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STAN

Stanford 7 at Notre Dame 49

ND
2024 · Week 7 · Oct 12, 2024 · Notre Dame Stadium
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Win probability · ND
modelND aheadSTAN aheadconfidence bandkey playND scoreSTAN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 6:11 · Aidan Flintoft punt for 36 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout marginGarbage-time factor
+41.0+20.50−20.5−41.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 55Pregame prior+28.1Home team on offense+3.9Score differential+1.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.0Blowout margin+0.5Garbage-time factor−0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 6:49: Justin Lamson run for 1 yd for a TD (Emmet Kenney KICK) — STAN win probability +1.6 pts (now 14%) (top driver: STAN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 1:27: Riley Leonard run for 6 yds for a TD (Mitch Jeter KICK) — ND win probability +2.7 pts (now 87%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 7:46: Riley Leonard pass complete to Jayden Thomas for 15 yds for a TD (Zac Yoakam KICK) — ND win probability +5.2 pts (now 90%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 1:11: Riley Leonard pass complete to Kris Mitchell for 5 yds for a TD (Zac Yoakam KICK) — ND win probability +5.4 pts (now 92%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 12:12: Jadarian Price run for 16 yds for a TD (Zac Yoakam KICK) — ND win probability +4.6 pts (now 97%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ND made the numbers' call on 4 of 4STAN made the numbers' call on 8 of 8
  1. Q1 12:09ND 4th & 22 at ND 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.3%−0.2
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.5%
    average punt
  2. Q2 13:39STAN 4th & 1 at ND 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 13.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    13.4%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q2 11:13STAN 4th & 5 at ND 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 14.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.9%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    14.5%−0.4
    32% to make
    Punt
    14.6%−0.3
    average punt
  4. Q2 6:11STAN 4th & 6 at STAN 29, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.1%−0.3
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.4%
    average punt
  5. Q2 3:54STAN 4th & 3 at ND 44, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 12.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    11.9%−1.1
    27% to make
    Punt
    12.3%−0.7
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:38ND 4th & 1 at STAN 7, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 87.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    88.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    86.9%−1.1
    91% to make
    Punt
    84.0%−4.1
    average punt
  7. Q3 8:22STAN 4th & 9 at STAN 37, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.5%−0.3
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.7%
    average punt
  8. Q3 4:16STAN 4th & 22 at STAN 24, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.4
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  9. Q4 14:54STAN 4th & 11 at STAN 24, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  10. Q4 12:01ND 4th & 2 at STAN 41, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%−0.2
    32% to make
    Punt
    99.7%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 10:03ND 4th & 2 at STAN 30, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.1
    56% to make
    Punt
    99.7%−0.2
    average punt
  12. Q4 4:51STAN 4th & 2 at ND 43, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−<0.1
    28% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ND made the numbers' call on 7 of 7STAN made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 6:49STAN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    10.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    10.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:27ND Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 7:46ND Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:11ND Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 12:12ND Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 6:49ND Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 1:29ND Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 9:17ND Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NDDrive 1PUNT
9 plays · 4 yds · 2:5191% → 90%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
90.9%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Beaux Collins for 8 yds to the ND 43Similar
Q1 14:19
2ND & 2
OWN 43
0
90.7%
Riley Leonard pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:14
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+8
