C.Harrell steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for J.Johnson. PENALTY on CHA-T.McGee, Defensive Holding, 10 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q2 11:13
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-1
89.5%
O.Hampton rushed for -1 yards. Tackled by D.Clowney at NC 41.Similar
Q2 10:36
2ND & 11
OWN 41
+6
89.2%
C.Harrell pass complete. Catch made by B.Nesbit for 6 yards. B.Nesbit ran out of bounds.Similar
Q2 10:04
3RD & 5
OWN 47
+15
89.1%
C.Harrell scrambles for 15 yards. Pushed out of bounds by M.Neal at CHA 38.Similar
Q2 9:43
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
89.5%
D.Gause rushed for 4 yards. Tackled by T.Booker at CHA 34.Similar
Q2 8:58
2ND & 6
OPP 34
0
89.4%
C.Harrell pass complete. Catch made by C.Hamilton for yards. Tackled by A.Ali at CHA 11. PENALTY on NC-J.Copenhaver, Offensive Pass Interference, 15 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q2 8:50
2ND & 21
OPP 49
+12
88.9%
C.Harrell rushed for 12 yards. Tackled by P.Wallace-Bemah at CHA 37.Similar
Q2 8:23
3RD & 9
OPP 37
+11
89.0%
C.Harrell pass complete. Catch made by B.Nesbit for 11 yards. Tackled by C.Clinkscales at CHA 26.Similar
Q2 7:57
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+8
89.6%
D.Gause rushed for 8 yards. Tackled by M.Kelly-Lawson; C.Clinkscales at CHA 18.Similar
Q2 7:25
2ND & 2
OPP 18
-1
89.5%
C.Hood rushed for -1 yards. Tackled by R.Williford at CHA 19.Similar
Q2 6:41
3RD & 3
OPP 19
+7
89.1%
D.Gause rushed for 7 yards. Tackled by C.Burden at CHA 12.Similar
Q2 6:22
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+8
89.4%
D.Gause rushed for 8 yards. Tackled by C.Jackson at CHA 4.Similar
Q2 6:06
2ND & 2
OPP 4
+4
92.6%
C.Harrell rushed for 4 yards. TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 31 yds · 1:489% → 8%
Q2 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+40
91.4%
M.Brown pass complete. Catch made by J.Mack for 40 yards. Tackled by A.Lane at NC 35.Similar
Q2 5:18
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-12
90.5%
M.Brown steps back to pass. Sacked at NC 47 for -12 yards (J.Ritzie).Similar
Q2 4:50
2ND & 22
OPP 47
+3
91.8%
H.Wilson rushed for 3 yards. Tackled by M.Allen at NC 44.Similar
Q2 4:22
3RD & 19
OPP 44
0
92.0%
D.Purdie steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for C.Weber.Similar
Q2 4:12
4TH & 19
OPP 44
+44
92.2%
M.O'Shaughnessy punts 44 yards to NC End Zone, Center-A.Booker. Touchback.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 8PUNT
8 plays · 11 yds · 2:0293% → 93%
Q2 4:02
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
92.7%
C.Hood rushed for -1 yards. Tackled by T.McGee; D.Spellman at NC 19.Similar
Q2 3:38
2ND & 11
OWN 19
0
92.6%
C.Harrell steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for C.Culliver.Similar
Q2 3:30
3RD & 11
OWN 19
+19
92.4%
C.Harrell pass complete. Catch made by C.Hood for 19 yards. Tackled by C.Burton; T.McGee at NC 38.Similar
Q2 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-5
93.2%
C.Harrell steps back to pass. Sacked at NC 33 for -5 yards (D.Spellman).Similar
Q2 2:32
2ND & 15
OWN 33
0
92.8%
C.Harrell steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for B.Nesbit.Similar
Q2 2:27
3RD & 15
OWN 33
-2
92.5%
C.Harrell pass complete. Catch made by C.Culliver for -2 yards. Tackled by T.Booker at NC 31.Similar
Q2 2:00
4TH & 17
OWN 31
+49
92.5%
T.Maginness punts 49 yards to CHA 20, Center-S.Triplett. H.Rutledge returned punt from the CHA 20. Tackled by C.Hamilton; A.Huzzie at CHA 22.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 0:588% → 8%
Q2 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
92.1%
H.Rutledge rushed for 0 yards. Tackled by D.Evans at CHA 22.Similar
Q2 1:08
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+5
92.3%
H.Wilson rushed for 5 yards. Tackled by T.Shaw at CHA 27.Similar
Q2 0:55
3RD & 5
OWN 27
+3
92.2%
H.Wilson rushed for 3 yards. Tackled by D.Evans at CHA 30.Similar
Q2 0:52
4TH & 2
OWN 30
+37
92.3%
