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MASS

Massachusetts 20 at Miami (OH) 23

M-OH
2024 · Week 5 · Sep 28, 2024 · Yager Stadium
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Win probability · M-OH
modelM-OH aheadMASS aheadconfidence bandkey playM-OH scoreMASS score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGFGTDTDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 6:06 · CJ Kolodziey punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Cade McDonald at the M-OH 14
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 103Pregame prior+14.5Home team on offense−3.0Score differential−3.2Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+1.2
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 2:58: Dom Dzioban 37 yd FG GOOD — M-OH win probability +4.3 pts (now 77%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 3:11: Brett Gabbert pass complete to Javon Tracy for 7 yds for a TD (Dom Dzioban KICK) — M-OH win probability +12.8 pts (now 87%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 8:11: CJ Hester run for 1 yd for a TD (Jacob Lurie KICK) — MASS win probability +28.2 pts (now 49%) (top driver: MASS has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 0:40: Jacob Lurie 23 yd FG GOOD — MASS win probability +37.1 pts (now 93%) (top driver: MASS has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 0:00: Dom Dzioban 47 yd FG GOOD — M-OH win probability +40.5 pts (now 70%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
M-OH made the numbers' call on 6 of 7MASS made the numbers' call on 4 of 9
  1. Q1 10:15M-OH 4th & 12 at MASS 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.9%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    82.9%−0.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    83.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:15M-OH 4th & 12 at MASS 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.9%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    82.9%−0.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    83.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:18MASS 4th & 1 at MASS 14, tied
    Close callPunted · 17.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.4%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:32M-OH 4th & 6 at M-OH 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.6%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.8%
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:22MASS 4th & 6 at M-OH 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 24.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    24.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    24.2%−0.3
    47% to make
    Punt
    23.9%−0.6
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:25MASS 4th & 13 at M-OH 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 25.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.9%−1.0
    20% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    24.9%
    62% to make
    Punt
    21.7%−3.3
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:58M-OH 4th & 10 at MASS 18, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 71.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.6%−0.8
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    70.4%
    79% to make
    Punt
    65.5%−4.9
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:55MASS 4th & 7 at MASS 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.0%−0.5
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.5%
    average punt
  9. Q3 13:01MASS 4th & 1 at MASS 34, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.4 ptsPunted · 29.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.2%−1.4
    average punt
  10. Q3 13:01MASS 4th & 1 at MASS 34, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.4 ptsPunted · 29.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.2%−1.4
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:46M-OH 4th & 12 at MASS 34, tied
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.1 ptsPunted · 69.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.2%−1.1
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    69.4%
    47% to make
    PuntTheir call
    68.3%−1.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:06MASS 4th & 7 at M-OH 42, tied
    Close callPunted · 34.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.4%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    33.7%−1.6
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    34.9%−0.5
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:32MASS 4th & 15 at M-OH 49, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.7%−2.7
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.3%
    average punt
  14. Q4 12:09M-OH 4th & 12 at M-OH 3, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.2%−4.5
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.7%
    average punt
  15. Q4 6:13M-OH 4th & 7 at M-OH 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.4%−4.0
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.3%
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:40MASS 4th & 1 at M-OH 5, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 12.2 ptsKicked a field goal · 54.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.3%
