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WAKE

Wake Forest 23 at UConn 20

CONN
2024 · Week 8 · Oct 19, 2024 · Pratt & Whitney Stadium
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Win probability · CONN
modelCONN aheadWAKE aheadconfidence bandkey playCONN scoreWAKE score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDFGFGTDTDFGTDEnd of GameFG+1.2CONN 34.7%Chris Freeman 53 yd FG GOODAWAY 13 - HOME 6 · Q2 1:50
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 1:50 · Chris Freeman 53 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialPregame priorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+31.5+15.80−15.8−31.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 76Home team on offense−6.3Garbage-time factor−2.3Score differential−2.1Pregame prior−3.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:21: Demond Claiborne run for 5 yds for a TD (Caleb Carlson KICK) — WAKE win probability +6.7 pts (now 62%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 10:45: Demond Claiborne 1 Yd Run (Caleb Carlson Kick) — WAKE win probability +10.6 pts (now 81%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 7:33: Nick Evers pass complete to Jasaiah Gathings for 20 yds for a TD (Chris Freeman KICK) — CONN win probability +17.0 pts (now 40%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 11:13: Matthew Dennis 36 yd FG GOOD — WAKE win probability +3.4 pts (now 82%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 2:27: Nick Evers pass complete to Louis Hansen for 25 yds for a TD (Chris Freeman KICK) — CONN win probability +26.8 pts (now 37%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CONN made the numbers' call on 8 of 10WAKE made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 13:26CONN 4th & 10 at CONN 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.2%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:21WAKE 4th & 4 at WAKE 46, tied
    Close callPunted · 54.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:39WAKE 4th & 15 at CONN 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.4%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.7%
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:55CONN 4th & 1 at CONN 12, tied
    Close callPunted · 46.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.1%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:55WAKE 4th & 7 at CONN 15, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 53.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.7%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    52.9%
    83% to make
    Punt
    51.1%−1.8
    average punt
  6. Q1 1:22CONN 4th & 10 at WAKE 17, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 46.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.9%−0.5
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    46.4%
    80% to make
    Punt
    43.8%−2.6
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:40CONN 4th & 12 at CONN 41, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.4%−1.6
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.0%
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:01WAKE 4th & 4 at CONN 13, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 62.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.2%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    62.0%−0.2
    85% to make
    Punt
    56.4%−5.8
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:50CONN 4th & 14 at WAKE 35, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 32.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.2%−0.7
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    32.9%
    45% to make
    Punt
    32.2%−0.7
    average punt
  10. Q3 5:33WAKE 4th & 9 at WAKE 36, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.6%−1.9
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.5%
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:07CONN 4th & 10 at CONN 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.9%−2.8
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.7%
    average punt
  12. Q3 3:18WAKE 4th & 9 at CONN 24, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 71.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.2%−1.0
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    71.1%
    68% to make
    Punt
    63.6%−7.5
    average punt
  13. Q3 1:25CONN 4th & 5 at CONN 29, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.4%−0.5
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.0%
    average punt
  14. Q4 11:13WAKE 4th & 18 at CONN 18, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 74.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.1%−4.4
    11% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    75.5%
    79% to make
    Punt
    64.5%−11.0
    average punt
  15. Q4 10:04CONN 4th & 1 at CONN 35, down 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.7 ptsPunted · 15.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.9%−1.7
