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ETSU

East Tennessee State 10 at App State 38

APP
2024 · Week 1 · Aug 31, 2024 · Kidd Brewer Stadium
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Win probability · APP
modelAPP aheadETSU aheadconfidence bandkey playAPP scoreETSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 10:54 · Maquel Haywood run for 2 yds to the ETSU 34
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+48.0+24.00−24.0−48.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 102Pregame prior+30.8Home team on offense+11.2Score differential+1.5Garbage-time factor+5.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.2Blowout margin−0.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 7:38: Joey Aguilar run for 1 yd for a TD (Michael Hughes KICK) — APP win probability +1.6 pts (now 98%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:49: Devontae Houston run for 80 yds for a TD (Ewan Johnson KICK) — ETSU win probability +2.0 pts (now 5%) (top driver: ETSU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 5:49: Ewan Johnson 25 yd FG GOOD — ETSU win probability +3.1 pts (now 11%) (top driver: ETSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 3:14: Eli Wilson 34 Yd pass from Joey Aguilar (Michael Hughes Kick) — APP win probability +4.1 pts (now 96%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 14:48: Makai Jackson run for 47 yds for a TD (Michael Hughes KICK) — APP win probability +2.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
APP made the numbers' call on 7 of 7ETSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 13:02ETSU 4th & 5 at ETSU 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.3%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:27ETSU 4th & 5 at APP 43, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.8%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    2.7%−0.1
    28% to make
    Punt
    2.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:03APP 4th & 15 at ETSU 15, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 96.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.5%−0.1
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.7%
    83% to make
    Punt
    96.3%−0.4
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:05ETSU 4th & 1 at ETSU 34, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.4%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:51ETSU 4th & 3 at ETSU 43, down 10
    Close callPunted · 3.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:55ETSU 4th & 8 at ETSU 42, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.9%−0.3
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.2%
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:35APP 4th & 14 at APP 45, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.7%−0.3
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.9%
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:35APP 4th & 14 at APP 45, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.7%−0.3
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.9%
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:18APP 4th & 4 at APP 36, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.0%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.1%
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:54ETSU 4th & 9 at ETSU 21, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.7%−0.5
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.3%
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:35APP 4th & 5 at APP 33, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.7%−0.4
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.1%
    average punt
  12. Q3 10:54APP 4th & 1 at ETSU 32, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 93.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    93.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    92.9%−1.0
    51% to make
    Punt
    92.5%−1.3
    average punt
  13. Q3 5:49ETSU 4th & 8 at APP 8, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 7.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.9%−0.4
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    7.3%
    90% to make
    Punt
    3.3%−4.0
    average punt
  14. Q3 3:14APP 4th & 5 at ETSU 34, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 90.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    90.9%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    90.5%−0.3
    47% to make
    Punt
    90.1%−0.8
    average punt
  15. Q4 11:53ETSU 4th & 7 at APP 32, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.8%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    0.9%
    51% to make
    Punt
    0.6%−0.2
    average punt
  16. Q4 1:07ETSU 4th & 15 at APP 41, down 28
    Close callPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
APP made the numbers' call on 5 of 5ETSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 12:18APP Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 7:38APP Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:49ETSU Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 3:14APP Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 14:48APP Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 8:39APP Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ETSUDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 21 yds · 1:232% → 2%
