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CONN

UConn 47 at Massachusetts 42

MASS
2024 · Week 14 · Nov 30, 2024 · Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium
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Win probability · MASS
modelMASS aheadCONN aheadconfidence bandkey playMASS scoreCONN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of GameFG-1.4MASS 32.0%Chris Freeman 30 Yd Field GoalAWAY 24 - HOME 21 · Q2 4:46
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 4:46 · Chris Freeman 30 Yd Field Goal
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+40.5+20.30−20.3−40.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 64Pregame prior−14.9Home team on offense−4.5Garbage-time factor−0.5Score differential−2.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 1:19: Jalen John 15 Yd Run (Riley Moore Kick) — MASS win probability +14.9 pts (now 53%) (top driver: MASS has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 0:12: Jasaiah Gathings 26 Yd pass from Joe Fagnano (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed) — CONN win probability +22.5 pts (now 78%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 11:12: Joe Fagnano pass complete to Cam Edwards for 3 yds for a TD (Chris Freeman KICK) — CONN win probability +12.6 pts (now 92%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 7:20: CJ Hester run for 8 yds for a TD (Jacob Lurie KICK) — MASS win probability +20.1 pts (now 34%) (top driver: MASS has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:36: Will Perry pass complete to T.Y. Harding for 7 yds for a TD (Riley Moore KICK) — MASS win probability +18.7 pts (now 24%) (top driver: MASS has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MASS made the numbers' call on 5 of 10CONN made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 14:12MASS 4th & 16 at MASS 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.4%−0.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:07CONN 4th & 10 at CONN 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.8%−0.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:17MASS 4th & 3 at CONN 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 34.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    34.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    34.5%−0.3
    58% to make
    Punt
    33.2%−1.5
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:17MASS 4th & 1 at MASS 34, tied
    Close callPunted · 34.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.7%−0.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:32MASS 4th & 7 at MASS 42, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.4%−0.5
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:46CONN 4th & 5 at MASS 12, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 63.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.6%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    62.7%
    86% to make
    Punt
    57.5%−5.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:17CONN 4th & 4 at MASS 35, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 55.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.8%−0.7
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    55.4%
    45% to make
    Punt
    53.7%−1.8
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:00MASS 4th & 2 at MASS 33, up 1
    Close callWent for it · 45.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    44.2%−0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    44.4%
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:26CONN 4th & 8 at CONN 47, down 1
    Close callWent for it · 52.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    52.6%−0.9
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    53.6%
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:37MASS 4th & 3 at CONN 40, up 1
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.4 ptsPunted · 50.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    47.7%−3.0
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    48.3%−2.4
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:46CONN 4th & 6 at MASS 41, down 1
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 50.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    49.4%−2.0
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    50.2%−1.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 5:37MASS 4th & 8 at MASS 9, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.5%−1.8
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.3%
    average punt
  13. Q3 3:30CONN 4th & 9 at MASS 48, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.7%−1.5
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.2%
    average punt
  14. Q3 1:45MASS 4th & 1 at MASS 15, up 1
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.6 ptsPunted · 51.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.0%−3.6
    average punt
  15. Q4 14:51MASS 4th & 14 at MASS 10, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.7%−4.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.8%
