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YSU

Youngstown State 17 at Pittsburgh 73

PITT
2024 · Week 4 · Sep 21, 2024 · Acrisure Stadium
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Win probability · PITT
modelPITT aheadYSU aheadconfidence bandkey playPITT scoreYSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 13:30 · Brendon Kilpatrick punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Kenny Johnson at the PITT 8
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+46.0+23.00−23.0−46.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 120Pregame prior+15.5Home team on offense+35.0Score differential+29.0Blowout margin+15.0Garbage-time factor+9.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+6.4
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 12:33: Andrew Lastovka 46 yd FG GOOD — YSU win probability +1.1 pts (now 5%) (top driver: YSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 8:08: Daniel Carter run for 43 yds for a TD (Ben Sauls KICK) — PITT win probability +1.8 pts (now 98%) (top driver: PITT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 1:52: Beau Brungard pass complete to Cyrus Traugh for 25 yds for a TD (Andrew Lastovka KICK) — YSU win probability +4.0 pts (now 5%) (top driver: YSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 1:34: Eli Holstein pass complete to Censere Lee for 82 yds for a TD (Ben Sauls KICK) — PITT win probability +4.2 pts (now 99%) (top driver: PITT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 9:23: Beau Brungard pass complete to Cyrus Traugh for 44 yds for a TD (Andrew Lastovka KICK) — YSU win probability +1.9 pts (now 3%) (top driver: YSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
PITT made the numbers' call on 4 of 4YSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 9:08YSU 4th & 28 at YSU 7, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.9%−0.2
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:46YSU 4th & 11 at YSU 18, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.7%−0.2
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:38PITT 4th & 1 at PITT 48, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 95.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    95.0%−0.3
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:33YSU 4th & 5 at PITT 28, down 21
    Close callKicked a field goal · 3.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.4%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    3.3%−<0.1
    60% to make
    Punt
    2.6%−0.8
    average punt
  5. Q2 4:35YSU 4th & 3 at PITT 45, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    1.3%−0.1
    25% to make
    Punt
    1.4%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q3 10:20PITT 4th & 28 at PITT 5, up 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.3%−0.3
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.5%
    average punt
  7. Q3 6:52PITT 4th & 9 at YSU 31, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.1%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.1%
    54% to make
    Punt
    98.9%−0.2
    average punt
  8. Q3 4:48YSU 4th & 5 at YSU 30, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  9. Q4 13:30YSU 4th & 11 at PITT 48, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  10. Q4 6:26YSU 4th & 13 at YSU 22, down 49
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  11. Q4 3:35PITT 4th & 1 at PITT 43, up 49
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    100.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    99.9%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
PITT made the numbers' call on 9 of 10YSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 11:27PITT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:30PITT Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 3:33PITT Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 10:34PITT Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 8:08PITT Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 1:52YSU Touchdown, down 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 1:34PITT Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 9:23YSU Touchdown, down 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 1:32PITT Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 10:30PITT Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 8:36PITT Touchdown, up 48 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  12. Q4 3:35PITT Touchdown, up 55 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
PITTDrive 1TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 3:3296% → 96%
Q1 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
95.9%
Derrick Davis Jr. run for 3 yds to the PITT 28Similar
Q1 14:40
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+5
95.8%
Eli Holstein pass complete to Gavin Bartholomew for 5 yds to the PITT 33Similar
Q1 14:18
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+3
95.8%
Derrick Davis Jr. run for 3 yds to the PITT 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
95.7%
Eli Holstein pass complete to Kenny Johnson for 9 yds to the PITT 45Similar
Q1 13:22
2ND & 1
OWN 45
+6
95.6%
Eli Holstein run for 6 yds to the YSU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:01
