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ND

Notre Dame 66 at Purdue 7

PUR
2024 · Week 3 · Sep 14, 2024 · Ross-Ade Stadium
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Win probability · PUR
modelPUR aheadND aheadconfidence bandkey playPUR scoreND score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · [NHSG] Kneel down by CARR, CJ at PUR31 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+59.5+29.80−29.8−59.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 1:53: Riley Leonard run for 3 yds for a TD (Mitch Jeter KICK) — ND win probability +4.2 pts (now 73%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 8:24: Riley Leonard run for 34 yds for a TD (Mitch Jeter KICK) — ND win probability +11.0 pts (now 87%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 2:10: Riley Leonard run for 13 yds for a TD (Mitch Jeter KICK) — ND win probability +7.1 pts (now 94%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 1:32: Hudson Card pass intercepted Boubacar Traore return for 34 yds for a TD (Mitch Jeter KICK) — ND win probability +1.1 pts (now 96%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 9:33: Hudson Card pass complete to De'Nylon Morrissette for 5 yds for a TD (Spencer Porath KICK) — ND win probability +0.7 pts (now 99%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
PUR made the numbers' call on 9 of 11ND made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 10:09PUR 4th & 4 at PUR 36, down 7
    Close callPunted · 30.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:45ND 4th & 8 at ND 22, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.3%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:41PUR 4th & 15 at PUR 38, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.9%−0.4
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.3%
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:25PUR 4th & 7 at PUR 41, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.6%−0.5
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.1%
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:36ND 4th & 4 at ND 24, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.8%−0.3
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:40PUR 4th & 17 at PUR 31, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.3%−1.7
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.1%
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:04PUR 4th & 5 at PUR 30, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.9%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.1%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:41PUR 4th & 13 at PUR 22, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.3%−0.4
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.7%
    average punt
  9. Q3 13:21PUR 4th & 3 at PUR 32, down 42
    Close callWent for it · 2.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.4%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.4%
    average punt
  10. Q3 5:39ND 4th & 4 at PUR 24, up 42
    Close callKicked a field goal · 98.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.3%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.2%−<0.1
    68% to make
    Punt
    97.9%−0.4
    average punt
  11. Q3 3:35PUR 4th & 17 at PUR 18, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  12. Q4 13:41PUR 4th & 19 at PUR 16, down 52
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.2
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  13. Q4 12:17ND 4th & 12 at ND 33, up 52
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.3%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.4%
    average punt
  14. Q4 10:31PUR 4th & 8 at PUR 26, down 52
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  15. Q4 8:07ND 4th & 12 at ND 27, up 52
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%−0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.6%
    average punt
  16. Q4 2:14PUR 4th & 24 at PUR 13, down 59
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
PUR made the numbers' call on 1 of 1ND made the numbers' call on 9 of 9
  1. Q1 12:50ND Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:53ND Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 8:24ND Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 2:10ND Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 1:32ND Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:04ND Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 12:41ND Touchdown, up 48 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 9:33PUR Touchdown, down 43 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 14:52ND Touchdown, up 51 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 5:44ND Touchdown, up 58 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NDDrive 1TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 2:1068% → 68%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
32.3%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Jayden Harrison for 5 yds to the ND 30Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+6
32.3%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Beaux Collins for 6 yds to the ND 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+13