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:53MASS 4th & 15 at CONN 22, down 12
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.2 ptsWent for it · 4.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.1%−1.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    5.2%
    72% to make
    Punt
    3.3%−1.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MASS made the numbers' call on 6 of 6CONN made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 13:57CONN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:16MASS Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 2:17MASS Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 11:58CONN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 8:26MASS Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    36.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    36.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 1:19MASS Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 0:12CONN Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    71.1%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    70.8%−0.3
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 11:12CONN Touchdown, up 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 7:20MASS Touchdown, down 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    22.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    22.0%−0.3
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 2:18CONN Touchdown, up 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.1%−0.6
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 0:36MASS Touchdown, down 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    11.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    10.5%−0.7
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MASSDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · -6 yds · 0:4726% → 27%
Q1 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-6
26.2%
AJ Hairston sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the MASS 19 AJ Hairston fumbled, recovered by MASS , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q1 14:20
2ND & 16
OWN 19
0
26.5%
AJ Hairston pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:16
3RD & 16
OWN 19
0
26.5%
AJ Hairston pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:12
4TH & 16
OWN 19
0
26.5%
CJ Kolodziey punt for 36 yds , TJ Sheffield returns for no gain to the CONN 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 2TD
1 play · 55 yds · 0:0074% → 74%
Q1 13:57
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+55
26.3%
Louis Hansen 55 Yd pass from Joe Fagnano (Chris Freeman Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 3TD
10 plays · 78 yds · 5:3426% → 30%
Q1 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+6
26.4%
Jalen John run for 6 yds to the MASS 28Similar
Q1 13:19
2ND & 4
OWN 28
+6
26.5%
Jalen John run for 6 yds to the MASS 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:46
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+7
26.5%
AJ Hairston pass complete to Sterling Galban for 7 yds to the MASS 41Similar
Q1 12:07
2ND & 3
OWN 41
+14
26.8%
Jalen John run for 14 yds to the CONN 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:25
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
27.1%
Jalen John run for 2 yds to the CONN 43Similar
Q1 10:42
2ND & 8
OPP 43
-5
27.3%
(10:42) QB Keeper HASTON, Ahmad rush up the middle for a gain of 3 yards to the UCONN40 (YATES, Pryce;DIXON-WILLIAMS, Malik), clock 10:38. PENALTY Before the snap, UMASS Illegal Shift enforced 5 yards from the UCONN43 to the UCONN48. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 10:19
2ND & 13
OPP 48
+31
27.1%
AJ Hairston pass complete to Jacquon Gibson for 31 yds to the CONN 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:44
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
27.7%
AJ Hairston pass complete to Jakobie Keeney-James for no gain to the CONN 17Similar
Q1 9:04
2ND & 10
OPP 17
-2
27.9%
Jalen John run for a loss of 2 yards to the CONN 19Similar
Q1 8:16
3RD & 12
OPP 19
+19
29.8%
Jacquon Gibson 19 Yd pass from AJ Hairston (Jacob Lurie Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 0 yds · 0:5871% → 69%
Q1 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-5
29.2%
(08:05) BROWN, Mel rush to the left for a gain of 8 yards to the UCONN39 (ELLIS, Lake), clock 08:01. PENALTY Before the snap, UCONN False Start enforced 5 yards from the UCONN31 to the UCONN26. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 7:42
1ST & 15
OWN 26
+5
29.8%
(07:42) EDWARDS, Cam rush to the left for a gain of 5 yards to the UCONN31 (CRAIG, Derrieon), clock 07:37. PENALTY UMASS Offsides enforced 5 yards from the UCONN26 to the UCONN31 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
29.8%
Joe Fagnano pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:17
2ND & 10
OWN 31
0
30.0%
Joe Fagnano pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:12
