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EKU

Eastern Kentucky 0 at Western Kentucky 31

WKU
2024 · Week 2 · Sep 7, 2024 · Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium
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Win probability · WKU
modelWKU aheadEKU aheadconfidence bandkey playWKU scoreEKU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 9:05 · Brayden Latham run for 4 yds to the EKU 46 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+39.5+19.80−19.8−39.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 95Pregame prior+18.6Home team on offense+15.0Score differential+5.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+5.4Garbage-time factor+3.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 0:22: Elijah Young run for 1 yd for a TD (Lucas Carneiro KICK) — WKU win probability +1.9 pts (now 88%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 3:41: L.T. Sanders run for 2 yds for a TD (Lucas Carneiro KICK) — WKU win probability +6.4 pts (now 94%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q2 3:23: Matt Morrissey pass complete to Jakob Dixon for 10 yds to the EKU 35 for a 1ST down — EKU win probability +2.5 pts (now 8%) (top driver: EKU has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q3 2:51: TJ Finley pass complete to Elijah Young for 19 yds to the WKU 39 for a 1ST down — WKU win probability +3.3 pts (now 97%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 13:16: Cameron Hergott run for 10 yds to the EKU 49 — EKU win probability +2.8 pts (now 4%) (top driver: EKU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WKU made the numbers' call on 3 of 5EKU made the numbers' call on 7 of 10
  1. Q1 12:11WKU 4th & 2 at EKU 11, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 87.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.8%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    87.7%−0.1
    87% to make
    Punt
    87.3%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:53EKU 4th & 10 at EKU 44, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.5%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:10WKU 4th & 3 at EKU 8, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 85.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    85.9%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    85.7%−0.2
    90% to make
    Punt
    84.4%−1.4
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:59EKU 4th & 4 at EKU 16, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.5%−0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.6%
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:13WKU 4th & 3 at WKU 46, up 10
    Close callPunted · 86.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.5%−0.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:10EKU 4th & 3 at WKU 47, down 10
    Close callPunted · 13.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.6%−0.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:04EKU 4th & 12 at WKU 47, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.5%−0.4
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.8%
    average punt
  8. Q3 9:05EKU 4th & 1 at EKU 42, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    6.4%−1.0
    average punt
  9. Q3 6:05EKU 4th & 2 at WKU 46, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    4.2%−2.2
    23% to make
    Punt
    5.4%−1.0
    average punt
  10. Q3 3:07EKU 4th & 1 at WKU 1, down 17
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.0 ptsKicked a field goal · 5.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.1%
    59% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    3.1%−2.0
    94% to make
    Punt
    -2.2%−7.3
    average punt
  11. Q3 0:19WKU 4th & 2 at EKU 2, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 95.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    95.2%−0.6
    94% to make
    Punt
    92.5%−3.3
    average punt
  12. Q3 0:19WKU 4th & 2 at EKU 2, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 95.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    95.2%−0.6
    94% to make
    Punt
    92.5%−3.3
    average punt
  13. Q4 11:27EKU 4th & 15 at WKU 46, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.8%−0.7
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    2.9%−0.6
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    3.5%
    average punt
  14. Q4 4:57EKU 4th & 8 at EKU 40, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  15. Q4 0:00EKU 4th & 1 at EKU 49, down 31
    Close callWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WKU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 0:22WKU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 3:41WKU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 7:07WKU Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 2:38WKU Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WKUDrive 1FG
