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MASS

Massachusetts 20 at Northern Illinois 34

NIU
2024 · Week 6 · Oct 5, 2024 · Huskie Stadium
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Win probability · NIU
modelNIU aheadMASS aheadconfidence bandkey playNIU scoreMASS score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGFGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 6:18 · Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+35.5+17.80−17.8−35.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 104Pregame prior+14.1Home team on offense−3.4Garbage-time factor+0.1Score differential−3.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+1.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 11:23: Jaylen Poe run for 22 yds for a TD (Kanon Woodill PAT MISSED) — NIU win probability +10.0 pts (now 76%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 14:12: Jaylen Poe run for 3 yds for a TD (Kanon Woodill KICK) — NIU win probability +17.2 pts (now 89%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 14:12: Timeout Northern Illinois, clock 14:12 — MASS win probability +7.3 pts (now 19%) (top driver: MASS has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 5:29: Gavin Williams run for 1 yd for a TD (Kanon Woodill KICK) — NIU win probability +7.2 pts (now 98%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 3:16: Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to T.Y. Harding for 16 yds for a TD (Jacob Lurie KICK) — MASS win probability +10.0 pts (now 16%) (top driver: MASS has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NIU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2MASS made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 8:02MASS 4th & 9 at MASS 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.3%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:10NIU 4th & 14 at MASS 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.3%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    78.5%−<0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    78.5%
    average punt
  3. Q2 12:33MASS 4th & 2 at NIU 9, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 24.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.3%
    54% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    23.9%−0.4
    89% to make
    Punt
    21.6%−2.8
    average punt
  4. Q2 9:09NIU 4th & 2 at MASS 41, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 74.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    74.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    72.4%−1.6
    32% to make
    Punt
    72.8%−1.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:11MASS 4th & 7 at MASS 43, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.8%−0.5
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:06MASS 4th & 1 at NIU 9, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 36.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.0%−0.8
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    36.8%
    89% to make
    Punt
    32.2%−4.6
    average punt
  7. Q3 6:18MASS 4th & 3 at NIU 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 36.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    36.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    35.6%−1.3
    66% to make
    Punt
    26.6%−10.3
    average punt
  8. Q4 10:51MASS 4th & 2 at NIU 10, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 18.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    17.7%
    55% to convert
    Field goal
    17.6%−0.1
    88% to make
    Punt
    5.4%−12.3
    average punt
  9. Q4 3:16MASS 4th & 10 at NIU 16, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 4.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.4%−0.8
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    4.2%
    81% to make
    Punt
    2.3%−1.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NIU made the numbers' call on 3 of 5MASS made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 14:10NIU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 11:56MASS Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    18.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    18.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 11:23NIU Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    69.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 14:12NIU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.0%−0.3
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 5:29NIU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.0%−0.4
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.3%
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 3:16MASS Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    6.5%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    6.6%