90.7%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Beaux Collins for 8 yds to the STAN 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:49
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-10
90.6%
(13:49) LEONARD, Riley scrambles to the left for a gain of 19 yards to the STAN30 (LEIGBER, Mitch), out of bounds, clock 13:42. PENALTY UND Holding on KNAPP, Anthonie enforced 10 yards from the STAN49 to the UND41 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 13:24
1ST & 20
OWN 41
+3
90.5%
Jadarian Price run for 3 yds to the ND 44Similar
Q1 12:53
2ND & 17
OWN 44
0
90.3%
Riley Leonard pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:48
3RD & 17
OWN 44
-5
90.3%
Riley Leonard sacked by David Bailey for a loss of 5 yards to the ND 39Similar
Q1 12:09
4TH & 22
OWN 39
0
90.0%
James Rendell punt for 24 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 2TD
9 plays · 63 yds · 5:1410% → 14%
Q1 12:03
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
90.0%
Chris Davis Jr. run for 2 yds to the STAN 39Similar
Q1 11:26
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+9
89.8%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Elic Ayomanor for 9 yds to the STAN 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+6
89.5%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Sam Roush for 6 yds to the ND 46Similar
Q1 10:07
2ND & 4
OPP 46
+27
89.2%
Ashton Daniels run for 27 yds to the ND 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:29
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+8
89.0%
Chris Davis Jr. run for 8 yds to the ND 11Similar
Q1 8:50
2ND & 2
OPP 11
+5
88.7%
Ashton Daniels run for 5 yds to the ND 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
88.4%
Chris Davis Jr. run for 5 yds to the ND 1Similar
Q1 7:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
88.1%
Justin Lamson run for no gain to the ND 1Similar
Q1 6:49
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
86.5%
Justin Lamson run for 1 yd for a TD (Emmet Kenney KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 3TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 5:2287% → 87%
Q1 6:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
86.7%
Jadarian Price run for a loss of 2 yards to the ND 23Similar
Q1 6:17
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+11
86.4%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Kris Mitchell for 11 yds to the ND 34Similar
Q1 5:49
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+4
86.2%
Jadarian Price run for 4 yds to the ND 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
86.0%
Jadarian Price run for 2 yds to the ND 40Similar
Q1 4:47
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+6
85.8%
Jadarian Price run for 6 yds to the ND 46Similar
Q1 4:10
3RD & 2
OWN 46
+19
85.5%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Jaden Greathouse for 19 yds to the STAN 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:49
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
85.8%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Jadarian Price for 4 yds to the STAN 31Similar
Q1 3:08
2ND & 6
OPP 31
+12
85.5%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Kris Mitchell for 12 yds to the STAN 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:33
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+3
85.3%
Jadarian Price run for 3 yds to the STAN 16Similar
Q1 1:59
2ND & 7
OPP 16
+10
85.0%
Jadarian Price run for 10 yds to the STAN 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
84.8%
Riley Leonard pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
87.4%
Riley Leonard run for 6 yds for a TD (Mitch Jeter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 4DOWNS
13 plays · 22 yds · 5:0914% → 18%
Q1 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
85.9%
Emmett Mosley V run for 4 yds to the STAN 34Similar
Q1 0:42
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+8
85.4%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Elic Ayomanor for 8 yds to the STAN 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:09
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-2
84.9%
Emmett Mosley V run for a loss of 2 yards to the STAN 40Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 40
+10
85.2%
Chris Davis Jr. run for 10 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 14:20
3RD & 2
50
+1
84.2%
Emmett Mosley V run for 1 yd to the ND 49Similar
Q2 13:39
4TH & 1
OPP 49
+3
84.2%
Justin Lamson run for 3 yds to the ND 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:01
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-8
83.4%
Ashton Daniels sacked by Howard Cross III for a loss of 8 yards to the STAN 46Similar
Q2 12:19
2ND & 18
OWN 46
+7
84.0%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Sam Roush for 7 yds to the ND 47Similar
Q2 11:38
3RD & 11
OPP 47
+6
83.4%
Ashton Daniels run for 6 yds to the ND 41Similar
Q2 11:13
4TH & 5
OPP 41
-7
81.7%
Ashton Daniels sacked by Howard Cross III for a loss of 7 yards to the ND 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 5TD
