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CONN

UConn 31 at UAB 23

UAB
2024 · Week 11 · Nov 9, 2024 · Protective Stadium
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Win probability · UAB
modelUAB aheadCONN aheadconfidence bandkey playUAB scoreCONN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGFGTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 9:59 · Patrick Foley punt for 41 yds , TJ Sheffield returns for no gain to the CONN 42
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+38.5+19.30−19.3−38.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 139Home team on offense+22.4Pregame prior−2.5Score differential+11.2Garbage-time factor+11.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+1.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:20: Lee Beebe Jr. run for 25 yds for a TD (Jonah Delange KICK) — UAB win probability +11.9 pts (now 76%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 7:57: Durell Robinson run for 1 yd for a TD (Chris Freeman KICK) — CONN win probability +14.0 pts (now 34%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 8:45: Joe Fagnano pass complete to Shamar Porter for 6 yds for a TD (Chris Freeman KICK) — CONN win probability +17.7 pts (now 30%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 8:28: Jasaiah Gathings 21 Yd pass from Joe Fagnano (Chris Freeman Kick) — CONN win probability +28.5 pts (now 63%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 2:39: Cam Edwards run for 48 yds for a TD (Chris Freeman KICK) — CONN win probability +28.3 pts (now 94%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UAB made the numbers' call on 5 of 9CONN made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 9:25UAB 4th & 2 at CONN 2, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 35.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    34.9%−0.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    34.1%−1.0
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:19CONN 4th & 6 at UAB 8, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 61.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.5%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    61.6%
    90% to make
    Punt
    59.2%−2.4
    average punt
  3. Q2 13:07UAB 4th & 4 at CONN 18, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 40.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.3%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    40.2%−0.1
    79% to make
    Punt
    37.9%−2.4
    average punt
  4. Q2 5:16CONN 4th & 8 at CONN 27, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.0%−0.9
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.9%
    average punt
  5. Q2 4:03UAB 4th & 10 at UAB 33, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.5%−2.0
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:57CONN 4th & 14 at CONN 11, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.7%−3.0
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.7%
    average punt
  7. Q3 3:49UAB 4th & 8 at CONN 14, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 75.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.5%−1.3
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    74.8%
    84% to make
    Punt
    65.5%−9.3
    average punt
  8. Q3 2:32CONN 4th & 8 at CONN 27, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.7%−1.4
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.1%
    average punt
  9. Q4 12:21CONN 4th & 10 at CONN 27, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.3%−0.8
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.1%
    average punt
  10. Q4 12:21CONN 4th & 10 at CONN 27, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.3%−0.8
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.1%
    average punt
  11. Q4 9:59UAB 4th & 15 at UAB 17, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.4%−3.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.5%
    average punt
  12. Q4 8:45CONN 4th & 6 at UAB 6, down 13
    Close callWent for it · 10.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.1%−0.8
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    10.8%
    91% to make
    Punt
    5.1%−5.7
    average punt
  13. Q4 6:53UAB 4th & 4 at UAB 31, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.3%−0.5
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.8%
    average punt
  14. Q4 5:02CONN 4th & 2 at CONN 34, up 1
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.7 ptsPunted · 60.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.8%−2.7
    average punt
  15. Q4 2:02UAB 4th & 8 at UAB 27, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.8%
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.3%−0.5
    average punt
  16. Q4 1:44CONN 4th & 5 at UAB 18, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 94.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.8%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.0%
    79% to make
    Punt
    90.0%−4.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 0:14UAB 4th & 10 at CONN 34, down 8
