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JXST

Jacksonville State 14 at Louisville 49

LOU
2024 · Week 2 · Sep 7, 2024 · L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium
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Win probability · LOU
modelLOU aheadJXST aheadconfidence bandkey playLOU scoreJXST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 9:43 · Tyler Shough pass complete to Duane Martin for 6 yds to the JVST 48 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+46.5+23.30−23.3−46.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 96Pregame prior+26.6Home team on offense+16.2Score differential+7.0Garbage-time factor+5.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.1Blowout margin−0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:24: Tyler Huff pass complete to Sean Brown for 11 yds for a TD (Garrison Rippa KICK) — JXST win probability +1.6 pts (now 7%) (top driver: JXST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 9:47: Maurice Turner run for 1 yd for a TD (Brock Travelstead KICK) — LOU win probability +1.6 pts (now 95%) (top driver: LOU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 2:37: Duane Martin run for 2 yds for a TD (Brock Travelstead KICK) — LOU win probability +2.9 pts (now 98%) (top driver: LOU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:36: Tyler Huff run for 15 yds for a TD (Garrison Rippa KICK) — JXST win probability +4.1 pts (now 7%) (top driver: JXST has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 8:58: Tyler Shough pass complete to Chris Bell for 48 yds for a TD (Brock Travelstead KICK) — LOU win probability +3.6 pts (now 98%) (top driver: LOU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
LOU made the numbers' call on 2 of 4JXST made the numbers' call on 9 of 10
  1. Q1 8:18JXST 4th & 6 at JXST 38, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.1%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:19LOU 4th & 6 at LOU 39, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.5%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.5%
    average punt
  3. Q2 6:24JXST 4th & 5 at LOU 20, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 6.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.9%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    6.0%
    75% to make
    Punt
    4.5%−1.5
    average punt
  4. Q3 13:29JXST 4th & 17 at JXST 35, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.3%−0.8
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.1%
    average punt
  5. Q3 9:43LOU 4th & 2 at LOU 46, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 94.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    94.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    94.2%−0.4
    average punt
  6. Q3 7:36JXST 4th & 12 at JXST 38, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.8%−0.3
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.1%
    average punt
  7. Q3 7:23JXST 4th & 12 at JXST 38, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.8%−0.3
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.1%
    average punt
  8. Q3 4:26LOU 4th & 4 at JXST 11, up 21
    Close callKicked a field goal · 97.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.7%
    45% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.6%−0.1
    87% to make
    Punt
    96.4%−1.3
    average punt
  9. Q3 3:22JXST 4th & 4 at JXST 26, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.8%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.8%
    average punt
  10. Q3 2:32LOU 4th & 5 at JXST 40, up 21
    Close callPunted · 98.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.5%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    98.3%−0.2
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    98.3%−0.2
    average punt
  11. Q3 1:06JXST 4th & 1 at JXST 29, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.2%−0.5
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:51JXST 4th & 7 at LOU 45, down 21
    Close callPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.2%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    0.9%−0.3
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 5:48JXST 4th & 14 at JXST 38, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  14. Q4 0:35JXST 4th & 6 at JXST 29, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
LOU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7JXST made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 10:29LOU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:57LOU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:24JXST Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    6.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    6.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 9:47LOU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 2:37LOU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:36JXST Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 8:58LOU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 7:43LOU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 1:50LOU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
LOUDrive 1TD
9 plays · 62 yds · 4:2396% → 96%
Q1 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
96.3%
Maurice Turner run for 3 yds to the LOU 41Similar
Q1 14:15
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+5
96.2%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Chris Bell for 5 yds to the LOU 46Similar
Q1 13:39
3RD & 2