11 plays · 64 yds · 2:4389% → 89%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
89.3%
TJ Finley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:43
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
89.2%
TJ Finley pass complete to Kisean Johnson for 4 yds to the WKU 29Similar
Q1 14:24
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+15
89.2%
TJ Finley pass complete to Kisean Johnson for 15 yds to the WKU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:58
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
89.1%
Elijah Young run for 2 yds to the WKU 46Similar
Q1 13:41
2ND & 8
OWN 46
+10
89.0%
Elijah Young run for 10 yds to the EKU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:17
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+25
89.0%
TJ Finley pass complete to Moussa Barry for 10 yds to the EKU 34 for a 1ST down Eastern Kentucky Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Jordon Thomas) to the EKU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:03
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
88.9%
TJ Finley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:58
2ND & 10
OPP 19
0
88.9%
TJ Finley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:43
3RD & 10
OPP 19
+8
88.8%
TJ Finley pass complete to Michael Mathison for 8 yds to the EKU 11Similar
Q1 12:11
4TH & 2
OPP 11
+29
88.7%
Lucas Carneiro 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 2PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 2:0911% → 12%
Q1 12:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
88.6%
Joshua Carter run for 3 yds to the EKU 28Similar
Q1 11:25
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+6
88.5%
Joshua Carter run for 6 yds to the EKU 34Similar
Q1 10:41
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+10
88.3%
Joshua Carter run for 10 yds to the EKU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
88.0%
Matt Morrissey pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:04
2ND & 10
OWN 44
0
88.0%
Matt Morrissey pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:00
3RD & 10
OWN 44
0
88.1%
Matt Morrissey pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:53
4TH & 10
OWN 44
0
88.2%
Jacob Baker punt for 56 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 3DOWNS
15 plays · 72 yds · 5:1388% → 87%
Q1 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+14
88.0%
TJ Finley pass complete to Moussa Barry for 14 yds to the WKU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:07
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
87.9%
Elijah Young run for 3 yds to the WKU 37Similar
Q1 8:47
2ND & 7
OWN 37
+4
87.9%
Elijah Young run for 4 yds to the WKU 41Similar
Q1 8:04
3RD & 3
OWN 41
+14
87.7%
TJ Finley pass complete to Moussa Barry for 14 yds to the EKU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:35
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
87.8%
Michael Mathison run for 6 yds to the EKU 39Similar
Q1 7:05
2ND & 4
OPP 39
0
87.7%
TJ Finley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:05
3RD & 4
OPP 39
+5
87.6%
PENALTY EKU Offside (Gurley,Brad) 5 yards from EKU39 to EKU34, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:59
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
87.7%
TJ Finley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:37
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+4
87.6%
TJ Finley pass complete to River Helms for 4 yds to the EKU 30Similar
Q1 6:10
3RD & 6
OPP 30
+15
87.4%
(06:14) No Huddle-Shotgun Finley,TJ pass incomplete deep middle to Messer,Easton thrown to EKU02 PENALTY EKU Pass Interference (Smith Jr.,Mike) 15 yards from EKU30 to EKU15, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:55
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
87.5%
Michael Mathison run for no gain to the EKU 15Similar
Q1 5:27
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+7
87.4%
TJ Finley run for 7 yds to the EKU 8Similar
Q1 4:30
3RD & 3
OPP 8
0
87.0%
TJ Finley pass complete to Elijah Young for no gain to the EKU 8Similar
Q1 4:10
4TH & 3
OPP 8
0
86.6%
TJ Finley run for no gain to the EKU 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 4FUMBLE
5 plays · 14 yds · 2:4113% → 15%
Q1 4:03
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+6
86.6%
Brayden Latham run for 6 yds to the EKU 14Similar
Q1 3:15
2ND & 4
OWN 14
+11
86.4%
Matt Morrissey pass complete to Marcus Calwise Jr. for 11 yds to the EKU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
86.1%
Brayden Latham run for 2 yds to the EKU 27Similar
Q1 1:58
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+3
85.6%
Matt Morrissey pass complete to Ron Vann Jr. for 3 yds to the EKU 30Similar
Q1 1:22
3RD & 5
OWN 30
-8
85.5%
Matt Morrissey sacked by Darius Thomas for a loss of 8 yards to the EKU 22 Matt Morrissey fumbled, recovered by WKU Terrion Thompson , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 5TD
4 plays · 22 yds · 0:5386% → 88%
Q1 1:15
