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MONM

Monmouth 45 at Florida International 42

FIU
2024 · Week 4 · Sep 21, 2024 · Pitbull Stadium
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Win probability · FIU
modelFIU aheadMONM aheadconfidence bandkey playFIU scoreMONM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of GameFG-39.8FIU 11.7%Michael Calton Jr. 43 yd FG GOODAWAY 45 - HOME 42 · Q4 1:52
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 1:52 · Michael Calton Jr. 43 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+34.5+17.30−17.3−34.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 172Pregame prior+1.2Home team on offense−24.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.3Score differential−4.9Garbage-time factor−11.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−10.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 11:10: Derek Robertson pass complete to Gavin Nelson for 4 yds for a TD (Michael Calton Jr. KICK) — MONM win probability +11.6 pts (now 34%) (top driver: MONM has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 4:37: Rodney Nelson run for 59 yds for a TD (Michael Calton Jr. KICK) — MONM win probability +17.8 pts (now 39%) (top driver: MONM has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 13:24: Sone Ntoh run for 1 yd for a TD (Michael Calton Jr. KICK) — MONM win probability +33.9 pts (now 76%) (top driver: MONM has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 10:12: Kejon Owens 12 Yd Run (Alejandro Prado Kick) — FIU win probability +30.6 pts (now 66%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 1:52: Michael Calton Jr. 43 yd FG GOOD — MONM win probability +39.8 pts (now 88%) (top driver: MONM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FIU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6MONM made the numbers' call on 10 of 12
  1. Q1 12:02MONM 4th & 4 at MONM 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 20.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    20.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    20.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:53MONM 4th & 5 at FIU 18, tied
    Close callWent for it · 21.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    21.2%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    21.3%
    79% to make
    Punt
    20.8%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:29MONM 4th & 11 at MONM 24, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.5%−0.2
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.7%
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:49FIU 4th & 1 at MONM 1, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 80.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    80.0%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    79.4%−0.6
    94% to make
    Punt
    77.9%−2.2
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:44MONM 4th & 1 at FIU 30, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 17.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    17.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    16.7%−1.0
    56% to make
    Punt
    16.2%−1.6
    average punt
  6. Q1 1:07FIU 4th & 5 at FIU 35, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.4%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 13:59MONM 4th & 2 at FIU 34, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 21.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    21.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    20.5%−0.7
    47% to make
    Punt
    20.1%−1.0
    average punt
  8. Q2 9:19MONM 4th & 1 at MONM 41, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 15.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    15.2%−0.9
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:25MONM 4th & 1 at FIU 28, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 15.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    15.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    14.6%−0.9
    60% to make
    Punt
    12.4%−3.1
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:12FIU 4th & 14 at FIU 32, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.6%−2.0
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.6%
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:37MONM 4th & 1 at MONM 39, down 7
    Close callPunted · 20.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.3%−0.4
    average punt
  12. Q3 13:16FIU 4th & 9 at FIU 17, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.4%−1.3
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.7%
    average punt
  13. Q3 7:11MONM 4th & 4 at MONM 31, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.3%−0.8
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.1%
    average punt
  14. Q3 5:55FIU 4th & 2 at FIU 37, up 7
    Close callPunted · 82.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.9%−0.7
    average punt
  15. Q3 2:03FIU 4th & 6 at FIU 14, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.7%−1.9
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.6%
    average punt
  16. Q3 0:46MONM 4th & 4 at FIU 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 40.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    42.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    40.8%−1.5
    average punt
  17. Q4 7:47MONM 4th & 11 at MONM 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.2%−5.5
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.6%
    average punt
  18. Q4 1:52MONM 4th & 10 at FIU 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 50.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.4%−4.9