Q1 14:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
97.9%
Jaylen King pass complete to Jonathan Burns for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:03
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
97.9%
Bryson Irby run for 5 yds to the ETSU 46Similar
Q1 13:34
2ND & 5
OWN 46
0
97.8%
Jaylen King pass complete to Bryson IrbySimilar
Q1 13:09
3RD & 5
OWN 46
0
97.8%
Jaylen King pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:02
4TH & 5
OWN 46
0
97.8%
Nate Brackett punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Kaedin Robinson at the APP 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 2TD
2 plays · 85 yds · 0:3398% → 98%
Q1 12:51
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
97.7%
Kanye Roberts run for 2 yds to the APP 17Similar
Q1 12:18
2ND & 8
OWN 17
+83
97.8%
Christan Horn 83 Yd pass from Joey Aguilar (Michael Hughes Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ETSUDrive 3DOWNS
11 plays · 32 yds · 3:492% → 3%
Q1 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
97.7%
Devontae Houston run for 4 yds to the ETSU 29Similar
Q1 11:48
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+10
97.7%
Devontae Houston run for 10 yds to the ETSU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:22
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-10
97.6%
(11:28) No Huddle-Shotgun King,Jaylen pass incomplete short left to Johnson,AJ thrown to ETSU39 PENALTY ETSU Holding (Bailey,Derrell) 10 yards from ETSU39 to ETSU29. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:15
1ST & 20
OWN 29
0
97.6%
Jaylen King pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:59
2ND & 20
OWN 29
+5
97.6%
Jaylen King run for 5 yds to the ETSU 34Similar
Q1 10:20
3RD & 15
OWN 34
+18
97.6%
Jaylen King pass complete to Karim Page for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:05
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+1
97.5%
Devontae Houston run for 1 yd to the APP 49Similar
Q1 9:38
2ND & 11
OPP 49
+3
97.4%
Devontae Houston run for 3 yds to the APP 46Similar
Q1 9:07
3RD & 8
OPP 46
+3
97.4%
Devontae Houston run for 3 yds to the APP 43Similar
Q1 8:27
4TH & 5
OPP 43
0
97.3%
Jaylen King pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 4FG
12 plays · 42 yds · 4:2497% → 97%
Q1 8:27
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+13
97.4%
Kaedin Robinson run for 13 yds to the ETSU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:56
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
97.4%
Joey Aguilar pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:44
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+7
97.4%
Joey Aguilar run for 7 yds to the ETSU 37Similar
Q1 7:14
3RD & 3
OPP 37
+5
97.3%
Kanye Roberts run for 5 yds to the ETSU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:42
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
97.3%
Joey Aguilar pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:35
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+10
97.3%
Kanye Roberts run for 10 yds to the ETSU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+18
97.2%
Maquel Haywood run for 18 yds to the ETSU 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
97.1%
Kanye Roberts run for no gain to the ETSU 4Similar
Q1 4:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-10
97.1%
(04:55) No Huddle-Shotgun Aguilar,Joey pass complete short middle to Wilson,Eli caught at ETSU03, for 4 yards to the ETSU00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 04:50 PENALTY App Illegal Block in Back (Horn,Christan) 10 yards from ETSU04 to ETSU14. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 14
+1
97.0%
Anderson Castle run for 1 yd to the ETSU 15Similar
Q1 4:08
3RD & GOAL
OPP 15
0
96.9%
Joey Aguilar pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:03
4TH & GOAL
OPP 15
+32
96.9%
Michael Hughes 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ETSUDrive 5PUNT
10 plays · 18 yds · 4:023% → 4%
Q1 3:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
96.8%
Jaylen King run for 6 yds to the ETSU 31Similar
Q1 3:33
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+1
96.8%
Bryson Irby run for 1 yd to the ETSU 32Similar
Q1 2:51
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+2
96.7%
Jaylen King run for 2 yds to the ETSU 34Similar
Q1 2:05
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+2
96.8%
Bryson Irby run for 2 yds to the ETSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:24
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
96.6%
Jaylen King run for 7 yds to the ETSU 43Similar
Q1 1:05
2ND & 3
OWN 43
+2
96.5%
Devontae Houston run for 2 yds to the ETSU 45Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+2
96.3%
Jaylen King run for 2 yds to the ETSU 43Similar
Q2 14:51
4TH & 3
OWN 43
0
96.5%
Nate Brackett punt for 57 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 6TD
15 plays · 80 yds · 6:3796% → 98%
Q2 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+15
96.4%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Anderson Castle for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
96.3%
Anderson Castle run for 7 yds to the APP 42Similar
Q2 12:40
2ND & 3
OWN 42
0
96.3%