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+4
86.2%
Elijah Young run for 4 yds to the EKU 18Similar
Q1 0:42
2ND & 6
OPP 18
0
86.1%
TJ Finley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:36
3RD & 6
OPP 18
+17
85.8%
TJ Finley pass complete to River Helms for 17 yds to the EKU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
87.8%
Elijah Young run for 1 yd for a TD (Lucas Carneiro KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:0113% → 12%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+8
87.4%
Brayden Latham run for 8 yds to the EKU 18Similar
Q2 14:42
2ND & 2
OWN 18
-2
87.3%
Cameron Hergott pass complete to Jakob Dixon for a loss of 2 yards to the EKU 16Similar
Q2 14:11
3RD & 4
OWN 16
0
87.6%
Cameron Hergott pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:59
4TH & 4
OWN 16
0
88.0%
Jacob Baker punt for 55 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 17 yds · 1:3187% → 87%
Q2 13:44
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+10
86.9%
TJ Finley pass complete to Easton Messer for 10 yds to the WKU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
87.3%
Elijah Young run for no gain to the WKU 39Similar
Q2 12:54
2ND & 10
OWN 39
0
87.1%
TJ Finley pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:42
3RD & 10
OWN 39
+7
86.7%
TJ Finley pass complete to Easton Messer for 7 yds to the WKU 46Similar
Q2 12:13
4TH & 3
OWN 46
0
86.5%
Cole Maynard punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Jalen Montgomery at the EKU 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 8PUNT
9 plays · 41 yds · 4:5413% → 14%
Q2 12:04
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+24
87.1%
Joshua Carter run for 24 yds to the EKU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:29
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
86.4%
Joshua Carter run for 6 yds to the EKU 42Similar
Q2 10:45
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+3
86.2%
Joshua Carter run for 3 yds to the EKU 45Similar
Q2 10:06
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+1
86.1%
Joshua Carter run for 1 yd to the EKU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
86.2%
Joshua Carter run for 1 yd to the EKU 47Similar
Q2 8:30
2ND & 9
OWN 47
+6
86.2%
Matt Morrissey pass complete to Joshua Carter for 6 yds to the WKU 47Similar
Q2 7:54
3RD & 3
OPP 47
0
86.0%
Matt Morrissey pass complete to Marcus Calwise Jr. for no gain to the WKU 47Similar
Q2 7:10
4TH & 3
OPP 47
0
86.2%
Jacob Baker punt for 31 yds, fair catch by K.D. Hutchinson at the WKU 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 9TD
9 plays · 84 yds · 3:2086% → 94%
Q2 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+6
86.3%
TJ Finley pass complete to Kisean Johnson for 6 yds to the WKU 22Similar
Q2 6:35
2ND & 4
OWN 22
+12
86.2%
TJ Finley pass complete to River Helms for 12 yds to the WKU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:08
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+42
86.3%
TJ Finley pass complete to Kisean Johnson for 42 yds to the EKU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:09
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+6
87.2%
TJ Finley run for 6 yds to the EKU 18Similar
Q2 5:02
2ND & 4
OPP 18
+2
87.2%
L.T. Sanders run for 2 yds to the EKU 16Similar
Q2 4:41
3RD & 2
OPP 16
+3
86.8%
Elijah Young run for 3 yds to the EKU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:07
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
87.1%
TJ Finley pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:00
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+11
87.1%
Kisean Johnson run for 8 yds to the EKU 5 for a 1ST down Eastern Kentucky Penalty, Face Mask (3 yards) (Mike Smith Jr.) to the EKU 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
93.6%
L.T. Sanders run for 2 yds for a TD (Lucas Carneiro KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 10PUNT
11 plays · 28 yds · 2:198% → 8%
Q2 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
91.7%
Matt Morrissey pass complete to Jakob Dixon for 10 yds to the EKU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:01
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
91.3%
Brayden Latham run for 5 yds to the EKU 40Similar
Q2 2:33
2ND & 5
OWN 40
0
91.1%
Matt Morrissey pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:20
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+15
91.6%
Matt Morrissey pass complete to Jakob Dixon for 15 yds to the WKU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:51
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
90.2%
Brayden Latham run for 2 yds to the WKU 47Similar
Q2 1:25
2ND & 12
OPP 47
0
91.2%
Matt Morrissey pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:16
3RD & 12
OPP 47
-10
91.5%
(01:23) No Huddle-Shotgun Morrissey,Matt pass complete short right to Latham,Brayden caught at WKU37, for 22 yards to the WKU25 (Johnson Jr.,Anthony) PENALTY EKU Holding (Munlin Jr.,Vincent) 10 yards from WKU47 to EKU43. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:10
