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NIU

Northern Illinois 16 at Notre Dame 14

ND
2024 · Week 2 · Sep 7, 2024 · Notre Dame Stadium
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Win probability · ND
modelND aheadNIU aheadconfidence bandkey playND scoreNIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 2:45 · punt for 41 yds for a touchback
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseOffense timeoutsScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorScore differential
+45.5+22.80−22.8−45.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 113Pregame prior+19.0Home team on offense−1.8Offense timeouts−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.7Garbage-time factor−0.3Score differential+0.7
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 13:39: Kanon Woodill 21 yd FG GOOD — NIU win probability +1.5 pts (now 12%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q3 14:58: Antario Brown run for 1 yd to the NIU 26 — ND win probability +10.8 pts (now 75%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 8:34: Jeremiyah Love run for 34 yds for a TD (Mitch Jeter KICK) — ND win probability +15.1 pts (now 84%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 5:55: Timeout Notre Dame, clock 05:55 — NIU win probability +10.6 pts (now 39%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 0:31: Kanon Woodill 35 yd FG GOOD — NIU win probability +52.6 pts (now 94%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ND made the numbers' call on 3 of 6NIU made the numbers' call on 5 of 10
  1. Q1 3:47ND 4th & 19 at ND 16, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.3%−0.3
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 2:13NIU 4th & 8 at ND 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 8.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.0%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    8.0%
    66% to make
    Punt
    7.5%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q2 13:39NIU 4th & 2 at ND 4, up 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 10.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.0%
    50% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    9.7%−0.3
    93% to make
    Punt
    8.3%−1.7
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:43ND 4th & 8 at NIU 39, down 6
    Close callPunted · 87.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.6%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    87.3%−0.3
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    87.4%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:16NIU 4th & 4 at NIU 41, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.6%−0.2
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:16ND 4th & 4 at NIU 47, down 6
    Close callPunted · 81.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.0%−0.6
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:47NIU 4th & 1 at NIU 21, up 6
    Close callPunted · 21.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.8%−0.8
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:03ND 4th & 3 at NIU 30, down 6
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.0 ptsKicked a field goal · 78.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    77.8%−1.0
    56% to make
    Punt
    77.0%−1.8
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:21NIU 4th & 8 at ND 36, up 6
    Close callKicked a field goal · 29.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.9%
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    29.5%−0.4
    42% to make
    Punt
    29.1%−0.8
    average punt
  10. Q3 2:45NIU 4th & 7 at ND 41, down 1
    Close callPunted · 22.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.0%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    21.4%−1.6
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    22.1%−0.9
    average punt
  11. Q3 1:43ND 4th & 5 at ND 25, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.4%−1.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.5%
    average punt
  12. Q4 12:13NIU 4th & 2 at ND 30, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 28.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    29.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    26.5%−2.5
    56% to make
    Punt
    23.1%−5.9
    average punt
  13. Q4 10:58ND 4th & 5 at ND 35, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.3%−0.8
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.1%
    average punt
  14. Q4 7:55NIU 4th & 6 at NIU 45, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.4%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.6%
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:56NIU 4th & 2 at ND 31, down 1
    Numbers favored field goal by 4.9 ptsWent for it · 37.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    36.3%−4.9
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    41.2%
    54% to make
    Punt
