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RICE

Rice 10 at UConn 17

CONN
2024 · Week 9 · Oct 26, 2024 · Pratt & Whitney Stadium
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Win probability · CONN
modelCONN aheadRICE aheadconfidence bandkey playCONN scoreRICE score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 3:15 · Alex Bacchetta punt for 32 yds, downed at the RICE 45
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+30.5+15.30−15.3−30.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 128Pregame prior+5.0Home team on offense+4.4Garbage-time factor+0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.3Score differential+0.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+1.1
This game in five plays
  1. KEY PLAY · Q3 15:00: Drew Devillier pass incomplete — CONN win probability +5.5 pts (now 55%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 7:02: Durell Robinson run for 68 yds for a TD (Chris Freeman KICK) — CONN win probability +20.4 pts (now 71%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 10:15: Cam Edwards run for 4 yds for a TD (Chris Freeman KICK) — CONN win probability +14.6 pts (now 91%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 10:06: Drew Devillier pass complete to Dean Connors for 1 yd to the RICE 46 — RICE win probability +4.1 pts (now 13%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 3:20: Durell Robinson run for no gain to the CONN 29 — RICE win probability +5.1 pts (now 6%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CONN made the numbers' call on 6 of 11RICE made the numbers' call on 7 of 13
  1. Q1 13:55CONN 4th & 6 at CONN 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.9%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:54RICE 4th & 15 at RICE 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.9%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:36CONN 4th & 16 at RICE 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.8%−0.3
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.1%
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:25RICE 4th & 2 at RICE 28, tied
    Close callPunted · 32.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.9%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:35RICE 4th & 3 at CONN 5, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 34.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.8%
    45% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    34.6%−0.3
    92% to make
    Punt
    32.6%−2.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:46CONN 4th & 6 at RICE 35, down 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 64.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    64.5%−0.3
    45% to make
    Punt
    64.1%−0.6
    average punt
  7. Q2 13:53RICE 4th & 12 at RICE 33, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.2%−1.3
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.5%
    average punt
  8. Q2 9:55RICE 4th & 16 at CONN 39, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.8%−0.9
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    37.4%−0.2
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    37.6%
    average punt
  9. Q2 8:18CONN 4th & 9 at CONN 2, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.7%−2.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.8%
    average punt
  10. Q2 4:42RICE 4th & 13 at CONN 36, up 3
    Close callPunted · 40.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.3%−0.7
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    40.1%
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    39.5%−0.6
    average punt
  11. Q2 2:37CONN 4th & 17 at CONN 13, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.3%−3.4
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.7%
    average punt
  12. Q2 1:50RICE 4th & 14 at RICE 41, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.3%−1.5
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.8%
    average punt
  13. Q2 1:16CONN 4th & 10 at RICE 41, down 3
    Close callPunted · 57.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.9%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    56.8%−0.1
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    56.6%−0.3
    average punt
  14. Q3 13:40RICE 4th & 1 at RICE 34, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.6 ptsPunted · 43.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.5%−1.6
    average punt
  15. Q3 11:14CONN 4th & 1 at RICE 49, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.9 ptsPunted · 56.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.3%−2.9
    average punt
  16. Q3 7:20RICE 4th & 2 at RICE 46, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.6 ptsPunted · 48.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.9%−1.6
