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SIU

Southern Illinois 13 at BYU 41

BYU
2024 · Week 1 · Aug 31, 2024 · LaVell Edwards Stadium
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Win probability · BYU
modelBYU aheadSIU aheadconfidence bandkey playBYU scoreSIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 14:10 · Paul Geelen punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Parker Kingston at the BYU 42
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorBlowout margin
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 41Home team on offense+5.1Pregame prior+20.8Score differential+1.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.6Garbage-time factor+0.8Blowout margin+0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 1:56: Jojo Phillips 57 Yd pass from Jake Retzlaff (Will Ferrin Kick) — BYU win probability +5.1 pts (now 82%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:46: DJ Williams run for 4 yds for a TD (Paul Geelen PAT MISSED) — SIU win probability +5.3 pts (now 20%) (top driver: Defense has -5 timeouts left).
  3. TD · Q3 11:19: LJ Martin 7 Yd pass from Jake Retzlaff (Will Ferrin Kick) — BYU win probability +7.8 pts (now 94%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 8:12: Mata'ava Ta'ase 19 Yd pass from Jake Retzlaff (Will Ferrin Kick) — BYU win probability +4.5 pts (now 98%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 4:19: Timeout BYU, clock 04:19 — BYU win probability +4.6 pts (now 97%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BYU made the numbers' call on 5 of 8SIU made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 13:28SIU 4th & 6 at SIU 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.6%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:25BYU 4th & 3 at SIU 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 51.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    51.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    51.1%−0.3
    28% to make
    Punt
    51.2%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:28BYU 4th & 4 at SIU 9, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 51.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    51.7%
    43% to convert
    Field goal
    51.7%−0.1
    89% to make
    Punt
    50.3%−1.4
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:17SIU 4th & 17 at SIU 43, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.6%−0.9
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.5%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:10SIU 4th & 19 at SIU 17, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.8%−2.6
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.4%
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:26BYU 4th & 4 at SIU 18, up 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 69.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.7%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    69.4%−0.3
    79% to make
    Punt
    62.6%−7.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:12SIU 4th & 10 at SIU 31, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.2%−1.7
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.9%
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:29BYU 4th & 5 at SIU 30, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 73.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    73.2%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    73.0%−0.2
    56% to make
    Punt
    71.3%−1.9
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:40BYU 4th & 3 at SIU 6, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 75.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    75.7%
    46% to convert
    Field goal
    74.9%−0.8
    91% to make
    Punt
    68.3%−7.4
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:39SIU 4th & 11 at SIU 36, down 18
    Numbers favored punt by 1.9 ptsWent for it · 12.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.1%−1.9
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    13.0%
    average punt
  11. Q3 0:27BYU 4th & 5 at SIU 47, up 18
    Close callPunted · 94.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.7%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.6%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 0:00SIU 4th & 10 at SIU 11, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.3%−1.5
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.8%
    average punt
  13. Q4 7:09BYU 4th & 13 at SIU 23, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.4%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.6%
    70% to make
    Punt
    98.9%−0.7
    average punt
  14. Q4 5:47SIU 4th & 5 at SIU 30, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  15. Q4 3:12BYU 4th & 1 at BYU 31, up 28