    average punt
  16. Q4 6:30WAKE 4th & 3 at CONN 46, up 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.8 ptsPunted · 87.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    84.6%−3.5
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    86.3%−1.8
    average punt
  17. Q4 4:47CONN 4th & 2 at CONN 31, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 10.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    10.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  18. Q4 2:13WAKE 4th & 9 at WAKE 26, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.5%−4.4
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.0%
    average punt
  19. Q4 1:31CONN 4th & 8 at CONN 43, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 30.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    20.9%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    16.0%−5.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CONN made the numbers' call on 1 of 2WAKE made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 13:21WAKE Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 10:45WAKE Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 7:33CONN Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    30.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    30.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 2:27CONN Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    20.7%−0.6
    97% to make
    Go for two
    21.2%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CONNDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:3343% → 43%
Q1 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
42.7%
Nick Evers pass complete to Ezeriah Anderson for no gain to the CONN 25Similar
Q1 14:41
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
42.8%
Mel Brown run for 1 yd to the CONN 26Similar
Q1 14:04
3RD & 9
OWN 26
-1
42.9%
Nick Evers run for a loss of 1 yard to the CONN 25Similar
Q1 13:26
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+10
43.0%
Connor Stutz punt for no gain Wake Forest Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the WAKE 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:0557% → 57%
Q1 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
43.0%
Demond Claiborne run for 7 yds to the WAKE 47Similar
Q1 13:02
2ND & 3
OWN 47
-1
43.1%
Demond Claiborne run for a loss of 1 yard to the WAKE 46Similar
Q1 12:30
3RD & 4
OWN 46
0
43.2%
Hank Bachmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:21
4TH & 4
OWN 46
0
43.4%
Ivan Mora punt for 34 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 3INT
3 plays · 17 yds · 1:0144% → 44%
Q1 12:21
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+15
43.5%
Cam Edwards run for 15 yds to the CONN 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:58
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
43.7%
Nick Evers pass complete to Skyler Bell for 2 yds to the CONN 37Similar
Q1 11:20
2ND & 8
OWN 37
-8
43.9%
Nick Evers pass intercepted Evan Slocum return for 8 yds to the CONN 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · -5 yds · 1:4757% → 56%
Q1 11:19
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-7
43.4%
Hank Bachmeier sacked by Jevon Banks for a loss of 7 yards to the CONN 49Similar
Q1 10:39
2ND & 17
OPP 49
0
43.7%
Hank Bachmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:30
3RD & 17
OPP 49
+7
43.9%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Taylor Morin for 7 yds to the CONN 42Similar
Q1 9:41
4TH & 10
OPP 42
-5
44.3%
Wake Forest Penalty, Delay Of Game (Demond Claiborne) to the CONN 47Similar
Q1 9:39
4TH & 15
OPP 47
0
44.4%
Ivan Mora punt for 44 yds, downed at the CONN 3Similar
Q1 9:32
1ST & 10
OWN 3
-1
44.3%
UConn Penalty, False Start (Yards) to the CONN 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:3644% → 44%
Q1 9:31
1ST & 11
OWN 2
+4
44.3%
Cam Edwards run for 4 yds to the CONN 6Similar
Q1 8:58
2ND & 7
OWN 6
0
44.2%
Cam Edwards run for no gain to the CONN 6Similar
Q1 8:40
3RD & 7
OWN 6
+6
44.0%
Nick Evers pass complete to Cam Edwards for 6 yds to the CONN 12Similar
Q1 7:55
4TH & 1
OWN 12
+14
44.1%
Connor Stutz punt for 51 yds , Taylor Morin returns for 14 yds to the CONN 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 6FG
7 plays · 34 yds · 3:4956% → 56%
Q1 7:44
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+17
43.8%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Deuce Alexander for 17 yds to the CONN 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:20
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+9
43.6%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Horatio Fields for 9 yds to the CONN 23Similar
Q1 6:37
2ND & 1
OPP 23
+5
43.7%
Demond Claiborne run for 5 yds to the CONN 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:27
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+3
