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OHIO

Ohio 22 at Syracuse 38

SYR
2024 · Week 1 · Aug 31, 2024 · JMA Wireless Dome
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Win probability · SYR
modelSYR aheadOHIO aheadconfidence bandkey playSYR scoreOHIO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDFGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 1:46 · Jack Wilson punt for 46 yds , Trebor Pena returns for 3 yds to the SYR 32
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+39.0+19.50−19.5−39.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 115Pregame prior+13.0Home team on offense+17.8Score differential+6.3Garbage-time factor+5.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+5.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:05: Kyle McCord pass complete to Trebor Pena for 20 yds for a TD (Brady Denaburg KICK) — SYR win probability +6.1 pts (now 88%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 11:44: Anthony Tyus III run for 13 yds for a TD (Gianni Spetic KICK) — OHIO win probability +9.6 pts (now 26%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 6:37: Kyle McCord pass complete to LeQuint Allen for 5 yds for a TD (Brady Denaburg KICK) — SYR win probability +6.7 pts (now 88%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 3:34: Kyle McCord pass complete to Trebor Pena for 14 yds for a TD (Brady Denaburg KICK) — SYR win probability +5.9 pts (now 95%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 12:22: Anthony Tyus III run for 46 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed) — OHIO win probability +5.6 pts (now 7%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SYR made the numbers' call on 3 of 5OHIO made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 8:33OHIO 4th & 14 at SYR 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 14.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.6%−0.1
    18% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    14.7%
    66% to make
    Punt
    14.3%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:35SYR 4th & 4 at SYR 29, down 3
    Close callPunted · 84.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.3%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:11OHIO 4th & 20 at SYR 20, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 18.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.0%−0.8
    9% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    18.8%
    75% to make
    Punt
    17.0%−1.8
    average punt
  4. Q2 9:03OHIO 4th & 3 at OHIO 42, down 1
    Close callPunted · 19.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.4%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 2:02SYR 4th & 7 at OHIO 9, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 79.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.9%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    79.1%
    89% to make
    Punt
    75.4%−3.7
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:49OHIO 4th & 3 at SYR 3, down 4
    Close callKicked a field goal · 22.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.5%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    22.1%−0.4
    93% to make
    Punt
    18.4%−4.1
    average punt
  7. Q3 14:06SYR 4th & 8 at SYR 26, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.7%−0.9
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.7%
    average punt
  8. Q3 5:31OHIO 4th & 16 at OHIO 19, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.6%−2.6
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.2%
    average punt
  9. Q3 1:46OHIO 4th & 4 at OHIO 25, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.4%−0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.5%
    average punt
  10. Q4 13:30SYR 4th & 1 at OHIO 1, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 95.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    94.8%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    93.0%−1.8
    94% to make
    Punt
    88.6%−6.2
    average punt
  11. Q4 10:29SYR 4th & 3 at SYR 41, up 16
    Close callPunted · 96.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.2%−0.2
    average punt
  12. Q4 3:38OHIO 4th & 1 at OHIO 42, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.4%−0.4
    average punt
  13. Q4 0:48OHIO 4th & 2 at SYR 19, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.8%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    2.2%−0.6
    77% to make
    Punt
    1.6%−1.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SYR made the numbers' call on 5 of 5OHIO made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q2 12:28SYR Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:05SYR Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 11:44OHIO Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    24.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    24.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 6:37SYR Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 3:34SYR Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 13:30SYR Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 12:22OHIO Touchdown, down 16 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    4.4%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    4.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OHIODrive 1FG
14 plays · 50 yds · 6:2711% → 13%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
88.7%
Rickey Hunt Jr. run for no gain to the OHIO 25Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
88.7%
Rickey Hunt Jr. run for 4 yds to the OHIO 29Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+9
