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2024 · Week 2 · Sep 7, 2024 · Alumni Stadium (Chestnut Hill, MA)
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Win probability · BC
modelBC aheadDUQ aheadconfidence bandkey playBC scoreDUQ score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of GameTD—BC 100.0%Jacobe Robinson run for 9 yds for a TD(Liam Connor KICK)AWAY 0 - HOME 56 · Q4 1:26
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 1:26 · Jacobe Robinson run for 9 yds for a TD (Liam Connor KICK)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+48.0+24.00−24.0−48.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 133Pregame prior+2.2Home team on offense+35.0Score differential+31.0Blowout margin+17.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+18.1Garbage-time factor+12.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 1:20: Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Reed Harris for 72 yds for a TD (Luca Lombardo KICK) — BC win probability +0.7 pts (now 97%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 13:28: Khari Johnson 45 Yd Interception Return (Luca Lombardo Kick) — BC win probability +1.3 pts (now 98%) (top driver: DUQ has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 7:59: Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Kamari Morales for 4 yds for a TD (Luca Lombardo KICK) — BC win probability +0.6 pts (now 99%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 5:31: Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Lewis Bond for 49 yds for a TD (Luca Lombardo KICK) — BC win probability +0.2 pts (now 99%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 0:51: Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Treshaun Ward for 30 yds for a TD (Luca Lombardo KICK) — BC win probability +0.2 pts (now 100%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BC made the numbers' call on 2 of 4DUQ made the numbers' call on 8 of 8
  1. Q1 13:00BC 4th & 4 at BC 27, tied
    Close callPunted · 97.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.2%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:34DUQ 4th & 10 at BC 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.0%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    3.0%−0.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    3.0%
    average punt
  3. Q2 11:30DUQ 4th & 12 at DUQ 33, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.0%−0.2
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.3%
    average punt
  4. Q2 6:19DUQ 4th & 10 at DUQ 25, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.3
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%
    average punt
  5. Q2 2:06DUQ 4th & 18 at DUQ 47, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−0.1
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  6. Q3 9:19DUQ 4th & 5 at BC 13, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.3%
    85% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−0.4
    average punt
  7. Q3 2:57DUQ 4th & 4 at DUQ 31, down 49
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  8. Q3 0:45BC 4th & 4 at DUQ 37, up 49
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.1
    40% to make
    Punt
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q4 11:38BC 4th & 3 at DUQ 7, up 49
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    46% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%−0.1
    91% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.5
    average punt
  10. Q4 7:42DUQ 4th & 6 at DUQ 24, down 49
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  11. Q4 5:26BC 4th & 2 at BC 35, up 49
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    100.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 3:37DUQ 4th & 12 at DUQ 24, down 49
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BC made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 8:40BC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:20BC Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 13:28BC Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 7:59BC Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 5:31BC Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:51BC Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 4:29BC Touchdown, up 48 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 1:26BC Touchdown, up 55 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BCDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:5598% → 98%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-1
98.0%
Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Lewis Bond for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 20Similar
Q1 14:19
2ND & 11
OWN 20
-1
98.0%
Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Lewis Bond for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 19Similar