7 plays · 52 yds · 3:2184% → 90%
Q2 11:07
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
83.8%
Riley Leonard pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:00
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+3
83.5%
Jeremiyah Love run for 3 yds to the STAN 49Similar
Q2 10:16
3RD & 7
OPP 49
+18
85.0%
Riley Leonard run for 18 yds to the STAN 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:46
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+5
85.6%
Riley Leonard run for 5 yds to the STAN 26Similar
Q2 9:08
2ND & 5
OPP 26
+7
85.4%
Riley Leonard run for 7 yds to the STAN 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:26
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+4
85.2%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Kris Mitchell for 4 yds to the STAN 15Similar
Q2 7:46
2ND & 6
OPP 15
+15
90.3%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Jayden Thomas for 15 yds for a TD (Zac Yoakam KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 1:3511% → 11%
Q2 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
88.8%
(07:46) DANIELS, Ashton pass deep to the right intercepted by MORRISON, Benjamin at the UND26 intended for BACHMEIER, Tiger. Morrison return for 0 yards to the UND26, out of bounds, clock 07:37. PENALTY UND Offsides on OBEN, RJ STAN Holding on ROUSH, Sam , Offsetting penalties [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
88.8%
Ashton Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:24
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
88.9%
Emmett Mosley V run for 3 yds to the STAN 28Similar
Q2 6:44
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+1
89.0%
Chris Davis Jr. run for 1 yd to the STAN 29Similar
Q2 6:11
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
89.2%
Aidan Flintoft punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 7FUMBLE
1 play · 16 yds · 0:0090% → 90%
Q2 6:06
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+16
90.0%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Beaux Collins for 16 yds Beaux Collins fumbled, recovered by STAN Jshawn Frausto-Ramos J. Frausto-Ramos return for 0 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 8DOWNS
5 plays · 7 yds · 2:0412% → 12%
Q2 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
87.7%
Ashton Daniels run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 5:18
2ND & 9
50
+6
87.6%
Ashton Daniels run for 6 yds to the ND 44Similar
Q2 4:40
3RD & 3
OPP 44
0
87.6%
Ashton Daniels run for no gain to the ND 44Similar
Q2 3:54
4TH & 3
OPP 44
0
88.0%
Ashton Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 9TD
12 plays · 56 yds · 2:3790% → 92%
Q2 3:48
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
90.4%
Jeremiyah Love run for 4 yds to the ND 48Similar
Q2 3:11
2ND & 6
OWN 48
+25
90.4%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Jeremiyah Love for 25 yds to the STAN 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:44
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
90.4%
Riley Leonard pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:42
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+11
90.3%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Pat Coogan for 11 yds to the STAN 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
89.1%
Riley Leonard run for no gain to the STAN 16Similar
Q2 1:50
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+1
89.0%
Jeremiyah Love run for 1 yd to the STAN 15Similar
Q2 1:44
3RD & 9
OPP 15
+8
87.4%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Jayden Thomas for 8 yds to the STAN 7Similar
Q2 1:38
4TH & 1
OPP 7
+2
86.6%
Jeremiyah Love run for 2 yds to the STAN 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
92.1%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Kris Mitchell for 5 yds for a TD (Zac Yoakam KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 10END OF HALF
6 plays · 42 yds · 1:087% → 9%
Q2 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
92.9%
Ryan Butler run for 1 yd to the STAN 26Similar
Q2 0:47
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+9
92.9%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Ismael Cisse for 9 yds to the STAN 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
93.1%
Ashton Daniels run for 6 yds to the STAN 41Similar
Q2 0:09
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+16
92.2%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Emmett Mosley V for 16 yds to the ND 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:07
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+10
92.3%
(00:07) DANIELS, Ashton pass deep to the left intercepted by WATTS, Xavier at the UND31 intended for CISSE, Ismael. Watts return for 0 yards to the UND31, End of Play, clock 00:09. PENALTY UND Holding on MORRISON, Benjamin enforced 10 yards from the STAN41 to the UND49 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
