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ARMY

Army 14 at North Texas 3

UNT
2024 · Week 11 · Nov 9, 2024 · DATCU Stadium
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Win probability · UNT
modelUNT aheadARMY aheadconfidence bandkey playUNT scoreARMY score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 0:17 · Chandler Morris pass complete to Blair Conwright for 8 yds to the ARMY 43 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+39.5+19.80−19.8−39.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 34Home team on offense−0.7Pregame prior−12.8Score differential−0.3Garbage-time factor−0.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.4
This game in five plays
  1. KEY PLAY · Q2 1:17: Kanye Udoh run for 8 yds to the UNT 33 — ARMY win probability +3.9 pts (now 67%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q3 11:13: Chandler Morris pass incomplete — UNT win probability +6.9 pts (now 41%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 11:44: Bryson Daily run for 2 yds for a TD (Trey Gronotte KICK) — ARMY win probability +14.7 pts (now 87%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 8:29: Bryson Daily run for 3 yds to the ARMY 23 — ARMY win probability +7.7 pts (now 89%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 2:13: Bryson Daily run for 2 yds to the ARMY 22 — ARMY win probability +4.1 pts (now 95%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UNT made the numbers' call on 5 of 7ARMY made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 13:42UNT 4th & 6 at UNT 44, tied
    Close callWent for it · 35.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    35.2%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    35.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:45UNT 4th & 5 at ARMY 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 36.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    36.7%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    36.7%−<0.1
    54% to make
    Punt
    36.6%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:10UNT 4th & 13 at ARMY 13, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 37.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.0%−0.3
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    37.3%
    85% to make
    Punt
    36.2%−1.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:17UNT 4th & 2 at UNT 49, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 38.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    38.7%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    37.9%−0.7
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:50UNT 4th & 2 at ARMY 2, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 39.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    39.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    38.2%−1.0
    94% to make
    Punt
    34.1%−5.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:07ARMY 4th & 29 at ARMY 48, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.1%−1.7
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.8%
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:24UNT 4th & 7 at UNT 41, down 4
    Close callWent for it · 37.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    37.1%−0.5
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    37.5%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:21ARMY 4th & 1 at UNT 32, up 4
    Close callWent for it · 64.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    63.8%−0.3
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    64.1%
    51% to make
    Punt
    61.7%−2.4
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:48ARMY 4th & 1 at ARMY 46, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 62.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    63.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    60.5%−2.5
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:47UNT 4th & 9 at UNT 46, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.7%−1.3
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.9%
    average punt
  11. Q3 2:25ARMY 4th & 4 at UNT 30, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 67.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    67.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    65.8%−1.4
    56% to make
    Punt
    63.0%−4.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ARMY made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 2:22ARMY Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q4 11:44ARMY Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UNTDrive 1FG
19 plays · 62 yds · 6:4934% → 37%
