Try the model
FAMU

Florida A&M 9 at Miami 56

MIA
2024 · Week 2 · Sep 7, 2024 · Hard Rock Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · MIA
modelMIA aheadFAMU aheadconfidence bandkey playMIA scoreFAMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDFGFGTDTDFGTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:24 · Chris Wheatley-Humphrey run for 7 yds to the FAMU 28
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout marginGarbage-time factor
+49.5+24.80−24.8−49.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 6:40: Cam Ward pass complete to Xavier Restrepo for 50 yds for a TD (R. Williams Run For Two-point Conversion) — MIA win probability +0.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: MIA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 12:58: Cam Ward pass complete to Chris Johnson Jr. for 9 yds for a TD (Andres Borregales KICK) — MIA win probability +0.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: MIA has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 5:43: Andres Borregales 37 yd FG GOOD — MIA win probability +0.4 pts (now 99%) (top driver: MIA has the ball).
  4. FG · Q2 0:00: Cameron Gillis 36 yd FG GOOD — FAMU win probability +0.7 pts (now 2%) (top driver: FAMU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 12:33: Mark Fletcher Jr. run for 4 yds for a TD (Andres Borregales KICK) — MIA win probability +0.8 pts (now 100%) (top driver: MIA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MIA made the numbers' call on 4 of 4FAMU made the numbers' call on 9 of 9
  1. Q1 10:20FAMU 4th & 6 at FAMU 43, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 0:49FAMU 4th & 5 at MIA 5, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.3%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    1.3%
    92% to make
    Punt
    0.9%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q2 10:44FAMU 4th & 5 at FAMU 30, down 19
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%
    average punt
  4. Q2 5:43MIA 4th & 13 at FAMU 19, up 19
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.6%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.7%
    77% to make
    Punt
    98.2%−0.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 4:08FAMU 4th & 20 at FAMU 2, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.3
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:15MIA 4th & 4 at FAMU 14, up 22
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.1%
    46% to convert
    Field goal
    99.1%−<0.1
    84% to make
    Punt
    98.7%−0.4
    average punt
  7. Q3 10:38FAMU 4th & 22 at FAMU 13, down 26
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−0.3
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  8. Q3 7:29FAMU 4th & 11 at MIA 32, down 33
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.2%
    51% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 2:45FAMU 4th & 12 at FAMU 16, down 37
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  10. Q4 11:12MIA 4th & 4 at FAMU 26, up 44
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%−<0.1
    64% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.4
    average punt
  11. Q4 10:11FAMU 4th & 8 at FAMU 38, down 44
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
  12. Q4 10:11FAMU 4th & 8 at FAMU 38, down 44
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
  13. Q4 2:00MIA 4th & 21 at FAMU 21, up 44
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.2
    8% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    100.0%
    74% to make
    Punt
    99.7%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MIA made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 13:40MIA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:40MIA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    99.1%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    99.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:58MIA Touchdown, up 18 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 12:33MIA Touchdown, up 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 9:14MIA Touchdown, up 32 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 3:43MIA Touchdown, up 36 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 14:23MIA Touchdown, up 43 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FAMUDrive 1INT
3 plays · 1 yds · 0:411% → 1%
Q1 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.4%
Daniel Richardson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:54
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.4%
Thad Franklin Jr. run for 1 yd to the FAMU 26Similar
Q1 14:18
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
99.4%