    average punt
  17. Q3 6:09RICE 4th & 9 at RICE 26, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.7%−1.5
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.2%
    average punt
  18. Q3 4:54CONN 4th & 10 at CONN 41, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.4%−2.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.8%
    average punt
  19. Q3 3:15RICE 4th & 8 at RICE 23, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.2%−1.7
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.9%
    average punt
  20. Q3 1:59CONN 4th & 8 at RICE 43, up 4
    Close callPunted · 71.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.3%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    70.7%−1.6
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    72.0%−0.2
    average punt
  21. Q4 14:14RICE 4th & 1 at RICE 32, down 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.9 ptsPunted · 29.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.0%−1.9
    average punt
  22. Q4 8:38RICE 4th & 5 at midfield, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 10.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.7%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    9.4%−0.3
    average punt
  23. Q4 3:40CONN 4th & 10 at RICE 11, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 94.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.7%−0.4
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.2%
    87% to make
    Punt
    91.4%−2.7
    average punt
  24. Q4 0:26CONN 4th & 7 at RICE 41, up 7
    Close callPunted · 92.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.9%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    93.2%
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    92.6%−0.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CONN made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q3 7:02CONN Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  2. Q4 10:15CONN Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CONNDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:0567% → 67%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
66.7%
Mel Brown run for 3 yds to the CONN 28Similar
Q1 14:32
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+1
66.6%
Nick Evers pass complete to Skyler Bell for 1 yd to the CONN 29Similar
Q1 14:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
66.5%
Nick Evers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:55
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+12
66.5%
Connor Stutz punt for 43 yds , Tyson Thompson returns for 12 yds to the RICE 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:4934% → 33%
Q1 13:43
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
66.5%
Dean Connors run for no gain to the RICE 40Similar
Q1 13:07
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
66.4%
Drew Devillier pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:04
3RD & 10
OWN 40
-5
66.5%
Rice Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the RICE 35Similar
Q1 13:04
3RD & 15
OWN 35
0
66.6%
Drew Devillier pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:54
4TH & 15
OWN 35
0
66.6%
Alex Bacchetta punt for 50 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 3PUNT
13 plays · 38 yds · 4:1667% → 66%
Q1 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+7
66.5%
Mel Brown run for 7 yds to the CONN 22Similar
Q1 12:19
2ND & 3
OWN 22
0
66.5%
Nick Evers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:18
3RD & 3
OWN 22
+4
66.3%
Nick Evers run for 4 yds to the CONN 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:41
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
66.4%
Nick Evers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:36
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+3
66.4%
Cam Edwards run for 3 yds to the CONN 29Similar
Q1 11:08
3RD & 7
OWN 29
+7
66.2%
Nick Evers pass complete to TJ Sheffield for 7 yds to the CONN 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
66.4%
Mel Brown run for 3 yds to the CONN 39Similar
Q1 10:08
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+9
66.5%
Nick Evers run for 9 yds to the CONN 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+15
66.7%
Rice Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the RICE 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:19
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-6
66.8%
Nick Evers sacked by Izeya Floyd for a loss of 6 yards to the RICE 47Similar
Q1 8:42
2ND & 16
OPP 47
0
66.2%
Nick Evers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:40
3RD & 16
OPP 47
0
65.9%
Nick Evers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:36