91.4%
Ashton Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 11FUMBLE
6 plays · 29 yds · 1:598% → 9%
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+3
91.9%
Chris Davis Jr. run for 3 yds to the STAN 6Similar
Q3 14:08
2ND & 7
OWN 6
0
92.0%
Ashton Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:07
3RD & 7
OWN 6
+13
92.1%
Ashton Daniels run for 13 yds to the STAN 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:27
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+20
91.5%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Ismael Cisse for 20 yds to the STAN 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:01
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
91.0%
Ashton Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:57
2ND & 10
OWN 39
-7
91.2%
Ashton Daniels run for a loss of 7 yards to the STAN 17 Ashton Daniels fumbled, recovered by ND Joshua Burnham J. Burnham return for 15 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 12TD
2 plays · 17 yds · 0:4093% → 97%
Q3 12:52
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+1
92.6%
Jadarian Price run for 1 yd to the STAN 16Similar
Q3 12:12
2ND & 9
OPP 16
+16
97.2%
Jadarian Price run for 16 yds for a TD (Zac Yoakam KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 13PUNT
9 plays · 12 yds · 3:504% → 3%
Q3 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
96.3%
Chris Davis Jr. run for 7 yds to the STAN 32Similar
Q3 11:39
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+2
96.3%
Chris Davis Jr. run for 2 yds to the STAN 34Similar
Q3 11:05
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
96.4%
Justin Lamson run for 2 yds to the STAN 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:24
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
96.4%
Chris Davis Jr. run for 4 yds to the STAN 40Similar
Q3 9:40
2ND & 6
OWN 40
-6
97.0%
Emmett Mosley V run for a loss of 6 yards to the STAN 34Similar
Q3 8:52
3RD & 12
OWN 34
+3
97.2%
Chris Davis Jr. run for 3 yds to the STAN 37Similar
Q3 8:22
4TH & 9
OWN 37
+2
97.3%
Aidan Flintoft punt for 48 yds , Max Hurleman returns for 2 yds to the ND 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 14TD
5 plays · 83 yds · 1:2398% → 100%
Q3 8:12
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+25
97.8%
Riley Leonard pass complete to KK Smith for 25 yds to the ND 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:36
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
98.1%
Jeremiyah Love run for 4 yds to the ND 46Similar
Q3 7:09
2ND & 6
OWN 46
0
98.2%
Riley Leonard pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:04
3RD & 6
OWN 46
+15
98.2%
(07:04) LEONARD, Riley pass to the right incomplete intended for SMITH, KK thrown to the STAN48, clock 06:56. PENALTY STAN Roughing the Passer on COOPER, Ernest enforced 15 yards from the UND46 to the STAN39 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 6:49
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+39
99.6%
Jeremiyah Love run for 39 yds for a TD (Zac Yoakam KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · -1 yds · 2:330% → 0%
Q3 6:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
99.6%
Ashton Daniels run for 7 yds to the STAN 32Similar
Q3 6:12
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+4
99.6%
Ashton Daniels run for 4 yds to the STAN 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
99.6%
Ashton Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:32
2ND & 10
OWN 36
-1
99.7%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Elic Ayomanor for a loss of 1 yard to the STAN 35Similar
Q3 4:48
3RD & 11
OWN 35
-11
99.7%
Ashton Daniels sacked by Rylie Mills for a loss of 11 yards to the STAN 24Similar
Q3 4:16
4TH & 22
OWN 24
+9
99.7%
Aidan Flintoft punt for 49 yds , Max Hurleman returns for 9 yds to the ND 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 16TD
5 plays · 64 yds · 2:35100% → 100%
Q3 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-2
99.8%
Jadarian Price run for a loss of 2 yards to the ND 34Similar
Q3 3:34
2ND & 12
OWN 34
+53
99.8%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Beaux Collins for 53 yds to the STAN 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:46
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
99.8%
Jadarian Price run for no gain to the STAN 13Similar
Q3 2:15
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+8
99.8%
Jadarian Price run for 8 yds to the STAN 5Similar
Q3 1:29
3RD & 2
OPP 5
+5
99.9%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Eli Raridon for 5 yds for a TD (Zac Yoakam KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 1:350% → 0%
Q3 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.9%
Ryan Butler run for 5 yds to the STAN 30Similar
Q3 0:47
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
99.9%
Ryan Butler run for 4 yds to the STAN 34Similar
Q3 0:08
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-5
99.9%