    67% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    45.2%−12.2
    92% to make
    Punt
    5.3%−52.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
M-OH made the numbers' call on 2 of 2MASS made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 6:27M-OH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:39MASS Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    19.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    19.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 3:11M-OH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 8:11MASS Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    36.2%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    36.2%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
M-OHDrive 1PUNT
13 plays · 22 yds · 4:3586% → 85%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
86.2%
Keyon Mozee run for 1 yd to the M-OH 28Similar
Q1 14:35
2ND & 11
OWN 28
+17
86.1%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Javon Tracy for 17 yds to the M-OH 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:43
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+8
85.9%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Javon Tracy for 8 yds to the MASS 47Similar
Q1 12:10
2ND & 2
OPP 47
-3
85.6%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Cade McDonald for a loss of 3 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 12:05
3RD & 5
50
+7
85.5%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Javon Tracy for 7 yds to the MASS 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:05
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-10
85.6%
Miami (OH) Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the M-OH 47Similar
Q1 12:05
1ST & 20
OWN 47
0
85.5%
Brett Gabbert pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:40
2ND & 20
OWN 47
0
85.0%
Brett Gabbert pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:32
3RD & 20
OWN 47
+8
84.9%
Brett Gabbert run for 8 yds to the MASS 45Similar
Q1 10:15
4TH & 12
OPP 45
0
84.7%
Alec Bevelhimer punt for 40 yds, fair catch by T.Y. Harding at the MASS 5Similar
Q1 10:15
4TH & 12
OPP 45
0
84.7%
Alec Bevelhimer punt for 40 yds, fair catch by T.Y. Harding at the MASS 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:5015% → 16%
Q1 10:08
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+4
84.8%
Taisun Phommachanh run for 4 yds to the MASS 9Similar
Q1 9:37
2ND & 6
OWN 9
+3
84.7%
Jalen John run for 3 yds to the MASS 12Similar
Q1 8:59
3RD & 3
OWN 12
+2
84.6%
Taisun Phommachanh run for 2 yds to the MASS 14Similar
Q1 8:18
4TH & 1
OWN 14
+6
84.4%
CJ Kolodziey punt for 37 yds , Cade McDonald returns for 6 yds to the MASS 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 3TD
6 plays · 45 yds · 1:4585% → 86%
Q1 8:12
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
84.5%
Kevin Davis run for 2 yds to the MASS 43Similar
Q1 7:26
2ND & 8
OPP 43
0
84.3%
Brett Gabbert pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:18
3RD & 8
OPP 43
+15
84.1%
(07:25) Shotgun Gabbert,Brett pass incomplete deep middle to Virgil,Reggie thrown to UMASS05 broken up by Cameron Jr.,Jerrod PENALTY UMASS Pass Interference (Cameron Jr.,Jerrod) 15 yards from UMASS43 to UMASS28, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:14
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+1
84.3%
Keyon Mozee run for 1 yd to the MASS 27Similar
Q1 6:27
2ND & 9
OPP 27
+27
85.8%
Keyon Mozee run for 27 yds for a TD (Dom Dzioban KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 4TD
11 plays · 82 yds · 3:3415% → 18%
Q1 6:13
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+7
85.2%
Taisun Phommachanh run for 7 yds to the MASS 25Similar
Q1 5:44
2ND & 3
OWN 25
+2
85.0%
CJ Hester run for 2 yds to the MASS 27Similar
Q1 5:12
3RD & 1
OWN 27
+1
85.0%
CJ Hester run for 1 yd to the MASS 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:34
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+7
84.9%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Jakobie Keeney-James for 7 yds to the MASS 35Similar
Q1 4:10
2ND & 3
OWN 35
+4
84.5%
Taisun Phommachanh run for 4 yds to the MASS 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:31
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
84.5%
Taisun Phommachanh pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:31
2ND & 10
OWN 39
-5
84.6%
(03:31) PENALTY UMASS Delay Of Game (Phommachanh,Taisun) 5 yards from UMASS39 to UMASS34. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:20
2ND & 15
OWN 34
+2
84.9%
Taisun Phommachanh run for 2 yds to the MASS 36Similar
Q1 2:39
3RD & 13
OWN 36
+64
82.3%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Jakobie Keeney-James for 64 yds for a TD (Jacob Lurie KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 5PUNT
10 plays · 26 yds · 3:5282% → 80%
Q1 2:24
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+6
82.2%
Kevin Davis run for 6 yds to the M-OH 16Similar
Q1 1:50
2ND & 4
OWN 16
+5
82.0%
Kevin Davis run for 5 yds to the M-OH 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
81.8%
Brett Gabbert pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:59