Daniel Richardson pass intercepted Wesley Bissainthe return for no gain to the FAMU 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 2TD
2 plays · 28 yds · 0:3199% → 99%
Q1 14:11
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+11
99.4%
Damien Martinez run for 11 yds to the FAMU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:40
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
99.3%
Cam Ward pass complete to Elijah Arroyo for 17 yds for a TD (Andres Borregales KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAMUDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 3:191% → 1%
Q1 13:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
99.3%
Thad Franklin Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the FAMU 24Similar
Q1 13:01
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+15
99.3%
Thad Franklin Jr. run for 15 yds to the FAMU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
99.3%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Jeremiah Pruitte for no gain to the FAMU 39Similar
Q1 11:45
2ND & 10
OWN 39
-1
99.2%
Daniel Richardson run for a loss of 1 yard to the FAMU 38Similar
Q1 11:05
3RD & 11
OWN 38
+5
99.2%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Koby Gross for 5 yds to the FAMU 43Similar
Q1 10:20
4TH & 6
OWN 43
0
99.2%
Trey Wilhoit punt for 57 yds , Ray Ray Joseph returns for no gain to the MIA 0Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 4TD
7 plays · 99 yds · 3:2399% → 99%
Q1 10:03
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+4
99.2%
Damien Martinez run for 4 yds to the MIA 5Similar
Q1 9:38
2ND & 6
OWN 5
+1
99.1%
Cam Ward pass complete to Jacolby George for 1 yd to the MIA 6Similar
Q1 9:03
3RD & 5
OWN 6
+15
99.1%
Cam Ward pass complete to Damien Martinez for 15 yds to the MIA 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-9
99.1%
Cam Ward sacked by Simion Hines for a loss of 9 yards to the MIA 12Similar
Q1 8:04
2ND & 19
OWN 12
+11
99.1%
Cam Ward pass complete to Samuel Brown for 11 yds to the MIA 23Similar
Q1 7:28
3RD & 8
OWN 23
+27
99.0%
Cam Ward pass complete to Riley Williams for 27 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:40
1ST & 10
50
+50
99.2%
Cam Ward pass complete to Xavier Restrepo for 50 yds for a TD (R. Williams Run For Two-point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAMUDrive 5FG
12 plays · 70 yds · 5:501% → 1%
Q1 6:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.1%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Karter Johnson for 1 yd to the FAMU 26Similar
Q1 5:56
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+29
99.1%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Quan Lee for 29 yds to the MIA 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:20
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-3
99.0%
Kelvin Dean run for a loss of 3 yards to the MIA 48Similar
Q1 4:37
2ND & 13
OPP 48
+34
99.0%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Jamari Gassett for 34 yds to the MIA 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:47
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+10
98.9%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Koby Gross for 10 yds to the MIA 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
98.8%
Thad Franklin Jr. run for 1 yd to the MIA 1Similar
Q1 2:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
98.7%
Karter Johnson run for no gain to the MIA 1Similar
Q1 1:38
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
-4
98.7%
Florida A&M Penalty, False Start (Thad Franklin Jr.) to the MIA 5Similar
Q1 1:37
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
98.9%
Thad Franklin Jr. run for no gain to the MIA 5Similar
Q1 0:49
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
98.7%
Cameron Gillis 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 6TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:5099% → 99%
Q1 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
98.9%
Mark Fletcher Jr. run for 1 yd to the MIA 26Similar
Q1 0:16
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
98.8%
Cam Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:13
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+33
98.8%
Cam Ward pass complete to Xavier Restrepo for 33 yds to the FAMU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:58
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+27
98.9%
Cam Ward pass complete to Isaiah Horton for 27 yds to the FAMU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:19
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+2
98.9%
Mark Fletcher Jr. run for 2 yds to the FAMU 12Similar
Q2 13:40
2ND & 8
OPP 12
+3
98.8%
Cam Ward pass complete to Chris Johnson Jr. for 3 yds to the FAMU 9Similar
Q2 12:58
3RD & 5
OPP 9
+9
99.1%