43.7%
Demond Claiborne run for 3 yds to the CONN 15Similar
Q1 6:00
2ND & 7
OPP 15
0
43.7%
Hank Bachmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:55
3RD & 7
OPP 15
0
44.1%
Hank Bachmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:55
4TH & 7
OPP 15
+32
44.4%
Matthew Dennis 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 7FG
11 plays · 58 yds · 4:2244% → 47%
Q1 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+19
43.9%
Nick Evers pass complete to Jasaiah Gathings for 19 yds to the CONN 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:24
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
44.9%
Nick Evers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:12
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+11
44.5%
Nick Evers pass complete to Jasaiah Gathings for 11 yds to the WAKE 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:45
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+16
45.4%
Nick Evers pass complete to TJ Sheffield for 16 yds to the WAKE 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:07
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
46.0%
Nick Evers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:55
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+4
46.0%
Mel Brown run for 4 yds to the WAKE 25Similar
Q1 3:55
3RD & 6
OPP 25
+8
45.5%
Nick Evers pass complete to Durell Robinson for 8 yds to the WAKE 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:41
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-3
46.4%
Nick Evers pass complete to TJ Sheffield for a loss of 3 yards to the WAKE 20Similar
Q1 2:16
2ND & 13
OPP 20
+2
46.2%
Nick Evers run for 2 yds to the WAKE 18Similar
Q1 2:03
3RD & 11
OPP 18
+1
45.7%
Victor Rosa run for 1 yd to the WAKE 17Similar
Q1 1:22
4TH & 10
OPP 17
+35
46.8%
Chris Freeman 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 8TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:4554% → 62%
Q1 1:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
45.8%
Demond Claiborne run for 3 yds to the WAKE 28Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+3
45.8%
Demond Claiborne run for 3 yds to the WAKE 31Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+20
46.1%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Demond Claiborne for 20 yds to the CONN 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:40
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
44.5%
Demond Claiborne run for 3 yds to the CONN 46Similar
Q2 14:08
2ND & 7
OPP 46
0
44.6%
Hank Bachmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:56
3RD & 7
OPP 46
+41
44.8%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Micah Mays Jr. for 41 yds to the CONN 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
38.2%
Demond Claiborne run for 5 yds for a TD (Caleb Carlson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 2:3540% → 39%
Q2 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
40.4%
Durell Robinson run for no gain to the CONN 25Similar
Q2 12:41
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+18
40.3%
Nick Evers pass complete to Skyler Bell for 18 yds to the CONN 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
41.5%
Durell Robinson run for 1 yd to the CONN 44Similar
Q2 11:48
2ND & 9
OWN 44
0
41.4%
Nick Evers run for no gain to the CONN 44Similar
Q2 11:13
3RD & 9
OWN 44
-3
40.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the CONN 41Similar
Q2 10:40
4TH & 12
OWN 41
0
39.1%
Connor Stutz punt for 42 yds, downed at the WAKE 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 10FG
13 plays · 70 yds · 4:3060% → 66%
Q2 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+3
39.6%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Michael Frogge for 3 yds to the WAKE 20Similar
Q2 10:01
2ND & 7
OWN 20
+11
39.5%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Taylor Morin for 11 yds to the WAKE 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:34
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+9
38.6%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Horatio Fields for 9 yds to the WAKE 40Similar
Q2 9:09
2ND & 1
OWN 40
+5
37.5%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Horatio Fields for 5 yds to the WAKE 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
37.3%
Tate Carney run for 2 yds to the WAKE 47Similar
Q2 8:21
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+9
37.3%
Taylor Morin run for 9 yds to the CONN 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:56
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
35.6%
Jasheen Davis run for 4 yds to the CONN 40Similar
Q2 7:30
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+7
35.3%
Tate Carney run for 7 yds to the CONN 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:57
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+14
