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KENT

Kent State 24 at Pittsburgh 55

PITT
2024 · Week 1 · Aug 31, 2024 · Acrisure Stadium
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Win probability · PITT
modelPITT aheadKENT aheadconfidence bandkey playPITT scoreKENT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDFGTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 0:02 · Caleb Junko punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Luke Floriea at the KENT 27
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+43.0+21.50−21.5−43.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 85Pregame prior+26.2Home team on offense+14.2Score differential+5.2Garbage-time factor+4.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+6.4Blowout margin−0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 7:50: Eli Holstein pass complete to Raphael Williams Jr. for 7 yds for a TD (Ben Sauls KICK) — PITT win probability +3.6 pts (now 96%) (top driver: PITT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 5:28: Naim Muhammad 34 Yd Fumble Return (Andrew Glass Kick) — KENT win probability +4.8 pts (now 9%) (top driver: PITT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 9:36: Devin Kargman pass complete to Chrishon McCray for 29 yds for a TD (Andrew Glass KICK) — KENT win probability +8.6 pts (now 18%) (top driver: KENT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 8:39: Desmond Reid run for 46 yds for a TD (Ben Sauls KICK) — PITT win probability +4.3 pts (now 93%) (top driver: PITT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 3:34: Eli Holstein pass complete to Kenny Johnson for 10 yds for a TD (Ben Sauls KICK) — PITT win probability +6.3 pts (now 97%) (top driver: PITT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
PITT made the numbers' call on 5 of 5KENT made the numbers' call on 8 of 8
  1. Q1 10:15KENT 4th & 7 at KENT 28, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.7%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:43KENT 4th & 7 at PITT 36, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.4%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    7.3%−0.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    7.3%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:42PITT 4th & 19 at PITT 32, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.7%−0.5
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.2%
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:05KENT 4th & 8 at KENT 27, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.9%−0.2
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.1%
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:58KENT 4th & 15 at KENT 20, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.2%−0.6
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:02PITT 4th & 6 at PITT 26, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.4%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.6%
    average punt
  7. Q3 14:03KENT 4th & 1 at KENT 34, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    7.4%−0.4
    average punt
  8. Q3 5:48KENT 4th & 9 at PITT 18, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 8.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.3%−0.7
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    8.0%
    79% to make
    Punt
    4.0%−4.0
    average punt
  9. Q4 13:33KENT 4th & 3 at PITT 44, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    2.3%−1.1
    27% to make
    Punt
    2.9%−0.5
    average punt
  10. Q4 11:52PITT 4th & 11 at KENT 32, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 97.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.6%−0.2
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.8%
    51% to make
    Punt
    97.5%−0.3
    average punt
  11. Q4 11:31KENT 4th & 22 at KENT 13, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.5
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.1%
    average punt
  12. Q4 3:29PITT 4th & 2 at KENT 45, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.1
    25% to make
    Punt
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 1:47PITT 4th & 5 at KENT 21, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%
    74% to make
    Punt
    99.6%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
