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W&M

William & Mary 21 at Coastal Carolina 40

CCU
2024 · Week 2 · Sep 7, 2024 · Brooks Stadium (SC)
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Win probability · CCU
modelCCU aheadW&M aheadconfidence bandkey playCCU scoreW&M score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 1:42 · Emile Sebafundi punt for 41 yds, downed at the W&M 4
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 75Pregame prior+21.3Home team on offense+16.3Score differential+7.4Garbage-time factor+4.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+5.6Blowout margin−0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 3:11: Christian Washington run for 1 yd for a TD (Kade Hensley KICK) — CCU win probability +2.4 pts (now 88%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 12:52: Christian Washington run for 4 yds for a TD (Kade Hensley KICK) — CCU win probability +4.0 pts (now 93%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 11:30: Darius Wilson pass complete to DreSean Kendrick for 62 yds for a TD (Eric Bernstein KICK) — W&M win probability +5.0 pts (now 13%) (top driver: W&M has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 11:37: Matthew McDoom 24 Yd Fumble Return (Kade Hensley Kick) — CCU win probability +3.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: W&M has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 6:12: Darius Wilson run for 19 yds for a TD (Eric Bernstein KICK) — W&M win probability +2.6 pts (now 3%) (top driver: W&M has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CCU made the numbers' call on 4 of 8W&M made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 13:33W&M 4th & 3 at W&M 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.0%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:39W&M 4th & 7 at W&M 42, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.4%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:10W&M 4th & 14 at W&M 33, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.4%−0.8
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.2%
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:21CCU 4th & 5 at W&M 27, up 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 89.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.9%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    88.9%−<0.1
    62% to make
    Punt
    86.4%−2.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:36W&M 4th & 7 at W&M 28, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.7%−0.7
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.4%
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:36CCU 4th & 3 at CCU 30, up 17
    Close callPunted · 91.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.0%−0.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:34W&M 4th & 22 at W&M 46, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.2%−1.6
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.8%
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:42CCU 4th & 4 at W&M 45, up 17
    Close callPunted · 92.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    91.5%−0.9
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    91.9%−0.5
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:21CCU 4th & 9 at W&M 32, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 96.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.2%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.3%
    51% to make
    Punt
    95.9%−0.5
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:06W&M 4th & 20 at CCU 46, down 30
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.2
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    0.5%−0.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:13CCU 4th & 9 at CCU 11, up 30
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.6%
    average punt
  12. Q3 0:51CCU 4th & 12 at W&M 19, up 23
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.2%−0.2
    21% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.5%
    77% to make
    Punt
    97.5%−1.0
    average punt
  13. Q4 12:31W&M 4th & 15 at W&M 32, down 23
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%
    average punt
  14. Q4 10:32CCU 4th & 1 at CCU 41, up 23
    Close callPunted · 98.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.8%−0.2
    average punt
  15. Q4 8:29W&M 4th & 16 at W&M 21, down 23
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−0.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%
    average punt
  16. Q4 4:17CCU 4th & 6 at W&M 18, up 23
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.3%−<0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.3%
    79% to make
    Punt
    98.9%−0.4
    average punt
  17. Q4 2:00W&M 4th & 1 at W&M 34, down 26
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.1%
    average punt
  18. Q4 0:12W&M 4th & 10 at CCU 24, down 26
