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UND

North Dakota 3 at Iowa State 21

ISU
2024 · Week 1 · Aug 31, 2024 · Jack Trice Stadium
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Win probability · ISU
modelISU aheadUND aheadconfidence bandkey playISU scoreUND score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 3:55 · Luke Silvernale punt for 38 yds for a touchback
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+46.5+23.30−23.3−46.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 26Pregame prior+42.0Home team on offense+0.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.5Score differential+0.4Garbage-time factor−0.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.3
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 3:00: C.J. Elrichs 26 yd FG GOOD — UND win probability +1.7 pts (now 9%) (top driver: Defense has -2 timeouts left).
  2. TD · Q2 0:48: Rocco Becht pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 14 yds for a TD (Kyle Konrardy KICK) — ISU win probability +3.1 pts (now 95%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 12:33: Rocco Becht run for 2 yds for a TD (Kyle Konrardy KICK) — ISU win probability +5.2 pts (now 99%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 12:33: Timeout Iowa State, clock 12:33 — UND win probability +2.4 pts (now 3%) (top driver: UND has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 7:04: Timeout Iowa State, clock 07:04 — ISU win probability +2.2 pts (now 100%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ISU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4UND made the numbers' call on 4 of 7
  1. Q1 11:30UND 4th & 15 at UND 40, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.8%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:08ISU 4th & 13 at ISU 37, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.8%−0.1
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:55UND 4th & 5 at ISU 38, down 7
    Close callPunted · 5.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.1%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    5.0%−0.1
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    5.0%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:34ISU 4th & 12 at UND 41, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.3%−0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    94.3%−<0.1
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    94.3%
    average punt
  5. Q2 3:00UND 4th & 4 at ISU 9, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 8.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.5%
    43% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    8.3%−0.2
    89% to make
    Punt
    6.1%−2.4
    average punt
  6. Q3 9:01ISU 4th & 11 at UND 49, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.6%−0.5
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.2%
    average punt
  7. Q3 4:37UND 4th & 5 at UND 47, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.0%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.0%
    average punt
  8. Q4 8:57UND 4th & 3 at ISU 44, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    1.7%−0.5
    27% to make
    Punt
    2.0%−0.3
    average punt
  9. Q4 7:07UND 4th & 15 at ISU 16, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 2.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.7%−0.7
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    2.3%
    81% to make
    Punt
    0.9%−1.4
    average punt
  10. Q4 2:59ISU 4th & 6 at UND 44, up 18
    Close callPunted · 98.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    98.5%−0.2
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    98.6%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 1:34UND 4th & 6 at UND 12, down 18
    Close callPunted · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.2%
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ISU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 14:22ISU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:48ISU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 12:33ISU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ISUDrive 1TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:3897% → 96%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+54
96.5%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 54 yds to the UND 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:22
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+21
