Try the model
NDSU

North Dakota State 26 at Colorado 31

COLO
2024 · Week 1 · Aug 29, 2024 · Folsom Field
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · COLO
modelCOLO aheadNDSU aheadconfidence bandkey playCOLO scoreNDSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDEnd of GameTD+13.8COLO 94.2%Travis Hunter 3 Yd pass from ShedeurSanders (Alejandro Mata Kick)AWAY 20 - HOME 31 · Q4 7:57
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 7:57 · Travis Hunter 3 Yd pass from Shedeur Sanders (Alejandro Mata Kick)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialBlowout margin
+29.5+14.80−14.8−29.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 132Pregame prior+4.2Home team on offense+23.6Garbage-time factor+13.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+6.0Score differential+4.2Blowout margin−1.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 12:07: Cam Miller 7 Yd Run (Griffin Crosa Kick) — NDSU win probability +5.0 pts (now 30%) (top driver: NDSU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 4:33: Griffin Crosa 31 Yd Field Goal — NDSU win probability +3.6 pts (now 39%) (top driver: NDSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 7:45: Travis Hunter 13 Yd pass from Shedeur Sanders (Alejandro Mata Kick) — COLO win probability +12.4 pts (now 78%) (top driver: COLO has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 7:57: Travis Hunter 3 Yd pass from Shedeur Sanders (Alejandro Mata Kick) — COLO win probability +13.8 pts (now 94%) (top driver: COLO has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 2:19: Cam Miller 20 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed) — NDSU win probability +17.4 pts (now 24%) (top driver: NDSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
COLO made the numbers' call on 1 of 3NDSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 12:12NDSU 4th & 4 at COLO 18, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 25.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.1%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    25.1%−<0.1
    79% to make
    Punt
    24.6%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q2 10:09COLO 4th & 1 at COLO 34, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 67.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    68.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    67.2%−0.9
    average punt
  3. Q2 4:33NDSU 4th & 13 at COLO 13, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 35.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.5%−1.6
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    35.1%
    85% to make
    Punt
    29.2%−5.9
    average punt
  4. Q2 2:41COLO 4th & 10 at midfield, down 6
    Close callPunted · 58.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.6%
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 0:56NDSU 4th & 1 at NDSU 40, up 6
    Close callPunted · 45.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.1%−0.8
    average punt
  6. Q3 9:49NDSU 4th & 10 at NDSU 20, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.1%−1.7
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.8%
    average punt
  7. Q3 1:07NDSU 4th & 8 at NDSU 48, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.7%−0.6
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.3%
    average punt
  8. Q4 4:43NDSU 4th & 1 at COLO 39, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    5.9%−1.8
    36% to make
    Punt
    6.1%−1.7
    average punt
  9. Q4 0:31COLO 4th & 3 at COLO 49, up 5
    Close callPunted · 92.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.4%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
COLO made the numbers' call on 3 of 4NDSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 9:30COLO Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:59NDSU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    28.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    28.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 3:15COLO Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 12:07NDSU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    30.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    30.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 7:45COLO Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 7:57COLO Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.2%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.2%
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 2:19NDSU Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    12.2%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    11.9%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NDSUDrive 1FG
7 plays · 57 yds · 2:4721% → 22%
Q1 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
79.2%
TK Marshall run for 3 yds to the NDSU 28Similar
Q1 14:18
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+48