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−0.2
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    0.3%
    68% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CCU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4W&M made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 12:02CCU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:11CCU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:52CCU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 11:30W&M Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    11.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    11.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 11:37CCU Touchdown, up 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 6:12W&M Touchdown, down 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 0:06W&M Touchdown, down 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
W&MDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:2714% → 14%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
86.4%
Bronson Yoder run for no gain to the W&M 25Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
86.4%
Bronson Yoder run for 7 yds to the W&M 32Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
86.4%
Darius Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:33
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+15
86.0%
Ruben Anderson punt for 40 yds , Tray Taylor returns for 15 yds to the CCU 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 2TD
5 plays · 57 yds · 1:3186% → 86%
Q1 13:33
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
86.1%
Ethan Vasko run for 1 yd to the CCU 44Similar
Q1 13:33
2ND & 9
OWN 44
+10
86.1%
Ja'Vin Simpkins run for 10 yds to the W&M 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:33
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
86.1%
Ja'Vin Simpkins run for 3 yds to the W&M 43Similar
Q1 13:33
2ND & 7
OPP 43
+39
86.1%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Tray Taylor for 39 yds to the W&M 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
86.3%
Braydon Bennett run for 4 yds for a TD (Kade Hensley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
W&MDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 17 yds · 4:2314% → 14%
Q1 12:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
86.1%
Darius Wilson pass complete to Trey McDonald for 3 yds to the W&M 28Similar
Q1 12:02
2ND & 6
OWN 31
+8
86.1%
Darius Wilson pass complete to Hollis Mathis for 8 yds to the W&M 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:02
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
86.0%
Malachi Imoh run for 2 yds to the W&M 41Similar
Q1 12:02
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+1
86.0%
Bronson Yoder pass complete to Hollis Mathis for 1 yd to the W&M 42Similar
Q1 12:02
3RD & 7
OWN 42
0
86.1%
Darius Wilson run for no gain to the W&M 42Similar
Q1 12:02
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-10
86.1%
William & Mary Penalty, Offensive Holding (Trey McDonald) to the W&M 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:02
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
86.1%
Hollis Mathis run for 4 yds to the W&M 31Similar
Q1 7:39
4TH & 7
OWN 42
0
85.7%
Ruben Anderson punt for 57 yds, downed at the CCU 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 4TD
10 plays · 99 yds · 4:2886% → 88%
Q1 7:39
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+26
85.6%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Malick Meiga for 26 yds to the CCU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:39
2ND & 9
OWN 28
+22
85.7%
Ethan Vasko run for 22 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:39
1ST & 10
50
+5
86.0%
Braydon Bennett run for 5 yds to the W&M 45Similar
Q1 7:39
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+7
86.0%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Kyre Duplessis for 7 yds to the W&M 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:39
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+5
86.0%
Christian Washington run for 5 yds to the W&M 33Similar
Q1 7:39
2ND & 5
OPP 33
+15
86.1%
VASKO, Ethan pass deep to the right incomplete intended for TUCKER, Jameson thrown to the WM1. PENALTY WM Pass Interference on GARCIA, Sascha enforced 15 yards to the WM18 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 7:39
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+17
86.1%
Braydon Bennett run for 17 yds to the W&M 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:39
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+8
85.7%
Braydon Bennett run for 8 yds to the CCU 35Similar
Q1 7:39
2ND & 2
OWN 35
-10
85.9%
Coastal Carolina Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the CCU 28Similar
Q1 3:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
88.3%
Christian Washington run for 1 yd for a TD (Kade Hensley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
