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APSU

Austin Peay 0 at Louisville 62

LOU
2024 · Week 1 · Aug 31, 2024 · L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium
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Win probability · LOU
modelLOU aheadAPSU aheadconfidence bandkey playLOU scoreAPSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 9:55 · Dominik Stadlman punt for 39 yds , Quincy Riley returns for 29 yds to the APSU 33
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+49.0+24.50−24.5−49.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 11Pregame prior+47.4Home team on offense+0.2Score differential+0.0Blowout margin+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.2Garbage-time factor+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 10:48: Brock Travelstead 30 yd FG GOOD — APSU win probability +0.1 pts (now 2%) (top driver: LOU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 8:10: Tyler Shough pass complete to Ja'Corey Brooks for 9 yds for a TD (Brock Travelstead KICK) — LOU win probability +0.1 pts (now 98%) (top driver: LOU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 14:51: Keyjuan Brown run for 4 yds for a TD (Brock Travelstead KICK) — LOU win probability +0.6 pts (now 98%) (top driver: LOU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 10:55: Tyler Shough pass complete to Jadon Thompson for 33 yds for a TD (Brock Travelstead KICK) — LOU win probability +0.5 pts (now 99%) (top driver: LOU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 7:17: Tyler Shough pass complete to Mark Redman for 21 yds for a TD (Brock Travelstead KICK) — LOU win probability +0.6 pts (now 100%) (top driver: LOU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
LOU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5APSU made the numbers' call on 9 of 11
  1. Q1 10:48LOU 4th & 4 at APSU 13, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 98.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.1%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.0%−<0.1
    85% to make
    Punt
    97.6%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:55APSU 4th & 12 at APSU 23, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.9%−0.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:04APSU 4th & 13 at APSU 33, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.3%−0.2
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.4%
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:55APSU 4th & 4 at APSU 45, down 17
    Close callPunted · 2.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:48APSU 4th & 10 at APSU 38, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.3%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:50APSU 4th & 12 at LOU 49, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−<0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:03LOU 4th & 20 at APSU 46, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%−0.1
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    99.5%−<0.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.6%
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:56APSU 4th & 17 at APSU 18, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:16LOU 4th & 10 at LOU 32, up 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:22APSU 4th & 7 at APSU 33, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:03APSU 4th & 12 at APSU 23, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  12. Q3 4:14LOU 4th & 7 at LOU 40, up 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  13. Q3 1:32APSU 4th & 7 at APSU 21, down 52
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  14. Q4 11:57APSU 4th & 12 at APSU 33, down 59
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  15. Q4 5:00LOU 4th & 10 at APSU 21, up 59
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%
    74% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.4
    average punt
  16. Q4 2:50APSU 4th & 1 at APSU 34, down 62
    Close callPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
LOU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 8:10LOU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:51LOU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 10:55LOU Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 7:17LOU Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:10LOU Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 8:04LOU Touchdown, up 44 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 0:17LOU Touchdown, up 58 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
LOUDrive 1FG
7 plays · 62 yds · 4:0899% → 99%
Q1 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+21
98.9%
Maurice Turner run for 21 yds to the LOU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:13
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+24
98.8%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Chris Bell for 24 yds to the APSU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:32
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+11
98.8%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Ja'Corey Brooks for 11 yds to the APSU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:56