4TH & 16
OPP 47
0
65.6%
Connor Stutz punt for 47 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 2:0334% → 34%
Q1 8:28
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
65.8%
Dean Connors run for 3 yds to the RICE 23Similar
Q1 7:47
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+6
65.7%
Dean Connors run for 6 yds to the RICE 29Similar
Q1 7:06
3RD & 1
OWN 29
-1
65.5%
Drew Devillier run for a loss of 1 yard to the RICE 28 Drew Devillier fumbled, recovered by RICE Drew Devillier D. Devillier return for 0 ydsSimilar
Q1 6:25
4TH & 2
OWN 28
0
66.0%
Alex Bacchetta punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 5FUMBLE
3 plays · -10 yds · 0:4966% → 65%
Q1 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
65.7%
Nick Evers run for no gain to the CONN 35Similar
Q1 5:29
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+1
65.6%
Nick Evers run for 1 yd to the CONN 36Similar
Q1 4:52
3RD & 9
OWN 36
-11
65.2%
Nick Evers sacked for a loss of 11 yards to the CONN 25 Nick Evers fumbled, recovered by RICE Charlie Looes , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 6FG
5 plays · 20 yds · 2:0436% → 37%
Q1 4:39
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+13
63.9%
Drew Devillier pass complete to Dean Connors for 13 yds to the CONN 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:03
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+6
63.7%
Drew Devillier run for 6 yds to the CONN 6Similar
Q1 3:21
2ND & 4
OPP 6
+1
63.5%
Dean Connors run for 1 yd to the CONN 5Similar
Q1 2:39
3RD & 3
OPP 5
0
63.7%
Drew Devillier pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:35
4TH & 3
OPP 5
+23
63.2%
Tim Horn 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 7MISSED FG
8 plays · 40 yds · 2:4964% → 63%
Q1 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
63.5%
Durell Robinson run for no gain to the CONN 25Similar
Q1 2:02
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+15
63.3%
(02:02) EVERS, Nick pass deep to the left incomplete intended for SHEFFIELD, TJ thrown to the RICE45, clock 01:56. PENALTY RICE Pass Interference on TAYLOR, Gabriel enforced 15 yards to the UCONN40 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
64.4%
Durell Robinson run for 5 yds to the CONN 45Similar
Q1 1:13
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+15
64.5%
Rice Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Gabriel Taylor) to the RICE 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:39
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
64.7%
Durell Robinson run for 4 yds to the RICE 35Similar
Q2 14:56
2ND & 6
OPP 35
0
65.1%
Nick Evers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:48
3RD & 6
OPP 35
0
64.3%
Nick Evers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:46
4TH & 6
OPP 35
+53
63.4%
Chris Freeman 53 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:5038% → 37%
Q2 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
62.0%
Quinton Jackson run for 3 yds to the RICE 38Similar
Q2 13:59
2ND & 7
OWN 38
0
61.1%
Drew Devillier pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:58
3RD & 7
OWN 38
-5
61.7%
Rice Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the RICE 33Similar
Q2 13:57
3RD & 12
OWN 33
0
62.7%
Drew Devillier pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:53
4TH & 12
OWN 33
0
63.1%
Alex Bacchetta punt for 35 yds, downed at the CONN 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 9INT
1 play · 28 yds · 0:0063% → 63%
Q2 13:43
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+28
62.7%
Nick Evers pass complete to TJ Sheffield for 28 yds to the RICE 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 10PUNT
8 plays · 8 yds · 3:2440% → 38%
Q2 13:19
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
60.5%
Dean Connors run for 5 yds to the CONN 42Similar
Q2 12:37
2ND & 5
OPP 42
-2
60.1%
Drew Devillier pass complete to Thai Chiaokhiao-Bowman for a loss of 2 yards to the CONN 44Similar
Q2 11:48
3RD & 7
OPP 44
+11
60.6%
Drew Devillier pass complete to Kobie Campbell for 11 yds to the CONN 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:09
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
59.6%
Dean Connors run for no gain to the CONN 33Similar
Q2 10:38
2ND & 10
OPP 33
-6
59.4%
Dean Connors run for a loss of 6 yards to the CONN 39Similar
Q2 10:02
3RD & 16
OPP 39
0
61.0%
Drew Devillier pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:55
4TH & 16
OPP 39
0
61.7%
Conor Hunt punt for 38 yds, downed at the CONN 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:2962% → 60%
Q2 9:47
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+1
61.5%
Cam Edwards run for 1 yd to the CONN 2Similar
Q2 9:09
2ND & 9