Stanford Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the STAN 29Similar
Q4 14:58
3RD & 6
OWN 29
-5
99.9%
Stanford Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the STAN 24Similar
Q4 14:58
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
99.9%
Justin Lamson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:54
4TH & 11
OWN 24
+13
99.9%
Aidan Flintoft punt for 49 yds , Max Hurleman returns for 13 yds to the ND 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 18TD
12 plays · 60 yds · 5:23100% → 100%
Q4 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
99.9%
Steve Angeli pass complete to Aneyas Williams for 5 yds to the ND 45Similar
Q4 14:07
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+6
99.9%
Aneyas Williams run for 6 yds to the STAN 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:36
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-10
99.9%
(13:36) WILLIAMS, Aneyas rush to the left for a gain of 4 yards to the STAN45 (SINCLAIR, Tristan), clock 13:32. PENALTY UND Holding on SHERWOOD, Davis enforced 10 yards from the STAN49 to the UND41 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 13:19
1ST & 20
OWN 41
0
99.9%
Steve Angeli pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:17
2ND & 20
OWN 41
+4
99.9%
Devyn Ford run for 4 yds to the ND 45Similar
Q4 12:42
3RD & 16
OWN 45
+14
99.9%
Steve Angeli pass complete to Deion Colzie for 14 yds to the STAN 41Similar
Q4 12:01
4TH & 2
OPP 41
+3
99.9%
Steve Angeli run for 3 yds to the STAN 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:25
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
99.9%
Aneyas Williams run for 3 yds to the STAN 35Similar
Q4 10:46
2ND & 7
OPP 35
0
99.9%
Steve Angeli pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:40
3RD & 7
OPP 35
+5
99.9%
Devyn Ford run for 5 yds to the STAN 30Similar
Q4 10:03
4TH & 2
OPP 30
+11
99.9%
Devyn Ford run for 11 yds to the STAN 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:17
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
99.9%
Aneyas Williams run for 19 yds for a TD (Marcello Diomede KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 19DOWNS
11 plays · 28 yds · 4:260% → 0%
Q4 9:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
100.0%
(09:17) LAMSON, Justin pass short to the right incomplete intended for BROWN, Marcus thrown to the STAN27, clock 09:14. PENALTY UND Offsides on YOUNG, Bryce enforced 5 yards from the STAN25 to the STAN30. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 9:10
1ST & 5
OWN 30
+5
100.0%
Bryce Farrell run for 5 yds to the STAN 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:37
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
100.0%
Champ Hampton run for 8 yds to the STAN 43Similar
Q4 8:03
2ND & 2
OWN 43
0
100.0%
Justin Lamson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:19
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+6
100.0%
Justin Lamson pass complete to Benji Blackburn for 6 yds to the STAN 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:41
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
100.0%
Champ Hampton run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 6:05
2ND & 9
50
+7
100.0%
Justin Lamson pass complete to Marcus Brown for 7 yds to the ND 43Similar
Q4 5:34
3RD & 2
OPP 43
0
100.0%
Justin Lamson run for no gain to the ND 43Similar
Q4 4:51
4TH & 2
OPP 43
-4
100.0%
Justin Lamson sacked by Ben Minich and Loghan Thomas for a loss of 4 yards to the ND 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 20END OF GAME
10 plays · 45 yds · 4:25100% → 100%
Q4 4:46
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+12
100.0%
Kedren Young run for 12 yds to the STAN 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:03
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+6
100.0%
Steve Angeli run for 6 yds to the STAN 35Similar
Q4 3:22
2ND & 4
OPP 35
+4
100.0%
Kedren Young run for 4 yds to the STAN 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:42
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+9
100.0%
Kedren Young run for 9 yds to the STAN 22Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 1
OPP 22
0
100.0%
Steve Angeli pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:53
3RD & 1
OPP 22
+5
100.0%
Kedren Young run for 5 yds to the STAN 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:33
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+1
100.0%
Kedren Young run for 1 yd to the STAN 16Similar
Q4 0:59
2ND & 9
OPP 16
+3
100.0%
Kedren Young run for 3 yds to the STAN 13Similar
Q4 0:21
3RD & 6
OPP 13
+5
100.0%
Kedren Young run for 5 yds to the STAN 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 1:11
Riley Leonard pass complete to Kris Mitchell for 5 yds for a TD (Zac Yoakam KICK)
+5.4
TD · Q2 7:46
Riley Leonard pass complete to Jayden Thomas for 15 yds for a TD (Zac Yoakam KICK)
+5.2
TD · Q3 12:12
Jadarian Price run for 16 yds for a TD (Zac Yoakam KICK)
+4.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com