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VT

Virginia Tech 34 at Miami 38

MIA
2024 · Week 5 · Sep 27, 2024 · Hard Rock Stadium
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Win probability · MIA
modelMIA aheadVT aheadconfidence bandkey playMIA scoreVT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGFGFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 7:47 · Peter Moore punt for 37 yds , Ray Ray Joseph returns for 8 yds to the MIA 43
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+39.0+19.50−19.5−39.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 150Pregame prior+6.2Home team on offense−8.7Garbage-time factor−3.8Score differential−4.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−3.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 5:25: Jaylin Lane run for 20 yds for a TD (John Love KICK) — VT win probability +7.3 pts (now 32%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 2:18: Cam Ward run for 17 yds for a TD (Andres Borregales KICK) — MIA win probability +21.1 pts (now 65%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  3. TD · Q4 12:05: Kyron Drones pass complete to Ayden Greene for 16 yds for a TD (John Love KICK) — VT win probability +19.5 pts (now 75%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 8:40: Cam Ward pass complete to Cam McCormick for 6 yds for a TD (Andres Borregales KICK) — MIA win probability +32.7 pts (now 59%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  5. TD · Q4 1:57: Cam Ward pass complete to Isaiah Horton for 1 yd for a TD (Andres Borregales KICK) — MIA win probability +44.2 pts (now 93%) (top driver: MIA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MIA made the numbers' call on 3 of 3VT made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 3:31VT 4th & 22 at MIA 46, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.4%−0.4
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    13.6%−0.3
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    13.9%
    average punt
  2. Q2 7:55MIA 4th & 17 at MIA 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.5%−1.0
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.5%
    average punt
  3. Q2 2:30MIA 4th & 17 at MIA 29, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.4%−1.8
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.2%
    average punt
  4. Q2 0:20VT 4th & 10 at MIA 40, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 39.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.2%−0.8
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    39.9%
    34% to make
    Punt
    38.7%−1.3
    average punt
  5. Q3 10:33VT 4th & 6 at MIA 34, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 44.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    43.8%−0.7
    47% to make
    Punt
    42.8%−1.7
    average punt
  6. Q3 5:50VT 4th & 3 at MIA 10, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 56.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    56.2%
    49% to convert
    Field goal
    55.0%−1.2
    88% to make
    Punt
    42.7%−13.6
    average punt
  7. Q4 7:47VT 4th & 7 at VT 28, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.9%−2.9
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.8%
    average punt
  8. Q4 4:59MIA 4th & 3 at midfield, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 43.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    39.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    34.3%−5.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MIA made the numbers' call on 4 of 5VT made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 12:47VT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    13.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    13.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 10:05MIA Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 8:19MIA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 11:59VT Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    18.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    18.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 5:25VT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    29.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 2:18MIA Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    54.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 12:05VT Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.6%−0.6
