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ND

Notre Dame 31 at Georgia Tech 13

GT
2024 · Week 8 · Oct 19, 2024 · Mercedes-Benz Stadium
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Win probability · GT
modelGT aheadND aheadconfidence bandkey playGT scoreND score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · [NHSG] Kneel down by LEONARD, Riley at GT43 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+52.0+26.00−26.0−52.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 0:00: Jamal Haynes 0 Yd Run (Aidan Birr Kick) — GT win probability +4.9 pts (now 34%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 7:00: Riley Leonard run for 1 yd for a TD (Zac Yoakam KICK) — ND win probability +8.1 pts (now 72%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q2 6:53: Chad Alexander run for 5 yds to the GT 36 — GT win probability +5.5 pts (now 33%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 1:53: Riley Leonard run for 12 yds for a TD (Zac Yoakam KICK) — ND win probability +8.6 pts (now 81%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 11:01: Jeremiyah Love run for 1 yd for a TD (Zac Yoakam KICK) — ND win probability +8.1 pts (now 87%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
GT made the numbers' call on 5 of 9ND made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 13:43ND 4th & 2 at ND 33, tied
    Close callPunted · 80.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:22GT 4th & 2 at ND 49, tied
    Close callPunted · 21.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.5%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.4%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:55ND 4th & 1 at ND 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 77.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    77.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    77.5%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:44GT 4th & 1 at ND 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 25.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    25.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    24.7%−0.5
    54% to make
    Punt
    24.5%−0.8
    average punt
  5. Q2 4:51GT 4th & 7 at GT 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.7%−0.7
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.4%
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:11GT 4th & 10 at ND 22, down 7
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.8 ptsWent for it · 24.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    22.6%−1.8
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    24.4%
    72% to make
    Punt
    20.3%−4.1
    average punt
  7. Q3 14:21GT 4th & 4 at GT 31, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.6%−0.8
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.3%
    average punt
  8. Q3 9:09GT 4th & 8 at GT 46, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.7%−0.5
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.2%
    average punt
  9. Q3 4:45ND 4th & 6 at GT 48, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.3%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.4%
    average punt
  10. Q3 2:00GT 4th & 12 at ND 18, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 12.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.6%−1.0
    21% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    12.6%
    79% to make
    Punt
    8.8%−3.8
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:21ND 4th & 5 at GT 39, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 91.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    91.9%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    90.8%−1.1
    36% to make
    Punt
    90.9%−1.0
    average punt
  12. Q4 13:18ND 4th & 8 at ND 46, up 14
    Close callWent for it · 91.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    91.4%−0.6
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    91.9%
    average punt
  13. Q4 10:01ND 4th & 16 at GT 24, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 93.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.5%−1.6
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    93.1%
    68% to make
    Punt
    88.3%−4.7
    average punt
  14. Q4 9:21GT 4th & 10 at GT 25, down 17
    Close callWent for it · 4.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.4%−0.6
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.0%
    average punt
  15. Q4 8:34GT 4th & 10 at GT 45, down 17
    Close callWent for it · 4.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.5%−0.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.9%
    average punt
  16. Q4 4:16ND 4th & 4 at GT 26, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    96.7%−0.1
    64% to make
    Punt
    95.1%−1.7
    average punt
  17. Q4 2:52ND 4th & 16 at GT 28, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 97.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.9%−0.4
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.3%
    60% to make
    Punt
    96.2%−1.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