96.4%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 21 yds for a TD (Kyle Konrardy KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNDDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 2:524% → 4%
Q1 14:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
96.4%
Simon Romfo run for 9 yds to the UND 34Similar
Q1 13:40
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+11
96.3%
Gaven Ziebarth run for 11 yds to the UND 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:09
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-6
96.2%
Simon Romfo run for a loss of 6 yards to the UND 39Similar
Q1 12:12
2ND & 16
OWN 39
+1
96.1%
Simon Romfo pass complete to Quincy Vaughn for 1 yd to the UND 40Similar
Q1 11:34
3RD & 15
OWN 40
0
96.0%
Simon Romfo pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:30
4TH & 15
OWN 40
+14
96.1%
Luke Silvernale punt for 50 yds , Jaylin Noel returns for 14 yds to the ISU 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 13 yds · 1:1096% → 96%
Q1 11:18
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+16
96.0%
Abu Sama III run for 16 yds to the ISU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:54
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
96.0%
Rocco Becht pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:49
2ND & 10
OWN 40
-3
96.0%
Abu Sama III run for a loss of 3 yards to the ISU 37Similar
Q1 10:15
3RD & 13
OWN 37
0
95.9%
Rocco Becht pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:08
4TH & 13
OWN 37
0
95.8%
Tyler Perkins punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNDDrive 4PUNT
13 plays · 39 yds · 6:074% → 5%
Q1 10:02
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+11
95.9%
Gaven Ziebarth run for 11 yds to the UND 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
95.8%
Gaven Ziebarth run for 1 yd to the UND 35Similar
Q1 8:41
2ND & 9
OWN 35
+2
95.7%
run for 2 yds to the UND 37Similar
Q1 7:57
3RD & 7
OWN 37
+7
95.6%
Simon Romfo pass complete to Caden Dennis for 7 yds to the UND 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:27
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
95.4%
Isaiah Smith run for 4 yds to the UND 48Similar
Q1 6:59
2ND & 6
OWN 48
+4
95.3%
Isaiah Smith run for 4 yds to the ISU 48Similar
Q1 6:23
3RD & 2
OPP 48
+5
95.1%
Gaven Ziebarth run for 5 yds to the ISU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:43
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-1
95.0%
Gaven Ziebarth run for a loss of 1 yard to the ISU 44Similar
Q1 5:10
2ND & 11
OPP 44
+2
95.0%
Isaiah Smith run for 2 yds to the ISU 42Similar
Q1 4:32
3RD & 9
OPP 42
+4
94.9%
Isaiah Smith run for 4 yds to the ISU 38Similar
Q1 3:55
4TH & 5
OPP 38
0
94.7%
Luke Silvernale punt for 38 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 5PUNT
9 plays · 39 yds · 3:1596% → 95%
Q1 3:49
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+28
95.6%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 28 yds to the ISU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:27
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
95.7%
Abu Sama III run for 1 yd to the ISU 49Similar
Q1 2:49
2ND & 9
OWN 49
+7
95.7%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Eli Green for 7 yds to the UND 44Similar
Q1 2:20
3RD & 2
OPP 44
+5
95.5%
Carson Hansen run for 5 yds to the UND 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:43
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-5
95.6%
Iowa State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UND 44Similar
Q1 1:21
1ST & 15
OPP 44
+3
95.5%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jaylon Jackson for 3 yds to the UND 41Similar
Q1 0:42
2ND & 12
OPP 41
0
95.4%
Rocco Becht pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:38
3RD & 12
OPP 41
0
95.2%
Rocco Becht pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:34
4TH & 12
OPP 41
0
95.0%
Jace T. Gilbert punt for 38 yds, downed at the UND 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNDDrive 6FG
25 plays · 88 yds · 12:236% → 9%
Q1 0:23
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+18
94.4%
Sawyer Seidl run for 18 yds to the UND 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
94.3%
Sawyer Seidl run for 4 yds to the UND 25Similar
Q2 14:23
2ND & 6
OWN 25
+2
94.1%
Simon Romfo run for 2 yds to the UND 27Similar
Q2 13:40
3RD & 4
OWN 27
+4
94.1%
Simon Romfo pass complete to Bo Belquist for 4 yds to the UND 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
93.8%
Isaiah Smith run for 2 yds to the UND 33Similar
Q2 12:21
2ND & 8
OWN 33
+6
93.7%