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+32
95.6%
Eli Holstein run for 32 yds to the YSU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:37
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
95.5%
Derrick Davis Jr. run for 2 yds to the YSU 15Similar
Q1 12:05
2ND & 8
OPP 15
+14
95.4%
Eli Holstein pass complete to Derrick Davis Jr. for 14 yds to the YSU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
95.4%
(11:39) DAVIS JR., Derrick rush up the middle for a gain of 1 yard to the YSU0, TOUCHDOWN PITT, score nullified by penalty, clock 11:40 (Play was confirmed after review). PENALTY Before the snap, PITT Illegal Formation enforced 5 yards from the YSU1 to the YSU6. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 11:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
95.3%
Eli Holstein pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
95.3%
Eli Holstein pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:27
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
95.5%
Eli Holstein pass complete to Raphael Williams Jr. for 6 yds for a TD (Ben Sauls KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
YSUDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · -18 yds · 2:195% → 5%
Q1 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
95.4%
Youngstown State Penalty, Illegal Snap on PARKER, Aidan enforced (-5 Yards) to the YSU 15Similar
Q1 11:14
1ST & 15
OWN 20
-18
95.4%
run for a loss of 18 yards to the YSU 2 fumbled, recovered by YSU return for 0 ydsSimilar
Q1 10:30
2ND & 33
OWN 2
+1
95.3%
Tyshon King run for 1 yd to the YSU 3Similar
Q1 9:55
3RD & 32
OWN 3
+4
95.3%
Tyshon King run for 4 yds to the YSU 7Similar
Q1 9:08
4TH & 28
OWN 7
+17
95.2%
Brendon Kilpatrick punt for 52 yds , Kenny Johnson returns for 17 yds to the YSU 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 3TD
2 plays · 42 yds · 0:2695% → 96%
Q1 8:56
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+18
95.2%
Eli Holstein pass complete to Konata Mumpfield for 18 yds to the YSU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+24
95.7%
Daniel Carter run for 24 yds for a TD (Ben Sauls KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
YSUDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:365% → 5%
Q1 8:22
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
95.4%
Beau Brungard pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:16
2ND & 10
OWN 19
-3
95.5%
Beau Brungard run for a loss of 3 yards to the YSU 16Similar
Q1 7:27
3RD & 13
OWN 16
+2
95.5%
Beau Brungard run for 2 yds to the YSU 18Similar
Q1 6:46
4TH & 11
OWN 18
+12
95.5%
Brendon Kilpatrick punt for 55 yds , Kenny Johnson returns for 12 yds to the PITT 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 5TD
7 plays · 61 yds · 3:0196% → 96%
Q1 6:34
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
95.6%
Derrick Davis Jr. run for 2 yds to the PITT 41Similar
Q1 5:59
2ND & 8
OWN 41
-2
95.6%
Eli Holstein pass complete to Gavin Bartholomew for a loss of 2 yards to the PITT 39Similar
Q1 5:31
3RD & 10
OWN 39
+9
95.5%
Eli Holstein run for 9 yds to the PITT 48Similar
Q1 4:38
4TH & 1
OWN 48
+12
95.5%
Derrick Davis Jr. run for 12 yds to the YSU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:14
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
95.6%
Eli Holstein run for no gain to the YSU 40Similar
Q1 3:57
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+35
95.6%
Eli Holstein pass complete to Raphael Williams Jr. for 35 yds to the YSU 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
96.4%
Eli Holstein run for 2 yds for a TD (Ben Sauls KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
YSUDrive 6FG
13 plays · 47 yds · 5:564% → 5%
Q1 3:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
96.4%
Ethan Wright run for 9 yds to the YSU 34Similar
Q1 2:55
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+9
96.3%
Beau Brungard pass complete to Max Tomczak for 9 yds to the YSU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
96.4%
Beau Brungard pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:11
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+9
96.5%
Beau Brungard pass complete to Ethan Wright for 9 yds to the PITT 48Similar
Q1 1:27
3RD & 1
OPP 48
+3
96.4%
Tyshon King run for 3 yds to the PITT 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+12
96.4%
Beau Brungard pass complete to Cyrus Traugh for 12 yds to the PITT 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:10
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-7
96.4%
Youngstown State Penalty, Offensive Holding (-7 Yards) to the PITT 47Similar
Q2 14:57
1ST & 17
OPP 40
+5
96.6%
Beau Brungard pass complete to Luke Hensley for 5 yds to the PITT 35Similar
Q2 14:31
2ND & 12
OPP 35
-5
96.5%
Youngstown State Penalty, Illegal Substitution (TEAM) to the PITT 40Similar
Q2 14:03
2ND & 17
OPP 40
+11
96.7%
Beau Brungard pass complete to Ethan Wright for 11 yds to the PITT 29Similar
Q2 13:20
3RD & 6
OPP 29
+1
96.3%
Beau Brungard run for 1 yd to the PITT 28Similar
Q2 12:33
4TH & 5
OPP 28
+46
95.2%
Andrew Lastovka 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 7TD
5 plays · 74 yds · 1:5196% → 96%
Q2 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+25
95.6%