Q1 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
33.5%
Shane Porter run for 5 yds to the UNT 30Similar
Q1 14:43
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+3
33.6%
Chandler Morris pass complete to DT Sheffield for 3 yds to the UNT 33Similar
Q1 14:21
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+7
33.7%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Dalton Carnes for 7 yds to the UNT 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:08
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
33.9%
Chandler Morris pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:02
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+4
33.9%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Kiefer Sibley for 4 yds to the UNT 44Similar
Q1 13:46
3RD & 6
OWN 44
0
34.0%
Chandler Morris pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:42
4TH & 6
OWN 44
+8
34.0%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Miles Coleman for 8 yds to the ARMY 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:13
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
34.4%
Chandler Morris pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:06
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+7
34.5%
Kiefer Sibley run for 7 yds to the ARMY 41Similar
Q1 12:48
3RD & 3
OPP 41
+5
34.6%
Kiefer Sibley run for 5 yds to the ARMY 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:20
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+1
34.9%
Shane Porter run for 1 yd to the ARMY 35Similar
Q1 11:40
2ND & 9
OPP 35
-3
35.4%
Chandler Morris sacked by Kyle Lewis for a loss of 3 yards to the ARMY 38Similar
Q1 11:02
3RD & 12
OPP 38
+7
35.3%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Damon Ward Jr. for 7 yds to the ARMY 31Similar
Q1 10:45
4TH & 5
OPP 31
+21
35.5%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Damon Ward Jr. for 21 yds to the ARMY 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-3
36.0%
Makenzie McGill II run for a loss of 3 yards to the ARMY 13Similar
Q1 9:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 13
-5
36.6%
North Texas Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ARMY 18Similar
Q1 9:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 18
+2
36.4%
DT Sheffield run for 2 yds to the ARMY 16Similar
Q1 8:54
3RD & GOAL
OPP 16
+3
36.2%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Wyatt Young for 3 yds to the ARMY 13Similar
Q1 8:10
4TH & GOAL
OPP 13
+31
36.9%
Kali Nguma 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 2TD
9 plays · 48 yds · 5:4664% → 65%
Q1 8:08
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
36.5%
Bryson Daily run for 4 yds to the UNT 44Similar
Q1 7:23
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+8
36.8%
Tyrell Robinson run for 8 yds to the UNT 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:35
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+8
37.2%
Bryson Daily run for 8 yds to the UNT 28Similar
Q1 5:54
2ND & 2
OPP 28
+2
37.1%
Kanye Udoh run for 2 yds to the UNT 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:09
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+5
37.4%
Bryson Daily run for 5 yds to the UNT 21Similar
Q1 4:23
2ND & 5
OPP 21
+4
37.6%
Kanye Udoh run for 4 yds to the UNT 17Similar
Q1 3:39
3RD & 1
OPP 17
+4
38.4%
Bryson Daily run for 4 yds to the UNT 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:15
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+3
38.1%
Kanye Udoh run for 3 yds to the UNT 10Similar
Q1 2:22
2ND & 7
OPP 10
+10
34.9%
Bryson Daily run for 10 yds for a TD (Trey Gronotte KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 3DOWNS
12 plays · 80 yds · 4:2336% → 38%
Q1 2:13
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+11
36.3%
Shane Porter run for 11 yds to the UNT 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+12
36.5%
Chandler Morris pass complete to DT Sheffield for 12 yds to the UNT 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
37.6%
Chandler Morris pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:28
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+5
37.0%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Blair Conwright for 5 yds to the UNT 46Similar
Q1 0:49
3RD & 5
OWN 46
+3
37.5%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Blair Conwright for 3 yds to the UNT 49Similar
Q1 0:17
4TH & 2
OWN 49
+8
37.4%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Blair Conwright for 8 yds to the ARMY 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:59
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+28
38.6%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Damon Ward Jr. for 28 yds to the ARMY 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:30