Q1 13:44
3RD & 12
OWN 19
+8
97.9%
Thomas Castellanos run for 8 yds to the BC 27Similar
Q1 13:00
4TH & 4
OWN 27
0
97.8%
Sam Candotti punt for 20 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUQDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 11:222% → 5%
Q1 12:18
2ND & 7
OPP 39
+2
97.7%
JaMario Clements run for 2 yds to the BC 37Similar
Q1 11:38
3RD & 5
OPP 37
0
97.6%
Darius Perrantes pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:34
4TH & 5
OPP 37
-5
97.6%
Duquesne Penalty, Delay Of Game (Darius Perrantes) to the BC 42Similar
Q1 11:34
4TH & 10
OPP 42
0
97.6%
Kyle Romenick punt for 42 yds for a touchbackSimilar
Q1 0:56
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
95.2%
JaMario Clements run for 3 yds to the BC 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 3TD
7 plays · 80 yds · 2:4598% → 98%
Q1 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
97.6%
Kye Robichaux run for 2 yds to the BC 22Similar
Q1 10:53
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+30
97.5%
Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Jerand Bradley for 30 yds to the DUQ 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:25
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+15
97.5%
Duquesne Penalty, Block below the waist on DAVIS, Carnell enforced (Nell Davis) to the DUQ 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:13
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+2
97.5%
Kye Robichaux run for 2 yds to the DUQ 29Similar
Q1 9:33
2ND & 8
OPP 29
0
97.4%
Thomas Castellanos pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:28
3RD & 8
OPP 29
+26
97.4%
Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Lewis Bond for 26 yds to the DUQ 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
97.5%
Treshaun Ward run for 3 yds for a TD (Luca Lombardo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUQDrive 4PUNT
10 plays · 28 yds · 4:393% → 3%
Q1 8:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
97.4%
Darius Perrantes pass complete to Jermaine Johnson for 1 yd to the DUQ 26Similar
Q1 8:01
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+4
97.4%
JaMario Clements run for 4 yds to the DUQ 30Similar
Q1 7:22
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
97.3%
Darius Perrantes run for no gain to the DUQ 30Similar
Q1 6:48
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+5
97.3%
(06:48) ROMENICK, Kyle punt 38 yards to the BOS32, fair catch by MCGOWAN, Jayden, clock 06:46. PENALTY BOS Running Into the kicker on MCGOWAN, Owen enforced 5 yards from the DUQ30 to the DUQ35 and results in a 1ST DOWN [FAKE PUNT]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 6:41
4TH & 0
OWN 35
+5
97.2%
JaMario Clements run for 5 yds to the DUQ 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:06
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
97.1%
JaMario Clements run for 6 yds to the DUQ 46Similar
Q1 5:28
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+6
97.0%
Darius Perrantes pass complete to Jermaine Johnson for 6 yds to the BC 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:51
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+1
96.8%
JaMario Clements run for 1 yd to the BC 47Similar
Q1 4:08
2ND & 9
OPP 47
0
96.7%
Darius Perrantes pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:59
3RD & 9
OPP 47
0
96.8%
Michael Berarducci punt for 41 yds, downed at the BC 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 5TD
5 plays · 94 yds · 2:2997% → 97%
Q1 3:49
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+7
96.8%
Treshaun Ward run for 7 yds to the BC 13Similar
Q1 3:18
2ND & 3
OWN 13
+2
96.8%
Treshaun Ward run for 2 yds to the BC 15Similar
Q1 2:40
3RD & 1
OWN 15
+11
96.6%
Kye Robichaux run for 11 yds to the BC 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
96.6%
Treshaun Ward run for 2 yds to the BC 28Similar
Q1 1:20
2ND & 8
OWN 28
+72
97.3%
Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Reed Harris for 72 yds for a TD (Luca Lombardo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUQDrive 6INT TD
6 plays · 23 yds · 2:463% → 2%
Q1 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
97.1%
Darius Perrantes pass complete to Shawn Solomon Jr. for 3 yds to the DUQ 23Similar
Q1 0:56
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+15
97.1%
Darius Perrantes pass complete to Tedy Afful for 15 yds to the DUQ 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
96.9%
PERRANTES, Darius pass deep to the right incomplete intended for AFFUL, Tedy broken up by JACKSON, Amari at the BOS30, clock 00:00. PENALTY BOS Offsides on EZEIRUAKU, Donovan enforced 5 yards from the DUQ38 to the DUQ43 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 5
OWN 43
0
96.9%
Shawn Solomon Jr. run for no gain to the DUQ 43Similar
Q2 14:23
2ND & 5
OWN 43
0
