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TEM

Temple 20 at UConn 29

CONN
2024 · Week 6 · Oct 5, 2024 · Pratt & Whitney Stadium
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Win probability · CONN
modelCONN aheadTEM aheadconfidence bandkey playCONN scoreTEM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGFGFGFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 3:09 · Connor Stutz punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Dante Wright at the TEM 12
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialBlowout margin
+38.0+19.00−19.0−38.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 32Pregame prior+32.1Home team on offense+0.9Garbage-time factor+0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.1Score differential−0.1Blowout margin−0.4
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q3 2:43: Maddux Trujillo 42 yd FG GOOD — TEM win probability +8.4 pts (now 46%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 2:11: Joe Fagnano pass complete to TJ Sheffield for 58 yds for a TD (Chris Freeman KICK) — CONN win probability +20.9 pts (now 78%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 9:52: Forrest Brock run for 8 yds for a TD (Maddux Trujillo KICK) — TEM win probability +34.9 pts (now 65%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 3:46: Durell Robinson run for 1 yd for a TD (Chris Freeman KICK) — CONN win probability +40.6 pts (now 87%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:00: Jordan Wright 96 Yd Fumble Return — CONN win probability +19.5 pts (now 95%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CONN made the numbers' call on 8 of 10TEM made the numbers' call on 9 of 13
  1. Q1 11:02CONN 4th & 1 at TEM 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 86.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    86.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    86.2%−0.1
    70% to make
    Punt
    85.8%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:06TEM 4th & 17 at TEM 16, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.0%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:51CONN 4th & 3 at CONN 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.1%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.1%
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:25CONN 4th & 12 at TEM 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 84.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.6%−0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    84.7%
    66% to make
    Punt
    84.0%−0.7
    average punt
  5. Q1 5:35TEM 4th & 7 at TEM 28, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.5%−0.2
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.7%
    average punt
  6. Q1 3:09CONN 4th & 9 at TEM 46, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.2%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    83.9%−0.3
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    84.3%
    average punt
  7. Q2 14:56TEM 4th & 4 at CONN 47, down 3
    Close callPunted · 17.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.0%−0.2
    average punt
  8. Q2 13:36CONN 4th & 11 at CONN 9, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.4%−0.6
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.0%
    average punt
  9. Q2 11:43TEM 4th & 8 at CONN 45, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.8%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    17.4%−0.5
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    17.8%
    average punt
  10. Q2 10:32CONN 4th & 13 at CONN 9, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.8%−0.8
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.5%
    average punt
  11. Q2 8:31CONN 4th & 1 at CONN 34, down 4
    Close callPunted · 76.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.1%−0.5
    average punt
  12. Q2 5:55TEM 4th & 6 at TEM 24, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.1%−0.8
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.0%
    average punt
  13. Q2 1:45CONN 4th & 6 at TEM 6, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 72.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.0%−0.3
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    71.3%
    91% to make
    Punt
    65.8%−5.5
    average punt
  14. Q2 1:30TEM 4th & 8 at TEM 27, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.9%−1.0
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.9%
    average punt
  15. Q2 0:08CONN 4th & 17 at TEM 17, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 72.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.9%−1.7
    13% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    72.7%
    80% to make
    Punt
    68.8%−3.9
    average punt
  16. Q3 11:08TEM 4th & 11 at CONN 42, down 2