Cam Ward pass complete to Chris Johnson Jr. for 9 yds for a TD (Andres Borregales KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAMUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 2:121% → 1%
Q2 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.0%
Kelvin Dean run for no gain to the FAMU 25Similar
Q2 12:12
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-1
98.9%
Kelvin Dean run for a loss of 1 yard to the FAMU 24Similar
Q2 11:25
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+6
98.9%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Jamari Gassett for 6 yds to the FAMU 30Similar
Q2 10:44
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+15
98.9%
Trey Wilhoit punt for 48 yds , Ray Ray Joseph returns for 15 yds to the MIA 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 8FG
12 plays · 44 yds · 4:5199% → 99%
Q2 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
99.1%
Damien Martinez run for 7 yds to the MIA 44Similar
Q2 10:03
2ND & 3
OWN 44
+9
99.1%
Cam Ward pass complete to Samuel Brown for 9 yds to the FAMU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+8
99.1%
Damien Martinez run for 8 yds to the FAMU 39Similar
Q2 9:00
2ND & 2
OPP 39
+6
99.0%
Damien Martinez run for 6 yds to the FAMU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:31
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+17
99.1%
Cam Ward pass complete to Isaiah Horton for 17 yds to the FAMU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:56
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-5
99.0%
Chris Johnson Jr. run for a loss of 5 yards to the FAMU 21Similar
Q2 7:17
2ND & 15
OPP 21
+8
99.0%
Cam Ward run for 8 yds to the FAMU 13Similar
Q2 6:36
3RD & 7
OPP 13
+4
98.9%
Damien Martinez run for 4 yds to the FAMU 9Similar
Q2 6:02
4TH & 3
OPP 9
-10
98.9%
(06:02) WARD, Cameron pass to the left complete for 9 yards to HORTON, Isaiah caught at the FAM0 and advanced to the FAM0, TOUCHDOWN MIA, score nullified by penalty, clock 05:50 (Play was confirmed after review). PENALTY MIA Holding on BELL, Markel enforced 10 yards from the FAM9 to the FAM19 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 5:43
4TH & 13
OPP 19
+37
99.2%
Andres Borregales 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAMUDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · -10 yds · 1:301% → 1%
Q2 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 12
-5
99.3%
Daniel Richardson sacked by Justin Scott for a loss of 5 yards to the FAMU 7Similar
Q2 4:54
2ND & 15
OWN 7
0
99.3%
Daniel Richardson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:50
3RD & 15
OWN 7
-5
99.3%
Daniel Richardson sacked by Tyler Baron for a loss of 5 yards to the FAMU 2Similar
Q2 4:08
4TH & 20
OWN 2
0
99.3%
Trey Wilhoit punt for 18 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 10DOWNS
6 plays · 6 yds · 1:4799% → 99%
Q2 4:02
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+8
99.3%
Damien Martinez run for 8 yds to the FAMU 12Similar
Q2 3:24
2ND & 2
OPP 12
-6
99.3%
Miami Penalty, False Start (Matthew McCoy) to the FAMU 18Similar
Q2 3:05
2ND & 8
OPP 18
0
99.3%
Cam Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:56
3RD & 8
OPP 18
+4
99.3%
Cam Ward pass complete to Samuel Brown for 4 yds to the FAMU 14Similar
Q2 2:15
4TH & 4
OPP 14
0
99.2%
Cam Ward pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAMUDrive 11FG
15 plays · 67 yds · 2:071% → 2%
Q2 2:07
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+3
99.3%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Kelvin Dean for 3 yds to the FAMU 17Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 7
OWN 17
+5
99.3%
Miami Penalty, Delay Of Game (Francisco Mauigoa) to the FAMU 22Similar
Q2 1:59
2ND & 2
OWN 22
+3
99.2%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Quan Lee for 3 yds to the FAMU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-7
99.3%
Daniel Richardson sacked by Tyler Baron for a loss of 7 yards to the FAMU 18Similar
Q2 1:27
2ND & 17
OWN 18
+7
99.3%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Ashton Grable for 7 yds to the FAMU 25Similar
Q2 1:18
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+15
99.4%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Jamari Gassett for 15 yds Jamari Gassett fumbled, recovered by FAMU for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+15
99.3%
Miami Penalty, Roughing the Passer on HORTON, Josh enforced (Isaiah Horton) to the MIA 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:42
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
99.2%
Daniel Richardson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:37
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+8
99.3%
Daniel Richardson run for 8 yds to the MIA 35Similar
Q2 0:13
3RD & 2
OPP 35
+16