M.O'Shaughnessy punts 37 yards to NC 33, Center-A.Booker. Fair catch by A.Huzzie.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 10TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:088% → 14%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
92.2%
D.Purdie pass complete. Catch made by J.Mack for 2 yards. Tackled by M.Allen at CHA 27.Similar
Q3 14:27
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
92.0%
D.Purdie steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for C.Weber.Similar
Q3 14:21
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+6
92.3%
D.Purdie pass complete. Catch made by C.Weber for 6 yards. Tackled by A.Lane at CHA 33.Similar
Q3 14:10
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+15
92.1%
PENALTY on NC-A.Lane, Face Mask (15 Yards), 15 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q3 14:02
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+15
91.5%
D.Purdie scrambles for 15 yards. Pushed out of bounds by T.Adams at NC 37.Similar
Q3 13:25
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+34
91.2%
D.Purdie pass complete. Catch made by J.Mack for 34 yards. Pushed out of bounds by K.Cost at NC 3.Similar
Q3 12:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
90.6%
C.Norton rushed for 2 yards. Tackled by D.Evans; K.Hester at NC 1.Similar
Q3 12:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
90.5%
PENALTY on CHA-J.Hassard, False Start, 4 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q3 11:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
90.7%
D.Purdie steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for J.Olson.Similar
Q3 11:52
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
85.8%
D.Purdie pass complete. Catch made by B.Kennon for 5 yards. TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 11TD
3 plays · 74 yds · 0:3088% → 94%
Q3 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
88.3%
C.Harrell pass complete. Catch made by J.Copenhaver for 1 yards. Tackled by R.Williford at NC 27.Similar
Q3 11:18
2ND & 9
OWN 27
0
88.1%
D.Gause rushed for yards. Tackled by C.Burden at NC 27. PENALTY on CHA-C.Burden, Face Mask (15 Yards), 15 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q3 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+58
93.6%
C.Harrell pass complete. Catch made by C.Hamilton for 58 yards. TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 12INT
2 plays · 15 yds · 0:2694% → 94%
Q3 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+15
93.7%
C.Harrell pass complete. Catch made by C.Culliver for 15 yards. Tackled by E.Culp at CHA 41.Similar
Q3 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-24
93.7%
C.Harrell pass INTERCEPTED at CHA 14. Intercepted by M.Neal at CHA 14. Tackled by A.Blaske at CHA 38.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:168% → 8%
Q3 9:17
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
91.8%
H.Wilson rushed for 5 yards. Tackled by A.Lane at CHA 43.Similar
Q3 8:42
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+1
91.7%
H.Wilson rushed for 1 yards. Pushed out of bounds by A.Lane at CHA 44.Similar
Q3 8:09
3RD & 4
OWN 44
0
91.8%
D.Purdie steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for S.Brown.Similar
Q3 8:01
4TH & 4
OWN 44
+35
92.4%
M.O'Shaughnessy punts 35 yards to NC 21, Center-A.Booker. Fair catch by A.Huzzie.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 14FG
11 plays · 53 yds · 3:3894% → 96%
Q3 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-4
93.8%
D.Gause rushed for -4 yards. Tackled by D.Butler at NC 17.Similar
Q3 7:27
2ND & 14
OWN 17
+5
93.7%
C.Harrell pass complete. Catch made by D.Gause for 5 yards. Tackled by A.Ali; C.Clinkscales at NC 22.Similar
Q3 6:52
3RD & 9
OWN 22
0
93.5%
C.Harrell steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for C.Hamilton. PENALTY on CHA-E.Culp, Defensive Pass Interference, 15 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q3 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+18
94.0%