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
98.7%
Maurice Turner run for no gain to the APSU 19Similar
Q1 12:17
2ND & 10
OPP 19
-2
98.7%
Maurice Turner run for a loss of 2 yards to the APSU 21Similar
Q1 11:31
3RD & 12
OPP 21
+8
98.6%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Ja'Corey Brooks for 8 yds to the APSU 13Similar
Q1 10:48
4TH & 4
OPP 13
+30
98.5%
Brock Travelstead 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APSUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:472% → 2%
Q1 10:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.5%
Mason Garcia pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:39
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
98.5%
Mason Garcia pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:34
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-2
98.5%
Mason Garcia sacked by Tamarion McDonald for a loss of 2 yards to the APSU 23Similar
Q1 9:55
4TH & 12
OWN 23
+29
98.5%
Dominik Stadlman punt for 39 yds , Quincy Riley returns for 29 yds to the APSU 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 3TD
5 plays · 33 yds · 1:3299% → 98%
Q1 9:42
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+12
98.5%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Ja'Corey Brooks for 12 yds to the APSU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:05
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
98.4%
Tyler Shough pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:59
2ND & 10
OPP 21
0
98.4%
Tyler Shough pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:53
3RD & 10
OPP 21
+12
98.4%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Jamari Johnson for 12 yds to the APSU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
98.4%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Ja'Corey Brooks for 9 yds for a TD (Brock Travelstead KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APSUDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 8 yds · 3:022% → 2%
Q1 8:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
98.4%
O'Shaan Allison run for 1 yd to the APSU 26Similar
Q1 7:41
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+7
98.3%
Mason Garcia pass complete to Jaden Barnes for 7 yds to the APSU 33Similar
Q1 7:17
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+3
98.3%
O'Shaan Allison run for 3 yds to the APSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
98.3%
Mason Garcia run for 5 yds to the APSU 41Similar
Q1 6:24
2ND & 5
OWN 41
-3
98.2%
Mason Garcia sacked by Tamarion McDonald for a loss of 3 yards to the APSU 38Similar
Q1 5:41
3RD & 8
OWN 38
-5
98.1%
Mason Garcia sacked by Ashton Gillotte for a loss of 5 yards to the APSU 33Similar
Q1 5:04
4TH & 13
OWN 33
0
98.1%
Dominik Stadlman punt for 21 yds, downed at the LOU 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 5TD
9 plays · 54 yds · 5:0298% → 98%
Q1 4:53
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+8
98.2%
Keyjuan Brown run for 8 yds to the APSU 46Similar
Q1 4:23
2ND & 2
OPP 46
+7
98.2%
Keyjuan Brown run for 7 yds to the APSU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:47
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+7
98.1%
Keyjuan Brown run for 7 yds to the APSU 32Similar
Q1 3:11
2ND & 3
OPP 32
+8
98.1%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Jamari Johnson for 8 yds to the APSU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:32
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+9
98.0%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Isaac Brown for 9 yds to the APSU 15Similar
Q1 1:53
2ND & 1
OPP 15
+4
97.9%
Isaac Brown run for 4 yds to the APSU 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:16
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
97.9%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Ja'Corey Brooks for 2 yds to the APSU 9Similar
Q1 0:32
2ND & 8
OPP 9
+5
97.8%
Isaac Brown run for 5 yds to the APSU 4Similar
Q2 14:51
3RD & 3
OPP 4
+4
98.4%
Keyjuan Brown run for 4 yds for a TD (Brock Travelstead KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APSUDrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 1:502% → 2%
Q2 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.3%
La'Vell Wright run for no gain to the APSU 25Similar
Q2 14:15
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
98.3%
Mason Garcia pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:14
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+5
98.3%
Louisville Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the APSU 30Similar
Q2 14:11
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+9
98.3%
Mason Garcia pass complete to Jaden Barnes for 9 yds to the APSU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:54
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
98.3%
Mason Garcia pass complete to Romon Copeland Jr. for 3 yds to the APSU 42Similar
Q2 13:33
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+3
98.2%
La'Vell Wright run for 3 yds to the APSU 45Similar
Q2 13:02
3RD & 4
OWN 45
0
98.2%
Mason Garcia pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:55
4TH & 4
OWN 45
0
98.2%