Anderson Castle run for no gain to the APP 42Similar
Q2 12:10
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+4
96.1%
Anderson Castle run for 4 yds to the APP 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-5
96.2%
PENALTY App False Start (Samuel,Markell) 5 yards from App46 to App41. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:11
1ST & 15
OWN 41
+12
96.1%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Kaedin RobinsonSimilar
Q2 11:00
2ND & 3
OPP 47
+4
96.2%
Anderson Castle run for 4 yds to the ETSU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:57
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-10
96.2%
(10:59) No Huddle-Shotgun Roberts,Kanye rush middle for 1 yard loss to the ETSU44 (George,Jaylen; Wilson,Teddy) PENALTY App Holding (Larkins,David) 10 yards from ETSU43 to App47. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:35
1ST & 20
OWN 47
+4
96.0%
Kanye Roberts run for 4 yds to the ETSU 49Similar
Q2 10:05
2ND & 16
OPP 49
+18
96.0%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Kaedin Robinson for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:50
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
96.1%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Kanye RobertsSimilar
Q2 9:15
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+15
96.0%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Kanye Roberts for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+9
95.9%
Kanye Roberts run for 9 yds to the ETSU 7Similar
Q2 8:05
2ND & 1
OPP 7
+6
96.0%
Joey Aguilar run for 6 yds to the ETSU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
97.6%
Joey Aguilar run for 1 yd for a TD (Michael Hughes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ETSUDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 1:243% → 3%
Q2 7:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.1%
(07:19) No Huddle-Shotgun King,Jaylen pass incomplete deep left to Page,Karim thrown to App40 PENALTY App Pass Interference declined App Roughing The Passer (Farrar,Derrell) 15 yards from ETSU25 to ETSU40, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:38
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
96.9%
Gino English pass complete to Ephraim FloydSimilar
Q2 6:34
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
96.9%
Jaylen King pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:20
3RD & 10
OWN 40
+2
97.0%
Jaylen King run for 2 yds to the ETSU 42Similar
Q2 5:55
4TH & 8
OWN 42
0
97.0%
Nate Brackett punt for 58 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 8PUNT
11 plays · 25 yds · 3:1298% → 97%
Q2 5:47
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
97.5%
Ahmani Marshall run for 4 yds to the APP 24Similar
Q2 5:13
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+10
97.5%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to William Fowles for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:48
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
97.5%
Joey Aguilar pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:43
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+1
97.5%
Ahmani Marshall run for 1 yd to the APP 35Similar
Q2 4:06
3RD & 9
OWN 35
+10
97.5%
East Tennessee State Penalty, Defensive Holding (Nick Hunter) to the APP 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:51
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
97.6%
Joey Aguilar pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:43
2ND & 10
OWN 49
-10
97.6%
(03:50) No Huddle-Shotgun Marshall,Ahmani rush left for 11 yards gain to the ETSU40 (Hope,Chris) PENALTY App Holding (Hollifield,Jack) 10 yards from App49 to App39. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:17
2ND & 20
OWN 39
+6
97.5%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Eli WilsonSimilar
Q2 2:44
3RD & 14
OWN 45
0
97.4%
Joey Aguilar pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:35
4TH & 14
OWN 45
0
97.3%
Mitchell Lake punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Xavier Gaillardetz at the ETSU 25Similar
Q2 2:35
4TH & 14
OWN 45
0
97.3%
Mitchell Lake punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Xavier Gaillardetz at the ETSU 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ETSUDrive 9TD
2 plays · 85 yds · 0:413% → 5%
Q2 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+5
96.9%
Jaylen King pass complete to Karim PageSimilar
Q2 1:49
2ND & 5
OWN 20
+80
94.9%
Devontae Houston run for 80 yds for a TD (Ewan Johnson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 0:1995% → 95%
Q2 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
95.0%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Kaedin RobinsonSimilar
Q2 1:32
2ND & 7
OWN 33
0
95.0%
Joey Aguilar pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:23
3RD & 7
OWN 33
+3
94.8%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Eli WilsonSimilar
Q2 1:18
4TH & 4
OWN 36
0
94.7%
Mitchell Lake punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Xavier Gaillardetz at the ETSU 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ETSUDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:195% → 5%
Q2 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
95.1%
Devontae Houston run for 1 yd to the ETSU 21Similar
Q2 1:10
2ND & 9
OWN 21
0
95.1%