88.7%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Coleman Owen for 9 yds to the OHIO 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+9
88.7%
Rickey Hunt Jr. run for 9 yds to the OHIO 47Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 47
+6
88.7%
Rickey Hunt Jr. run for 6 yds to the SYR 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
88.7%
Parker Navarro pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+13
88.7%
Parker Navarro run for 13 yds to the SYR 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
88.7%
Parker Navarro pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+13
88.7%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Chase Hendricks for 13 yds to the SYR 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
88.7%
Parker Navarro run for no gain to the SYR 21Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+6
88.7%
Parker Navarro run for 6 yds to the SYR 15Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 15
-5
88.7%
Parker Navarro run for a loss of 5 yards to the SYR 20 Parker Navarro fumbled, recovered by OHIO Parker Navarro P. Navarro return for 0 ydsSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 9
OPP 20
-5
88.7%
Ohio Penalty, Delay Of Game (Coleman Owen) to the SYR 25Similar
Q1 8:33
4TH & 14
OPP 25
+43
86.6%
Gianni Spetic 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:5286% → 86%
Q1 8:27
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
86.4%
Kyle McCord pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:27
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+6
86.4%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Zeed Haynes for 6 yds to the SYR 29Similar
Q1 8:27
3RD & 4
OWN 29
0
86.3%
Kyle McCord pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:35
4TH & 4
OWN 29
0
85.8%
Jack Stonehouse punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Coleman Owen at the OHIO 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 3FG
13 plays · 54 yds · 7:2414% → 19%
Q1 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
86.1%
Anthony Tyus III run for 2 yds to the OHIO 28Similar
Q1 7:35
2ND & 8
OWN 28
+9
86.0%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Coleman Owen for 9 yds to the OHIO 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
86.0%
Anthony Tyus III run for 9 yds to the OHIO 46Similar
Q1 7:35
2ND & 1
OWN 46
+11
85.8%
Anthony Tyus III run for 11 yds to the SYR 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:35
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+14
85.7%
Anthony Tyus III run for 14 yds to the SYR 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:35
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+4
85.6%
Anthony Tyus III run for 4 yds to the SYR 25Similar
Q1 7:35
2ND & 6
OPP 25
+2
85.6%
Anthony Tyus III run for 2 yds to the SYR 23Similar
Q1 2:28
3RD & 4
OPP 23
+17
83.1%
Anthony Tyus III run for 17 yds to the SYR 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-2
83.0%
Parker Navarro run for a loss of 2 yards to the SYR 8Similar
Q1 2:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
-3
83.0%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Anthony Tyus III for a loss of 3 yards to the SYR 11Similar
Q1 2:28
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
-9
83.3%
Parker Navarro sacked by Kevin Jobity Jr. and Denis Jaquez Jr. for a loss of 9 yards to the SYR 20Similar
Q1 0:11
4TH & GOAL
OPP 20
+37
81.3%
Gianni Spetic 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 4TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:3282% → 85%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
81.7%
LeQuint Allen run for 3 yds to the SYR 28Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+3
81.8%
LeQuint Allen run for 3 yds to the SYR 31Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+5
81.5%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Trebor Pena for 5 yds to the SYR 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
81.9%
Kyle McCord pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+20
81.8%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Trebor Pena for 20 yds to the OHIO 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
82.7%
LeQuint Allen run for 6 yds to the OHIO 38Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 38
+10
82.8%
Kyle McCord pass complete to LeQuint Allen for 10 yds to the OHIO 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:28
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+28
85.2%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Oronde Gadsden II for 28 yds for a TD (Brady Denaburg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 17 yds · 3:2516% → 18%
Q2 12:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
83.6%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Chase Hendricks for 8 yds to the OHIO 33Similar
Q2 12:28
2ND & 2
OWN 33
-3
83.0%
Parker Navarro sacked by Marlowe Wax for a loss of 3 yards to the OHIO 30Similar
Q2 12:28
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
83.7%
Parker Navarro pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:28
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+5
84.2%
WILSON, Jack punt 48 yards to the SYR22, PENA, Trebor returned 4 yards to the SYR26 (COLLIER, Reise). PENALTY SYR Running Into the kicker enforced 5 yards from the OHI30 to the OHI35 and results in a 1ST DOWN [FAKE PUNT]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 12:28
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
83.4%
Rickey Hunt Jr. run for 3 yds to the OHIO 38Similar
Q2 12:28