    Close callKicked a field goal · 23.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.4%−0.5
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    23.1%−0.8
    30% to make
    Punt
    23.9%
    average punt
  17. Q3 9:05TEM 4th & 11 at CONN 14, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 32.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.1%−1.9
    23% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    32.0%
    84% to make
    Punt
    23.4%−8.5
    average punt
  18. Q3 4:56TEM 4th & 22 at TEM 25, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.4%−5.6
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.0%
    average punt
  19. Q3 2:43TEM 4th & 20 at CONN 23, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 35.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.1%−5.3
    9% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    35.4%
    70% to make
    Punt
    23.2%−12.2
    average punt
  20. Q4 8:31CONN 4th & 2 at CONN 33, down 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.0 ptsPunted · 43.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.0%−1.0
    average punt
  21. Q4 7:22TEM 4th & 4 at TEM 29, up 4
    Close callPunted · 63.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.0%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.3%−0.7
    average punt
  22. Q4 1:52TEM 4th & 1 at CONN 10, down 3
    Numbers favored field goal by 7.0 ptsWent for it · 30.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    29.3%−7.0
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    36.3%
    88% to make
    Punt
    10.8%−25.5
    average punt
  23. Q4 0:00TEM 4th & 1 at CONN 1, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 28.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    52.5%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    40.2%−12.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    7.9%−44.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CONN made the numbers' call on 1 of 2TEM made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 10:32TEM Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    22.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    21.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 2:11CONN Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 9:52TEM Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    54.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.0%−0.4
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 3:46CONN Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.5%−0.9
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.5%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CONNDrive 1DOWNS
9 plays · 52 yds · 3:5788% → 87%
Q1 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
88.0%
Cam Edwards run for no gain to the CONN 25Similar
Q1 14:29
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+15
87.8%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Jasaiah Gathings for 15 yds to the CONN 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:12
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+11
87.8%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to TJ Sheffield for 11 yds to the TEM 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:44
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+9
87.7%
Cam Edwards run for 9 yds to the TEM 40Similar
Q1 13:26
2ND & 1
OPP 40
+8
87.6%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Jasaiah Gathings for 8 yds to the TEM 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:52
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
87.5%
Cam Edwards run for 3 yds to the TEM 29Similar
Q1 12:19
2ND & 7
OPP 29
+5
87.4%
Mel Brown run for 5 yds to the TEM 24Similar
Q1 11:38
3RD & 2
OPP 24
+1
87.2%
Cam Edwards run for 1 yd to the TEM 23Similar
Q1 11:02
4TH & 1
OPP 23
0
87.0%
Cam Edwards run for no gain to the TEM 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · -7 yds · 1:5313% → 14%
Q1 10:59
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-1
86.8%
Forrest Brock pass complete to Dante Wright for a loss of 1 yard to the TEM 22Similar
Q1 10:23
2ND & 11
OWN 22
+2
86.6%
Forrest Brock pass complete to Dante Wright for 2 yds to the TEM 24Similar
Q1 9:44
3RD & 9
OWN 24
-8
86.5%
Forrest Brock sacked by Jayden McDonald for a loss of 8 yards to the TEM 16Similar
Q1 9:06
4TH & 17
OWN 16
0
86.4%
Dante Atton punt for 58 yds, downed at the CONN 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:2186% → 86%
Q1 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+7
86.2%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to TJ Sheffield for 7 yds to the CONN 33Similar
Q1 8:36
2ND & 3
OWN 33
0
86.2%
Mel Brown run for no gain to the CONN 33Similar
Q1 8:00
3RD & 3
OWN 33
0
85.8%