Jaylen King pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:03
3RD & 9
OWN 21
0
95.2%
Jaylen King pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:54
4TH & 9
OWN 21
0
95.3%
Nate Brackett punt for 51 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:1495% → 95%
Q2 0:49
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
95.0%
Joey Aguilar pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:44
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+5
94.9%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Anderson CastleSimilar
Q2 0:41
3RD & 5
OWN 33
0
94.8%
Joey Aguilar pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:35
4TH & 5
OWN 33
0
94.7%
Mitchell Lake punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Xavier Gaillardetz at the ETSU 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ETSUDrive 13END OF HALF
1 play · 5 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
94.8%
Bryson Irby run for 5 yds to the ETSU 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 14DOWNS
11 plays · 39 yds · 4:0095% → 94%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+6
94.5%
Anderson Castle run for 6 yds to the APP 33Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 4
OWN 33
0
94.6%
Anderson Castle run for no gain to the APP 33Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 4
OWN 33
+15
94.3%
East Tennessee State Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Jayvon Henderson) to the APP 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
94.8%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Kaedin RobinsonSimilar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 7
OPP 49
+6
94.8%
Anderson Castle run for 6 yds to the ETSU 43Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 1
OPP 43
+2
94.6%
Anderson Castle run for 2 yds to the ETSU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
94.9%
Joey Aguilar pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 10
OPP 41
0
94.8%
Maquel Haywood run for no gain to the ETSU 41Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 10
OPP 41
+9
94.6%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Makai JacksonSimilar
Q3 10:54
4TH & 1
OPP 32
+2
93.9%
Maquel Haywood run for 2 yds to the ETSU 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ETSUDrive 15FG
11 plays · 58 yds · 5:057% → 11%
Q3 10:54
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
93.5%
Jaylen King run for 3 yds to the ETSU 37Similar
Q3 10:54
2ND & 7
OWN 37
+28
93.4%
Jaylen King pass complete to Cameron Lewis for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:54
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+12
92.6%
Jaylen King run for 12 yds to the APP 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:54
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+2
92.4%
Bryson Irby run for 2 yds to the APP 21Similar
Q3 10:54
2ND & 8
OPP 21
+13
92.4%
Jaylen King pass complete to Cameron Lewis for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+6
92.4%
Jaylen King pass complete to Cameron LewisSimilar
Q3 10:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
92.4%
Jaylen King run for 2 yds to the APP 4Similar
Q3 10:54
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
92.8%
Bryson Irby run for 1 yd to the APP 3Similar
Q3 10:54
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
-5
93.3%
PENALTY ETSU Illegal Substitution 5 yards from App03 to App08. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:49
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+25
89.4%
Ewan Johnson 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 16TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 2:3592% → 96%
Q3 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
91.9%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Christan HornSimilar
Q3 5:04
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+15
92.0%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Makai Jackson for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:46
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
92.4%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Kaedin RobinsonSimilar
Q3 4:31
2ND & 8
OWN 48
0
92.3%
Joey Aguilar pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:17
3RD & 8
OWN 48
+13
91.7%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Kaedin Robinson for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:02
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
92.3%
Joey Aguilar pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:42
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+5
92.2%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Kaedin RobinsonSimilar
Q3 3:23
3RD & 5
OPP 34
0
91.8%
Joey Aguilar pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:14
4TH & 5
OPP 34
+34
96.0%
Eli Wilson 34 Yd pass from Joey Aguilar (Michael Hughes Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ETSUDrive 17PUNT
8 plays · -24 yds · 2:195% → 4%
Q3 2:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
95.3%
(03:12) No Huddle-Shotgun King,Jaylen pass complete short left to Page,Karim caught at ETSU36, for 0 yards to the ETSU25 PENALTY ETSU Holding (Smith,Luke) 10 yards from ETSU25 to ETSU15. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:42
1ST & 20
OWN 15
0
95.4%
Devontae Houston run for no gain to the ETSU 15Similar
