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CONN

UConn 24 at Syracuse 31

SYR
2024 · Week 13 · Nov 23, 2024 · JMA Wireless Dome
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Win probability · SYR
modelSYR aheadCONN aheadconfidence bandkey playSYR scoreCONN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 13:37 · Connor Stutz punt for 40 yds, fair catch by LeQuint Allen at the SYR 30
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+28.0+14.00−14.0−28.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 89Pregame prior+13.8Home team on offense+6.1Garbage-time factor−0.6Score differential+1.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+1.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:55: Kyle McCord pass complete to Trebor Pena for 5 yds for a TD (Jackson Kennedy KICK) — SYR win probability +3.5 pts (now 79%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 3:17: LeQuint Allen run for 1 yd for a TD (Jackson Kennedy KICK) — SYR win probability +4.6 pts (now 85%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:32: Joe Fagnano pass complete to Louis Hansen for 5 yds for a TD (Chris Freeman KICK) — CONN win probability +10.2 pts (now 27%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 10:09: Kyle McCord run for 1 yd for a TD (Jackson Kennedy KICK) — SYR win probability +7.8 pts (now 96%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:29: Joe Fagnano pass complete to TJ Sheffield for 2 yds for a TD (Chris Freeman KICK) — CONN win probability +14.5 pts (now 18%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SYR made the numbers' call on 8 of 8CONN made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 12:50CONN 4th & 4 at CONN 31, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.5%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:18SYR 4th & 11 at CONN 16, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 75.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.6%−0.2
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    75.8%
    81% to make
    Punt
    74.7%−1.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:41CONN 4th & 1 at CONN 29, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 23.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    24.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    23.8%−0.3
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:31CONN 4th & 4 at CONN 31, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.9%−0.3
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:07SYR 4th & 8 at CONN 46, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.9%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    75.3%−0.7
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    76.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:32CONN 4th & 9 at CONN 22, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.0%−0.9
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:32SYR 4th & 1 at CONN 29, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 76.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    76.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    75.7%−1.2
    58% to make
    Punt
    73.3%−3.7
    average punt
  8. Q3 13:37CONN 4th & 5 at CONN 30, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.6%−0.5
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.1%
    average punt
  9. Q3 13:37SYR 4th & 1 at SYR 39, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 77.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    78.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    76.3%−1.9
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:37SYR 4th & 5 at CONN 44, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 79.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    80.2%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    78.7%−1.4
    27% to make
    Punt
    79.9%−0.3
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:35CONN 4th & 17 at CONN 33, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.4%−3.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.6%
    average punt
  12. Q3 4:35SYR 4th & 5 at CONN 5, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 81.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.4%−0.2
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    80.6%
    92% to make
    Punt
    72.5%−8.1
    average punt
  13. Q3 3:39CONN 4th & 10 at SYR 40, down 10
    Close callPunted · 16.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.7%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    15.4%−0.4
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    15.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  14. Q3 2:44SYR 4th & 9 at SYR 5, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.7%−2.5
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.2%
    average punt
  15. Q3 0:05CONN 4th & 11 at SYR 24, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 14.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.7%−1.3
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    14.0%
    68% to make
    Punt
    7.9%−6.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 6:10CONN 4th & 2 at SYR 47, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.4%−1.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 4:23SYR 4th & 20 at SYR 37, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.5%−1.2
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.7%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SYR made the numbers' call on 3 of 4CONN made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 14:10SYR Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:41CONN Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    26.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    26.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:55SYR Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 3:17SYR Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:32CONN Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    21.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    21.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 10:09SYR Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.3%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.5%
