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STAN

Stanford 26 at Syracuse 24

SYR
2024 · Week 4 · Sep 20, 2024 · JMA Wireless Dome
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Win probability · SYR
modelSYR aheadSTAN aheadconfidence bandkey playSYR scoreSTAN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGFGTDTDTDFGTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 4:51 · Aidan Flintoft punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Trebor Pena at the SYR 30
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+34.0+17.00−17.0−34.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 65Pregame prior+10.4Home team on offense−5.5Garbage-time factor−1.8Score differential−2.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:28: Kyle McCord pass complete to Umari Hatcher for 67 yds for a TD (Brady Denaburg KICK) — SYR win probability +13.9 pts (now 57%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 4:16: Kyle McCord pass intercepted Mitch Leigber return for 71 yds for a TD (Emmet Kenney KICK) — STAN win probability +21.2 pts (now 67%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 0:00: Kyle McCord 19 Yd Run (Brady Denaburg Kick) — SYR win probability +24.5 pts (now 58%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  4. TD · Q4 3:13: Kyle McCord pass complete to Jackson Meeks for 13 yds for a TD (Brady Denaburg KICK) — SYR win probability +38.2 pts (now 75%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 0:00: Emmet Kenney 39 yd FG GOOD — STAN win probability +59.1 pts (now 95%) (top driver: STAN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SYR made the numbers' call on 6 of 7STAN made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 12:53STAN 4th & 9 at STAN 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.0%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:29SYR 4th & 4 at SYR 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.5%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:54SYR 4th & 9 at SYR 36, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.2%−0.3
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.5%
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:03STAN 4th & 7 at SYR 20, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 36.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.5%−0.4
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    36.9%
    75% to make
    Punt
    33.6%−3.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:48SYR 4th & 9 at SYR 26, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.6%−0.7
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:26SYR 4th & 10 at STAN 12, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 57.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.6%−0.6
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    57.2%
    86% to make
    Punt
    53.3%−3.9
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:51STAN 4th & 22 at STAN 25, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.7%−3.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.8%
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:35SYR 4th & 11 at STAN 44, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.4%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    52.9%−0.5
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    53.4%
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:35STAN 4th & 10 at SYR 33, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 49.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.8%−0.5
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    49.4%
    49% to make
    Punt
    47.9%−1.4
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:52SYR 4th & 6 at SYR 31, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.0%−1.6
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.6%
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:20STAN 4th & 1 at STAN 26, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 41.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    43.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    40.6%−2.5
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:03STAN 4th & 14 at STAN 21, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.5%−7.5
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.9%
    average punt
  13. Q4 9:19STAN 4th & 8 at SYR 17, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 61.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.3%−2.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    60.4%
    80% to make
    Punt
    42.6%−17.8
    average punt
  14. Q4 7:49SYR 4th & 5 at SYR 30, down 6
    Close callPunted · 32.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.9%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.7%−0.3
    average punt
  15. Q4 6:40STAN 4th & 10 at STAN 20, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.1%−2.6
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.7%
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:20STAN 4th & 9 at SYR 45, down 1
    Numbers favored field goal by 9.5 ptsWent for it · 30.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    19.2%−9.5
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    28.8%
    25% to make
    Punt
    18.6%−10.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SYR made the numbers' call on 3 of 3STAN made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 7:22STAN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    30.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:28SYR Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 4:16STAN Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 0:00SYR Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 3:13SYR Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.3%−2.0