35.1%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Taylor Morin for 14 yds to the CONN 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:33
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+6
34.8%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Horatio Fields for 6 yds to the CONN 13Similar
Q2 6:18
2ND & 4
OPP 13
0
34.7%
Hank Bachmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:11
3RD & 4
OPP 13
0
35.2%
Hank Bachmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:01
4TH & 4
OPP 13
+31
34.4%
Matthew Dennis 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 11FG
11 plays · 40 yds · 4:0735% → 35%
Q2 5:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
34.5%
Nick Evers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:49
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
34.3%
Cam Edwards run for 4 yds to the CONN 29Similar
Q2 5:19
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+7
33.8%
Nick Evers pass complete to Cam Edwards for 7 yds to the CONN 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:49
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+15
34.7%
Wake Forest Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Branson Combs) to the WAKE 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:34
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
36.2%
Mel Brown run for no gain to the WAKE 43Similar
Q2 3:56
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+12
35.9%
Nick Evers pass complete to Cam Edwards for 12 yds to the WAKE 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:17
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
37.0%
Cam Edwards run for no gain to the WAKE 31Similar
Q2 2:35
2ND & 10
OPP 31
-4
36.5%
Mel Brown run for a loss of 4 yards to the WAKE 35Similar
Q2 1:59
3RD & 14
OPP 35
0
33.6%
Nick Evers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:50
4TH & 14
OPP 35
+53
34.7%
Chris Freeman 53 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 12INT
11 plays · 57 yds · 1:2767% → 70%
Q2 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
33.5%
Demond Claiborne run for 6 yds to the WAKE 31Similar
Q2 1:23
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
32.3%
Demond Claiborne run for 3 yds to the WAKE 34Similar
Q2 1:14
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+4
32.6%
Demond Claiborne run for 4 yds to the WAKE 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
32.8%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Deuce Alexander for 4 yds to the WAKE 42Similar
Q2 1:02
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+4
32.4%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Cameron Hite for 4 yds to the WAKE 46Similar
Q2 0:55
3RD & 2
OWN 46
+15
32.4%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Deuce Alexander for 15 yds to the CONN 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:46
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+11
31.0%
UConn Penalty, Personal Foul (11 Yards) to the CONN 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-4
29.5%
Demond Claiborne run for a loss of 4 yards to the CONN 18Similar
Q2 0:22
2ND & 14
OPP 18
0
29.9%
Hank Bachmeier pass intercepted, touchback. Cam Chadwick return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 13END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0035% → 35%
Q2 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
35.3%
(00:10) [NH] Kneel down by TEAM at UCONN18 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 14TD
8 plays · 60 yds · 4:1566% → 81%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
34.0%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Horatio Fields for 10 yds to the WAKE 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:36
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
33.2%
Demond Claiborne run for no gain to the WAKE 35Similar
Q3 14:09
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+15
33.5%
UConn Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Rante Jones) to the CONN 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:46
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+4
30.9%
Demond Claiborne run for 4 yds to the CONN 12Similar
Q3 13:06
2ND & 6
OPP 12
+7
30.6%
Demond Claiborne run for 7 yds to the CONN 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
30.5%
Demond Claiborne run for no gain to the CONN 5Similar
Q3 11:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
30.0%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Horatio Fields for 4 yds to the CONN 1Similar
Q3 10:45
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
19.4%
Demond Claiborne 1 Yd Run (Caleb Carlson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 15TD
7 plays · 50 yds · 3:0425% → 40%
Q3 10:37
1ST & 10
50
0
24.6%
Nick Evers pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:31
2ND & 10
50
+9
24.3%
Nick Evers pass complete to Jasaiah Gathings for 9 yds to the WAKE 41Similar
Q3 9:55
3RD & 1
OPP 41
+9
24.1%