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+11
81.7%
Keyon Mozee run for 11 yds to the M-OH 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
81.5%
Keyon Mozee run for 2 yds to the M-OH 34Similar
Q2 14:54
2ND & 8
OWN 34
+6
81.5%
Kevin Davis run for 6 yds to the M-OH 40Similar
Q2 14:32
3RD & 2
OWN 40
+1
81.7%
Dylan Downing run for 1 yd to the M-OH 41Similar
Q2 13:51
4TH & 1
OWN 41
-5
81.0%
PENALTY MIA False Start (Walters,Silas) 5 yards from MIA41 to MIA36. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:32
4TH & 6
OWN 36
0
80.4%
punt for 37 yds, fair catch by T.Y. Harding at the MASS 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 6FG
14 plays · 46 yds · 7:0220% → 26%
Q2 13:27
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
79.9%
Taisun Phommachanh run for 4 yds to the MASS 31Similar
Q2 12:50
2ND & 6
OWN 31
0
79.4%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Jalen John for no gain to the MASS 31Similar
Q2 12:07
3RD & 6
OWN 31
+15
79.6%
(12:10) No Huddle-Shotgun Phommachanh,Taisun pass incomplete short right to John,Jalen thrown to UMASS26 PENALTY MIA Roughing The Passer (Wise,Ty) 15 yards from UMASS31 to UMASS46, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:01
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+7
78.3%
Jalen John run for 7 yds to the M-OH 47Similar
Q2 11:22
2ND & 3
OPP 47
+2
77.6%
CJ Hester run for 2 yds to the M-OH 45Similar
Q2 10:32
3RD & 1
OPP 45
+7
77.3%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Dominick Mazotti for 7 yds to the M-OH 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:53
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
76.7%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Sterling Galban for no gain to the M-OH 38Similar
Q2 9:16
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+4
76.4%
CJ Hester run for 4 yds to the M-OH 34Similar
Q2 8:32
3RD & 6
OPP 34
0
76.2%
Taisun Phommachanh pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:22
4TH & 6
OPP 34
+10
77.1%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to T.Y. Harding for 10 yds to the M-OH 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:54
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+1
74.0%
Jackson Paradis run for 1 yd to the M-OH 23Similar
Q2 7:14
2ND & 9
OPP 23
-4
73.5%
Taisun Phommachanh sacked for a loss of 4 yards to the M-OH 27Similar
Q2 6:30
3RD & 13
OPP 27
0
75.0%
Taisun Phommachanh pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:25
4TH & 13
OPP 27
+45
74.3%
Jacob Lurie 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 7FG
8 plays · 47 yds · 3:2174% → 77%
Q2 6:19
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
73.9%
Dylan Downing run for 3 yds to the M-OH 38Similar
Q2 5:31
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+44
74.8%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Andre Johnson for 44 yds to the MASS 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:53
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+1
75.9%
Kevin Davis run for 1 yd to the MASS 17Similar
Q2 4:12
2ND & 9
OPP 17
+5
75.6%
Kevin Davis run for 5 yds to the MASS 22Similar
Q2 3:28
3RD & 14
OPP 22
+4
72.4%
Brett Gabbert run for 4 yds to the MASS 18Similar
Q2 2:58
4TH & 10
OPP 18
+37
76.7%
Dom Dzioban 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 3 yds · 0:5727% → 25%
Q2 2:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
73.2%
Taisun Phommachanh pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:43
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
74.2%
Taisun Phommachanh pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:38
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+3
74.9%
Taisun Phommachanh run for 3 yds to the MASS 28Similar
Q2 1:55
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
75.0%
CJ Kolodziey punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Cade McDonald at the M-OH 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 9INT
9 plays · 38 yds · 1:4277% → 79%
Q2 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
76.9%
Brett Gabbert run for 4 yds to the M-OH 44Similar
Q2 1:41
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+15
77.3%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Cade McDonald for 15 yds to the MASS 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:27
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
77.8%
Brett Gabbert pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:20
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+17
77.6%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Cade McDonald for 17 yds to the MASS 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:06
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+6
78.5%
Dylan Downing run for 6 yds to the MASS 18Similar
Q2 0:36
2ND & 4
OPP 18
+4
78.3%
Dylan Downing run for 4 yds to the MASS 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:16
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-8
78.0%
Miami (OH) Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Brett Gabbert) to the MASS 22Similar
Q2 0:07
2ND & 18
OPP 22
0
79.0%
Brett Gabbert pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 10END OF HALF
1 play · 1 yds · 0:0027% → 27%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+1
