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2024 · Week 1 · Aug 31, 2024 · Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium
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Win probability · MASS
modelMASS aheadEMU aheadconfidence bandkey playMASS scoreEMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGFGTDTDEnd of GameTD-4.2MASS 1.0%Delbert Mimms III 6 Yd Run (ColeSnyder Pass to Markus Allen forTwo-Point Conversion)AWAY 28 - HOME 7 · Q4 5:43
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 5:43 · Delbert Mimms III 6 Yd Run (Cole Snyder Pass to Markus Allen for Two-Point Conversion)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+51.0+25.50−25.5−51.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 143Home team on offense−50.7Score differential−28.2Garbage-time factor−9.7Pregame prior+0.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−8.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−7.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 12:47: Cole Snyder 1 Yd Run (Jesus Gomez Kick) — EMU win probability +6.6 pts (now 52%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:31: Oran Singleton 18 Yd pass from Cole Snyder (Jesus Gomez Kick) — EMU win probability +9.4 pts (now 72%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 8:43: Jalen John run for 1 yd for a TD (Jacob Lurie KICK) — MASS win probability +10.0 pts (now 44%) (top driver: MASS has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q3 8:43: Cole Snyder pass complete to Markus Allen for 40 yds to the MASS 35 for a 1ST down — EMU win probability +6.1 pts (now 62%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  5. FG · Q3 4:49: Jesús Gómez 20 Yd Field Goal — EMU win probability +6.4 pts (now 71%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MASS made the numbers' call on 5 of 7EMU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 9:21MASS 4th & 23 at EMU 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.0%−0.3
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    58.2%−0.2
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    58.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:32EMU 4th & 2 at MASS 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 42.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    42.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    41.7%−0.5
    38% to make
    Punt
    41.7%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:40MASS 4th & 5 at EMU 45, tied
    Close callPunted · 58.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.1%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    58.5%−0.5
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    58.9%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 5:28MASS 4th & 19 at EMU 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 45.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.0%−2.0
    11% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    46.0%
    66% to make
    Punt
    40.8%−5.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 3:27EMU 4th & 12 at MASS 45, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.2%−0.6
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    53.9%−0.9
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    54.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:02MASS 4th & 7 at EMU 36, down 7
    Close callWent for it · 45.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    45.4%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    45.5%
    42% to make
    Punt
    43.7%−1.8
    average punt
  7. Q3 14:07EMU 4th & 7 at EMU 28, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.1%−1.3
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.4%
    average punt
  8. Q3 4:49EMU 4th & 2 at MASS 2, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.6 ptsKicked a field goal · 66.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    64.8%−2.6
    94% to make
    Punt
    53.8%−13.5
    average punt
  9. Q3 4:44MASS 4th & 1 at EMU 33, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 30.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    30.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    26.8%−4.0
    49% to make
    Punt
    25.5%−5.3
    average punt
  10. Q4 14:50MASS 4th & 9 at EMU 28, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 25.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.4%−1.0
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    25.3%
    60% to make
    Punt
    18.0%−7.3
    average punt
  11. Q4 7:49EMU 4th & 13 at MASS 13, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 83.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.2%−2.4
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    83.6%
    85% to make
    Punt
    74.2%−9.5
    average punt
  12. Q4 6:12MASS 4th & 1 at MASS 34, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    7.5%−1.6
    average punt
  13. Q4 2:00EMU 4th & 2 at MASS 36, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    97.0%−0.5
    42% to make
    Punt
    96.7%−0.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MASS made the numbers' call on 2 of 2EMU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q2 12:47EMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:31EMU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 8:43MASS Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    35.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    35.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 5:43EMU Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    98.3%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    97.9%−0.4