32.6%
Riley Leonard run for 13 yds to the ND 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
32.8%
Jeremiyah Love run for 3 yds to the PUR 48Similar
Q1 12:50
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+48
32.3%
Jeremiyah Love run for 48 yds for a TD (Mitch Jeter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 24 yds · 2:3433% → 33%
Q1 12:43
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
32.5%
Devin Mockobee run for no gain to the PUR 12Similar
Q1 12:22
2ND & 10
OWN 12
+18
32.5%
Hudson Card pass complete to Jahmal Edrine for 18 yds to the PUR 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:22
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
32.5%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:36
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+3
32.6%
Devin Mockobee run for 3 yds to the PUR 33Similar
Q1 11:05
3RD & 7
OWN 33
+3
32.6%
Hudson Card pass complete to Jaron Tibbs for 3 yds to the PUR 36Similar
Q1 10:09
4TH & 4
OWN 36
0
32.6%
Keelan Crimmins punt for 64 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 1:2467% → 67%
Q1 10:09
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
32.7%
Riley Leonard pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:04
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+1
32.7%
Jadarian Price run for 1 yd to the ND 21Similar
Q1 9:35
3RD & 9
OWN 21
+6
32.9%
Riley Leonard run for 6 yds to the ND 27Similar
Q1 8:55
4TH & 3
OWN 27
-5
32.8%
Notre Dame Penalty, Illegal Snap on KROS, Andrew enforced (-5 Yards) to the ND 22Similar
Q1 8:45
4TH & 8
OWN 22
0
32.9%
James Rendell punt for 35 yds, downed at the PUR 43Similar
Q1 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-10
33.1%
(08:45) CARD, Hudson pass to the right complete for 12 yards to BIBER, Drew caught at the NDU45 and advanced to the NDU45, out of bounds. PENALTY PUR Holding on WINGFIELD, DJ enforced 10 yards from the PUR43 to the PUR33 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 1:0233% → 33%
Q1 8:38
1ST & 20
OWN 33
+5
32.7%
Reggie Love III run for 5 yds to the PUR 38Similar
Q1 8:00
2ND & 15
OWN 38
0
32.9%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:00
3RD & 15
OWN 38
0
32.7%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:41
4TH & 15
OWN 38
0
32.4%
Keelan Crimmins punt for 44 ydsSimilar
Q1 7:36
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-5
32.6%
Notre Dame Penalty, Delay Of Game (Riley Leonard) to the ND 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 5TD
11 plays · 82 yds · 5:4367% → 73%
Q1 7:36
1ST & 15
OWN 13
+6
32.6%
Riley Leonard run for 6 yds to the ND 19Similar
Q1 7:23
2ND & 9
OWN 19
+21
32.6%
Jeremiyah Love run for 21 yds to the ND 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+12
32.0%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Eli Raridon for 12 yds to the PUR 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:54
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
31.9%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Mitchell Evans for 2 yds to the PUR 46Similar
Q1 6:54
2ND & 8
OPP 46
0
31.9%
Riley Leonard pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:14
3RD & 8
OPP 46
+9
32.0%
Aneyas Williams run for 9 yds to the PUR 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:14
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+9
31.9%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Eli Raridon for 9 yds to the PUR 28Similar
Q1 5:14
2ND & 1
OPP 28
+13
31.7%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Jayden Thomas for 13 yds to the PUR 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:14
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+7
31.7%
Jeremiyah Love run for 7 yds to the PUR 8Similar
Q1 5:14
2ND & 3
OPP 8
+5
31.7%
Riley Leonard run for 5 yds to the PUR 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
27.5%
Riley Leonard run for 3 yds for a TD (Mitch Jeter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 24 yds · 1:2429% → 29%
Q1 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+21
28.5%
Hudson Card pass complete to Max Klare for 21 yds to the PUR 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
29.2%
Devin Mockobee run for 2 yds to the PUR 40Similar
Q1 1:49
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+1
29.2%
Hudson Card pass complete to Max Klare for 1 yd Max Klare fumbled, recovered by PUR return for 0 ydsSimilar
Q1 1:49
3RD & 7
OWN 41
0
29.2%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:25
4TH & 7
OWN 41
0
28.5%
Keelan Crimmins punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:4972% → 73%
Q1 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
27.6%
Jadarian Price run for 2 yds to the ND 20Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 20
+2
27.4%
Riley Leonard run for 2 yds to the ND 22Similar
Q2 14:24
3RD & 6
OWN 22
+2
27.5%
Riley Leonard run for 2 yds to the ND 24Similar
Q2 13:36
4TH & 4
OWN 24
0
27.1%
James Rendell punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Dillon Thieneman at the PUR 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · -7 yds · 1:5628% → 26%
