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CCSU

Central Connecticut 31 at Massachusetts 35

MASS
2024 · Week 4 · Sep 21, 2024 · Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium
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Win probability · MASS
modelMASS aheadCCSU aheadconfidence bandkey playMASS scoreCCSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 4:25 · Aidan Clark punt for 40 yds , T.Y. Harding returns for 4 yds to the MASS 15
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialTimeout advantage
+40.5+20.30−20.3−40.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 119Pregame prior+16.1Home team on offense−12.9Garbage-time factor−4.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.6Score differential−3.8Timeout advantage+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:07: Brady Olson pass complete to Elijah Howard for 2 yds for a TD (Jack Barnum KICK) — CCSU win probability +12.4 pts (now 29%) (top driver: CCSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 10:12: Paul Marsh Jr. 10 Yd pass from Brady Olson (Jack Barnum Kick) — CCSU win probability +14.8 pts (now 45%) (top driver: CCSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 1:38: Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to T.Y. Harding for 57 yds for a TD (Jacob Lurie KICK) — MASS win probability +24.7 pts (now 71%) (top driver: MASS has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 14:11: Jack Barnum 25 yd FG GOOD — CCSU win probability +8.4 pts (now 50%) (top driver: CCSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 9:18: Brandon Campbell run for 3 yds for a TD (Jacob Lurie KICK) — MASS win probability +29.7 pts (now 78%) (top driver: MASS has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MASS made the numbers' call on 6 of 6CCSU made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 13:54CCSU 4th & 8 at CCSU 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.7%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:18MASS 4th & 1 at CCSU 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 88.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    88.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    88.8%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:36CCSU 4th & 6 at MASS 41, down 7
    Close callPunted · 11.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    11.8%−0.1
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    11.8%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:32MASS 4th & 14 at MASS 16, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.3%−0.5
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.8%
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:36CCSU 4th & 12 at CCSU 37, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.9%−0.3
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:07MASS 4th & 8 at CCSU 32, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 87.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.1%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    87.1%
    51% to make
    Punt
    86.8%−0.3
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:55CCSU 4th & 7 at CCSU 35, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.8%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.1%
    average punt
  8. Q3 8:53MASS 4th & 28 at MASS 9, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.3%−5.2
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.5%
    average punt
  9. Q3 6:01MASS 4th & 6 at MASS 19, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.5%−1.6
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.1%
    average punt
  10. Q3 4:25CCSU 4th & 16 at CCSU 49, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.2%−3.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.3%
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:11CCSU 4th & 5 at MASS 8, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 37.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.6%−0.4
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    37.0%
    90% to make
    Punt
    22.0%−15.0
    average punt
  12. Q4 8:30CCSU 4th & 6 at CCSU 29, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.3%−0.7
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 1:59MASS 4th & 1 at CCSU 23, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 89.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    90.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    86.9%−3.6
    70% to make
    Punt
    76.1%−14.4
    average punt