72.9%
Taisun Phommachanh run for 1 yd to the MASS 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 1:5928% → 28%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
72.2%
Jalen John run for 5 yds to the MASS 30Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+3
71.6%
Jalen John run for 3 yds to the MASS 33Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+1
71.8%
Jalen John run for 1 yd to the MASS 34Similar
Q3 13:01
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
71.8%
CJ Kolodziey punt for 37 yds , Cade McDonald returns for no gain to the M-OH 19Similar
Q3 13:01
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
71.8%
CJ Kolodziey punt for 34 yds , Cade McDonald returns for no gain to the M-OH 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 12PUNT
10 plays · 47 yds · 5:1574% → 71%
Q3 13:01
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+2
74.2%
Keyon Mozee run for 2 yds to the M-OH 21Similar
Q3 13:01
2ND & 8
OWN 21
+10
74.1%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Reggie Virgil for 10 yds to the M-OH 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:01
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+15
74.6%
Dylan Downing run for 15 yds to the M-OH 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:01
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
76.4%
Dylan Downing run for 3 yds to the M-OH 43Similar
Q3 13:01
2ND & 13
OWN 43
+15
74.9%
Shotgun Gabbert,Brett pass incomplete deep right to McDonald,Cade thrown to UMASS30 PENALTY UMASS Pass Interference (Cameron Jr.,Jerrod) 15 yards from MIA43 to UMASS42, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 13:01
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+10
76.9%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Javon Tracy for 10 yds to the MASS 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:01
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
77.5%
Brett Gabbert pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:01
2ND & 10
OPP 32
-4
77.4%
Brett Gabbert sacked for a loss of 4 yards to the MASS 36Similar
Q3 13:01
3RD & 14
OPP 36
+2
74.8%
Brett Gabbert run for 2 yds to the MASS 34Similar
Q3 7:46
4TH & 12
OPP 34
0
70.6%
Alec Bevelhimer punt for 30 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 54 yds · 1:2931% → 33%
Q3 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+51
68.9%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Jakobie Keeney-James for 51 yds to the M-OH 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:59
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
64.4%
Jalen John run for 3 yds to the M-OH 42Similar
Q3 6:13
3RD & 7
OPP 42
0
64.3%
Taisun Phommachanh pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:06
4TH & 7
OPP 42
0
66.7%
CJ Kolodziey punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Cade McDonald at the M-OH 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 14TD
5 plays · 86 yds · 2:4270% → 87%
Q3 5:53
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+4
70.0%
Brett Gabbert run for 4 yds to the M-OH 18Similar
Q3 5:16
2ND & 6
OWN 18
+7
69.7%
Keyon Mozee run for 7 yds to the M-OH 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+66
69.3%
Keyon Mozee run for 66 yds to the MASS 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
73.7%
Dylan Downing run for 2 yds to the MASS 7Similar
Q3 3:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
86.5%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Javon Tracy for 7 yds for a TD (Dom Dzioban KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 15PUNT
12 plays · 26 yds · 3:3318% → 17%
Q3 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
81.6%
Jalen John run for 6 yds to the MASS 31Similar
Q3 2:21
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+1
80.5%
Jalen John run for 1 yd to the MASS 30Similar
Q3 1:34
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+10
82.8%
Taisun Phommachanh run for 10 yds to the MASS 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
81.1%
Taisun Phommachanh pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:53
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+6
81.5%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Sterling Galban for 6 yds to the MASS 46Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 4
OWN 46
+10
80.5%
(00:19) Shotgun Phommachanh,Taisun sacked for loss of 1 yard to the UMASS45 (Trick,Adam) PENALTY MIA Holding (Hardrick,William) 10 yards from UMASS46 to MIA44, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-5
79.5%
(14:59) PENALTY UMASS False Start (Roy Jr.,Benjamin) 5 yards from MIA44 to MIA49. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:56
1ST & 15
OPP 49
0
81.1%
Taisun Phommachanh pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:50
2ND & 15
OPP 49
0
81.4%
Taisun Phommachanh pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:40
3RD & 15
OPP 49
0
82.3%
Taisun Phommachanh pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:32
4TH & 15
OPP 49
0
83.4%
CJ Kolodziey punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the M-OH 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 2:1887% → 86%
Q4 14:27
1ST & 10
OWN 5
-2
87.1%