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 3:06MASS Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    3.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MASSDrive 1PUNT
13 plays · 25 yds · 5:3958% → 58%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
57.8%
Jalen John run for 7 yds to the MASS 37Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 37
0
57.8%
Taisun Phommachanh pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 37
+6
57.8%
Jalen John run for 6 yds to the MASS 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
57.8%
Taisun Phommachanh pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:40
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+15
57.9%
PHOMMACHANH, Taisun pass up the middle incomplete intended for GIBSON, Jacquon thrown to the UMA50, clock 13:40. PENALTY EMU Offsides on CARTER, David declined EMU Pass Interference on SCOTT, Joshua enforced 15 yards to the EMU42 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 13:40
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
58.0%
Jalen John run for 2 yds to the EMU 40Similar
Q1 13:40
2ND & 8
OPP 40
+6
58.0%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Jalen John for 6 yds to the EMU 34Similar
Q1 13:40
3RD & 2
OPP 34
+2
58.0%
Jalen John run for 2 yds to the EMU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:07
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-10
58.4%
JOHN, Jalen rush to the right for a loss of 1 yard to the EMU33, out of bounds, clock 12:07. PENALTY UMA Holding on ATWOOD, Josh enforced 10 yards from the EMU32 to the EMU42 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 12:07
1ST & 20
OPP 42
-4
58.2%
Taisun Phommachanh sacked by Trey Laing for a loss of 4 yards to the EMU 46Similar
Q1 12:07
2ND & 24
OPP 46
-2
58.1%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to CJ Hester for a loss of 2 yards to the EMU 48Similar
Q1 12:07
3RD & 26
OPP 48
+3
58.0%
CJ Hester run for 3 yds to the EMU 45Similar
Q1 9:21
4TH & 23
OPP 45
0
57.8%
CJ Kolodziey punt for 37 yds, downed at the EMU 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 2DOWNS
10 plays · 54 yds · 4:4942% → 43%
Q1 9:21
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+8
58.1%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Oran Singleton for 8 yds to the EMU 16Similar
Q1 9:21
2ND & 2
OWN 16
+5
58.0%
Dontae McMillan run for 5 yds to the EMU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:21
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
58.0%
Dontae McMillan run for 2 yds to the EMU 23Similar
Q1 9:21
2ND & 8
OWN 23
0
58.0%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Oran Singleton for no gain to the EMU 23Similar
Q1 9:21
3RD & 8
OWN 23
+19
58.2%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Terry Lockett Jr. for 19 yds to the EMU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:21
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+12
57.5%
Dontae McMillan run for 12 yds to the MASS 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:21
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
57.4%
Dontae McMillan run for 2 yds to the MASS 44Similar
Q1 9:21
2ND & 8
OPP 44
+1
57.4%
Dontae McMillan run for 1 yd to the MASS 43Similar
Q1 9:21
3RD & 7
OPP 43
+5
57.5%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Oran Singleton for 5 yds to the MASS 38Similar
Q1 4:32
4TH & 2
OPP 38
0
57.5%
Cole Snyder pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 2:5259% → 59%
Q1 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
58.5%
Jalen John run for 2 yds to the MASS 40Similar
Q1 4:32
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+10
58.7%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Sterling Galban for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:32
1ST & 10
50
-1
59.1%
Jalen John run for a loss of 1 yard to the MASS 49Similar
Q1 4:32
2ND & 11
OWN 49
+6
58.6%
Taisun Phommachanh run for 6 yds to the EMU 45Similar
Q1 4:32
3RD & 5
OPP 45
0
59.0%
Taisun Phommachanh pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:40
4TH & 5
OPP 45
0
58.5%
CJ Kolodziey punt for 42 yds, downed at the EMU 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 4TD
13 plays · 97 yds · 3:5342% → 52%
Q1 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+3
57.6%
Dontae McMillan run for 3 yds to the EMU 6Similar
Q1 0:49
2ND & 7
OWN 6
+11
57.6%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Markus Allen for 11 yds to the EMU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+15
57.2%
SNYDER, Cole pass short to the right incomplete intended for LILLIS, Hans thrown to the EMU19, clock 00:43. PENALTY UMA Pass Interference on ELLIS, Lake enforced 15 yards to the EMU32 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+11
56.7%
Cole Snyder run for 11 yds to the EMU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+32
55.8%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Terry Lockett Jr. for 32 yds to the MASS 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
54.7%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Max Reese for 5 yds to the MASS 20Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 20
+2
54.7%
Dontae McMillan run for 2 yds to the MASS 18Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 18
+11
55.3%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Max Reese for 11 yds to the MASS 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
54.7%
Cole Snyder pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
54.7%
MCMILLAN, Dontae rush to the left for a gain of 1 yard to the UMA6 (CRAIG, Derrieon). PENALTY UMA Offsides enforced half the distance from the goal, 4 yards from the UMA7 to the UMA3 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
54.7%