D.Gause rushed for 18 yards. Tackled by T.McGee at CHA 45.Similar
Q3 6:15
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
94.4%
D.Gause rushed for yards. Tackled by O.Ekwonu at CHA 41. PENALTY on CHA-CHA, Defensive Illegal Shift, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q3 5:53
1ST & 5
OPP 40
+11
94.5%
C.Harrell rushed for 11 yards. Tackled by C.Clinkscales; D.Martin at CHA 29.Similar
Q3 5:31
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+5
94.6%
PENALTY on NC-A.Banfield, False Start, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q3 5:31
1ST & 15
OPP 34
+7
94.5%
C.Harrell rushed for 7 yards. Tackled by O.Ekwonu; R.Williford at CHA 27.Similar
Q3 5:01
2ND & 8
OPP 27
+1
95.6%
C.Harrell pass complete. Catch made by C.Hood for 1 yards. Tackled by A.Ali at CHA 26.Similar
Q3 4:22
3RD & 7
OPP 26
0
95.4%
C.Harrell steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for C.Hood.Similar
Q3 4:16
4TH & 7
OPP 26
0
96.4%
N.Burnette 44 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-S.Triplett, Holder-T.Maginness.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 15DOWNS
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:344% → 4%
Q3 4:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
95.9%
D.Purdie steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for CHA.Similar
Q3 4:02
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
95.9%
R.Gainey rushed for 3 yards. Tackled by M.Allen at CHA 28.Similar
Q3 3:21
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+6
96.0%
D.Purdie pass complete. Catch made by C.Stokes for 6 yards. Tackled by A.Campbell at CHA 34.Similar
Q3 2:35
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
95.9%
D.Purdie steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for S.Brown.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 16MISSED FG
6 plays · 2 yds · 1:3697% → 97%
Q3 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+8
96.9%
C.Harrell pass complete. Catch made by J.Copenhaver for 8 yards. Tackled by C.Burden; S.Sings at CHA 26.Similar
Q3 2:04
2ND & 2
OPP 26
0
97.0%
C.Harrell steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for NC. The Replay Official reviewed the targeting and the play was upheld.Similar
Q3 1:57
3RD & 2
OPP 26
0
96.9%
C.Harrell pass complete. Catch made by C.Hood for yards. Tackled by A.Ali at CHA 14. PENALTY on NC-C.Culliver, Offensive Pass Interference, 15 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q3 1:43
3RD & 17
OPP 41
+9
96.8%
C.Harrell pass complete. Catch made by C.Hood for 9 yards. Tackled by E.Culp; C.Burden at CHA 32.Similar
Q3 0:54
4TH & 8
OPP 32
0
96.8%
N.Burnette 49 yard field goal attempt is no good, Center-S.Triplett, Holder-T.Maginness.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 17PUNT
8 plays · 7 yds · 3:024% → 3%
Q3 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+6
96.2%
H.Wilson rushed for 6 yards. Tackled by T.Shaw; J.Harris at CHA 38.Similar
Q3 0:29
2ND & 4
OWN 38
+2
96.3%
H.Wilson rushed for 2 yards. Tackled by A.Campbell; T.Shaw at CHA 40.Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 40
+4
96.4%
H.Wilson rushed for 4 yards. Tackled by J.Starlings at CHA 44.Similar
Q4 14:34
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
96.4%
D.Purdie steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for I.Myers.Similar
Q4 14:08
2ND & 10
OWN 44
-1
96.6%
D.Purdie pass complete. Catch made by C.Weber for -1 yards. Tackled by A.Huzzie at CHA 43.Similar
Q4 13:24
3RD & 11
OWN 43
-4
96.9%
D.Purdie steps back to pass. Sacked at CHA 39 for -4 yards (J.Ritzie).Similar
Q4 12:46
4TH & 15
OWN 39
+46
97.1%
M.O'Shaughnessy punts 46 yards to NC 15, Center-A.Booker. Fair catch by A.Huzzie.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 18TD
13 plays · 85 yds · 5:5398% → 100%
Q4 12:36
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+11
97.8%
D.Gause rushed for 11 yards. Tackled by C.Burden; M.Neal at NC 26.Similar
Q4 12:07
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
97.9%