Isaiah Smith run for 6 yds to the UND 39Similar
Q2 11:42
3RD & 2
OWN 39
+3
93.4%
Simon Romfo pass complete to Bo Belquist for 3 yds to the UND 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
93.3%
Simon Romfo pass complete to Bo Belquist for 5 yds to the UND 47Similar
Q2 10:48
2ND & 5
OWN 47
-2
93.0%
Gaven Ziebarth run for a loss of 2 yards to the UND 45Similar
Q2 10:06
3RD & 7
OWN 45
+8
93.1%
Simon Romfo pass complete to Bo Belquist for 8 yds to the ISU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:29
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+8
92.6%
Gaven Ziebarth run for 8 yds to the ISU 39Similar
Q2 8:53
2ND & 2
OPP 39
0
92.4%
Simon Romfo pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:49
3RD & 2
OPP 39
+2
92.6%
Simon Romfo pass complete to Jaden Norby for 2 yds to the ISU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:05
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
92.5%
Simon Romfo pass complete to Sawyer Seidl for 5 yds to the ISU 32Similar
Q2 7:27
2ND & 5
OPP 32
+4
92.0%
Sawyer Seidl run for 4 yds to the ISU 28Similar
Q2 6:44
3RD & 1
OPP 28
+3
92.2%
run for 3 yds to the ISU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:05
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
91.6%
Simon Romfo pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:01
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+5
91.7%
Simon Romfo pass complete to Caden Dennis for 5 yds to the ISU 20Similar
Q2 5:23
3RD & 5
OPP 20
+5
91.7%
Simon Romfo pass complete to Bo Belquist for 5 yds to the ISU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:39
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-5
91.1%
Simon Romfo sacked by J.R. Singleton for a loss of 5 yards to the ISU 20Similar
Q2 3:53
2ND & 15
OPP 20
+11
91.4%
Simon Romfo run for 11 yds to the ISU 9Similar
Q2 3:07
3RD & 4
OPP 9
0
91.1%
Simon Romfo pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:00
4TH & 4
OPP 9
+26
90.7%
C.J. Elrichs 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 7TD
8 plays · 65 yds · 2:1291% → 95%
Q2 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+10
90.8%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 10 yds to the ISU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:24
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
91.4%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 4 yds to the ISU 49Similar
Q2 1:59
2ND & 6
OWN 49
+5
91.6%
Rocco Becht run for 5 yds to the UND 46Similar
Q2 1:39
3RD & 1
OPP 46
+5
91.3%
Carson Hansen run for 5 yds to the UND 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:27
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+6
91.7%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Eli Green for 6 yds to the UND 35Similar
Q2 1:07
2ND & 4
OPP 35
+21
91.7%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 21 yds to the UND 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:48
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
94.8%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 14 yds for a TD (Kyle Konrardy KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNDDrive 8END OF HALF
5 plays · 31 yds · 0:296% → 6%
Q2 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+34
94.5%
Simon Romfo pass complete to Isaiah Smith for 34 yds to the ISU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:29
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
93.7%
Simon Romfo pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:23
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+5
93.8%
Simon Romfo run for 5 yds to the ISU 36Similar
Q2 0:17
3RD & 5
OPP 36
-8
94.4%
Simon Romfo sacked by Kenard Snyder for a loss of 8 yards to the ISU 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNDDrive 9INT
8 plays · 31 yds · 3:447% → 8%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
93.2%
Simon Romfo pass complete to Nate DeMontagnac for 5 yds to the UND 30Similar
Q3 14:33
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
93.0%
Sawyer Seidl run for no gain to the UND 30Similar
Q3 13:57
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+16
93.2%
Simon Romfo run for 16 yds to the UND 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+8
92.4%
Isaiah Smith run for 8 yds to the ISU 46Similar
Q3 12:48
2ND & 2
OPP 46
+1
92.0%
Isaiah Smith run for 1 yd to the ISU 45Similar
Q3 12:14
3RD & 1
OPP 45
+1
91.9%
Gaven Ziebarth run for 1 yd to the ISU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:16
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-24