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    45.3%
    64% to make
    Punt
    17.2%−28.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FIU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6MONM made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 9:53FIU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:49FIU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 1:44MONM Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    20.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    20.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 10:53FIU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 7:03MONM Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    20.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    20.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 6:01FIU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 1:49MONM Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    19.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    19.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 11:10MONM Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    29.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 8:07FIU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q3 4:37MONM Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    32.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 13:24MONM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.0%−0.3
    45% to convert
  12. Q4 10:12FIU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.4%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MONMDrive 1INT TD
11 plays · 57 yds · 5:0616% → 16%
Q1 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
84.3%
Rodney Nelson run for 7 yds to the MONM 32Similar
Q1 14:36
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+7
84.2%
Derek Robertson pass complete to Gavin Nelson for 7 yds to the MONM 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:02
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
84.0%
Rodney Nelson run for 2 yds to the MONM 41Similar
Q1 13:28
2ND & 8
OWN 41
-10
83.8%
(13:28) ROBERTSON, Derek pass up the middle complete for 16 yards to MIDDLETON, Marcus caught at the FIU48 and advanced to the FIU43 (EVANS, JoJo), clock 13:22. PENALTY MON Holding on GATLING, Ed enforced 10 yards from the MON41 to the MON31 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 13:06
2ND & 18
OWN 31
+2
83.8%
Rodney Nelson run for 2 yds to the MONM 33Similar
Q1 12:45
3RD & 16
OWN 33
+12
83.8%
Derek Robertson pass complete to Josh Derry for 12 yds to the MONM 45Similar
Q1 12:02
4TH & 4
OWN 45
+32
83.5%
Derek Robertson pass complete to Josh Derry for 32 yds to the FIU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:35
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
83.1%
Derek Robertson pass complete to Sone Ntoh for 3 yds to the FIU 20Similar
Q1 10:52
2ND & 7
OPP 20
+2
82.8%
Sone Ntoh run for 2 yds to the FIU 18Similar
Q1 10:08
3RD & 5
OPP 18
0
82.6%
Derek Robertson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:53
4TH & 5
OPP 18
-85
83.8%
Derek Robertson pass intercepted Travion Barnes return for 85 yds for a TD (Alejandro Prado KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MONMDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 1:2416% → 16%
Q1 9:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
83.8%
Monmouth Penalty, Delay Of Game (Derek Robertson) to the MONM 20Similar
Q1 9:51
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+3
83.8%
Derek Robertson pass complete to TJ Speight for 3 yds to the MONM 23Similar
Q1 9:15
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+6
83.9%
Rodney Nelson run for 6 yds to the MONM 29Similar
Q1 8:33
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
83.8%
Derek Robertson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:30
4TH & 6
OWN 29
-5
84.0%
Monmouth Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MONM 24Similar
Q1 8:29
4TH & 11
OWN 24
+4
84.0%
Luke Schabel punt for 37 yds , Dean Patterson returns for 4 yds to the FIU 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 3TD
9 plays · 57 yds · 3:3184% → 86%
Q1 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+14
84.1%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Nazeviah Burris for 14 yds to the MONM 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:59
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+23
84.1%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Dean Patterson for 23 yds to the MONM 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:26
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-10
84.1%
(07:26) JENKINS, Keyone pass to the right complete for 20 yards to JOSEPH, Lexington caught at the MON25 and advanced to the MON0, TOUCHDOWN FIU, score nullified by penalty, clock 07:14 (Play was confirmed after review). PENALTY FIU Holding on LEE, JaDarious enforced 10 yards from the MON20 to the MON30 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 7:13
1ST & 20
OPP 30
+4
84.1%
Keyone Jenkins run for 4 yds to the MONM 26Similar
Q1 6:40
2ND & 16
OPP 26
+20
83.9%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Nazeviah Burris for 20 yds to the MONM 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
84.1%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
84.1%
Lexington Joseph run for 4 yds to the MONM 2Similar
Q1 5:26
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
83.9%
Lexington Joseph run for 1 yd to the MONM 1Similar
Q1 4:49
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
86.1%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Dean Patterson for 1 yd for a TD (Alejandro Prado KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MONMDrive 4TD