  14. Q4 1:28CCSU 4th & 5 at CCSU 28, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 18.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    8.8%−4.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MASS made the numbers' call on 5 of 5CCSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 8:31MASS Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 9:10MASS Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 6:15CCSU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    13.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    13.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 4:08CCSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    18.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    18.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:39MASS Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:07CCSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    20.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    20.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 10:12CCSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    38.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 1:38MASS Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.0%−0.3
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 9:18MASS Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CCSUDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:0510% → 10%
Q1 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
90.4%
Elijah Howard run for no gain to the CCSU 25Similar
Q1 14:29
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
90.3%
Brady Olson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:25
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+2
90.3%
Brady Olson run for 2 yds to the CCSU 27Similar
Q1 13:54
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
90.2%
Aidan Clark punt for 29 yds, downed at the MASS 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 2TD
11 plays · 56 yds · 5:1590% → 90%
Q1 13:46
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
90.2%
Taisun Phommachanh pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:38
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+7
90.1%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Sterling Galban for 7 yds to the CCSU 49Similar
Q1 12:56
3RD & 3
OPP 49
+2
90.0%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Sterling Galban for 2 yds to the CCSU 47Similar
Q1 12:18
4TH & 1
OPP 47
+4
89.8%
Jalen John run for 4 yds to the CCSU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:51
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
89.8%
Jalen John run for 2 yds to the CCSU 41Similar
Q1 11:25
2ND & 8
OPP 41
+17
89.6%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Sterling Galban for 17 yds to the CCSU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:43
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+4
89.5%
Taisun Phommachanh run for 4 yds to the CCSU 20Similar
Q1 10:05
2ND & 6
OPP 20
+2
89.4%
Brandon Campbell run for 2 yds to the CCSU 18Similar
Q1 9:26
3RD & 4
OPP 18
+18
89.1%
(09:26) PHOMMACHANH, Taisun pass deep to the right incomplete intended for GIBSON, Jacquon thrown to the CCSU0, clock 09:23. PENALTY CCSU Pass Interference on AMES, Davion enforced at the spot of the foul for 18 yards to the CCSU0 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 9:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
89.1%
Jackson Paradis run for 2 yds to the CCSU 1Similar
Q1 8:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
89.9%
Jackson Paradis run for 1 yd for a TD (Jacob Lurie KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCSUDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 34 yds · 2:4811% → 11%
Q1 8:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
89.5%
Jamir Robertson run for 11 yds to the CCSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:52
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
89.3%
Elijah Howard run for 1 yd to the CCSU 37Similar
Q1 7:20
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+15
89.3%
Massachusetts Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the MASS 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:34
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
88.9%
Brady Olson run for 2 yds to the MASS 43Similar
Q1 6:25
2ND & 8
OPP 43
+2
88.9%
Elijah Howard run for 2 yds to the MASS 41Similar
Q1 5:41
3RD & 6
OPP 41
0
88.8%
Brady Olson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:36
4TH & 6
OPP 41
0
89.0%
Aidan Clark punt for 41 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 1:5489% → 88%
Q1 5:26
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
89.0%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Jalen John for no gain to the MASS 20Similar
Q1 4:51
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+3
88.9%
Jalen John run for 3 yds to the MASS 23Similar
Q1 4:09
3RD & 7
OWN 23
-7
88.6%
Taisun Phommachanh sacked by Jack Stoll for a loss of 7 yards to the MASS 16Similar
Q1 3:32
4TH & 14
OWN 16
0
88.3%
CJ Kolodziey punt for 45 yds, downed at the CCSU 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCSUDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:4412% → 11%
Q1 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
88.3%
Elijah Howard run for 3 yds to the CCSU 42Similar
Q1 2:44
2ND & 7
OWN 42
0
88.1%
Brady Olson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:42
3RD & 7
OWN 42
-5
88.3%