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+6
82.9%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Rickey Hunt Jr. for 6 yds to the OHIO 44Similar
Q2 12:28
3RD & 1
OWN 44
-2
82.8%
Rickey Hunt Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the OHIO 42Similar
Q2 9:03
4TH & 3
OWN 42
0
82.1%
Jack Wilson punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Trebor Pena at the SYR 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 6FG
17 plays · 73 yds · 7:0183% → 83%
Q2 9:03
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+9
82.9%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Will Nixon for 9 yds to the SYR 27Similar
Q2 9:03
2ND & 1
OWN 27
0
83.5%
Will Nixon run for no gain to the SYR 27Similar
Q2 9:03
3RD & 1
OWN 27
+3
82.7%
Kyle McCord run for 3 yds to the SYR 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:03
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+8
83.1%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Darrell Gill Jr. for 8 yds to the SYR 38Similar
Q2 9:03
3RD & 2
OWN 38
+8
83.4%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Umari Hatcher for 8 yds to the SYR 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:03
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-9
84.0%
Kyle McCord sacked by Bradley Weaver for a loss of 9 yards to the SYR 37Similar
Q2 9:03
2ND & 19
OWN 37
+6
83.0%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Will Nixon for 6 yds to the SYR 43Similar
Q2 9:03
2ND & 2
OWN 38
0
83.9%
Kyle McCord pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:03
3RD & 13
OWN 43
+15
82.8%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Trebor Pena for 15 yds to the OHIO 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:03
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+6
84.2%
Trebor Pena run for 6 yds to the OHIO 36Similar
Q2 9:03
2ND & 4
OPP 36
+9
84.2%
Kyle McCord pass complete to LeQuint Allen for 9 yds to the OHIO 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:03
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
84.5%
LeQuint Allen run for 3 yds to the OHIO 24Similar
Q2 9:03
2ND & 7
OPP 24
+12
84.5%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Zeed Haynes for 12 yds to the OHIO 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:03
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-1
84.5%
Kyle McCord run for a loss of 1 yard to the OHIO 13Similar
Q2 9:03
2ND & 11
OPP 13
+4
84.5%
LeQuint Allen run for 4 yds to the OHIO 9Similar
Q2 9:03
3RD & 7
OPP 9
0
84.1%
Kyle McCord pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:02
4TH & 7
OPP 9
+26
82.5%
Brady Denaburg 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 7FG
9 plays · 72 yds · 1:1318% → 23%
Q2 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
82.1%
Syracuse Penalty, Personal Foul (Justin Barron) to the SYR 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
79.3%
Parker Navarro pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
79.3%
NAVARRO, Parker pass short to the right incomplete thrown to the SYR0. PENALTY SYR Holding enforced half the distance from the goal, 2 yards from the SYR5 to the SYR3 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 1:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-4
78.5%
Parker Navarro run for a loss of 4 yards to the SYR 7Similar
Q2 0:58
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
77.4%
Parker Navarro run for 4 yds to the SYR 3Similar
Q2 0:58
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
78.5%
Parker Navarro pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:49
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+20
76.6%
Gianni Spetic 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 8TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 0:4480% → 88%
Q2 0:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
79.5%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Oronde Gadsden II for 18 yds to the SYR 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:49
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
81.0%
Kyle McCord pass complete to LeQuint Allen for no gain to the SYR 43Similar
Q2 0:49
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+21
80.4%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Oronde Gadsden II for 21 yds to the OHIO 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:49
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
81.7%
Kyle McCord pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:18
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+8
81.5%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Oronde Gadsden II for 8 yds to the OHIO 28Similar
Q2 0:18
3RD & 2
OPP 28
+8
81.3%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Jackson Meeks for 8 yds to the OHIO 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:18
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
82.2%
Kyle McCord pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:05
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+20
88.3%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Trebor Pena for 20 yds for a TD (Brady Denaburg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 9END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
86.9%
[NHSG] Kneel down by NAVARRO, Parker at OHI24 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:4887% → 86%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
87.1%
Trebor Pena run for 2 yds to the SYR 26Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 8
OWN 26
0
87.1%
Kyle McCord pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 8
OWN 26
0
86.4%