    Close callWent for it · 7.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.5%−0.3
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    7.9%
    47% to make
    Punt
    5.0%−2.9
    average punt
  18. Q4 0:14UAB 4th & 10 at CONN 34, down 8
    Close callWent for it · 7.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.5%−0.3
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    7.9%
    47% to make
    Punt
    5.0%−2.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UAB made the numbers' call on 2 of 2CONN made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q2 7:02UAB Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:20UAB Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 7:57CONN Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    27.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    27.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 8:45CONN Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    18.3%−0.6
    97% to make
    Go for two
    18.9%
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 8:28CONN Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    51.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.6%−2.3
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 2:39CONN Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.4%−4.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UABDrive 1FG
15 plays · 73 yds · 5:3535% → 38%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
35.1%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Amare Thomas for 13 yds to the UAB 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+13
35.1%
Lee Beebe Jr. run for 13 yds to the CONN 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+11
35.1%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Amare Thomas for 11 yds to the CONN 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+7
35.1%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Kam Shanks for 7 yds to the CONN 31Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 31
+5
35.1%
Lee Beebe Jr. run for 5 yds to the CONN 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+5
35.1%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Kam Shanks for 5 yds to the CONN 21Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 21
+6
35.1%
Lee Beebe Jr. run for 6 yds to the CONN 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+4
35.1%
Jalen Kitna run for 4 yds to the CONN 11Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 11
+1
35.1%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Terrell McDonald for 1 yd to the CONN 10Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 10
+6
35.1%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Terrell McDonald for 6 yds to the CONN 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
35.1%
Lee Beebe Jr. run for 2 yds to the CONN 2Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
35.1%
Jalen Kitna pass incomplete to Jack NickelSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
35.1%
Jalen Kitna pass incomplete to Amare ThomasSimilar
Q1 9:25
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+20
38.2%
Jonah Delange 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 2FG
14 plays · 57 yds · 5:5362% → 61%
Q1 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
38.1%
Nick Evers pass complete to Mel Brown for 5 yds to the CONN 40Similar
Q1 8:45
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+7
37.9%
Nick Evers pass complete to TJ Sheffield for 7 yds to the CONN 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-15
38.0%
UConn Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-15 Yards) to the CONN 39Similar
Q1 7:59
2ND & 18
OWN 39
+7
38.7%
Nick Evers pass complete to Jasaiah Gathings for 7 yds to the CONN 46Similar
Q1 7:22
3RD & 11
OWN 46
+13
39.0%
Nick Evers pass complete to TJ Sheffield for 13 yds to the UAB 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:01
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
38.5%
Cam Edwards run for 4 yds to the UAB 37Similar
Q1 6:27
2ND & 6
OPP 37
+4
38.6%
Durell Robinson run for 4 yds to the UAB 33Similar
Q1 5:47
3RD & 2
OPP 33
+5
39.0%
Durell Robinson run for 5 yds to the UAB 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:06
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+10
38.9%
UAB Penalty, Defensive Holding (Tyjon Jones) to the UAB 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:53
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+7
38.9%
Mel Brown run for 7 yds to the UAB 5Similar
Q1 4:13
2ND & 3
OPP 5
-5
39.1%
Nick Evers sacked by Desmond Little for a loss of 5 yards to the UAB 10Similar
Q1 3:44
3RD & 8
OPP 10
+2
39.8%
Nick Evers run for 2 yds to the UAB 8Similar
Q1 3:19
4TH & 6
OPP 8
+26
38.9%
Chris Freeman 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 3INT
8 plays · 32 yds · 2:0740% → 42%
Q1 3:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
39.7%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Lee Beebe Jr. for 3 yds to the UAB 28Similar
Q1 2:47
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