OWN 2
0
61.1%
Cam Edwards run for no gain to the CONN 2Similar
Q2 8:26
3RD & 9
OWN 2
0
60.1%
Nick Evers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:18
4TH & 9
OWN 2
0
59.8%
Connor Stutz punt for 48 yds , Tyson Thompson returns for no gain to the RICE 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 12PUNT
9 plays · 24 yds · 3:2642% → 41%
Q2 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
58.2%
Drew Devillier pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:02
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+15
58.6%
(08:02) DEVILLIER, Drew pass up the middle incomplete intended for CAMPBELL, Kobie broken up by MCLEAN, Malachi at the UCONN47, clock 07:57. PENALTY UCONN Roughing the Passer on MCDONALD, Jayden enforced 15 yards from the RICE40 to the UCONN45 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 7:56
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+9
57.6%
Quinton Jackson run for 9 yds to the CONN 36Similar
Q2 7:16
2ND & 1
OPP 36
+3
57.2%
Quinton Jackson run for 3 yds to the CONN 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:31
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
56.3%
Drew Devillier pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:24
2ND & 10
OPP 33
-1
56.3%
Dean Connors run for a loss of 1 yard to the CONN 34Similar
Q2 5:47
3RD & 11
OPP 34
-5
57.1%
Rice Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the CONN 39Similar
Q2 5:25
3RD & 16
OPP 39
+3
58.1%
Drew Devillier pass complete to Thai Chiaokhiao-Bowman for 3 yds to the CONN 36Similar
Q2 4:42
4TH & 13
OPP 36
0
59.2%
Conor Hunt punt for 36 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 1:5859% → 57%
Q2 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
59.3%
Durell Robinson run for no gain to the CONN 20Similar
Q2 4:06
2ND & 10
OWN 20
-4
59.1%
Nick Evers sacked by Ty Morris for a loss of 4 yards to the CONN 16Similar
Q2 3:27
3RD & 14
OWN 16
+2
57.7%
Nick Evers run for 2 yds to the CONN 18Similar
Q2 2:37
4TH & 12
OWN 18
-5
56.7%
UConn Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the CONN 13Similar
Q2 2:37
4TH & 17
OWN 13
0
56.7%
Connor Stutz punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · -4 yds · 0:3845% → 43%
Q2 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-1
55.4%
Dean Connors run for a loss of 1 yard to the RICE 44Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 11
OWN 44
0
54.2%
Drew Devillier pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:56
3RD & 11
OWN 44
-3
55.4%
Drew Devillier pass complete to Dean Connors for a loss of 3 yards to the RICE 41Similar
Q2 1:50
4TH & 14
OWN 41
+16
56.7%
Alex Bacchetta punt for 32 yds , TJ Sheffield returns for 16 yds to the CONN 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 16 yds · 0:2459% → 56%
Q2 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+16
58.6%
Nick Evers pass complete to Jasaiah Gathings for 16 yds to the RICE 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:35
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
59.8%
Nick Evers run for no gain to the RICE 41Similar
Q2 1:30
2ND & 10
OPP 41
0
59.5%
Nick Evers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:24
3RD & 10
OPP 41
0
58.4%
Nick Evers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:16
4TH & 10
OPP 41
0
55.6%
Connor Stutz punt for 40 yds, downed at the RICE 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 16END OF HALF
12 plays · 67 yds · 1:0945% → 51%
Q2 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+1
55.2%
Dean Connors run for 1 yd to the RICE 2Similar
Q2 1:05
2ND & 9
OWN 2
+15
55.6%
UConn Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the RICE 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+7
54.4%
Drew Devillier pass complete to Matt Sykes for 7 yds to the RICE 24Similar
Q2 0:31
2ND & 3
OWN 24
+17
53.5%
Dean Connors run for 17 yds to the RICE 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:27
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+19
51.7%
Quinton Jackson run for 19 yds to the CONN 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+9
49.9%
Quinton Jackson run for 9 yds to the CONN 31Similar
Q2 0:12
2ND & 1
OPP 31
0
49.3%
Drew Devillier pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:05
3RD & 1
OPP 31
+1
50.3%
Dean Connors run for 1 yd to the CONN 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-2
49.4%
Rice Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Drew Devillier) to the CONN 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:2045% → 45%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
54.9%
Drew Devillier pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:56
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-1
55.1%
