Try the model
RICH

Richmond 13 at Virginia 34

UVA
2024 · Week 1 · Aug 31, 2024 · Scott Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · UVA
modelUVA aheadRICH aheadconfidence bandkey playUVA scoreRICH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFGTDTDTDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 11:44 · Kyle Wickersham pass complete to Nick DeGennaro for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+33.0+16.50−16.5−33.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 59Home team on offense+10.6Score differential+8.9Pregame prior+13.9Garbage-time factor+1.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.5Blowout margin+0.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 2:41: Jack Griese 57 Yd pass from Anthony Colandrea (Will Bettridge Kick) — UVA win probability +5.8 pts (now 79%) (top driver: UVA has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 11:44: Will Bettridge 33 yd FG GOOD — UVA win probability +5.8 pts (now 87%) (top driver: UVA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 4:48: Kyle Wickersham run for 5 yds for a TD (Brandon Peskin KICK) — RICH win probability +6.0 pts (now 21%) (top driver: RICH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 3:16: Kobe Pace run for 3 yds for a TD (Will Bettridge KICK) — UVA win probability +8.8 pts (now 93%) (top driver: UVA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 8:31: Anthony Colandrea run for 7 yds for a TD (Will Bettridge KICK) — UVA win probability +5.5 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UVA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UVA made the numbers' call on 8 of 9RICH made the numbers' call on 7 of 11
  1. Q1 13:08RICH 4th & 1 at RICH 34, tied
    Close callPunted · 49.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.6%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:23UVA 4th & 3 at RICH 4, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 55.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.1%
    45% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    54.9%−0.2
    93% to make
    Punt
    53.2%−1.9
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:41RICH 4th & 2 at RICH 33, down 10
    Close callPunted · 44.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:36RICH 4th & 7 at RICH 23, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.3%−1.2
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.5%
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:44UVA 4th & 16 at RICH 16, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 72.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.5%−2.7
    14% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    72.2%
    81% to make
    Punt
    64.7%−7.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:44RICH 4th & 1 at UVA 48, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 22.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    22.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    21.1%−1.7
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:44RICH 4th & 2 at UVA 26, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 23.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    23.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    22.1%−0.9
    64% to make
    Punt
    17.6%−5.4
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:07RICH 4th & 3 at RICH 32, down 20
    Close callPunted · 12.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.2%−0.3
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:22UVA 4th & 1 at UVA 35, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 89.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    89.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    89.0%−0.8
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:00UVA 4th & 7 at RICH 19, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 90.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.5%−0.6
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    90.1%
    77% to make
    Punt
    83.8%−6.3
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:44RICH 4th & 15 at UVA 43, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.5
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    0.7%−0.4
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    1.1%
    average punt
  12. Q3 2:33UVA 4th & 1 at UVA 28, up 27
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    99.3%−0.5
    average punt
  13. Q3 0:00RICH 4th & 10 at UVA 17, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.3
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.3%
    80% to make
    Punt
    -1.1%−1.4
    average punt
  14. Q4 13:16UVA 4th & 5 at UVA 31, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.1%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.3%
    average punt
  15. Q4 13:16UVA 4th & 5 at UVA 31, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.1%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.3%
    average punt