40.0%
Jalen Kitna pass incomplete to Amare ThomasSimilar
Q1 2:33
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+24
39.6%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Kam Shanks for 24 yds to the CONN 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:14
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
41.6%
PENALTY UCONN Offside (Stafford,Jelani) 5 yards from UCONN48 to UCONN43. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 1:37
1ST & 5
OPP 43
+5
42.0%
Kam Shanks run for 5 yds to the CONN 48Similar
Q1 1:20
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+5
41.9%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Lee Beebe Jr. for 5 yds to the CONN 43Similar
Q1 0:57
3RD & 5
OPP 43
0
42.0%
Jalen Kitna pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 4FUMBLE
3 plays · 27 yds · 0:4961% → 61%
Q1 0:49
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
39.5%
Mel Brown run for no gain to the CONN 34Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+18
40.0%
Nick Evers pass complete to Mel Brown for 18 yds to the UAB 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+9
38.6%
Nick Evers pass complete to TJ Sheffield for 9 yds TJ Sheffield fumbled, recovered by UAB Everett Roussaw Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 5FG
7 plays · 43 yds · 1:4542% → 44%
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+7
41.9%
Lee Beebe Jr. run for 7 yds to the UAB 46Similar
Q2 14:33
2ND & 3
OWN 46
+11
42.8%
Lee Beebe Jr. run for 11 yds to the CONN 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:15
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+15
43.2%
UConn Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Jack Barton) to the CONN 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:02
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
43.7%
Trace Campbell pass incomplete to Kam ShanksSimilar
Q2 13:54
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+6
43.7%
Lee Witherspoon run for 6 yds to the CONN 18Similar
Q2 13:11
3RD & 4
OPP 18
0
43.5%
Jalen Kitna pass incomplete to Amare ThomasSimilar
Q2 13:07
4TH & 4
OPP 18
+36
43.5%
Jonah Delange 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 6INT
4 plays · 14 yds · 1:0756% → 56%
Q2 12:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
43.6%
Nick Evers pass complete to Jasaiah Gathings for 4 yds to the CONN 29Similar
Q2 12:26
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+6
43.4%
Nick Evers pass complete to Jasaiah Gathings for 6 yds to the CONN 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:47
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
43.7%
Durell Robinson run for 4 yds to the CONN 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 7TD
8 plays · 76 yds · 4:0344% → 57%
Q2 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+8
44.1%
Lee Beebe Jr. run for 8 yds to the UAB 32Similar
Q2 10:29
2ND & 2
OWN 32
+6
45.4%
Lee Beebe Jr. run for 6 yds to the UAB 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
45.6%
Solomon Beebe run for 3 yds to the UAB 41Similar
Q2 9:18
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+2
46.6%
Lee Beebe Jr. run for 2 yds to the UAB 43Similar
Q2 8:34
3RD & 5
OWN 43
+8
46.3%
Trace Campbell run for 8 yds to the CONN 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:02
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
48.8%
Lee Beebe Jr. run for 7 yds to the CONN 42Similar
Q2 7:29
2ND & 3
OPP 42
+4
49.3%
Lee Beebe Jr. run for 4 yds to the CONN 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:02
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+38
57.4%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Corri Milliner for 38 yds for a TD (Jonah Delange KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 1:3544% → 41%
Q2 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
55.8%
Cam Edwards run for 5 yds to the CONN 30Similar
Q2 6:24
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-5
55.5%
PENALTY UCONN False Start (Wayburn,Brady) 5 yards from UCONN30 to UCONN25. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:05
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
56.6%
Cam Edwards run for 2 yds to the CONN 27Similar
Q2 5:25
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
58.0%
Nick Evers pass incomplete to TJ SheffieldSimilar
Q2 5:16
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+8
58.8%
Connor Stutz punt for 48 yds , Kam Shanks returns for 8 yds to the UAB 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:0358% → 55%
Q2 5:06
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
58.0%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Kam Shanks for no gain to the UAB 33Similar
Q2 4:30
2ND & 10
OWN 33
0
58.3%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Lee Beebe Jr. for no gain to the UAB 33Similar
Q2 4:11
3RD & 10
OWN 33
0
55.2%
Jalen Kitna pass incomplete to Amare ThomasSimilar
Q2 4:03
4TH & 10
OWN 33
0
54.6%
Patrick Foley punt for 51 yds , TJ Sheffield returns for no gain to the CONN 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 1:5942% → 38%