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 8:40MIA Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.2%−0.5
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.7%
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 1:57MIA Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.2%−0.8
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MIADrive 1FUMBLE
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:4889% → 88%
Q1 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
88.6%
Cam Ward pass incomplete to Damien MartinezSimilar
Q1 14:49
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
88.6%
Cam Ward pass complete to Damien Martinez for 5 yds to the MIA 30Similar
Q1 14:08
3RD & 5
OWN 30
-1
88.4%
Cam Ward sacked by Cole Nelson for a loss of 1 yard to the MIA 31 Cam Ward fumbled, forced by Cole Nelson, recovered by VT Sam Brumfield , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 2TD
3 plays · 31 yds · 1:1912% → 12%
Q1 14:06
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+4
88.3%
Bhayshul Tuten run for 4 yds to the MIA 27Similar
Q1 13:25
2ND & 6
OPP 27
+2
88.1%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Bhayshul Tuten for 2 yds to the MIA 25Similar
Q1 12:47
3RD & 4
OPP 25
+25
87.6%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Benji Gosnell for 25 yds for a TD (John Love KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 3TD
8 plays · 73 yds · 2:2888% → 88%
Q1 12:33
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
87.5%
Damien Martinez run for 4 yds to the MIA 31Similar
Q1 12:12
2ND & 6
OWN 31
+5
87.4%
Cam Ward run for 5 yds to the MIA 36Similar
Q1 11:33
3RD & 1
OWN 36
+1
87.1%
Damien Martinez run for 1 yd to the MIA 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:49
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+45
86.7%
Cam Ward pass complete to Elijah Arroyo for 45 yds to the VT 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:05
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
87.5%
Cam Ward pass complete to Jacolby George for 18 yds for a TD (Andres Borregales KICK)Similar
Q1 10:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-15
87.5%
Miami Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Jacolby George) to the MIA 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 4INT
3 plays · 11 yds · 0:3313% → 13%
Q1 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+11
87.0%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Benji Gosnell for 11 yds to the VT 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-2
86.7%
Kyron Drones pass intercepted Mishael Powell return for 2 yds to the MIA 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 5TD
3 plays · 52 yds · 0:5187% → 88%
Q1 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
87.2%
Cam Ward pass incomplete to Mark Fletcher Jr.Similar
Q1 9:08
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+9
87.1%
Cam Ward pass complete to Samuel Brown for 9 yds to the VT 43Similar
Q1 8:19
3RD & 1
OPP 43
+43
87.9%
Cam Ward pass complete to Elijah Arroyo for 43 yds for a TD (Andres Borregales KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 6PUNT
17 plays · 29 yds · 4:4012% → 13%
Q1 8:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
87.7%
Kyron Drones run for 10 yds to the VT 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:49
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
87.5%
Miami Penalty, Defensive Offside (Ahmad Moten Sr.) to the VT 40Similar
Q1 7:16
1ST & 5
OWN 40
+3
87.2%
Bhayshul Tuten run for 3 yds to the VT 43Similar
Q1 6:59
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+1
87.2%
Bhayshul Tuten run for 1 yd to the VT 44Similar
Q1 6:15
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+2
87.1%
Kyron Drones run for 2 yds to the VT 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
87.0%
Kyron Drones pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:45
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+3
87.1%
Bhayshul Tuten run for 3 yds to the VT 49Similar
Q1 5:14
3RD & 7
OWN 49
+4
86.9%
Drones, Kyron pass incomplete to Lane, Jaylin, PENALTY MIAMI pass interference (Richard, Jadais) 4 yards to the MIAMI47, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN VATECH.Similar
Q1 4:45
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+9