Dean Connors run for a loss of 1 yard to the RICE 24Similar
Q3 14:12
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+10
56.2%
Drew Devillier run for 10 yds to the RICE 34Similar
Q3 13:40
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
55.3%
Alex Bacchetta punt for 46 yds, fair catch by TJ Sheffield at the CONN 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 31 yds · 2:1856% → 56%
Q3 13:32
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+12
55.8%
Nick Evers pass complete to Skyler Bell for 12 yds to the CONN 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:11
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+10
56.1%
Mel Brown run for 10 yds to the CONN 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:36
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+7
58.0%
Nick Evers pass complete to Jasaiah Gathings for 7 yds to the CONN 49Similar
Q3 11:54
2ND & 3
OWN 49
0
58.5%
Nick Evers pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:49
3RD & 3
OWN 49
+2
57.5%
Nick Evers run for 2 yds to the RICE 49Similar
Q3 11:14
4TH & 1
OPP 49
0
56.2%
Connor Stutz punt for 24 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 3:4846% → 49%
Q3 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
54.0%
Drew Devillier run for 6 yds to the RICE 31Similar
Q3 10:29
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+7
52.3%
Dean Connors run for 7 yds to the RICE 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:49
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-5
50.2%
(09:49) DEVILLIER, Drew pass to the right complete for 1 yard to CHIAOKHIAO-BOWMAN, Thai caught at the RICE38 and advanced to the RICE39 (WRIGHT, Jordan), clock 09:42. PENALTY Before the snap, RICE Illegal Shift enforced 5 yards from the RICE38 to the RICE33. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 9:23
1ST & 15
OWN 33
+11
51.9%
Drew Devillier pass complete to Matt Sykes for 11 yds to the RICE 44Similar
Q3 8:47
2ND & 4
OWN 44
+2
49.1%
Dean Connors run for 2 yds to the RICE 46Similar
Q3 8:02
3RD & 2
OWN 46
0
49.1%
Dean Connors run for no gain to the RICE 46Similar
Q3 7:20
4TH & 2
OWN 46
0
50.8%
Alex Bacchetta punt for 22 yds, downed at the CONN 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 20TD
1 play · 68 yds · 0:0071% → 71%
Q3 7:02
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+68
71.2%
Durell Robinson run for 68 yds for a TD (Chris Freeman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:5231% → 29%
Q3 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
69.3%
Dean Connors run for 1 yd to the RICE 26Similar
Q3 6:19
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
69.4%
Drew Devillier pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:13
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
70.5%
Drew Devillier pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:09
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
71.5%
Alex Bacchetta punt for 33 yds, fair catch by TJ Sheffield at the CONN 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:0773% → 69%
Q3 6:01
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-15
73.0%
UConn Penalty, Personal Foul (Louis Hansen) to the CONN 35Similar
Q3 5:41
2ND & 16
OWN 35
0
70.7%
Nick Evers pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:34
3RD & 16
OWN 35
+6
69.3%
Nick Evers pass complete to TJ Sheffield for 6 yds to the CONN 41Similar
Q3 4:54
4TH & 10
OWN 41
+8
68.7%
Connor Stutz punt for 46 yds , Tyson Thompson returns for 8 yds to the RICE 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:2931% → 29%
Q3 4:44
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
69.2%
Drew Devillier pass complete to Dean Connors for 2 yds to the RICE 23Similar
Q3 4:03
2ND & 8
OWN 23
-6
69.4%
Quinton Jackson run for a loss of 6 yards to the RICE 17Similar
Q3 3:41
3RD & 14
OWN 17
+6
70.5%
Drew Devillier pass complete to Matt Sykes for 6 yds to the RICE 23Similar
Q3 3:15
4TH & 8
OWN 23
0
71.2%
Alex Bacchetta punt for 32 yds, downed at the RICE 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:5375% → 72%
Q3 2:52
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
75.2%
Mel Brown run for 2 yds to the RICE 43Similar
Q3 2:11
2ND & 8
OPP 43
0
75.1%
Nick Evers pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:07
3RD & 8
OPP 43
0
74.0%
Nick Evers pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:59
4TH & 8
OPP 43
+36
71.7%
Connor Stutz punt for 36 yds , Tyson Thompson returns for no gain to the RICE 6 , returns for no gain to the RICE 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 25PUNT
6 plays · 26 yds · 2:3831% → 31%
Q3 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+9
69.4%
Drew Devillier pass complete to Thai Chiaokhiao-Bowman for 9 yds to the RICE 15Similar