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+10
39.4%
Makenzie McGill II run for 10 yds to the ARMY 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
39.5%
Makenzie McGill II run for 4 yds to the ARMY 1Similar
Q2 13:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
39.9%
Makenzie McGill II run for a loss of 1 yard to the ARMY 2Similar
Q2 12:56
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
39.1%
Chandler Morris pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:50
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
0
38.2%
Makenzie McGill II run for no gain to the ARMY 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 4PUNT
19 plays · 46 yds · 10:4163% → 62%
Q2 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+8
37.4%
Bryson Daily run for 8 yds to the ARMY 10Similar
Q2 12:08
2ND & 2
OWN 10
+3
37.3%
Kanye Udoh run for 3 yds to the ARMY 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:24
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-5
37.5%
Army Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the ARMY 8Similar
Q2 11:07
1ST & 15
OWN 8
+6
37.8%
Tyrell Robinson run for 6 yds to the ARMY 14Similar
Q2 10:27
2ND & 9
OWN 14
+11
37.8%
Bryson Daily run for 11 yds to the ARMY 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
37.5%
Bryson Daily run for 7 yds to the ARMY 32Similar
Q2 8:57
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+13
36.8%
Noah Short run for 13 yds to the ARMY 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:14
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
35.5%
Kanye Udoh run for 4 yds to the ARMY 49Similar
Q2 7:30
2ND & 6
OWN 49
+5
35.3%
Bryson Daily run for 5 yds to the UNT 46Similar
Q2 6:48
3RD & 1
OPP 46
+4
35.1%
Bryson Daily run for 4 yds to the UNT 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:08
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
35.2%
Kanye Udoh run for 4 yds to the UNT 38Similar
Q2 5:27
2ND & 6
OPP 38
0
35.0%
Samari Howard run for no gain to the UNT 38Similar
Q2 4:40
3RD & 6
OPP 38
-10
35.7%
QB Keeper DAILY, Bryson rush to the left for a gain of 4 yards to the UNT34 (BROWN, Roderick), clock 04:40. PENALTY ARMY Holding on SMALL, Brady enforced 10 yards from the UNT38 to the UNT48. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 4:14
3RD & 16
OPP 48
+15
37.2%
(04:14) DAILY, Bryson pass deep to the left incomplete dropped by REYNOLDS, Casey thrown to the UNT26, clock 04:09. PENALTY UNT Pass Interference on NELSON II, Brian enforced 15 yards to the UNT33 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 4:08
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+1
34.7%
Bryson Daily run for 1 yd to the UNT 32Similar
Q2 3:28
2ND & 9
OPP 32
-10
34.8%
(03:28) ROBINSON, Tyrell rush to the right for a gain of 13 yards to the UNT19 (HILL, Jayden), out of bounds, clock 03:22. PENALTY ARMY Holding on STEWART, Miles enforced 10 yards from the UNT32 to the UNT42 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 2:56
2ND & 19
OPP 42
0
35.3%
Bryson Daily pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:44
3RD & 19
OPP 42
-10
36.1%
Bryson Daily sacked by Roderick Brown for a loss of 10 yards to the ARMY 48Similar
Q2 2:07
4TH & 29
OWN 48
0
37.8%
James Wagenseller punt for 44 yds, fair catch by DT Sheffield at the UNT 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 5DOWNS
8 plays · 33 yds · 0:3637% → 37%
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+16
37.2%
Shane Porter run for 16 yds to the UNT 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+14
37.0%
Chandler Morris pass complete to DT Sheffield for 14 yds to the UNT 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
38.2%
Chandler Morris pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:39
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+7
38.0%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Shane Porter for 7 yds to the UNT 45Similar
Q2 1:32
3RD & 3
OWN 45
-4
38.8%
Shane Porter run for a loss of 4 yards to the UNT 41Similar
Q2 1:24
4TH & 7
OWN 41
0
37.1%
Chandler Morris pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 6END OF HALF
7 plays · 39 yds · 1:1767% → 68%
Q2 1:17
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+8
33.2%
Kanye Udoh run for 8 yds to the UNT 33Similar
Q2 0:53
2ND & 2
OPP 33
0
32.6%
Noah Short run for no gain to the UNT 33Similar
Q2 0:28
3RD & 2
OPP 33
+1
33.1%
Bryson Daily run for 1 yd to the UNT 32Similar
Q2 0:21
4TH & 1
OPP 32
+3
34.6%
Bryson Daily run for 3 yds to the UNT 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+15
32.5%