86.7%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Ayden Greene for 9 yds to the MIA 38Similar
Q1 4:30
2ND & 1
OPP 38
0
86.5%
Kyron Drones pass incomplete to Da'Quan FeltonSimilar
Q1 4:21
3RD & 1
OPP 38
+4
86.5%
Kyron Drones run for 4 yds to the MIA 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:11
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-9
86.2%
Malachi Thomas sacked by Raul Aguirre Jr. for a loss of 9 yards to the MIA 43 Virginia Tech Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Malachi Thomas) to the MIA 43Similar
Q1 3:45
2ND & 19
OPP 43
-3
86.7%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Bhayshul Tuten for a loss of 3 yards to the MIA 46Similar
Q1 3:40
3RD & 22
OPP 46
0
87.0%
Kyron Drones pass incomplete to Da'Quan FeltonSimilar
Q1 3:31
4TH & 22
OPP 46
0
87.2%
Peter Moore punt for 31 yds, downed at the MIA 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 7INT
11 plays · 74 yds · 4:5887% → 87%
Q1 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
87.1%
Damien Martinez run for 2 yds to the MIA 17Similar
Q1 2:35
2ND & 8
OWN 17
+5
86.9%
Cam Ward pass complete to Riley Williams for 5 yds to the MIA 22Similar
Q1 2:30
3RD & 3
OWN 22
+14
86.7%
Cam Ward run for 12 yds to the MIA 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+25
86.8%
Cam Ward pass complete to Xavier Restrepo for 25 yds to the VT 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:51
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
87.3%
Cam Ward pass incomplete to Jacolby GeorgeSimilar
Q1 0:34
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+6
87.2%
Mark Fletcher Jr. run for 6 yds to the VT 35Similar
Q1 0:01
3RD & 4
OPP 35
+26
87.0%
Cam Ward pass complete to Xavier Restrepo for 26 yds to the VT 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
87.3%
Mark Fletcher Jr. run for 3 yds to the VT 6Similar
Q2 14:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
87.2%
Mark Fletcher Jr. run for 3 yds to the VT 3Similar
Q2 13:26
3RD & 0
OPP 3
-10
87.1%
Miami Penalty, Offensive Holding (Markel Bell) to the VT 13Similar
Q2 13:17
3RD & GOAL
OPP 13
-33
86.7%
Cam Ward pass intercepted Mose Phillips III return for 33 yds to the VT 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 8TD
3 plays · 64 yds · 1:0614% → 19%
Q2 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
85.9%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Jaylin Lane for 4 yds Jaylin Lane fumbled, recovered by VT Jaylin LaneSimilar
Q2 12:39
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+5
85.5%
Kyron Drones run for 5 yds to the VT 45Similar
Q2 11:59
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+55
80.9%
Bhayshul Tuten run for 55 yds for a TD (John Love KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 9PUNT
10 plays · 24 yds · 3:5583% → 80%
Q2 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
82.5%
Cam Ward pass complete to Damien Martinez for 9 yds to the MIA 34Similar
Q2 11:16
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+2
83.0%
Damien Martinez run for 2 yds to the MIA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:54
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
82.6%
Cam Ward pass incomplete to Xavier RestrepoSimilar
Q2 10:46
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+3
82.3%
Damien Martinez run for 3 yds to the MIA 39Similar
Q2 9:45
3RD & 7
OWN 39
+17
81.8%
Cam Ward pass complete to Jordan Lyle for 17 yds to the VT 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:32
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
83.0%
Cam Ward pass incomplete to Chris Johnson Jr.Similar
Q2 9:26
2ND & 10
OPP 44
0
82.9%
Jordan Lyle run for no gain to the VT 44Similar
Q2 8:37
3RD & 10
OPP 44
-7
81.9%
Cam Ward sacked by Antwaun Powell-Ryland for a loss of 7 yards to the MIA 49Similar
Q2 7:55
4TH & 17
OWN 49
+20
80.2%
Dylan Joyce punt for 40 yds , Xayvion Turner-Bradshaw returns for 20 yds to the VT 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 10TD
5 plays · 69 yds · 2:1622% → 32%
Q2 7:41
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+17
78.5%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Jaylin Lane for 17 yds to the VT 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+16
77.1%
Bhayshul Tuten run for 16 yds to the MIA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:35
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+18