(14:31) No Huddle-Shotgun Mozee,Keyon rush middle for 0 yards to the MIA05 (Johnson,Gerrell) PENALTY MIA Illegal Shift 2 yards from MIA05 to MIA03. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:59
1ST & 12
OWN 3
+1
87.1%
Keyon Mozee run for 1 yd to the M-OH 2Similar
Q4 13:16
2ND & 13
OWN 2
+4
87.2%
Dylan Downing run for 4 yds to the M-OH 6Similar
Q4 12:34
3RD & 9
OWN 6
0
86.7%
Brett Gabbert pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:24
4TH & 9
OWN 6
-3
86.0%
(12:33) Bevelhimer,Alec punt 54 yards to the UMASS40 PENALTY MIA Illegal Formation 3 yards from MIA06 to MIA03. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:09
4TH & 12
OWN 3
+8
86.0%
Alec Bevelhimer punt for 49 yds , T.Y. Harding returns for 8 yds to the MASS 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 17TD
8 plays · 61 yds · 3:5117% → 49%
Q4 12:02
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
83.3%
Taisun Phommachanh pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:56
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+8
83.7%
Taisun Phommachanh run for 8 yds to the MASS 47Similar
Q4 11:16
3RD & 2
OWN 47
+10
82.5%
Taisun Phommachanh run for 10 yds to the M-OH 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:43
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+23
81.5%
CJ Hester run for 23 yds to the M-OH 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:07
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
79.3%
Taisun Phommachanh run for no gain to the M-OH 20Similar
Q4 9:26
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+12
79.4%
Taisun Phommachanh run for 12 yds to the M-OH 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+7
78.8%
CJ Hester run for 7 yds to the M-OH 1Similar
Q4 8:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
50.6%
CJ Hester run for 1 yd for a TD (Jacob Lurie KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:5463% → 58%
Q4 8:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
63.0%
Kevin Davis run for 2 yds to the M-OH 23Similar
Q4 7:28
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+2
62.2%
Kevin Davis run for 2 yds to the M-OH 21Similar
Q4 6:42
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+7
58.9%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Cade McDonald for 7 yds to the M-OH 28Similar
Q4 6:13
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
57.9%
Alec Bevelhimer punt for 36 yds, fair catch by T.Y. Harding at the MASS 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 19FG
16 plays · 59 yds · 5:2447% → 93%
Q4 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+28
53.5%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Jakobie Keeney-James for 28 yds to the M-OH 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:33
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+4
49.1%
CJ Hester run for 4 yds to the M-OH 32Similar
Q4 4:58
2ND & 6
OPP 32
+2
46.2%
Taisun Phommachanh run for 2 yds to the M-OH 30Similar
Q4 3:47
3RD & 4
OPP 30
+6
47.5%
Taisun Phommachanh run for 6 yds to the M-OH 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:05
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+5
44.4%
CJ Hester run for 5 yds to the M-OH 19Similar
Q4 2:19
2ND & 5
OPP 19
+2
43.6%
CJ Hester run for 2 yds to the M-OH 21Similar
Q4 1:53
3RD & 7
OPP 21
+7
41.6%
Taisun Phommachanh run for 7 yds to the M-OH 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:43
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+2
37.2%
Taisun Phommachanh run for 2 yds to the M-OH 12Similar
Q4 1:41
2ND & 8
OPP 12
+4
37.2%
CJ Hester run for 4 yds to the M-OH 8Similar
Q4 1:32
3RD & 4
OPP 8
+3
38.8%
CJ Hester run for 3 yds to the M-OH 5Similar
Q4 0:40
4TH & 1
OPP 5
+23
6.6%
Jacob Lurie 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 20FG
10 plays · 47 yds · 0:3422% → 70%
Q4 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
21.8%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Kevin Davis for 4 yds to the M-OH 29Similar
Q4 0:27
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+13
20.9%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Kevin Davis for 13 yds to the M-OH 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:22
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+7
21.3%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Kevin Davis for 7 yds to the M-OH 49 Massachusetts Penalty, (Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 0:14
2ND & 3
OWN 49
+5
23.4%
Brett Gabbert run for 5 yds to the MASS 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:08
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+10
21.2%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Kevin Davis for 10 yds to the MASS 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:04
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+8
20.7%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Kevin Davis for 8 yds to the MASS 28Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 2
OPP 28
+47
70.3%
Dom Dzioban 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q4 0:00
Dom Dzioban 47 yd FG GOOD
+40.5
FG · Q4 0:40
Jacob Lurie 23 yd FG GOOD
-37.1
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+29.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com