Q3 1:14
2ND & 1
OWN 15
+8
68.8%
Dean Connors run for 8 yds to the RICE 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
68.8%
Drew Devillier pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:25
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+3
69.1%
Dean Connors run for 3 yds to the RICE 26Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 26
+6
70.2%
Drew Devillier pass complete to Elijah Mojarro for 6 yds to the RICE 32Similar
Q4 14:14
4TH & 1
OWN 32
+6
69.1%
Alex Bacchetta punt for 46 yds , TJ Sheffield returns for 6 yds to the CONN 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 26TD
7 plays · 72 yds · 3:5173% → 91%
Q4 14:06
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+17
72.5%
Nick Evers pass complete to Louis Hansen for 17 yds to the CONN 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+12
75.2%
Durell Robinson run for 12 yds to the RICE 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
76.1%
Cam Edwards run for 3 yds to the RICE 40Similar
Q4 12:13
2ND & 7
OPP 40
-3
76.0%
run for a loss of 3 yards to the RICE 43Similar
Q4 11:30
3RD & 10
OPP 43
+34
74.5%
Nick Evers pass complete to Skyler Bell for 34 yds to the RICE 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
76.8%
Nick Evers run for no gain to the RICE 4Similar
Q4 10:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
91.4%
Cam Edwards run for 4 yds for a TD (Chris Freeman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 27DOWNS
4 plays · -3 yds · 1:2813% → 11%
Q4 10:06
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
87.3%
Drew Devillier pass complete to Dean Connors for 1 yd to the RICE 46Similar
Q4 9:33
2ND & 9
OWN 46
0
87.5%
Drew Devillier pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:27
3RD & 9
OWN 46
+4
88.4%
Drew Devillier pass complete to Graham Walker for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 8:38
4TH & 5
50
-8
89.0%
Drew Devillier sacked by Pryce Yates for a loss of 8 yards to the RICE 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 28FG
13 plays · 31 yds · 4:5293% → 99%
Q4 8:32
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
92.5%
Mel Brown run for 4 yds to the RICE 38Similar
Q4 7:49
2ND & 6
OPP 38
+15
92.7%
Mel Brown run for 15 yds to the RICE 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:02
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-1
93.2%
Mel Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the RICE 24Similar
Q4 6:12
2ND & 11
OPP 24
+6
93.6%
Durell Robinson run for 6 yds to the RICE 18Similar
Q4 5:29
3RD & 5
OPP 18
+2
94.1%
Durell Robinson run for 2 yds to the RICE 16Similar
Q4 4:42
4TH & 3
OPP 16
+5
93.7%
Rice Penalty, Offsides (Sean Fresch) to the RICE 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:40
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
95.5%
Cam Edwards run for no gain to the RICE 11Similar
Q4 3:55
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+1
96.0%
Cam Edwards run for 1 yd to the RICE 10Similar
Q4 3:49
3RD & 9
OPP 10
-1
96.2%
Durell Robinson run for a loss of 1 yard to the RICE 11Similar
Q4 3:40
4TH & 10
OPP 11
+30
98.7%
Chris Freeman 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 29PUNT
10 plays · 30 yds · 2:5494% → 98%
Q4 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
93.6%
Durell Robinson run for no gain to the CONN 29Similar
Q4 3:14
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+27
94.3%
Durell Robinson run for 27 yds to the RICE 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:24
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
95.9%
Durell Robinson run for 1 yd to the RICE 43Similar
Q4 1:58
2ND & 9
OPP 43
+3
97.6%
Durell Robinson run for 3 yds to the RICE 40Similar
Q4 1:12
3RD & 6
OPP 40
-1
98.4%
Cam Edwards run for a loss of 1 yard to the RICE 41Similar
Q4 0:26
4TH & 7
OPP 41
0
98.2%
Connor Stutz punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Tyson Thompson at the RICE 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 30FUMBLE
3 plays · 14 yds · 0:226% → 5%
Q4 0:22
1ST & 10
OWN 9
-6
94.1%
Drew Devillier sacked by Pryce Yates for a loss of 6 yards to the RICE 3Similar
Q4 0:02
2ND & 16
OWN 3
0
94.4%
Drew Devillier pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 16
OWN 3
+20
94.7%
Drew Devillier pass complete to Graham Walker for 20 yds Graham Walker fumbled, recovered by CONN Rante Jones R. Jones return for 0 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 7:02
Durell Robinson run for 68 yds for a TD (Chris Freeman KICK)
+20.4
TD · Q4 10:15
Cam Edwards run for 4 yds for a TD (Chris Freeman KICK)
+14.6
KEY PLAY · Q3 15:00
Drew Devillier pass incomplete
+5.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com