Dominik Stadlman punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Quincy Riley at the LOU 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 7TD
5 plays · 90 yds · 1:5298% → 99%
Q2 12:47
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+36
98.4%
Isaac Brown run for 36 yds to the LOU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:07
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
98.5%
Tyler Shough pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:01
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+20
98.4%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Ja'Corey Brooks for 20 yds to the APSU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:18
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
98.4%
Isaac Brown run for 1 yd to the APSU 33Similar
Q2 10:55
2ND & 9
OPP 33
+33
98.9%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Jadon Thompson for 33 yds for a TD (Brock Travelstead KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APSUDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 13 yds · 2:041% → 1%
Q2 10:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
98.8%
O'Shaan Allison run for 2 yds to the APSU 27Similar
Q2 10:17
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+11
98.8%
Mason Garcia run for 11 yds to the APSU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-1
98.8%
O'Shaan Allison run for a loss of 1 yard to the APSU 37Similar
Q2 9:26
2ND & 11
OWN 37
0
98.8%
Mason Garcia pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:15
3RD & 11
OWN 37
+1
98.8%
Mason Garcia run for 1 yd to the APSU 38Similar
Q2 8:48
4TH & 10
OWN 38
0
98.8%
punt blocked by Devin Neal blocked by Devin Neal (08:48) Punt by STADLMAN, Dominik at the APU38 is blocked by NEAL, Devin, recovered by LOU FOSTER, JR., Dan at the APU35, returned 0 yards to the APU35, End of Play, clock 08:44. , returns for no gain to the APSU 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 9TD
3 plays · 35 yds · 1:2399% → 100%
Q2 8:40
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+8
99.0%
Maurice Turner run for 8 yds to the APSU 27Similar
Q2 7:58
2ND & 2
OPP 27
+6
98.9%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Cataurus Hicks for 6 yds to the APSU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:17
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+21
99.5%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Mark Redman for 21 yds for a TD (Brock Travelstead KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APSUDrive 10PUNT
8 plays · 26 yds · 4:191% → 0%
Q2 7:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.3%
Austin Smith run for 1 yd to the APSU 26Similar
Q2 6:44
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+14
99.3%
Austin Smith pass complete to Jaden Barnes for 14 yds to the APSU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
99.5%
La'Vell Wright run for 3 yds to the APSU 43Similar
Q2 5:25
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+10
99.5%
Austin Smith run for 10 yds to the LOU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:50
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
99.5%
Austin Smith pass complete to La'Vell Wright for 2 yds to the LOU 45Similar
Q2 4:10
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+1
99.5%
Austin Smith pass complete to La'Vell Wright for 1 yd to the LOU 44Similar
Q2 3:28
3RD & 7
OPP 44
-5
99.5%
Austin Smith sacked by Jared Dawson for a loss of 5 yards to the LOU 49Similar
Q2 2:50
4TH & 12
OPP 49
0
99.6%
Dominik Stadlman punt for 49 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 11PUNT
9 plays · 34 yds · 1:40100% → 100%
Q2 2:43
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+21
99.6%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Ja'Corey Brooks for 21 yds to the LOU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:01
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
99.6%
Tyler Shough pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:52
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+6
99.7%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Jadon Thompson for 6 yds to the LOU 47Similar
Q2 1:27
3RD & 4
OWN 47
+17
99.7%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Jr. Donald Chaney for 17 yds to the APSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:19
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
99.7%
Tyler Shough pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:14
2ND & 10
OPP 36
0
99.7%
Tyler Shough pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:11
3RD & 10
OPP 36
-10
99.7%
Tyler Shough sacked by Dion Hunter for a loss of 10 yards to the APSU 46Similar
Q2 1:03
4TH & 20
OPP 46
0
99.7%
Brady Hodges punt for 46 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APSUDrive 12INT
4 plays · 19 yds · 0:280% → 0%
Q2 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+14
99.7%
Austin Smith pass complete to Jade Kneeland for 14 yds to the APSU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:47
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
99.7%
Austin Smith pass complete to O'Shaan Allison for 5 yds to the APSU 39Similar
Q2 0:28
2ND & 5
OWN 39