Q2 3:56
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
58.2%
Mel Brown run for 2 yds to the CONN 17Similar
Q2 3:19
2ND & 8
OWN 17
+2
58.9%
Mel Brown run for 2 yds to the CONN 15Similar
Q2 2:32
3RD & 10
OWN 15
+4
61.1%
Nick Evers pass complete to Skyler Bell for 4 yds to the CONN 11Similar
Q2 1:57
4TH & 14
OWN 11
+18
62.3%
Connor Stutz punt for 49 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the CONN 42 , Kam Shanks returns for 18 yds to the CONN 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 11TD
6 plays · 42 yds · 1:2362% → 76%
Q2 1:43
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
62.1%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Amare Thomas for 5 yds to the CONN 37Similar
Q2 1:18
2ND & 5
OPP 37
+7
63.1%
Lee Beebe Jr. run for 7 yds to the CONN 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:37
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
64.6%
Jalen Kitna run for 5 yds to the CONN 25Similar
Q2 0:27
2ND & 5
OPP 25
0
64.4%
Jalen Kitna pass incomplete to Malachi Holt-BennettSimilar
Q2 0:20
3RD & 5
OPP 25
+25
76.3%
Lee Beebe Jr. run for 25 yds for a TD (Jonah Delange KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 12END OF HALF
5 plays · 32 yds · 0:1426% → 30%
Q2 0:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
73.7%
Durell Robinson run for 13 yds to the CONN 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:09
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
72.6%
Nick Evers pass incomplete to Skyler BellSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+19
73.4%
Nick Evers run for 19 yds to the UAB 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
70.1%
Nick Evers pass incomplete to TJ SheffieldSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 13TD
18 plays · 75 yds · 6:4724% → 34%
Q3 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
76.3%
Nick Evers pass complete to Jasaiah Gathings for 7 yds to the CONN 32Similar
Q3 14:24
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+2
75.6%
Nick Evers pass complete to Brett Buckman for 2 yds to the CONN 34Similar
Q3 13:53
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+12
76.4%
Durell Robinson run for 12 yds to the CONN 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:17
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
76.3%
Durell Robinson run for 3 yds to the CONN 49Similar
Q3 12:51
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+6
77.1%
Nick Evers pass complete to Skyler Bell for 6 yds to the UAB 45Similar
Q3 12:23
3RD & 1
OPP 45
-5
76.9%
PENALTY UCONN False Start (Hansen,Louis) 5 yards from UAB45 to UAB50. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:53
3RD & 6
50
+7
79.0%
Nick Evers pass complete to Jasaiah Gathings for 7 yds to the UAB 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:21
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
78.6%
Mel Brown run for 5 yds to the UAB 38Similar
Q3 10:48
2ND & 5
OPP 38
+4
78.8%
Nick Evers run for 4 yds to the UAB 42Similar
Q3 10:18
3RD & 9
OPP 42
+15
80.6%
(10:25) No Huddle-Shotgun Evers,Nick pass incomplete short right to Gathings,Jasaiah thrown to UAB25 PENALTY UAB Personal Foul (Little,Desmond) 15 yards from UAB42 to UAB27, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:12
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
78.3%
Nick Evers pass incomplete to Jasaiah GathingsSimilar
Q3 10:02
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+12
79.2%
Nick Evers run for 12 yds to the UAB 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:32
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+3
78.9%
Durell Robinson run for 3 yds to the UAB 12Similar
Q3 9:01
2ND & 7
OPP 12
0
79.4%
Nick Evers pass incomplete to Shamar PorterSimilar
Q3 8:48
3RD & 7
OPP 12
+7
80.8%
Nick Evers pass complete to Skyler Bell for 7 yds to the UAB 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
80.3%
Durell Robinson run for 4 yds to the UAB 1Similar
Q3 7:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
66.3%
Durell Robinson run for 1 yd for a TD (Chris Freeman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 14FG
10 plays · 61 yds · 3:5472% → 84%
Q3 7:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
71.7%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Lee Beebe Jr. for 2 yds to the UAB 27Similar
Q3 7:19
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
72.8%
Jalen Kitna pass incomplete to Bryce DamousSimilar
Q3 7:05
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+36
71.9%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Amare Thomas for 36 yds to the CONN 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:18
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+10
75.9%
Trace Campbell run for 10 yds to the CONN 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:37
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+11
76.7%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Terrell McDonald for 11 yds to the CONN 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:58
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+1