PITT made the numbers' call on 6 of 6KENT made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 11:56PITT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:43KENT Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    8.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    8.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 13:10PITT Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 7:50PITT Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 5:28KENT Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    7.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 9:36KENT Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    12.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    12.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 8:39PITT Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 3:34PITT Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 9:32PITT Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
PITTDrive 1TD
10 plays · 95 yds · 2:5993% → 93%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+9
92.9%
Eli Holstein pass complete to Kenny Johnson for 9 yds to the PITT 14Similar
Q1 14:55
2ND & 1
OWN 14
+5
92.9%
Desmond Reid run for 5 yds to the PITT 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+2
92.9%
Eli Holstein pass complete to Gavin Bartholomew for 2 yds to the PITT 21Similar
Q1 14:55
2ND & 8
OWN 21
+14
92.9%
Eli Holstein pass complete to Raphael Williams Jr. for 14 yds to the PITT 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
92.9%
Desmond Reid run for 6 yds to the PITT 41Similar
Q1 14:55
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+9
92.9%
Eli Holstein pass complete to Konata Mumpfield for 9 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
50
+3
92.9%
Desmond Reid run for 3 yds to the KENT 47Similar
Q1 14:55
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+46
92.9%
Eli Holstein pass complete to Kenny Johnson for 46 yds to the KENT 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 11
+11
92.6%
Eli Holstein pass complete to Konata Mumpfield for 11 yds for a TD (Ben Sauls KICK)Similar
Q1 11:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-10
92.6%
QB Keeper HOLSTEIN, Eli rush to the right for a gain of 1 yard to the KSU0, TOUCHDOWN PIT, score nullified by penalty, clock 11:56 (Play was confirmed after review). PENALTY PIT Holding on OVERMAN, Jake enforced 10 yards from the KSU1 to the KSU11 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 2PUNT RETURN TD
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:418% → 7%
Q1 11:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
92.5%
Ky Thomas run for 1 yd to the KENT 26Similar
Q1 11:56
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
92.5%
Devin Kargman pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:56
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+2
92.5%
Devin Kargman pass complete to Chrishon McCray for 2 yds to the KENT 28Similar
Q1 10:15
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+78
92.7%
Josh Smith punt for 50 yds , Desmond Reid returns for 78 yds for a TD (Ben Sauls KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 3TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:327% → 8%
Q1 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+21
92.7%
Devin Kargman pass complete to Luke Floriea for 6 yds to the KENT 31 for a 1ST down Pittsburgh Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Phillip O'Brien Jr.) to the KENT 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
92.6%
Ky Thomas run for no gain to the KENT 46Similar
Q1 10:15
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+7
92.6%
Devin Kargman pass complete to Ky Thomas for 7 yds to the PITT 47Similar
Q1 10:15
3RD & 3
OPP 47
+8
92.6%
Ky Thomas run for 8 yds to the PITT 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
92.6%
Devin Kargman pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:15
2ND & 10
OPP 39
-2
92.6%
Curtis Douglas run for a loss of 2 yards to the PITT 41Similar
Q1 10:15
3RD & 12
OPP 41
+5
92.7%
Pittsburgh Penalty, Offsides (Jimmy Scott) to the PITT 36Similar
Q1 10:15
3RD & 7
OPP 36
0
92.6%
Devin Kargman pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:43
4TH & 7
OPP 36
+36
91.6%
Devin Kargman pass complete to Luke Floriea for 36 yds for a TD (Andrew Glass KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 2:5492% → 91%
Q1 6:36
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-8
91.7%
Pittsburgh Penalty, Offensive Holding (Gavin Bartholomew) to the PITT 14Similar
Q1 6:36
1ST & 18
OWN 22
+19
91.7%
Eli Holstein pass complete to Gavin Bartholomew for 19 yds to the PITT 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:36
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
91.9%
Derrick Davis Jr. run for 3 yds to the PITT 44Similar
Q1 6:36
2ND & 7
OWN 44
-10
91.9%
Eli Holstein sacked by Naim Muhammad for a loss of 10 yards to the PITT 34Similar
Q1 6:36
3RD & 17
OWN 34
-2
91.6%
Eli Holstein sacked by Kameron Olds for a loss of 2 yards to the PITT 32Similar
Q1 3:42
4TH & 19
OWN 32
0
91.0%
Caleb Junko punt for 43 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:379% → 9%