Central Connecticut Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the CCSU 37Similar
Q1 2:41
3RD & 12
OWN 37
0
88.6%
Brady Olson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:36
4TH & 12
OWN 37
0
88.6%
Aidan Clark punt for 37 yds , T.Y. Harding returns for no gain to the MASS 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 6MISSED FG
9 plays · 40 yds · 3:1889% → 88%
Q1 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
88.5%
Brandon Campbell run for no gain to the MASS 28Similar
Q1 1:47
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+14
88.3%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Jakobie Keeney-James for 14 yds to the MASS 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+24
88.7%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Brandon Campbell for 24 yds to the CCSU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:21
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-3
88.7%
Brandon Campbell run for a loss of 3 yards to the CCSU 37Similar
Q2 14:59
2ND & 13
OPP 37
0
88.4%
Taisun Phommachanh pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:52
3RD & 13
OPP 37
-5
88.1%
Massachusetts Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the CCSU 42Similar
Q2 14:51
3RD & 18
OPP 42
+10
88.0%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Jacquon Gibson for 10 yds to the CCSU 32Similar
Q2 14:07
4TH & 8
OPP 32
+50
87.8%
Jacob Lurie 50 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCSUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:0513% → 12%
Q2 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-1
87.3%
Brady Olson pass complete to Elijah Howard for a loss of 1 yard Elijah Howard fumbled, recovered by CCSU Elijah Howard E. Howard return for 0 ydsSimilar
Q2 13:23
2ND & 11
OWN 31
+4
87.5%
Jadon Turner run for 4 yds to the CCSU 35Similar
Q2 13:01
3RD & 7
OWN 35
0
87.3%
Brady Olson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:55
4TH & 7
OWN 35
0
87.7%
Aidan Clark punt for 47 yds, fair catch by T.Y. Harding at the MASS 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 8TD
9 plays · 82 yds · 3:4088% → 91%
Q2 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+15
87.5%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to T.Y. Harding for 15 yds to the MASS 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
87.5%
Jackson Paradis run for 3 yds to the MASS 36Similar
Q2 11:43
2ND & 7
OWN 36
-5
87.7%
Massachusetts Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MASS 31Similar
Q2 11:25
2ND & 12
OWN 31
+6
87.1%
(11:25) PHOMMACHANH, Taisun pass to the right incomplete intended for KEENEY-JAMES, Jakobie broken up by BRYSON, Gavin at the UMASS38, clock 11:23. PENALTY CCSU Pass Interference on BRYSON, Gavin enforced at the spot of the foul for 6 yards to the UMASS37 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 11:22
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+13
87.5%
Jackson Paradis run for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:45
1ST & 10
50
+13
87.9%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Jakobie Keeney-James for 13 yds to the CCSU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:29
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
87.9%
Jackson Paradis run for 3 yds to the CCSU 34Similar
Q2 9:54
2ND & 7
OPP 34
+19
87.9%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Jacquon Gibson for 19 yds to the CCSU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:10
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
91.3%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Jakobie Keeney-James for 15 yds for a TD (Jacob Lurie KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCSUDrive 9TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:5310% → 16%
Q2 9:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+21
89.7%
Brady Olson pass complete to Jr. Paul Marsh for 21 yds to the CCSU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:27
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+31
89.2%
Brady Olson pass complete to Dave Pardo for 31 yds to the MASS 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:44
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+4
88.4%
Jamir Robertson run for 4 yds to the MASS 19Similar
Q2 7:00
2ND & 6
OPP 19
+19
88.3%
(07:00) OLSON, Brady pass deep to the right incomplete intended for MARSH, JR., Paul broken up by ELLIS, Lake at the UMASS0, clock 06:58. PENALTY UMASS Pass Interference on ELLIS, Lake enforced at the spot of the foul for 19 yards to the UMASS0 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 6:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
88.3%
Ricky Ortega run for 1 yd to the MASS 3Similar
Q2 6:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
84.1%
Ricky Ortega run for 3 yds for a TD (Jack Barnum KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 10INT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:5086% → 84%
Q2 5:46
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+5
86.2%