3RD & 22
OWN 43
+10
92.1%
Brayden Latham run for 10 yds to the WKU 47Similar
Q2 1:04
4TH & 12
OPP 47
0
91.7%
Jacob Baker punt for 37 yds, fair catch by K.D. Hutchinson at the WKU 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 11END OF HALF
3 plays · 2 yds · 0:5494% → 93%
Q2 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-8
93.9%
Western Kentucky Penalty, Personal Foul (-8 Yards) to the WKU 9Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 11
OWN 9
+3
92.7%
Elijah Young run for 3 yds to the WKU 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 12MISSED FG
19 plays · 89 yds · 11:357% → 6%
Q3 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+9
92.7%
Cameron Hergott run for 9 yds to the EKU 19Similar
Q3 14:04
2ND & 1
OWN 19
+4
92.5%
Cameron Hergott run for 4 yds to the EKU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:27
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
92.7%
Cameron Hergott run for 5 yds to the EKU 28Similar
Q3 12:49
2ND & 5
OWN 28
+3
92.8%
Brayden Latham run for 3 yds to the EKU 25Similar
Q3 12:05
3RD & 8
OWN 25
+8
93.0%
Cameron Hergott pass complete to Jayden West for 8 yds to the EKU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
92.3%
Brayden Latham run for 5 yds to the EKU 38Similar
Q3 10:41
2ND & 5
OWN 38
+2
92.3%
Brayden Latham run for 2 yds to the EKU 40Similar
Q3 9:47
3RD & 3
OWN 40
+2
92.5%
Brayden Latham run for 2 yds to the EKU 42Similar
Q3 9:05
4TH & 1
OWN 42
+4
92.6%
Brayden Latham run for 4 yds to the EKU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
92.4%
Cameron Hergott run for 5 yds to the WKU 49Similar
Q3 7:39
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+4
92.2%
Brayden Latham run for 4 yds to the WKU 45Similar
Q3 6:59
3RD & 1
OPP 45
+1
92.7%
Brayden Latham run for 1 yd to the WKU 46Similar
Q3 6:05
4TH & 2
OPP 46
+42
93.4%
Brayden Latham run for 42 yds to the WKU 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
92.6%
Joshua Carter run for 3 yds to the WKU 1Similar
Q3 4:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
93.1%
Joshua Carter run for 1 yd to the WKU 2Similar
Q3 3:49
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
93.9%
Brayden Latham run for 1 yd to the WKU 1Similar
Q3 3:07
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+17
93.9%
Patrick Nations 17 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 13DOWNS
8 plays · 78 yds · 2:3297% → 98%
Q3 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+19
97.2%
TJ Finley pass complete to Elijah Young for 19 yds to the WKU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:14
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+34
97.5%
TJ Finley pass complete to Kisean Johnson for 34 yds to the EKU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:49
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+20
97.7%
TJ Finley pass complete to Koy Moore for 20 yds to the EKU 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
97.7%
Kisean Johnson run for 6 yds to the EKU 1Similar
Q3 1:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
97.7%
TJ Finley pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:52
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
97.7%
Elijah Young run for 1 yd to the EKU 2Similar
Q3 0:19
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
0
97.5%
TJ Finley pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:19
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
0
97.5%
TJ Finley pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:014% → 4%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+3
95.8%
Joshua Carter run for 3 yds to the EKU 5Similar
Q4 14:51
2ND & 7
OWN 5
+4
95.9%
Joshua Carter run for 4 yds to the EKU 9Similar
Q4 14:17
3RD & 3
OWN 9
-4
96.1%
(14:20) No Huddle-Shotgun Morrissey,Matt pass complete short left to Schlachter,Caeleb caught at EKU11, for 3 yards to the EKU12 (Thomas,Darius) PENALTY EKU Illegal Formation (Schlachter,Caeleb) 4 yards from EKU09 to EKU05. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:59
3RD & 7
OWN 5
0
96.3%
Jacob Baker punt for 65 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 15FUMBLE
2 plays · 11 yds · 0:2498% → 99%
Q4 13:51
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-10
98.3%
(13:56) Finley,TJ pass complete short middle to Messer,Easton caught at WKU28, for 9 yards to the WKU39 (Stephens,Gabe) PENALTY WKU Holding (Smith,Dalvin) 10 yards from WKU30 to WKU20. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:27
1ST & 20
OWN 20
+21
98.5%
TJ Finley pass complete to Demick Starling for 21 yds Demick Starling fumbled, recovered by EKU Jordon ThomasSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 1:494% → 3%
Q4 13:16
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+10
95.7%
Cameron Hergott run for 10 yds to the EKU 49Similar
Q4 12:36
2ND & 20
OWN 49
+10
96.2%