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
STANDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 1:3732% → 32%
Q1 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
67.9%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Elic Ayomanor for 10 yds to the STAN 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:22
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
67.9%
Ashton Daniels run for 3 yds to the STAN 38Similar
Q1 14:00
2ND & 7
OWN 38
-5
67.8%
Stanford Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the STAN 33Similar
Q1 13:35
2ND & 12
OWN 33
+3
67.8%
Ashton Daniels run for 3 yds to the STAN 36Similar
Q1 13:01
3RD & 9
OWN 36
0
67.8%
Ashton Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:53
4TH & 9
OWN 36
0
67.8%
Aidan Flintoft punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Trebor Pena at the SYR 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 16 yds · 1:2468% → 67%
Q1 12:53
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+10
67.7%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Oronde Gadsden II for 10 yds to the SYR 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+6
67.7%
LeQuint Allen run for 6 yds to the SYR 33Similar
Q1 11:42
2ND & 4
OWN 33
0
67.8%
Kyle McCord pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:37
3RD & 4
OWN 33
0
67.5%
Kyle McCord pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:29
4TH & 4
OWN 33
0
67.4%
Jack Stonehouse punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Tiger Bachmeier at the STAN 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 3TD
10 plays · 78 yds · 3:5033% → 37%
Q1 11:12
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
67.5%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Ismael Cisse for 5 yds to the STAN 27Similar
Q1 10:30
2ND & 5
OWN 27
+10
67.3%
Micah Ford run for 10 yds to the STAN 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:19
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
67.2%
Ashton Daniels pass incomplete to Elic AyomanorSimilar
Q1 10:00
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+13
67.2%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Ismael Cisse for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:30
1ST & 10
50
+19
66.7%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Sam Roush for 19 yds to the SYR 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+13
66.4%
Ashton Daniels run for 13 yds to the SYR 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:07
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+6
66.1%
Ashton Daniels run for 6 yds to the SYR 12Similar
Q1 7:50
2ND & 4
OPP 12
-5
66.0%
Stanford Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SYR 17Similar
Q1 7:29
2ND & 9
OPP 17
0
65.8%
Ashton Daniels pass incomplete to Elic AyomanorSimilar
Q1 7:22
3RD & 9
OPP 17
+17
63.4%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Elic Ayomanor for 17 yds for a TD (Emmet Kenney KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 2:0664% → 63%
Q1 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
64.1%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Oronde Gadsden II for 2 yds to the SYR 27Similar
Q1 6:45
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+8
64.0%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Darrell Gill Jr. for 8 yds to the SYR 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:47
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
63.6%
LeQuint Allen run for 2 yds to the SYR 37Similar
Q1 5:22
2ND & 8
OWN 37
-1
63.5%
Kyle McCord sacked by Anthony Franklin for a loss of 1 yard to the SYR 36Similar
Q1 4:54
3RD & 9
OWN 36
0
62.8%
Kyle McCord pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:54
4TH & 9
OWN 36
+1
62.5%
Jack Stonehouse punt for 51 yds , Tiger Bachmeier returns for 1 yd to the STAN 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 5FG
14 plays · 66 yds · 5:5137% → 42%
Q1 4:54
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+15
62.8%
Syracuse Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the STAN 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:44
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
62.4%
Ashton Daniels pass incomplete to Elic AyomanorSimilar
Q1 4:20
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+1
62.3%
Micah Ford run for 1 yd to the STAN 30Similar
Q1 3:34
3RD & 9
OWN 30
+10
62.2%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Mudia Reuben for 10 yds to the STAN 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-1
60.7%
Ashton Daniels run for a loss of 1 yard to the STAN 39Similar
Q1 2:32
2ND & 11
OWN 39
+1
60.7%
Ashton Daniels run for 1 yd to the STAN 40Similar
Q1 2:12
3RD & 10
OWN 40
+15
60.7%
Syracuse Penalty, Roughing Passer (15 Yards) to the SYR 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:29
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+7
59.2%
Chris Davis Jr. run for 7 yds to the SYR 38Similar
Q1 1:03
2ND & 3
OPP 38
+15
58.8%
Ashton Daniels run for 15 yds to the SYR 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:23
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+1
58.3%
Ashton Daniels run for 1 yd to the SYR 22Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 9
OPP 22
-10
58.0%
Stanford Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the SYR 32Similar
Q2 14:34
2ND & 19
OPP 32
+12
58.1%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Ismael Cisse for 12 yds to the SYR 20Similar
Q2 14:08
3RD & 7
OPP 20
0
57.7%
Ashton Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:03