96.8%
Darius Perrantes pass complete to Tedy Afful for no gain to the DUQ 43Similar
Q2 13:28
3RD & 5
OWN 43
-45
98.1%
Khari Johnson 45 Yd Interception Return (Luca Lombardo Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUQDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 8 yds · 1:572% → 2%
Q2 13:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
98.1%
JaMario Clements run for 6 yds to the DUQ 31Similar
Q2 12:39
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+4
98.1%
JaMario Clements run for 4 yds to the DUQ 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:26
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-2
98.0%
JaMario Clements run for a loss of 2 yards to the DUQ 33Similar
Q2 11:40
2ND & 12
OWN 33
0
98.1%
Darius Perrantes pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:39
3RD & 12
OWN 33
0
98.1%
Darius Perrantes pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:30
4TH & 12
OWN 33
+12
98.1%
Kyle Romenick punt for 41 yds , Jayden McGowan returns for 12 yds to the BC 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 8TD
7 plays · 62 yds · 3:2498% → 99%
Q2 11:23
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
98.3%
Treshaun Ward run for 3 yds to the BC 41Similar
Q2 10:47
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+25
98.3%
Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Lewis Bond for 25 yds to the DUQ 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:20
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
98.3%
Treshaun Ward run for 5 yds to the DUQ 29Similar
Q2 9:39
2ND & 5
OPP 29
+19
98.5%
Turbo Richard run for 19 yds to the DUQ 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
98.5%
Turbo Richard run for 3 yds to the DUQ 7Similar
Q2 8:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
98.4%
Kye Robichaux run for 3 yds to the DUQ 4Similar
Q2 7:59
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.1%
Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Kamari Morales for 4 yds for a TD (Luca Lombardo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUQDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:391% → 1%
Q2 7:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.2%
Shawn Solomon Jr. run for 2 yds to the DUQ 27Similar
Q2 7:13
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-2
99.2%
Shawn Solomon Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the DUQ 25Similar
Q2 6:28
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
99.3%
Darius Perrantes pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:19
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+7
99.3%
Kyle Romenick punt for 35 yds , Jayden McGowan returns for 7 yds to the BC 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 10TD
2 plays · 53 yds · 0:4199% → 99%
Q2 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
99.2%
Datrell Jones run for 4 yds to the DUQ 49Similar
Q2 5:31
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+49
99.4%
Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Lewis Bond for 49 yds for a TD (Luca Lombardo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUQDrive 11PUNT
8 plays · 22 yds · 3:231% → 0%
Q2 5:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.5%
Darius Perrantes pass complete to Jermaine Johnson for 4 yds to the DUQ 29Similar
Q2 5:11
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+16
99.5%
JaMario Clements run for 16 yds to the DUQ 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:38
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
99.5%
Shawn Solomon Jr. run for no gain to the DUQ 45Similar
Q2 3:57
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+10
99.5%
Darius Perrantes pass complete to Tedy Afful for 10 yds to the BC 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:11
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
99.5%
Shawn Solomon Jr. run for 2 yds to the BC 43Similar
Q2 2:24
2ND & 8
OPP 43
0
99.5%
Darius Perrantes pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:21
3RD & 8
OPP 43
0
99.6%
Duquesne Penalty, turnover on downs. PENALTY Intentional Grounding on PERRANTES, Darius enforced a result of a (Yards) to the DUQ 48Similar
Q2 2:06
4TH & 18
OWN 47
+4
99.6%
Kyle Romenick punt for 42 yds , Jayden McGowan returns for 4 yds to the BC 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 12TD
5 plays · 85 yds · 1:09100% → 100%
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+7
99.5%
Kye Robichaux run for 7 yds to the BC 22Similar
Q2 1:58
2ND & 3
OWN 22
+27
99.5%
Treshaun Ward run for 27 yds to the BC 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+15
99.5%
(01:38) CASTELLANOS, Thomas pass deep to the right incomplete intended for MCGOWAN, Jayden thrown to the DUQ15, clock 01:36. PENALTY DUQ Pass Interference on JONES, T.J. enforced 15 yards to the DUQ36 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 1:35