99.0%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Karter Johnson for 16 yds Karter Johnson fumbled, recovered by FAMU for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+36
98.3%
Cameron Gillis 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 12TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:2699% → 100%
Q3 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
98.9%
Cam Ward pass complete to Xavier Restrepo for 6 yds to the MIA 31Similar
Q3 14:33
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+9
99.0%
Cam Ward pass complete to Jacolby George for 9 yds to the MIA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+23
99.0%
Mark Fletcher Jr. run for 23 yds to the FAMU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:45
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+18
99.0%
Cam Ward pass complete to Jacolby George for 18 yds to the FAMU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:08
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+15
99.0%
Cam Ward pass complete to Xavier Restrepo for 15 yds to the FAMU 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
98.9%
Cam Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.7%
Mark Fletcher Jr. run for 4 yds for a TD (Andres Borregales KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAMUDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · -12 yds · 1:541% → 1%
Q3 12:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-6
99.5%
Daniel Richardson sacked by Elijah Alston for a loss of 6 yards to the FAMU 19Similar
Q3 11:55
2ND & 16
OWN 19
+1
99.4%
Thad Franklin Jr. run for 1 yd to the FAMU 20Similar
Q3 11:17
3RD & 15
OWN 20
-7
99.4%
Daniel Richardson sacked by Tyler Baron for a loss of 7 yards to the FAMU 13Similar
Q3 10:38
4TH & 22
OWN 13
+1
99.4%
Trey Wilhoit punt for 61 yds , Ray Ray Joseph returns for 1 yd to the MIA 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 14TD
5 plays · 73 yds · 1:10100% → 100%
Q3 10:24
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+13
99.7%
Cam Ward pass complete to Isaiah Horton for 13 yds to the MIA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:06
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+12
99.7%
Mark Fletcher Jr. run for 12 yds to the FAMU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:29
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
99.7%
(09:29) WARD, Cameron pass deep to the right incomplete intended for RESTREPO, Xavier thrown to the FAM3, clock 09:22. PENALTY FAM Personal Foul on HORNE, Aric declined FAM Pass Interference on HINES, Simion enforced 15 yards to the FAM33 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 9:14
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+33
99.9%
Damien Martinez run for 33 yds for a TD (Andres Borregales KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAMUDrive 15FG
8 plays · 43 yds · 1:430% → 0%
Q3 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+44
99.8%
Kelvin Dean run for 29 yds to the MIA 46 for a 1ST down Miami Penalty, Personal Foul (Ahmad Moten Sr.) to the MIA 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:49
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
99.8%
Junior Muratovic pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:43
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+4
99.8%
Kelvin Dean run for 4 yds to the MIA 27Similar
Q3 8:22
3RD & 6
OPP 27
0
99.8%
Junior Muratovic pass complete to Jamari Gassett for no gain to the MIA 27Similar
Q3 7:32
4TH & 6
OPP 27
-5
99.8%
(07:32) GILLIS, Cameron field goal attempt from 44 yards NO GOOD (left upright) [kick was spotted at MIA34], clock 07:30. PENALTY Before the snap, FAM False Start on PHILIPPE, Elijah enforced 5 yards from the MIA27 to the MIA32. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 7:32
4TH & 6
OPP 27
-5
99.8%
(07:32) GILLIS, Cameron field goal attempt from 44 yards NO GOOD (left upright) [kick was spotted at MIA34], clock 07:30. PENALTY Before the snap, FAM False Start on PHILIPPE, Elijah enforced 5 yards from the MIA27 to the MIA32. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 7:29
4TH & 11
OPP 32
+49
99.8%
Michael Smith 49 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 16TD
10 plays · 60 yds · 3:33100% → 100%
Q3 7:16
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+11
99.9%
Cam Ward pass complete to Samuel Brown for 11 yds to the FAMU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:45
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+9
99.9%
Cam Ward pass complete to Isaiah Horton for 9 yds to the FAMU 40Similar
Q3 6:04
2ND & 1
OPP 40
0
99.9%
Cam Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:58
3RD & 1
OPP 40
+6
99.9%
Damien Martinez run for 6 yds to the FAMU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:23