Q2 13:36
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
28.4%
Reggie Love III run for 2 yds to the PUR 40Similar
Q2 13:36
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+4
28.3%
Hudson Card pass complete to De'Nylon Morrissette for 4 yds to the PUR 44Similar
Q2 13:36
3RD & 4
OWN 44
-13
28.5%
Hudson Card sacked by Jordan Botelho for a loss of 13 yards to the PUR 31Similar
Q2 11:40
4TH & 17
OWN 31
+9
25.9%
Keelan Crimmins punt for 46 yds , Jaden Greathouse returns for 9 yds to the ND 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 9TD
8 plays · 68 yds · 3:1675% → 87%
Q2 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
25.4%
Jeremiyah Love run for 1 yd to the ND 33Similar
Q2 10:24
2ND & 9
OWN 33
+3
25.2%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Beaux Collins for 3 yds to the ND 36Similar
Q2 10:24
3RD & 6
OWN 36
+6
25.1%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Mitchell Evans for 6 yds to the ND 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:24
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+14
24.6%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Jeremiyah Love for 14 yds to the PUR 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:24
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+10
24.5%
Jeremiyah Love run for 10 yds to the PUR 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:24
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
24.5%
Riley Leonard pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:24
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+34
13.5%
Riley Leonard run for 34 yds for a TD (Mitch Jeter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:2018% → 17%
Q2 8:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
17.5%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:19
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-9
17.3%
Hudson Card sacked by Jason Onye for a loss of 9 yards to the PUR 16Similar
Q2 8:10
3RD & 19
OWN 16
+14
17.9%
Hudson Card pass complete to Max Klare for 14 yds to the PUR 30Similar
Q2 7:04
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
17.2%
Keelan Crimmins punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Jaden Greathouse at the ND 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 11TD
10 plays · 77 yds · 4:5486% → 94%
Q2 7:04
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
14.0%
Jayden Thomas run for 2 yds to the ND 25Similar
Q2 6:51
2ND & 8
OWN 25
+5
13.9%
Riley Leonard run for 5 yds to the ND 30Similar
Q2 6:51
3RD & 3
OWN 30
+23
14.4%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Jayden Thomas for 23 yds to the PUR 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:51
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
13.4%
Jadarian Price run for 5 yds to the PUR 42Similar
Q2 6:51
2ND & 5
OPP 42
0
13.2%
Riley Leonard pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:51
3RD & 5
OPP 42
+11
13.7%
Riley Leonard run for 11 yds to the PUR 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:51
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-1
13.3%
Jadarian Price run for a loss of 1 yard to the PUR 32Similar
Q2 6:51
2ND & 11
OPP 32
0
13.3%
Riley Leonard pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:51
3RD & 11
OPP 32
+19
13.6%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Mitchell Evans for 19 yds to the PUR 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:10
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
6.5%
Riley Leonard run for 13 yds for a TD (Mitch Jeter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 12INT TD
4 plays · 14 yds · 0:286% → 4%
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
6.0%
Reggie Love III run for 7 yds to the PUR 32Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+7
5.2%
Reggie Love III run for 7 yds to the PUR 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:32
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-34
4.1%
Hudson Card pass intercepted Boubacar Traore return for 34 yds for a TD (Mitch Jeter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:514% → 4%
Q2 1:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
4.0%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:28
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
3.8%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:28
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-3
3.8%
Hudson Card run for a loss of 3 yards to the PUR 22Similar
Q2 0:41
4TH & 13
OWN 22
0
3.3%
Keelan Crimmins punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Jaden Greathouse at the ND 40Similar
Q2 0:41
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-10
3.7%
LEONARD, Riley pass to the left complete for 25 yards to GREATHOUSE, Jaden caught at the NDU49 and advanced to the PUR35 (STEVENS, Antonio). PENALTY NDU Holding on TEREK, Chris enforced 10 yards from the NDU40 to the NDU30 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 14TD
1 play · 60 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q2 0:04
1ST & 20
OWN 30
+70
3.3%
Jadarian Price run for 70 yds for a TD (Mitch Jeter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 15END OF HALF