9 plays · 81 yds · 2:5915% → 18%
Q1 4:43
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
85.4%
Derek Robertson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:41
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+7
85.5%
Derek Robertson pass complete to Josh Derry for 7 yds to the MONM 26Similar
Q1 3:58
3RD & 3
OWN 26
+24
85.2%
Derek Robertson pass complete to Marcus Middleton for 24 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:36
1ST & 10
50
+11
85.0%
Derek Robertson pass complete to Marcus Middleton for 11 yds to the FIU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:15
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
84.9%
TJ Speight run for 5 yds to the FIU 34Similar
Q1 2:52
2ND & 5
OPP 34
-2
84.7%
Derek Robertson pass complete to Jack Neri for a loss of 2 yards to the FIU 36Similar
Q1 2:28
3RD & 7
OPP 36
+6
84.7%
Derek Robertson pass complete to Rodney Nelson for 6 yds to the FIU 30Similar
Q1 1:44
4TH & 1
OPP 30
+30
82.2%
Sone Ntoh run for 30 yds for a TD (Michael Calton Jr. KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:3185% → 84%
Q1 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
84.9%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:35
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+5
84.8%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Juju Lewis for 5 yds to the FIU 35Similar
Q1 1:11
3RD & 5
OWN 35
0
84.7%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:07
4TH & 5
OWN 35
+11
84.1%
Daton Montiel punt for 35 yds , Makhi Green returns for 11 yds to the MONM 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MONMDrive 6DOWNS
6 plays · 26 yds · 1:5818% → 18%
Q1 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+17
82.3%
Derek Robertson pass complete to TJ Speight for 17 yds to the FIU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:35
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-5
81.7%
Monmouth Penalty, False Start (Shalik Hubbard) to the FIU 47Similar
Q1 0:14
1ST & 15
OPP 47
+2
82.1%
Makhi Green run for 2 yds to the FIU 45Similar
Q2 14:59
2ND & 13
OPP 45
+7
82.0%
Derek Robertson pass complete to Marcus Middleton for 7 yds to the FIU 38Similar
Q2 14:39
3RD & 6
OPP 38
+4
81.6%
Makhi Green run for 4 yds to the FIU 34Similar
Q2 13:59
4TH & 2
OPP 34
+1
81.9%
Sone Ntoh run for 1 yd to the FIU 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 7TD
7 plays · 67 yds · 2:5685% → 89%
Q2 13:49
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+11
84.5%
Dean Patterson run for 11 yds to the FIU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:12
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-5
85.1%
(13:12) JENKINS, Keyone pass short to the left complete for 7 yards to FOURNET, Ross caught at the FIU45 and advanced to the MON49 (MCCRARY, Damir), clock 13:04. PENALTY FIU Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on BURKE, Travis enforced 5 yards from the FIU44 to the FIU39 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 12:45
1ST & 15
OWN 39
+7
84.7%
Kejon Owens run for 7 yds to the FIU 46Similar
Q2 12:05
2ND & 8
OWN 46
+30
85.1%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Eric Rivers for 30 yds to the MONM 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:40
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+17
85.4%
Keyone Jenkins run for 17 yds to the MONM 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
85.3%
Kejon Owens run for 5 yds to the MONM 2Similar
Q2 10:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
89.1%
Kejon Owens run for 2 yds for a TD (Alejandro Prado KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MONMDrive 8TD
10 plays · 68 yds · 3:4114% → 20%
Q2 10:44
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
85.7%
Derek Robertson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:39
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+9
85.9%
Derek Robertson pass complete to Josh Derry for 9 yds to the MONM 41Similar
Q2 9:58
3RD & 1
OWN 41
0
85.7%
Sone Ntoh run for no gain to the MONM 41Similar
Q2 9:19
4TH & 1
OWN 41
+2
87.1%
Sone Ntoh run for 2 yds to the MONM 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+12
86.8%
Derek Robertson pass complete to Gavin Nelson for 12 yds to the FIU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:37
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
86.0%
Makhi Green run for 2 yds to the FIU 43Similar
Q2 8:18
2ND & 8
OPP 43
+26
86.1%
Derek Robertson pass complete to Josh Derry for 26 yds to the FIU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:38
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+14
85.4%
Derek Robertson pass complete to Tra Neal for 14 yds to the FIU 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
80.4%
Sone Ntoh run for 3 yds for a TD (Michael Calton Jr. KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 9TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:0185% → 91%
Q2 7:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
85.3%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:57
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
85.2%
Lexington Joseph run for 5 yds to the FIU 30Similar
Q2 6:25
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+15
84.9%
(06:25) JENKINS, Keyone pass up the middle complete for 13 yards to MIAMEN, Josiah caught at the FIU36 and advanced to the FIU43 (ODOM, Alex;SASSO, Charlie), clock 06:16. PENALTY MON Personal Foul on MITCHELL, Miles enforced 15 yards from the FIU43 to the MON42 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 6:01
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+42