  16. Q4 11:43RICH 4th & 8 at RICH 10, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.4%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.5%
    average punt
  17. Q4 10:12UVA 4th & 4 at RICH 36, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    98.3%−0.2
    42% to make
    Punt
    98.3%−0.3
    average punt
  18. Q4 4:46RICH 4th & 15 at UVA 15, down 24
    Close callKicked a field goal · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.8%−0.1
    83% to make
    Punt
    0.6%−0.3
    average punt
  19. Q4 3:14UVA 4th & 14 at UVA 21, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.9%−0.4
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.3%
    average punt
  20. Q4 2:00RICH 4th & 1 at RICH 42, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.5%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UVA made the numbers' call on 4 of 4RICH made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 11:35UVA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    51.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    51.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:41UVA Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 4:48RICH Touchdown, down 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    28.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    28.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 3:16UVA Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 8:31UVA Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
RICHDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:5230% → 30%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
69.9%
Jamaal Brown run for no gain to the RICH 25Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
69.9%
Kyle Wickersham run for 1 yd to the RICH 24Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+10
69.9%
Kyle Wickersham pass complete to Matt RobbertSimilar
Q1 13:08
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
69.7%
Aaron Trusler punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Antonio Clary at the UVA 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 2TD
3 plays · 77 yds · 1:3370% → 71%
Q1 13:08
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+35
69.7%
Anthony Colandrea run for 35 yds to the RICH 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:08
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+7
69.9%
Kobe Pace run for 7 yds to the RICH 35Similar
Q1 11:35
2ND & 3
OPP 35
+35
70.9%
Trell Harris 35 Yd pass from Anthony Colandrea (Will Bettridge Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICHDrive 3FUMBLE
7 plays · 29 yds · 1:5030% → 29%
Q1 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
70.5%
Aziz Foster-Powell run for 4 yds to the RICH 29Similar
Q1 11:35
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+9
70.4%
Kyle Wickersham run for 9 yds to the RICH 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
70.3%
Aziz Foster-Powell run for 1 yd to the RICH 39Similar
Q1 11:35
2ND & 9
OWN 39
0
70.3%
Kyle Wickersham pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:45
3RD & 9
OWN 39
0
70.7%
Kyle Wickersham pass complete to Nick DeGennaro Nick DeGennaro fumbled, recovered by UVA Kam RobinsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 4FG
8 plays · 50 yds · 3:2272% → 72%
Q1 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
71.5%
Anthony Colandrea pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:45
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+32
71.3%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Malachi Fields for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+8
71.6%
Anthony Colandrea run for 8 yds to the RICH 14Similar
Q1 9:45
2ND & 2
OPP 14
+3
71.6%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Trell Harris for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+4
71.6%
Kobe Pace run for 4 yds to the RICH 7Similar
Q1 9:45
2ND & 6
OPP 7
+3
71.6%
Kobe Pace run for 3 yds to the RICH 4Similar
Q1 9:45
3RD & 3
OPP 4
0
71.5%
Anthony Colandrea pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:23
4TH & 3
OPP 4
+21
72.1%
Will Bettridge 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICHDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:4228% → 27%
Q1 6:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
72.3%
Kyle Wickersham run for 7 yds to the RICH 32Similar
Q1 6:23
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+2
72.0%
Jamaal Brown run for 2 yds to the RICH 34Similar
Q1 6:23
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+1
72.1%
Jamaal Brown run for 1 yd to the RICH 33Similar
Q1 4:41
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+3
72.9%
Aaron Trusler punt for 47 yds , Antonio Clary returns for 3 yds to the UVA 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 6TD
5 plays · 77 yds · 2:0073% → 79%
Q1 4:41
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
72.7%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Eli WoodSimilar
Q1 4:41
2ND & 6
OWN 27
+10
72.8%
Kobe Pace run for 10 yds to the UVA 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:41
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