DAILY, Bryson pass deep to the right incomplete intended for CROSSAN, David thrown to the UNT0, clock 00:01. PENALTY UNT Pass Interference on HILL, Jayden enforced 15 yards to the UNT14 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NH]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+12
32.5%
Matthew Rhodes run for 12 yds to the UNT 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 7INT
6 plays · 20 yds · 3:3264% → 66%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
35.9%
Tyrell Robinson run for 4 yds to the ARMY 41Similar
Q3 14:11
2ND & 6
OWN 41
-1
34.9%
Bryson Daily run for a loss of 1 yard to the ARMY 40Similar
Q3 13:27
3RD & 7
OWN 40
+6
36.1%
Kanye Udoh run for 6 yds to the ARMY 46Similar
Q3 12:48
4TH & 1
OWN 46
+5
36.9%
Bryson Daily run for 5 yds to the UNT 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:07
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
34.9%
Noah Short run for 6 yds to the UNT 43Similar
Q3 11:22
2ND & 4
OPP 43
-23
34.3%
Bryson Daily pass intercepted Brian Nelson II return for 23 yds to the UNT 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:2641% → 38%
Q3 11:13
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
41.2%
Chandler Morris pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:10
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+1
39.7%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Shane Porter for 1 yd to the UNT 46Similar
Q3 10:54
3RD & 9
OWN 46
0
38.6%
Chandler Morris pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:47
4TH & 9
OWN 46
0
37.5%
Sawyer Evans punt for 48 yds, downed at the ARMY 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 9TD
23 plays · 94 yds · 13:5362% → 87%
Q3 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+5
38.0%
Bryson Daily run for 5 yds to the ARMY 11Similar
Q3 9:53
2ND & 5
OWN 11
+3
38.1%
Kanye Udoh run for 3 yds to the ARMY 14Similar
Q3 9:12
3RD & 2
OWN 14
+5
39.2%
Bryson Daily run for 5 yds to the ARMY 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:31
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+3
37.8%
Kanye Udoh run for 3 yds to the ARMY 22Similar
Q3 7:47
2ND & 7
OWN 22
+2
37.9%
Bryson Daily run for 2 yds to the ARMY 24Similar
Q3 7:04
3RD & 5
OWN 24
+7
37.3%
Bryson Daily pass complete to Noah Short for 7 yds to the ARMY 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:22
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+8
35.7%
Noah Short run for 8 yds to the ARMY 39Similar
Q3 5:36
2ND & 2
OWN 39
+8
33.9%
Kanye Udoh run for 8 yds to the ARMY 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:56
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+17
33.3%
Bryson Daily run for 17 yds to the UNT 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:35
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
32.8%
Bryson Daily run for 2 yds to the UNT 34Similar
Q3 3:51
2ND & 8
OPP 34
+3
29.8%
Bryson Daily run for 3 yds to the UNT 31Similar
Q3 3:03
3RD & 5
OPP 31
+1
30.4%
Bryson Daily run for 1 yd to the UNT 30Similar
Q3 2:25
4TH & 4
OPP 30
+4
32.5%
Noah Short run for 4 yds to the UNT 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:43
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-10
29.1%
(01:43) UDOH, Kanye rush to the right for a gain of 4 yards to the UNT22 (WESLOSKI, Ethan), clock 01:40. PENALTY ARMY Holding on FINUCANE, Connor enforced 10 yards from the UNT26 to the UNT36 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 1:14
1ST & 20
OPP 36
+7
30.3%
Miles Stewart run for 7 yds to the UNT 29Similar
Q3 0:34
2ND & 13
OPP 29
+10
29.2%
Noah Short run for 10 yds to the UNT 19Similar
Q4 14:59
3RD & 3
OPP 19
+4
29.4%
Bryson Daily run for 4 yds to the UNT 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:18
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+6
28.4%
Bryson Daily run for 6 yds to the UNT 9Similar
Q4 13:32
2ND & 4
OPP 9
+3
28.3%
Kanye Udoh run for 3 yds to the UNT 6Similar
Q4 12:51
3RD & 1
OPP 6
+3
29.1%
Bryson Daily run for 3 yds to the UNT 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
27.7%
Bryson Daily run for 1 yd to the UNT 2Similar
Q4 11:44
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
13.1%
Bryson Daily run for 2 yds for a TD (Trey Gronotte KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 10INT
10 plays · 64 yds · 3:0617% → 18%
Q4 11:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
16.5%
Chandler Morris pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:35
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
16.3%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Shane Porter for 2 yds to the UNT 27Similar
Q4 11:01
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+15