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 1:29CONN Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SYRDrive 1TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:5078% → 78%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+53
77.7%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Darrell Gill Jr. for 53 yds to the CONN 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:10
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
77.8%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Oronde Gadsden II for 22 yds for a TD (Jackson Kennedy KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:2022% → 22%
Q1 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
77.7%
Durell Robinson run for 2 yds to the CONN 27Similar
Q1 14:10
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+4
77.7%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to TJ Sheffield for 4 yds to the CONN 31Similar
Q1 14:10
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
77.7%
Joe Fagnano pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:50
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+7
77.8%
Connor Stutz punt for 46 yds , Trebor Pena returns for 7 yds to the SYR 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 3MISSED FG
10 plays · 54 yds · 5:3278% → 78%
Q1 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+10
77.8%
LeQuint Allen run for 10 yds to the SYR 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
77.9%
LeQuint Allen run for 1 yd to the SYR 41Similar
Q1 12:50
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+2
77.9%
Kyle McCord pass complete to LeQuint Allen for 2 yds to the SYR 43Similar
Q1 12:50
3RD & 7
OWN 43
+19
77.8%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Jackson Meeks for 19 yds to the CONN 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+23
78.0%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Jackson Meeks for 23 yds to the CONN 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
78.0%
Dan Villari run for 2 yds to the CONN 13Similar
Q1 12:50
2ND & 8
OPP 13
+4
78.0%
LeQuint Allen run for 4 yds to the CONN 9Similar
Q1 12:50
3RD & 4
OPP 9
-15
77.9%
Syracuse Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (-15 Yards) to the CONN 24Similar
Q1 12:50
3RD & 19
OPP 24
+8
77.8%
Kyle McCord run for 8 yds to the CONN 16Similar
Q1 7:18
4TH & 11
OPP 16
+36
78.0%
Jackson Kennedy 36 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 4TD
4 plays · 80 yds · 1:3722% → 25%
Q1 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
77.9%
Mel Brown run for no gain to the CONN 20Similar
Q1 7:18
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
77.9%
Joe Fagnano pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:18
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+9
78.2%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Skyler Bell for 9 yds to the CONN 29Similar
Q1 5:41
4TH & 1
OWN 29
+71
75.5%
Cam Edwards run for 71 yds for a TD (Chris Freeman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 5TD
12 plays · 77 yds · 5:4075% → 79%
Q1 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+15
75.2%
Kyle McCord pass complete to LeQuint Allen for 15 yds to the SYR 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
75.6%
LeQuint Allen run for 5 yds to the SYR 43Similar
Q1 5:35
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+4
75.9%
LeQuint Allen run for 4 yds to the SYR 47Similar
Q1 5:35
3RD & 1
OWN 47
+1
75.7%
Kyle McCord run for 1 yd to the SYR 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+11
75.9%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Darrell Gill Jr. for 11 yds to the CONN 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:35
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
76.1%
Yasin Willis run for no gain to the CONN 41Similar
Q1 5:35
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+7
76.0%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Darrell Gill Jr. for 7 yds to the CONN 34Similar
Q1 5:35
3RD & 3
OPP 34
+14
75.9%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Darrell Gill Jr. for 14 yds to the CONN 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:35
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-1
76.2%
LeQuint Allen run for a loss of 1 yard to the CONN 21Similar
Q1 5:35
2ND & 11
OPP 21
+16
76.2%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Oronde Gadsden II for 16 yds to the CONN 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
75.4%
LeQuint Allen run for no gain to the CONN 5Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
78.9%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Trebor Pena for 5 yds for a TD (Jackson Kennedy KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:2422% → 22%
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
77.6%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to TJ Sheffield for 4 yds to the CONN 29Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+2
77.3%
Cam Edwards run for 2 yds to the CONN 31Similar
Q2 14:55
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
77.6%
Joe Fagnano pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:31
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
78.0%
Connor Stutz punt for 69 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 34 yds · 1:2478% → 78%
Q2 13:31
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+32
77.9%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Justus Ross-Simmons for 32 yds to the CONN 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:31
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
78.9%
LeQuint Allen run for 2 yds to the CONN 46Similar
Q2 13:31
2ND & 8
OPP 46
0
78.9%
Kyle McCord pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:31
3RD & 8