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    100.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 2:17SIU 4th & 5 at SIU 26, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BYU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5SIU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 6:16BYU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    54.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:56BYU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:46SIU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    32.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 11:19BYU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 8:12BYU Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 4:19SIU Touchdown, down 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    6.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    6.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 12:35BYU Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SIUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:2622% → 23%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
77.6%
DJ Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:47
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
77.6%
Shaun Lester Jr. run for 3 yds to the SIU 28Similar
Q1 14:02
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+1
77.4%
DJ Williams run for 1 yd to the SIU 29Similar
Q1 13:28
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
77.4%
Paul Geelen punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 2TD
15 plays · 65 yds · 7:0577% → 79%
Q1 13:21
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
77.3%
Hinckley Ropati run for 3 yds to the BYU 38Similar
Q1 12:49
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+2
77.2%
Hinckley Ropati run for 2 yds to the BYU 40Similar
Q1 12:05
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+10
77.0%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Keelan Marion to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:27
1ST & 10
50
+2
77.1%
Jake Retzlaff run for 2 yds to the SIU 48 Jake Retzlaff fumbled, recovered by BYU Connor PaySimilar
Q1 10:45
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+6
77.0%
Hinckley Ropati run for 6 yds to the SIU 42Similar
Q1 10:06
3RD & 2
OPP 42
+1
76.9%
LJ Martin run for 1 yd to the SIU 43Similar
Q1 9:25
4TH & 3
OPP 43
+6
76.5%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Chase Roberts for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:44
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+7
76.6%
Chase Roberts run for 7 yds to the SIU 30Similar
Q1 8:08
2ND & 3
OPP 30
+15
76.6%
(08:13) Shotgun Kingston,Parker pass incomplete deep right to Ta'ase,Mata'ava thrown to SIU09 PENALTY SIU Pass Interference (Brown,Iverson) 15 yards from SIU30 to SIU15, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
76.6%
Hinckley Ropati run for no gain to the SIU 15Similar
Q1 7:27
2ND & 10
OPP 15
0
76.4%
Jake Retzlaff pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:19
3RD & 10
OPP 15
+6
76.2%
Jake Retzlaff run for 6 yds to the SIU 9Similar
Q1 6:28
4TH & 4
OPP 9
+8
75.8%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Chase Roberts for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
78.6%
Hinckley Ropati run for 1 yd for a TD (Will Ferrin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SIUDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 2:5322% → 22%
Q1 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
77.7%
DJ Williams run for 6 yds to the SIU 31Similar
Q1 5:49
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+19
77.4%
DJ Williams run for 19 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:16
1ST & 10
50
-11
76.9%
DJ Williams sacked by Isaiah Bagnah for a loss of 11 yards to the SIU 39Similar
Q1 4:30
2ND & 21
OWN 39
+7
77.7%
DJ Williams pass complete to Ryan SchwendemanSimilar
Q1 3:57
3RD & 14
OWN 46
-3
77.8%
DJ Williams pass complete to Vinson Davis IIISimilar
Q1 3:17
4TH & 17
OWN 43
0
78.2%
Paul Geelen punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Parker Kingston at the BYU 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 4TD
8 plays · 86 yds · 1:1878% → 82%
Q1 3:14
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
77.7%
Jake Retzlaff pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:07
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+5
77.7%
Hinckley Ropati run for 5 yds to the BYU 19Similar
Q1 2:28
3RD & 5
OWN 19
+24
77.2%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Chase Roberts for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+57
82.3%
Jojo Phillips 57 Yd pass from Jake Retzlaff (Will Ferrin Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SIUDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 2:3519% → 19%
Q1 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+2
80.7%
Shaun Lester Jr. run for 2 yds to the SIU 14Similar
Q1 1:24
2ND & 8
OWN 14
+12
80.9%
DJ Williams run for 12 yds to the SIU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
80.7%
Shaun Lester Jr. run for no gain to the SIU 26Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+4
81.1%
Keontez Lewis run for 4 yds to the SIU 22Similar
Q2 14:53
3RD & 14
OWN 22
-5
81.2%
DJ Williams sacked by John Nelson for a loss of 5 yards to the SIU 17Similar
Q2 14:10
4TH & 19
OWN 17
0
81.3%
Paul Geelen punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Parker Kingston at the BYU 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 6MISSED FG
10 plays · 40 yds · 4:3185% → 86%
Q2 13:57
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+13
85.1%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Chase Roberts for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:25
