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ELON

Elon 3 at Duke 26

DUKE
2024 · Week 1 · Aug 30, 2024 · Wallace Wade Stadium
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Win probability · DUKE
modelDUKE aheadELON aheadconfidence bandkey playDUKE scoreELON score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:14 · Jake Marion kickoff for 52 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+44.0+22.00−22.0−44.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. MISSED FG · Q2 1:49: Jack Berkowitz 49 yd FG MISSED — DUKE win probability +1.3 pts (now 85%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q2 1:44: Maalik Murphy pass complete to Jordan Moore for 7 yds to the DUKE 38 — DUKE win probability +5.6 pts (now 91%) (top driver: DUKE has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 11:42: Todd Pelino 42 Yd Field Goal — DUKE win probability +2.4 pts (now 93%) (top driver: DUKE has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 6:18: Jeremiah Hasley 1 Yd pass from Maalik Murphy (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed) — DUKE win probability +3.8 pts (now 98%) (top driver: DUKE has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 4:06: Eli Pancol 7 Yd pass from Maalik Murphy (Todd Pelino Kick) — DUKE win probability +0.8 pts (now 100%) (top driver: DUKE has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
DUKE made the numbers' call on 6 of 7ELON made the numbers' call on 11 of 11
  1. Q1 13:44ELON 4th & 11 at ELON 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.6%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:09DUKE 4th & 6 at ELON 14, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 92.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.9%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    91.9%
    84% to make
    Punt
    91.5%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:42ELON 4th & 23 at ELON 12, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.0%−0.3
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.4%
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:35DUKE 4th & 4 at ELON 48, up 3
    Close callPunted · 90.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.9%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:12ELON 4th & 13 at ELON 30, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.3%−0.3
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.6%
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:22DUKE 4th & 8 at DUKE 16, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.7%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:34DUKE 4th & 6 at ELON 28, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 87.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    87.1%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    87.0%−<0.1
    60% to make
    Punt
    85.2%−1.9
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:49ELON 4th & 11 at DUKE 31, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 15.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.6%−0.5
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    15.1%
    54% to make
    Punt
    14.1%−1.0
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:42DUKE 4th & 10 at ELON 25, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 89.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.6%−0.4
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    90.0%
    66% to make
    Punt
    86.5%−3.5
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:50ELON 4th & 14 at ELON 14, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.3%−0.9
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.2%
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:51DUKE 4th & 10 at DUKE 40, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.4%−0.6
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.0%
    average punt
  12. Q3 7:25ELON 4th & 14 at ELON 10, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.4%−0.7
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.1%
    average punt
  13. Q3 4:13ELON 4th & 14 at ELON 13, down 19
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.1%−1.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.1%
    average punt
  14. Q3 1:24DUKE 4th & 2 at ELON 36, up 19
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    97.0%−0.6
    42% to make
    Punt
    96.9%−0.8
    average punt
  15. Q4 15:00ELON 4th & 1 at ELON 45, down 19
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.7%−0.9
    average punt
  16. Q4 12:25ELON 4th & 15 at ELON 41, down 19