79.1%
Cam Miller pass complete to TK Marshall for 48 yds to the COLO 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:30
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+6
78.7%
CharMar Brown run for 6 yds to the COLO 18Similar
Q1 12:50
2ND & 4
OPP 18
0
78.5%
Cam Miller pass incomplete to Joe StoffelSimilar
Q1 12:37
3RD & 4
OPP 18
0
78.4%
CharMar Brown run for no gain to the COLO 18Similar
Q1 12:12
4TH & 4
OPP 18
+36
78.3%
Griffin Crosa 36 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 2TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:4078% → 79%
Q1 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
78.4%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Drelon Miller for 1 yd to the COLO 26Similar
Q1 11:39
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+5
78.2%
Drelon Miller run for 5 yds to the COLO 31Similar
Q1 11:09
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+5
77.9%
Charlie Offerdahl run for 5 yds to the COLO 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:38
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
77.9%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Jimmy Horn Jr. for 9 yds to the COLO 45Similar
Q1 10:10
2ND & 1
OWN 45
+14
78.0%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 14 yds to the NDSU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+41
78.7%
Travis Hunter 41 Yd pass from Shedeur Sanders (Alejandro Mata Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDSUDrive 3TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 5:3022% → 25%
Q1 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
78.4%
Cam Miller run for a loss of 3 yards to the NDSU 22Similar
Q1 8:48
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+13
78.3%
Cam Miller pass complete to Braylon Henderson for 13 yds to the NDSU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
78.1%
Bryce Lance run for 8 yds to the NDSU 43Similar
Q1 7:42
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+6
77.7%
Cam Miller pass complete to Braylon Henderson for 6 yds to the NDSU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
77.5%
CharMar Brown run for 2 yds to the COLO 49Similar
Q1 6:31
2ND & 8
OPP 49
+16
77.3%
Cam Miller pass complete to Joe Stoffel for 16 yds to the COLO 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:59
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+27
76.9%
Cam Miller pass complete to Braylon Henderson for 27 yds to the COLO 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-2
76.6%
Cam Miller run for a loss of 2 yards to the COLO 8Similar
Q1 4:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
76.5%
Barika Kpeenu run for 1 yd to the COLO 7Similar
Q1 3:59
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
74.6%
Joe Stoffel 7 Yd pass from Cam Miller (Griffin Crosa Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 4TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:4375% → 78%
Q1 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
75.0%
Dallan Hayden run for 6 yds to the COLO 31Similar
Q1 3:15
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+69
77.5%
Jimmy Horn Jr. 69 Yd pass from Shedeur Sanders (Alejandro Mata Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDSUDrive 5TD
13 plays · 77 yds · 5:5623% → 30%
Q1 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+1
77.3%
Barika Kpeenu run for 1 yd to the NDSU 24Similar
Q1 2:26
2ND & 9
OWN 24
+29
77.0%
Cam Miller run for 14 yds to the COLO 38 for a 1ST down Colorado Penalty, Personal Foul (Taurean Carter II) to the COLO 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:54
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
75.8%
Cam Miller run for 4 yds to the COLO 43Similar
Q1 1:10
2ND & 6
OPP 43
-1
75.6%
CharMar Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the COLO 44Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 7
OPP 44
+8
75.4%
Cam Miller pass complete to Joe Stoffel for 8 yds to the COLO 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
75.2%
Cole Payton run for 2 yds to the COLO 34Similar
Q2 14:19
2ND & 8
OPP 34
+1
74.6%
Cole Payton run for 1 yd to the COLO 33Similar
Q2 13:34
3RD & 7
OPP 33
+5
75.0%
Miller, Cam pass incomplete to Stoffel, Joe, PENALTY COLO offside (Hayes, Dayon) 5 yards to the COLO28, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:27
3RD & 2
OPP 28
+16
75.9%
Cole Payton pass complete to RaJa Nelson for 16 yds to the COLO 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:52
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+5
75.1%
Cam Miller run for 5 yds to the COLO 7Similar
Q2 12:07
2ND & 5
OPP 7
+7
70.1%
Cam Miller 7 Yd Run (Griffin Crosa Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 6DOWNS
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:5773% → 71%
Q2 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
72.5%