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+6
99.5%
Treshaun Ward run for 6 yds to the DUQ 30Similar
Q2 0:51
2ND & 4
OPP 30
+30
99.7%
Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Treshaun Ward for 30 yds for a TD (Luca Lombardo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUQDrive 13END OF HALF
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:410% → 0%
Q2 0:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.6%
Shawn Solomon Jr. run for 2 yds to the DUQ 27Similar
Q2 0:06
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-2
99.6%
(00:06) [NH] Kneel down by PERRANTES, Darius at DUQ25 (team loss of 2).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUQDrive 14INT
3 plays · -3 yds · 0:560% → 0%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
99.7%
Shawn Solomon Jr. run for a loss of 3 yards to the DUQ 22Similar
Q3 14:13
2ND & 13
OWN 22
-1
99.7%
Darius Perrantes pass intercepted Jalen Cheek return for 1 yd to the DUQ 44Similar
Q3 14:04
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-10
99.7%
(14:04) JONES, Datrell rush to the left for a gain of 9 yards to the DUQ35 (BARNES, CJ), clock 14:00. PENALTY BOS Holding on CLINE, Kevin enforced 10 yards from the DUQ44 to the BOS46 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 15FUMBLE
3 plays · -3 yds · 1:13100% → 100%
Q3 13:45
1ST & 20
OWN 46
+3
99.7%
Datrell Jones run for 3 yds to the BC 49Similar
Q3 13:11
2ND & 17
OWN 49
+2
99.7%
Jacobe Robinson run for 2 yds to the DUQ 49Similar
Q3 12:32
3RD & 15
OPP 49
-2
99.7%
Jacobe Robinson sacked for a loss of 2 yards to the DUQ 47 Jacobe Robinson fumbled, recovered by DUQ Kevin Kurzinger , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUQDrive 16MISSED FG
8 plays · 40 yds · 3:060% → 0%
Q3 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
99.7%
Darius Perrantes pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:16
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+11
99.7%
Shawn Solomon Jr. run for 11 yds to the BC 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:36
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
99.7%
Shawn Solomon Jr. run for 1 yd to the BC 41Similar
Q3 11:05
2ND & 9
OPP 41
+23
99.8%
Darius Perrantes pass complete to Tedy Afful for 23 yds to the BC 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:32
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
99.8%
Shawn Solomon Jr. run for no gain to the BC 18Similar
Q3 9:54
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+5
99.8%
Shawn Solomon Jr. run for 5 yds to the BC 13Similar
Q3 9:30
3RD & 5
OPP 13
0
99.8%
Darius Perrantes pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:19
4TH & 5
OPP 13
+31
99.7%
Brian Bruzdewicz 31 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 17TD
9 plays · 80 yds · 4:41100% → 100%
Q3 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
99.8%
Turbo Richard run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 19Similar
Q3 8:32
2ND & 11
OWN 19
-2
99.8%
Jacobe Robinson run for a loss of 2 yards to the BC 27 Jacobe Robinson fumbled, recovered by BC Jacobe Robinson J. Robinson return for 10 ydsSimilar
Q3 7:52
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+3
99.8%
Turbo Richard run for 3 yds to the BC 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:27
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
99.8%
Turbo Richard run for 1 yd to the BC 31Similar
Q3 6:54
2ND & 9
OWN 31
+8
99.8%
Turbo Richard run for 8 yds to the BC 39Similar
Q3 6:19
3RD & 1
OWN 39
+3
99.8%
Turbo Richard run for 3 yds to the BC 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+11
99.8%
Datrell Jones run for 11 yds to the DUQ 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:14
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
99.8%
Datrell Jones run for no gain to the DUQ 47Similar
Q3 4:29
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+47
99.9%
Datrell Jones run for 47 yds for a TD (Liam Connor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUQDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:220% → 0%
Q3 4:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.9%
Jordan Heisey run for 1 yd to the DUQ 26Similar
Q3 3:44
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+5
99.9%
Jordan Heisey pass complete to Khiryn Boyd for 5 yds to the DUQ 31Similar
Q3 3:03
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
99.9%
Jordan Heisey pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:57
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+15
99.9%
Kyle Romenick punt for 41 yds , Turbo Richard returns for 15 yds to the BC 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 19DOWNS
13 plays · 50 yds · 6:11100% → 100%
Q3 2:49
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+14
99.9%