GT made the numbers' call on 1 of 2ND made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 0:00GT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    30.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    30.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 7:00ND Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:53ND Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 11:01ND Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 2:37ND Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 0:23GT Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    1.8%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    1.6%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NDDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:1780% → 79%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
20.2%
Riley Leonard run for 7 yds to the ND 32Similar
Q1 14:29
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+1
20.4%
Jeremiyah Love run for 1 yd to the ND 33Similar
Q1 14:01
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
20.6%
Riley Leonard pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:43
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+4
20.8%
James Rendell punt for 51 yds , Bailey Stockton returns for 4 yds to the GT 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 31 yds · 3:2121% → 23%
Q1 13:43
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
20.8%
Zach Pyron pass complete to Eric Singleton Jr. for 1 yd to the GT 21Similar
Q1 13:18
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+2
21.0%
Jamal Haynes run for 2 yds to the GT 23Similar
Q1 12:45
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+20
21.2%
Zach Pyron pass complete to Jackson Hawes for 20 yds to the GT 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:04
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
21.8%
Jamal Haynes run for 4 yds to the GT 47Similar
Q1 11:39
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+2
22.1%
Chad Alexander run for 2 yds to the GT 49Similar
Q1 11:13
3RD & 4
OWN 49
+2
22.3%
Zach Pyron run for 2 yds to the ND 49Similar
Q1 10:22
4TH & 2
OPP 49
0
22.7%
David Shanahan punt for 49 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 3INT
6 plays · 35 yds · 3:0578% → 77%
Q1 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+19
22.4%
Jadarian Price run for 19 yds to the ND 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+7
22.5%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Jaden Greathouse for 7 yds to the ND 46Similar
Q1 9:17
2ND & 3
OWN 46
+1
22.7%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Beaux Collins for 1 yd to the ND 47Similar
Q1 8:41
3RD & 2
OWN 47
+1
22.9%
Jeremiyah Love run for 1 yd to the ND 48Similar
Q1 7:55
4TH & 1
OWN 48
+7
23.5%
Riley Leonard run for 7 yds to the GT 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:17
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-27
23.3%
Riley Leonard pass intercepted Warren Burrell return for 27 yds to the GT 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 4TD
15 plays · 71 yds · 7:0624% → 34%
Q1 7:06
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
24.2%
Jamal Haynes run for 5 yds to the GT 34Similar
Q1 6:35
2ND & 5
OWN 34
+10
24.7%
Zach Pyron pass complete to Malik Rutherford for 10 yds to the GT 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+16
25.3%
Zach Pyron pass complete to Malik Rutherford for 16 yds to the ND 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:30
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
25.8%
Eric Singleton Jr. run for 1 yd to the ND 39Similar
Q1 4:53
2ND & 9
OPP 39
+8
26.2%
Zach Pyron pass complete to Jamal Haynes for 8 yds to the ND 31Similar
Q1 4:23
3RD & 1
OPP 31
0
26.4%
Zach Pyron run for no gain to the ND 31Similar
Q1 3:44
4TH & 1
OPP 31
+3
26.3%
Zach Pyron pass complete to Eric Singleton Jr. for 3 yds to the ND 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:44
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+13
27.1%
Zach Pyron pass complete to Eric Singleton Jr. for 13 yds to the ND 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:51
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
27.8%
Jamal Haynes run for 2 yds to the ND 13Similar
Q1 2:14
2ND & 8
OPP 13
+4
28.3%
Zach Pyron pass complete to Jamal Haynes for 4 yds to the ND 9Similar
Q1 1:24
3RD & 4
OPP 9
+6
28.4%
Zach Pyron pass complete to Chad Alexander for 6 yds to the ND 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
29.2%
Jamal Haynes run for no gain to the ND 1Similar
Q1 0:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
29.2%
Notre Dame Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the ND 1Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
34.1%
Jamal Haynes 0 Yd Run (Aidan Birr Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 5TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 8:0068% → 72%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
32.3%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Jayden Thomas for 8 yds to the ND 33Similar
Q2 14:45
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+1
31.5%
Jadarian Price run for 1 yd to the ND 34Similar
Q2 13:53
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+1
32.8%
Riley Leonard run for 1 yd to the ND 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+10
33.4%
Jeremiyah Love run for 10 yds to the ND 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:33
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+12