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.8%−0.8
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.6%
    average punt
  17. Q4 9:56ELON 4th & 2 at DUKE 37, down 19
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    1.9%−0.6
    40% to make
    Punt
    1.8%−0.7
    average punt
  18. Q4 0:14ELON 4th & 8 at DUKE 21, down 26
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.3%
    74% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
DUKE made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q3 6:18DUKE Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    96.8%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    96.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q4 4:06DUKE Touchdown, up 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ELONDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 1:166% → 7%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
93.7%
pass incomplete to Chandler BrayboySimilar
Q1 14:55
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
93.7%
Matthew Downing pass complete to Jamarien Dalton for 8 yds to the ELON 33Similar
Q1 14:17
3RD & 2
OWN 33
-9
93.6%
Matthew Downing sacked for a loss of 9 yards to the ELON 24Similar
Q1 13:44
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
93.5%
Jeff Yurk punt for 58 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 2FG
14 plays · 68 yds · 5:2893% → 92%
Q1 13:37
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
93.4%
Jaquez Moore run for 4 yds to the DUKE 22Similar
Q1 13:18
2ND & 6
OWN 22
+7
93.4%
Maalik Murphy pass complete to Jeremiah Hasley for 7 yds to the DUKE 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
93.3%
Maalik Murphy pass complete to Eli Pancol for 2 yds to the DUKE 31Similar
Q1 12:24
2ND & 8
OWN 31
+24
93.1%
Maalik Murphy pass complete to Jordan Moore for 24 yds to the ELON 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:59
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
93.1%
Jaquez Moore run for 3 yds to the ELON 42Similar
Q1 11:32
2ND & 7
OPP 42
0
93.0%
pass incomplete to Javon HarveySimilar
Q1 11:17
3RD & 7
OPP 42
+11
93.0%
Maalik Murphy pass complete to Sahmir Hagans for 11 yds to the ELON 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:01
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+4
93.0%
Star Thomas run for 4 yds to the ELON 27Similar
Q1 10:26
2ND & 6
OPP 27
+3
92.8%
Star Thomas run for 3 yds to the ELON 24Similar
Q1 9:48
3RD & 3
OPP 24
+6
92.6%
Maalik Murphy pass complete to Jordan Moore for 6 yds to the ELON 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+4
92.6%
Jaquez Moore run for 4 yds to the ELON 14Similar
Q1 8:57
2ND & 6
OPP 14
0
92.5%
Moore,Jaquez rush middle (Nnaeto,Chuck).Similar
Q1 8:19
3RD & 6
OPP 14
0
92.2%
Maalik Murphy pass incomplete to Sahmir Hagans, broken up by Khalil BakerSimilar
Q1 8:09
4TH & 6
OPP 14
+32
92.3%
Todd Pelino 32 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ELONDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · -13 yds · 2:278% → 8%
Q1 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
92.3%
Thomas Jr.,TJ rush (Howard,Alex), PENALTY PHO holding (Cutler,Jack) 10 yards to the PHO35. Elon Penalty, Offensive holding (Jack Cutler) to the ELON 15Similar
Q1 7:44
1ST & 20
OWN 15
-5
92.2%
Matthew Downing sacked for a loss of 5 yards to the ELON 10Similar
Q1 7:04
2ND & 25
OWN 10
-7
92.1%
Matthew Downing sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the ELON 3Similar
Q1 6:17
3RD & 32
OWN 3
+9
92.0%
TJ Thomas Jr. run for 9 yds to the ELON 12Similar
Q1 5:42
4TH & 23
OWN 12
+6
91.9%
Jeff Yurk punt for 60 yds , Que'Sean Brown returns for 6 yds to the DUKE 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 1:5592% → 91%
Q1 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+9
91.5%
Maalik Murphy pass complete to Jordan Moore for 9 yds to the DUKE 43Similar
Q1 5:12
2ND & 1
OWN 43
+3
91.7%
Jaquez Moore run for 3 yds to the DUKE 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
91.6%
Moore,Jaquez rush right (Robinson,Jonathan).Similar
Q1 4:17
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+6
91.4%
Maalik Murphy pass complete to Jordan Moore for 6 yds to the ELON 48Similar
Q1 3:42
3RD & 4
OPP 48
0
91.3%
Maalik Murphy pass incomplete to Sahmir Hagans, broken up by Caleb CurtainSimilar
Q1 3:35
4TH & 4
OPP 48
0
91.0%
Kade Reynoldson punt for 48 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ELONDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 10 yds · 2:169% → 9%
Q1 3:28
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+13
91.1%