    27.1%−14.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:31NIU 4th & 1 at ND 19, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 39.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.0%−21.3
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    56.4%
    77% to make
    Punt
    14.2%−42.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ND made the numbers' call on 2 of 2NIU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 8:28ND Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:35NIU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    6.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    6.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 8:34ND Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NDDrive 1TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 6:2595% → 95%
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
95.2%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Beaux Collins for 7 yds to the ND 32Similar
Q1 14:27
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+7
95.2%
Riley Leonard run for 7 yds to the ND 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:57
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
95.1%
Jeremiyah Love run for 5 yds to the ND 44Similar
Q1 13:26
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+5
95.0%
Riley Leonard run for 5 yds to the ND 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-10
94.9%
(12:50) LOVE, Jeremiyah rush to the left for a gain of 2 yards to the NIU49 (FUHRMAN, Christian;WILLIAMS, Jalonnie), clock 12:44. PENALTY UND Holding on SCHRAUTH, Billy enforced 10 yards from the UND49 to the UND39 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 12:35
1ST & 20
OWN 39
+8
94.8%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Jaden Greathouse for 8 yds to the ND 47Similar
Q1 12:01
2ND & 12
OWN 47
0
94.7%
Riley Leonard pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:57
3RD & 12
OWN 47
+14
94.6%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Mitchell Evans for 14 yds to the NIU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:20
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+1
94.6%
Riley Leonard run for 1 yd to the NIU 38Similar
Q1 10:42
2ND & 9
OPP 38
+11
94.5%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Jaden Greathouse for 11 yds to the NIU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:13
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+9
94.4%
Riley Leonard run for 9 yds to the NIU 18Similar
Q1 9:34
2ND & 1
OPP 18
+6
94.3%
Jeremiyah Love run for 6 yds to the NIU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:13
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+1
94.2%
Jeremiyah Love run for 1 yd to the NIU 11Similar
Q1 8:28
2ND & 9
OPP 11
+11
94.5%
Riley Leonard run for 11 yds for a TD (Mitch Jeter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 2TD
5 plays · 98 yds · 2:496% → 7%
Q1 8:24
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+5
94.3%
Antario Brown run for 5 yds to the NIU 7Similar
Q1 7:51
2ND & 5
OWN 7
+2
94.2%
Antario Brown run for 2 yds to the NIU 9Similar
Q1 7:15
3RD & 3
OWN 9
+3
94.3%
Ethan Hampton run for 3 yds to the NIU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+5
94.0%
Trayvon Rudolph run for 5 yds to the NIU 17Similar
Q1 5:35
2ND & 5
OWN 17
+83
93.0%
Ethan Hampton pass complete to Antario Brown for 83 yds for a TD Notre Dame Penalty, Roughing the Passer on Rylie Mills. (Kanon Woodill KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · -9 yds · 1:4893% → 92%
Q1 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
93.0%
Jadarian Price run for 1 yd to the ND 26Similar
Q1 5:05
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-1
92.8%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Jadarian Price for a loss of 1 yard to the ND 25Similar
Q1 4:26
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-9
92.5%
Riley Leonard sacked by Devonte O'Malley for a loss of 9 yards to the ND 16Similar
Q1 3:47
4TH & 19
OWN 16
0
92.2%
James Rendell punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 4FG
5 plays · 30 yds · 1:288% → 9%
Q1 3:41
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+28
92.0%
Antario Brown run for 28 yds to the ND 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:04
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
91.5%
Antario Brown run for 2 yds to the ND 25Similar
Q1 2:26
2ND & 8
OPP 25
0
91.1%
Trayvon Rudolph pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:23
3RD & 8
OPP 25
0
91.4%
Ethan Hampton pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:13
4TH & 8
OPP 25
+42
91.2%
Kanon Woodill 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 5INT
4 plays · 12 yds · 1:1391% → 91%
Q1 2:04
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
90.9%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Jeremiyah Love for 8 yds to the ND 45Similar
Q1 1:27
2ND & 2
OWN 45
0
91.0%
Riley Leonard pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:25
3RD & 2
OWN 45
+4
90.8%