4TH & 7
OPP 20
+38
57.9%
Emmet Kenney 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:4956% → 53%
Q2 13:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
56.4%
LeQuint Allen run for a loss of 2 yards to the SYR 23Similar
Q2 13:37
2ND & 12
OWN 23
-9
56.3%
Kyle McCord sacked by David Bailey for a loss of 9 yards to the SYR 14 Kyle McCord fumbled, forced by David Bailey, recovered by SYR Da'Metrius Weatherspoon , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 12:50
3RD & 21
OWN 14
+12
55.0%
Kyle McCord pass complete to LeQuint Allen for 12 yds to the SYR 26Similar
Q2 11:48
4TH & 9
OWN 26
+7
53.4%
Jack Stonehouse punt for 57 yds , Tiger Bachmeier returns for 7 yds to the STAN 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 7INT
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0344% → 44%
Q2 11:06
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-2
55.7%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Sam Roush for a loss of 2 yards to the STAN 22Similar
Q2 11:03
2ND & 12
OWN 22
0
55.9%
Ashton Daniels pass intercepted Devin Grant return for no gain to the STAN 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 8FG
5 plays · 11 yds · 1:0957% → 57%
Q2 10:35
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+11
56.8%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Trebor Pena for 11 yds to the STAN 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:16
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
56.6%
Kyle McCord pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:51
2ND & 10
OPP 12
0
56.0%
LeQuint Allen run for no gain to the STAN 12Similar
Q2 9:30
3RD & 10
OPP 12
0
54.8%
Kyle McCord pass incomplete to Trebor PenaSimilar
Q2 9:26
4TH & 10
OPP 12
+30
57.0%
Brady Denaburg 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 9PUNT
10 plays · 0 yds · 4:2244% → 47%
Q2 9:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
55.7%
Chris Davis Jr. run for 1 yd to the STAN 26Similar
Q2 9:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+5
55.7%
Syracuse Penalty, Delay of Game (5 Yards) to the STAN 31Similar
Q2 8:25
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+1
54.4%
Micah Ford run for 1 yd to the STAN 32Similar
Q2 7:25
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+5
53.0%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Ismael Cisse for 5 yds to the STAN 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:31
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-8
51.8%
Ashton Daniels sacked by Denis Jaquez Jr. for a loss of 8 yards to the STAN 29Similar
Q2 6:13
2ND & 18
OWN 29
-10
53.1%
Stanford Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the STAN 19Similar
Q2 5:42
2ND & 28
OWN 19
-2
52.8%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Ismael Cisse for a loss of 2 yards to the STAN 17Similar
Q2 5:03
3RD & 30
OWN 17
+8
53.1%
Micah Ford run for 8 yds to the STAN 25Similar
Q2 4:51
4TH & 22
OWN 25
0
53.5%
Aidan Flintoft punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Trebor Pena at the SYR 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 26 yds · 2:1653% → 50%
Q2 4:51
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-5
52.9%
Syracuse Penalty, False Start (Savion Washington) to the SYR 25Similar
Q2 4:33
1ST & 15
OWN 25
+32
52.2%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Trebor Pena for 32 yds to the STAN 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:11
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+7
55.3%
Yasin Willis run for 7 yds to the STAN 36Similar
Q2 3:40
2ND & 3
OPP 36
+1
55.1%
Yasin Willis run for 1 yd to the STAN 35Similar
Q2 2:55
3RD & 2
OPP 35
-9
54.5%
Kyle McCord sacked by Tevarua Tafiti for a loss of 9 yards to the STAN 44Similar
Q2 2:35
4TH & 11
OPP 44
0
50.4%
Jack Stonehouse punt for 44 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 11FG
7 plays · 47 yds · 0:4152% → 56%
Q2 2:16
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+47
48.4%
Chris Davis Jr. run for 47 yds to the SYR 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
44.4%
Chris Davis Jr. run for 4 yds to the SYR 29Similar
Q2 1:54
2ND & 6
OPP 29
-10
44.2%
Stanford Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the SYR 39Similar
Q2 1:49
2ND & 16
OPP 39
+6
45.4%
Chris Davis Jr. run for 6 yds to the SYR 33Similar
Q2 1:41
3RD & 10
OPP 33
0
43.9%
Ashton Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:35
4TH & 10
OPP 33
+51
44.5%
Emmet Kenney 51 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 12TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 0:3744% → 57%
Q2 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-8
43.5%
Kyle McCord sacked by David Bailey for a loss of 8 yards to the SYR 17Similar
Q2 0:54
2ND & 18
OWN 17
+16
42.9%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Trebor Pena for 16 yds to the SYR 33Similar
Q2 0:28
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+67
56.8%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Umari Hatcher for 67 yds for a TD (Brady Denaburg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 13END OF HALF
7 plays · 25 yds · 0:2045% → 48%
Q2 0:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
54.7%
Chris Davis Jr. run for 8 yds to the STAN 33Similar
Q2 0:12
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+6
54.1%
Ashton Daniels run for 6 yds to the STAN 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
52.6%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Ismael Cisse for 5 yds to the STAN 44Similar
Q2 0:01
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+6