77.7%
Terrell McDonald run for 1 yd to the CONN 15Similar
Q3 4:33
2ND & 9
OPP 15
+1
78.0%
Lee Beebe Jr. run for 1 yd to the CONN 14Similar
Q3 3:53
3RD & 8
OPP 14
0
77.4%
Jalen Kitna pass incomplete to Corri MillinerSimilar
Q3 3:49
4TH & 8
OPP 14
+32
83.8%
Jonah Delange 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:0818% → 16%
Q3 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
82.0%
Cam Edwards run for 3 yds to the CONN 28Similar
Q3 3:19
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
81.4%
Nick Evers pass incomplete to Skyler BellSimilar
Q3 3:09
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-1
82.8%
Nick Evers sacked by Desmond Little for a loss of 1 yard to the CONN 27Similar
Q3 2:32
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
83.6%
Connor Stutz punt for 49 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 16INT
6 plays · 51 yds · 2:1486% → 90%
Q3 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
85.7%
Jalen Kitna pass incomplete to Lee Beebe Jr.Similar
Q3 2:11
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+35
85.8%
Kam Shanks run for 35 yds to the CONN 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:41
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
87.2%
Jalen Kitna pass incomplete to Bryce DamousSimilar
Q3 1:30
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+2
87.3%
Jalen Kitna run for 2 yds to the CONN 39Similar
Q3 0:51
3RD & 8
OPP 39
+14
87.2%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Kam Shanks for 14 yds to the CONN 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:14
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
90.1%
Jalen Kitna pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 17PUNT
10 plays · 25 yds · 2:3914% → 11%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+3
86.3%
Durell Robinson run for 3 yds to the CONN 5Similar
Q4 14:46
2ND & 7
OWN 5
0
86.7%
Nick Evers run for no gain to the CONN 5Similar
Q4 14:11
3RD & 7
OWN 5
+8
87.4%
Nick Evers run for 8 yds to the CONN 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:48
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+4
87.0%
Durell Robinson run for 4 yds to the CONN 17Similar
Q4 13:13
2ND & 6
OWN 17
+10
87.3%
Nick Evers pass complete to Durell Robinson for 10 yds to the CONN 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
87.9%
Nick Evers pass incomplete to Jasaiah GathingsSimilar
Q4 12:52
2ND & 10
OWN 27
0
88.4%
Nick Evers pass incomplete to Jasaiah GathingsSimilar
Q4 12:41
3RD & 10
OWN 27
0
88.7%
Nick Evers run for no gain to the CONN 27Similar
Q4 12:21
4TH & 10
OWN 27
0
89.2%
Connor Stutz punt for 51 yds , Kam Shanks returns for no gain to the UAB 22Similar
Q4 12:21
4TH & 10
OWN 27
0
89.2%
Connor Stutz punt for 51 yds , Kam Shanks returns for no gain to the UAB 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 2:1691% → 91%
Q4 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-10
91.3%
(12:21) Shotgun Beebe Jr.,Lee rush middle for 5 yards gain to the UAB27 (Faumuina-Brown,Tui; Stafford,Jelani) PENALTY UAB Holding (Damous,Bryce) 10 yards from UAB22 to UAB12. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:56
1ST & 20
OWN 12
+4
91.4%
Lee Beebe Jr. run for 4 yds to the UAB 16Similar
Q4 11:09
2ND & 16
OWN 16
-9
91.5%
Jalen Kitna sacked for a loss of 9 yards to the UAB 7Similar
Q4 10:19
3RD & 25
OWN 7
+10
91.9%
Lee Witherspoon run for 10 yds to the UAB 17Similar
Q4 9:59
4TH & 15
OWN 17
0
91.4%
Patrick Foley punt for 41 yds , TJ Sheffield returns for no gain to the CONN 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 19TD
8 plays · 58 yds · 1:0911% → 30%
Q4 9:54
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
89.1%
Joe Fagnano pass incomplete to Cam EdwardsSimilar
Q4 9:48
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+15
89.2%
UAB Penalty, Horse Collar Tackle (Michael Moore) to the UAB 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:35
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
88.2%
Joe Fagnano pass incomplete to Jasaiah GathingsSimilar
Q4 9:21
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+28
88.2%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Skyler Bell for 28 yds to the UAB 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
86.8%
Joe Fagnano pass incomplete to TJ SheffieldSimilar
Q4 8:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
86.8%
Joe Fagnano pass incomplete to Shamar PorterSimilar
Q4 8:50
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
87.7%
Joe Fagnano pass incomplete to Skyler BellSimilar
Q4 8:45
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
70.0%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Shamar Porter for 6 yds for a TD (Chris Freeman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 20FUMBLE
2 plays · -4 yds · 0:0082% → 82%
Q4 8:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
82.2%
Jalen Kitna run for 4 yds to the UAB 21 Jalen Kitna fumbled, recovered by CONN Jack BartonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 21TD
3 plays · 21 yds · 0:0635% → 58%
Q4 8:34