73.0%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Eli WoodSimilar
Q1 4:41
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+1
73.3%
Anthony Colandrea run for 1 yd to the UVA 43Similar
Q1 2:41
3RD & 4
OWN 43
+57
79.1%
Jack Griese 57 Yd pass from Anthony Colandrea (Will Bettridge Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICHDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:0522% → 22%
Q1 2:41
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
77.9%
Aziz Foster-Powell run for 3 yds to the RICH 23Similar
Q1 2:41
2ND & 7
OWN 23
0
77.9%
Kyle Wickersham pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:41
3RD & 7
OWN 23
0
78.0%
Kyle Wickersham pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:36
4TH & 7
OWN 23
0
78.5%
Aaron Trusler punt for 52 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 8FG
9 plays · 59 yds · 4:5280% → 87%
Q1 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-9
80.0%
Anthony Colandrea sacked by Jeremiah Grant for a loss of 9 yards to the UVA 16Similar
Q1 1:36
2ND & 19
OWN 16
+52
79.9%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Kobe Pace for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+12
81.7%
Xavier Brown run for 12 yds to the RICH 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+6
81.7%
Xavier Brown run for 6 yds to the RICH 14Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 14
+7
81.7%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Sackett Wood Jr. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-20
81.7%
Anthony Colandrea sacked by Matei Fitz for a loss of 20 yards to the RICH 27Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 27
+1
81.5%
Anthony Colandrea run for 1 yd to the RICH 28Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 28
+12
81.2%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Malachi FieldsSimilar
Q2 11:44
4TH & GOAL
OPP 16
+33
87.0%
Will Bettridge 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICHDrive 9TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 6:5614% → 21%
Q2 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
86.5%
Zach Palmer-Smith run for 18 yds to the RICH 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+7
86.2%
Kyle Wickersham run for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 11:44
2ND & 3
50
+1
85.7%
Zach Palmer-Smith run for 1 yd to the RICH 49Similar
Q2 11:44
3RD & 4
OWN 49
+3
86.0%
Kyle Wickersham pass complete to Jerry Garcia Jr.Similar
Q2 11:44
4TH & 1
OPP 48
+2
86.0%
Kyle Wickersham run for 2 yds to the UVA 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:44
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+6
85.8%
Zach Palmer-Smith run for 6 yds to the UVA 40Similar
Q2 11:44
2ND & 4
OPP 40
+6
85.7%
Zach Palmer-Smith run for 6 yds to the UVA 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:44
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
85.4%
Kyle Wickersham pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:44
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+6
85.5%
Kyle Wickersham run for 6 yds to the UVA 28Similar
Q2 11:44
3RD & 4
OPP 28
+2
85.8%
Kyle Wickersham run for 2 yds to the UVA 26 Kyle Wickersham fumbled, recovered by RICH Gabriel CarbajalSimilar
Q2 11:44
4TH & 2
OPP 26
+15
85.8%
Kyle Wickersham pass complete to Nick DeGennaro for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:44
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+6
85.3%
Kyle Wickersham pass complete to Jamaal BrownSimilar
Q2 4:48
2ND & 4
OPP 5
+5
79.4%
Kyle Wickersham run for 5 yds for a TD (Brandon Peskin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 10TD
5 plays · 54 yds · 1:3284% → 93%
Q2 4:48
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
83.8%
Kobe Pace run for 1 yd to the UVA 47Similar
Q2 4:48
2ND & 9
OWN 47
+43
83.7%
Kobe Pace run for 43 yds to the RICH 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+7
84.0%
Kobe Pace run for 7 yds to the RICH 3Similar
Q2 3:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
92.8%
Kobe Pace run for 3 yds for a TD (Will Bettridge KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICHDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:099% → 8%
Q2 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
91.0%
Jamaal Brown run for 2 yds to the RICH 27Similar
Q2 3:16
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+5
91.0%
Kyle Wickersham pass complete to Nick DeGennaroSimilar
Q2 3:16
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
90.8%
Kyle Wickersham pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:07
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
91.6%
Aaron Trusler punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UVA 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 12MISSED FG
13 plays · 55 yds · 2:0793% → 95%
Q2 2:07
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
93.2%
Anthony Colandrea pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:07
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+9
93.1%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Malachi FieldsSimilar