Turbo Richard run for 14 yds to the DUQ 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:22
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
99.9%
Turbo Richard run for 4 yds to the DUQ 39Similar
Q3 1:50
2ND & 6
OPP 39
+4
99.9%
Turbo Richard run for 4 yds to the DUQ 35Similar
Q3 1:18
3RD & 2
OPP 35
-2
99.9%
Turbo Richard run for a loss of 2 yards to the DUQ 37Similar
Q3 0:45
4TH & 4
OPP 37
+12
99.9%
Jacobe Robinson pass complete to Luke McLaughlin for 12 yds to the DUQ 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:58
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+6
99.9%
Turbo Richard run for 6 yds to the DUQ 19Similar
Q4 14:30
2ND & 4
OPP 19
+5
99.9%
Turbo Richard run for 5 yds to the DUQ 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:51
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-10
99.9%
(13:51) RICHARD, Turbo rush up the middle for a gain of 4 yards to the DUQ10 (LENZ, Connor;CARSON, Jaelen), clock 13:47. PENALTY BOS Holding on DAUGHERTY, Eryx enforced 10 yards from the DUQ14 to the DUQ24 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 13:29
1ST & 20
OPP 24
+1
99.9%
Jacobe Robinson run for 1 yd to the DUQ 23Similar
Q4 13:00
2ND & 19
OPP 23
+5
99.9%
Jordan McDonald run for 5 yds to the DUQ 18Similar
Q4 12:16
3RD & 14
OPP 18
+11
99.9%
Jacobe Robinson pass complete to Matt Ragan for 11 yds to the DUQ 7Similar
Q4 11:38
4TH & 3
OPP 7
0
99.9%
Jacobe Robinson pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUQDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 3:500% → 0%
Q4 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+4
100.0%
Caleb Jones run for 4 yds to the DUQ 11Similar
Q4 10:53
2ND & 6
OWN 11
+1
100.0%
Caleb Jones run for 1 yd to the DUQ 12Similar
Q4 10:01
3RD & 5
OWN 12
+8
100.0%
Jordan Heisey pass complete to Daniel Tarabrella for 8 yds to the DUQ 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
100.0%
Caleb Jones run for 4 yds to the DUQ 24Similar
Q4 8:35
2ND & 6
OWN 24
0
100.0%
Caleb Jones run for no gain to the DUQ 24Similar
Q4 7:46
3RD & 6
OWN 24
0
100.0%
Jordan Heisey pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:42
4TH & 6
OWN 24
0
100.0%
Kyle Romenick punt for 49 yds, downed at the BC 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 2:04100% → 100%
Q4 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
100.0%
Turbo Richard run for no gain to the BC 27Similar
Q4 6:57
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+7
100.0%
Turbo Richard run for 7 yds to the BC 34Similar
Q4 6:15
3RD & 3
OWN 34
+1
100.0%
Jacobe Robinson run for 1 yd to the BC 35Similar
Q4 5:26
4TH & 2
OWN 35
0
100.0%
Sam Candotti punt for 39 yds, downed at the DUQ 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUQDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 1:280% → 0%
Q4 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-2
100.0%
Anthony Bonner run for a loss of 2 yards to the DUQ 24Similar
Q4 4:36
2ND & 12
OWN 24
0
100.0%
Anthony Bonner run for no gain to the DUQ 24Similar
Q4 3:51
3RD & 12
OWN 24
0
100.0%
Xavier Rice pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:37
4TH & 12
OWN 24
+6
100.0%
Michael Berarducci punt for 40 yds , Isaiah Farris returns for 6 yds to the BC 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 23TD
5 plays · 58 yds · 2:05100% → 100%
Q4 3:31
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+25
100.0%
Jordan McDonald run for 25 yds to the DUQ 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:57
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+12
100.0%
Jordan McDonald run for 12 yds to the DUQ 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:22
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+4
100.0%
Jordan McDonald run for 4 yds to the DUQ 17Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 6
OPP 17
+8
100.0%
Jordan McDonald run for 8 yds to the DUQ 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
100.0%
Jacobe Robinson run for 9 yds for a TD (Liam Connor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUQDrive 24END OF GAME
3 plays · 1 yds · 1:160% → 0%
Q4 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
100.0%
Anthony Bonner run for no gain to the DUQ 19Similar
Q4 0:50
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+2
100.0%
Anthony Bonner run for 2 yds to the DUQ 21Similar
Q4 0:12
3RD & 8
OWN 21
-1
100.0%
Anthony Bonner run for a loss of 1 yard to the DUQ 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 13:28
Khari Johnson 45 Yd Interception Return (Luca Lombardo Kick)
+1.3
TD · Q1 1:20
Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Reed Harris for 72 yds for a TD (Luca Lombardo KICK)
+0.7
TD · Q2 7:59
Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Kamari Morales for 4 yds for a TD (Luca Lombardo KICK)
+0.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com