Jalen John run for 5 yds to the MASS 15Similar
Q2 5:33
2ND & 5
OWN 15
0
86.1%
Jalen John run for no gain to the MASS 15Similar
Q2 5:04
3RD & 5
OWN 15
-35
85.5%
Taisun Phommachanh pass intercepted Deon McLean return for 35 yds to the MASS 2Similar
Q2 4:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-5
83.5%
Central Connecticut Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MASS 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCSUDrive 11TD
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:4516% → 25%
Q2 4:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
83.6%
Elijah Howard run for 6 yds to the MASS 1Similar
Q2 4:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
75.3%
Elijah Howard run for 1 yd for a TD (Jack Barnum KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 12TD
15 plays · 84 yds · 3:2181% → 84%
Q2 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-6
80.7%
Brandon Campbell run for a loss of 6 yards to the MASS 10Similar
Q2 3:29
2ND & 16
OWN 10
+8
80.2%
Taisun Phommachanh run for 8 yds to the MASS 18Similar
Q2 2:47
3RD & 8
OWN 18
+27
78.8%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Jakobie Keeney-James for 27 yds to the MASS 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:08
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
81.1%
Brandon Campbell run for 2 yds to the MASS 47Similar
Q2 1:59
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+5
80.5%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Brandon Campbell for 5 yds to the CCSU 48Similar
Q2 1:53
3RD & 3
OPP 48
+5
80.6%
Taisun Phommachanh run for 5 yds to the CCSU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:47
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+15
81.3%
Central Connecticut Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Deon McLean) to the CCSU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:41
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-10
81.7%
Massachusetts Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the CCSU 33Similar
Q2 1:34
2ND & 20
OPP 33
+15
80.1%
(01:34) PHOMMACHANH, Taisun pass to the left incomplete intended for JOHN, Jalen broken up by STOLL, Jack at the CCSU45, clock 01:25. PENALTY CCSU Roughing the Passer on STOLL, Jack enforced 15 yards from the CCSU33 to the CCSU18 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 1:28
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
81.1%
(01:28) PHOMMACHANH, Taisun pass deep to the left incomplete intended for KEENEY-JAMES, Jakobie broken up by AMES, Davion at the CCSU0, clock 01:24. PENALTY CCSU Pass Interference on AMES, Davion enforced at the spot of the foul for 18 yards to the CCSU0 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 1:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
81.1%
Jalen John run for 1 yd to the CCSU 2Similar
Q2 0:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
80.8%
Taisun Phommachanh pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:39
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
83.9%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Owen Anderson for 2 yds for a TD (Jacob Lurie KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCSUDrive 13TD
6 plays · 27 yds · 0:2318% → 29%
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+8
81.9%
Jamir Robertson run for 8 yds to the MASS 19Similar
Q2 0:19
2ND & 2
OPP 19
+5
81.8%
Brady Olson pass complete to Elijah Howard for 5 yds to the MASS 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:16
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+5
81.8%
Elijah Howard run for 5 yds to the MASS 9Similar
Q2 0:09
2ND & 5
OPP 9
+7
83.3%
OLSON, Brady pass to the left incomplete intended for MARSH, JR., Paul thrown to the UMASS0, clock 00:09. PENALTY UMASS Pass Interference on ELLIS, Lake enforced at the spot of the foul for 7 yards to the UMASS2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 0:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
70.9%
Brady Olson pass complete to Elijah Howard for 2 yds for a TD (Jack Barnum KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCSUDrive 14TD
8 plays · 52 yds · 4:4626% → 45%
Q3 14:58
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
74.2%
Brady Olson pass complete to Michael Plaskon for 5 yds to the MASS 47Similar
Q3 14:25
2ND & 5
OPP 47
+4
73.4%
Elijah Howard run for 4 yds to the MASS 43Similar
Q3 13:43
3RD & 1
OPP 43
+14
72.9%
Brady Olson pass complete to Peter Cleary for 14 yds to the MASS 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:57
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-2
71.4%
Elijah Howard run for a loss of 2 yards to the MASS 31Similar
Q3 12:12
2ND & 12
OPP 31
+10
71.2%
Elijah Howard run for 10 yds to the MASS 21Similar
Q3 11:28
3RD & 2
OPP 21
+9
71.4%
Elijah Howard run for 9 yds to the MASS 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:51
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
69.7%
Elijah Howard run for 2 yds to the MASS 10Similar
Q3 10:12
2ND & 8
OPP 10
+10
54.9%