W&MDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 2:0113% → 13%
Q1 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
87.4%
Darius Wilson pass complete to Hollis Mathis for 12 yds to the W&M 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
87.3%
Darius Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:11
2ND & 10
OWN 37
-4
87.3%
Bronson Yoder run for a loss of 4 yards to the W&M 33Similar
Q1 3:11
3RD & 14
OWN 33
0
87.5%
Darius Wilson run for no gain to the W&M 33Similar
Q1 1:10
4TH & 14
OWN 33
0
87.5%
Ruben Anderson punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Tray Taylor at the CCU 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 6TD
9 plays · 81 yds · 3:1888% → 93%
Q1 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+7
88.0%
Ethan Vasko run for 7 yds to the CCU 26Similar
Q1 1:10
2ND & 3
OWN 26
+7
88.1%
Christian Washington run for 7 yds to the CCU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+1
88.1%
Christian Washington run for 1 yd to the CCU 34Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 9
OWN 34
+17
88.2%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Senika McKie for 17 yds to the W&M 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
88.6%
Christian Washington run for 2 yds to the W&M 47Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 47
+30
88.6%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Jameson Tucker for 30 yds to the W&M 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+7
88.6%
Christian Washington run for 7 yds to the W&M 10Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 10
+6
88.6%
Ethan Vasko run for 6 yds to the W&M 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
92.6%
Christian Washington run for 4 yds for a TD (Kade Hensley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
W&MDrive 7TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:228% → 13%
Q2 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
92.4%
Darius Wilson run for 9 yds to the W&M 34Similar
Q2 12:52
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
92.0%
Darius Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:52
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+4
92.2%
Bronson Yoder run for 4 yds to the W&M 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+62
87.2%
Darius Wilson pass complete to DreSean Kendrick for 62 yds for a TD (Eric Bernstein KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 8FG
5 plays · 48 yds · 1:0989% → 91%
Q2 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+43
88.5%
Christian Washington run for 43 yds to the W&M 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
89.1%
Ethan Vasko pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:30
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+5
89.0%
Christian Washington run for 5 yds to the W&M 27Similar
Q2 11:30
3RD & 5
OPP 27
0
88.9%
Ethan Vasko pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:21
4TH & 5
OPP 27
+43
91.0%
Kade Hensley 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
W&MDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:4510% → 10%
Q2 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
90.1%
Malachi Imoh run for no gain to the W&M 25Similar
Q2 10:21
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
90.2%
Darius Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:21
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+8
90.3%
Darius Wilson pass complete to Malachi Imoh for 8 yds to the W&M 33Similar
Q2 10:21
4TH & 2
OWN 33
-5
90.1%
William & Mary Penalty, Illegal Substitution (Gent Veizi) to the W&M 28Similar
Q2 8:36
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
90.5%
Ruben Anderson punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Tray Taylor at the CCU 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 2:0092% → 91%
Q2 8:36
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-10
91.5%
WASHINGTON, Christian rush up the middle for a gain of 7 yards to the CCU30 (HAMM, Christian;BORING, Jaden). PENALTY CCU Holding enforced 10 yards from the CCU23 to the CCU13 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 8:36
1ST & 20
OWN 13
+3
91.4%
Christian Washington run for 3 yds to the CCU 16Similar
Q2 8:36
2ND & 17
OWN 16
0
91.4%
Ethan Vasko pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:36
3RD & 17
OWN 16
+14
91.2%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Bryson Graves for 14 yds to the CCU 30Similar
Q2 6:36
4TH & 3
OWN 30
0
90.8%
Emile Sebafundi punt for 30 yds, downed at the W&M 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
W&MDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 3:0210% → 9%
Q2 6:36
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
89.9%
Darius Wilson run for 3 yds to the W&M 43Similar
Q2 6:36
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+15
89.9%