91.3%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Juju Lewis for 42 yds for a TD (Alejandro Prado KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MONMDrive 10TD
16 plays · 75 yds · 4:0611% → 17%
Q2 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
88.9%
Rodney Nelson run for a loss of 1 yard to the MONM 24Similar
Q2 5:11
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+18
89.1%
Derek Robertson pass complete to Makhi Green for 18 yds to the MONM 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:51
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
88.8%
(04:51) ROBERTSON, Derek pass up the middle incomplete intended for JAMES, Maxwell broken up by CHRISTIAN, CJ at the FIU43, clock 04:49. PENALTY FIU Offsides on HILL, Quaylen declined Before the snap, FIU Illegal Substitution enforced 5 yards from the MON42 to the MON47. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 4:47
1ST & 5
OWN 47
+16
88.0%
Derek Robertson pass complete to Max James for 16 yds to the FIU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:28
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
88.0%
Derek Robertson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:24
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+8
88.1%
Derek Robertson pass complete to TJ Speight for 8 yds to the FIU 29Similar
Q2 4:08
3RD & 2
OPP 29
+1
88.1%
Derek Robertson pass complete to Tra Neal for 1 yd to the FIU 28Similar
Q2 3:25
4TH & 1
OPP 28
+2
88.3%
Sone Ntoh run for 2 yds to the FIU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:57
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
87.7%
(02:57) ROBERTSON, Derek pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for MIDDLETON, Marcus thrown to the FIU5, clock 02:54 (Play was confirmed after review). PENALTY FIU Targeting on EVANS, JoJo Before the snap, MON Illegal Formation on MIDDLETON, Marcus , Offsetting penalties [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 2:52
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+2
87.9%
Derek Robertson run for 2 yds to the FIU 24Similar
Q2 2:15
2ND & 8
OPP 24
0
88.2%
Derek Robertson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:11
3RD & 8
OPP 24
+18
88.8%
Derek Robertson pass complete to Jack Neri for 18 yds to the FIU 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
88.7%
Sone Ntoh run for 2 yds to the FIU 4Similar
Q2 1:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
82.7%
Derek Robertson pass complete to TJ Speight for 4 yds for a TD (Michael Calton Jr. KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 7 yds · 0:3585% → 85%
Q2 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
85.4%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Kejon Owens for 11 yds to the FIU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-10
85.9%
(01:36) JENKINS, Keyone pass short to the right complete for 5 yards to PATTERSON, Dean caught at the FIU41 and advanced to the FIU41, out of bounds, clock 01:30. PENALTY FIU Holding on LEE, JaDarious enforced 10 yards from the FIU36 to the FIU26 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 1:29
1ST & 20
OWN 26
0
85.8%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:24
2ND & 20
OWN 26
0
85.6%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:19
3RD & 20
OWN 26
+6
85.1%
Lexington Joseph run for 6 yds to the FIU 32Similar
Q2 1:12
4TH & 14
OWN 32
0
84.9%
Daton Montiel punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Makhi Green at the MONM 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MONMDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:2814% → 13%
Q2 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
86.2%
Derek Robertson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+9
86.4%
Rodney Nelson run for 9 yds to the MONM 39Similar
Q2 0:45
3RD & 1
OWN 39
0
85.6%
Derek Robertson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:37
4TH & 1
OWN 39
0
86.6%
Luke Schabel punt for 61 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 13END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0087% → 87%
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
86.6%
(00:30) Kneel down by FIU at FIU18 (team loss of 2), clock 00:22.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:3782% → 81%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+1
82.3%
Shomari Lawrence run for 1 yd to the FIU 17Similar
Q3 14:17
2ND & 9
OWN 17
+4
82.1%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Nazeviah Burris for 4 yds to the FIU 21Similar
Q3 13:55
3RD & 5
OWN 21
-5
81.4%
(13:55) JENKINS, Keyone pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for RIVERS, Eric thrown to the MON40, clock 13:52. PENALTY Before the snap, FIU False Start enforced 5 yards from the FIU21 to the FIU16. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 13:50
3RD & 10
OWN 16
+1
81.3%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Shomari Lawrence for 1 yd to the FIU 17Similar
Q3 13:16
4TH & 9
OWN 17
0
80.5%
Daton Montiel punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Makhi Green at the MONM 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MONMDrive 15TD
6 plays · 60 yds · 1:5920% → 34%
Q3 13:09
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
80.3%
Derek Robertson pass complete to Jack Neri for 7 yds to the MONM 47Similar
Q3 12:48
2ND & 3
OWN 47
+9
79.5%
Rodney Nelson run for 9 yds to the FIU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:27
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+36
79.2%
Derek Robertson pass complete to Gavin Nelson for 36 yds to the FIU 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
77.7%
Derek Robertson pass complete to Josh Derry for 4 yds to the FIU 4Similar