33.3%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Jeremiyah Love for 12 yds to the GT 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:55
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
33.3%
Jeremiyah Love run for 4 yds to the GT 39Similar
Q2 11:24
2ND & 6
OPP 39
+9
33.5%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Eli Raridon for 9 yds to the GT 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:57
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+10
33.0%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Mitchell Evans for 10 yds to the GT 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:18
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-2
33.3%
Devyn Ford run for a loss of 2 yards to the GT 22Similar
Q2 9:53
2ND & 12
OPP 22
+9
34.1%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Mitchell Evans for 9 yds to the GT 13Similar
Q2 9:01
3RD & 3
OPP 13
+10
35.5%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Aneyas Williams for 10 yds to the GT 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
34.7%
Jeremiyah Love run for 1 yd to the GT 2Similar
Q2 7:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
35.9%
Riley Leonard run for 1 yd to the GT 1Similar
Q2 7:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
27.8%
Riley Leonard run for 1 yd for a TD (Zac Yoakam KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 2:0233% → 33%
Q2 6:53
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
33.2%
Chad Alexander run for 5 yds to the GT 36Similar
Q2 6:19
2ND & 5
OWN 36
+3
34.8%
Chad Alexander run for 3 yds to the GT 39Similar
Q2 5:41
3RD & 2
OWN 39
0
34.9%
Eric Singleton Jr. run for no gain to the GT 39Similar
Q2 5:41
4TH & 2
OWN 39
-5
33.3%
Georgia Tech Penalty, Illegal Substitution (-5 Yards) to the GT 34Similar
Q2 4:51
4TH & 7
OWN 34
+2
32.7%
David Shanahan punt for 36 yds , Max Hurleman returns for 2 yds to the ND 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 7TD
7 plays · 68 yds · 2:5169% → 81%
Q2 4:44
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+25
30.6%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Jeremiyah Love for 25 yds to the GT 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:04
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+14
29.0%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Kris Mitchell for 14 yds to the GT 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:04
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-5
28.0%
Notre Dame Penalty, False Start (Mitchell Evans) to the GT 34Similar
Q2 3:34
1ST & 15
OPP 34
+11
29.0%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Beaux Collins for 11 yds to the GT 23Similar
Q2 2:44
2ND & 4
OPP 23
+11
28.3%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Beaux Collins for 11 yds to the GT 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:53
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
19.4%
Riley Leonard run for 12 yds for a TD (Zac Yoakam KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 8DOWNS
15 plays · 42 yds · 1:3723% → 28%
Q2 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
23.1%
Zach Pyron run for 4 yds to the GT 24Similar
Q2 1:40
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+7
24.4%
Zach Pyron run for 7 yds to the GT 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
24.7%
Zach Pyron pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:10
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+9
24.5%
Zach Pyron run for 9 yds to the GT 40Similar
Q2 0:40
3RD & 1
OWN 40
+1
25.7%
Chad Alexander run for 1 yd to the GT 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+25
26.0%
Zach Pyron pass complete to Avery Boyd for 25 yds to the ND 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:35
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
28.4%
Zach Pyron pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:27
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+12
28.3%
Zach Pyron pass complete to Eric Singleton Jr. for 12 yds to the ND 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:27
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
28.5%
Zach Pyron pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:21
2ND & 10
OPP 22
0
28.4%
Zach Pyron pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:16
3RD & 10
OPP 22
0
27.2%
Zach Pyron pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:11
4TH & 10
OPP 22
-16
28.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 16 yards to the ND 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 9END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0074% → 74%
Q2 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-1
25.9%
(00:05) [NHSG] Kneel down by TEAM at ND37 (team loss of 1).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:3925% → 24%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
24.6%
Zach Pyron pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:56
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
24.6%
Zach Pyron pass complete to Malik Rutherford for 6 yds to the GT 31Similar
Q3 14:23
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
24.5%
Zach Pyron pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:21
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+12