Q1 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
91.2%
Devin Kargman pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:42
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-1
91.2%
Ky Thomas run for a loss of 1 yard to the KENT 24Similar
Q1 3:42
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+3
91.3%
Ky Thomas run for 3 yds to the KENT 27Similar
Q1 2:05
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
91.0%
punt for 52 yds, downed at the PITT 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 6TD
12 plays · 79 yds · 3:5591% → 93%
Q1 2:05
3RD & 6
OWN 25
+24
90.7%
Eli Holstein pass complete to Kenny Johnson for 24 yds to the PITT 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
91.2%
Eli Holstein pass complete to Raphael Williams Jr. for 4 yds to the KENT 47Similar
Q1 2:05
2ND & 6
OPP 47
+4
91.2%
Desmond Reid run for 4 yds to the KENT 43Similar
Q1 2:05
3RD & 2
OPP 43
+28
91.1%
Desmond Reid run for 28 yds to the KENT 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:05
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+4
90.9%
Eli Holstein run for 4 yds to the PITT 25Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+3
91.0%
Desmond Reid run for 3 yds to the KENT 12Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 12
0
91.0%
Eli Holstein pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 12
+2
90.8%
Eli Holstein pass complete to Desmond Reid for 2 yds to the KENT 10Similar
Q2 13:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
90.8%
Eli Holstein pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
90.6%
Derrick Davis Jr. run for 2 yds to the KENT 2Similar
Q2 13:10
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
92.5%
Derrick Davis Jr. run for 2 yds for a TD (Ben Sauls KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 2:128% → 8%
Q2 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-7
91.8%
Devin Kargman sacked by Rasheem Biles for a loss of 7 yards to the KENT 18Similar
Q2 13:10
2ND & 17
OWN 18
+2
91.9%
Ky Thomas run for 2 yds to the KENT 20Similar
Q2 13:10
3RD & 15
OWN 20
0
92.0%
Ky Thomas run for no gain to the KENT 20Similar
Q2 10:58
4TH & 15
OWN 20
0
91.8%
Josh Smith punt for 35 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 8TD
8 plays · 55 yds · 3:0893% → 96%
Q2 10:58
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-4
92.6%
Eli Holstein pass complete to Kenny Johnson for a loss of 4 yards to the PITT 41Similar
Q2 10:58
2ND & 14
OWN 41
+5
92.4%
Eli Holstein pass complete to Daniel Carter for 5 yds to the PITT 46Similar
Q2 10:58
3RD & 9
OWN 46
+13
92.3%
Eli Holstein run for 13 yds to the KENT 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:58
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+10
92.7%
Eli Holstein pass complete to Konata Mumpfield for 10 yds to the KENT 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:58
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+5
92.7%
Daniel Carter run for 5 yds to the KENT 26Similar
Q2 10:58
2ND & 5
OPP 26
+14
92.7%
Daniel Carter run for 14 yds to the KENT 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:58
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+5
92.7%
Daniel Carter run for 5 yds to the KENT 7Similar
Q2 7:50
2ND & 5
OPP 7
+7
96.3%
Eli Holstein pass complete to Raphael Williams Jr. for 7 yds for a TD (Ben Sauls KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 9FUMBLE RETURN TD
4 plays · -7 yds · 2:155% → 9%
Q2 7:43
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-6
95.3%
Ky Thomas run for a loss of 6 yards to the KENT 29Similar
Q2 7:43
2ND & 16
OWN 29
0
95.6%
Ky Thomas run for no gain to the KENT 29Similar
Q2 7:43
3RD & 16
OWN 29
-1
95.6%
Curtis Douglas run for a loss of 1 yard to the KENT 28Similar
Q2 5:28
4TH & 17
OWN 28
+34
90.8%
Naim Muhammad 34 Yd Fumble Return (Andrew Glass Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 10INT
13 plays · 73 yds · 4:1791% → 90%
Q2 5:22
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
91.4%
Eli Holstein pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:22
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+5
91.4%
Desmond Reid run for 5 yds to the PITT 25Similar
Q2 5:22
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+7
91.2%
Eli Holstein pass complete to Kenny Johnson for 7 yds to the PITT 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:22
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
91.5%
Desmond Reid run for 2 yds to the PITT 34Similar
Q2 5:22
2ND & 8
OWN 34
+6
91.4%
Eli Holstein pass complete to Desmond Reid for 6 yds to the PITT 40Similar
Q2 5:22
3RD & 2
OWN 40
+3
91.5%
Desmond Reid run for 3 yds to the PITT 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:22
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+13