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-13
85.4%
(13:32) Shotgun Retzlaff,Jake pass complete short right to Epps,Kody caught at SIU32, for 13 yards to the SIU32, End Of Play PENALTY BYU Illegal Touch-Pass (Epps,Kody). NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:59
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+7
85.5%
LJ Martin run for 7 yds to the SIU 38Similar
Q2 12:22
3RD & 3
OPP 38
+4
85.3%
LJ Martin run for 4 yds to the SIU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:43
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
86.1%
Jake Retzlaff pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:35
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+10
86.1%
LJ Martin run for 10 yds to the SIU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:51
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
86.4%
Jake Retzlaff pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:43
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+3
86.4%
Chase Roberts run for 3 yds to the SIU 21Similar
Q2 10:01
3RD & 7
OPP 21
+3
86.3%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Kody EppsSimilar
Q2 9:26
4TH & 4
OPP 18
+36
86.0%
Will Ferrin 36 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SIUDrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 11 yds · 1:0618% → 16%
Q2 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
82.5%
DJ Williams run for 6 yds to the SIU 26Similar
Q2 8:41
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+5
82.3%
DJ Williams pass complete to Bradley Clark for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:37
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
82.2%
DJ Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:32
2ND & 10
OWN 31
0
82.6%
DJ Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:27
3RD & 10
OWN 31
0
84.1%
DJ Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:12
4TH & 10
OWN 31
+7
84.4%
Paul Geelen punt for 65 yds , Parker Kingston returns for 7 yds to the BYU 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 8DOWNS
10 plays · 59 yds · 4:3687% → 87%
Q2 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+9
87.0%
Hinckley Ropati run for 9 yds to the BYU 20Similar
Q2 7:42
2ND & 1
OWN 20
+5
86.9%
Hinckley Ropati run for 5 yds to the BYU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
87.2%
Jake Retzlaff pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:55
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
87.2%
Hinckley Ropati run for 4 yds to the BYU 29Similar
Q2 5:58
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+36
88.0%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Parker Kingston for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:20
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+1
89.3%
Hinckley Ropati run for 1 yd to the SIU 34Similar
Q2 4:41
2ND & 9
OPP 34
-9
88.6%
Jake Retzlaff sacked by Ben Bogle for a loss of 9 yards to the SIU 43Similar
Q2 3:53
3RD & 18
OPP 43
+13
88.3%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Jojo PhillipsSimilar
Q2 3:29
4TH & 5
OPP 30
0
87.3%
Jake Retzlaff pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SIUDrive 9TD
10 plays · 70 yds · 2:3815% → 20%
Q2 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
85.2%
DJ Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:18
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+4
85.5%
Shaun Lester Jr. run for 4 yds to the SIU 34Similar
Q2 2:46
3RD & 6
OWN 34
+43
85.7%
DJ Williams pass complete to Keontez Lewis for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:26
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+9
84.0%
DJ Williams run for 9 yds to the BYU 14Similar
Q2 1:59
2ND & 1
OPP 14
+4
83.8%
Shaun Lester Jr. run for 4 yds to the BYU 18Similar
Q2 1:51
3RD & 5
OPP 18
+8
85.9%
DJ Williams pass complete to Nah'shawn Hezekiah for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+6
85.1%
DJ Williams pass complete to Keontez LewisSimilar
Q2 0:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
79.8%
DJ Williams run for 4 yds for a TD (Paul Geelen PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 10FG
8 plays · 43 yds · 0:3685% → 85%
Q2 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
85.3%
Jake Retzlaff run for 9 yds to the BYU 34Similar
Q2 0:17
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
84.8%
Jake Retzlaff pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:10
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+16
84.2%
Hinckley Ropati run for 16 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:04
1ST & 10
50
+18
85.0%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Chase Roberts for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+50
84.8%
Will Ferrin 50 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 11TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:3384% → 94%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
83.9%
LJ Martin run for 5 yds to the BYU 30Similar
Q3 14:25
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+5
84.1%
PENALTY SIU Delay Of Game (Reeves,Peyton) 5 yards from BYU30 to BYU35, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 13:54
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+52