Dallan Hayden run for 6 yds to the COLO 31Similar
Q2 11:39
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
73.2%
Dallan Hayden run for 3 yds to the COLO 34Similar
Q2 11:02
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
72.6%
Dallan Hayden run for no gain to the COLO 34Similar
Q2 10:09
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
71.3%
Dallan Hayden run for no gain to the COLO 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDSUDrive 7FG
13 plays · 21 yds · 5:3631% → 39%
Q2 10:09
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
69.1%
CharMar Brown run for 4 yds to the COLO 30Similar
Q2 9:34
2ND & 6
OPP 30
+3
68.4%
CharMar Brown run for 3 yds to the COLO 27Similar
Q2 8:46
3RD & 3
OPP 27
+3
68.6%
Cam Miller run for 3 yds to the COLO 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:11
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+4
66.8%
Cam Miller pass complete to Chris Harris for 4 yds to the COLO 20Similar
Q2 7:34
2ND & 6
OPP 20
+1
66.2%
Barika Kpeenu run for 1 yd to the COLO 19Similar
Q2 6:51
3RD & 5
OPP 19
0
66.5%
Cam Miller pass incomplete to Barika KpeenuSimilar
Q2 6:51
4TH & 5
OPP 19
+10
67.8%
Colorado Penalty, Personal Foul (Shilo Sanders) to the COLO 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:44
1ST & 0
OPP 9
-5
65.1%
Miller, Cam pass incomplete, PENALTY NODAKOTAST ineligible downfield on pass 5 yards to the COLO14, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 14
-6
65.7%
Cam Miller run for 4 yds to the COLO 10 North Dakota State Penalty, Offensive Holding (Braylon Henderson) to the COLO 20Similar
Q2 6:04
1ST & 0
OPP 20
+7
64.8%
Cam Miller run for 7 yds to the COLO 13Similar
Q2 5:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 13
-7
65.0%
RaJa Nelson run for a loss of 7 yards to the COLO 20Similar
Q2 4:51
3RD & 0
OPP 20
+7
64.8%
Cam Miller pass complete to Bryce Lance for 7 yds to the COLO 13Similar
Q2 4:33
4TH & GOAL
OPP 13
+31
61.2%
Griffin Crosa 31 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 25 yds · 1:5164% → 62%
Q2 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+25
63.8%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Jimmy Horn Jr. for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:06
1ST & 10
50
+6
65.9%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Travis Hunter for 6 yds to the NDSU 44Similar
Q2 3:35
2ND & 4
OPP 44
0
66.0%
Shedeur Sanders pass incomplete to Travis HunterSimilar
Q2 3:29
3RD & 4
OPP 44
-6
65.6%
Shedeur Sanders sacked by Jaxon Duttenhefer and Will Mostaert for a loss of 6 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 2:41
4TH & 10
50
0
62.2%
Mark Vassett punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Braylon Henderson at the NDSU 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDSUDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 27 yds · 1:4540% → 44%
Q2 2:41
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+4
60.1%
CharMar Brown run for 4 yds to the NDSU 17Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 6
OWN 17
+14
59.4%
Barika Kpeenu run for 14 yds to the NDSU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
58.3%
Cam Miller pass incomplete to Bryce LanceSimilar
Q2 1:36
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+8
58.5%
Cam Miller pass complete to RaJa Nelson for 8 yds to the NDSU 39Similar
Q2 1:12
3RD & 2
OWN 39
+1
56.5%
Barika Kpeenu run for 1 yd to the NDSU 40Similar
Q2 0:56
4TH & 1
OWN 40
0
56.3%
Kaedin Steindorf punt for 58 yds, downed at the COLO 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 10END OF HALF
11 plays · 89 yds · 0:5458% → 66%
Q2 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+6
58.0%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Charlie Offerdahl for 6 yds to the COLO 8Similar
Q2 0:48
2ND & 4
OWN 8
0
57.8%
Shedeur Sanders pass incomplete to Will SheppardSimilar
Q2 0:42
3RD & 4
OWN 8
+16
56.6%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Travis Hunter for 16 yds to the COLO 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+11
58.3%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Will Sheppard for 11 yds to the COLO 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
58.6%
Shedeur Sanders pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:21
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+25
58.1%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 25 yds to the NDSU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:08
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+31
60.6%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Jimmy Horn Jr. for 31 yds to the NDSU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+27
66.4%
Alejandro Mata 27 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 11INT
8 plays · 70 yds · 3:0165% → 65%
Q3 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