Kyle McCord pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:06
4TH & 8
OWN 26
0
85.8%
Jack Stonehouse punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Coleman Owen at the OHIO 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 11TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 2:2214% → 26%
Q3 14:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+21
86.0%
Anthony Tyus III run for 21 yds to the OHIO 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:06
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+20
84.7%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Coleman Owen for 20 yds to the SYR 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:06
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+13
83.6%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Coleman Owen for 13 yds to the SYR 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:06
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+8
83.3%
Parker Navarro run for 8 yds to the SYR 13Similar
Q3 11:44
2ND & 2
OPP 13
+13
73.7%
Anthony Tyus III run for 13 yds for a TD (Gianni Spetic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 12TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 5:0778% → 88%
Q3 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+27
77.9%
LeQuint Allen run for 27 yds to the OHIO 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:44
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
80.3%
LeQuint Allen run for 3 yds to the OHIO 45Similar
Q3 11:44
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+5
80.3%
Will Nixon run for 5 yds to the OHIO 40Similar
Q3 11:44
3RD & 2
OPP 40
+4
80.0%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Trebor Pena for 4 yds to the OHIO 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:44
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+10
80.4%
LeQuint Allen run for 10 yds to the OHIO 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:44
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+16
80.9%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Oronde Gadsden II for 16 yds to the OHIO 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
80.9%
LeQuint Allen run for 2 yds to the OHIO 8Similar
Q3 11:44
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
80.9%
Kyle McCord run for 3 yds to the OHIO 5Similar
Q3 6:37
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
87.6%
Kyle McCord pass complete to LeQuint Allen for 5 yds for a TD (Brady Denaburg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 13PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 1:0614% → 13%
Q3 6:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
86.0%
Parker Navarro pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:37
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-6
86.1%
Parker Navarro sacked by Fadil Diggs for a loss of 6 yards to the OHIO 19Similar
Q3 5:42
3RD & 16
OWN 19
0
86.6%
Parker Navarro pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:31
4TH & 16
OWN 19
+2
87.1%
Jack Wilson punt for 50 yds , Trebor Pena returns for 2 yds to the SYR 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 14TD
5 plays · 67 yds · 1:5787% → 95%
Q3 5:31
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
87.3%
Yasin Willis run for 3 yds to the SYR 36Similar
Q3 5:31
2ND & 7
OWN 36
0
87.8%
Kyle McCord pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:31
3RD & 7
OWN 36
+35
87.0%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Jackson Meeks for 35 yds to the OHIO 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:31
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+15
89.1%
LeQuint Allen run for 15 yds to the OHIO 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:34
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
95.0%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Trebor Pena for 14 yds for a TD (Brady Denaburg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:428% → 6%
Q3 3:28
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
92.2%
Anthony Tyus III run for no gain to the OHIO 19Similar
Q3 3:28
2ND & 10
OWN 19
0
92.4%
Parker Navarro pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:28
3RD & 10
OWN 19
+6
92.6%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Chase Hendricks for 6 yds to the OHIO 25Similar
Q3 1:46
4TH & 4
OWN 25
+3
93.6%
Jack Wilson punt for 46 yds , Trebor Pena returns for 3 yds to the SYR 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 16TD
8 plays · 68 yds · 3:1695% → 99%
Q3 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+42
94.8%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Zeed Haynes for 42 yds to the OHIO 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:46
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
95.2%
Kyle McCord pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:46
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+7
95.1%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Oronde Gadsden II for 7 yds to the OHIO 19Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 3
OPP 19
+10
95.3%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Oronde Gadsden II for 10 yds to the OHIO 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+8
95.5%
Yasin Willis run for 8 yds to the OHIO 1Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
95.5%
Yasin Willis run for no gain to the OHIO 1Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
95.4%
Yasin Willis run for no gain to the OHIO 1Similar
Q4 13:30
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.1%