YODER, Bronson rush to the right for no gain to the WM43 (BRUCE, Shane). PENALTY CCU Targeting on BRUCE, Shane enforced 15 yards from the WM43 to the CCU42 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 6:36
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
89.5%
Darius Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:36
2ND & 10
OPP 42
-5
89.6%
Darius Wilson run for a loss of 5 yards to the CCU 47Similar
Q2 6:36
3RD & 15
OPP 47
-7
90.4%
Darius Wilson sacked by Joah Cash for a loss of 7 yards to the W&M 46Similar
Q2 3:34
4TH & 22
OWN 46
0
91.1%
Ruben Anderson punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Tray Taylor at the CCU 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 12PUNT
9 plays · 37 yds · 1:5292% → 93%
Q2 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+7
92.1%
Darren Lloyd run for 7 yds to the CCU 25Similar
Q2 3:34
2ND & 3
OWN 25
+8
92.1%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Cameron Wright for 8 yds to the CCU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:18
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+16
91.5%
Ethan Vasko run for 16 yds to the CCU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
93.2%
Darren Lloyd run for 6 yds to the W&M 45Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 4
OPP 45
0
93.2%
Ethan Vasko pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:00
3RD & 4
OPP 45
0
92.9%
Ethan Vasko pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:42
4TH & 4
OPP 45
0
92.6%
Emile Sebafundi punt for 41 yds, downed at the W&M 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
W&MDrive 13Uncategorized
8 plays · 37 yds · 0:449% → 9%
Q2 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+12
90.9%
Bronson Yoder run for 12 yds to the W&M 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+7
90.7%
Darius Wilson pass complete to Hollis Mathis for 7 yds to the W&M 23Similar
Q2 1:17
2ND & 3
OWN 23
+11
90.2%
Bronson Yoder run for 11 yds to the W&M 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
90.0%
Darius Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:17
2ND & 10
OWN 34
0
90.4%
Darius Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:58
3RD & 10
OWN 34
+7
91.0%
Bronson Yoder run for 7 yds to the W&M 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 14FG
10 plays · 38 yds · 2:3296% → 96%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
96.1%
Christian Washington run for 2 yds to the CCU 32Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+4
96.1%
Bryson Graves run for 4 yds to the CCU 36Similar
Q3 14:53
3RD & 4
OWN 36
+19
96.0%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Cameron Wright for 19 yds to the W&M 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
96.3%
Ethan Vasko pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 10
OPP 45
0
96.2%
Ethan Vasko pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:53
3RD & 10
OPP 45
+12
96.1%
VASKO, Ethan pass up the middle incomplete intended for MCKIE, Senika thrown to the WM35. PENALTY WM Pass Interference enforced at the spot of the foul for 12 yards to the WM33 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+1
96.3%
Darren Lloyd run for 1 yd to the W&M 32Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 9
OPP 32
0
96.2%
Ethan Vasko pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:53
3RD & 9
OPP 32
0
96.2%
Ethan Vasko pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:21
4TH & 9
OPP 32
+49
96.1%
Kade Hensley 49 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
W&MDrive 15FUMBLE RETURN TD
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:444% → 1%
Q3 12:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
96.0%
Darius Wilson pass complete to Damian Harris for 1 yd to the W&M 26Similar
Q3 11:37
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+24
99.3%
Matthew McDoom 24 Yd Fumble Return (Kade Hensley Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
W&MDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 29 yds · 2:311% → 1%
Q3 11:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+26
99.3%
Darius Wilson pass complete to Damian Harris for 26 yds to the CCU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:37
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
99.3%
Bronson Yoder run for 6 yds to the CCU 43Similar
Q3 11:37
2ND & 4
OPP 43
0
99.2%
Darius Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:37
3RD & 4
OPP 43
+7
99.3%
Darius Wilson run for 7 yds to the CCU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:37
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+1
99.3%
Darius Wilson run for 1 yd to the CCU 35Similar
Q3 11:37
2ND & 9
OPP 35
+2
99.2%
Malachi Imoh run for 2 yds to the CCU 33Similar
Q3 11:37
3RD & 7
OPP 33
-13
99.3%
Darius Wilson pass incomplete William & Mary Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Darius Wilson) to the CCU 46Similar