Q3 11:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
77.5%
Derek Robertson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:10
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
65.8%
Derek Robertson pass complete to Gavin Nelson for 4 yds for a TD (Michael Calton Jr. KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 16TD
7 plays · 70 yds · 2:5671% → 85%
Q3 11:03
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+12
71.4%
Kejon Owens run for 12 yds to the FIU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
73.1%
Kejon Owens run for 3 yds to the FIU 45Similar
Q3 10:01
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+19
73.4%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Eric Rivers for 19 yds to the MONM 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+25
74.0%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Dean Patterson for 25 yds to the MONM 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+3
74.4%
Kejon Owens run for 3 yds to the MONM 8Similar
Q3 8:07
2ND & 7
OPP 8
+8
85.3%
Dean Patterson run for 8 yds for a TD (Alejandro Prado KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MONMDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:5520% → 20%
Q3 8:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
79.6%
Derek Robertson pass complete to TJ Speight for 6 yds to the MONM 31Similar
Q3 7:37
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
78.5%
Derek Robertson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:11
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
79.4%
Derek Robertson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:11
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
80.4%
Luke Schabel punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Dean Patterson at the FIU 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:1284% → 83%
Q3 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
83.8%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:05
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+1
83.5%
Lexington Joseph run for 1 yd to the FIU 30Similar
Q3 6:29
3RD & 9
OWN 30
+7
82.6%
Keyone Jenkins run for 7 yds to the FIU 37Similar
Q3 5:55
4TH & 2
OWN 37
0
83.0%
Daton Montiel punt for 41 yds, downed at the MONM 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MONMDrive 19TD
3 plays · 78 yds · 1:0921% → 39%
Q3 5:46
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
79.3%
Rodney Nelson run for 5 yds to the MONM 27Similar
Q3 5:27
2ND & 5
OWN 27
+14
78.6%
Derek Robertson pass complete to Jack Neri for 14 yds to the MONM 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:37
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+59
60.8%
Rodney Nelson run for 59 yds for a TD (Michael Calton Jr. KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 2:2466% → 62%
Q3 4:27
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+1
65.9%
Shomari Lawrence run for 1 yd to the FIU 11Similar
Q3 3:53
2ND & 9
OWN 11
+7
65.3%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Antonio Ferguson for 7 yds to the FIU 18Similar
Q3 3:15
3RD & 2
OWN 18
+1
63.2%
Kejon Owens run for 1 yd to the FIU 19Similar
Q3 2:25
4TH & 1
OWN 19
-56
61.7%
Florida International Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-56 Yards) to the FIU 14Similar
Q3 2:03
4TH & 6
OWN 14
0
61.6%
Daton Montiel punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Makhi Green at the MONM 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MONMDrive 21TD
11 plays · 53 yds · 3:3637% → 76%
Q3 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
62.9%
Derek Robertson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:55
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+3
63.7%
Rodney Nelson run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 1:12
3RD & 7
50
+3
63.1%
Derek Robertson pass complete to Makhi Green for 3 yds to the FIU 47Similar
Q3 0:46
4TH & 4
OPP 47
+5
64.1%
Derek Robertson pass complete to Max James for 5 yds to the FIU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:25
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+18
61.1%
Derek Robertson pass complete to Josh Derry for 18 yds to the FIU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:08
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
58.6%
Derek Robertson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:06
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+9
59.4%
(00:06) ROBERTSON, Derek pass deep to the right incomplete intended for NEAL, Tra thrown to the FIU5, clock 00:03. PENALTY FIU Pass Interference enforced at the spot of the foul for 9 yards to the FIU15 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 0:02
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+5
58.5%
Rodney Nelson run for 5 yds to the FIU 10Similar
Q4 14:59
2ND & 5
OPP 10
+7
58.7%
Sone Ntoh run for 7 yds to the FIU 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
57.8%
Sone Ntoh run for 2 yds to the FIU 1Similar
Q4 13:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
23.9%
Sone Ntoh run for 1 yd for a TD (Michael Calton Jr. KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 22TD
8 plays · 64 yds · 3:0433% → 66%
Q4 13:16
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+20
32.5%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Eric Rivers for 20 yds to the MONM 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:41
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
35.6%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:36
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+29
34.7%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Kejon Owens for 29 yds to the MONM 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:54