Rushawn Baker run for 13 yds to the ELON 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
90.8%
Baker, Rushawn rush right (Moore,Terry).Similar
Q1 2:10
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+4
90.5%
Matthew Downing pass complete to Chandler Brayboy for 4 yds to the ELON 37Similar
Q1 1:28
3RD & 6
OWN 37
-7
90.3%
Matthew Downing sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the ELON 30 Elon Penalty, Offensive holding (Yards) to the ELON 30Similar
Q1 1:12
4TH & 13
OWN 30
0
90.7%
Jeff Yurk punt for 56 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:3690% → 89%
Q1 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-6
90.1%
Star Thomas run for a loss of 6 yards to the DUKE 8 Star Thomas fumbled, recovered by DUKE Caleb KringsSimilar
Q1 0:07
2ND & 16
OWN 8
-1
89.7%
Star Thomas run for a loss of 1 yard to the DUKE 7Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 17
OWN 7
+9
89.4%
Maalik Murphy pass complete to Peyton Jones for 9 yds to the DUKE 16Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 17
OWN 7
+9
89.4%
Maalik Murphy pass complete to Peyton Jones for 9 yds to the DUKE 16Similar
Q2 14:22
4TH & 8
OWN 16
0
89.1%
Kade Reynoldson punt for 49 yds , DJ Hamilton returns for no gain to the ELON 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ELONDrive 7PUNT
9 plays · 23 yds · 4:5511% → 12%
Q2 14:13
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
89.5%
Rushawn Baker run for 5 yds to the ELON 37Similar
Q2 13:34
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+4
89.1%
Matthew Downing pass complete to Chandler Brayboy for 4 yds to the ELON 41Similar
Q2 12:51
3RD & 1
OWN 41
+5
88.7%
Chandler Brayboy run for 5 yds to the ELON 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
88.4%
TJ Thomas Jr. run for 1 yd to the ELON 47Similar
Q2 11:34
2ND & 9
OWN 47
-2
88.1%
TJ Thomas Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the ELON 45Similar
Q2 10:51
3RD & 11
OWN 45
+14
88.4%
TJ Thomas Jr. run for 14 yds to the DUKE 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:08
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-9
87.4%
Matthew Downing sacked for a loss of 9 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 9:23
2ND & 19
50
0
87.5%
pass incomplete to Onuma DiekeSimilar
Q2 9:18
3RD & 19
50
+5
87.7%
Rushawn Baker run for 5 yds to the DUKE 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 8DOWNS
6 plays · 17 yds · 1:5889% → 87%
Q2 8:32
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
88.5%
Maalik Murphy pass incomplete to Jordan Moore, broken up by Khalil BakerSimilar
Q2 8:25
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+13
88.4%
Maalik Murphy pass complete to Jordan Moore for 13 yds to the ELON 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:03
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
88.9%
Moore,Jaquez rush left (Veloz,Nic;Everette,Donovan).Similar
Q2 7:21
2ND & 10
OPP 32
0
88.7%
pass incomplete to Jordan MooreSimilar
Q2 7:16
3RD & 10
OPP 32
+4
88.1%
Star Thomas run for 4 yds to the ELON 28Similar
Q2 6:34
4TH & 6
OPP 28
0
87.4%
pass incomplete to Jeremiah HasleySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ELONDrive 9MISSED FG
11 plays · 41 yds · 4:3813% → 15%
Q2 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-2
86.8%
TJ Thomas Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the ELON 26Similar
Q2 5:47
2ND & 12
OWN 26
-5
86.7%
Elon Penalty, false start (Carlos Moore Jr.) to the ELON 21Similar
Q2 5:33
2ND & 17
OWN 21
+21
86.7%
Matthew Downing pass complete to Chandler Brayboy for 21 yds to the ELON 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-1
85.5%
Rushawn Baker run for a loss of 1 yard to the ELON 41Similar
Q2 4:18
2ND & 11
OWN 41
+4
85.6%
Matthew Downing pass complete to Chandler Brayboy for 4 yds to the ELON 45Similar
Q2 3:42
3RD & 7
OWN 45
+15
85.1%
Matthew Downing pass complete to Jamarien Dalton for 15 yds to the DUKE 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:12
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+10
84.2%
TJ Thomas Jr. run for 10 yds to the DUKE 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:37
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-1
83.2%
TJ Thomas Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the DUKE 31Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 11
OPP 31
0
82.5%
pass incomplete to Cody Hardy Elon Penalty, inelgible downfield on pass (Yards) to the DUKE 31Similar
Q2 1:54
3RD & 11
OPP 31
0
83.5%
pass incomplete to Jamarien DaltonSimilar
Q2 1:49
4TH & 11
OPP 31
+49
84.8%
Jack Berkowitz 49 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 10TD