Durell Robinson run for 9 yds to the WAKE 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:23
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
24.4%
Durell Robinson run for 2 yds to the WAKE 30Similar
Q3 8:44
2ND & 8
OPP 30
+6
24.3%
Nick Evers pass complete to Jasaiah Gathings for 6 yds to the WAKE 24Similar
Q3 8:14
3RD & 2
OPP 24
+4
22.7%
Nick Evers run for 4 yds to the WAKE 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:33
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
39.7%
Nick Evers pass complete to Jasaiah Gathings for 20 yds for a TD (Chris Freeman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 1:5969% → 68%
Q3 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
31.1%
Demond Claiborne run for 5 yds to the WAKE 30Similar
Q3 7:08
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
30.1%
Hank Bachmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:03
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+5
30.9%
Hank Bachmeier run for 5 yds to the WAKE 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
30.0%
Hank Bachmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:18
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+1
30.4%
Tate Carney run for 1 yd to the WAKE 36Similar
Q3 5:40
3RD & 9
OWN 36
0
30.4%
Hank Bachmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:33
4TH & 9
OWN 36
+4
32.0%
Ivan Mora punt for 42 yds , TJ Sheffield returns for 4 yds to the CONN 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:1734% → 31%
Q3 5:24
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
34.0%
Nick Evers pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:18
2ND & 10
OWN 26
0
33.4%
Nick Evers pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:16
3RD & 10
OWN 26
0
32.1%
Nick Evers pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:07
4TH & 10
OWN 26
+16
31.2%
Connor Stutz punt for 41 yds , Taylor Morin returns for 16 yds to the WAKE 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 18MISSED FG
5 plays · 27 yds · 1:4173% → 72%
Q3 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+26
27.3%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Taylor Morin for 26 yds to the CONN 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:33
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
26.3%
Demond Claiborne run for 1 yd to the CONN 24Similar
Q3 4:05
2ND & 9
OPP 24
0
26.1%
Demond Claiborne run for no gain to the CONN 24Similar
Q3 3:26
3RD & 9
OPP 24
0
26.5%
Hank Bachmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:18
4TH & 9
OPP 24
+42
28.3%
Matthew Dennis 42 yd FG BLOCKED blocked bySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:4733% → 30%
Q3 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+6
32.8%
Nick Evers pass complete to TJ Sheffield for 6 yds to the CONN 30Similar
Q3 2:41
2ND & 4
OWN 30
+2
34.5%
Victor Rosa run for 2 yds to the CONN 32Similar
Q3 2:02
3RD & 2
OWN 32
-3
33.5%
Cam Edwards run for a loss of 3 yards to the CONN 29Similar
Q3 1:25
4TH & 5
OWN 29
+15
30.2%
Connor Stutz punt for 42 yds , Taylor Morin returns for 15 yds to the WAKE 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 20FG
10 plays · 38 yds · 5:0274% → 82%
Q3 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+9
25.8%
Hank Bachmeier run for 9 yds to the CONN 47Similar
Q3 0:37
2ND & 1
OPP 47
+2
24.8%
Tate Carney run for 2 yds to the CONN 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:59
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+9
24.1%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Harry Lodge for 9 yds to the CONN 36Similar
Q4 14:35
2ND & 1
OPP 36
+14
22.1%
Tate Carney run for 14 yds to the CONN 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:09
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+12
21.0%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Taylor Morin for 12 yds to the CONN 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
21.4%
Hank Bachmeier run for 2 yds to the CONN 8Similar
Q4 12:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
21.2%
Tate Carney run for 2 yds to the CONN 6Similar
Q4 12:02
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
-12
21.8%
Hank Bachmeier sacked by Jayden McDonald for a loss of 12 yards to the CONN 18Similar
Q4 11:13
4TH & GOAL
OPP 18
+36
18.4%
Matthew Dennis 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:0319% → 16%
Q4 11:07
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+6
19.4%
Nick Evers pass complete to Louis Hansen for 6 yds to the CONN 32Similar
Q4 10:36
2ND & 4
OWN 32
+3
17.4%
Nick Evers pass complete to Jasaiah Gathings for 3 yds to the CONN 35Similar
Q4 10:14
3RD & 1
OWN 35
0
16.3%
Nick Evers pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:04
4TH & 1
OWN 35
0
15.6%
Connor Stutz punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Taylor Morin at the WAKE 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 22PUNT