Paul Marsh Jr. 10 Yd pass from Brady Olson (Jack Barnum Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · -18 yds · 1:1261% → 56%
Q3 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-10
60.8%
(10:05) PHOMMACHANH, Taisun pass to the left complete for 6 yards to GALBAN, Sterling caught at the UMASS25 and advanced to the UMASS33 (STOLL, Jack), out of bounds, clock 09:56. PENALTY UMASS Holding on ROHME, Brayden enforced 10 yards from the UMASS27 to the UMASS17 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 9:30
1ST & 20
OWN 17
-8
59.4%
(09:30) PHOMMACHANH, Taisun pass to the left complete for 8 yards to JOHN, Jalen caught at the UMASS13 and advanced to the UMASS25 (STOLL, Jack), out of bounds, clock 09:25. PENALTY UMASS Holding on GALBAN, Sterling enforced half the distance from the goal, 8 yards from the UMASS17 to the UMASS9 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 9:09
1ST & 28
OWN 9
0
58.7%
Taisun Phommachanh pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:06
2ND & 28
OWN 9
0
58.6%
Taisun Phommachanh pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:00
3RD & 28
OWN 9
0
57.1%
Taisun Phommachanh pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:53
4TH & 28
OWN 9
+9
56.3%
CJ Kolodziey punt for 46 yds , Michael Plaskon returns for 9 yds to the MASS 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCSUDrive 16INT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:1548% → 45%
Q3 8:40
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
52.1%
Brady Olson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:37
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+7
52.2%
Brady Olson pass complete to Jamir Robertson for 7 yds to the MASS 39Similar
Q3 7:54
3RD & 3
OPP 39
-5
50.0%
Central Connecticut Penalty, False Start (Vincent Thomas) to the MASS 44Similar
Q3 7:27
3RD & 8
OPP 44
0
49.8%
Brady Olson pass intercepted Ryan Barnes return for no gain to the MASS 15Similar
Q3 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-5
55.2%
Massachusetts Penalty, False Start (Ethan Mottinger) to the MASS 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:2155% → 51%
Q3 7:22
1ST & 15
OWN 10
0
55.2%
Taisun Phommachanh pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:20
2ND & 15
OWN 10
0
54.9%
Brandon Campbell run for no gain to the MASS 10Similar
Q3 6:41
3RD & 15
OWN 10
+9
52.6%
Taisun Phommachanh run for 9 yds to the MASS 19Similar
Q3 6:01
4TH & 6
OWN 19
+12
50.9%
CJ Kolodziey punt for 38 yds , Michael Plaskon returns for 12 yds to the MASS 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCSUDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · -6 yds · 1:2454% → 51%
Q3 5:49
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
46.0%
Donny Marcus run for 3 yds to the MASS 42Similar
Q3 5:34
2ND & 7
OPP 42
0
45.8%
Brady Olson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:30
3RD & 7
OPP 42
-10
46.0%
(05:30) QB Keeper OLSON, Brady rush to the right for a gain of 25 yards to the UMASS17 (BARNES, Ryan), out of bounds, clock 05:21. PENALTY CCSU Holding on DELOATCH, Isaiah enforced 10 yards from the UMASS42 to the CCSU48 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 5:03
3RD & 17
OWN 48
+6
48.6%
Brady Olson run for 6 yds to the MASS 46Similar
Q3 4:32
4TH & 11
OPP 46
-5
47.3%
Central Connecticut Penalty, False Start (Alec Ambrosia) to the CCSU 49Similar
Q3 4:25
4TH & 16
OWN 49
+4
48.6%
Aidan Clark punt for 40 yds , T.Y. Harding returns for 4 yds to the MASS 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 19TD
6 plays · 85 yds · 2:3746% → 71%
Q3 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+8
45.8%
Jackson Paradis run for 8 yds to the MASS 23Similar
Q3 3:48
2ND & 2
OWN 23
+6
45.8%
Jackson Paradis run for 6 yds to the MASS 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:31
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
45.4%
Jackson Paradis run for 1 yd to the MASS 30Similar
Q3 2:57
2ND & 9
OWN 30
+10
44.4%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Sterling Galban for 10 yds to the MASS 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
46.1%
Jackson Paradis run for 3 yds to the MASS 43Similar
Q3 1:38
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+57
70.8%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to T.Y. Harding for 57 yds for a TD (Jacob Lurie KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCSUDrive 20FG
5 plays · 61 yds · 2:1236% → 50%
Q3 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+56
64.2%
Brady Olson pass complete to Michael Plaskon for 56 yds to the MASS 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:52
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
57.5%
Brady Olson run for no gain to the MASS 13Similar
Q3 0:28
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+2
57.1%
Elijah Howard run for 2 yds to the MASS 11Similar
Q4 14:58
3RD & 8
OPP 11
+3
58.7%
Brady Olson pass complete to Elijah Howard for 3 yds to the MASS 8Similar
Q4 14:11
4TH & 5
OPP 8
+25
50.3%