Dontae McMillan run for 2 yds to the MASS 1Similar
Q2 12:47
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
48.1%
Cole Snyder 1 Yd Run (Jesus Gomez Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 5MISSED FG
15 plays · 51 yds · 7:1350% → 45%
Q2 12:41
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
50.2%
Taisun Phommachanh pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:41
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+10
50.1%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Anthony Simpson for 10 yds to the MASS 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:41
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
50.6%
CJ Hester run for 5 yds to the MASS 39Similar
Q2 12:41
2ND & 5
OWN 39
-10
51.7%
Massachusetts Penalty, Offensive Holding (Dominick Mazotti) to the MASS 38Similar
Q2 12:41
2ND & 6
OWN 38
+9
51.6%
CJ Hester run for 9 yds to the MASS 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:41
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
52.0%
Taisun Phommachanh pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:41
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+4
51.7%
CJ Hester run for 4 yds to the EMU 49Similar
Q2 12:41
3RD & 6
OPP 49
+19
51.7%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Dominick Mazotti for 19 yds to the EMU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:41
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
53.2%
Brandon Campbell run for no gain to the EMU 30Similar
Q2 12:41
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+9
53.1%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Keshawn Brown for 9 yds to the EMU 21Similar
Q2 12:41
3RD & 1
OPP 21
+5
52.4%
Brandon Campbell run for 5 yds to the EMU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:13
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-15
50.4%
Massachusetts Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Brandon Campbell) to the EMU 30Similar
Q2 7:13
2ND & 24
OPP 30
+8
48.9%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Jacquon Gibson for 8 yds to the EMU 22Similar
Q2 7:13
3RD & 16
OPP 22
-3
47.6%
Taisun Phommachanh sacked by James Djonkam for a loss of 3 yards to the EMU 25Similar
Q2 5:28
4TH & 19
OPP 25
+43
44.8%
Jacob Lurie 43 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 30 yds · 2:3457% → 56%
Q2 6:01
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+15
43.0%
SNYDER, Cole pass deep to the right incomplete intended for SINGLETON, Oran broken up by CAMERON JR., Jerrod at the UMA25, clock 06:01. PENALTY UMA Pass Interference on CAMERON JR., Jerrod enforced 15 yards to the UMA43 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 6:01
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-10
42.6%
Eastern Michigan Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the MASS 49Similar
Q2 6:01
1ST & 16
OPP 49
+4
43.3%
Iii Delbert Mimms run for 4 yds to the MASS 45Similar
Q2 6:01
2ND & 12
OPP 45
0
43.0%
Cole Snyder pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:01
3RD & 12
OPP 45
0
43.7%
Cole Snyder pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
44.6%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Oran Singleton for 17 yds to the EMU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:27
4TH & 12
OPP 45
0
44.1%
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 20 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 7DOWNS
10 plays · 32 yds · 2:2545% → 43%
Q2 3:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
44.5%
Eastern Michigan Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the MASS 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:27
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
45.4%
Taisun Phommachanh run for no gain to the MASS 36 Taisun Phommachanh fumbled, recovered by MASS return for 0 ydsSimilar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 10
OWN 36
-6
44.1%
Taisun Phommachanh sacked by Peyton Price for a loss of 6 yards to the MASS 30Similar
Q2 2:00
3RD & 16
OWN 30
+31
42.4%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Jakobie Keeney-James for 31 yds to the EMU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
47.2%
Taisun Phommachanh pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+3
47.0%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Jacquon Gibson for 3 yds to the EMU 36Similar
Q2 1:09
3RD & 7
OPP 36
0
45.1%
Taisun Phommachanh pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:02
4TH & 7
OPP 36
-7
43.3%
Taisun Phommachanh sacked by Donovan Green and Justin Jefferson for a loss of 7 yards to the EMU 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 8TD
8 plays · 57 yds · 0:3162% → 72%
Q2 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+29
38.2%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Terry Lockett Jr. for 29 yds to the MASS 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:55
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+5
36.3%
Massachusetts Penalty, Offsides (Derrieon Craig) to the MASS 23Similar
Q2 0:55
1ST & 5
OPP 23
0
36.3%
Cole Snyder pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:55
2ND & 5
OPP 23
+5
36.3%
Dontae McMillan run for 5 yds to the MASS 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:55
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
36.3%
Cole Snyder pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:38
2ND & 10
OPP 18
0
36.3%
Cole Snyder pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:31
3RD & 10
OPP 18
+18
27.7%
Oran Singleton 18 Yd pass from Cole Snyder (Jesus Gomez Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 9END OF HALF
4 plays · 11 yds · 0:2529% → 29%
Q2 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-5
29.4%