Q3 9:06
4TH & 20
OPP 46
0
99.4%
Ruben Anderson punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Tray Taylor at the CCU 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:53100% → 100%
Q3 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
99.5%
Ethan Vasko pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:06
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+1
99.5%
Christian Washington run for 1 yd to the CCU 11Similar
Q3 9:06
3RD & 9
OWN 11
0
99.5%
Ethan Vasko pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:13
4TH & 9
OWN 11
0
99.5%
Emile Sebafundi punt for 19 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
W&MDrive 18TD
4 plays · 30 yds · 2:011% → 3%
Q3 8:13
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-6
99.4%
Hollis Mathis run for a loss of 6 yards to the CCU 36Similar
Q3 8:13
2ND & 16
OPP 36
+1
99.4%
Bronson Yoder run for 1 yd to the CCU 35Similar
Q3 8:13
3RD & 15
OPP 35
+16
99.4%
Darius Wilson pass complete to Malachi Imoh for 16 yds to the CCU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:12
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
96.9%
Darius Wilson run for 19 yds for a TD (Eric Bernstein KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 19MISSED FG
15 plays · 56 yds · 5:2197% → 99%
Q3 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
97.2%
Darren Lloyd run for 8 yds to the CCU 33Similar
Q3 6:12
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+9
97.3%
Christian Washington run for 9 yds to the CCU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
97.4%
Christian Washington run for 3 yds to the CCU 45Similar
Q3 6:12
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+6
97.4%
Christian Washington run for 6 yds to the W&M 49Similar
Q3 6:12
3RD & 1
OPP 49
+1
97.4%
Christian Washington run for 1 yd to the W&M 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:12
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
98.7%
Darren Lloyd run for 5 yds to the W&M 43Similar
Q3 3:12
2ND & 5
OPP 43
+15
98.7%
VASKO, Ethan pass deep to the left incomplete intended for TAYLOR, Tray thrown to the WM8. PENALTY WM Pass Interference on BARNES, Marcus enforced 15 yards to the WM28 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 3:12
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
98.7%
Ethan Vasko pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:12
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+11
98.7%
Darren Lloyd run for 11 yds to the W&M 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:12
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+4
98.7%
Darren Lloyd run for 4 yds to the W&M 13Similar
Q3 1:39
2ND & 6
OPP 13
-10
98.8%
QB Keeper VASKO, Ethan rush to the right for a gain of 13 yards to the WM0, TOUCHDOWN CCU, score nullified by penalty, clock 01:39 (Play was confirmed after review). PENALTY CCU Holding on HANSON, Joseph enforced 10 yards from the WM13 to the WM23 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 1:39
2ND & 16
OPP 23
+4
98.8%
Darren Lloyd run for 4 yds to the W&M 19Similar
Q3 1:39
3RD & 12
OPP 19
0
98.8%
Ethan Vasko pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:51
4TH & 12
OPP 19
+36
98.8%
Kade Hensley 36 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
W&MDrive 20PUNT
9 plays · 12 yds · 3:202% → 1%
Q3 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
98.4%
Darius Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:51
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+7
98.4%
Darius Wilson run for 7 yds to the W&M 27Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+10
98.4%
Darius Wilson pass complete to Hollis Mathis for 10 yds to the W&M 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-10
98.4%
WILSON, Darius pass to the left incomplete intended for MATHIS, Hollis thrown to the CCU50. PENALTY WM Holding on LYNCH, Kadin enforced 10 yards from the WM37 to the WM27 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 20
OWN 27
-7
98.5%
Darius Wilson sacked by Tray Brown for a loss of 7 yards to the W&M 20Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 27
OWN 20
+5
98.5%
Darius Wilson run for 5 yds to the W&M 25Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 22
OWN 25
+12
98.6%
Darius Wilson run for 12 yds to the W&M 37Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 10
OWN 37
-5
98.5%
William & Mary Penalty, False Start (Brendan Robinson) to the W&M 32Similar
Q4 12:31
4TH & 15
OWN 32
+13
98.8%
Ruben Anderson punt for 49 yds , Tray Taylor returns for 13 yds to the CCU 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:5999% → 99%
Q4 12:31
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+6
99.1%
Matt Pack Jr. run for 6 yds to the CCU 38Similar
Q4 12:31
2ND & 4
OWN 38
+3
99.2%
Matt Pack Jr. run for 3 yds to the CCU 41Similar
Q4 12:31
3RD & 1
OWN 41
0
99.2%
Matt Pack Jr. run for no gain to the CCU 41Similar