Eli Holstein pass complete to Raphael Williams Jr. for 25 yds to the YSU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:47
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+31
95.8%
Youngstown State Penalty, Personal Foul (31 Yards) to the YSU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
95.7%
Eli Holstein pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
-1
95.7%
Eli Holstein pass complete to Kenny Johnson for a loss of 1 yard to the YSU 10Similar
Q2 10:34
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
95.5%
Eli Holstein pass complete to Kenny Johnson for 10 yds for a TD (Ben Sauls KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
YSUDrive 8INT
6 plays · 9 yds · 2:025% → 5%
Q2 10:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
95.2%
Beau Brungard pass complete to Cyrus Traugh for 6 yds to the YSU 31Similar
Q2 10:01
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
94.9%
Beau Brungard pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:52
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+5
95.0%
Beau Brungard run for 5 yds to the YSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-2
94.8%
Ethan Wright run for a loss of 2 yards to the YSU 34Similar
Q2 8:33
2ND & 12
OWN 34
0
95.5%
Beau Brungard pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:30
3RD & 12
OWN 34
0
95.5%
Beau Brungard pass intercepted Kyle Louis return for no gain to the YSU 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 9TD
2 plays · 43 yds · 0:1497% → 98%
Q2 8:22
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
96.6%
Eli Holstein pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:08
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+43
98.3%
Daniel Carter run for 43 yds for a TD (Ben Sauls KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
YSUDrive 10TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 6:131% → 5%
Q2 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
98.6%
Da'Shaun Whatley run for 6 yds to the YSU 31Similar
Q2 7:26
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+17
98.4%
Beau Brungard pass complete to Richard Dandridge for 17 yds to the YSU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
98.5%
Da'Shaun Whatley run for 5 yds to the PITT 47Similar
Q2 6:01
2ND & 5
OPP 47
+2
98.4%
Da'Shaun Whatley run for 2 yds to the PITT 45Similar
Q2 5:20
3RD & 3
OPP 45
0
98.5%
Tyshon King run for no gain to the PITT 45Similar
Q2 4:35
4TH & 3
OPP 45
+6
98.5%
Beau Brungard pass complete to Max Tomczak for 6 yds to the PITT 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:49
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
98.6%
Beau Brungard pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:44
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+11
98.6%
Beau Brungard pass complete to Max Tomczak for 11 yds to the PITT 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:53
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
98.8%
Ethan Wright run for 4 yds to the PITT 24Similar
Q2 2:08
2ND & 6
OPP 24
-1
98.7%
Tyshon King run for a loss of 1 yard to the PITT 25Similar
Q2 1:52
3RD & 7
OPP 25
+25
95.0%
Beau Brungard pass complete to Cyrus Traugh for 25 yds for a TD (Andrew Lastovka KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 11TD
1 play · 82 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q2 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+82
99.2%
Eli Holstein pass complete to Censere Lee for 82 yds for a TD (Ben Sauls KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
YSUDrive 12END OF HALF
7 plays · 3 yds · 1:181% → 1%
Q2 1:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.2%
Beau Brungard pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:29
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.2%
Tyshon King run for 3 yds to the YSU 28Similar
Q2 1:21
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+14
99.3%
Beau Brungard pass complete to Max Tomczak for 14 yds to the YSU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-15
99.1%
(01:04) BRUNGARD, Beau pass short to the left incomplete intended for SECHREST, Colt broken up by BASS, Jordan at the YSU45; QB hurried by GEORGE, Brandon, clock 01:00. PENALTY YSU Chop Block on KING, Tyshon enforced 15 yards from the YSU42 to the YSU27 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 0:49
1ST & 25
OWN 27
+1
99.2%
Da'Shaun Whatley run for 1 yd to the YSU 28Similar
Q2 0:13
2ND & 24
OWN 28
0
99.2%
Da'Shaun Whatley run for no gain to the YSU 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
YSUDrive 13FUMBLE
8 plays · 60 yds · 3:031% → 1%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+24
99.2%
Beau Brungard pass complete to Jawon Hall for 24 yds to the YSU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:18
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+15
99.2%
Pittsburgh Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Rasheem Biles) to the PITT 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:53
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+8
99.2%
Ethan Wright run for 8 yds to the PITT 27Similar
Q3 13:07
2ND & 2
OPP 27
-5
99.2%
Youngstown State Penalty, False Start (Van Keen) to the PITT 32Similar
Q3 12:43
2ND & 7
OPP 32
0
99.2%
Beau Brungard pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:38
3RD & 7