Q3 2:00
2ND & 20
OWN 15
-5
95.4%
Jaylen King sacked by Thomas Davis for a loss of 5 yards to the ETSU 10Similar
Q3 1:12
3RD & 25
OWN 10
-9
95.4%
Jaylen King sacked for a loss of 9 yards to the ETSU 1Similar
Q3 0:40
4TH & 34
OWN 1
0
95.7%
Nate Brackett punt for 42 yds , Kaedin Robinson returns for no gain to the ETSU 43Similar
Q3 0:40
4TH & 34
OWN 1
0
95.7%
Nate Brackett punt for 42 yds , Kaedin Robinson returns for no gain to the APP 46Similar
Q3 0:40
4TH & 34
OWN 1
0
95.7%
Nate Brackett punt for 42 yds , Kaedin Robinson returns for no gain to the APP 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 18TD
2 plays · 54 yds · 0:1297% → 99%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+7
97.1%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Kanye RobertsSimilar
Q4 14:48
2ND & 3
OPP 47
+47
99.1%
Makai Jackson run for 47 yds for a TD (Michael Hughes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ETSUDrive 19DOWNS
10 plays · 43 yds · 2:481% → 1%
Q4 14:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.1%
Bryson Irby run for 2 yds to the ETSU 27Similar
Q4 14:07
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+15
99.2%
Jaylen King pass complete to AJ Johnson for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:56
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
99.2%
Bryson Irby run for 3 yds to the ETSU 45Similar
Q4 13:27
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+10
99.2%
Jaylen King pass complete to AJ Johnson for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:13
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+10
99.2%
Bryson Irby run for 10 yds to the APP 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:45
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
99.1%
Bryson Irby run for 3 yds to the APP 32Similar
Q4 12:05
2ND & 7
OPP 32
0
99.1%
Jaylen King pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:59
3RD & 7
OPP 32
0
99.2%
Jaylen King pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:53
4TH & 7
OPP 32
0
99.2%
Jaylen King pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 20TD
7 plays · 68 yds · 2:4399% → 100%
Q4 11:22
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+47
99.2%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Kaedin Robinson for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:16
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
99.3%
Joey Aguilar pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:09
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+1
99.3%
Kanye Roberts run for 1 yd to the ETSU 20Similar
Q4 10:28
3RD & 9
OPP 20
+15
99.2%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Kanye Roberts for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
99.3%
Kanye Roberts run for 2 yds to the ETSU 3Similar
Q4 9:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
99.3%
Kanye Roberts run for 2 yds to the ETSU 1Similar
Q4 8:39
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
Joey Aguilar run for 1 yd for a TD (Michael Hughes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ETSUDrive 21PUNT
14 plays · 34 yds · 7:220% → 0%
Q4 8:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.9%
Devontae Houston run for 3 yds to the ETSU 28Similar
Q4 7:55
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+5
99.9%
Devontae Houston run for 5 yds to the ETSU 33Similar
Q4 7:11
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+3
99.9%
Devontae Houston run for 3 yds to the ETSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:38
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
99.9%
Devontae Houston run for 3 yds to the ETSU 39Similar
Q4 6:06
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+8
99.9%
Devontae Houston run for 8 yds to the ETSU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:23
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
99.9%
Bryson Irby run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 4:39
2ND & 7
50
+3
100.0%
Bryson Irby run for 3 yds to the APP 47Similar
Q4 3:55
3RD & 4
OPP 47
+11
100.0%
Jaylen King pass complete to Hakeem Meggett for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:14
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-7
100.0%
Jaylen King sacked by Derrell Farrar for a loss of 7 yards to the APP 43Similar
Q4 2:33
2ND & 17
OPP 43
-5
100.0%
PENALTY ETSU Delay Of Game 5 yards from App43 to App48. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:12
2ND & 22
OPP 48
+2
100.0%
Devontae Houston run for 2 yds to the APP 46Similar
Q4 1:51
3RD & 20
OPP 46
+5
100.0%
Jaylen King run for 5 yds to the APP 41Similar
Q4 1:07
4TH & 15
OPP 41
0
100.0%
Nate Brackett punt for 41 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 22END OF GAME
2 plays · 11 yds · 0:59100% → 100%
Q4 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
100.0%
Maquel Haywood run for 3 yds to the APP 23Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+8
100.0%
Ahmani Marshall run for 8 yds to the APP 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 3:14
Eli Wilson 34 Yd pass from Joey Aguilar (Michael Hughes Kick)
+4.1
FG · Q3 5:49
Ewan Johnson 25 yd FG GOOD
-3.1
TD · Q4 14:48
Makai Jackson run for 47 yds for a TD (Michael Hughes KICK)
+2.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com