84.1%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Keelan Marion for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:37
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+5
85.2%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Kody EppsSimilar
Q3 13:04
2ND & 5
OPP 8
+2
85.3%
LJ Martin run for 2 yds to the SIU 6Similar
Q3 12:17
3RD & 3
OPP 6
0
84.8%
Jake Retzlaff run for no gain to the SIU 6Similar
Q3 11:40
4TH & 3
OPP 6
+4
84.4%
LJ Martin run for 4 yds to the SIU 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-5
85.8%
(11:24) Shotgun Retzlaff,Jake pass incomplete short left to Roberts,Chase thrown to SIU04 PENALTY BYU Illegal Shift (Ropati,Hinckley) 5 yards from SIU02 to SIU07. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
93.5%
LJ Martin 7 Yd pass from Jake Retzlaff (Will Ferrin Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SIUDrive 12DOWNS
7 plays · 13 yds · 1:3110% → 9%
Q3 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
90.0%
DJ Williams run for 12 yds to the SIU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:56
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
89.2%
DJ Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:55
2ND & 10
OWN 37
-5
89.5%
PENALTY SIU False Start (Evans,Chase) 5 yards from SIU37 to SIU32. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:36
2ND & 15
OWN 32
+4
90.4%
DJ Williams pass complete to Shaun Lester Jr.Similar
Q3 10:15
3RD & 11
OWN 36
0
91.4%
DJ Williams run for no gain to the SIU 36Similar
Q3 9:39
4TH & 11
OWN 36
+2
91.5%
Paul Geelen run for 2 yds to the SIU 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 13TD
5 plays · 38 yds · 1:1194% → 98%
Q3 9:23
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
93.5%
Parker Kingston run for 4 yds to the SIU 34Similar
Q3 8:54
2ND & 6
OPP 34
0
93.6%
LJ Martin run for no gain to the SIU 34Similar
Q3 8:18
3RD & 6
OPP 34
+15
93.6%
(08:22) Shotgun Retzlaff,Jake pass incomplete short left to Phillips,Jojo thrown to SIU15 PENALTY SIU Pass Interference (Vargas,Sebastian) 15 yards from SIU34 to SIU19, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:12
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
98.1%
Mata'ava Ta'ase 19 Yd pass from Jake Retzlaff (Will Ferrin Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SIUDrive 14TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:465% → 8%
Q3 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
95.5%
Jaelin Benefield run for 3 yds to the SIU 28Similar
Q3 7:45
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+3
95.4%
Jaelin Benefield run for 3 yds to the SIU 25Similar
Q3 7:04
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+13
95.8%
DJ Williams run for 13 yds to the SIU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:44
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+11
95.6%
DJ Williams run for 11 yds to the SIU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:07
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
95.9%
DJ Williams pass complete to Jaelin BenefieldSimilar
Q3 5:29
2ND & 6
OPP 47
+1
95.6%
Jaelin Benefield run for 1 yd to the BYU 48Similar
Q3 4:45
3RD & 7
OPP 48
+10
96.5%
DJ Williams pass complete to Vinson Davis III for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:19
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+38
92.5%
DJ Williams run for 38 yds for a TD Southern Illinois Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Noah Fenske) to the BYU 0 (Paul Geelen KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 15PUNT
10 plays · 35 yds · 3:4097% → 98%
Q3 4:07
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+3
97.2%
Hinckley Ropati run for 3 yds to the BYU 21Similar
Q3 3:27
2ND & 7
OWN 21
+14
97.3%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Chase Roberts for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
97.4%
Jake Retzlaff pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:49
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+2
97.3%
Hinckley Ropati run for 2 yds to the BYU 37Similar
Q3 2:11
3RD & 8
OWN 37
+11
97.5%
Jake Retzlaff run for 11 yds to the BYU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:31
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
98.0%
Keelan Marion run for 2 yds to the BYU 46Similar
Q3 0:54
2ND & 12
OWN 46
0
98.1%
Jake Retzlaff pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:48
3RD & 12
OWN 46
+7
98.0%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Keanu Hill Keanu Hill fumbled, recovered by BYUSimilar
Q3 0:27
4TH & 5
OPP 47
0
98.0%
Sam Vander Haar punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Tae Marrero Jr. at the SIU 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SIUDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:245% → 5%
Q3 0:24
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
94.6%
DJ Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:12
2ND & 10
OWN 11
+1
94.7%
DJ Williams pass complete to for 1 yd to the SIU 11Similar
Q3 0:07
3RD & 10
OWN 11
0
94.8%
DJ Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:00
4TH & 10
OWN 11
0
94.8%
Paul Geelen punt for 26 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SIU 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 17TD
7 plays · 37 yds · 2:0498% → 100%
Q4 14:39
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+25