Riley Leonard run for 4 yds to the ND 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
90.7%
Riley Leonard pass intercepted Christian Fuhrman return for no gain to the NIU 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 6FG
6 plays · 51 yds · 2:0610% → 12%
Q1 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+43
90.3%
Ethan Hampton pass complete to Antario Brown for 43 yds to the ND 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:58
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
89.4%
Ethan Hampton pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:53
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+2
89.3%
Ethan Hampton run for 2 yds to the ND 10Similar
Q2 14:07
3RD & 8
OPP 10
+6
89.1%
Antario Brown run for 6 yds to the ND 4Similar
Q2 13:39
4TH & 2
OPP 4
+21
87.7%
Kanon Woodill 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 32 yds · 2:5289% → 88%
Q2 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+15
89.2%
Jadarian Price run for 15 yds to the ND 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
89.3%
Riley Leonard pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:53
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+15
89.0%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Beaux Collins for 15 yds to the NIU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:21
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
89.0%
Riley Leonard run for 2 yds to the NIU 39Similar
Q2 11:58
2ND & 8
OPP 39
-2
88.8%
Riley Leonard run for a loss of 2 yards to the NIU 41Similar
Q2 11:26
3RD & 10
OPP 41
+2
88.2%
Riley Leonard run for 2 yds to the NIU 39Similar
Q2 10:43
4TH & 8
OPP 39
0
87.7%
James Rendell punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Dane Pardridge at the NIU 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 8PUNT
11 plays · 30 yds · 4:2114% → 16%
Q2 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 11
-1
86.0%
Antario Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the NIU 10Similar
Q2 9:56
2ND & 11
OWN 10
+11
86.9%
Antario Brown run for 11 yds to the NIU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
86.1%
Ethan Hampton pass complete to Brock Lampe for 3 yds to the NIU 24Similar
Q2 8:34
2ND & 7
OWN 24
+5
86.5%
Antario Brown run for 5 yds to the NIU 29Similar
Q2 7:47
3RD & 2
OWN 29
+6
85.4%
Antario Brown run for 6 yds to the NIU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
84.6%
Ethan Hampton pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:02
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+6
84.7%
Gavin Williams run for 6 yds to the NIU 41Similar
Q2 6:20
3RD & 4
OWN 41
0
83.7%
Ethan Hampton pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:16
4TH & 4
OWN 41
0
84.2%
Tom Foley punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Jaden Greathouse at the ND 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 9PUNT
8 plays · 23 yds · 2:5385% → 83%
Q2 6:09
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
85.2%
Jeremiyah Love run for 9 yds to the ND 39Similar
Q2 5:39
2ND & 1
OWN 39
0
85.8%
Riley Leonard pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:34
3RD & 1
OWN 39
+17
85.4%
Jeremiyah Love run for 27 yds to the NIU 34 Notre Dame Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the ND 35Similar
Q2 5:07
3RD & 5
OWN 35
+12
84.4%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Mitchell Evans for 12 yds to the ND 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:34
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
85.2%
Jeremiyah Love run for 4 yds to the NIU 49Similar
Q2 4:05
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+2
85.1%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Jeremiyah Love for 2 yds to the NIU 47Similar
Q2 3:21
3RD & 4
OPP 47
0
83.8%
Riley Leonard pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:16
4TH & 4
OPP 47
0
83.0%
James Rendell punt for 35 yds, downed at the NIU 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 9 yds · 1:1817% → 18%
Q2 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+1
82.7%
Antario Brown run for 1 yd to the NIU 13Similar
Q2 2:09
2ND & 9
OWN 13
+8
80.6%
Antario Brown run for 8 yds to the NIU 21Similar
Q2 2:00
3RD & 1
OWN 21
0
81.8%
Antario Brown run for no gain to the NIU 21Similar
Q2 1:47
4TH & 1
OWN 21
0
82.5%
Tom Foley punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 11MISSED FG
11 plays · 31 yds · 1:3881% → 64%
Q2 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
81.4%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Beaux Collins for 6 yds to the ND 45Similar
Q2 1:14
2ND & 4
OWN 45
+6
81.9%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Devyn Ford for 6 yds to the NIU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:54
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
82.1%
Devyn Ford run for no gain to the NIU 49Similar
Q2 0:51
2ND & 10
OPP 49
-14
73.7%
Riley Leonard sacked for a loss of 14 yards to the ND 37 TEAM fumbled, recovered by ND , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 0:43