52.0%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Elic Ayomanor for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 1:4057% → 54%
Q3 14:32
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+6
56.7%
LeQuint Allen run for 6 yds to the SYR 21Similar
Q3 13:51
2ND & 4
OWN 21
+6
56.9%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Trebor Pena for 6 yds to the SYR 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
56.9%
Kyle McCord pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:14
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+4
56.1%
Kyle McCord pass complete to LeQuint Allen for 4 yds to the SYR 31Similar
Q3 13:01
3RD & 6
OWN 31
0
55.5%
Kyle McCord pass incomplete to Umari HatcherSimilar
Q3 12:52
4TH & 6
OWN 31
0
54.2%
Jack Stonehouse punt for 52 yds , Tiger Bachmeier returns for no gain to the STAN 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 15INT
7 plays · 26 yds · 3:2645% → 50%
Q3 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+6
54.6%
Chris Davis Jr. run for 6 yds to the STAN 23Similar
Q3 11:58
2ND & 4
OWN 23
+3
54.4%
Ashton Daniels run for 3 yds to the STAN 26Similar
Q3 11:20
3RD & 1
OWN 26
0
54.6%
Justin Lamson run for no gain to the STAN 26Similar
Q3 10:20
4TH & 1
OWN 26
+2
56.1%
Justin Lamson run for 2 yds to the STAN 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+14
52.3%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Ismael Cisse for 14 yds to the STAN 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
49.9%
Ashton Daniels run for 1 yd to the STAN 43Similar
Q3 8:54
2ND & 9
OWN 43
0
49.8%
Ashton Daniels pass intercepted Clarence Lewis return for no gain to the SYR 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 16INT TD
13 plays · 34 yds · 4:3454% → 33%
Q3 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
54.4%
Kyle McCord pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:30
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
54.0%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Trebor Pena for 5 yds to the SYR 30Similar
Q3 8:15
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+6
53.3%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Darrell Gill Jr. for 6 yds to the SYR 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
55.2%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Trebor Pena for a loss of 1 yard to the SYR 35Similar
Q3 7:11
2ND & 11
OWN 35
+11
53.9%
Kyle McCord pass complete to LeQuint Allen for 11 yds to the SYR 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-10
57.3%
Syracuse Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the SYR 36Similar
Q3 6:26
1ST & 20
OWN 36
0
53.7%
Kyle McCord pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:05
2ND & 20
OWN 36
+11
53.4%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Umari Hatcher for 11 yds to the SYR 47Similar
Q3 5:46
3RD & 9
OWN 47
+14
53.8%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Trebor Pena for 14 yds to the STAN 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:30
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
58.2%
Kyle McCord pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:00
2ND & 10
OPP 39
-10
57.5%
Allen, LeQuint rush for no gain to the STAN39, PENALTY SYRACUSE holding 10 yards to the STAN49, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:54
2ND & 20
OPP 49
+8
54.6%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Trebor Pena for 8 yds to the STAN 41Similar
Q3 4:16
3RD & 12
OPP 41
-71
33.4%
Kyle McCord pass intercepted Mitch Leigber return for 71 yds for a TD (Emmet Kenney KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 17TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:4631% → 58%
Q3 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
31.4%
Kyle McCord pass complete to LeQuint Allen for 16 yds to the SYR 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:22
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
32.9%
LeQuint Allen run for no gain to the SYR 41Similar
Q3 3:08
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
32.3%
Kyle McCord pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:37
3RD & 10
OWN 41
+16
30.0%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Jackson Meeks for 16 yds to the STAN 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:59
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+6
33.1%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Umari Hatcher for 6 yds to the STAN 37Similar
Q3 1:59
2ND & 4
OPP 37
+4
33.2%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Yasin Willis for 4 yds to the STAN 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
34.0%
Yasin Willis run for 3 yds to the STAN 30Similar
Q3 0:50
2ND & 7
OPP 30
+11
33.6%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Jackson Meeks for 11 yds to the STAN 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
58.1%
Kyle McCord 19 Yd Run (Brady Denaburg Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:5953% → 50%
Q3 0:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
47.1%
Ashton Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-4
47.3%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Sedrick Irvin for a loss of 4 yards to the STAN 21Similar
Q4 14:30
3RD & 14
OWN 21
0
49.2%
Ashton Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:03
4TH & 14
OWN 21
0
50.4%
Aidan Flintoft punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Trebor Pena at the SYR 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 19INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0051% → 51%
Q4 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
50.5%
Kyle McCord pass intercepted Jay Green return for no gain to the SYR 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 20FG