OWN 46
+3
96.1%
Tyler Shough run for 3 yds to the LOU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
96.0%
Tyler Shough pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:53
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+8
96.0%
Donald Chaney run for 8 yds to the JVST 43Similar
Q1 12:13
3RD & 2
OPP 43
+8
95.9%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Chris Bell for 8 yds to the JVST 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:37
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
95.8%
Donald Chaney run for 3 yds to the JVST 32Similar
Q1 11:00
2ND & 7
OPP 32
+22
95.7%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Ja'Corey Brooks for 22 yds to the JVST 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
95.9%
Donald Chaney run for 10 yds for a TD (Brock Travelstead KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 2:034% → 5%
Q1 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
95.7%
Anwar Lewis run for 2 yds to the JVST 24Similar
Q1 10:01
2ND & 8
OWN 24
+10
95.7%
Tyler Huff pass complete to Michael Pettway for 10 yds to the JVST 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
95.6%
Anwar Lewis run for no gain to the JVST 34Similar
Q1 9:22
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+4
95.6%
Tyler Huff pass complete to Michael Pettway for 4 yds to the JVST 38Similar
Q1 8:58
3RD & 6
OWN 38
0
95.5%
Tyler Huff run for no gain to the JVST 38Similar
Q1 8:18
4TH & 6
OWN 38
0
95.5%
Jack Dawson punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 14 yds · 2:0596% → 95%
Q1 8:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
95.5%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Isaac Brown for 10 yds to the LOU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:47
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
95.4%
Isaac Brown run for 4 yds to the LOU 39Similar
Q1 7:09
2ND & 6
OWN 39
0
95.4%
Isaac Brown run for no gain to the LOU 39Similar
Q1 6:25
3RD & 6
OWN 39
0
95.2%
Tyler Shough pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:19
4TH & 6
OWN 39
0
95.1%
Brady Hodges punt for 33 yds, downed at the JVST 28Similar
Q1 6:09
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-10
95.1%
(06:09) STEWART, Tre rush to the left for a gain of 5 yards to the JSU33 (QUINN, T.J.), out of bounds, clock 06:05. PENALTY JSU Holding on BROWN, Sean enforced 10 yards from the JSU28 to the JSU18 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 4INT
3 plays · -7 yds · 0:235% → 5%
Q1 5:51
1ST & 20
OWN 18
+3
95.1%
Tyler Huff run for 3 yds to the JVST 21Similar
Q1 5:29
2ND & 17
OWN 21
0
95.1%
Tyler Huff pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:28
3RD & 17
OWN 21
0
95.1%
Tyler Huff pass intercepted Quincy Riley return for no gain to the LOU 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 5TD
3 plays · 52 yds · 1:2295% → 96%
Q1 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+27
95.2%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Ja'Corey Brooks for 27 yds to the JVST 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:40
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
95.2%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Nate Kurisky for 3 yds to the JVST 22Similar
Q1 3:57
2ND & 7
OPP 22
+22
95.9%
Keyjuan Brown run for 22 yds for a TD (Brock Travelstead KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 6TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 4:334% → 7%
Q1 3:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
95.6%
Tyler Huff pass complete to Michael Pettway for 8 yds to the JVST 33Similar
Q1 3:37
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+11
95.5%
Anwar Lewis run for 11 yds to the JVST 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-2
95.5%
Anwar Lewis run for a loss of 2 yards to the JVST 42Similar
Q1 2:54
2ND & 12
OWN 42
+13
95.5%
Tyler Huff pass complete to Demarcus Lacey for 13 yds to the LOU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:28
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
95.2%
Tyler Huff pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:51
2ND & 10
OPP 45
-1
95.2%
Tyler Huff pass complete to Brock Rechsteiner for a loss of 1 yard to the LOU 46Similar
Q1 1:22
3RD & 11
OPP 46
+10
95.3%
(01:22) HUFF, Tyler pass short to the right incomplete intended for RECHSTEINER, Brock broken up by THORNTON, Corey at the LOU41; QB hurried by KONGA, Rene, clock 01:17. PENALTY LOU Holding on QUINN, T.J. enforced 10 yards from the LOU46 to the LOU36 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 1:15
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-2
95.1%
Tyler Huff pass complete to Samario Rudolph for a loss of 2 yards to the LOU 38Similar
Q1 0:46
2ND & 12
OPP 38
+4
95.2%
Tyler Huff pass complete to P.J. Wells for 4 yds to the LOU 34Similar
Q1 0:15
3RD & 8
OPP 34
+19
95.0%
Tyler Huff run for 19 yds to the LOU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:58
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+4
94.8%
Tyler Huff run for 4 yds to the LOU 11Similar
Q2 14:24
2ND & 6
OPP 11
+11
93.2%
Tyler Huff pass complete to Sean Brown for 11 yds for a TD (Garrison Rippa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 7TD
10 plays · 70 yds · 4:3094% → 95%
Q2 14:17
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+19
94.0%
Maurice Turner run for 19 yds to the LOU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:36
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