Q4 10:32
4TH & 1
OWN 41
+44
99.2%
Emile Sebafundi punt for 44 yds , Jalen Jones returns for no gain to the W&M 15 , returns for no gain to the W&M 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
W&MDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 2:031% → 1%
Q4 10:32
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+12
98.9%
Darius Wilson pass complete to DreSean Kendrick for 12 yds to the W&M 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:32
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
98.9%
Hollis Mathis pass complete to Trey McDonald for 3 yds to the W&M 30Similar
Q4 10:32
2ND & 7
OWN 30
0
98.8%
Darius Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:32
3RD & 7
OWN 30
-9
98.9%
Darius Wilson sacked by Jayden Bryant and Naejaun Barber for a loss of 9 yards to the W&M 21Similar
Q4 8:29
4TH & 16
OWN 21
0
99.1%
Ruben Anderson punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Tray Taylor at the CCU 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 23FG
10 plays · 45 yds · 4:1299% → 100%
Q4 8:29
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
99.3%
Noah Kim pass complete to Malick Meiga for 7 yds to the CCU 44Similar
Q4 8:29
2ND & 3
OWN 44
+4
99.4%
Matt Pack Jr. run for 4 yds to the CCU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:29
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
99.4%
Matt Pack Jr. run for no gain to the CCU 48Similar
Q4 8:29
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+15
99.4%
KIM, Noah pass deep to the right incomplete intended for MEIGA, Malick thrown to the WM15. PENALTY WM Pass Interference on GARCIA, Sascha enforced 15 yards to the WM37 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 8:29
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
99.4%
Matt Pack Jr. run for 3 yds to the W&M 34Similar
Q4 8:29
2ND & 7
OPP 34
+12
99.4%
Noah Kim pass complete to Cameron Wright for 12 yds to the W&M 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:29
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+3
99.4%
Darren Lloyd run for 3 yds to the W&M 19Similar
Q4 8:29
2ND & 7
OPP 19
+1
99.4%
Darren Lloyd run for 1 yd to the W&M 18Similar
Q4 8:29
3RD & 6
OPP 18
0
99.4%
Noah Kim pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:17
4TH & 6
OPP 18
+35
99.8%
Kade Hensley 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
W&MDrive 24TD
18 plays · 75 yds · 4:110% → 2%
Q4 4:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
99.9%
Tyler Hughes run for 9 yds to the W&M 34Similar
Q4 4:17
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
99.8%
HUGHES, Tyler pass short to the right complete for 2 yards to BLEE, Jackson caught at the WM36 and advanced to the WM36, out of bounds. PENALTY WM Illegal Touch-Pass on BLEE, Jackson enforced 0 yards from the WM34 to the WM34, penalty results in a loss of down [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 4:17
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
99.8%
Carson Jenkins run for no gain to the W&M 34Similar
Q4 2:00
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+3
99.9%
Martin Lucas run for 3 yds to the W&M 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
99.9%
Tyler Hughes pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+8
99.9%
Tyler Hughes run for 8 yds to the W&M 45Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 2
OWN 45
+5
99.9%
Tyler Hughes run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
50
+5
99.9%
Tyler Hughes pass complete to Carson Jenkins for 5 yds to the CCU 45Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+10
99.9%
Martin Lucas run for 10 yds to the CCU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
99.9%
Tyler Hughes pass complete to Carson Jenkins for 3 yds to the CCU 32Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 7
OPP 32
+8
99.9%
Tyler Hughes run for 8 yds to the CCU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
99.9%
Tyler Hughes pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 10
OPP 24
0
99.9%
Tyler Hughes pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 10
OPP 24
0
99.9%
Tyler Hughes pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:12
4TH & 10
OPP 24
+20
99.9%
Tyler Hughes run for 20 yds to the CCU 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
97.6%
Tyler Hughes run for 4 yds for a TD (Eric Bernstein KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 25END OF GAME
1 play · -2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
99.7%
[NHSG] Kneel down by KIM, Noah at CCU23 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 11:30
Darius Wilson pass complete to DreSean Kendrick for 62 yds for a TD (Eric Bernstein KICK)
-5
TD · Q2 12:52
Christian Washington run for 4 yds for a TD (Kade Hensley KICK)
+4
TD · Q3 11:37
Matthew McDoom 24 Yd Fumble Return (Kade Hensley Kick)
+3.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com