OPP 32
+22
99.2%
Beau Brungard pass complete to Tyshon King for 22 yds to the PITT 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-5
99.4%
Beau Brungard pass complete to Ethan Wright for a loss of 5 yards Ethan Wright fumbled, recovered by PITT Rashad Battle R. Battle return for 8 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · -18 yds · 1:2499% → 100%
Q3 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-1
99.4%
Eli Holstein pass complete to Gavin Bartholomew for a loss of 1 yard to the PITT 22Similar
Q3 11:17
2ND & 11
OWN 22
-17
99.5%
Eli Holstein sacked by Jaelen Crider for a loss of 17 yards to the PITT 5Similar
Q3 10:29
3RD & 28
OWN 5
0
99.5%
Eli Holstein pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:20
4TH & 28
OWN 5
0
99.5%
Caleb Junko punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Cyrus Traugh at the PITT 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
YSUDrive 15TD
2 plays · 47 yds · 0:511% → 3%
Q3 10:14
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
99.4%
Tyshon King run for 3 yds to the PITT 44Similar
Q3 9:23
2ND & 7
OPP 44
+44
97.5%
Beau Brungard pass complete to Cyrus Traugh for 44 yds for a TD (Andrew Lastovka KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 16FG
8 plays · 37 yds · 2:2299% → 100%
Q3 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+9
98.7%
Daniel Carter run for 9 yds to the PITT 41Similar
Q3 8:55
2ND & 1
OWN 41
+15
99.1%
(08:55) HOLSTEIN, Eli pass deep to the right incomplete intended for MUMPFIELD, Konata thrown to the YSU16, clock 08:50. PENALTY YSU Pass Interference on EDWARDS, Payton enforced 15 yards to the YSU44 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 8:48
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
99.1%
Eli Holstein pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:38
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+12
99.1%
Daniel Carter run for 12 yds to the YSU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:02
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
99.1%
Eli Holstein pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:55
2ND & 10
OPP 32
-1
99.1%
Derrick Davis Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the YSU 33Similar
Q3 7:35
3RD & 11
OPP 33
+2
99.1%
Che Nwabuko run for 2 yds to the YSU 31Similar
Q3 6:52
4TH & 9
OPP 31
+49
99.7%
Ben Sauls 49 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
YSUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:580% → 0%
Q3 6:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.7%
Ethan Wright run for 5 yds to the YSU 30Similar
Q3 6:08
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
99.7%
Beau Brungard pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:04
3RD & 5
OWN 30
-15
99.7%
(06:04) BRUNGARD, Beau pass to the left complete for 7 yards to TRAUGH, Cyrus caught at the YSU36 and advanced to the YSU37 (LYNUM, Tamon), out of bounds, clock 06:03. PENALTY YSU Personal Foul on WILLIAMS, Jaison enforced 15 yards from the YSU30 to the YSU15 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 5:35
3RD & 20
OWN 15
+15
99.7%
Beau Brungard pass complete to Ethan Wright for 15 yds to the YSU 30Similar
Q3 4:48
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
99.7%
Brendon Kilpatrick punt for 53 yds, downed at the PITT 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 18TD
9 plays · 83 yds · 3:09100% → 100%
Q3 4:41
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
99.7%
Eli Holstein pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:37
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+6
99.7%
Eli Holstein pass complete to Censere Lee for 6 yds to the PITT 23Similar
Q3 4:06
3RD & 4
OWN 23
+5
99.7%
Eli Holstein pass complete to Raphael Williams Jr. for 5 yds to the PITT 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:31
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+10
99.8%
Eli Holstein run for 10 yds to the PITT 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:04
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
99.8%
Eli Holstein pass complete to Censere Lee for 5 yds to the PITT 43Similar
Q3 2:46
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+4
99.8%
Daniel Carter run for 4 yds to the PITT 47Similar
Q3 2:30
3RD & 1
OWN 47
+2
99.8%
Daniel Carter run for 2 yds to the PITT 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+49
99.8%
Eli Holstein run for 49 yds to the YSU 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.8%
Eli Holstein run for 2 yds for a TD (Ben Sauls KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
YSUDrive 19PUNT
8 plays · 27 yds · 3:000% → 0%
Q3 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.9%
Tyshon King run for 1 yd to the YSU 26Similar
Q3 0:45
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+10
99.9%
Ethan Wright run for 10 yds to the YSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+15
99.9%
Pittsburgh Penalty, Targeting on O'BRIEN JR., Phillip enforced (Phillip O'Brien Jr.) to the PITT 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-5
99.9%
Youngstown State Penalty, Illegal Snap on PARKER, Aidan enforced (Aidan Parker) to the YSU 48Similar
Q4 14:46
1ST & 15
OWN 48
-2
99.9%
Da'Shaun Whatley run for a loss of 2 yards to the YSU 46Similar
Q4 14:20