15.3%
(11:01) MORRIS, Chandler pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for YOUNG, Wyatt thrown to the ARMY48, clock 11:00. PENALTY ARMY Pass Interference on LARKIN, Casey enforced 15 yards to the UNT42 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 10:58
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+23
17.9%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Wyatt Young for 23 yds to the ARMY 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:26
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+7
18.2%
Makenzie McGill II run for 7 yds to the ARMY 28Similar
Q4 10:05
2ND & 3
OPP 28
+2
18.5%
Chandler Morris pass complete to DT Sheffield for 2 yds to the ARMY 26Similar
Q4 9:46
3RD & 1
OPP 26
+4
17.4%
Makenzie McGill II run for 4 yds to the ARMY 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:33
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+7
18.6%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Damon Ward Jr. for 7 yds to the ARMY 15Similar
Q4 9:07
2ND & 3
OPP 15
+4
18.5%
Makenzie McGill II run for 4 yds to the ARMY 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:35
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
18.4%
Chandler Morris pass intercepted, touchback. Donavon Platt return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 11FUMBLE
8 plays · 35 yds · 3:5289% → 93%
Q4 8:29
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
10.6%
Bryson Daily run for 3 yds to the ARMY 23Similar
Q4 7:44
2ND & 7
OWN 23
-1
10.3%
Bryson Daily run for a loss of 1 yard to the ARMY 22Similar
Q4 7:36
3RD & 8
OWN 22
+8
10.9%
Bryson Daily pass complete to Josh Horton for 8 yds to the ARMY 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:52
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
9.0%
Bryson Daily run for 4 yds to the ARMY 34Similar
Q4 6:06
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+5
7.9%
Bryson Daily run for 5 yds to the ARMY 39Similar
Q4 5:21
3RD & 1
OWN 39
+2
7.5%
Bryson Daily run for 2 yds to the ARMY 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:37
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+14
6.9%
Kanye Udoh run for 14 yds to the UNT 45 Kanye Udoh fumbled, recovered by UNT Brian Nelson II B. Nelson II return for 0 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 12INT
8 plays · 53 yds · 2:1610% → 9%
Q4 4:33
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+8
9.6%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Shane Porter for 8 yds to the ARMY 47Similar
Q4 4:15
2ND & 2
OPP 47
0
11.0%
Chandler Morris pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:08
3RD & 2
OPP 47
+4
10.7%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Dalton Carnes for 4 yds to the ARMY 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:51
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+24
10.4%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Miles Coleman for 24 yds to the ARMY 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:30
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+9
9.1%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Landon Sides for 9 yds to the ARMY 10Similar
Q4 3:00
2ND & 1
OPP 10
+4
9.0%
Shane Porter run for 4 yds to the ARMY 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
8.9%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Miles Coleman for 4 yds to the ARMY 2Similar
Q4 2:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
9.0%
Chandler Morris pass intercepted, touchback. Justin Weaver return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 13END OF GAME
9 plays · 21 yds · 1:3795% → 97%
Q4 2:13
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
4.9%
Bryson Daily run for 2 yds to the ARMY 22Similar
Q4 2:08
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+2
4.7%
Bryson Daily run for 2 yds to the ARMY 24Similar
Q4 2:03
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+20
4.7%
Bryson Daily run for 20 yds to the ARMY 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-1
3.3%
(01:57) [NH] Kneel down by DAILY, Bryson at ARMY43 (team loss of 1), clock 01:49.Similar
Q4 1:13
2ND & 11
OWN 43
-1
3.4%
(01:13) [NH] Kneel down by DAILY, Bryson at ARMY42 (team loss of 1), clock 01:05.Similar
Q4 0:36
3RD & 12
OWN 42
-1
3.3%
(00:36) [NH] Kneel down by DAILY, Bryson at ARMY41 (team loss of 1), clock 00:32.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 11:44
Bryson Daily run for 2 yds for a TD (Trey Gronotte KICK)
-14.7
KEY PLAY · Q4 8:29
Bryson Daily run for 3 yds to the ARMY 23
-7.7
KEY PLAY · Q3 11:13
Chandler Morris pass incomplete
+6.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com