91.8%
Simon Romfo pass intercepted Beau Freyler return for 24 yds to the ISU 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 12 yds · 2:0493% → 92%
Q3 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+13
93.0%
Abu Sama III run for 13 yds to the UND 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:26
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-1
93.1%
Rocco Becht run for a loss of 1 yard to the UND 49Similar
Q3 9:50
2ND & 11
OPP 49
0
92.9%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Abu Sama III for no gain to the UND 49Similar
Q3 9:08
3RD & 11
OPP 49
0
92.4%
Rocco Becht pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:01
4TH & 11
OPP 49
0
91.9%
Tyler Perkins punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Bo Belquist at the UND 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNDDrive 11PUNT
10 plays · 35 yds · 4:178% → 8%
Q3 8:54
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+3
92.0%
Gaven Ziebarth run for 3 yds to the UND 15Similar
Q3 8:11
2ND & 7
OWN 15
+6
92.0%
Isaiah Smith run for 6 yds to the UND 21Similar
Q3 7:42
3RD & 1
OWN 21
+2
92.0%
Isaiah Smith run for 2 yds to the UND 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:02
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+9
91.7%
Simon Romfo pass complete to Nick Kupfer for 9 yds to the UND 32Similar
Q3 6:25
2ND & 1
OWN 32
+10
90.9%
Simon Romfo pass complete to Nick Kupfer for 10 yds to the UND 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:43
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
90.7%
Gaven Ziebarth run for no gain to the UND 42Similar
Q3 5:07
2ND & 10
OWN 42
0
90.8%
Simon Romfo pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:04
3RD & 10
OWN 42
-5
91.2%
North Dakota Penalty, False Start (Liam Becher) to the UND 37Similar
Q3 5:03
3RD & 15
OWN 37
+10
91.8%
Sawyer Seidl run for 10 yds to the UND 47Similar
Q3 4:37
4TH & 5
OWN 47
0
91.7%
Luke Silvernale punt for 49 yds, downed at the ISU 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 12TD
14 plays · 96 yds · 6:5392% → 99%
Q3 4:26
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+9
92.4%
Abu Sama III run for 9 yds to the ISU 13Similar
Q3 3:59
2ND & 1
OWN 13
+3
92.3%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 3 yds to the ISU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+4
92.6%
Carson Hansen run for 4 yds to the ISU 20Similar
Q3 2:40
2ND & 6
OWN 20
+12
92.6%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 12 yds to the ISU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+22
92.8%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Eli Green for 22 yds to the UND 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:38
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+6
93.6%
Jaylon Jackson run for 6 yds to the UND 40Similar
Q3 1:03
2ND & 4
OPP 40
+10
93.5%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Beni Ngoyi for 10 yds to the UND 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:19
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+9
93.8%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 9 yds to the UND 21Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 21
-5
93.8%
(15:00) BECHT, Rocco pass deep to the right complete for 21 yards to HIGGINS, Jayden caught at the UND0 and advanced to the UND0, TOUCHDOWN ISU, score nullified by penalty, clock 14:54 (Play was confirmed after review). PENALTY Before the snap, ISU Illegal Formation enforced 5 yards from the UND21 to the UND26. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 6
OPP 26
+2
93.8%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 2 yds to the UND 24Similar
Q4 14:08
3RD & 4
OPP 24
+15
93.6%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 15 yds to the UND 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+7
93.8%
(13:30) BECHT, Rocco pass to the left incomplete intended for NGOYI, Beni thrown to the UND0, clock 13:26. PENALTY UND Pass Interference on SCOTT, Avery enforced 7 yards to the UND2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 13:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
93.8%
Carson Hansen run for no gain to the UND 2Similar
Q4 12:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.0%
Rocco Becht run for 2 yds for a TD (Kyle Konrardy KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNDDrive 13MISSED FG
17 plays · 59 yds · 5:253% → 3%
Q4 12:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
97.3%
Isaiah Smith run for 9 yds to the UND 34Similar