OPP 46
0
78.4%
Kyle McCord pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:07
4TH & 8
OPP 46
0
77.5%
Jack Stonehouse punt for 41 yds, downed at the CONN 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 2:3522% → 21%
Q2 12:07
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+1
77.8%
Cam Edwards run for 1 yd to the CONN 6Similar
Q2 12:07
2ND & 9
OWN 6
0
77.9%
Joe Fagnano pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:07
3RD & 9
OWN 6
+15
78.3%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to TJ Sheffield for 15 yds to the CONN 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:07
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
77.5%
Joe Fagnano pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:07
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+1
77.6%
Mel Brown run for 1 yd to the CONN 22Similar
Q2 12:07
3RD & 9
OWN 22
0
78.1%
Joe Fagnano pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:32
4TH & 9
OWN 22
+7
78.8%
Connor Stutz punt for 53 yds , Trebor Pena returns for 7 yds to the SYR 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 9TD
17 plays · 68 yds · 6:1578% → 85%
Q2 9:32
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+10
78.3%
LeQuint Allen run for 10 yds to the SYR 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:32
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
79.1%
LeQuint Allen run for 3 yds to the SYR 45Similar
Q2 9:32
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+2
79.2%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Jaden Hart for 2 yds to the SYR 47Similar
Q2 9:32
3RD & 5
OWN 47
+15
78.7%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Oronde Gadsden II for 15 yds to the CONN 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:32
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-15
79.4%
Syracuse Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the SYR 47Similar
Q2 9:32
1ST & 25
OWN 47
+18
78.6%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Jackson Meeks for 18 yds to the CONN 35Similar
Q2 9:32
2ND & 7
OPP 35
0
79.5%
Kyle McCord pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:32
3RD & 7
OPP 35
+6
79.0%
Kyle McCord pass complete to LeQuint Allen for 6 yds to the CONN 29Similar
Q2 9:32
4TH & 1
OPP 29
+1
78.4%
Kyle McCord run for 1 yd to the CONN 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:32
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+11
79.5%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Jackson Meeks for 11 yds to the CONN 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:32
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-5
79.5%
Syracuse Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the CONN 22Similar
Q2 9:32
1ST & 15
OPP 22
0
79.4%
Kyle McCord pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:24
2ND & 15
OPP 22
0
80.2%
Kyle McCord pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:23
3RD & 15
OPP 22
+19
78.8%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Darrell Gill Jr. for 19 yds to the CONN 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
80.3%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Trebor Pena for 2 yds to the CONN 1Similar
Q2 3:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
84.9%
LeQuint Allen run for 1 yd for a TD (Jackson Kennedy KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 10TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 2:4517% → 27%
Q2 3:17
1ST & 18
OWN 17
+7
83.5%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Skyler Bell for 7 yds to the CONN 24Similar
Q2 3:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
83.4%
UConn Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the CONN 17Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+10
84.3%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Durell Robinson for 10 yds to the CONN 34Similar
Q2 2:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
83.7%
Durell Robinson run for 2 yds to the CONN 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+30
83.6%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Skyler Bell for 30 yds to the SYR 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+15
81.5%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Skyler Bell for 15 yds to the SYR 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
81.1%
Joe Fagnano pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:40
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+2
82.2%
Cam Edwards run for 2 yds to the SYR 17Similar
Q2 0:40
3RD & 8
OPP 17
+12
82.8%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Skyler Bell for 12 yds to the SYR 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
72.6%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Louis Hansen for 5 yds for a TD (Chris Freeman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 11MISSED FG
8 plays · 41 yds · 0:3280% → 80%
Q2 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
79.6%
Kyle McCord pass complete to LeQuint Allen for 3 yds to the SYR 28Similar
Q2 0:32
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+8
79.4%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Oronde Gadsden II for 8 yds to the SYR 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:08
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+23
79.8%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Darrell Gill Jr. for 23 yds to the CONN 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:08
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
81.0%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Oronde Gadsden II for 4 yds to the CONN 37Similar
Q2 0:02
2ND & 6
OPP 37
+3
80.8%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Oronde Gadsden II for 3 yds to the CONN 34Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 3
OPP 34
+52
80.3%
Jackson Kennedy 52 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:2322% → 21%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