76.4%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Stephen Gosnell for 18 yds to the MIA 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:01
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-2
75.2%
Bhayshul Tuten run for a loss of 2 yards to the MIA 20Similar
Q2 5:25
2ND & 12
OPP 20
+20
67.9%
Jaylin Lane run for 20 yds for a TD (John Love KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 11PUNT
9 plays · 4 yds · 2:4970% → 65%
Q2 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
70.1%
Cam Ward pass incomplete to Jacolby GeorgeSimilar
Q2 5:09
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-10
69.8%
Cam Ward pass complete to Xavier Restrepo for a loss of 10 yards to the MIA 15Similar
Q2 4:41
3RD & 20
OWN 15
+5
68.4%
Ward, Cam pass incomplete, PENALTY VATECH offside (Burgos, Keyshawn) 5 yards to the MIAMI20, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:19
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+16
68.0%
Cam Ward pass complete to Jacolby George for 16 yds to the MIA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
69.4%
Cam Ward pass incomplete to Elijah ArroyoSimilar
Q2 3:47
2ND & 10
OWN 36
-4
68.9%
Cam Ward pass complete to Samuel Brown for a loss of 4 yards to the MIA 32Similar
Q2 3:03
3RD & 14
OWN 32
-3
66.6%
Cam Ward sacked by Caleb Woodson for a loss of 3 yards to the MIA 29Similar
Q2 2:30
4TH & 17
OWN 29
0
65.2%
Dylan Joyce punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Jaylin Lane at the VT 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 12FG
11 plays · 34 yds · 1:4035% → 41%
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
64.7%
Bhayshul Tuten run for 1 yd to the VT 27Similar
Q2 1:55
2ND & 9
OWN 27
0
64.8%
Kyron Drones pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:46
3RD & 9
OWN 27
+20
65.0%
Kyron Drones run for 20 yds to the VT 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:27
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
62.1%
Bhayshul Tuten run for 5 yds to the MIA 48Similar
Q2 1:04
2ND & 5
OPP 48
+8
60.7%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Ayden Greene for 8 yds to the MIA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:56
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
59.7%
Bhayshul Tuten run for 4 yds to the MIA 36Similar
Q2 0:32
2ND & 6
OPP 36
0
58.9%
Kyron Drones pass incomplete to Stephen GosnellSimilar
Q2 0:25
3RD & 6
OPP 36
-4
59.3%
Kyron Drones sacked by C.J. Clark and Malik Bryant for a loss of 4 yards to the MIA 40Similar
Q2 0:20
4TH & 10
OPP 40
+57
58.7%
John Love 57 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 13END OF HALF
5 plays · 15 yds · 0:1262% → 68%
Q2 0:12
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+15
62.3%
Ward, Cam pass incomplete to Horton, Isaiah, PENALTY VATECH pass interference (Strong, Dorian) 15 yards to the VATECH38, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MIAMI.Similar
Q2 0:05
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
62.9%
Cam Ward pass incomplete to Adarius HayesSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+56
67.8%
Andres Borregales 56 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 14FG
9 plays · 41 yds · 4:1538% → 47%
Q3 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
62.2%
Bhayshul Tuten run for 11 yds to the VT 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:17
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-3
60.5%
Bhayshul Tuten run for a loss of 3 yards to the VT 33Similar
Q3 13:39
2ND & 13
OWN 33
+8
61.4%
Bhayshul Tuten run for 8 yds to the VT 41Similar
Q3 12:58
3RD & 5
OWN 41
+21
58.5%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Stephen Gosnell for 21 yds to the MIA 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:01
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+1
56.1%
Malachi Thomas run for 1 yd to the MIA 37Similar
Q3 11:39
2ND & 9
OPP 37
+1
55.6%
Malachi Thomas run for 1 yd to the MIA 36Similar
Q3 11:05
3RD & 8
OPP 36
+2
55.3%
Kyron Drones run for 2 yds to the MIA 34Similar
Q3 10:33
4TH & 6
OPP 34
+52
53.3%
John Love 52 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 15INT
8 plays · 51 yds · 3:3552% → 52%
Q3 10:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
52.4%
Damien Martinez run for 17 yds to the MIA 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
53.5%
Damien Martinez run for 5 yds to the MIA 47Similar
Q3 9:27
2ND & 5
OWN 47