2ND & 17
OWN 46
+6
99.9%
Beau Brungard pass complete to Max Tomczak for 6 yds to the PITT 48Similar
Q4 13:37
3RD & 11
OPP 48
0
99.9%
Beau Brungard pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:30
4TH & 11
OPP 48
0
99.9%
Brendon Kilpatrick punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Kenny Johnson at the PITT 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 20TD
9 plays · 92 yds · 2:54100% → 100%
Q4 13:24
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+13
99.8%
Nate Yarnell pass complete to Konata Mumpfield for 13 yds to the PITT 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
99.8%
Nate Yarnell pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:52
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+15
99.9%
Daniel Carter run for 15 yds to the PITT 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:33
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+15
99.9%
Nate Yarnell pass complete to Konata Mumpfield for 15 yds to the YSU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:06
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
99.9%
Nate Yarnell run for 7 yds to the YSU 42Similar
Q4 11:30
2ND & 3
OPP 42
+14
99.9%
Nate Yarnell pass complete to Konata Mumpfield for 14 yds to the YSU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:03
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+15
99.9%
Nate Yarnell pass complete to Censere Lee for 15 yds to the YSU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:39
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
99.9%
Nate Yarnell pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:30
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+13
99.9%
Nate Yarnell pass complete to Daniel Carter for 13 yds for a TD (Ben Sauls KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
YSUDrive 21INT TD
4 plays · 10 yds · 1:360% → 0%
Q4 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+5
99.9%
Da'Shaun Whatley run for 5 yds to the YSU 13Similar
Q4 10:02
2ND & 5
OWN 13
+1
99.9%
Max Blanc pass complete to Richard Dandridge for 1 yd to the YSU 14Similar
Q4 9:21
3RD & 4
OWN 14
+4
99.9%
Max Blanc pass complete to Andrew Jacobs for 4 yds to the YSU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:36
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-22
100.0%
Max Blanc pass intercepted Tamarion Crumpley return for 22 yds for a TD (Ben Sauls KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
YSUDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 1:560% → 0%
Q4 8:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
100.0%
Youngstown State Penalty, Illegal Substitution (TEAM) to the YSU 20Similar
Q4 8:13
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+2
100.0%
Cephus Harris III run for 2 yds to the YSU 22Similar
Q4 7:50
2ND & 13
OWN 22
-2
100.0%
Cephus Harris III run for a loss of 2 yards to the YSU 20Similar
Q4 7:09
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+2
100.0%
Brady Shannon run for 2 yds to the YSU 22Similar
Q4 6:26
4TH & 13
OWN 22
0
100.0%
Brendon Kilpatrick punt for 63 yds, downed at the PITT 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 23TD
8 plays · 85 yds · 2:40100% → 100%
Q4 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+6
99.9%
Che Nwabuko run for 6 yds to the PITT 21Similar
Q4 5:48
2ND & 4
OWN 21
+13
99.9%
Nate Yarnell pass complete to Che Nwabuko for 13 yds to the PITT 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-5
99.9%
Pittsburgh Penalty, False Start (TEAM) to the PITT 29Similar
Q4 5:10
1ST & 15
OWN 29
0
99.9%
Nate Yarnell pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:04
2ND & 15
OWN 29
+12
99.9%
Nate Yarnell pass complete to Zion Fowler-El for 12 yds to the PITT 41Similar
Q4 4:34
3RD & 3
OWN 41
-5
99.9%
Pittsburgh Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the PITT 36Similar
Q4 4:18
3RD & 8
OWN 36
+7
99.9%
Nate Yarnell pass complete to Benny Haselrig for 7 yds to the PITT 43Similar
Q4 3:35
4TH & 1
OWN 43
+57
100.0%
Che Nwabuko run for 57 yds for a TD (Sam Carpenter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
YSUDrive 24END OF GAME
7 plays · 38 yds · 3:020% → 0%
Q4 3:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
100.0%
Da'Shaun Whatley run for 1 yd to the YSU 26Similar
Q4 2:47
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+15
100.0%
Pittsburgh Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Jeremiah Marcelin) to the YSU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+16
100.0%
Jaden Gilbert run for 16 yds to the PITT 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:55
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
100.0%
Jaden Gilbert run for 1 yd to the PITT 40Similar
Q4 1:14
2ND & 9
OPP 40
+3
100.0%
Cephus Harris III run for 3 yds to the PITT 37Similar
Q4 0:30
3RD & 6
OPP 37
0
100.0%
Cephus Harris III run for no gain to the PITT 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 1:34
Eli Holstein pass complete to Censere Lee for 82 yds for a TD (Ben Sauls KICK)
+4.2
TD · Q2 1:52
Beau Brungard pass complete to Cyrus Traugh for 25 yds for a TD (Andrew Lastovka KICK)
-4
TD · Q3 9:23
Beau Brungard pass complete to Cyrus Traugh for 44 yds for a TD (Andrew Lastovka KICK)
-1.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com