1 play · 10 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
2.3%
Reggie Love III run for 10 yds to the PUR 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 16DOWNS
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:393% → 3%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
3.0%
Hudson Card run for 1 yd to the PUR 26Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+3
2.9%
Hudson Card pass complete to Shamar Rigby for 3 yds to the PUR 29Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+3
2.8%
Hudson Card pass complete to Devin Mockobee for 3 yds to the PUR 32Similar
Q3 13:21
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
2.5%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 17TD
2 plays · 32 yds · 0:4097% → 97%
Q3 13:21
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+4
2.8%
Jeremiyah Love run for 4 yds to the PUR 28Similar
Q3 12:41
2ND & 6
OPP 28
+28
2.9%
Steve Angeli pass complete to Cooper Flanagan for 28 yds for a TD (Mitch Jeter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 18TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 3:082% → 2%
Q3 12:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
1.9%
Reggie Love III run for 11 yds to the PUR 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:41
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
1.9%
Reggie Love III run for 4 yds to the PUR 40Similar
Q3 12:41
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+1
1.8%
Devin Mockobee run for 1 yd to the PUR 41Similar
Q3 12:41
3RD & 5
OWN 41
+52
1.8%
Hudson Card pass complete to Kam Brown for 52 yds to the ND 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
2.3%
Devin Mockobee run for 2 yds to the ND 5Similar
Q3 9:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
1.5%
Hudson Card pass complete to De'Nylon Morrissette for 5 yds for a TD (Spencer Porath KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 19FG
8 plays · 51 yds · 3:5498% → 98%
Q3 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
2.0%
Jeremiyah Love run for 4 yds to the ND 29Similar
Q3 9:33
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-10
2.1%
LOVE, Jeremiyah rush to the left for a gain of 13 yards to the NDU42 (STEVENS, Antonio). PENALTY NDU Holding on KNAPP, Anthonie enforced 10 yards from the NDU29 to the NDU19 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 8:56
2ND & 16
OWN 19
+9
2.0%
Steve Angeli pass complete to Eli Raridon for 9 yds to the ND 28Similar
Q3 8:56
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+42
2.0%
Steve Angeli pass complete to Jayden Harrison for 42 yds to the PUR 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:56
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
1.8%
Steve Angeli pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:11
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+2
1.5%
Jadarian Price run for 2 yds to the PUR 28Similar
Q3 7:11
3RD & 8
OPP 28
+4
1.5%
Steve Angeli pass complete to Jeremiyah Love for 4 yds to the PUR 24Similar
Q3 5:39
4TH & 4
OPP 24
+42
1.7%
Mitch Jeter 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · -7 yds · 2:041% → 1%
Q3 5:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
0.9%
Hudson Card pass complete to Leland Smith for no gain to the PUR 25Similar
Q3 5:39
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
0.9%
Devin Mockobee run for 2 yds to the PUR 27Similar
Q3 5:39
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-9
0.9%
Hudson Card sacked by Boubacar Traore for a loss of 9 yards to the PUR 18Similar
Q3 3:35
4TH & 17
OWN 18
+11
0.6%
Keelan Crimmins punt for 45 yds , Max Hurleman returns for 11 yds to the ND 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 21TD
7 plays · 52 yds · 3:4399% → 99%
Q3 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
1.0%
Jadarian Price run for 4 yds to the PUR 48Similar
Q3 3:35
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+3
1.0%
Jadarian Price run for 3 yds to the PUR 45Similar
Q3 3:35
3RD & 3
OPP 45
+7
1.0%
Devyn Ford run for 7 yds to the PUR 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:35
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-10
1.0%
Steve Angeli sacked by Shitta Sillah for a loss of 10 yards to the PUR 48Similar
Q3 3:35
2ND & 20
OPP 48
+29
1.0%
Steve Angeli run for 29 yds to the PUR 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+11
0.6%
Jeremiyah Love run for 11 yds to the PUR 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
0.7%
Steve Angeli pass complete to Kevin Bauman for 8 yds for a TD (Zac Yoakam KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · -9 yds · 1:110% → 0%
Q4 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
0.3%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:44
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
0.3%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:44
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-9
0.3%
Hudson Card sacked by Kyngstonn Viliamu-Asa and Jason Onye for a loss of 9 yards to the PUR 16Similar
Q4 13:41
4TH & 19
OWN 16
0
0.3%