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
65.3%
Joe Fagnano pass incomplete to Skyler BellSimilar
Q4 8:28
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+21
36.8%
Jasaiah Gathings 21 Yd pass from Joe Fagnano (Chris Freeman Kick)Similar
Q4 8:28
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
41.9%
PENALTY UAB Personal Foul 15 yards from UCONN35 to UCONN50. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:2746% → 44%
Q4 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
46.3%
Lee Beebe Jr. run for 3 yds to the UAB 28Similar
Q4 7:40
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+3
46.9%
Jalen Kitna run for 3 yds to the UAB 31Similar
Q4 7:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
45.2%
Jalen Kitna pass incomplete to Kam ShanksSimilar
Q4 6:53
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
43.8%
Patrick Foley punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the CONN 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:4360% → 60%
Q4 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+7
40.0%
Cam Edwards run for 7 yds to the CONN 33Similar
Q4 6:06
2ND & 3
OWN 33
0
36.6%
Joe Fagnano pass incomplete to Skyler BellSimilar
Q4 5:55
3RD & 3
OWN 33
+1
38.4%
Cam Edwards run for 1 yd to the CONN 34Similar
Q4 5:02
4TH & 2
OWN 34
+30
39.7%
Connor Stutz punt for 46 yds , Kam Shanks returns for 30 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 24FUMBLE
2 plays · 9 yds · 0:0053% → 53%
Q4 4:54
1ST & 10
50
+9
52.7%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Lee Beebe Jr. for 9 yds Lee Beebe Jr. fumbled, recovered by CONN Kervins ChouteSimilar
Q4 4:54
1ST & 10
50
+9
52.7%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Lee Beebe Jr. for 9 yds Lee Beebe Jr. fumbled, recovered by CONN Kervins ChouteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 25TD
4 plays · 59 yds · 2:0665% → 94%
Q4 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
35.0%
Durell Robinson run for 3 yds to the CONN 44Similar
Q4 4:17
2ND & 7
OWN 44
0
34.7%
Durell Robinson run for no gain to the CONN 44Similar
Q4 3:20
3RD & 7
OWN 44
+8
34.0%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Skyler Bell for 8 yds to the UAB 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:39
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+48
5.7%
Cam Edwards run for 48 yds for a TD (Chris Freeman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 26DOWNS
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:219% → 7%
Q4 2:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
8.7%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Lee Beebe Jr. for 2 yds to the UAB 27Similar
Q4 2:12
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
8.7%
Jalen Kitna pass incomplete to Corri MillinerSimilar
Q4 2:06
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
7.8%
Jalen Kitna pass incomplete to Kam ShanksSimilar
Q4 2:02
4TH & 8
OWN 27
-4
7.3%
Jalen Kitna sacked by Tui Faumuina-Brown for a loss of 4 yards to the UAB 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 27MISSED FG
6 plays · 5 yds · 0:1396% → 96%
Q4 1:57
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
4.3%
Cam Edwards run for 3 yds to the UAB 20Similar
Q4 1:53
2ND & 7
OPP 20
+2
4.2%
Cam Edwards run for 2 yds to the UAB 22Similar
Q4 1:48
3RD & 9
OPP 22
+4
3.4%
Cam Edwards run for 4 yds to the UAB 18Similar
Q4 1:44
4TH & 5
OPP 18
+36
4.0%
Chris Freeman 36 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 28DOWNS
9 plays · 46 yds · 1:247% → 6%
Q4 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
6.7%
Jalen Kitna pass incomplete to Corri MillinerSimilar
Q4 1:17
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-10
8.5%
Jalen Kitna sacked by Tui Faumuina-Brown for a loss of 10 yards to the UAB 43Similar
Q4 0:53
2ND & 20
OWN 43
+14
5.8%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Amare Thomas for 14 yds to the CONN 43Similar
Q4 0:39
3RD & 6
OPP 43
+9
7.6%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Amare Thomas for 9 yds to the CONN 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:29
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
9.3%
Jalen Kitna pass incomplete to Kam ShanksSimilar
Q4 0:24
2ND & 10
OPP 34
0
9.7%
Jalen Kitna pass incomplete to Amare ThomasSimilar
Q4 0:19
3RD & 10
OPP 34
0
7.9%
Jalen Kitna pass incomplete to Kam ShanksSimilar
Q4 0:14
4TH & 10
OPP 34
0
6.3%
Jalen Kitna pass incomplete to Kam ShanksSimilar
Q4 0:14
4TH & 10
OPP 34
0
6.3%
Jalen Kitna pass incomplete to Kam ShanksSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 29END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-1
3.3%
(00:12) Kneel down by UConn at UCONN33 for loss of 1 yard.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 8:28
Jasaiah Gathings 21 Yd pass from Joe Fagnano (Chris Freeman Kick)
-28.5
TD · Q4 2:39
Cam Edwards run for 48 yds for a TD (Chris Freeman KICK)
-28.3
TD · Q4 8:45
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Shamar Porter for 6 yds for a TD (Chris Freeman KICK)
-17.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com