8 plays · 32 yds · 3:2685% → 89%
Q4 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
14.6%
Hank Bachmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:56
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+11
14.8%
Hank Bachmeier run for 11 yds to the WAKE 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
14.0%
Demond Claiborne run for no gain to the WAKE 33Similar
Q4 8:36
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+14
13.9%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Micah Mays Jr. for 14 yds to the WAKE 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:51
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
11.9%
Demond Claiborne run for 5 yds to the CONN 48Similar
Q4 7:12
2ND & 5
OPP 48
+2
11.1%
Demond Claiborne run for 2 yds to the CONN 46Similar
Q4 6:38
3RD & 3
OPP 46
0
11.0%
Hank Bachmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:30
4TH & 3
OPP 46
0
11.3%
Ivan Mora punt for 34 yds , TJ Sheffield returns for no gain to the CONN 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 23TD
13 plays · 88 yds · 3:5612% → 37%
Q4 6:23
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+6
12.1%
Nick Evers pass complete to Skyler Bell for 6 yds to the CONN 18Similar
Q4 5:59
2ND & 4
OWN 18
+5
12.0%
Nick Evers pass complete to Durell Robinson for 5 yds to the CONN 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
11.8%
Nick Evers pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:32
2ND & 10
OWN 23
0
11.5%
Nick Evers pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:25
3RD & 10
OWN 23
+8
10.0%
Nick Evers pass complete to Durell Robinson for 8 yds to the CONN 31Similar
Q4 4:47
4TH & 2
OWN 31
+17
10.2%
Nick Evers pass complete to Brett Buckman for 17 yds to the CONN 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:22
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
11.8%
Nick Evers pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:15
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+12
11.5%
Nick Evers pass complete to TJ Sheffield for 12 yds to the WAKE 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:44
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
12.0%
Nick Evers run for 3 yds to the WAKE 37Similar
Q4 3:17
2ND & 7
OPP 37
+17
11.0%
Nick Evers pass complete to Brett Buckman for 17 yds to the WAKE 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:58
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
10.8%
Nick Evers pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:53
2ND & 10
OPP 20
-5
10.6%
Nick Evers sacked by Kevin Pointer for a loss of 5 yards to the WAKE 25Similar
Q4 2:27
3RD & 15
OPP 25
+25
37.4%
Nick Evers pass complete to Louis Hansen for 25 yds for a TD (Chris Freeman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 24PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 0:1378% → 78%
Q4 2:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
22.1%
EJ Reid run for 3 yds to the WAKE 28Similar
Q4 2:23
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-2
21.3%
Demond Claiborne run for a loss of 2 yards to the WAKE 26Similar
Q4 2:18
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
21.1%
Hank Bachmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:13
4TH & 9
OWN 26
+1
22.5%
Ivan Mora punt for 55 yds , TJ Sheffield returns for 1 yd to the CONN 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 25DOWNS
7 plays · 23 yds · 0:3131% → 26%
Q4 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+21
30.8%
Nick Evers pass complete to TJ Sheffield for 21 yds to the CONN 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
30.2%
Nick Evers pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:49
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
28.4%
Nick Evers pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:45
3RD & 10
OWN 41
+7
27.0%
Nick Evers pass complete to Jasaiah Gathings for 7 yds to the CONN 48Similar
Q4 1:31
4TH & 3
OWN 48
-5
27.3%
UConn Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the CONN 43Similar
Q4 1:31
4TH & 8
OWN 43
0
26.1%
Nick Evers pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 26END OF 4TH QUARTER
4 plays · -6 yds · 0:5090% → 93%
Q4 1:27
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-1
9.8%
(01:27) [NH] Kneel down by TEAM at UCONN44 (team loss of 1), clock 01:25.Similar
Q4 1:24
2ND & 11
OPP 44
-3
9.7%
(01:24) [NH] Kneel down by TEAM at UCONN47 (team loss of 3), clock 01:21.Similar
Q4 0:37
3RD & 14
OPP 47
-2
7.1%
(00:37) [NH] Kneel down by TEAM at UCONN49 (team loss of 2), clock 00:33.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 2:27
Nick Evers pass complete to Louis Hansen for 25 yds for a TD (Chris Freeman KICK)
+26.8
TD · Q3 7:33
Nick Evers pass complete to Jasaiah Gathings for 20 yds for a TD (Chris Freeman KICK)
+17
TD · Q3 10:45
Demond Claiborne 1 Yd Run (Caleb Carlson Kick)
-10.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com