3RD & 24
OWN 37
+26
71.8%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Jaden Greathouse for 11 yds to the NIU 48 for a 1ST down Northern Illinois Penalty, Personal Foul (Nate Valcarcel) to the NIU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:37
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
74.1%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Kris Mitchell for 3 yds to the NIU 34Similar
Q2 0:18
2ND & 7
OPP 34
0
75.5%
Riley Leonard pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:12
3RD & 7
OPP 34
+4
73.9%
Aneyas Williams run for 4 yds to the NIU 30Similar
Q2 0:03
4TH & 3
OPP 30
+48
64.0%
Mitch Jeter 48 yd FG blocked by Cade Haberman, recovered by NIU Santana Banner, returned 47 yards to the ND 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 12MISSED FG
11 plays · 39 yds · 3:3725% → 32%
Q3 14:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
74.8%
Antario Brown run for 1 yd to the NIU 26Similar
Q3 14:19
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+10
74.1%
Antario Brown run for 10 yds to the NIU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:39
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+12
72.3%
Ethan Hampton pass complete to Cam Thompson for 12 yds to the NIU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:02
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+14
70.3%
Ethan Hampton pass complete to Keyshaun Pipkin for 14 yds to the ND 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:38
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+6
68.2%
Antario Brown run for 6 yds to the ND 32Similar
Q3 12:09
2ND & 4
OPP 32
0
67.1%
Ethan Hampton pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:03
3RD & 4
OPP 32
-4
67.2%
Antario Brown run for a loss of 4 yards to the ND 36Similar
Q3 11:21
4TH & 8
OPP 36
+53
67.9%
Kanon Woodill 53 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 13TD
6 plays · 64 yds · 2:4169% → 84%
Q3 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
69.0%
Jeremiyah Love run for 3 yds to the ND 39Similar
Q3 10:45
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+9
69.3%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Jaden Greathouse for 9 yds to the ND 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:18
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
69.5%
Jeremiyah Love run for 1 yd to the ND 49Similar
Q3 9:37
2ND & 9
OWN 49
+10
68.3%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Kris Mitchell for 10 yds to the NIU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:08
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+7
68.8%
Jeremiyah Love run for 7 yds to the NIU 34Similar
Q3 8:34
2ND & 3
OPP 34
+34
83.9%
Jeremiyah Love run for 34 yds for a TD (Mitch Jeter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 14PUNT
12 plays · 34 yds · 5:4719% → 23%
Q3 8:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
81.4%
Antario Brown run for 2 yds to the NIU 27Similar
Q3 7:50
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+6
80.7%
Antario Brown run for 6 yds to the NIU 33Similar
Q3 7:05
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+12
80.2%
Ethan Hampton pass complete to Tristen Tewes for 12 yds to the NIU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:19
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
77.6%
Antario Brown run for 3 yds to the NIU 48Similar
Q3 5:32
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+6
76.8%
Gavin Williams run for 6 yds to the ND 46Similar
Q3 4:58
3RD & 1
OPP 46
+2
75.6%
Ethan Hampton run for 2 yds to the ND 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:14
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
73.8%
George Dimopoulos run for 12 yds to the NIU 32 Northern Illinois Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 3:54
1ST & 16
50
+2
75.1%
Gavin Williams run for 2 yds to the ND 48Similar
Q3 3:37
2ND & 14
OPP 48
+7
76.9%
Gavin Williams run for 7 yds to the ND 41Similar
Q3 2:53
3RD & 7
OPP 41
0
74.9%
Ethan Hampton pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:45
4TH & 7
OPP 41
0
76.8%
punt for 41 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:0277% → 74%
Q3 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
76.9%
Jadarian Price run for 1 yd to the ND 21Similar
Q3 2:13
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+4
76.1%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Jayden Thomas for 4 yds to the ND 25Similar
Q3 1:52
3RD & 5
OWN 25
0
75.2%
Riley Leonard pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:43
4TH & 5
OWN 25
+3
73.7%
James Rendell punt for 38 yds , Dane Pardridge returns for 3 yds to the NIU 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 16DOWNS
10 plays · 30 yds · 4:2525% → 28%
Q3 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+11
74.9%
Ethan Hampton run for 11 yds to the ND 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:11
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