0
53.7%
Damien Martinez run for no gain to the MIA 47Similar
Q3 8:49
3RD & 5
OWN 47
+15
51.8%
Cam Ward pass complete to Xavier Restrepo for 15 yds to the VT 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:06
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+10
52.5%
Cam Ward run for 10 yds to the VT 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:32
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
53.4%
Damien Martinez run for 4 yds to the VT 24Similar
Q3 6:44
2ND & 6
OPP 24
-77
52.4%
Cam Ward pass intercepted Kaleb Spencer return for 77 yds to the MIA 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 16DOWNS
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:4856% → 55%
Q3 6:38
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
44.2%
Kyron Drones pass incomplete to Stephen GosnellSimilar
Q3 6:22
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+7
42.1%
Bhayshul Tuten run for 7 yds to the MIA 10Similar
Q3 5:55
3RD & 3
OPP 10
0
42.5%
Kyron Drones pass incomplete to Benji GosnellSimilar
Q3 5:50
4TH & 3
OPP 10
-1
44.6%
Peter Moore pass complete to Harrison Saint Germain for a loss of 1 yard to the MIA 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 17TD
8 plays · 89 yds · 3:2344% → 65%
Q3 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+6
43.5%
Mark Fletcher Jr. run for 6 yds to the MIA 17Similar
Q3 5:17
2ND & 4
OWN 17
+15
43.3%
Cam Ward pass complete to Jacolby George for 15 yds to the MIA 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+21
42.2%
Cam Ward pass complete to Isaiah Horton for 21 yds to the VT 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:45
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
44.3%
Mark Fletcher Jr. run for 4 yds to the VT 43Similar
Q3 3:18
2ND & 6
OPP 43
+24
43.9%
Chris Johnson Jr. run for 24 yds to the VT 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:41
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+2
44.4%
Jordan Lyle run for 2 yds to the VT 17Similar
Q3 2:25
2ND & 8
OPP 17
0
44.1%
Cam Ward pass incomplete to Elija LoftonSimilar
Q3 2:18
3RD & 8
OPP 17
+17
65.2%
Cam Ward run for 17 yds for a TD (Andres Borregales KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 18TD
14 plays · 45 yds · 4:5643% → 75%
Q3 2:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
57.2%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Benji Gosnell for 7 yds to the VT 32Similar
Q3 1:27
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+4
54.8%
Bhayshul Tuten run for 4 yds to the VT 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:47
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
54.5%
Bhayshul Tuten run for 3 yds to the VT 39Similar
Q3 0:01
2ND & 7
OWN 39
-10
52.2%
Virginia Tech Penalty, Offensive Holding (Kaden Moore) to the VT 29Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 17
OWN 29
-15
55.9%
Drones, Kyron pass incomplete to Gosnell, Stephen, PENALTY MIAMI pass interference (Spencer, Kaleb) 15 yards to the VATECH14, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN VATECH.Similar
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
52.0%
Kyron Drones pass incomplete to Bhayshul TutenSimilar
Q4 14:48
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+16
52.6%
Bhayshul Tuten run for 16 yds to the MIA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:11
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
50.3%
Bhayshul Tuten run for 2 yds to the MIA 38Similar
Q4 13:24
2ND & 8
OPP 38
+21
49.5%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Jaylin Lane for 21 yds to the MIA 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+1
46.7%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Bhayshul Tuten for 1 yd to the MIA 16Similar
Q4 12:13
2ND & 9
OPP 16
0
44.5%
Kyron Drones pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:05
3RD & 9
OPP 16
+16
25.0%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Ayden Greene for 16 yds for a TD (John Love KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 19TD
10 plays · 70 yds · 2:5528% → 59%
Q4 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
28.1%
Cam Ward pass complete to Chris Johnson Jr. for 4 yds to the MIA 34Similar
Q4 11:23
2ND & 6
OWN 34
0
28.1%
Cam Ward pass incomplete to Jacolby GeorgeSimilar
Q4 11:10
3RD & 6
OWN 34
+9
26.5%
Cam Ward run for 9 yds to the MIA 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