Joe Fagnano pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:51
4TH & 3
OWN 33
+43
85.6%
Connor Stutz punt for 43 yds , Dante Wright returns for a loss of 1 yard to the TEM 23, Wright fumble at the TEM 23 recovered by CONNSimilar
Q1 7:37
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-10
86.2%
EDWARDS, Cam rush to the left for a gain of 10 yards to the TU13 (KEATON, Andreas), clock 07:37. PENALTY UCONN Holding on HOEH, Wes enforced 10 yards from the TU23 to the TU33 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 4FG
4 plays · -2 yds · 1:0086% → 86%
Q1 7:25
1ST & 20
OPP 33
+8
86.0%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Skyler Bell for 8 yds to the TEM 25Similar
Q1 7:10
2ND & 12
OPP 25
0
86.1%
Cam Edwards run for no gain to the TEM 25Similar
Q1 6:33
3RD & 12
OPP 25
0
85.7%
Joe Fagnano pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:25
4TH & 12
OPP 25
+43
85.7%
Chris Freeman 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:4714% → 14%
Q1 6:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
85.9%
Forrest Brock run for 3 yds to the TEM 28Similar
Q1 5:47
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
85.7%
Forrest Brock pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:42
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
85.9%
Forrest Brock pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:35
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
86.0%
Dante Atton punt for 55 yds, downed at the CONN 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 37 yds · 2:1886% → 85%
Q1 5:27
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+5
85.5%
Durell Robinson run for 5 yds to the CONN 22Similar
Q1 4:54
2ND & 5
OWN 22
+31
85.4%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to TJ Sheffield for 31 yds to the TEM 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:34
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+1
85.8%
Durell Robinson run for 1 yd to the TEM 46Similar
Q1 3:55
2ND & 9
OPP 46
0
85.7%
Cam Edwards run for no gain to the TEM 46Similar
Q1 3:15
3RD & 9
OPP 46
0
85.2%
Joe Fagnano pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:09
4TH & 9
OPP 46
0
84.7%
Connor Stutz punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Dante Wright at the TEM 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 41 yds · 3:0615% → 17%
Q1 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+12
85.1%
Terrez Worthy run for 12 yds to the TEM 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:41
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
84.9%
Forrest Brock pass complete to James Della Pesca for 1 yd to the TEM 25Similar
Q1 2:09
2ND & 9
OWN 25
+22
84.6%
Forrest Brock pass complete to Dante Wright for 22 yds to the TEM 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
83.7%
Terrez Worthy run for 6 yds to the CONN 47Similar
Q1 0:55
2ND & 4
OPP 47
-1
83.3%
Forrest Brock run for a loss of 1 yard to the CONN 48Similar
Q1 0:19
3RD & 5
OPP 48
+1
83.3%
Forrest Brock pass complete to Terrez Worthy for 1 yd to the CONN 47Similar
Q2 14:56
4TH & 4
OPP 47
0
83.5%
Dante Atton punt for 37 yds, fair catch by TJ Sheffield at the CONN 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:1484% → 82%
Q2 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+4
83.6%
Mel Brown run for 4 yds to the CONN 14Similar
Q2 14:15
2ND & 6
OWN 14
0
83.4%
Joe Fagnano pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:12
3RD & 6
OWN 14
-7
82.9%
(14:12) FAGNANO, Joe scrambles to the right for a gain of 22 yards to the UCONN36, out of bounds, clock 14:06. PENALTY UCONN Holding on LUNDT, Chase enforced half the distance from the goal, 7 yards from the UCONN14 to the UCONN7 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 14:04
3RD & 13
OWN 7
+2
82.8%
Joe Fagnano run for 2 yds to the CONN 9Similar
Q2 13:36
4TH & 11
OWN 9
0
82.4%
Connor Stutz punt for 55 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 19 yds · 1:4717% → 17%
Q2 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+17
83.1%
Terrez Worthy run for 17 yds to the CONN 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:05
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
82.3%
Terrez Worthy run for no gain to the CONN 47Similar
Q2 12:23
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+2
82.1%
Forrest Brock run for 2 yds to the CONN 45Similar
Q2 11:49
3RD & 8
OPP 45
0
81.9%
Forrest Brock pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:43
4TH & 8
OPP 45
0
82.8%
Dante Atton punt for 33 yds, fair catch by TJ Sheffield at the CONN 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 10PUNT TD
4 plays · -3 yds · 1:0583% → 78%
Q2 11:37
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
82.5%
Joe Fagnano pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:32
2ND & 10
OWN 12
-4
82.4%