94.1%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Ja'Corey Brooks for 4 yds to the JVST 47Similar
Q2 12:58
2ND & 6
OPP 47
+5
94.1%
Maurice Turner run for 5 yds to the JVST 42Similar
Q2 12:18
3RD & 1
OPP 42
+4
93.8%
Maurice Turner run for 4 yds to the JVST 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:42
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
93.9%
Tyler Shough pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:35
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+15
93.8%
(11:35) SHOUGH, Tyler pass deep to the right incomplete intended for BROOKS, Ja'Corey thrown to the JSU2, clock 11:28 (After review, play stands as called on the field). PENALTY JSU Pass Interference on LATIMER, Geimere enforced 15 yards to the JSU23 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 11:27
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+16
93.9%
Isaac Brown run for 16 yds to the JVST 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
93.7%
Tyler Shough pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
93.7%
Maurice Turner run for 6 yds to the JVST 1Similar
Q2 9:47
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
95.4%
Maurice Turner run for 1 yd for a TD (Brock Travelstead KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 8MISSED FG
10 plays · 55 yds · 3:275% → 5%
Q2 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
94.8%
Tyler Huff run for 3 yds to the JVST 28Similar
Q2 9:17
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+18
94.7%
Tyler Huff pass complete to Jordan McCants for 18 yds to the JVST 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
94.5%
Tre Stewart run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 8:32
2ND & 6
50
+4
94.4%
Tyler Huff run for 4 yds to the LOU 46Similar
Q2 7:50
3RD & 2
OPP 46
+21
94.4%
Tyler Huff run for 21 yds to the LOU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:24
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
94.0%
Tre Stewart run for 3 yds to the LOU 22Similar
Q2 6:57
2ND & 7
OPP 22
+2
93.9%
Tyler Huff run for 2 yds to the LOU 20Similar
Q2 6:32
3RD & 5
OPP 20
0
94.1%
Tyler Huff pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:24
4TH & 5
OPP 20
+38
94.4%
Garrison Rippa 38 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
Q2 6:18
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+15
94.8%
(06:18) SHOUGH, Tyler pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for BROOKS, Ja'Corey broken up by POYSER, Zechariah at the JSU30, clock 06:16. PENALTY JSU Pass Interference on POYSER, Zechariah enforced 15 yards to the LOU35 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 9TD
7 plays · 80 yds · 3:3795% → 98%
Q2 6:14
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+11
94.8%
Keyjuan Brown run for 11 yds to the LOU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+7
95.0%
Keyjuan Brown run for 7 yds to the JVST 47Similar
Q2 4:58
2ND & 3
OPP 47
+5
95.0%
Isaac Brown run for 5 yds to the JVST 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:12
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
94.9%
Tyler Shough pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:04
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+31
94.9%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Jadon Thompson for 31 yds to the JVST 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:21
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+9
95.0%
Isaac Brown run for 9 yds to the JVST 2Similar
Q2 2:37
2ND & 1
OPP 2
+2
97.9%
Duane Martin run for 2 yds for a TD (Brock Travelstead KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 10TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 1:583% → 7%
Q2 2:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
97.5%
Tyler Huff pass complete to Samario Rudolph for 17 yds to the JVST 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:14
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+10
97.4%
(02:14) HUFF, Tyler pass to the right complete for 9 yards to WELLS, PJ caught at the JSU48 and advanced to the LOU49 (RILEY, Quincy;NEAL, Devin), out of bounds, clock 02:12. PENALTY LOU Holding on NICHOLSON, Tahveon enforced 10 yards from the JSU42 to the LOU48 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+1
97.2%
Andrew Paul run for 1 yd to the LOU 47Similar
Q2 1:56
2ND & 9
OPP 47
+17
97.3%
Tyler Huff pass complete to Sean Brown for 17 yds to the LOU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:47
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+11
97.0%
Tyler Huff run for 11 yds to the LOU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:18
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-1
96.9%
Tyler Huff run for a loss of 1 yard to the LOU 20Similar
Q2 0:51
2ND & 11
OPP 20
-5
97.1%
Jacksonville State Penalty, False Start (Samario Rudolph) to the LOU 25Similar
Q2 0:47
2ND & 16
OPP 25
+10
97.0%
(00:47) HUFF, Tyler pass deep to the left intercepted by NEAL, Devin at the LOU5 intended for LACEY, Demarcus. Neal return for 7 yards to the LOU12; QB hurried by GREEN, Adonijah (PAUL, Andrew), clock 00:41. PENALTY LOU Holding on THORNTON, Corey enforced 10 yards from the LOU25 to the LOU15 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 0:36
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
92.9%
Tyler Huff run for 15 yds for a TD (Garrison Rippa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 11MISSED FG
8 plays · 32 yds · 0:2795% → 95%
Q2 0:27
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+11