78.1%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to TJ Sheffield for 3 yds to the CONN 28Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+2
77.8%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to TJ Sheffield for 2 yds to the CONN 30Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
78.2%
Joe Fagnano pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:37
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
79.5%
Connor Stutz punt for 40 yds, fair catch by LeQuint Allen at the SYR 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 13DOWNS
8 plays · 30 yds · 4:0079% → 81%
Q3 13:37
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
79.1%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Jackson Meeks for 5 yds to the SYR 35Similar
Q3 13:37
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+4
79.8%
LeQuint Allen run for 4 yds to the SYR 39Similar
Q3 13:37
3RD & 1
OWN 39
0
79.8%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Darrell Gill Jr. for no gain to the SYR 39Similar
Q3 13:37
4TH & 1
OWN 39
+12
78.7%
Oronde Gadsden II run for 12 yds to the CONN 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:37
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
80.7%
LeQuint Allen run for no gain to the CONN 49Similar
Q3 13:37
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+4
80.4%
Kyle McCord pass complete to LeQuint Allen for 4 yds to the CONN 45Similar
Q3 13:37
3RD & 6
OPP 45
+1
80.1%
LeQuint Allen run for 1 yd to the CONN 44Similar
Q3 9:37
4TH & 5
OPP 44
+4
80.7%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Oronde Gadsden II for 4 yds to the CONN 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 1:0223% → 19%
Q3 9:37
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-7
77.0%
Joe Fagnano sacked by Fadil Diggs for a loss of 7 yards to the CONN 33Similar
Q3 9:37
2ND & 17
OWN 33
0
78.5%
Joe Fagnano pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:37
3RD & 17
OWN 33
0
79.5%
Joe Fagnano pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:35
4TH & 17
OWN 33
0
79.9%
Connor Stutz punt for 41 yds, fair catch by LeQuint Allen at the SYR 26Similar
Q3 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-5
80.7%
Syracuse Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SYR 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 15FG
9 plays · 69 yds · 4:0080% → 85%
Q3 8:35
1ST & 15
OWN 21
+10
80.4%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Jackson Meeks for 10 yds to the SYR 31Similar
Q3 8:35
2ND & 5
OWN 31
+2
81.0%
LeQuint Allen run for 2 yds to the SYR 33Similar
Q3 8:35
3RD & 3
OWN 33
+24
80.3%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Jackson Meeks for 24 yds to the CONN 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:35
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+6
82.7%
LeQuint Allen run for 6 yds to the CONN 37Similar
Q3 8:35
2ND & 4
OPP 37
+32
82.6%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Darrell Gill Jr. for 32 yds to the CONN 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
82.9%
LeQuint Allen run for no gain to the CONN 5Similar
Q3 8:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
82.9%
Kyle McCord pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:35
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
82.0%
Kyle McCord pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:35
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+23
85.1%
Jackson Kennedy 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 35 yds · 0:5616% → 16%
Q3 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+35
84.4%
Mel Brown run for 35 yds to the SYR 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:35
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
82.1%
Joe Fagnano pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:35
2ND & 10
OPP 40
0
82.1%
Joe Fagnano pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:35
3RD & 10
OPP 40
0
83.0%
Joe Fagnano pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:39
4TH & 10
OPP 40
0
84.5%
Connor Stutz punt for 36 yds, downed at the SYR 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:5585% → 83%
Q3 3:39
1ST & 10
OWN 4
0
84.8%
Kyle McCord pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:39
2ND & 10
OWN 4
+5
84.7%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Oronde Gadsden II for 5 yds to the SYR 9Similar
Q3 3:39
3RD & 5
OWN 9
0
83.9%
Kyle McCord pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:39
4TH & 5
OWN 9
-4
83.3%
Syracuse Penalty, Delay Of Game (Yards) to the SYR 5Similar
Q3 2:44
4TH & 9
OWN 5
+9
83.4%
Jack Stonehouse punt for 38 yds , TJ Sheffield returns for 9 yds to the SYR 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 18FG
6 plays · 10 yds · 2:3919% → 20%
Q3 2:44
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+6
81.3%
Cam Edwards run for 6 yds to the SYR 28Similar
Q3 2:44
2ND & 4
OPP 28
+5
80.8%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Jasaiah Gathings for 5 yds to the SYR 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:44
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-1
80.8%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to TJ Sheffield for a loss of 1 yard to the SYR 24Similar
Q3 2:44
2ND & 11
OPP 24
0
81.3%
Cam Edwards run for no gain to the SYR 24Similar
Q3 2:44
3RD & 11
OPP 24
0
82.7%
Joe Fagnano pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:05
4TH & 11
OPP 24
+42
80.5%
Chris Freeman 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 19TD
11 plays · 73 yds · 4:5186% → 96%
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
85.9%
LeQuint Allen run for 3 yds to the SYR 30Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 30
+2
86.0%
LeQuint Allen run for 2 yds to the SYR 32Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 32
+20
85.4%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Oronde Gadsden II for 20 yds to the CONN 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
87.6%
Kyle McCord pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+9