3RD & 10
OWN 31
0
30.3%
Joe Fagnano pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:07
4TH & 10
OWN 31
+15
30.6%
Connor Stutz punt for 44 yds , T.Y. Harding returns for 15 yds to the MASS 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 5TD
8 plays · 60 yds · 4:3630% → 37%
Q1 6:53
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+9
30.4%
AJ Hairston pass complete to Dominick Mazotti for 9 yds to the MASS 49Similar
Q1 6:19
2ND & 1
OWN 49
+5
31.0%
CJ Hester run for 5 yds to the CONN 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:46
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+9
31.4%
AJ Hairston pass complete to Jakobie Keeney-James for 9 yds to the CONN 37Similar
Q1 5:10
2ND & 1
OPP 37
+1
31.8%
CJ Hester run for 1 yd to the CONN 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:21
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
32.3%
CJ Hester run for 2 yds to the CONN 34Similar
Q1 3:52
2ND & 8
OPP 34
+5
32.8%
AJ Hairston pass complete to T.Y. Harding for 5 yds to the CONN 29Similar
Q1 3:08
3RD & 3
OPP 29
0
32.8%
CJ Hester run for no gain to the CONN 29Similar
Q1 2:17
4TH & 3
OPP 29
+29
36.6%
Jakobie Keeney-James 29 Yd pass from AJ Hairston (Jacob Lurie Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:4433% → 33%
Q1 2:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
32.5%
AJ Hairston pass complete to Brandon Campbell for no gain to the MASS 25Similar
Q1 1:29
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
32.6%
Brandon Campbell run for 5 yds to the MASS 30Similar
Q1 0:49
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+4
32.7%
AJ Hairston pass complete to Dominick Mazotti for 4 yds to the MASS 34Similar
Q1 0:17
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
32.8%
CJ Kolodziey punt for 46 yds , TJ Sheffield returns for no gain to the CONN 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 7TD
10 plays · 80 yds · 3:1268% → 74%
Q1 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+19
32.4%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Durell Robinson for 19 yds to the CONN 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
31.6%
Durell Robinson run for 6 yds to the CONN 45Similar
Q2 14:16
2ND & 4
OWN 45
+2
31.5%
Durell Robinson run for 2 yds to the CONN 47Similar
Q2 13:56
3RD & 2
OWN 47
+17
31.8%
Durell Robinson run for 17 yds to the MASS 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:43
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+8
31.3%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to TJ Sheffield for 8 yds to the MASS 28Similar
Q2 13:23
2ND & 2
OPP 28
+15
30.8%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Skyler Bell for 15 yds to the MASS 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:58
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+4
30.9%
Mel Brown run for 4 yds to the MASS 9Similar
Q2 12:24
2ND & 6
OPP 9
0
31.1%
Joe Fagnano pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:18
3RD & 6
OPP 9
+6
31.7%
Cam Edwards run for 6 yds to the MASS 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
25.7%
Cam Edwards 3 Yd Run (Chris Freeman Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 1:1727% → 27%
Q2 11:49
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
27.4%
Jalen John run for 1 yd to the MASS 40Similar
Q2 11:14
2ND & 9
OWN 40
0
27.7%
AJ Hairston pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:13
3RD & 9
OWN 40
-5
27.2%
Massachusetts Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MASS 35Similar
Q2 11:11
3RD & 14
OWN 35
+7
26.7%
Jalen John run for 7 yds to the MASS 42Similar
Q2 10:32
4TH & 7
OWN 42
0
27.1%
CJ Kolodziey punt for 34 yds, fair catch by TJ Sheffield at the CONN 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 9INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0072% → 72%
Q2 10:26
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-1
27.6%
Joe Fagnano pass intercepted Arsheen Jiles return for 1 yd to the CONN 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 10TD
4 plays · 35 yds · 1:5431% → 41%
Q2 10:20
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+20
31.1%
AJ Hairston run for 5 yds to the CONN 30 for a 1ST down UConn Penalty, Personal Foul (Amir Renwick) to the CONN 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:59
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+13
30.8%
AJ Hairston pass complete to Dominick Mazotti for 13 yds to the CONN 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
31.0%
CJ Hester run for 1 yd to the CONN 1Similar
Q2 8:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
40.8%
Dominick Mazotti 1 Yd pass from AJ Hairston (Jacob Lurie Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 11FG
9 plays · 63 yds · 3:3365% → 68%
Q2 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
35.0%
Cam Edwards run for 8 yds to the CONN 33Similar
Q2 7:59
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+35
33.2%