94.8%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Jadon Thompson for 11 yds to the LOU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:21
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+18
94.8%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Ja'Corey Brooks for 18 yds to the JVST 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:14
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
95.6%
Tyler Shough run for 3 yds to the JVST 42Similar
Q2 0:06
2ND & 7
OPP 42
0
95.4%
Tyler Shough pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 7
OPP 42
+60
95.2%
Brock Travelstead 60 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 10 yds · 1:295% → 5%
Q3 14:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
94.6%
Tyler Huff pass complete to Demarcus Lacey for 17 yds to the JVST 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:32
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
94.2%
Anwar Lewis run for 2 yds to the JVST 44Similar
Q3 14:11
2ND & 8
OWN 44
0
94.1%
Tyler Huff pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:08
3RD & 8
OWN 44
-9
94.3%
Tyler Huff sacked by Tramel Logan for a loss of 9 yards to the JVST 35Similar
Q3 13:29
4TH & 17
OWN 35
0
94.7%
Jack Dawson punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Quincy Riley at the LOU 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 13TD
8 plays · 77 yds · 4:2595% → 98%
Q3 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+1
94.8%
Maurice Turner run for 1 yd to the LOU 24Similar
Q3 12:41
2ND & 9
OWN 24
+8
94.8%
Isaac Brown run for 8 yds to the LOU 32Similar
Q3 11:56
3RD & 1
OWN 32
+6
94.8%
Maurice Turner run for 6 yds to the LOU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:22
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
95.1%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Ahmari Huggins-Bruce for 6 yds to the LOU 44Similar
Q3 10:39
2ND & 4
OWN 44
0
95.1%
Tyler Shough pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:34
3RD & 4
OWN 44
+2
94.9%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Isaac Brown for 2 yds to the LOU 46Similar
Q3 9:43
4TH & 2
OWN 46
+6
94.7%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Duane Martin for 6 yds to the JVST 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:58
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+48
98.3%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Chris Bell for 48 yds for a TD (Brock Travelstead KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 1:302% → 2%
Q3 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
98.0%
Tyler Huff pass complete to Brock Rechsteiner for 15 yds to the JVST 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:32
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
98.0%
Tyler Huff run for 3 yds to the JVST 43Similar
Q3 8:08
2ND & 7
OWN 43
-10
98.0%
HUFF, Tyler pass to the right incomplete intended for VAUGHN, Cam thrown to the JSU49, clock 08:08. PENALTY JSU Holding on ARNOLD, K.D. enforced 10 yards from the JSU43 to the JSU33 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 8:06
2ND & 17
OWN 33
+5
98.1%
Tyler Huff run for 5 yds to the JVST 38Similar
Q3 7:43
3RD & 12
OWN 38
0
98.1%
Tyler Huff pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:36
4TH & 12
OWN 38
+38
98.1%
Jack Dawson punt for 38 yds , Quincy Riley returns for no gain to the LOU 26 , returns for no gain to the LOU 26Similar
Q3 7:23
4TH & 12
OWN 38
0
98.1%
Jack Dawson punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 15MISSED FG
7 plays · 64 yds · 2:5598% → 98%
Q3 7:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+24
98.2%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Keyjuan Brown for 24 yds to the LOU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:43
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
98.3%
Keyjuan Brown run for 5 yds to the JVST 46Similar
Q3 6:06
2ND & 5
OPP 46
+29
98.4%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Jamari Johnson for 29 yds to the JVST 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:26
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+6
98.4%
Keyjuan Brown run for 6 yds to the JVST 11Similar
Q3 4:39
2ND & 4
OPP 11
0
98.4%
Tyler Shough pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:35
3RD & 4
OPP 11
0
98.4%
Tyler Shough pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:26
4TH & 4
OPP 11
+28
97.8%
Brock Travelstead 28 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:002% → 2%
Q3 4:22
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
98.4%
Tyler Huff run for 4 yds to the JVST 24Similar
Q3 4:02
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+2
98.4%
Tre Stewart run for 2 yds to the JVST 26Similar
Q3 3:29
3RD & 4
OWN 26
0
98.4%
Tyler Huff pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:22
4TH & 4
OWN 26
+20
98.5%
Jack Dawson punt for 39 yds , Quincy Riley returns for 20 yds to the JVST 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:4199% → 99%
Q3 3:13
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
98.6%
Tyler Shough pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:08
2ND & 10
OPP 45
0
98.6%
Tyler Shough pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:59
3RD & 10
OPP 45
+5
98.6%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Ja'Corey Brooks for 5 yds to the JVST 40Similar
Q3 2:32
4TH & 5
OPP 40
0
98.5%
Carter Schwartz punt for 40 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 18PUNT
9 plays · 35 yds · 2:392% → 1%
Q3 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