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 2:05NIU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.2%−0.4
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.7%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MASSDrive 1FUMBLE
3 plays · -10 yds · 0:3715% → 15%
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-6
85.2%
Taisun Phommachanh sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the MASS 19Similar
Q1 14:16
2ND & 16
OWN 19
+4
85.0%
Taisun Phommachanh run for 4 yds to the MASS 15 Taisun Phommachanh fumbled, recovered by NIU Jalonnie WilliamsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 2TD
2 plays · 15 yds · 0:0085% → 85%
Q1 14:10
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
85.2%
Ethan Hampton pass complete to Brock Lampe for 15 yds for a TD (Kanon Woodill KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 3TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:0815% → 16%
Q1 14:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
85.1%
CJ Hester run for 1 yd to the MASS 26Similar
Q1 13:31
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-5
85.1%
(13:36) No Huddle-Shotgun Phommachanh,Taisun rush right for 7 yards gain to the UMASS33 (Williams,Jalonnie) PENALTY UMASS Illegal Shift 5 yards from UMASS26 to UMASS21. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 13:03
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+7
85.0%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Dominick Mazotti for 7 yds to the MASS 28Similar
Q1 12:32
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+14
85.0%
Taisun Phommachanh run for 14 yds to the MASS 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:56
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+58
84.2%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to T.Y. Harding for 58 yds for a TD (Jacob Lurie KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 4INT
5 plays · 32 yds · 1:4684% → 84%
Q1 11:48
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+16
84.3%
Antario Brown run for 16 yds to the MASS 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:11
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+9
84.3%
Ethan Hampton pass complete to George Dimopoulos for 9 yds to the MASS 40Similar
Q1 10:39
2ND & 1
OPP 40
+7
84.2%
Antario Brown run for 7 yds to the MASS 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:02
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
84.1%
Ethan Hampton pass intercepted, touchback.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:5516% → 17%
Q1 9:57
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
83.7%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to T.Y. Harding for 2 yds to the MASS 22Similar
Q1 9:24
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+3
83.6%
Cookie Desiderio run for 3 yds to the MASS 25Similar
Q1 8:34
3RD & 5
OWN 25
-4
82.4%
Taisun Phommachanh sacked by Nevaeh Sanders for a loss of 4 yards to the MASS 21Similar
Q1 8:02
4TH & 9
OWN 21
0
83.4%
CJ Kolodziey punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Dane Pardridge at the NIU 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 6PUNT
13 plays · 32 yds · 4:4783% → 82%
Q1 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+7
83.1%
George Dimopoulos run for 7 yds to the NIU 36Similar
Q1 7:23
2ND & 3
OWN 36
+8
82.9%
Antario Brown run for 8 yds to the NIU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:41
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
82.8%
Ethan Hampton pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:36
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+5
82.6%
Ethan Hampton pass complete to Grayson Barnes for 5 yds to the NIU 49Similar
Q1 5:47
3RD & 5
OWN 49
-5
82.5%
PENALTY NIU Delay Of Game 5 yards from NIU49 to NIU44. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:23
3RD & 10
OWN 44
+21
82.1%
Ethan Hampton run for 11 yds to the MASS 45 for a 1ST down Massachusetts Penalty, (10 Yards) to the MASS 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:57
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-5
82.7%
(05:03) Shotgun Brown,Antario rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UMASS32 (Hudson,Jaylen; Johnson,Gerrell) PENALTY NIU Illegal Shift 5 yards from UMASS35 to UMASS40. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:29
1ST & 15
OPP 40
0
82.5%
Ethan Hampton pass complete to Jaylen Poe for no gain to the MASS 40Similar
Q1 4:00
2ND & 15
OPP 40
0
82.3%
Ethan Hampton pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:53
3RD & 15
OPP 40
+1
82.1%
Gavin Williams run for 1 yd to the MASS 39Similar
Q1 3:10
4TH & 14
OPP 39
0
81.5%
Tom Foley punt for 39 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 7FG
14 plays · 71 yds · 5:2619% → 26%
Q1 2:59
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
81.0%
Da'Marion Alberic run for no gain to the MASS 20Similar
Q1 2:27