Cam Edwards run for 35 yds to the MASS 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:18
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+6
31.6%
Cam Edwards run for 6 yds to the MASS 26Similar
Q2 6:59
2ND & 4
OPP 26
+9
31.5%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Skyler Bell for 9 yds to the MASS 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:44
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+1
31.5%
Cam Edwards run for 1 yd to the MASS 16Similar
Q2 6:05
2ND & 9
OPP 16
+6
31.4%
Mel Brown run for 6 yds to the MASS 10Similar
Q2 5:22
3RD & 3
OPP 10
-2
33.4%
Durell Robinson run for a loss of 2 yards to the MASS 12Similar
Q2 4:46
4TH & 5
OPP 12
+30
32.0%
Chris Freeman 30 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 12TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:2633% → 53%
Q2 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
32.6%
Jalen John run for no gain to the MASS 25Similar
Q2 4:07
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
32.5%
AJ Hairston run for 3 yds to the MASS 28Similar
Q2 3:26
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+7
31.9%
AJ Hairston run for 7 yds to the MASS 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+11
33.4%
Jalen John run for 11 yds to the MASS 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:21
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
35.5%
Jalen John run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 1:58
2ND & 6
50
+15
36.0%
UConn Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Jayden McDonald) to the CONN 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:52
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
37.5%
Jalen John run for 3 yds to the CONN 30Similar
Q2 1:29
2ND & 7
OPP 30
+15
37.7%
(01:29) HAIRSTON, AJ pass to the left incomplete intended for MAZOTTI, Dominick thrown to the UCONN20; QB hurried by MCDONALD, Jayden, clock 01:25. PENALTY UCONN Face mask on MCDONALD, Jayden enforced 15 yards from the UCONN30 to the UCONN15 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 1:19
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
52.6%
Jalen John 15 Yd Run (Riley Moore Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 13FG
7 plays · 17 yds · 0:4852% → 53%
Q2 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+6
48.0%
Joe Fagnano run for 6 yds to the MASS 46Similar
Q2 0:45
2ND & 4
OPP 46
0
46.7%
Joe Fagnano pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:42
3RD & 4
OPP 46
+5
47.5%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Jasaiah Gathings for 5 yds to the MASS 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:34
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+6
47.2%
Durell Robinson run for 6 yds to the MASS 35Similar
Q2 0:30
2ND & 4
OPP 35
0
45.5%
Joe Fagnano pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:25
3RD & 4
OPP 35
0
46.9%
Joe Fagnano pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:17
4TH & 4
OPP 35
+53
47.5%
Chris Freeman 53 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 14DOWNS
7 plays · 2 yds · 0:1347% → 47%
Q2 0:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
46.7%
CJ Hester run for 5 yds to the MASS 30Similar
Q2 0:11
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+3
48.0%
CJ Hester run for 3 yds to the MASS 33Similar
Q2 0:06
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
47.6%
CJ Hester run for no gain to the MASS 33Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 2
OWN 33
-6
46.7%
[NHSG] Kneel down by TEAM at UMASS27 (team loss of 6); UMASS turnover on downs, clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 15DOWNS
6 plays · 23 yds · 2:2756% → 54%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+15
44.4%
Massachusetts Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Gerrell Johnson) to the CONN 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:29
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-10
42.2%
(14:29) QB Keeper FAGNANO, Joe rush to the right for a gain of 6 yards to the UMASS49, End of Play, clock 14:22. PENALTY UCONN Holding on HANSEN, Louis enforced 10 yards from the UCONN45 to the UCONN35 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 14:03
1ST & 20
OWN 35
0
44.9%
Cam Edwards run for no gain to the CONN 35Similar
Q3 13:17
2ND & 20
OWN 35
+12
45.5%
Cam Edwards run for 12 yds to the CONN 47Similar
Q3 12:34
3RD & 8
OWN 47
0
44.0%
Joe Fagnano pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:26
4TH & 8
OWN 47
0
46.3%
Joe Fagnano pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:1651% → 49%
Q3 11:53
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
50.5%
Jalen John run for 3 yds to the CONN 44Similar
Q3 11:40
2ND & 7
OPP 44
+4
50.7%
Jalen John run for 4 yds to the CONN 40Similar
Q3 11:05
3RD & 3
OPP 40
0
50.6%
Jalen John run for no gain to the CONN 40Similar
Q3 10:37
4TH & 3
OPP 40
0
49.2%
CJ Kolodziey punt for 31 yds, fair catch by TJ Sheffield at the CONN 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 17PUNT
11 plays · 50 yds · 3:4552% → 53%