24.0%
David Shanahan punt for 41 yds , Max Hurleman returns for 12 yds to the ND 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 11TD
6 plays · 60 yds · 3:1078% → 87%
Q3 14:11
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+28
21.7%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Jaden Greathouse for 28 yds to the GT 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:11
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+9
21.1%
Jadarian Price run for 9 yds to the GT 23Similar
Q3 13:04
2ND & 1
OPP 23
+2
21.0%
Jadarian Price run for 2 yds to the GT 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:24
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+5
21.1%
Jeremiyah Love run for 5 yds to the GT 16Similar
Q3 11:45
2ND & 5
OPP 16
+15
21.0%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Beaux Collins for 15 yds to the GT 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
12.8%
Jeremiyah Love run for 1 yd for a TD (Zac Yoakam KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 12PUNT
9 plays · 19 yds · 1:4616% → 15%
Q3 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
15.7%
Jamal Haynes run for 2 yds to the GT 29Similar
Q3 10:41
2ND & 8
OWN 29
+2
15.5%
Zach Pyron run for 2 yds to the GT 31Similar
Q3 10:02
3RD & 6
OWN 31
+13
14.9%
Zach Pyron pass complete to Eric Singleton Jr. for 13 yds to the GT 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
16.2%
Zach Pyron pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:43
2ND & 10
OWN 44
-5
15.9%
Georgia Tech Penalty, False Start (Joe Fusile) to the GT 39Similar
Q3 9:40
2ND & 15
OWN 39
-5
14.9%
Georgia Tech Penalty, False Start (Weston Franklin) to the GT 34Similar
Q3 9:40
2ND & 20
OWN 34
0
14.5%
Zach Pyron pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:34
3RD & 20
OWN 34
+12
14.2%
Zach Pyron pass complete to Chad Alexander for 12 yds to the GT 46Similar
Q3 9:09
4TH & 8
OWN 46
0
15.1%
David Shanahan punt for 54 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 13PUNT
8 plays · 32 yds · 4:0687% → 89%
Q3 8:51
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
13.1%
Riley Leonard pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:45
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+16
13.1%
Riley Leonard run for 16 yds to the ND 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:13
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
12.3%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Jaden Greathouse for 8 yds to the ND 44Similar
Q3 7:25
2ND & 2
OWN 44
+4
11.6%
Jeremiyah Love run for 4 yds to the ND 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
11.0%
Jeremiyah Love run for 3 yds to the GT 49Similar
Q3 6:12
2ND & 7
OPP 49
-2
10.8%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Jeremiyah Love for a loss of 2 yards to the ND 49Similar
Q3 5:33
3RD & 9
OWN 49
+3
11.0%
Riley Leonard run for 3 yds to the GT 48Similar
Q3 4:45
4TH & 6
OPP 48
0
11.3%
James Rendell punt for 24 yds, downed at the GT 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 14MISSED FG
5 plays · 58 yds · 2:3313% → 13%
Q3 4:33
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+60
12.8%
Zach Pyron pass complete to Abdul Janneh Jr. for 60 yds to the ND 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:33
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+3
15.4%
Zach Pyron run for 3 yds to the ND 13Similar
Q3 3:20
2ND & 7
OPP 13
-1
15.2%
Jamal Haynes run for a loss of 1 yard to the ND 14Similar
Q3 2:32
3RD & 8
OPP 14
-4
14.6%
Zach Pyron sacked by Rylie Mills and Jaylen Sneed for a loss of 4 yards to the ND 18Similar
Q3 2:00
4TH & 12
OPP 18
+35
12.9%
Aidan Birr 35 yd FG BLOCKED blocked bySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 15DOWNS
6 plays · 41 yds · 2:2890% → 91%
Q3 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+13
10.5%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Beaux Collins for 13 yds to the ND 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+23
10.3%
Jadarian Price run for 23 yds to the GT 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:35
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-2
9.1%
Jeremiyah Love run for a loss of 2 yards to the GT 46Similar
Q3 0:02
2ND & 12
OPP 46
0
9.0%
Riley Leonard pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 12
OPP 46
+7
9.2%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Jayden Harrison for 7 yds to the GT 39Similar
Q4 14:21
4TH & 5
OPP 39
0
8.7%
Riley Leonard run for no gain to the GT 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 16INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0313% → 12%
Q4 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
12.6%
Zach Pyron pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:07
2ND & 10
OWN 39
0
12.0%
Zach Pyron pass intercepted Xavier Watts return for no gain to the ND 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 17FG
11 plays · 32 yds · 3:5992% → 95%
Q4 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
7.8%
Jeremiyah Love run for 2 yds to the ND 46Similar
Q4 14:00
2ND & 8
OWN 46
0
7.9%
Riley Leonard pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:24
3RD & 8
OWN 46
0
7.8%
Riley Leonard pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:18
4TH & 8
OWN 46
-8
8.5%