Keelan Crimmins punt for 49 yds , Max Hurleman returns for no gain to the ND 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 1:2499% → 99%
Q4 13:41
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-2
0.7%
Steve Angeli sacked by Dillon Thieneman for a loss of 2 yards to the ND 33Similar
Q4 13:41
2ND & 12
OWN 33
0
0.7%
Steve Angeli pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:41
3RD & 12
OWN 33
0
0.7%
Jeremiyah Love run for no gain to the ND 33Similar
Q4 12:17
4TH & 12
OWN 33
0
0.6%
James Rendell punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Dillon Thieneman at the PUR 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:460% → 0%
Q4 12:17
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
0.3%
Devin Mockobee run for 3 yds to the PUR 27Similar
Q4 12:17
2ND & 7
OWN 27
-10
0.3%
MOCKOBEE, Devin rush to the left for no gain to the PUR27 (VILIAMU-ASA, Kyngstonn). PENALTY PUR Holding on STEWART, Corey enforced 10 yards from the PUR27 to the PUR17 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 11:44
2ND & 17
OWN 17
+9
0.2%
Reggie Love III run for 9 yds to the PUR 26Similar
Q4 11:44
3RD & 8
OWN 26
0
0.2%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:31
4TH & 8
OWN 26
0
0.2%
Keelan Crimmins punt for 56 yds, downed at the ND 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 25PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 2:24100% → 100%
Q4 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
0.4%
Devyn Ford run for 2 yds to the ND 20Similar
Q4 10:31
2ND & 8
OWN 20
+9
0.4%
Steve Angeli pass complete to KK Smith for 9 yds to the ND 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-5
0.5%
Steve Angeli sacked by Kydran Jenkins and Will Heldt for a loss of 5 yards to the ND 24Similar
Q4 10:31
2ND & 15
OWN 24
+3
0.5%
Kedren Young run for 3 yds to the ND 27Similar
Q4 10:31
3RD & 12
OWN 27
0
0.5%
Steve Angeli pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:07
4TH & 12
OWN 27
0
0.4%
James Rendell punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Dillon Thieneman at the PUR 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 26INT
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:520% → 0%
Q4 8:07
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
0.2%
Reggie Love III run for 3 yds to the PUR 42Similar
Q4 7:15
2ND & 7
OWN 42
-4
0.1%
Hudson Card pass intercepted Kyngstonn Viliamu-Asa return for 4 yds to the PUR 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 27TD
4 plays · 31 yds · 1:31100% → 100%
Q4 7:15
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+4
0.3%
Kenny Minchey pass complete to KK Smith for 4 yds to the PUR 27Similar
Q4 7:15
2ND & 6
OPP 27
+7
0.3%
Kenny Minchey run for 7 yds to the PUR 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:15
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+15
0.3%
MINCHEY, Kenny pass deep to the right incomplete intended for GILBERT, Micah broken up by BROWN, Markevious at the PUR0. PENALTY PUR Pass Interference on BROWN, Markevious enforced at the spot of the foul for 15 yards to the PUR5 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 5:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
0.2%
Kenny Minchey run for 5 yds for a TD (Zac Yoakam KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 28PUNT
7 plays · -14 yds · 3:200% → 0%
Q4 5:34
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
0.1%
Devin Mockobee run for 2 yds to the PUR 29Similar
Q4 5:34
2ND & 8
OWN 29
-10
0.1%
MOCKOBEE, Devin rush to the left for a gain of 8 yards to the PUR37 (MINICH, Ben;VILIAMU-ASA, Kyngstonn). PENALTY PUR Holding on GRANT, Jalen enforced 10 yards from the PUR29 to the PUR19 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 5:34
2ND & 18
OWN 19
-5
0.1%
Purdue Penalty, False Start (Tarrion Grant) to the PUR 14Similar
Q4 5:34
2ND & 23
OWN 14
+3
0.1%
Reggie Love III run for 3 yds to the PUR 17Similar
Q4 5:34
3RD & 20
OWN 17
-13
0.1%
LOVE III, Reggie rush to the right for a gain of 13 yards to the PUR30 (TALICH, Luke). PENALTY PUR Holding on KLARE, Max enforced half the distance from the goal, 8 yards from the PUR17 to the PUR9 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 3:10
3RD & 28
OWN 9
+4
0.1%
Devin Mockobee run for 4 yds to the PUR 13Similar
Q4 2:14
4TH & 24
OWN 13
+5
0.1%
Keelan Crimmins punt for 43 yds , Aneyas Williams returns for 5 yds to the ND 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 29END OF GAME
5 plays · 20 yds · 2:00100% → 100%
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+11
0.1%
Kedren Young run for 11 yds to the PUR 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+8
0.1%
Kedren Young run for 8 yds to the PUR 32Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 2
OPP 32
+3
0.1%
Kedren Young run for 3 yds to the PUR 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-2
0.1%
[NHSG] Kneel down by CARR, CJ at PUR31 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 8:24
Riley Leonard run for 34 yds for a TD (Mitch Jeter KICK)
-11
TD · Q2 2:10
Riley Leonard run for 13 yds for a TD (Mitch Jeter KICK)
-7.1
TD · Q1 1:53
Riley Leonard run for 3 yds for a TD (Mitch Jeter KICK)
-4.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com