Mel Brown run for a loss of 4 yards to the CONN 8Similar
Q2 11:07
3RD & 14
OWN 8
+1
81.7%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to TJ Sheffield for 1 yd to the CONN 9Similar
Q2 10:32
4TH & 13
OWN 9
0
77.8%
John Adams 0 Yd Return of Blocked Punt (Maddux Trujillo Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:5979% → 77%
Q2 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
78.8%
Durell Robinson run for 2 yds to the CONN 27Similar
Q2 10:02
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+2
78.6%
Cam Edwards run for 2 yds to the CONN 29Similar
Q2 9:19
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+5
77.5%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to TJ Sheffield for 5 yds fumbled, forced by Jaylen Lewis, recovered by CONN Louis Hansen L. Hansen return for 0 ydsSimilar
Q2 8:31
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
76.8%
Connor Stutz punt for 66 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 2:3123% → 24%
Q2 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
77.1%
Tyler Douglas run for 3 yds to the TEM 23Similar
Q2 7:48
2ND & 7
OWN 23
-10
75.9%
(07:48) QB Keeper DOUGLAS, Tyler rush to the right for a gain of 2 yards to the TU25 (DIXON-WILLIAMS, Malik;BRINSON, D'Mon), clock 07:47. PENALTY TU Holding on DELLA PESCA, James enforced 10 yards from the TU23 to the TU13 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 7:21
2ND & 17
OWN 13
+2
75.9%
Forrest Brock run for 2 yds to the TEM 15Similar
Q2 6:37
3RD & 15
OWN 15
+9
76.0%
Forrest Brock pass complete to Antwain Littleton for 9 yds to the TEM 24Similar
Q2 5:55
4TH & 6
OWN 24
0
75.9%
Dante Atton punt for 35 yds, downed at the CONN 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 13FG
15 plays · 53 yds · 3:5976% → 76%
Q2 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
76.4%
Joe Fagnano pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:39
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+6
75.4%
Cam Edwards run for 6 yds to the CONN 47Similar
Q2 5:00
3RD & 4
OWN 47
+5
75.7%
(05:00) FAGNANO, Joe pass deep to the right incomplete intended for BELL, Skyler thrown to the TU29, clock 04:56. PENALTY TU Offsides on BLACK, Diwun enforced 5 yards from the UCONN47 to the TU48 and results in a 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 4:54
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
76.5%
Cam Edwards run for 4 yds to the TEM 44Similar
Q2 4:19
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+6
76.2%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Jasaiah Gathings for 6 yds to the TEM 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:42
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
75.8%
Joe Fagnano pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:39
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+15
75.7%
Temple Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Jaylen Lewis) to the TEM 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:19
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+7
76.3%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Louis Hansen for 7 yds to the TEM 13Similar
Q2 2:36
2ND & 3
OPP 13
0
75.7%
Joe Fagnano run for no gain to the TEM 13Similar
Q2 2:00
3RD & 3
OPP 13
+4
74.1%
Cam Edwards run for 4 yds to the TEM 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
75.3%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to TJ Sheffield for 3 yds to the TEM 6Similar
Q2 1:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
75.2%
Joe Fagnano pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:51
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
73.7%
Joe Fagnano pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:45
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+24
75.6%
Chris Freeman 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:1427% → 26%
Q2 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
72.6%
Forrest Brock pass complete to Dante Wright for a loss of 1 yard to the TEM 24Similar
Q2 1:38
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+3
73.8%
Forrest Brock pass complete to Dante Wright for 3 yds to the TEM 27Similar
Q2 1:37
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
72.9%
Forrest Brock pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:30
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
74.3%
Dante Atton punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 15FG
18 plays · 51 yds · 1:1575% → 80%
Q2 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
74.6%
Joe Fagnano run for 4 yds to the CONN 36Similar
Q2 1:15
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+11
75.9%
Durell Robinson run for 11 yds to the CONN 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
76.3%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Durell Robinson for 1 yd to the CONN 48Similar