-29
99.7%
Austin Smith pass intercepted T.J. Capers return for 29 yds to the APSU 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 13TD
3 plays · 13 yds · 0:11100% → 100%
Q2 0:21
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+8
99.7%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Maurice Turner for 8 yds to the APSU 5Similar
Q2 0:10
2ND & 2
OPP 5
+5
99.7%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Jadon Thompson for 5 yds for a TD (Brock Travelstead KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APSUDrive 14END OF HALF
1 play · 3 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q2 0:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.8%
La'Vell Wright run for 3 yds to the APSU 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APSUDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · -7 yds · 2:000% → 0%
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
99.7%
O'Shaan Allison run for a loss of 1 yard to the APSU 24Similar
Q3 14:22
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+3
99.8%
La'Vell Wright run for 3 yds to the APSU 27Similar
Q3 13:41
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-9
99.8%
Austin Smith sacked by Tramel Logan for a loss of 9 yards to the APSU 18Similar
Q3 12:56
4TH & 17
OWN 18
0
99.8%
Dominik Stadlman punt for 39 yds , Quincy Riley returns for no gain to the LOU 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:29100% → 100%
Q3 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
99.8%
Keyjuan Brown run for no gain to the LOU 32Similar
Q3 12:00
2ND & 10
OWN 32
0
99.8%
Pierce Clarkson pass complete to Kris Hughes for no gain to the LOU 32Similar
Q3 11:28
3RD & 10
OWN 32
0
99.8%
Pierce Clarkson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:16
4TH & 10
OWN 32
0
99.8%
Carter Schwartz punt for 48 yds, downed at the APSU 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APSUDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 2:440% → 0%
Q3 11:06
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
99.8%
Austin Smith pass complete to Malik Bowen-Sims for a loss of 2 yards to the APSU 18Similar
Q3 10:36
2ND & 12
OWN 18
+11
99.8%
Austin Smith pass complete to Malik Bowen-Sims for 11 yds to the APSU 29Similar
Q3 10:04
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+1
99.8%
La'Vell Wright run for 1 yd to the APSU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:31
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-7
99.8%
Austin Smith sacked by Thor Griffith for a loss of 7 yards to the APSU 23Similar
Q3 9:08
2ND & 17
OWN 23
0
99.8%
Austin Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:02
3RD & 17
OWN 23
+10
99.8%
La'Vell Wright run for 10 yds to the APSU 33Similar
Q3 8:22
4TH & 7
OWN 33
0
99.8%
Dominik Stadlman punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Isaac Brown at the LOU 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 18TD
1 play · 77 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 8:04
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+77
99.8%
Isaac Brown run for 77 yds for a TD (Brock Travelstead KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APSUDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 2:000% → 0%
Q3 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
99.9%
O'Shaan Allison run for a loss of 2 yards to the APSU 23Similar
Q3 7:25
2ND & 12
OWN 23
-3
99.9%
Austin Smith pass complete to O'Shaan Allison for a loss of 3 yards to the APSU 20Similar
Q3 6:47
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+3
99.9%
O'Shaan Allison run for 3 yds to the APSU 23Similar
Q3 6:03
4TH & 12
OWN 23
+9
99.9%
Dominik Stadlman punt for 49 yds , Isaac Brown returns for 9 yds to the LOU 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:39100% → 100%
Q3 5:53
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-8
99.9%
Pierce Clarkson sacked by Davion Hood for a loss of 8 yards to the LOU 29Similar
Q3 5:34
2ND & 18
OWN 29
+4
99.8%
Pierce Clarkson pass complete to Jaleel Skinner for 4 yds to the LOU 33Similar
Q3 5:01
3RD & 14
OWN 33
+7
99.8%
Pierce Clarkson pass complete to Keyjuan Brown for 7 yds to the LOU 40Similar
Q3 4:14
4TH & 7
OWN 40
0
99.9%
Carter Schwartz punt for 33 yds, downed at the APSU 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APSUDrive 21FUMBLE TD
3 plays · -5 yds · 1:250% → 0%
Q3 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
99.9%
Austin Smith pass complete to La'Vell Wright for 2 yds to the APSU 29Similar
Q3 3:26
2ND & 8
OWN 29
+11
99.9%
Austin Smith pass complete to Malik Bowen-Sims for 11 yds to the APSU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:39
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
99.9%
Austin Smith sacked for a loss of 18 yards Austin Smith fumbled, recovered by LOU Ramon Puryear , return for 0 yards for a TD (Cooper Ranvier KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APSUDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:010% → 0%
Q3 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-5
99.9%
Austin Peay Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the APSU 13Similar
Q3 2:30
1ST & 15
OWN 13
0
99.9%