D.Gause rushed for 4 yards. Tackled by D.Martin at NC 30.Similar
Q4 11:35
2ND & 6
OWN 30
+5
97.8%
PENALTY on NC-W.Lampkin, False Start, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q4 11:17
2ND & 11
OWN 25
+18
97.8%
C.Harrell pass complete. Catch made by J.Jones for 18 yards. Tackled by O.Ekwonu at NC 43.Similar
Q4 10:58
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
98.0%
D.Gause rushed for 1 yards. Tackled by C.Burden; D.Clowney at NC 44.Similar
Q4 10:21
2ND & 9
OWN 44
+16
98.0%
D.Gause rushed for 16 yards. Tackled by C.Clinkscales at CHA 40.Similar
Q4 9:42
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+11
98.1%
C.Harrell pass complete. Catch made by J.Shipp for 11 yards. Tackled by A.Ali at CHA 29.Similar
Q4 9:21
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+8
98.1%
D.Gause rushed for 8 yards. Tackled by C.Jackson at CHA 21.Similar
Q4 8:53
2ND & 2
OPP 21
+11
98.2%
D.Gause rushed for 11 yards. Tackled by A.Ali; C.Clinkscales at CHA 10.Similar
Q4 8:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
98.2%
D.Gause rushed for 4 yards. Tackled by T.McGee at CHA 6.Similar
Q4 7:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
98.2%
C.Harrell steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for C.Hamilton. PENALTY on CHA-E.Culp, Defensive Pass Interference, 3 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q4 7:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
98.2%
D.Gause rushed for 2 yards. Tackled by C.Burden; C.Williams at CHA 1.Similar
Q4 6:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.7%
D.Gause rushed for 1 yards. TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 19TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:380% → 2%
Q4 6:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+42
99.7%
D.Purdie pass complete. Catch made by O.Blake for 42 yards. Tackled by T.Miller at NC 33. PENALTY on NC-NC, Defensive Holding, 5 yards, declined.Similar
Q4 6:18
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
99.6%
D.Purdie steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for C.Weber.Similar
Q4 6:12
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+8
99.7%
C.Stokes rushed for 8 yards. Tackled by T.Stewart at NC 25.Similar
Q4 6:05
3RD & 2
OPP 25
0
99.7%
PENALTY on CHA-M.Mayes, Unnecessary Roughness / Offense, 15 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q4 5:47
3RD & 17
OPP 40
+12
99.6%
D.Purdie pass complete. Catch made by T.Traynor for 12 yards. Tackled by T.Stewart at NC 28.Similar
Q4 5:01
4TH & 5
OPP 28
+28
98.1%
D.Purdie pass complete. Catch made by H.Rutledge for 28 yards. TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 20END OF GAME
9 plays · 21 yds · 4:1599% → 99%
Q4 4:50
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+6
98.7%
D.Gause rushed for 6 yards. Tackled by B.Noel at CHA 41.Similar
Q4 4:17
2ND & 4
OPP 41
+3
98.7%
C.French rushed for 3 yards. Tackled by K.Evans at CHA 38.Similar
Q4 3:36
3RD & 1
OPP 38
+2
98.7%
C.French rushed for 2 yards. Tackled by A.Kaler; D.Spellman at CHA 36.Similar
Q4 2:55
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+4
98.9%
C.French rushed for 4 yards. Tackled by T.Booker; B.Noel at CHA 32.Similar
Q4 2:12
2ND & 6
OPP 32
+10
98.9%
C.French rushed for 10 yards. Tackled by T.Booker; B.Noel at CHA 22.Similar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+1
99.1%
C.French rushed for 1 yards. Tackled by K.Evans at CHA 21.Similar
Q4 1:46
2ND & 9
OPP 21
-7
99.1%
J.Criswell steps back to pass. Sacked at CHA 28 for -7 yards (S.Sings).Similar
Q4 0:35
3RD & 16
OPP 28
+2
99.1%
J.Criswell pass complete. Catch made by C.French for 2 yards. Tackled by M.McDaniel; K.Evans at CHA 26.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 11:10
C.Harrell pass complete. Catch made by C.Hamilton for 58 yards. TOUCHDOWN.
+5.4
TD · Q3 11:52
D.Purdie pass complete. Catch made by B.Kennon for 5 yards. TOUCHDOWN.
-5
TD · Q2 6:06
C.Harrell rushed for 4 yards. TOUCHDOWN.
+3.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com