Trebor Pena run for 1 yd for a TD (Brady Denaburg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 17TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:081% → 7%
Q4 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
98.8%
Anthony Tyus III run for 2 yds to the OHIO 27Similar
Q4 13:30
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+27
98.7%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Coleman Owen for 27 yds to the SYR 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:30
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
98.7%
Parker Navarro pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:22
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+46
93.1%
Anthony Tyus III run for 46 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 17 yds · 1:4896% → 97%
Q4 12:17
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+10
96.4%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Zeed Haynes for 10 yds to the SYR 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:17
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
96.5%
Will Nixon run for 4 yds to the SYR 38Similar
Q4 12:17
2ND & 6
OWN 38
+3
96.7%
Kyle McCord run for 3 yds to the SYR 41Similar
Q4 12:17
3RD & 3
OWN 41
0
96.7%
Kyle McCord pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:29
4TH & 3
OWN 41
0
96.6%
Jack Stonehouse punt for 52 yds, downed at the OHIO 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 19INT
7 plays · 60 yds · 3:405% → 6%
Q4 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+27
95.5%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Coleman Owen for 27 yds to the OHIO 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+8
94.8%
Anthony Tyus III run for 8 yds to the OHIO 42Similar
Q4 10:29
2ND & 2
OWN 42
+9
94.7%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Coleman Owen for 9 yds to the SYR 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:29
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
94.5%
Parker Navarro run for 7 yds to the SYR 42Similar
Q4 10:29
2ND & 3
OPP 42
+4
94.2%
Anthony Tyus III run for 4 yds to the SYR 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:29
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+5
94.5%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Coleman Owen for 5 yds to the SYR 33Similar
Q4 6:49
2ND & 5
OPP 33
-8
94.0%
Parker Navarro pass intercepted James Heard Jr. return for 8 yds to the SYR 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 20INT
6 plays · 9 yds · 3:1197% → 98%
Q4 6:49
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
97.2%
LeQuint Allen run for 2 yds to the SYR 37Similar
Q4 6:49
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+14
97.2%
LeQuint Allen run for 14 yds to the OHIO 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:49
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
97.4%
LeQuint Allen run for 2 yds to the OHIO 47Similar
Q4 6:49
2ND & 8
OPP 47
+1
97.4%
LeQuint Allen run for 1 yd to the OHIO 46Similar
Q4 6:49
3RD & 7
OPP 46
-10
97.3%
MCCORD, Kyle pass deep to the left complete for 44 yards to GADSDEN II, Oronde caught at the OHI20 and advanced to the OHI2 (PEARSON, Tank). PENALTY SYR Holding enforced 10 yards from the OHI46 to the SYR44 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 3:38
3RD & 17
OWN 44
0
97.8%
Kyle McCord pass intercepted Tank Pearson return for no gain to the OHIO 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 21DOWNS
13 plays · 66 yds · 2:503% → 3%
Q4 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-2
97.0%
Parker Navarro sacked by Fadil Diggs for a loss of 2 yards to the OHIO 12Similar
Q4 3:38
2ND & 12
OWN 12
+10
97.0%
NAVARRO, Parker pass deep to the left incomplete thrown to the OHI30. PENALTY SYR Holding enforced 10 yards from the OHI12 to the OHI22 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+11
97.0%
Parker Navarro run for 11 yds to the OHIO 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+6
96.6%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Anthony Tyus III for 6 yds to the OHIO 39Similar
Q4 3:38
2ND & 4
OWN 39
0
96.6%
Parker Navarro pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:38
3RD & 4
OWN 39
+3
96.6%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Coleman Owen for 3 yds to the OHIO 42Similar
Q4 3:38
4TH & 1
OWN 42
+15
96.7%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Coleman Owen for 15 yds to the SYR 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:38
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+16
96.5%
Parker Navarro run for 16 yds to the SYR 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:38
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+5
95.8%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Caleb Gossett for 5 yds to the SYR 22Similar
Q4 3:38
2ND & 5
OPP 22
+3
95.7%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Rodney Harris II for 3 yds to the SYR 19Similar
Q4 0:52
3RD & 2
OPP 19
0
97.0%
Parker Navarro pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:48
4TH & 2
OPP 19
-1
97.1%
Parker Navarro run for a loss of 1 yard to the SYR 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 22END OF GAME
1 play · 3 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
98.7%
LeQuint Allen run for 3 yds to the SYR 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 11:44
Anthony Tyus III run for 13 yds for a TD (Gianni Spetic KICK)
-9.6
TD · Q3 6:37
Kyle McCord pass complete to LeQuint Allen for 5 yds for a TD (Brady Denaburg KICK)
+6.7
TD · Q2 0:05
Kyle McCord pass complete to Trebor Pena for 20 yds for a TD (Brady Denaburg KICK)
+6.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com