Q2 1:56
3RD & 1
OWN 35
0
92.9%
Xavier Brown run for no gain to the UVA 35Similar
Q2 1:22
4TH & 1
OWN 35
+2
93.2%
Grady Brosterhous run for 2 yds to the UVA 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+41
93.8%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Malachi Fields for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:22
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
94.2%
Anthony Colandrea pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:22
2ND & 10
OPP 22
0
94.1%
Anthony Colandrea pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:22
3RD & 10
OPP 22
-5
93.9%
PENALTY UVA False Start (Nnanna,Ugonna) 5 yards from RIC22 to RIC27. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:22
3RD & 15
OPP 27
+8
93.9%
Anthony Colandrea run for 8 yds to the RICH 19Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 7
OPP 19
+36
94.8%
Will Bettridge 36 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 13TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 6:2994% → 99%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
93.5%
Xavier Brown run for 13 yds to the UVA 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
93.8%
Xavier Brown run for 3 yds to the UVA 41Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+4
93.8%
Xavier Brown run for 4 yds to the UVA 45Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 45
+13
93.6%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Suderian Harrison for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
93.8%
Shotgun Brown,Xavier rush right for 3 yards gain to the RIC39 (Grant,Jeremiah; Morris-Walker,Quantraill) PENALTY RIC Offside (Grant,Jeremiah) 5 yards from RIC42 to RIC37. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 5
OPP 37
+5
93.8%
Anthony Colandrea run for 5 yds to the RICH 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
93.8%
Kobe Pace run for 3 yds to the RICH 29Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 29
0
93.9%
Kobe Pace run for 10 yds to the RICH 19 for a 1ST down Virginia Penalty, Offensive Holding (Malachi Fields) to the RICH 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+12
93.8%
Anthony Colandrea run for 12 yds to the RICH 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
93.8%
Kobe Pace run for 2 yds to the RICH 15Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 15
+3
93.8%
Anthony Colandrea run for 3 yds to the RICH 12Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 12
+5
93.7%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Tyler Neville for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
99.2%
Anthony Colandrea run for 7 yds for a TD (Will Bettridge KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICHDrive 14PUNT
10 plays · 26 yds · 2:471% → 1%
Q3 8:31
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
99.1%
Kyle Wickersham run for no gain to the RICH 31Similar
Q3 8:31
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+4
99.2%
Kyle Wickersham pass complete to Nick DeGennaroSimilar
Q3 8:31
3RD & 6
OWN 35
+7
99.1%
Kyle Wickersham pass complete to Zach Palmer-Smith for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:31
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+20
99.1%
Kyle Wickersham pass complete to Nick DeGennaro for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:31
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
99.1%
Kyle Wickersham pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:31
2ND & 10
OPP 38
0
99.1%
Kyle Wickersham pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:31
3RD & 10
OPP 38
-5
99.1%
PENALTY RIC Delay Of Game (Wickersham,Kyle) 5 yards from UVA38 to UVA43. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:31
3RD & 15
OPP 43
0
99.2%
Kyle Wickersham pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:44
4TH & 15
OPP 43
0
99.4%
Aaron Trusler punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Antonio Clary at the UVA 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 15DOWNS
6 plays · 23 yds · 3:1199% → 100%
Q3 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+2
99.4%
Jack Griese run for 2 yds to the UVA 7Similar
Q3 5:44
2ND & 8
OWN 7
+12
99.4%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Dakota Twitty for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+2
99.4%
Jack Griese run for 2 yds to the UVA 21Similar
Q3 5:44
2ND & 8
OWN 21
+5
99.4%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Dakota TwittySimilar
Q3 5:44
3RD & 3
OWN 26
+2
99.4%
Jack Griese run for 2 yds to the UVA 28Similar
Q3 2:33
4TH & 1
OWN 28
0
99.6%
Grady Brosterhous run for no gain to the UVA 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICHDrive 16FG
6 plays · 11 yds · 2:330% → 2%
Q3 2:33
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+11
99.6%
Aziz Foster-Powell run for 11 yds to the UVA 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:33
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+4
99.6%
Aziz Foster-Powell run for 4 yds to the UVA 13Similar
Q3 2:33
2ND & 6
OPP 13
+3
99.6%