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
80.6%
Taisun Phommachanh pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:20
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+12
80.9%
CJ Hester run for 12 yds to the MASS 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+14
80.0%
Taisun Phommachanh run for 14 yds to the MASS 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:03
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
79.1%
CJ Hester run for no gain to the MASS 46Similar
Q1 0:21
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+3
79.0%
CJ Hester run for 3 yds to the MASS 49Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 7
OWN 49
+13
77.6%
CJ Hester run for 13 yds to the NIU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:41
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+21
76.9%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Sterling Galban for 21 yds to the NIU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:19
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
76.2%
CJ Hester run for 2 yds to the NIU 15Similar
Q2 13:41
2ND & 8
OPP 15
+4
75.7%
CJ Hester run for 4 yds to the NIU 11Similar
Q2 12:59
3RD & 4
OPP 11
+2
75.8%
Taisun Phommachanh run for 2 yds to the NIU 9Similar
Q2 12:33
4TH & 2
OPP 9
+27
74.5%
Jacob Lurie 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 8DOWNS
7 plays · 35 yds · 3:1275% → 76%
Q2 12:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
74.6%
Josh Holst run for 8 yds to the NIU 33Similar
Q2 11:48
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+18
75.2%
Josh Holst run for 18 yds to the MASS 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:16
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
75.6%
Antario Brown run for 3 yds to the MASS 46Similar
Q2 10:38
2ND & 7
OPP 46
+3
77.8%
Antario Brown run for 3 yds to the MASS 43Similar
Q2 9:49
3RD & 4
OPP 43
+2
76.9%
Josh Holst run for 2 yds to the MASS 41Similar
Q2 9:09
4TH & 2
OPP 41
+1
75.8%
Josh Holst pass complete to Grayson Barnes for 1 yd to the MASS 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:5227% → 27%
Q2 9:03
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
73.0%
Taisun Phommachanh pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:49
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+3
73.3%
Cookie Desiderio run for 3 yds to the MASS 43Similar
Q2 8:18
3RD & 7
OWN 43
0
73.0%
Taisun Phommachanh pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:11
4TH & 7
OWN 43
0
73.3%
CJ Kolodziey punt for 57 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 10FUMBLE
9 plays · 35 yds · 4:3774% → 73%
Q2 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
73.6%
Ethan Hampton sacked by Christian LeBrun for a loss of 1 yard to the NIU 19Similar
Q2 7:23
2ND & 11
OWN 19
+5
72.9%
Antario Brown run for 5 yds to the NIU 24Similar
Q2 6:33
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+32
71.8%
Ethan Hampton run for 32 yds to the MASS 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:03
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
74.8%
Ethan Hampton run for 3 yds to the MASS 41Similar
Q2 5:24
2ND & 7
OPP 41
+4
74.4%
Antario Brown run for 4 yds to the MASS 37Similar
Q2 4:43
3RD & 3
OPP 37
+4
73.6%
Jaylen Poe run for 4 yds to the MASS 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:04
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
74.5%
Jaylen Poe run for 3 yds to the MASS 30Similar
Q2 3:25
2ND & 7
OPP 30
+15
73.1%
Gavin Williams run for 15 yds to the MASS 45 Gavin Williams fumbled, recovered by MASS Donovan DysonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 11FG
12 plays · 46 yds · 3:1030% → 32%
Q2 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
69.8%
CJ Hester run for 4 yds to the MASS 49Similar
Q2 2:41
2ND & 6
OWN 49
0
69.1%
CJ Hester run for no gain to the MASS 49Similar
Q2 1:55
3RD & 6
OWN 49
+10
69.5%
CJ Hester run for 10 yds to the NIU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:22
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+9
67.7%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to T.Y. Harding for 9 yds to the NIU 32Similar
Q2 1:11
2ND & 1
OPP 32
+3
66.3%
CJ Hester run for 3 yds to the NIU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:40
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+11
65.6%
CJ Hester run for 11 yds to the NIU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:21
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+6
65.3%
Taisun Phommachanh run for 6 yds to the NIU 12Similar
Q2 0:18
2ND & 4
OPP 12
0
65.3%
Taisun Phommachanh pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:10
3RD & 4
OPP 12
+3
66.2%
Taisun Phommachanh run for 3 yds to the NIU 9Similar
Q2 0:06
4TH & 1
OPP 9
+27
68.2%
Jacob Lurie 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 12END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0067% → 67%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