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+6
99.9%
Cam Ward run for 6 yds to the FAMU 28Similar
Q3 4:46
2ND & 4
OPP 28
+17
99.9%
(04:46) MARTINEZ, Damien rush up the middle for a gain of 1 yard to the FAM27 (COLLIER JR., Corey), clock 04:41. PENALTY FAM Personal Foul on TATE, Demorie enforced half the distance from the goal, 11 yards from the FAM22 to the FAM11 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 4:46
2ND & 4
OPP 28
+17
99.9%
(04:46) MARTINEZ, Damien rush up the middle for a gain of 1 yard to the FAM27 (COLLIER JR., Corey), clock 04:41. PENALTY FAM Personal Foul on TATE, Demorie enforced half the distance from the goal, 11 yards from the FAM22 to the FAM11 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 4:32
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
99.9%
Cam Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:27
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+3
99.9%
Damien Martinez run for 3 yds to the FAMU 8Similar
Q3 3:43
3RD & 7
OPP 8
+8
99.9%
Cam Ward run for 8 yds for a TD (Andres Borregales KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAMUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 1:030% → 0%
Q3 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-2
99.9%
Kelvin Dean run for a loss of 2 yards to the FAMU 16Similar
Q3 2:54
2ND & 12
OWN 16
0
99.9%
Junior Muratovic pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:50
3RD & 12
OWN 16
0
99.9%
Junior Muratovic pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:45
4TH & 12
OWN 16
+20
99.9%
Trey Wilhoit punt for 47 yds , Ray Ray Joseph returns for 20 yds to the FAMU 43Similar
Q3 2:32
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
99.9%
(02:32) LYLE, Jordan rush to the left for a gain of 3 yards to the FAM40 (BOHLER, Kendall), clock 02:27. PENALTY Before the snap, FAM Illegal Substitution enforced 5 yards from the FAM43 to the FAM38. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 18TD
8 plays · 43 yds · 3:09100% → 100%
Q3 2:32
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
99.9%
(02:32) LYLE, Jordan rush to the left for a gain of 3 yards to the FAM40 (BOHLER, Kendall), clock 02:27. PENALTY Before the snap, FAM Illegal Substitution enforced 5 yards from the FAM43 to the FAM38. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 2:16
1ST & 5
OPP 38
+9
99.9%
Reese Poffenbarger run for 9 yds to the FAMU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:42
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+3
99.9%
Jordan Lyle run for 3 yds to the FAMU 26Similar
Q3 1:01
2ND & 7
OPP 26
+4
99.9%
Reese Poffenbarger pass complete to Joshisa Trader for 4 yds to the FAMU 22Similar
Q3 0:21
3RD & 3
OPP 22
+8
99.9%
Reese Poffenbarger pass complete to Ny Carr for 8 yds to the FAMU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:59
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+13
99.9%
Jordan Lyle run for 13 yds to the FAMU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
Jordan Lyle run for 1 yd for a TD (Abram Murray KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAMUDrive 19INT
3 plays · 5 yds · 1:200% → 0%
Q4 14:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
100.0%
Dorian Collier run for 2 yds to the FAMU 27Similar
Q4 13:40
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+3
100.0%
Dorian Collier run for 3 yds to the FAMU 30Similar
Q4 13:02
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
100.0%
Junior Muratovic pass intercepted Junior Muratovic return for no gain to the FAMU 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 20DOWNS
4 plays · -4 yds · 1:46100% → 100%
Q4 12:58
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-1
100.0%
Reese Poffenbarger pass complete to Ray Ray Joseph for a loss of 1 yard to the FAMU 33Similar
Q4 12:22
2ND & 11
OPP 33
+3
100.0%
Ajay Allen run for 3 yds to the FAMU 30Similar
Q4 11:47
3RD & 8
OPP 30
+4
100.0%
Ajay Allen run for 4 yds to the FAMU 26Similar
Q4 11:12
4TH & 4
OPP 26
-9
99.9%
Reese Poffenbarger run for a loss of 9 yards to the FAMU 36 Reese Poffenbarger fumbled, recovered by MIA Reese PoffenbargerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAMUDrive 21PUNT
9 plays · 2 yds · 0:540% → 0%
Q4 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-5
100.0%
Florida A&M Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the FAMU 31Similar
Q4 11:03
1ST & 15
OWN 31
0
100.0%
Junior Muratovic pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:59
2ND & 15
OWN 31
+7
100.0%
Junior Muratovic pass complete to Jalon Howard for 7 yds to the FAMU 38Similar
Q4 10:59
2ND & 15
OWN 31
+7
100.0%
Junior Muratovic pass complete to Jalon Howard for 7 yds to the FAMU 38Similar
Q4 10:15
3RD & 8
OWN 38
0