73.1%
Ethan Hampton pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:06
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+7
73.5%
Gavin Williams run for 7 yds to the ND 42Similar
Q3 0:21
3RD & 3
OPP 42
-10
73.1%
Northern Illinois Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the NIU 49Similar
Q4 14:58
3RD & 12
OWN 49
+13
74.7%
Ethan Hampton pass complete to Grayson Barnes for 13 yds to the ND 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:23
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
71.3%
Gavin Williams run for no gain to the ND 38Similar
Q4 13:38
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+6
70.3%
Gavin Williams run for 6 yds to the ND 32Similar
Q4 12:58
3RD & 4
OPP 32
+2
69.2%
Antario Brown run for 2 yds to the ND 30Similar
Q4 12:13
4TH & 2
OPP 30
0
72.0%
Ethan Hampton pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:1176% → 74%
Q4 12:09
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
76.3%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Jaden Greathouse for 2 yds to the ND 32Similar
Q4 11:40
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+3
75.9%
Jeremiyah Love run for 3 yds to the ND 35Similar
Q4 11:01
3RD & 5
OWN 35
0
74.9%
Riley Leonard pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:58
4TH & 5
OWN 35
+8
73.6%
James Rendell punt for 44 yds , Dane Pardridge returns for 8 yds to the NIU 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 2:4429% → 30%
Q4 10:39
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
71.5%
Gavin Williams run for 4 yds to the NIU 33Similar
Q4 10:01
2ND & 6
OWN 33
+8
70.3%
Ethan Hampton pass complete to George Dimopoulos for 8 yds to the NIU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
67.5%
Gavin Williams run for 1 yd to the NIU 42Similar
Q4 8:47
2ND & 9
OWN 42
+3
67.4%
Gavin Williams run for 3 yds to the NIU 45Similar
Q4 7:59
3RD & 6
OWN 45
0
66.4%
Ethan Hampton pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:55
4TH & 6
OWN 45
0
69.7%
Tom Foley punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Jaden Greathouse at the ND 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 19INT
5 plays · 24 yds · 1:4269% → 72%
Q4 7:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
69.2%
Jadarian Price run for 7 yds to the ND 32Similar
Q4 7:13
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+8
70.6%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Beaux Collins for 8 yds to the ND 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:39
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+9
70.9%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Beaux Collins for 9 yds to the ND 49Similar
Q4 6:07
2ND & 1
OWN 49
-33
72.1%
Riley Leonard pass intercepted Amariyun Knighten return for 33 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 20FG
15 plays · 31 yds · 5:2439% → 94%
Q4 5:55
1ST & 10
50
+9
61.5%
Gavin Williams run for 9 yds to the ND 41Similar
Q4 5:14
2ND & 1
OPP 41
0
59.7%
Gavin Williams run for no gain to the ND 41Similar
Q4 4:33
3RD & 1
OPP 41
+2
60.0%
Grayson Barnes run for 2 yds to the ND 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:59
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-2
59.0%
Gavin Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the ND 41Similar
Q4 3:17
2ND & 12
OPP 41
+8
59.7%
Ethan Hampton pass complete to Dane Pardridge for 8 yds to the ND 33Similar
Q4 2:34
3RD & 4
OPP 33
+2
57.3%
Ethan Hampton pass complete to Andrew McElroy for 2 yds to the ND 31Similar
Q4 1:56
4TH & 2
OPP 31
+3
64.3%
Ethan Hampton run for 3 yds to the ND 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:47
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+1
55.8%
Gavin Williams run for 1 yd to the ND 27Similar
Q4 1:45
2ND & 9
OPP 27
+7
56.5%
Gavin Williams run for 7 yds to the ND 20Similar
Q4 0:43
3RD & 2
OPP 20
+1
62.7%
Gavin Williams run for 1 yd to the ND 19Similar
Q4 0:31
4TH & 1
OPP 19
+35
6.2%
Kanon Woodill 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 21MISSED FG
5 plays · 19 yds · 0:195% → 5%
Q4 0:24
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
5.2%
Riley Leonard pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:17
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+19
5.1%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Kris Mitchell for 19 yds to the NIU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:09
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
5.8%
Riley Leonard pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:09
2ND & 10
OPP 44
0
5.4%
Riley Leonard pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:05
3RD & 10
OPP 44
+62
4.5%
Mitch Jeter 62 yd FG blocked by Cade HabermanSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q4 0:31
Kanon Woodill 35 yd FG GOOD
-52.6
TD · Q3 8:34
Jeremiyah Love run for 34 yds for a TD (Mitch Jeter KICK)
+15.1
KEY PLAY · Q3 14:58
Antario Brown run for 1 yd to the NIU 26
+10.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com