64.6%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Jimmy Horn Jr. for 16 yds to the COLO 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:28
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
66.3%
Charlie Offerdahl run for 1 yd to the COLO 42Similar
Q3 13:57
2ND & 9
OWN 42
+11
64.9%
Shedeur Sanders run for 11 yds to the NDSU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:22
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+40
66.6%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Travis Hunter for 40 yds to the NDSU 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
67.2%
Drelon Miller run for 2 yds to the NDSU 5Similar
Q3 12:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
66.9%
Shedeur Sanders pass incomplete to Travis HunterSimilar
Q3 11:58
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
65.4%
Shedeur Sanders pass intercepted, touchback. Nick Kubitz return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDSUDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 2:0839% → 39%
Q3 11:57
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
61.3%
TK Marshall run for 2 yds to the NDSU 22Similar
Q3 11:16
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+4
61.1%
Cam Miller pass complete to RaJa Nelson for 4 yds to the NDSU 26Similar
Q3 10:36
3RD & 4
OWN 26
-6
61.1%
Cam Miller sacked by Chidozie Nwankwo for a loss of 6 yards to the NDSU 20Similar
Q3 9:49
4TH & 10
OWN 20
0
61.4%
Kaedin Steindorf punt for 52 yds, downed at the COLO 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 13TD
5 plays · 72 yds · 2:0461% → 78%
Q3 9:49
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+41
61.0%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Jimmy Horn Jr. for 41 yds to the NDSU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:18
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+11
65.8%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 11 yds to the NDSU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:53
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+3
65.6%
Shedeur Sanders run for 3 yds to the NDSU 17Similar
Q3 8:21
2ND & 7
OPP 17
+4
65.3%
Dallan Hayden run for 4 yds to the NDSU 13Similar
Q3 7:45
3RD & 3
OPP 13
+13
77.8%
Travis Hunter 13 Yd pass from Shedeur Sanders (Alejandro Mata Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDSUDrive 14PUNT
12 plays · 39 yds · 6:3325% → 27%
Q3 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+7
74.8%
Barika Kpeenu run for 7 yds to the NDSU 16Similar
Q3 6:57
2ND & 3
OWN 16
+2
74.2%
Barika Kpeenu run for 2 yds to the NDSU 18Similar
Q3 6:18
3RD & 1
OWN 18
+4
75.0%
Cam Miller run for 4 yds to the NDSU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+7
74.1%
Cam Miller pass complete to Braylon Henderson for 7 yds to the NDSU 29Similar
Q3 5:01
2ND & 3
OWN 29
+4
72.3%
Barika Kpeenu run for 4 yds to the NDSU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+13
72.7%
Cam Miller run for 13 yds to the NDSU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:51
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+8
70.1%
Cam Miller run for 8 yds to the COLO 46Similar
Q3 3:09
2ND & 2
OPP 46
-1
68.7%
Cole Payton pass complete to Tyler Terhark for a loss of 1 yard to the COLO 47Similar
Q3 2:16
3RD & 3
OPP 47
-5
69.4%
North Dakota State Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the NDSU 48Similar
Q3 1:50
3RD & 8
OWN 48
0
71.0%
Cam Miller run for no gain to the NDSU 48Similar
Q3 1:07
4TH & 8
OWN 48
0
73.3%
Kaedin Steindorf punt for 52 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 15TD
20 plays · 80 yds · 8:1075% → 94%
Q3 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
75.3%
Charlie Offerdahl run for 3 yds to the COLO 23Similar
Q3 0:34
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+6
75.1%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 6 yds to the COLO 29Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+1
74.8%
Shedeur Sanders run for 1 yd to the COLO 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
75.5%
Charlie Offerdahl run for 1 yd to the COLO 31Similar
Q4 14:24
2ND & 9
OWN 31
+7
75.3%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Charlie Offerdahl for 7 yds to the COLO 38Similar
Q4 13:52
3RD & 2
OWN 38
+5
76.3%
Charlie Offerdahl run for 5 yds to the COLO 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:24
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+12
77.3%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Will Sheppard for 12 yds to the NDSU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:55
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
78.4%
Dallan Hayden run for 1 yd to the NDSU 44Similar
Q4 12:09
2ND & 9
OPP 44
+14
78.2%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Dallan Hayden for 14 yds to the NDSU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:42
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
78.9%
Shedeur Sanders pass incomplete to Jimmy Horn Jr.Similar