67.0%
E. Hampton takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 13TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:2964% → 76%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
64.3%
Gavin Williams run for 11 yds to the NIU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
64.5%
Ethan Hampton run for 7 yds to the NIU 43Similar
Q3 13:43
2ND & 3
OWN 43
+12
65.8%
Gavin Williams run for 12 yds to the MASS 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:05
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+8
65.9%
Gavin Williams run for 8 yds to the MASS 37Similar
Q3 12:30
2ND & 2
OPP 37
+8
65.2%
Jaylen Poe run for 8 yds to the MASS 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:57
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+7
66.1%
Jaylen Poe run for 7 yds to the MASS 22Similar
Q3 11:23
2ND & 3
OPP 22
+22
76.0%
Jaylen Poe run for 22 yds for a TD (Kanon Woodill PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 14DOWNS
12 plays · 50 yds · 4:5830% → 34%
Q3 11:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
69.8%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Jakobie Keeney-James for 7 yds to the MASS 32Similar
Q3 10:51
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+5
67.8%
CJ Hester run for 5 yds to the MASS 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-3
68.1%
Taisun Phommachanh sacked by Roy Williams for a loss of 3 yards to the MASS 34Similar
Q3 9:32
2ND & 13
OWN 34
0
69.0%
Taisun Phommachanh pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:22
3RD & 13
OWN 34
+15
70.0%
Northern Illinois Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Santana Banner) to the NIU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:02
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+9
65.2%
Taisun Phommachanh run for 9 yds to the NIU 35Similar
Q3 8:28
2ND & 1
OPP 35
+3
63.3%
CJ Hester run for 3 yds to the NIU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:45
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
63.1%
Taisun Phommachanh pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:36
2ND & 10
OPP 32
0
63.1%
CJ Hester run for no gain to the NIU 32Similar
Q3 6:52
3RD & 10
OPP 32
+7
64.1%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to CJ Hester for 7 yds to the NIU 25Similar
Q3 6:18
4TH & 3
OPP 25
0
65.7%
Taisun Phommachanh pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 15TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 7:0469% → 89%
Q3 6:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
69.4%
Ethan Hampton pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:09
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
69.0%
Gavin Williams run for 8 yds to the NIU 33Similar
Q3 5:39
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+12
69.2%
Gavin Williams run for 12 yds to the NIU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
71.5%
Gavin Williams run for 4 yds to the NIU 49Similar
Q3 4:23
2ND & 6
OWN 49
+3
71.6%
Jaylen Poe run for 3 yds to the MASS 48Similar
Q3 3:31
3RD & 3
OPP 48
+5
70.9%
Ethan Hampton pass complete to Andrew McElroy for 5 yds to the MASS 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+6
71.7%
Jaylen Poe run for 6 yds to the MASS 37Similar
Q3 2:08
2ND & 4
OPP 37
+5
71.4%
Jaylen Poe run for 5 yds to the MASS 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:26
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
72.1%
Gavin Williams run for 2 yds to the MASS 30Similar
Q3 0:41
2ND & 8
OPP 30
+4
71.8%
Gavin Williams run for 4 yds to the MASS 26Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 4
OPP 26
+5
70.0%
Jaylen Poe run for 5 yds to the MASS 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+18
71.6%
Jaylen Poe run for 18 yds to the MASS 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
88.8%
Jaylen Poe run for 3 yds for a TD (Kanon Woodill KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 16DOWNS
8 plays · 65 yds · 3:1317% → 19%
Q4 14:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-7
83.2%
(14:12) No Huddle-Shotgun Phommachanh,Taisun pass complete short right to Gibson,Jacquon caught at UMASS32, for 7 yards to the UMASS32 (Prophete,Jashon; Valcarcel,Nate) PENALTY UMASS Illegal Touch-Pass. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:32
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+17
83.6%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to CJ Hester for 17 yds to the MASS 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+40
81.7%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Jakobie Keeney-James for 40 yds to the NIU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:22
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+5
77.5%
Cookie Desiderio run for 5 yds to the NIU 13Similar
Q4 11:47
2ND & 5