Q3 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+5
47.8%
Mel Brown run for 5 yds to the CONN 14Similar
Q3 9:53
2ND & 5
OWN 14
+10
48.0%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to TJ Sheffield for 10 yds to the CONN 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:39
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
47.9%
Joe Fagnano pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:38
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+1
48.1%
Mel Brown run for 1 yd to the CONN 25Similar
Q3 8:56
3RD & 9
OWN 25
+14
49.8%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Louis Hansen for 14 yds to the CONN 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:37
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+16
46.4%
Durell Robinson run for 16 yds to the MASS 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:03
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
44.8%
Durell Robinson run for 4 yds to the MASS 41Similar
Q3 7:45
2ND & 6
OPP 41
0
44.9%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Durell Robinson for no gain to the MASS 41Similar
Q3 7:00
3RD & 6
OPP 41
0
46.0%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Durell Robinson for no gain to the MASS 41Similar
Q3 6:46
4TH & 6
OPP 41
0
47.2%
Connor Stutz punt for 34 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:0249% → 47%
Q3 6:39
1ST & 10
OWN 7
0
48.8%
AJ Hairston pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:33
2ND & 10
OWN 7
+2
48.5%
CJ Hester run for 2 yds to the MASS 9Similar
Q3 5:44
3RD & 8
OWN 9
0
47.5%
AJ Hairston pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:37
4TH & 8
OWN 9
+6
46.8%
CJ Kolodziey punt for 46 yds , TJ Sheffield returns for no gain to the MASS 49 , returns for 6 yds to the MASS 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:5855% → 50%
Q3 5:28
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
45.0%
Mel Brown run for 1 yd to the MASS 48Similar
Q3 4:59
2ND & 9
OPP 48
0
45.0%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Louis Hansen for no gain to the MASS 48Similar
Q3 4:09
3RD & 9
OPP 48
0
46.7%
Joe Fagnano run for no gain to the MASS 48Similar
Q3 3:30
4TH & 9
OPP 48
0
50.2%
Connor Stutz punt for 42 yds, downed at the MASS 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:3450% → 50%
Q3 3:19
1ST & 10
OWN 6
0
50.4%
AJ Hairston pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:15
2ND & 10
OWN 6
+2
50.0%
Brandon Campbell run for 2 yds to the MASS 8Similar
Q3 2:34
3RD & 8
OWN 8
+7
48.8%
AJ Hairston pass complete to Dominick Mazotti for 7 yds to the MASS 15Similar
Q3 1:45
4TH & 1
OWN 15
0
49.7%
CJ Kolodziey punt for 39 yds, fair catch by TJ Sheffield at the MASS 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 21TD
4 plays · 49 yds · 1:2754% → 78%
Q3 1:39
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+13
46.5%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to TJ Sheffield for 13 yds to the MASS 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:12
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+7
46.4%
Cam Edwards run for 7 yds to the MASS 29Similar
Q3 0:54
2ND & 3
OPP 29
+3
44.4%
Cam Edwards run for 3 yds to the MASS 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:12
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+26
21.8%
Jasaiah Gathings 26 Yd pass from Joe Fagnano (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 0:1428% → 26%
Q3 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
28.2%
AJ Hairston pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:01
2ND & 10
OWN 14
-4
28.0%
Jalen John run for a loss of 4 yards to the MASS 10Similar
Q4 14:59
3RD & 14
OWN 10
0
26.6%
AJ Hairston pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:51
4TH & 14
OWN 10
+3
25.8%
CJ Kolodziey punt for 28 yds , TJ Sheffield returns for 3 yds to the MASS 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 23TD
8 plays · 35 yds · 3:3378% → 92%
Q4 14:45
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
22.0%
Mel Brown run for 2 yds to the MASS 33Similar
Q4 14:05
2ND & 8
OPP 33
+3
21.9%
(14:05) FAGNANO, Joe pass short to the right incomplete intended for BROWN, Mel thrown to the UMASS30, clock 14:04. PENALTY UMASS Pass Interference on JOHNSON, Gerrell enforced at the spot of the foul for 3 yards to the UMASS30 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 13:27
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+4
21.4%
Mel Brown run for 4 yds to the MASS 26Similar
Q4 13:16
2ND & 6
OPP 26
+4
21.0%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Louis Hansen for 4 yds to the MASS 22Similar
Q4 12:38
3RD & 2
OPP 22
+6
22.3%
Durell Robinson run for 6 yds to the MASS 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:15
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+14
20.9%
Durell Robinson run for 14 yds to the MASS 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
20.6%
Durell Robinson run for a loss of 1 yard to the MASS 3Similar