Q4 11:31
2ND & 10
OPP 30
0
78.8%
Shedeur Sanders pass incomplete to Jimmy Horn Jr.Similar
Q4 11:30
3RD & 10
OPP 30
+13
77.3%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Travis Hunter for 13 yds to the NDSU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:13
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+6
78.9%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Drelon Miller for 6 yds to the NDSU 11Similar
Q4 10:36
2ND & 4
OPP 11
+6
78.9%
Shedeur Sanders run for 6 yds to the NDSU 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:43
1ST & 0
OPP 5
0
80.6%
Sanders, Shedeur pass incomplete to Hunter, Travis, PENALTY NODAKOTAST holding (Duffie, Jailen) off-setting, PENALTY COLO Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Walker, Arden) off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
79.0%
Dallan Hayden run for no gain to the NDSU 5Similar
Q4 8:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
80.5%
Shedeur Sanders run for 2 yds to the NDSU 3Similar
Q4 7:57
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
94.2%
Travis Hunter 3 Yd pass from Shedeur Sanders (Alejandro Mata Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDSUDrive 16TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 5:389% → 24%
Q4 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
91.3%
CharMar Brown run for 13 yds to the NDSU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
90.4%
CharMar Brown run for 2 yds to the NDSU 40Similar
Q4 6:55
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+12
90.0%
Cam Miller pass complete to CharMar Brown for 12 yds to the COLO 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:18
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
90.1%
Cam Miller run for 3 yds to the COLO 45Similar
Q4 5:47
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+5
89.9%
Cam Miller pass complete to Bryce Lance for 5 yds to the COLO 40Similar
Q4 5:09
3RD & 2
OPP 40
+1
89.8%
Barika Kpeenu run for 1 yd to the COLO 39Similar
Q4 4:43
4TH & 1
OPP 39
+7
92.4%
Cole Payton run for 7 yds to the COLO 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:06
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-5
91.8%
Cole Payton sacked by LaVonta Bentley for a loss of 5 yards to the COLO 37Similar
Q4 3:23
2ND & 15
OPP 37
+17
94.3%
Cam Miller pass complete to RaJa Nelson for 17 yds to the COLO 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:03
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
93.2%
TK Marshall run for no gain to the COLO 20Similar
Q4 2:19
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+20
75.9%
Cam Miller 20 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 17PUNT
11 plays · 24 yds · 1:2993% → 94%
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
93.1%
Travis Hunter run for no gain to the COLO 25Similar
Q4 1:59
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
92.8%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 2 yds to the COLO 27Similar
Q4 1:52
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+15
92.8%
Sanders, Shedeur pass incomplete to Wester, LaJohntay, PENALTY NODAKOTAST pass interference (Jung, Sam) 15 yards to the COLO42, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN COLO.Similar
Q4 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
94.7%
Shedeur Sanders pass incomplete to LaJohntay WesterSimilar
Q4 1:34
2ND & 10
OWN 42
0
94.6%
Dallan Hayden run for no gain to the COLO 42Similar
Q4 1:27
3RD & 10
OWN 42
+7
94.8%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Jimmy Horn Jr. for 7 yds to the COLO 49Similar
Q4 0:31
4TH & 3
OWN 49
0
94.2%
Mark Vassett punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Braylon Henderson at the NDSU 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDSUDrive 18END OF GAME
6 plays · 88 yds · 0:319% → 10%
Q4 0:31
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+20
91.2%
Cam Miller pass complete to Bryce Lance for 20 yds to the NDSU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
90.0%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:23
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+19
91.3%
Cam Miller pass complete to Braylon Henderson for 19 yds to the NDSU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
89.0%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:09
2ND & 10
OWN 47
0
89.5%
Cam Miller pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 10
OWN 47
+49
90.3%
Cam Miller pass complete to Tyler Terhark for 49 yds to the COLO 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 2:19
Cam Miller 20 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)
-17.4
TD · Q4 7:57
Travis Hunter 3 Yd pass from Shedeur Sanders (Alejandro Mata Kick)
+13.8
TD · Q3 7:45
Travis Hunter 13 Yd pass from Shedeur Sanders (Alejandro Mata Kick)
+12.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com