91.9%
Eli Holstein pass complete to Kenny Johnson for 13 yds to the KENT 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:22
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+17
92.0%
Eli Holstein pass complete to Censere Lee for 17 yds to the KENT 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:22
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+12
92.0%
Eli Holstein pass complete to Censere Lee for 12 yds to the KENT 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:22
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+6
92.0%
Eli Holstein pass complete to Censere Lee for 6 yds to the KENT 9Similar
Q2 5:22
2ND & 4
OPP 9
+2
92.0%
Desmond Reid run for 2 yds to the KENT 7Similar
Q2 1:05
3RD & 2
OPP 7
-60
92.1%
Eli Holstein pass intercepted Alex Branch return for 60 yds to the PITT 36Similar
Q2 1:05
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-5
90.2%
KARGMAN, Devin pass deep to the left incomplete intended for MCCRAY, Chrishon broken up by MCMILLON, Donovan at the PIT20; QB hurried by BASS, Jordan. PENALTY KSU Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on WILLIAMS, Elijah enforced 5 yards from the PIT36 to the PIT41 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 11INT
4 plays · -3 yds · 0:299% → 9%
Q2 1:05
1ST & 15
OPP 41
0
90.7%
Devin Kargman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:46
2ND & 15
OPP 41
+2
90.9%
Ky Thomas run for 2 yds to the PITT 39Similar
Q2 0:36
3RD & 13
OPP 39
-7
91.5%
Devin Kargman pass intercepted Donovan McMillon return for 7 yds to the PITT 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 0:3493% → 92%
Q2 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+12
93.1%
Eli Holstein pass complete to Censere Lee for 12 yds to the PITT 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
92.9%
Eli Holstein pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:36
2ND & 10
OWN 22
0
92.9%
Eli Holstein pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:36
3RD & 10
OWN 22
+9
92.6%
Eli Holstein pass complete to Censere Lee for 9 yds to the PITT 31Similar
Q2 0:10
4TH & 1
OWN 31
-5
92.0%
Pittsburgh Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the PITT 26Similar
Q2 0:02
4TH & 6
OWN 26
0
92.2%
Caleb Junko punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Luke Floriea at the KENT 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 13END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q2 0:02
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-2
91.7%
run for a loss of 2 yards to the KENT 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 14TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 5:248% → 18%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
92.5%
Devin Kargman pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
92.6%
Devin Kargman pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:03
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+9
92.3%
Devin Kargman pass complete to Chrishon McCray for 9 yds to the KENT 34Similar
Q3 14:03
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+2
91.9%
Tommy Ulatowski run for 2 yds to the KENT 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:03
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
91.6%
Ky Thomas run for 9 yds to the KENT 45Similar
Q3 14:03
2ND & 1
OWN 45
0
90.9%
Ky Thomas run for no gain to the KENT 45Similar
Q3 14:03
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+3
91.3%
Devin Kargman run for 3 yds to the KENT 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:03
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+11
91.1%
Devin Kargman pass complete to Luke Floriea for 11 yds to the PITT 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:03
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
90.8%
Curtis Douglas run for 3 yds to the PITT 38Similar
Q3 14:03
2ND & 7
OPP 38
+9
90.8%
Devin Kargman pass complete to Chrishon McCray for 9 yds to the PITT 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:36
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+29
82.3%
Devin Kargman pass complete to Chrishon McCray for 29 yds for a TD (Andrew Glass KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 15TD
3 plays · 69 yds · 0:5287% → 93%
Q3 9:31
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+14
87.4%
Eli Holstein pass complete to Konata Mumpfield for 14 yds to the PITT 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:31
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+9
88.5%
Eli Holstein pass complete to Jake Overman for 9 yds to the KENT 46Similar
Q3 8:39
2ND & 1
OPP 46
+46
92.8%
Desmond Reid run for 46 yds for a TD (Ben Sauls KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 16FG