Q4 11:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
8.0%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Cam Edwards for 3 yds for a TD (Chris Freeman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 24TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 3:5014% → 34%
Q4 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
13.9%
T.Y. Harding run for 6 yds to the MASS 31Similar
Q4 10:37
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+24
12.7%
CJ Hester run for 24 yds to the CONN 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:59
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
13.8%
CJ Hester run for 2 yds to the CONN 43Similar
Q4 9:16
2ND & 8
OPP 43
+1
13.5%
Ahmad Haston run for 1 yd to the CONN 42Similar
Q4 8:37
3RD & 7
OPP 42
+32
12.9%
Ahmad Haston run for 32 yds to the CONN 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
14.2%
CJ Hester run for 2 yds to the CONN 8Similar
Q4 7:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
34.3%
CJ Hester run for 8 yds for a TD (Jacob Lurie KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 25TD
12 plays · 78 yds · 4:5579% → 97%
Q4 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+18
21.1%
Cam Edwards run for 18 yds to the CONN 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
18.3%
Cam Edwards run for 4 yds to the CONN 44Similar
Q4 5:40
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+4
18.3%
Cam Edwards run for 4 yds to the CONN 48Similar
Q4 5:12
3RD & 2
OWN 48
+5
16.3%
Cam Edwards run for 5 yds to the MASS 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:40
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
13.8%
(04:40) EDWARDS, Cam rush to the right for a gain of 3 yards to the UMASS44 (MARTIN, Tyler), clock 04:39. PENALTY UMASS Offsides on HUDSON, Jaylen enforced 5 yards from the UMASS47 to the UMASS42 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 4:14
1ST & 5
OPP 42
+3
13.2%
Cam Edwards run for 3 yds to the MASS 39Similar
Q4 3:24
2ND & 2
OPP 39
+17
12.2%
Cam Edwards run for 17 yds to the MASS 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:33
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+4
9.0%
Cam Edwards run for 4 yds to the MASS 18Similar
Q4 2:23
2ND & 6
OPP 18
+3
8.6%
Mel Brown run for 3 yds to the MASS 15Similar
Q4 2:18
3RD & 3
OPP 15
+15
2.9%
Durell Robinson run for 15 yds for a TD (Chris Freeman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 26TD
16 plays · 75 yds · 1:406% → 24%
Q4 2:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
6.1%
Will Perry pass complete to Dominick Mazotti for 7 yds to the MASS 32Similar
Q4 1:58
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
5.3%
Will Perry pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:57
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+6
4.4%
Jalen John run for 6 yds to the MASS 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+20
4.6%
Will Perry pass complete to Jakobie Keeney-James for 20 yds to the CONN 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:26
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
5.2%
Will Perry run for 2 yds to the CONN 40 Massachusetts Penalty, Personal Foul (Yards) to the CONN 40Similar
Q4 1:26
2ND & 8
OPP 40
+9
5.9%
Will Perry pass complete to Dominick Mazotti for 9 yds to the CONN 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:17
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+4
7.5%
Will Perry pass complete to Jalen John for 4 yds to the CONN 27Similar
Q4 1:11
2ND & 6
OPP 27
+10
7.2%
Will Perry pass complete to Jakobie Keeney-James for 10 yds to the CONN 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:07
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
7.2%
Will Perry pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:04
2ND & 10
OPP 17
-5
7.1%
Massachusetts Penalty, False Start (Josh Atwood) to the CONN 22Similar
Q4 1:02
2ND & 15
OPP 22
0
6.6%
Will Perry pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:59
3RD & 15
OPP 22
0
5.7%
Will Perry pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:53
4TH & 15
OPP 22
+15
5.0%
Will Perry pass complete to Jalen John for 15 yds to the CONN 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
23.7%
Will Perry pass complete to T.Y. Harding for 7 yds for a TD (Riley Moore KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 27Uncategorized
3 plays · -2 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-2
3.4%
(00:00) [NHSG] Kneel down by TEAM at UMASS44 (team loss of 2), clock 00:06.Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 12
OPP 44
-2
3.5%
[NHSG] Kneel down by TEAM at UMASS46 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 0:12
Jasaiah Gathings 26 Yd pass from Joe Fagnano (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)
-22.5
TD · Q4 7:20
CJ Hester run for 8 yds for a TD (Jacob Lurie KICK)
+20.1
TD · Q4 0:36
Will Perry pass complete to T.Y. Harding for 7 yds for a TD (Riley Moore KICK)
+18.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com