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
36.7%
Kejon Owens run for 2 yds to the MONM 13Similar
Q4 11:22
2ND & 8
OPP 13
+7
36.1%
Monmouth Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Isaiah Rogers) to the MONM 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-5
36.0%
Florida International Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MONM 11Similar
Q4 10:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 11
-1
35.7%
Kejon Owens run for a loss of 1 yard to the MONM 12Similar
Q4 10:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 12
+12
66.3%
Kejon Owens 12 Yd Run (Alejandro Prado Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MONMDrive 23PUNT
8 plays · 17 yds · 2:2039% → 41%
Q4 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
60.7%
Derek Robertson pass complete to Rodney Nelson for a loss of 1 yard to the MONM 24Similar
Q4 9:33
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+4
58.7%
Rodney Nelson run for 4 yds to the MONM 28Similar
Q4 8:48
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+15
59.0%
(08:48) ROBERTSON, Derek pass deep to the right incomplete intended for NELSON, Gavin thrown to the MON50, clock 08:46. PENALTY FIU Pass Interference on BLADES II, Brian enforced 15 yards to the MON43 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
53.8%
Derek Robertson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:40
2ND & 10
OWN 43
-1
55.1%
Derek Robertson pass complete to Gavin Nelson for a loss of 1 yard to the MONM 42Similar
Q4 7:52
3RD & 11
OWN 42
0
56.5%
Derek Robertson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:47
4TH & 11
OWN 42
0
59.1%
Luke Schabel punt for 33 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 24FUMBLE
6 plays · 14 yds · 2:3259% → 52%
Q4 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
59.0%
Kejon Owens run for 2 yds to the FIU 27Similar
Q4 7:06
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+13
58.4%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Josiah Miamen for 13 yds to the FIU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-5
60.0%
Florida International Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the FIU 35Similar
Q4 6:05
1ST & 15
OWN 35
-7
55.8%
Keyone Jenkins run for a loss of 7 yards to the FIU 28 Keyone Jenkins fumbled, recovered by FIU JaDarious Lee J. Lee return for 0 ydsSimilar
Q4 5:14
2ND & 22
OWN 28
0
54.4%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:08
3RD & 22
OWN 28
+11
52.1%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Josiah Miamen for 11 yds Josiah Miamen fumbled, recovered by MONM Remi Johnson R. Johnson return for 0 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MONMDrive 25FG
9 plays · 13 yds · 3:0950% → 88%
Q4 5:01
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
49.9%
Rodney Nelson run for 3 yds to the FIU 36Similar
Q4 4:21
2ND & 7
OPP 36
+6
48.8%
Derek Robertson pass complete to Tra Neal for 6 yds to the FIU 30Similar
Q4 3:57
3RD & 1
OPP 30
+4
48.7%
Rodney Nelson run for 4 yds to the FIU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:32
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+1
44.2%
Sone Ntoh run for 1 yd to the FIU 25Similar
Q4 2:48
2ND & 9
OPP 25
-8
42.8%
Derek Robertson sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the FIU 33 Derek Robertson fumbled, recovered by MONM JT Cornelius , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 17
OPP 33
+7
50.5%
Derek Robertson pass complete to Rodney Nelson for 7 yds to the FIU 26Similar
Q4 1:52
4TH & 10
OPP 26
+43
11.7%
Michael Calton Jr. 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 26FUMBLE
8 plays · 74 yds · 1:0121% → 20%
Q4 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+23
20.6%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Juju Lewis for 23 yds to the FIU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+10
23.4%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Dean Patterson for 10 yds to the MONM 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:18
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+12
24.9%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Eric Rivers for 12 yds to the MONM 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:57
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
25.1%
(00:57) JENKINS, Keyone pass deep to the left incomplete intended for RIVERS, Eric thrown to the MON0, clock 00:52. PENALTY FIU Face mask MON Pass Interference on SCHULTERS, K-Shawn , Offsetting penalties [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 0:50
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+9
25.3%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Dean Patterson for 9 yds to the MONM 21Similar
Q4 0:41
2ND & 1
OPP 21
+20
19.6%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Eric Rivers for 20 yds Eric Rivers fumbled, recovered by MONM Deuce Lee D. Lee return for 0 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MONMDrive 27END OF GAME
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:1193% → 96%
Q4 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+1
6.8%
Derek Robertson run for 1 yd to the MONM 2Similar
Q4 0:20
2ND & 9
OWN 2
0
4.9%
Derek Robertson run for no gain to the MONM 2Similar
Q4 0:19
3RD & 9
OWN 2
+1
4.1%
Derek Robertson run for 1 yd to the MONM 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q4 1:52
Michael Calton Jr. 43 yd FG GOOD
-39.8
TD · Q4 13:24
Sone Ntoh run for 1 yd for a TD (Michael Calton Jr. KICK)
-33.9
TD · Q4 10:12
Kejon Owens 12 Yd Run (Alejandro Prado Kick)
+30.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com