87.4%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Umari Hatcher for 9 yds to the CONN 39Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 39
+1
87.0%
Kyle McCord run for 1 yd to the CONN 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+15
87.6%
UConn Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Jevon Banks) to the CONN 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+1
87.9%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Oronde Gadsden II for 1 yd to the CONN 22Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 22
+18
87.9%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Darrell Gill Jr. for 18 yds to the CONN 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
87.9%
Darrell Gill Jr. run for 3 yds to the CONN 1Similar
Q4 10:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
95.6%
Kyle McCord run for 1 yd for a TD (Jackson Kennedy KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 20DOWNS
9 plays · 28 yds · 3:597% → 6%
Q4 10:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
93.1%
Mel Brown run for 3 yds to the CONN 28Similar
Q4 10:09
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+7
92.6%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Cam Edwards for 7 yds to the CONN 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:09
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
92.6%
Joe Fagnano pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:09
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+8
92.6%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Skyler Bell for 8 yds to the CONN 43Similar
Q4 10:09
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+2
92.4%
Cam Edwards run for 2 yds to the CONN 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:09
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
92.3%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Cam Edwards for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 10:09
2ND & 5
50
+4
92.0%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to TJ Sheffield for 4 yds to the SYR 46Similar
Q4 10:09
3RD & 1
OPP 46
-1
91.7%
Durell Robinson run for a loss of 1 yard to the SYR 47Similar
Q4 6:10
4TH & 2
OPP 47
0
93.9%
Joe Fagnano pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · -10 yds · 1:4797% → 97%
Q4 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
96.8%
LeQuint Allen run for 1 yd to the SYR 48Similar
Q4 5:20
2ND & 9
OWN 48
+5
97.4%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Oronde Gadsden II for 5 yds to the CONN 47Similar
Q4 5:20
3RD & 4
OPP 47
-11
97.4%
Kyle McCord sacked by Jayden McDonald for a loss of 11 yards to the SYR 42Similar
Q4 5:20
4TH & 15
OWN 42
-5
97.0%
Syracuse Penalty, Delay Of Game (-5 Yards) to the SYR 37Similar
Q4 4:23
4TH & 20
OWN 37
+3
97.2%
punt for 55 yds , TJ Sheffield returns for 3 yds to the CONN 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 22TD
18 plays · 89 yds · 2:543% → 18%
Q4 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+4
97.3%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Skyler Bell for 4 yds to the CONN 15Similar
Q4 4:23
2ND & 6
OWN 15
+8
97.3%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Skyler Bell for 8 yds to the CONN 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
97.3%
Joe Fagnano pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:23
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+10
97.3%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to TJ Sheffield for 10 yds to the CONN 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+28
97.1%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Louis Hansen for 28 yds to the SYR 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:23
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
97.0%
Joe Fagnano pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:23
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+16
97.0%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Skyler Bell for 16 yds to the SYR 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:23
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+9
96.6%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to TJ Sheffield for 9 yds to the SYR 14Similar
Q4 4:23
2ND & 1
OPP 14
0
96.6%
Joe Fagnano pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 1
OPP 14
+3
96.6%
Cam Edwards run for 3 yds to the SYR 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
96.5%
Joe Fagnano pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+4
96.5%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Skyler Bell for 4 yds to the SYR 7Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 6
OPP 7
+3
96.7%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Cam Edwards for 3 yds to the SYR 4Similar
Q4 2:00
4TH & 3
OPP 4
-5
96.7%
UConn Penalty, False Start (Jevon Banks) to the SYR 9Similar
Q4 2:00
4TH & 8
OPP 9
+7
97.0%
Syracuse Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (7 Yards) to the SYR 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
96.5%
Joe Fagnano pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
82.0%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to TJ Sheffield for 2 yds for a TD (Chris Freeman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 23END OF GAME
4 plays · -8 yds · 1:2497% → 97%
Q4 1:24
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-3
96.6%
[NHSG] Kneel down by MCCORD, Kyle at CONN48 (team loss of 3).Similar
Q4 1:24
2ND & 13
OPP 48
-3
96.4%
[NHSG] Kneel down by MCCORD, Kyle at SYRA49 (team loss of 3).Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 16
OWN 49
-2
96.5%
[NHSG] Kneel down by MCCORD, Kyle at SYRA47 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 1:29
Joe Fagnano pass complete to TJ Sheffield for 2 yds for a TD (Chris Freeman KICK)
-14.5
TD · Q2 0:32
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Louis Hansen for 5 yds for a TD (Chris Freeman KICK)
-10.2
TD · Q4 10:09
Kyle McCord run for 1 yd for a TD (Jackson Kennedy KICK)
+7.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com