Massachusetts Penalty, Delay Of Game (Taisun Phommachanh) to the MASS 33Similar
Q2 0:25
1ST & 15
OWN 33
+11
28.1%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Jalen John for 11 yds to the MASS 44Similar
Q2 0:25
2ND & 4
OWN 44
+11
29.6%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Jalen John for 11 yds to the EMU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-6
29.3%
Taisun Phommachanh sacked by Justin Jefferson for a loss of 6 yards to the MASS 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:5370% → 69%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
30.5%
Cole Snyder pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
30.6%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Oran Singleton for 3 yds to the EMU 28Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
30.9%
Cole Snyder pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:07
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+9
30.7%
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 51 yds , Sterling Galban returns for 9 yds to the MASS 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 11TD
11 plays · 70 yds · 5:2431% → 44%
Q3 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+16
31.0%
Jalen John run for 16 yds to the MASS 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
33.0%
Taisun Phommachanh run for 2 yds to the MASS 48Similar
Q3 14:07
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+7
33.2%
Taisun Phommachanh run for 7 yds to the EMU 45Similar
Q3 14:07
3RD & 1
OPP 45
+9
33.3%
Jalen John run for 9 yds to the EMU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:07
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+5
33.3%
CJ Hester run for 5 yds to the EMU 31Similar
Q3 14:07
2ND & 5
OPP 31
+1
34.0%
Jalen John run for 1 yd to the EMU 30Similar
Q3 14:07
3RD & 4
OPP 30
+5
33.2%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Jalen John for 5 yds to the EMU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:07
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+15
34.0%
PHOMMACHANH, Taisun pass deep to the left incomplete intended for SIMPSON, Anthony thrown to the EMU0. PENALTY EMU Pass Interference on MCNULTY, Dramarian enforced half the distance from the goal, 15 yards to the EMU10 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 14:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
34.0%
Taisun Phommachanh run for 3 yds to the EMU 7Similar
Q3 14:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
34.0%
Jalen John run for 6 yds to the EMU 1Similar
Q3 8:43
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
44.0%
Jalen John run for 1 yd for a TD (Jacob Lurie KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 12FG
10 plays · 73 yds · 3:5462% → 71%
Q3 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+40
37.9%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Markus Allen for 40 yds to the MASS 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:43
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
34.5%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Oran Singleton for 5 yds to the MASS 30Similar
Q3 8:43
2ND & 5
OPP 30
+7
34.3%
Dontae McMillan run for 7 yds to the MASS 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:43
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
34.3%
Cole Snyder pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:43
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+3
34.6%
Dontae McMillan run for 3 yds to the MASS 20Similar
Q3 8:43
3RD & 7
OPP 20
+10
35.1%
Massachusetts Penalty, Defensive Holding (Arsheen Jiles) to the MASS 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+7
34.3%
Cole Snyder run for 7 yds to the MASS 3Similar
Q3 8:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
34.3%
Dontae McMillan run for 1 yd to the MASS 2Similar
Q3 8:43
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
35.1%
Iii Delbert Mimms run for no gain to the MASS 2Similar
Q3 4:49
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+20
28.7%
Jesús Gómez 20 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 13MISSED FG
11 plays · 57 yds · 4:5429% → 25%
Q3 4:44
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+33
28.8%
Taisun Phommachanh run for 33 yds to the MASS 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:44
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+10
31.7%
Taisun Phommachanh run for 10 yds to the EMU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:44
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-1
32.4%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Dominick Mazotti for a loss of 1 yard to the EMU 43Similar
Q3 4:44
2ND & 11
OPP 43
+4
31.8%
CJ Hester run for 4 yds to the EMU 39Similar
Q3 4:44
3RD & 7
OPP 39
+6
31.9%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Keshawn Brown for 6 yds to the EMU 33Similar
Q3 4:44
4TH & 1
OPP 33
+4
30.5%
CJ Hester run for 4 yds to the EMU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:44
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
34.0%
Jalen John run for 2 yds to the EMU 27Similar
Q3 4:44
2ND & 8
OPP 27
-10
34.0%
PHOMMACHANH, Taisun pass to the left incomplete intended for GALBAN, Sterling broken up by MCNULTY, Dramarian at the EMU21. PENALTY UMA Holding on TERLAAK, Wyatt enforced 10 yards from the EMU27 to the EMU37 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 18
OPP 37
+9
27.9%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Jalen John for 9 yds to the EMU 28Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 28
0
28.6%
Taisun Phommachanh pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:50
4TH & 9
OPP 28
+46
25.4%
Jacob Lurie 46 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 14FG