8 plays · 57 yds · 2:518% → 11%
Q3 8:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
92.0%
Devin Kargman pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:39
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+41
92.2%
Devin Kargman pass complete to Luke Floriea for 41 yds to the PITT 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:39
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+6
90.1%
Ky Thomas run for 6 yds to the PITT 28Similar
Q3 8:39
2ND & 4
OPP 28
+9
89.8%
Ky Thomas run for 9 yds to the PITT 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:39
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+1
89.8%
Devin Kargman pass complete to Ky Thomas for 1 yd to the PITT 18Similar
Q3 5:58
2ND & 9
OPP 18
0
89.5%
Devin Kargman pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:58
3RD & 9
OPP 18
0
90.5%
Devin Kargman pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:48
4TH & 9
OPP 18
+36
88.9%
Andrew Glass 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 17TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:1490% → 97%
Q3 5:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
89.6%
Kent State Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Josh Baka) to the PITT 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:48
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
90.5%
Desmond Reid run for 3 yds to the PITT 43Similar
Q3 5:48
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+21
90.5%
Eli Holstein pass complete to Gavin Bartholomew for 21 yds to the KENT 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:48
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+14
90.8%
Eli Holstein pass complete to Gavin Bartholomew for 14 yds to the KENT 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:48
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
90.7%
Eli Holstein pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:48
2ND & 10
OPP 22
0
90.7%
Eli Holstein pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:48
3RD & 10
OPP 22
+12
90.3%
Eli Holstein pass complete to Konata Mumpfield for 12 yds to the KENT 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
96.6%
Eli Holstein pass complete to Kenny Johnson for 10 yds for a TD (Ben Sauls KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 18DOWNS
10 plays · 31 yds · 5:014% → 2%
Q3 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
95.6%
Ky Thomas run for 7 yds to the KENT 32Similar
Q3 3:34
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+5
95.2%
Devin Kargman pass complete to Luke Floriea for 5 yds to the KENT 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
95.2%
Curtis Douglas run for 7 yds to the KENT 44Similar
Q3 3:34
2ND & 3
OWN 44
0
95.2%
Curtis Douglas run for no gain to the KENT 44Similar
Q3 3:34
3RD & 3
OWN 44
+5
95.3%
Devin Kargman pass complete to Luke Floriea for 5 yds to the KENT 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
95.8%
Ky Thomas run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
50
-1
95.8%
Ky Thomas run for a loss of 1 yard to the KENT 49Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 49
+7
95.9%
Devin Kargman pass complete to Ky Thomas for 7 yds to the PITT 44Similar
Q4 13:33
4TH & 3
OPP 44
0
96.3%
Ky Thomas run for no gain to the PITT 44Similar
Q4 13:33
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+15
97.8%
HOLSTEIN, Eli pass up the middle incomplete intended for LEE, Censere thrown to the PIT50. PENALTY KSU Roughing the Passer on OLDS, Kameron enforced 15 yards from the PIT44 to the KSU41 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 19FG
5 plays · 24 yds · 1:4198% → 99%
Q4 13:33
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+10
97.8%
Eli Holstein pass complete to Gavin Bartholomew for 10 yds to the KENT 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:33
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+3
97.8%
Derrick Davis Jr. run for 3 yds to the KENT 28Similar
Q4 13:33
2ND & 7
OPP 28
-4
97.8%
Eli Holstein sacked by Stephen Daley for a loss of 4 yards to the KENT 32Similar
Q4 13:33
3RD & 11
OPP 32
0
97.7%
Eli Holstein pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:52
4TH & 11
OPP 32
+50
99.2%
Ben Sauls 50 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · -12 yds · 0:211% → 1%
Q4 11:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.9%
Devin Kargman pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:52
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-6
98.9%
Kent State Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Devin Kargman) to the KENT 19Similar
Q4 11:52
3RD & 17
OWN 18
0
99.0%
Devin Kargman pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:52
4TH & 17
OWN 18
-5
99.0%
Kent State Penalty, Illegal Substitution (TEAM) to the KENT 8Similar