98.5%
Tyler Huff pass complete to Michael Pettway for 8 yds to the JVST 28Similar
Q3 2:08
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+1
98.5%
Andrew Paul run for 1 yd to the JVST 29Similar
Q3 1:30
3RD & 1
OWN 29
0
98.6%
Tre Stewart run for no gain to the JVST 29Similar
Q3 1:06
4TH & 1
OWN 29
+2
98.7%
Tyler Huff run for 2 yds to the JVST 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+21
98.7%
Tyler Huff run for 21 yds to the LOU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:08
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
98.8%
Tyler Huff pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:07
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+3
98.8%
Tyler Huff pass complete to Cam Vaughn for 3 yds to the LOU 45Similar
Q4 14:57
3RD & 7
OPP 45
0
98.9%
Tyler Huff pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:51
4TH & 7
OPP 45
0
98.9%
Jack Dawson punt for 41 yds, downed at the LOU 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 19TD
12 plays · 96 yds · 6:5899% → 100%
Q4 14:41
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+7
98.9%
Maurice Turner run for 7 yds to the LOU 11Similar
Q4 14:05
2ND & 3
OWN 11
-1
99.0%
Maurice Turner run for a loss of 1 yard to the LOU 10Similar
Q4 13:19
3RD & 4
OWN 10
+14
99.0%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Nate Kurisky for 14 yds to the LOU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:47
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
99.1%
Maurice Turner run for 5 yds to the LOU 29Similar
Q4 11:48
2ND & 5
OWN 29
+4
99.1%
Maurice Turner run for 4 yds to the LOU 33Similar
Q4 11:05
3RD & 1
OWN 33
-10
99.1%
(11:05) TURNER, Maurice rush to the right for a gain of 10 yards to the LOU43 (MACK, Jabari), clock 11:01. PENALTY LOU Holding on REDMAN, Mark enforced 10 yards from the LOU33 to the LOU23 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 10:36
3RD & 11
OWN 23
+51
99.1%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Cataurus Hicks for 51 yds to the JVST 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:03
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
99.2%
Tyler Shough pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:56
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+6
99.2%
Isaac Brown run for 6 yds to the JVST 20Similar
Q4 9:12
3RD & 4
OPP 20
+13
99.2%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Ja'Corey Brooks for 13 yds to the JVST 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-5
99.2%
Isaac Brown run for a loss of 5 yards to the JVST 12Similar
Q4 7:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 12
+12
99.9%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Mark Redman for 12 yds for a TD (Brock Travelstead KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 13 yds · 1:520% → 0%
Q4 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.9%
Anwar Lewis run for 1 yd to the JVST 26Similar
Q4 7:16
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+16
99.9%
Tyler Huff pass complete to Pearson Baldwin for 16 yds to the JVST 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:44
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-6
99.9%
Tyler Huff sacked by Jared Dawson for a loss of 6 yards to the JVST 36Similar
Q4 6:30
2ND & 16
OWN 36
+2
99.9%
Tyler Huff pass complete to P.J. Wells for 2 yds to the JVST 38Similar
Q4 5:58
3RD & 14
OWN 38
0
99.9%
Tyler Huff pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:48
4TH & 14
OWN 38
0
99.9%
Jack Dawson punt for 41 yds, downed at the LOU 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 21TD
6 plays · 79 yds · 3:44100% → 100%
Q4 5:34
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
99.9%
Duke Watson run for 5 yds to the LOU 26Similar
Q4 4:54
2ND & 5
OWN 26
+3
99.9%
Duke Watson run for 3 yds to the LOU 29Similar
Q4 4:12
3RD & 2
OWN 29
+19
99.9%
Harrison Bailey pass complete to Izayah Cummings for 19 yds to the LOU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
99.9%
Duke Watson run for 3 yds to the JVST 49Similar
Q4 2:40
2ND & 7
OPP 49
+9
99.9%
Harrison Bailey pass complete to Izayah Cummings for 9 yds to the JVST 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:50
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+40
100.0%
Duke Watson run for 40 yds for a TD (Brock Travelstead KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:110% → 0%
Q4 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
100.0%
Mike Franklin run for 1 yd to the JVST 26Similar
Q4 1:16
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+3
100.0%
Zion Turner run for 3 yds to the JVST 29Similar
Q4 0:46
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
100.0%
Zion Turner pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:35
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+9
100.0%
Jack Dawson punt for 45 yds , Antonio Meeks returns for 9 yds to the LOU 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 23END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:26
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
100.0%
(00:26) Kneel down by LOU at LOU34 (team loss of 1), clock 00:18.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:36
Tyler Huff run for 15 yds for a TD (Garrison Rippa KICK)
-4.1
TD · Q3 8:58
Tyler Shough pass complete to Chris Bell for 48 yds for a TD (Brock Travelstead KICK)
+3.6
TD · Q2 2:37
Duane Martin run for 2 yds for a TD (Brock Travelstead KICK)
+2.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com