98.4%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Chase Roberts for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:27
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-10
98.7%
(14:31) Shotgun Martin,LJ rush middle for 4 yards gain to the SIU08 (Wilbert,Louis) PENALTY BYU Holding (Etienne,Caleb) 10 yards from SIU12 to SIU22. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:02
1ST & 20
OPP 22
-1
99.0%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Keelan MarionSimilar
Q4 13:30
2ND & 21
OPP 23
+19
99.1%
LJ Martin run for 19 yds to the SIU 4Similar
Q4 13:13
3RD & 2
OPP 4
+3
99.1%
LJ Martin run for 3 yds to the SIU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.7%
LJ Martin run for 1 yd for a TD (Will Ferrin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SIUDrive 18INT
4 plays · 20 yds · 0:592% → 2%
Q4 12:19
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+6
97.9%
DJ Williams run for 6 yds to the SIU 27Similar
Q4 11:41
2ND & 4
OWN 27
+14
97.9%
DJ Williams pass complete to Nah'shawn Hezekiah for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
97.7%
DJ Williams pass intercepted Jakob Robinson return for no gain to the BYU 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 19FG
10 plays · 42 yds · 4:04100% → 100%
Q4 11:13
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
99.6%
LJ Martin run for 9 yds to the BYU 44Similar
Q4 10:36
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+4
99.7%
LJ Martin run for 4 yds to the BYU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+21
99.7%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Miles Davis for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:28
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
99.8%
Miles Davis run for no gain to the SIU 31Similar
Q4 8:46
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+11
99.8%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Cody Hagen for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:20
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
99.8%
Jake Retzlaff pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:13
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+3
99.8%
Jake Retzlaff run for 3 yds to the SIU 17Similar
Q4 7:49
3RD & 7
OPP 17
-6
99.8%
Jake Retzlaff sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the SIU 23Similar
Q4 7:09
4TH & 13
OPP 23
+41
99.9%
Will Ferrin 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SIUDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:140% → 0%
Q4 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.9%
Hunter Simmons pass complete to Willtrell HartsonSimilar
Q4 6:38
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
99.9%
Hunter Simmons pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:27
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+2
99.9%
Hunter Simmons pass complete to Willtrell HartsonSimilar
Q4 5:47
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
99.9%
Paul Geelen punt for 60 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BYU 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 21PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 2:24100% → 100%
Q4 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+12
99.9%
Miles Davis run for 12 yds to the BYU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:03
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+6
99.9%
Miles Davis run for 6 yds to the BYU 28Similar
Q4 4:33
2ND & 4
OWN 28
+2
99.9%
Miles Davis run for 2 yds to the BYU 30Similar
Q4 3:59
3RD & 2
OWN 30
+1
99.9%
Gerry Bohanon run for 1 yd to the BYU 31Similar
Q4 3:12
4TH & 1
OWN 31
0
100.0%
Sam Vander Haar punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SIU 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SIUDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:500% → 0%
Q4 3:07
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
100.0%
Hunter Simmons pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:51
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+5
100.0%
Hunter Simmons pass complete to Allen MiddletonSimilar
Q4 2:32
3RD & 5
OWN 26
0
100.0%
Hunter Simmons pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:17
4TH & 5
OWN 26
+17
100.0%
Paul Geelen punt for 49 yds , Parker Kingston returns for 17 yds to the BYU 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 23END OF GAME
5 plays · 6 yds · 2:07100% → 100%
Q4 2:07
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
100.0%
Miles Davis run for 4 yds to the BYU 46Similar
Q4 1:46
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+6
100.0%
Enoch Nawahine run for 6 yds to the SIU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:04
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-2
100.0%
Kneel down by BYU at SIU50 for loss of 2 yards.Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 12
50
-2
100.0%
Kneel down by BYU at BYU48 for loss of 2 yards.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 11:19
LJ Martin 7 Yd pass from Jake Retzlaff (Will Ferrin Kick)
+7.8
TD · Q2 0:46
DJ Williams run for 4 yds for a TD (Paul Geelen PAT MISSED)
-5.3
TD · Q1 1:56
Jojo Phillips 57 Yd pass from Jake Retzlaff (Will Ferrin Kick)
+5.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com