15 plays · 59 yds · 7:0175% → 92%
Q4 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
25.4%
Cole Snyder run for 2 yds to the EMU 30Similar
Q4 14:50
2ND & 8
OWN 30
0
25.3%
Cole Snyder pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:50
3RD & 8
OWN 30
+33
26.4%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Oran Singleton for 33 yds to the MASS 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:50
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
23.1%
Iii Delbert Mimms run for 2 yds to the MASS 35Similar
Q4 14:50
2ND & 8
OPP 35
+1
22.5%
Iii Delbert Mimms run for 1 yd to the MASS 34Similar
Q4 11:31
3RD & 7
OPP 34
+10
18.1%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Markus Allen for 10 yds to the MASS 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:31
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+6
17.2%
Dontae McMillan run for 6 yds to the MASS 18Similar
Q4 11:31
2ND & 4
OPP 18
+1
17.2%
Dontae McMillan run for 1 yd to the MASS 17Similar
Q4 11:31
3RD & 3
OPP 17
+7
17.9%
Cole Snyder run for 7 yds to the MASS 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
17.2%
Dontae McMillan run for 2 yds to the MASS 8Similar
Q4 8:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
12.3%
Cole Snyder run for no gain to the MASS 8Similar
Q4 8:28
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
-5
12.6%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Dontae McMillan for a loss of 5 yards to the MASS 13Similar
Q4 7:49
4TH & GOAL
OPP 13
+31
7.6%
Jesús Gómez 31 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 15DOWNS
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:3710% → 8%
Q4 7:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
10.2%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Anthony Simpson for 1 yd to the MASS 26Similar
Q4 7:49
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+7
10.0%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Jakobie Keeney-James for 7 yds to the MASS 33Similar
Q4 7:49
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+1
10.9%
Jalen John run for 1 yd to the MASS 34Similar
Q4 6:12
4TH & 1
OWN 34
-1
7.8%
Jalen John run for a loss of 1 yard to the MASS 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 16TD
2 plays · 33 yds · 0:2995% → 99%
Q4 6:12
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+27
5.2%
Iii Delbert Mimms run for 27 yds to the MASS 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
1.0%
Delbert Mimms III 6 Yd Run (Cole Snyder Pass to Markus Allen for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 17TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 2:371% → 5%
Q4 5:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
1.1%
Taisun Phommachanh pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:43
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
1.1%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Jacquon Gibson for 9 yds to the MASS 34Similar
Q4 5:43
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+6
1.2%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to CJ Hester for 6 yds to the MASS 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:43
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+19
1.1%
Taisun Phommachanh run for 19 yds to the EMU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:12
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+15
1.1%
PHOMMACHANH, Taisun pass short to the right incomplete intended for MAZOTTI, Dominick thrown to the EMU37, clock 04:12. PENALTY EMU Face mask on EVANS, Carter enforced 15 yards from the EMU41 to the EMU26 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 4:12
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
1.3%
Taisun Phommachanh pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:12
2ND & 10
OPP 26
-7
1.2%
Taisun Phommachanh sacked by Justin Jefferson and Peyton Price for a loss of 7 yards to the EMU 33Similar
Q4 4:12
3RD & 17
OPP 33
+19
1.1%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Sterling Galban for 19 yds to the EMU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:12
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+12
1.2%
PHOMMACHANH, Taisun pass to the right incomplete intended for SIMPSON, Anthony thrown to the EMU0. PENALTY EMU Pass Interference on WHITE, Daiquan enforced 12 yards to the EMU2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 3:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
4.6%
CJ Hester run for 2 yds for a TD (Jacob Lurie KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 18END OF GAME
10 plays · 8 yds · 3:0597% → 99%
Q4 3:05
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
2.8%
Iii Delbert Mimms run for 4 yds to the MASS 40Similar
Q4 2:03
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+5
2.4%
Iii Delbert Mimms run for 5 yds to the MASS 35Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 1
OPP 35
-1
1.6%
Iii Delbert Mimms run for a loss of 1 yard to the MASS 36Similar
Q4 2:00
4TH & 2
OPP 36
+4
1.7%
Iii Delbert Mimms run for 4 yds to the MASS 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:09
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+4
1.2%
Iii Delbert Mimms run for 4 yds to the MASS 28Similar
Q4 1:09
2ND & 6
OPP 28
-5
1.2%
[NHSG] Kneel down by EMU at UMA33 (team loss of 5).Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 11
OPP 33
-3
1.2%
[NHSG] Kneel down by EMU at UMA36 (team loss of 3), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 8:43
Jalen John run for 1 yd for a TD (Jacob Lurie KICK)
+10
TD · Q2 0:31
Oran Singleton 18 Yd pass from Cole Snyder (Jesus Gomez Kick)
-9.4
TD · Q2 12:47
Cole Snyder 1 Yd Run (Jesus Gomez Kick)
-6.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com