OPP 13
0
77.8%
Taisun Phommachanh pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:40
3RD & 5
OPP 13
+3
79.5%
Cookie Desiderio run for 3 yds to the NIU 10Similar
Q4 10:51
4TH & 2
OPP 10
0
80.8%
Taisun Phommachanh pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 17TD
10 plays · 90 yds · 5:1487% → 98%
Q4 10:43
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+11
87.3%
Ethan Hampton run for 11 yds to the NIU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+7
87.3%
Gavin Williams run for 7 yds to the NIU 28Similar
Q4 9:34
2ND & 3
OWN 28
+7
87.7%
Gavin Williams run for 7 yds to the NIU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+28
87.5%
Gavin Williams run for 28 yds to the MASS 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:07
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+1
89.9%
Jaylen Poe run for 1 yd to the MASS 36Similar
Q4 7:24
2ND & 9
OPP 36
+4
90.3%
Jaylen Poe run for 4 yds to the MASS 32Similar
Q4 6:40
3RD & 5
OPP 32
+24
90.6%
Gavin Williams run for 24 yds to the MASS 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+7
91.0%
Gavin Williams run for 7 yds to the MASS 1Similar
Q4 5:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.2%
Gavin Williams run for 1 yd for a TD (Kanon Woodill KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 18TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:096% → 16%
Q4 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
94.2%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Jakobie Keeney-James for 9 yds to the MASS 34Similar
Q4 5:07
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+3
93.5%
Cookie Desiderio run for 3 yds to the MASS 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+31
93.7%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Jakobie Keeney-James for 31 yds to the NIU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:06
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+16
94.0%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Sterling Galban for 16 yds to the NIU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:51
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
93.8%
Taisun Phommachanh run for no gain to the NIU 16Similar
Q4 3:30
2ND & 10
OPP 16
0
93.8%
Taisun Phommachanh pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:23
3RD & 10
OPP 16
0
94.4%
Taisun Phommachanh pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:16
4TH & 10
OPP 16
+16
84.4%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to T.Y. Harding for 16 yds for a TD (Jacob Lurie KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 19TD
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:5197% → 99%
Q4 2:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
96.5%
Gavin Williams run for 2 yds to the MASS 2Similar
Q4 2:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
96.8%
Gavin Williams run for 1 yd to the MASS 1Similar
Q4 2:05
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.2%
Ethan Hampton run for 1 yd for a TD (Kanon Woodill KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 20DOWNS
9 plays · 12 yds · 0:413% → 2%
Q4 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
97.4%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to CJ Hester for 2 yds to the MASS 27Similar
Q4 1:53
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
97.4%
Taisun Phommachanh pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:47
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+21
97.6%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Sterling Galban for 21 yds to the MASS 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:32
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
97.4%
Taisun Phommachanh pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:27
2ND & 10
OWN 48
0
97.4%
Taisun Phommachanh pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:21
3RD & 10
OWN 48
0
97.5%
Taisun Phommachanh pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:16
4TH & 10
OWN 48
-11
97.7%
Massachusetts Penalty, (-11 Yards) to the MASS 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 21END OF GAME
6 plays · 10 yds · 1:07100% → 100%
Q4 1:07
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+6
99.5%
Jaylen Poe run for 6 yds to the MASS 31Similar
Q4 0:56
2ND & 4
OPP 31
+1
99.5%
Gavin Williams run for 1 yd to the MASS 30Similar
Q4 0:49
3RD & 3
OPP 30
+3
99.5%
Jaylen Poe run for 3 yds to the MASS 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
99.6%
E. Hampton takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 14:12
Jaylen Poe run for 3 yds for a TD (Kanon Woodill KICK)
+17.2
TD · Q3 11:23
Jaylen Poe run for 22 yds for a TD (Kanon Woodill PAT MISSED)
+10
TD · Q4 3:16
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to T.Y. Harding for 16 yds for a TD (Jacob Lurie KICK)
-10
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com