Q4 11:31
4TH & 22
OWN 13
0
99.0%
Josh Smith punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Desmond Reid at the PITT 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 21TD
5 plays · 55 yds · 1:5999% → 100%
Q4 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+16
99.3%
Nate Yarnell pass complete to Censere Lee for 16 yds to the KENT 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:31
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
99.3%
Desmond Reid run for 3 yds to the KENT 36Similar
Q4 11:31
2ND & 7
OPP 36
-2
99.3%
Nate Yarnell sacked by Mattheus Carroll for a loss of 2 yards to the KENT 38Similar
Q4 11:31
3RD & 9
OPP 38
+32
99.3%
Desmond Reid run for 32 yds to the KENT 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
99.9%
Nate Yarnell pass complete to Raphael Williams Jr. for 6 yds for a TD (Ben Sauls KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 22FUMBLE
12 plays · 28 yds · 5:070% → 0%
Q4 9:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-6
99.9%
Devin Kargman sacked by Kyle Louis for a loss of 6 yards to the KENT 19Similar
Q4 9:32
2ND & 16
OWN 19
0
99.9%
Devin Kargman pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:32
3RD & 16
OWN 19
-4
99.9%
Devin Kargman sacked by Isaiah Neal and Chief Borders for a loss of 4 yards to the KENT 15Similar
Q4 9:32
4TH & 20
OWN 15
+15
99.9%
Pittsburgh Penalty, Leaping on THOMPSON, Keye enforced (Keye Thompson) to the KENT 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:32
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+64
99.9%
KARGMAN, Devin pass deep to the right complete for 64 yards to MARTIN, DaShawn caught at the PIT50 and advanced to the PIT50 (LYNUM, Tamon), 1ST DOWN. PENALTY KSU Face mask on RAWLISON, Jaire PIT Horse Collar Tackle on LYNUM, Tamon , Offsetting penalties [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 9:32
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+11
99.9%
Curtis Douglas run for 11 yds to the KENT 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:32
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
99.9%
Curtis Douglas run for no gain to the KENT 41Similar
Q4 9:32
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+13
99.9%
Devin Kargman pass complete to Ali Fisher for 13 yds to the PITT 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:32
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+7
99.9%
Curtis Douglas run for 7 yds to the PITT 39Similar
Q4 4:32
2ND & 3
OPP 39
+1
99.9%
Curtis Douglas run for 1 yd to the PITT 38Similar
Q4 4:25
3RD & 2
OPP 38
-9
99.9%
Devin Kargman sacked for a loss of 9 yards to the PITT 47 Devin Kargman fumbled, recovered by PITT Brandon George , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 23FG
12 plays · 32 yds · 2:38100% → 100%
Q4 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
99.9%
Nate Yarnell run for 4 yds to the KENT 49Similar
Q4 4:25
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+4
99.9%
Daniel Carter run for 4 yds to the KENT 45Similar
Q4 3:29
3RD & 2
OPP 45
0
99.9%
Nate Yarnell pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:29
4TH & 2
OPP 45
+6
99.9%
Nate Yarnell pass complete to Jake Overman for 6 yds to the KENT 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:29
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
99.9%
Nate Yarnell pass complete to Lamar Seymore for 5 yds to the KENT 34Similar
Q4 3:29
2ND & 5
OPP 34
0
99.9%
Nate Yarnell pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:29
3RD & 5
OPP 34
+8
99.9%
Nate Yarnell run for 8 yds to the KENT 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:29
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+5
99.9%
Nate Yarnell run for 5 yds to the KENT 21Similar
Q4 3:29
2ND & 5
OPP 21
0
99.9%
Nate Yarnell pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:29
3RD & 5
OPP 21
0
99.9%
Nate Yarnell pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:47
4TH & 5
OPP 21
+39
99.9%
Ben Sauls 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 24END OF GAME
3 plays · -5 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
99.9%
Marques Hicks run for a loss of 3 yards to the KENT 22Similar
Q4 1:47
2ND & 13
OWN 22
-2
100.0%
Marques Hicks run for a loss of 2 yards to the KENT 20Similar
Q4 1:47
3RD & 15
OWN 20
0
100.0%
Marques Hicks run for no gain to the KENT 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 9:36
Devin Kargman pass complete to Chrishon McCray for 29 yds for a TD (Andrew Glass KICK)
-8.6
TD · Q3 3:34
Eli Holstein pass complete to Kenny Johnson for 10 yds for a TD (Ben Sauls KICK)
+6.3
TD · Q2 5:28
Naim Muhammad 34 Yd Fumble Return (Andrew Glass Kick)
-4.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com