Q2 0:56
2ND & 9
OWN 48
+10
76.2%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Louis Hansen for 10 yds to the TEM 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:51
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-1
76.8%
Durell Robinson run for a loss of 1 yard to the TEM 43Similar
Q2 0:47
2ND & 11
OPP 43
+15
76.2%
Temple Penalty, Targeting on WOODBURY, D.J. enforced (D.J. Woodbury Sr.) to the TEM 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:44
2ND & 11
OPP 43
0
76.2%
Joe Fagnano pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:37
3RD & 11
OPP 43
+12
74.4%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Cam Edwards for 12 yds to the TEM 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:33
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+5
77.5%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Louis Hansen for 5 yds to the TEM 26Similar
Q2 0:28
2ND & 5
OPP 26
+16
75.4%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to TJ Sheffield for 16 yds to the TEM 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
75.3%
Joe Fagnano pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
0
75.2%
Joe Fagnano pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:14
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
-7
73.7%
UConn Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Joe Fagnano) to the TEM 17Similar
Q2 0:08
4TH & GOAL
OPP 17
+35
80.4%
Chris Freeman 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 16END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0022% → 22%
Q2 0:02
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-2
78.0%
(00:02) Kneel down by TEAM at TU24 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 17FG
12 plays · 39 yds · 3:4522% → 29%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-1
78.3%
Antwain Littleton run for a loss of 1 yard to the TEM 18Similar
Q3 14:17
2ND & 11
OWN 18
+10
78.4%
Forrest Brock run for 10 yds to the TEM 28Similar
Q3 13:41
3RD & 1
OWN 28
+1
77.7%
Antwain Littleton run for 1 yd to the TEM 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:08
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
77.2%
Antwain Littleton run for 2 yds to the TEM 31Similar
Q3 12:47
2ND & 8
OWN 31
+12
77.0%
Forrest Brock pass complete to Antonio Jones for 12 yds to the TEM 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:22
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+16
75.2%
Forrest Brock pass complete to Dante Wright for 16 yds to the CONN 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:59
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
74.4%
Forrest Brock pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:55
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+4
74.4%
Terrez Worthy run for 4 yds to the CONN 37Similar
Q3 11:16
3RD & 6
OPP 37
0
74.6%
Forrest Brock pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:14
4TH & 6
OPP 37
-5
75.8%
Temple Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the CONN 42Similar
Q3 11:08
4TH & 11
OPP 42
+60
70.8%
Maddux Trujillo 60 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 18INT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:1372% → 65%
Q3 11:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
71.9%
Mel Brown run for no gain to the CONN 25Similar
Q3 10:35
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
71.3%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Louis Hansen for 5 yds to the CONN 30Similar
Q3 9:58
3RD & 5
OWN 30
-12
70.6%
Joe Fagnano pass intercepted Jaylen Lewis return for 12 yds to the CONN 27Similar
Q3 9:54
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+15
65.1%
(09:54) BROCK, Forrest pass deep to the left incomplete intended for WRIGHT, Dante thrown to the UCONN7, clock 09:51. PENALTY UCONN Roughing the Passer on BANKS, Jevon enforced 15 yards from the TU00 to the TU15 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 19MISSED FG
4 plays · 13 yds · 0:3735% → 32%
Q3 9:42
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-1
64.9%
Terrez Worthy run for a loss of 1 yard to the CONN 14Similar
Q3 9:14
2ND & 11
OPP 14
0
64.7%
Forrest Brock pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:11
3RD & 11
OPP 14
0
66.1%
Forrest Brock pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:05
4TH & 11
OPP 14
+32
68.5%
Maddux Trujillo 32 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 20PUNT
11 plays · 6 yds · 3:1571% → 66%
Q3 9:01
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
70.5%
Joe Fagnano pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:58
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+3
70.3%
Cam Edwards run for 3 yds to the CONN 23Similar
Q3 8:20
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+15
68.7%