Q4 12:05
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+2
97.4%
Isaiah Smith run for 2 yds to the UND 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:24
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+13
97.4%
Simon Romfo run for 13 yds to the UND 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:49
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
97.4%
Gaven Ziebarth run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 10:14
2ND & 9
50
+1
97.4%
Gaven Ziebarth run for 1 yd to the ISU 49Similar
Q4 9:38
3RD & 8
OPP 49
+5
97.4%
Simon Romfo pass complete to Sawyer Seidl for 5 yds to the ISU 44Similar
Q4 8:57
4TH & 3
OPP 44
+18
97.4%
Simon Romfo pass complete to Bo Belquist for 18 yds to the ISU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:15
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
96.8%
Simon Romfo pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:11
2ND & 10
OPP 26
0
97.0%
Simon Romfo pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:04
3RD & 10
OPP 26
0
97.3%
Simon Romfo pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:02
4TH & 10
OPP 26
+15
97.3%
(08:02) ROMFO, Simon pass deep to the left incomplete intended for BELQUIST, Bo thrown to the ISU0, clock 07:56. PENALTY ISU Pass Interference on WILLIAMS, Jontez enforced half the distance from the goal, 15 yards to the ISU11 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 7:56
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-5
96.8%
Simon Romfo pass complete to Gaven Ziebarth for a loss of 5 yards to the ISU 16Similar
Q4 7:17
2ND & 15
OPP 16
0
97.1%
Simon Romfo pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:13
3RD & 15
OPP 16
0
97.3%
Simon Romfo pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:07
4TH & 15
OPP 16
+33
97.5%
C.J. Elrichs 33 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 14PUNT
14 plays · 36 yds · 4:03100% → 100%
Q4 7:02
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
99.6%
Jaylon Jackson run for 2 yds to the ISU 22Similar
Q4 6:19
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+2
99.5%
Jaylon Jackson run for 2 yds to the ISU 24Similar
Q4 5:39
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+17
99.6%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 17 yds to the ISU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+9
99.6%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Eli Green for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 4:10
2ND & 1
50
0
99.6%
Rocco Becht pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:05
3RD & 1
50
+2
99.6%
Rocco Becht run for 2 yds to the UND 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:21
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
99.7%
Carson Hansen run for 4 yds to the UND 44Similar
Q4 3:15
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+3
99.8%
Jaylon Jackson run for 3 yds to the UND 41Similar
Q4 3:08
3RD & 3
OPP 41
-5
99.8%
Iowa State Penalty, False Start (Beni Ngoyi) to the UND 46Similar
Q4 3:06
3RD & 8
OPP 46
+2
99.9%
Carson Hansen run for 2 yds to the UND 44Similar
Q4 2:59
4TH & 6
OPP 44
0
99.9%
Jace J. Gilbert punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Bo Belquist at the UND 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNDDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 1:191% → 1%
Q4 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 8
-2
98.8%
Simon Romfo run for a loss of 2 yards to the UND 6Similar
Q4 2:08
2ND & 12
OWN 6
-3
98.9%
North Dakota Penalty, False Start (Bo Belquist) to the UND 3Similar
Q4 1:59
2ND & 15
OWN 3
+9
99.0%
Simon Romfo run for 9 yds to the UND 12Similar
Q4 1:38
3RD & 6
OWN 12
0
99.0%
Simon Romfo pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:34
4TH & 6
OWN 12
0
99.0%
Luke Silvernale punt for 20 yds, downed at the UND 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 16END OF GAME
3 plays · 9 yds · 1:21100% → 100%
Q4 1:23
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
99.8%
Dylan Lee run for 3 yds to the UND 29Similar
Q4 0:41
2ND & 7
OPP 29
+4
99.8%
Dylan Lee run for 4 yds to the UND 25Similar
Q4 0:02
3RD & 3
OPP 25
+2
99.8%
Dylan Lee run for 2 yds to the UND 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 12:33
Rocco Becht run for 2 yds for a TD (Kyle Konrardy KICK)
+5.2
TD · Q2 0:48
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 14 yds for a TD (Kyle Konrardy KICK)
+3.1
KEY PLAY · Q4 12:33
Timeout Iowa State, clock 12:33
-2.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com