Austin Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:25
2ND & 15
OWN 13
0
99.9%
Austin Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:21
3RD & 15
OWN 13
+8
99.9%
Austin Smith run for 8 yds to the APSU 21Similar
Q3 1:32
4TH & 7
OWN 21
0
99.9%
punt blocked by Jr. Dan Foster blocked by Jr. Dan Foster (01:32) Punt by STADLMAN, Dominik at the APU21 is blocked by FOSTER, JR., Dan, recovered by LOU BROWN, Keyjuan at the APU24, returned 0 yards to the APU24, End of Play, clock 01:29. , returns for no gain to the APSU 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 23TD
3 plays · 24 yds · 1:08100% → 100%
Q3 1:25
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+1
99.9%
Duke Watson run for 1 yd to the APSU 23Similar
Q3 0:49
2ND & 9
OPP 23
+16
99.9%
Duke Watson run for 16 yds to the APSU 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
99.9%
Duke Watson run for 7 yds for a TD (Nick Keller KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APSUDrive 24PUNT
7 plays · 8 yds · 3:170% → 0%
Q3 0:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
100.0%
Kaden Williams run for 7 yds to the APSU 32Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+2
100.0%
Kaden Williams run for 2 yds to the APSU 34Similar
Q4 14:14
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+1
100.0%
Kaden Williams run for 1 yd to the APSU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:31
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
100.0%
Kaden Williams run for no gain to the APSU 35Similar
Q4 12:50
2ND & 10
OWN 35
-2
100.0%
Austin Smith pass complete to DJ Carter for a loss of 2 yards to the APSU 33Similar
Q4 12:02
3RD & 12
OWN 33
0
100.0%
Austin Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:57
4TH & 12
OWN 33
0
100.0%
Dominik Stadlman punt for 47 yds , Isaac Brown returns for no gain to the LOU 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 25FG
12 plays · 59 yds · 6:48100% → 100%
Q4 11:48
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
99.9%
Bailey Harrison pass complete to Izayah Cummings for 5 yds to the LOU 25Similar
Q4 11:13
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+9
99.9%
Bailey Harrison pass complete to Ahmari Huggins-Bruce for 9 yds to the LOU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
99.9%
Keyjuan Brown run for no gain to the LOU 34Similar
Q4 10:02
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+8
99.9%
Bailey Harrison pass complete to Antonio Meeks for 8 yds to the LOU 42Similar
Q4 9:26
3RD & 2
OWN 42
+24
99.9%
Keyjuan Brown run for 24 yds to the APSU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:33
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+13
100.0%
Keyjuan Brown run for 13 yds to the APSU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:53
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-14
100.0%
Bailey Harrison pass complete to Antonio Meeks for a loss of 4 yards to the APSU 25 Louisville Penalty, Offensive Holding (Kris Hughes) to the APSU 25Similar
Q4 7:33
1ST & 14
OPP 25
+2
100.0%
Keyjuan Brown run for 2 yds to the APSU 23Similar
Q4 7:00
2ND & 12
OPP 23
+4
100.0%
Bailey Harrison pass complete to Kris Hughes for 4 yds to the APSU 19Similar
Q4 6:06
3RD & 8
OPP 19
-5
100.0%
Louisville Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the APSU 24Similar
Q4 5:43
3RD & 13
OPP 24
+3
100.0%
Bailey Harrison pass complete to Keyjuan Brown for 3 yds to the APSU 21Similar
Q4 5:00
4TH & 10
OPP 21
+38
100.0%
Brock Travelstead 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APSUDrive 26PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 2:040% → 0%
Q4 4:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
100.0%
Kaden Williams run for 8 yds to the APSU 33Similar
Q4 4:10
2ND & 2
OWN 33
-1
100.0%
Kaden Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the APSU 32Similar
Q4 3:24
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+2
100.0%
Kaden Williams run for 2 yds to the APSU 34Similar
Q4 2:50
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
100.0%
Dominik Stadlman punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Isaac Brown at the LOU 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 27END OF 4TH QUARTER
6 plays · 72 yds · 1:58100% → 100%
Q4 2:41
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+7
100.0%
Duke Watson run for 7 yds to the LOU 34Similar
Q4 2:05
2ND & 3
OWN 34
+58
100.0%
Duke Watson run for 58 yds to the APSU 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
100.0%
Deuce Adams run for 1 yd to the APSU 7Similar
Q4 1:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
-3
100.0%
Duke Watson run for a loss of 3 yards to the APSU 10Similar
Q4 0:43
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
+9
100.0%
Travis Egan run for 9 yds to the APSU 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 14:51
Keyjuan Brown run for 4 yds for a TD (Brock Travelstead KICK)
+0.6
TD · Q2 7:17
Tyler Shough pass complete to Mark Redman for 21 yds for a TD (Brock Travelstead KICK)
+0.6
TD · Q2 10:55
Tyler Shough pass complete to Jadon Thompson for 33 yds for a TD (Brock Travelstead KICK)
+0.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com