FAGNANO, Joe pass deep to the left incomplete intended for GATHINGS, Jasaiah broken up by JOHNSON, Jamel at the UCONN44, clock 08:20. PENALTY TU Personal Foul on BLACK, Diwun enforced 15 yards from the UCONN23 to the UCONN38 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+11
71.5%
Cam Edwards run for 11 yds to the CONN 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
73.0%
Cam Edwards run for no gain to the CONN 49Similar
Q3 7:14
2ND & 10
OWN 49
-3
72.2%
UConn Penalty, Illegal Formation (Ben Murawski) declinedSimilar
Q3 6:45
3RD & 28
OWN 31
0
67.5%
Joe Fagnano run for no gain to the CONN 31Similar
Q3 6:06
4TH & 28
OWN 31
-5
66.7%
UConn Penalty, False Start (Jayden Simon) to the CONN 26Similar
Q3 5:54
4TH & 33
OWN 26
+3
66.2%
Connor Stutz punt for 40 yds , Dante Wright returns for 3 yds to the TEM 37Similar
Q3 5:46
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-5
65.2%
Temple Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TEM 32Similar
Q3 5:46
1ST & 15
OWN 32
-5
66.4%
Temple Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TEM 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · -12 yds · 0:4834% → 32%
Q3 5:44
1ST & 20
OWN 27
+3
66.4%
Tyler Douglas run for 3 yds to the TEM 30Similar
Q3 5:09
2ND & 17
OWN 30
0
66.1%
Forrest Brock pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:05
3RD & 17
OWN 30
-5
67.3%
Temple Penalty, Delay Of Game (Forrest Brock) to the TEM 25Similar
Q3 5:00
3RD & 22
OWN 25
0
66.8%
Forrest Brock pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:56
4TH & 22
OWN 25
0
67.9%
Dante Atton punt for 50 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 22FUMBLE
1 play · -12 yds · 0:0068% → 68%
Q3 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-12
67.6%
Joe Fagnano run for a loss of 12 yards to the CONN 13 Joe Fagnano fumbled, recovered by TEM Tra Thomas T. Thomas return for 0 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 23FG
4 plays · -10 yds · 1:5440% → 46%
Q3 4:37
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-6
59.9%
Terrez Worthy run for a loss of 6 yards to the CONN 19Similar
Q3 3:57
2ND & 16
OPP 19
-9
59.9%
Forrest Brock sacked by Jack Barton for a loss of 9 yards to the CONN 28Similar
Q3 3:14
3RD & 25
OPP 28
+5
62.5%
Forrest Brock pass complete to Antonio Jones for 5 yds to the CONN 23Similar
Q3 2:43
4TH & 20
OPP 23
+42
54.1%
Maddux Trujillo 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 24TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:3057% → 78%
Q3 2:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
57.0%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Brett Buckman for 17 yds to the CONN 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+58
78.0%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to TJ Sheffield for 58 yds for a TD (Chris Freeman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 25INT
9 plays · 43 yds · 3:0524% → 28%
Q3 2:03
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
76.1%
Antwain Littleton run for 2 yds to the TEM 23Similar
Q3 1:27
2ND & 8
OWN 23
+4
76.1%
Antwain Littleton run for 4 yds to the TEM 27Similar
Q3 0:45
3RD & 4
OWN 27
+5
76.1%
Forrest Brock pass complete to Dante Wright for 5 yds to the TEM 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:27
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+7
74.8%
Forrest Brock run for 7 yds to the TEM 39Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 3
OWN 39
0
72.2%
Forrest Brock pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:59
3RD & 3
OWN 39
+13
72.8%
Forrest Brock pass complete to John Adams for 13 yds to the CONN 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:38
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
72.0%
Forrest Brock pass complete to Terrez Worthy for 4 yds to the CONN 44Similar
Q4 14:18
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+8
71.9%
Forrest Brock pass complete to John Adams for 8 yds to the CONN 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:58
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-16
71.7%
Forrest Brock pass intercepted Malik Dixon-Williams return for 16 yds to the CONN 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 26INT
4 plays · 14 yds · 1:4480% → 81%
Q4 13:49
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
80.4%
Durell Robinson run for 6 yds to the TEM 47Similar
Q4 13:14
2ND & 4
OPP 47
+6
81.0%
Durell Robinson run for 6 yds to the TEM 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:36
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
80.9%
Mel Brown run for 2 yds to the TEM 39Similar
Q4 12:05
2ND & 8
OPP 39
-25
80.7%
Joe Fagnano pass intercepted Elijah Deravil return for 25 yds to the CONN 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 27TD
5 plays · 44 yds · 2:0229% → 65%
Q4 11:54
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+22