Jack Barnum 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 21TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:5250% → 78%
Q4 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
49.8%
Taisun Phommachanh pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:04
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+14
49.2%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Jacquon Gibson for 14 yds to the MASS 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+26
51.3%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Jakobie Keeney-James for 26 yds to the CCSU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
57.0%
Jalen John run for 4 yds to the CCSU 31Similar
Q4 12:22
2ND & 6
OPP 31
+5
54.7%
Jalen John run for 5 yds to the CCSU 26Similar
Q4 11:50
3RD & 1
OPP 26
+5
50.9%
Jalen John run for 5 yds to the CCSU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:11
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+2
53.6%
Taisun Phommachanh run for 2 yds to the CCSU 19Similar
Q4 10:29
2ND & 8
OPP 19
+5
50.4%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Brandon Campbell for 5 yds to the CCSU 14Similar
Q4 9:47
3RD & 3
OPP 14
+11
48.6%
Taisun Phommachanh run for 11 yds to the CCSU 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
78.3%
Brandon Campbell run for 3 yds for a TD (Jacob Lurie KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCSUDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:4728% → 25%
Q4 9:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
72.2%
Brady Olson pass complete to Michael Plaskon for 4 yds to the CCSU 29Similar
Q4 8:39
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
71.1%
Brady Olson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:34
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
72.8%
Brady Olson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:30
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
74.8%
Aidan Clark punt for 61 yds, downed at the MASS 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 23DOWNS
15 plays · 67 yds · 6:1974% → 90%
Q4 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+6
73.7%
Jackson Paradis run for 6 yds to the MASS 16Similar
Q4 7:45
2ND & 4
OWN 16
+5
75.5%
Jackson Paradis run for 5 yds to the MASS 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
77.8%
Jackson Paradis run for 3 yds to the MASS 24Similar
Q4 6:14
2ND & 7
OWN 24
+5
78.0%
Brandon Campbell run for 5 yds to the MASS 29Similar
Q4 5:29
3RD & 2
OWN 29
+11
77.7%
Taisun Phommachanh run for 11 yds to the MASS 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:43
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
83.4%
Brandon Campbell run for 1 yd to the MASS 41Similar
Q4 3:58
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+15
84.2%
Jalen John run for 15 yds to the CCSU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:13
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+12
83.3%
Jalen John run for 12 yds to the CCSU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:27
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+9
84.5%
Jalen John run for 9 yds to the CCSU 23Similar
Q4 2:16
2ND & 1
OPP 23
0
85.1%
Jalen John run for no gain to the CCSU 23Similar
Q4 2:12
3RD & 1
OPP 23
0
87.3%
Jackson Paradis run for no gain to the CCSU 23Similar
Q4 1:59
4TH & 1
OPP 23
0
89.9%
Jackson Paradis run for no gain to the CCSU 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCSUDrive 24DOWNS
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:2523% → 20%
Q4 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
77.2%
Brady Olson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:47
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+5
77.7%
(01:47) OLSON, Brady pass to the left complete for 4 yards to HOWARD, Elijah caught at the CCSU23 and advanced to the CCSU27 (JOHNSON, Gerrell), out of bounds, clock 01:43. PENALTY UMASS Offsides on GRANT-RANDALL, Tim enforced 5 yards from the CCSU23 to the CCSU28 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 1:35
2ND & 5
OWN 28
0
76.1%
Brady Olson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:33
3RD & 5
OWN 28
0
77.6%
Brady Olson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:28
4TH & 5
OWN 28
0
80.0%
Brady Olson pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 25END OF 4TH QUARTER
2 plays · -3 yds · 0:4194% → 95%
Q4 1:22
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-1
94.0%
(01:22) [NH] Kneel down by UMASS at CCSU29 (team loss of 1), clock 01:11.Similar
Q4 0:41
2ND & 11
OPP 29
-2
94.5%
(00:41) [NH] Kneel down by UMASS at CCSU31 (team loss of 2), clock 00:36.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 9:18
Brandon Campbell run for 3 yds for a TD (Jacob Lurie KICK)
+29.7
TD · Q3 1:38
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to T.Y. Harding for 57 yds for a TD (Jacob Lurie KICK)
+24.7
TD · Q3 10:12
Paul Marsh Jr. 10 Yd pass from Brady Olson (Jack Barnum Kick)
-14.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com