100.0%
Junior Muratovic pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:15
3RD & 8
OWN 38
0
100.0%
Junior Muratovic pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:11
4TH & 8
OWN 38
0
100.0%
Trey Wilhoit punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Xavier Restrepo at the MIA 21Similar
Q4 10:11
4TH & 8
OWN 38
0
100.0%
Trey Wilhoit punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Xavier Restrepo at the MIA 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 22FG
25 plays · 58 yds · 8:03100% → 100%
Q4 10:03
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+9
100.0%
Jordan Lyle run for 9 yds to the MIA 30Similar
Q4 10:03
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+9
100.0%
Jordan Lyle run for 9 yds to the MIA 30Similar
Q4 9:23
2ND & 1
OWN 30
+10
100.0%
Jordan Lyle run for 10 yds to the MIA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:23
2ND & 1
OWN 30
+10
100.0%
Jordan Lyle run for 10 yds to the MIA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+11
100.0%
Reese Poffenbarger run for 11 yds to the FAMU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+11
100.0%
Reese Poffenbarger run for 11 yds to the FAMU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:09
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
100.0%
Reese Poffenbarger pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:09
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
100.0%
Reese Poffenbarger pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:02
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+3
100.0%
Reese Poffenbarger pass complete to Elija Lofton for 3 yds to the FAMU 46Similar
Q4 8:02
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+3
100.0%
Reese Poffenbarger pass complete to Elija Lofton for 3 yds to the FAMU 46Similar
Q4 7:26
3RD & 7
OPP 46
+9
100.0%
Reese Poffenbarger run for 9 yds to the FAMU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:26
3RD & 7
OPP 46
+9
100.0%
Reese Poffenbarger run for 9 yds to the FAMU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:54
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
100.0%
Jordan Lyle run for 4 yds to the FAMU 33Similar
Q4 6:54
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
100.0%
Jordan Lyle run for 4 yds to the FAMU 33Similar
Q4 6:17
2ND & 6
OPP 33
+6
100.0%
Reese Poffenbarger pass complete to Ray Ray Joseph for 6 yds to the FAMU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:44
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
100.0%
Ajay Allen run for 3 yds to the FAMU 24Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 7
OPP 24
+14
100.0%
Ajay Allen run for 14 yds to the FAMU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+1
100.0%
Ajay Allen run for 1 yd to the FAMU 9Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
-5
100.0%
Miami Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the FAMU 14Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 14
0
100.0%
Reese Poffenbarger pass complete to Elija Lofton for no gain to the FAMU 14Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 14
-7
100.0%
Reese Poffenbarger sacked by Tyrese Gibson-Battles and James Ash for a loss of 7 yards to the FAMU 21Similar
Q4 2:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 21
+38
100.0%
Abram Murray 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAMUDrive 23INT
6 plays · 26 yds · 1:260% → 0%
Q4 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
100.0%
Junior Muratovic pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:55
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+11
100.0%
Dorian Collier run for 11 yds to the FAMU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
100.0%
Junior Muratovic pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:26
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+8
100.0%
Dorian Collier run for 8 yds to the FAMU 44Similar
Q4 0:43
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+7
100.0%
Dorian Collier run for 7 yds to the MIA 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:33
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-25
100.0%
Junior Muratovic pass intercepted Adarius Hayes return for 25 yds to the FAMU 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 24END OF GAME
1 play · 7 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:24
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+7
100.0%
Chris Wheatley-Humphrey run for 7 yds to the FAMU 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 12:33
Mark Fletcher Jr. run for 4 yds for a TD (Andres Borregales KICK)
+0.8
FG · Q2 0:00
Cameron Gillis 36 yd FG GOOD
-0.7
FG · Q2 5:43
Andres Borregales 37 yd FG GOOD
+0.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com