70.7%
Terrez Worthy run for 22 yds to the CONN 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:15
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-2
68.9%
Terrez Worthy run for a loss of 2 yards to the CONN 24Similar
Q4 10:41
2ND & 12
OPP 24
+11
68.7%
Forrest Brock pass complete to Landon Morris for 11 yds to the CONN 13Similar
Q4 10:18
3RD & 1
OPP 13
+5
70.0%
Forrest Brock pass complete to Ashton Allen for 5 yds to the CONN 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
35.1%
Forrest Brock run for 8 yds for a TD (Maddux Trujillo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 28PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:1648% → 46%
Q4 9:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
48.3%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Cam Edwards for 5 yds to the CONN 30Similar
Q4 9:20
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+3
48.7%
Mel Brown run for 3 yds to the CONN 33Similar
Q4 8:38
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
48.2%
Joe Fagnano pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:31
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
45.6%
Connor Stutz punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Dante Wright at the TEM 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 29PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:0462% → 64%
Q4 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
38.5%
Tyler Douglas run for 5 yds to the TEM 28Similar
Q4 8:07
2ND & 5
OWN 28
+1
36.1%
Antwain Littleton run for 1 yd to the TEM 29Similar
Q4 7:28
3RD & 4
OWN 29
0
34.3%
Forrest Brock pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:22
4TH & 4
OWN 29
0
35.8%
Dante Atton punt for 41 yds, fair catch by TJ Sheffield at the CONN 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 30TD
10 plays · 70 yds · 3:3046% → 87%
Q4 7:16
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
46.0%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Durell Robinson for no gain to the CONN 30Similar
Q4 6:38
2ND & 10
OWN 30
0
42.6%
Joe Fagnano pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:33
3RD & 10
OWN 30
+32
40.5%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Brett Buckman for 32 yds to the TEM 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:02
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+9
48.9%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to TJ Sheffield for 9 yds to the TEM 29Similar
Q4 5:42
2ND & 1
OPP 29
+5
51.8%
Durell Robinson run for 5 yds to the TEM 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:21
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
51.5%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Brett Buckman for no gain to the TEM 24Similar
Q4 4:51
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+10
46.7%
Joe Fagnano run for 10 yds to the TEM 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:27
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+11
46.6%
Durell Robinson run for 11 yds to the TEM 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
46.3%
Durell Robinson run for 2 yds to the TEM 1Similar
Q4 3:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
86.9%
Durell Robinson run for 1 yd for a TD (Chris Freeman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 31FUMBLE RETURN TD
15 plays · 71 yds · 3:4527% → 5%
Q4 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+21
73.1%
Forrest Brock pass complete to Dante Wright for 21 yds to the TEM 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:07
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+35
67.7%
Terrez Worthy run for 35 yds to the CONN 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+2
68.0%
Antwain Littleton run for 2 yds to the CONN 17Similar
Q4 2:07
2ND & 8
OPP 17
+6
65.6%
Antwain Littleton run for 6 yds to the CONN 11Similar
Q4 1:57
3RD & 2
OPP 11
+1
66.7%
Tyler Douglas run for 1 yd to the CONN 10Similar
Q4 1:52
4TH & 1
OPP 10
+1
67.7%
Tyler Douglas run for 1 yd to the CONN 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
63.3%
Terrez Worthy run for 5 yds to the CONN 4Similar
Q4 1:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
61.1%
Terrez Worthy run for 3 yds to the CONN 1Similar
Q4 0:46
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
69.1%
Antwain Littleton run for no gain to the CONN 1Similar
Q4 0:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+96
95.2%
Jordan Wright 96 Yd Fumble Return Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 3:46
Durell Robinson run for 1 yd for a TD (Chris Freeman KICK)
+40.6
TD · Q4 9:52
Forrest Brock run for 8 yds for a TD (Maddux Trujillo KICK)
-34.9
TD · Q3 2:11
Joe Fagnano pass complete to TJ Sheffield for 58 yds for a TD (Chris Freeman KICK)
+20.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com