9 plays · 30 yds · 4:1158% → 72%
Q4 13:30
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+8
42.2%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Elic Ayomanor for 8 yds to the SYR 39Similar
Q4 13:08
2ND & 2
OPP 39
+9
41.4%
Micah Ford run for 9 yds to the SYR 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:51
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
40.2%
Chris Davis Jr. run for no gain to the SYR 30Similar
Q4 12:13
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+7
37.8%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Tiger Bachmeier for 7 yds to the SYR 23Similar
Q4 11:02
3RD & 3
OPP 23
+4
38.3%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Sedrick Irvin for 4 yds to the SYR 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:43
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
33.8%
Micah Ford run for 5 yds to the SYR 14Similar
Q4 10:01
2ND & 5
OPP 14
-3
32.9%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Ismael Cisse for a loss of 3 yards to the SYR 17Similar
Q4 9:23
3RD & 8
OPP 17
0
34.3%
Ashton Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:19
4TH & 8
OPP 17
+35
28.0%
Emmet Kenney 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:2036% → 32%
Q4 9:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
35.6%
Yasin Willis run for a loss of 2 yards to the SYR 23Similar
Q4 8:24
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+7
34.8%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Trebor Pena for 7 yds to the SYR 30Similar
Q4 7:56
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
34.0%
Kyle McCord pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:49
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
31.5%
Jack Stonehouse punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Tiger Bachmeier at the STAN 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:5375% → 75%
Q4 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
24.9%
Chris Davis Jr. run for no gain to the STAN 20Similar
Q4 7:05
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
23.2%
Ashton Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:50
3RD & 10
OWN 20
0
24.3%
Ashton Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:40
4TH & 10
OWN 20
+3
25.1%
Aidan Flintoft punt for 43 yds , Trebor Pena returns for 3 yds to the SYR 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 23TD
8 plays · 60 yds · 2:5634% → 75%
Q4 6:09
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+17
34.2%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Darrell Gill Jr. for 17 yds to the STAN 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:50
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
36.2%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Trebor Pena for 3 yds to the STAN 40Similar
Q4 5:21
2ND & 7
OPP 40
0
35.5%
Kyle McCord pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:17
3RD & 7
OPP 40
-10
34.9%
Syracuse Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 4:45
3RD & 17
50
+24
28.3%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Darrell Gill Jr. for 24 yds to the STAN 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:14
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+9
36.0%
LeQuint Allen run for 9 yds to the STAN 17Similar
Q4 3:29
2ND & 1
OPP 17
+4
36.7%
LeQuint Allen run for 4 yds to the STAN 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:13
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
74.9%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Jackson Meeks for 13 yds for a TD (Brady Denaburg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 24FG
18 plays · 54 yds · 3:0738% → 95%
Q4 3:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
61.8%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Sam Roush for no gain to the STAN 25Similar
Q4 2:45
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
62.1%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Sam Roush for 8 yds to the STAN 33Similar
Q4 2:15
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+10
63.3%
Micah Ford run for 10 yds to the STAN 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+8
62.4%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Elic Ayomanor for 8 yds to the SYR 49Similar
Q4 1:54
2ND & 2
OPP 49
+3
58.1%
Micah Ford run for 3 yds to the SYR 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:11
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-10
60.7%
Stanford Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the STAN 44Similar
Q4 0:57
1ST & 20
OWN 44
0
67.3%
Ashton Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:38
2ND & 20
OWN 44
+11
69.5%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Elic Ayomanor for 11 yds to the SYR 45Similar
Q4 0:37
3RD & 9
OPP 45
0
66.1%
Ashton Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:20
4TH & 9
OPP 45
+27
68.3%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Elic Ayomanor for 27 yds to the SYR 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:10
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+2
61.9%
Ashton Daniels run for 2 yds to the SYR 16Similar
Q4 0:03
2ND & 8
OPP 16
-5
64.3%
Stanford Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SYR 21Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 13
OPP 21
+39
5.2%
Emmet Kenney 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q4 0:00
Emmet Kenney 39 yd FG GOOD
-59.1
TD · Q4 3:13
Kyle McCord pass complete to Jackson Meeks for 13 yds for a TD (Brady Denaburg KICK)
+38.2
TD · Q3 0:00
Kyle McCord 19 Yd Run (Brady Denaburg Kick)
+24.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com