Davis Sherwood pass complete to Jeremiyah Love for a loss of 8 yards to the GT 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:18
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
7.5%
Riley Leonard run for 3 yds to the GT 37Similar
Q4 13:18
2ND & 7
OPP 37
+19
7.5%
Jadarian Price run for 19 yds to the GT 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:18
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
7.2%
Jadarian Price run for no gain to the GT 18Similar
Q4 10:14
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+8
5.9%
Jeremiyah Love run for 18 yds Notre Dame Penalty, Offensive Holding (Anthonie Knapp) to the GT 24Similar
Q4 10:14
2ND & 16
OPP 24
0
6.0%
Riley Leonard pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:10
3RD & 16
OPP 24
0
6.4%
Riley Leonard pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:01
4TH & 16
OPP 24
+42
5.3%
Zac Yoakam 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 18DOWNS
9 plays · 20 yds · 1:275% → 5%
Q4 10:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
5.0%
Zach Pyron pass complete to Malik Rutherford for no gain to the GT 25Similar
Q4 9:33
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
5.0%
Zach Pyron pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:27
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
4.9%
Zach Pyron pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:21
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+20
4.7%
Zach Pyron run for 20 yds to the GT 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:21
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
5.3%
Zach Pyron pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:55
2ND & 10
OWN 45
0
5.1%
Zach Pyron pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:49
3RD & 10
OWN 45
0
5.0%
Zach Pyron pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:34
4TH & 10
OWN 45
0
4.8%
Zach Pyron pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 19MISSED FG
14 plays · 16 yds · 5:4297% → 98%
Q4 8:34
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-1
3.2%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Mitchell Evans for a loss of 1 yard to the GT 45Similar
Q4 8:34
2ND & 11
OPP 45
+8
3.2%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Mitchell Evans for 8 yds to the GT 37Similar
Q4 7:12
3RD & 3
OPP 37
+5
3.0%
Jeremiyah Love run for 5 yds to the GT 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:27
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
2.7%
Aneyas Williams run for 3 yds to the GT 29Similar
Q4 5:43
2ND & 7
OPP 29
-4
2.4%
Jadarian Price run for a loss of 4 yards to the GT 33Similar
Q4 5:01
3RD & 11
OPP 33
+7
2.4%
Devyn Ford run for 7 yds to the GT 26Similar
Q4 4:16
4TH & 4
OPP 26
+4
2.2%
Tyler Buchner run for 4 yds to the GT 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:50
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
1.8%
Riley Leonard pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:45
2ND & 10
OPP 22
-3
1.9%
Jeremiyah Love run for a loss of 3 yards to the GT 25Similar
Q4 3:02
3RD & 13
OPP 25
-5
1.7%
Notre Dame Penalty, False Start (Rocco Spindler) to the GT 30Similar
Q4 2:56
3RD & 18
OPP 30
+2
1.7%
Aneyas Williams run for 2 yds to the GT 28Similar
Q4 2:52
4TH & 16
OPP 28
+46
1.7%
Zac Yoakam 46 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 20INT TD
1 play · 0 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 2:37
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-36
0.6%
Zach Pyron pass intercepted Adon Shuler return for 36 yds for a TD (Zac Yoakam KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 21TD
12 plays · 80 yds · 2:081% → 1%
Q4 2:31
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
0.6%
Chad Alexander run for 8 yds to the GT 28Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+4
0.3%
Zach Pyron run for 4 yds to the GT 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-5
0.3%
Georgia Tech Penalty, False Start (Weston Franklin) to the GT 27Similar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 15
OWN 27
+3
0.3%
Zach Pyron run for 3 yds to the GT 30Similar
Q4 1:32
2ND & 12
OWN 30
-10
0.3%
Zach Pyron sacked by Rylie Mills for a loss of 10 yards to the GT 20Similar
Q4 1:32
3RD & 22
OWN 20
+15
0.3%
Zach Pyron pass complete to Bailey Stockton for 15 yds to the GT 35Similar
Q4 1:26
4TH & 7
OWN 35
+15
0.3%
Notre Dame Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the ND 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:18
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+17
0.3%
Zach Pyron pass complete to Eric Singleton Jr. for 17 yds to the ND 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:18
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+5
0.3%
Zach Pyron run for 5 yds to the ND 6Similar
Q4 0:23
2ND & 5
OPP 6
+6
0.8%
Zach Pyron pass complete to Chase Lane for 6 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 22END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-1
0.7%
[NHSG] Kneel down by LEONARD, Riley at GT43 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 1:53
Riley Leonard run for 12 yds for a TD (Zac Yoakam KICK)
-8.6
TD · Q2 7:00
Riley Leonard run for 1 yd for a TD (Zac Yoakam KICK)
-8.1
TD · Q3 11:01
Jeremiyah Love run for 1 yd for a TD (Zac Yoakam KICK)
-8.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com