28.4%
Damien Martinez run for 1 yd to the MIA 44Similar
Q4 10:17
2ND & 9
OWN 44
+25
24.4%
Cam Ward pass complete to Samuel Brown for 25 yds to the VT 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:53
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+6
28.2%
Damien Martinez run for 6 yds to the VT 25Similar
Q4 9:07
2ND & 4
OPP 25
+19
27.6%
Cam Ward run for 19 yds to the VT 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
26.2%
Cam Ward pass incomplete to Jacolby GeorgeSimilar
Q4 8:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
58.9%
Cam Ward pass complete to Cam McCormick for 6 yds for a TD (Andres Borregales KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:5058% → 56%
Q4 8:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
42.5%
Kyron Drones pass incomplete to Jaylin LaneSimilar
Q4 8:28
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
42.0%
Bhayshul Tuten run for 3 yds to the VT 28Similar
Q4 7:56
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
42.4%
Kyron Drones pass incomplete to Benji GosnellSimilar
Q4 7:47
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+8
44.1%
Peter Moore punt for 37 yds , Ray Ray Joseph returns for 8 yds to the MIA 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 21TD
11 plays · 57 yds · 5:4353% → 93%
Q4 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-6
53.0%
Cam Ward sacked by Aeneas Peebles for a loss of 6 yards to the MIA 37Similar
Q4 6:56
2ND & 16
OWN 37
+5
46.3%
Ward, Cam pass complete to Arroyo, Elijah for 10 yards to the MIAMI47, PENALTY VATECH offside (Pene, Wilfried) 5 yards to the MIAMI42, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 6:15
2ND & 11
OWN 42
+10
47.7%
Cam Ward pass complete to Jacolby George for 10 yds to the VT 48Similar
Q4 5:26
3RD & 1
OPP 48
-2
49.5%
Damien Martinez run for 8 yds to the VT 40 Miami Penalty, Offensive Holding (Isaiah Horton) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 5:23
3RD & 3
50
0
48.3%
Cam Ward pass incomplete to Isaiah HortonSimilar
Q4 4:59
4TH & 3
50
+4
45.6%
Cam Ward pass complete to Xavier Restrepo for 4 yds to the VT 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:22
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
49.1%
Damien Martinez run for 5 yds to the VT 41Similar
Q4 3:45
2ND & 5
OPP 41
+2
48.0%
Damien Martinez run for 2 yds to the VT 39Similar
Q4 3:03
3RD & 3
OPP 39
+12
46.7%
Cam Ward pass complete to Isaiah Horton for 12 yds to the VT 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+26
48.7%
Cam Ward pass complete to Riley Williams for 26 yds to the VT 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
92.9%
Cam Ward pass complete to Isaiah Horton for 1 yd for a TD (Andres Borregales KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 22END OF GAME
14 plays · 45 yds · 1:4718% → 18%
Q4 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
81.6%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Jaylin Lane for 7 yds to the VT 32Similar
Q4 1:30
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+6
78.9%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Stephen Gosnell for 6 yds to the VT 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
80.5%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Da'Quan Felton for 4 yds to the VT 42Similar
Q4 0:36
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+1
79.0%
Kyron Drones run for 1 yd to the VT 43Similar
Q4 0:32
3RD & 5
OWN 43
+8
85.3%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Stephen Gosnell for 8 yds to the MIA 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:18
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
83.1%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Bhayshul Tuten for 7 yds to the MIA 42Similar
Q4 0:08
2ND & 3
OPP 42
0
80.9%
Kyron Drones pass incomplete to Ayden GreeneSimilar
Q4 0:03
3RD & 3
OPP 42
+12
82.1%
Kyron Drones run for 12 yds to the MIA 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
82.2%
Kyron Drones pass incomplete to Da'Quan FeltonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 1:57
Cam Ward pass complete to Isaiah Horton for 1 yd for a TD (Andres Borregales KICK)
+44.2
TD · Q4 8:40
Cam Ward pass complete to Cam McCormick for 6 yds for a TD (Andres Borregales KICK)
+32.7
TD · Q3 2:18
Cam Ward run for 17 yds for a TD (Andres Borregales KICK)
+21.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com