Joshua Carter run for 10 yds to the WKU 41Similar
Q4 12:01
3RD & 10
OPP 41
+5
96.0%
Joshua Carter run for 5 yds to the WKU 46Similar
Q4 11:27
4TH & 15
OPP 46
0
96.7%
Jacob Baker punt for 46 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 17TD
10 plays · 80 yds · 4:1099% → 100%
Q4 11:17
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+21
98.6%
L.T. Sanders run for 21 yds to the WKU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:57
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
98.8%
TJ Finley pass complete to Dalvin Smith for 4 yds to the WKU 45Similar
Q4 10:38
2ND & 6
OWN 45
-10
98.8%
(10:40) No Huddle-Shotgun Sanders,L.T. rush right for 1 yard gain to the WKU46 (McGowan,Jacquez; Kelly,Kyle) PENALTY WKU Holding (Jackson,Marshall) 10 yards from WKU45 to WKU35. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:02
2ND & 16
OWN 35
+7
98.6%
TJ Finley pass complete to Dalvin Smith for 7 yds to the WKU 42Similar
Q4 9:26
3RD & 9
OWN 42
+25
98.8%
TJ Finley pass complete to Easton Messer for 25 yds to the EKU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
98.9%
TJ Finley pass complete to Elijah Young for 5 yds to the EKU 28Similar
Q4 8:32
2ND & 5
OPP 28
+7
98.9%
TJ Finley pass complete to Koy Moore for 7 yds to the EKU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:15
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+7
98.9%
Elijah Young run for 7 yds to the EKU 14Similar
Q4 7:37
2ND & 3
OPP 14
+5
99.0%
TJ Finley pass complete to Easton Messer for 5 yds to the EKU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
99.6%
Elijah Young run for 9 yds for a TD (Lucas Carneiro KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 18PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 1:581% → 1%
Q4 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.3%
Matt Morrissey pass complete to Marcus Calwise Jr. for 5 yds to the EKU 30Similar
Q4 6:29
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+8
99.3%
Matt Morrissey pass complete to Marcus Calwise Jr. for 8 yds to the EKU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
99.3%
(06:15) No Huddle-Shotgun Morrissey,Matt pass complete short right to Dixon,Jakob caught at EKU48, for 8 yards to the EKU46 (Robinson,Kent) PENALTY EKU Ineligible Downfield on Pass declined EKU Holding (Collins,Payton) 10 yards from EKU38 to EKU28. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:43
1ST & 20
OWN 28
0
99.3%
Matt Morrissey pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:36
2ND & 20
OWN 28
+12
99.3%
Matt Morrissey pass complete to Brayden Latham for 12 yds to the EKU 40Similar
Q4 5:02
3RD & 8
OWN 40
0
99.3%
Matt Morrissey pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:57
4TH & 8
OWN 40
0
99.4%
Jacob Baker punt for 37 yds, fair catch by K.D. Hutchinson at the WKU 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 19TD
9 plays · 77 yds · 2:12100% → 100%
Q4 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
99.7%
L.T. Sanders run for 3 yds to the WKU 26Similar
Q4 4:10
2ND & 7
OWN 26
+18
99.7%
TJ Finley pass complete to Kisean Johnson for 18 yds to the WKU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:37
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+30
99.7%
Eastern Kentucky Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Jeremiah Bailey) to the EKU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:23
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+11
99.8%
TJ Finley pass complete to Dalvin Smith for 11 yds to the EKU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:49
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
99.8%
TJ Finley pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:45
2ND & 10
OPP 12
0
99.8%
TJ Finley pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:38
3RD & 10
OPP 12
+12
100.0%
TJ Finley pass complete to Dalvin Smith for 12 yds for a TD (Lucas Carneiro KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 20END OF GAME
7 plays · 32 yds · 2:250% → 0%
Q4 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
100.0%
Joshua Carter run for 6 yds to the EKU 31Similar
Q4 1:56
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+9
99.9%
Joshua Carter run for 9 yds to the EKU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
99.9%
Matt Morrissey pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:31
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+5
99.9%
Joshua Carter run for 5 yds to the EKU 45Similar
Q4 0:49
3RD & 5
OWN 45
+4
100.0%
Joshua Carter run for 4 yds to the EKU 49Similar
Q4 0:00
4TH & 1
OWN 49
+8
100.0%
Joshua Carter run for 8 yds to the WKU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 3:41
L.T. Sanders run for 2 yds for a TD (Lucas Carneiro KICK)
+6.4
KEY PLAY · Q3 2:51
TJ Finley pass complete to Elijah Young for 19 yds to the WKU 39 for a 1ST down
+3.3
KEY PLAY · Q4 13:16
Cameron Hergott run for 10 yds to the EKU 49
-2.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com