Aziz Foster-Powell run for 3 yds to the UVA 10Similar
Q3 2:33
3RD & 3
OPP 10
-5
99.6%
PENALTY RIC False Start (Elia,Tom) 5 yards from UVA10 to UVA15. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:33
3RD & 8
OPP 15
+2
99.6%
Kyle Wickersham run for 2 yds to the UVA 17Similar
Q3 0:00
4TH & 10
OPP 17
+35
98.2%
Brandon Peskin 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 1:4498% → 98%
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-1
98.2%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Kobe PaceSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 25
0
98.1%
Anthony Colandrea pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 25
+6
98.1%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Malachi FieldsSimilar
Q4 13:16
4TH & 5
OWN 31
0
98.4%
Daniel Sparks punt for 53 yds, fair catch by Nick DeGennaro at the RICH 16Similar
Q4 13:16
4TH & 5
OWN 31
0
98.4%
Daniel Sparks punt for 53 yds, fair catch by Nick DeGennaro at the RICH 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICHDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:331% → 1%
Q4 13:16
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
98.6%
Aziz Foster-Powell run for no gain to the RICH 8Similar
Q4 13:16
2ND & 10
OWN 8
0
98.6%
Kyle Wickersham pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:16
3RD & 10
OWN 8
+2
98.6%
Kyle Wickersham pass complete to Landon EllisSimilar
Q4 11:43
4TH & 8
OWN 10
+9
98.7%
Aaron Trusler punt for 41 yds , Antonio Clary returns for 9 yds to the RICH 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 19INT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:3199% → 99%
Q4 11:43
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
98.8%
Jack Griese run for 4 yds to the RICH 38Similar
Q4 11:43
2ND & 6
OPP 38
+2
98.8%
Jack Griese run for 2 yds to the RICH 36Similar
Q4 11:43
3RD & 4
OPP 36
0
98.7%
Tony Muskett pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:12
4TH & 4
OPP 36
0
98.7%
Tony Muskett pass intercepted Matthew Traynor return for no gain to the RICH 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICHDrive 20FG
11 plays · 53 yds · 5:261% → 1%
Q4 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
98.8%
Zach Palmer-Smith run for 1 yd to the RICH 33Similar
Q4 10:12
2ND & 9
OWN 33
+8
98.8%
Kyle Wickersham pass complete to Landon EllisSimilar
Q4 10:12
3RD & 1
OWN 41
+2
98.8%
Kyle Wickersham run for 2 yds to the RICH 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
98.8%
Kyle Wickersham pass complete to Nick DeGennaroSimilar
Q4 10:12
2ND & 4
OWN 49
+3
98.7%
Zach Palmer-Smith run for 3 yds to the UVA 48Similar
Q4 10:12
3RD & 1
OPP 48
+43
98.7%
Zach Palmer-Smith run for 43 yds to the UVA 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
98.6%
Aziz Foster-Powell run for 2 yds to the UVA 7Similar
Q4 10:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
98.6%
Kyle Wickersham sacked for 0 yards to the UVA 7Similar
Q4 5:31
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+8
99.3%
Quanye Veney run for 8 yds to the UVA 15Similar
Q4 4:46
4TH & GOAL
OPP 15
+33
99.3%
Brandon Peskin 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 21PUNT
6 plays · -4 yds · 1:3299% → 99%
Q4 4:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.3%
Xavier Brown run for 3 yds to the UVA 28Similar
Q4 4:46
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+3
99.4%
Xavier Brown run for 3 yds to the UVA 31Similar
Q4 4:46
3RD & 4
OWN 31
-10
99.4%
Shotgun Brown,Xavier rush middle for 8 yards gain to the UVA39 (Parker,Bryson) PENALTY UVA Holding (Sipe,Ethan) 10 yards from UVA31 to UVA21. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:46
3RD & 14
OWN 21
0
99.3%
Tony Muskett pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:14
4TH & 14
OWN 21
0
99.4%
Daniel Sparks punt for 56 yds, fair catch by Nick DeGennaro at the RICH 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICHDrive 22END OF GAME
8 plays · 24 yds · 3:141% → 1%
Q4 3:14
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+1
99.4%
Aziz Foster-Powell run for 1 yd to the RICH 24Similar
Q4 3:14
2ND & 9
OWN 24
+9
99.5%
Kyle Wickersham pass complete to Nick DeGennaro for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:14
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
99.4%
Aziz Foster-Powell run for 2 yds to the RICH 35Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+5
99.4%
Aziz Foster-Powell run for 5 yds to the RICH 40Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 3
OWN 40
+2
99.4%
Aziz Foster-Powell run for 2 yds to the RICH 42Similar
Q4 2:00
4TH & 1
OWN 42
+3
99.5%
Aziz Foster-Powell run for 3 yds to the RICH 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
99.5%
Aziz Foster-Powell run for 2 yds to the RICH 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 3:16
Kobe Pace run for 3 yds for a TD (Will Bettridge KICK)
+8.8
TD · Q2 4:48
Kyle Wickersham run for 5 yds for a TD (Brandon Peskin KICK)
-6
TD · Q1 2:41
Jack Griese 57 Yd pass from Anthony Colandrea (Will Bettridge Kick)
+5.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com