3 plays · 69 yds · 0:4791% → 91%
Q2 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+7
90.5%
Maalik Murphy pass complete to Jordan Moore for 7 yds to the DUKE 38Similar
Q2 1:23
2ND & 3
OWN 38
+55
90.9%
Maalik Murphy pass complete to Eli Pancol for 55 yds to the ELON 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
91.4%
Jaquez Moore 7 Yd Run (Todd Pelino Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ELONDrive 11END OF HALF
3 plays · 3 yds · 0:4510% → 10%
Q2 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
90.1%
TJ Thomas Jr. run for 3 yds to the ELON 28Similar
Q2 0:12
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+2
89.7%
TJ Thomas Jr. run for 2 yds to the ELON 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 12FG
12 plays · 37 yds · 3:1890% → 93%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
90.4%
Maalik Murphy pass complete to Jaquez Moore for 5 yds to the DUKE 35Similar
Q3 14:40
2ND & 5
OWN 35
0
90.6%
pass incomplete to Jordan MooreSimilar
Q3 14:37
3RD & 5
OWN 35
+8
90.2%
Maalik Murphy pass complete to Sahmir Hagans for 8 yds to the DUKE 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:13
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+8
90.9%
Maalik Murphy pass complete to Eli Pancol for 8 yds to the ELON 49Similar
Q3 13:54
2ND & 2
OPP 49
+14
90.9%
Maalik Murphy pass complete to Sahmir Hagans for 14 yds to the ELON 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:28
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
91.1%
Maalik Murphy pass complete to Eli Pancol for 2 yds to the ELON 33Similar
Q3 13:07
2ND & 8
OPP 33
+8
91.3%
Maalik Murphy pass complete to Sahmir Hagans for 8 yds to the ELON 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:37
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
91.3%
Maalik Murphy pass incomplete to Nicky Dalmolin, broken up by Caleb CurtainSimilar
Q3 12:30
2ND & 10
OPP 25
0
91.2%
Thomas,Star rush middle (Patierno,Marco;Smiley,Brandon).Similar
Q3 11:52
3RD & 10
OPP 25
0
90.6%
pass incomplete to Jeremiah HasleySimilar
Q3 11:42
4TH & 10
OPP 25
+42
93.0%
Todd Pelino 42 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ELONDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 1:377% → 7%
Q3 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-5
92.8%
Matthew Downing sacked for a loss of 5 yards to the ELON 13Similar
Q3 10:57
2ND & 15
OWN 13
+1
93.0%
TJ Thomas Jr. run for 1 yd to the ELON 14Similar
Q3 10:13
3RD & 14
OWN 14
0
93.0%
Thomas Jr.,TJ rush middle (Reese,Michael;Anthony Jr.,Vincent).Similar
Q3 9:50
4TH & 14
OWN 14
0
93.2%
Jeff Yurk punt for 46 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:4494% → 93%
Q3 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
93.7%
pass incomplete to Jordan MooreSimilar
Q3 9:20
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
93.6%
Moore,Jaquez rush left (Moore,Cazeem;Veloz,Nic).Similar
Q3 8:58
3RD & 10
OWN 40
0
93.3%
pass incomplete to Nicky DalmolinSimilar
Q3 8:51
4TH & 10
OWN 40
0
92.8%
Kade Reynoldson punt for 46 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ELONDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 1:207% → 7%
Q3 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+1
92.8%
Matthew Downing pass complete to Chandler Brayboy for 1 yd to the ELON 15Similar
Q3 8:08
2ND & 9
OWN 15
0
92.9%
pass incomplete to Chandler BrayboySimilar
Q3 8:04
3RD & 9
OWN 15
-5
93.0%
Elon Penalty, false start (Kevin Burkett) to the ELON 10Similar
Q3 8:04
3RD & 14
OWN 10
0
93.0%
Baker, Rushawn rush middle (Howard,Alex;Anthony Jr.,Vincent).Similar
Q3 7:25
4TH & 14
OWN 10
+14
93.1%
Jeff Yurk punt for 55 yds , Que'Sean Brown returns for 14 yds to the DUKE 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 16TD
4 plays · 51 yds · 0:5294% → 98%
Q3 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
93.6%
Jaquez Moore run for 3 yds to the ELON 48Similar
Q3 6:46
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+47
93.7%
Maalik Murphy pass complete to Jordan Moore for 47 yds to the ELON 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-62
93.7%
Maalik Murphy pass incomplete to Jordan Moore; 2-pt Conversion failed Similar
Q3 6:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
97.5%
Jeremiah Hasley 1 Yd pass from Maalik Murphy (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ELONDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 2:004% → 4%
Q3 6:13
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+7
96.1%
Matthew Downing pass complete to Onuma Dieke for 7 yds to the ELON 24Similar
Q3 5:40
2ND & 3
OWN 24
-4
95.9%
TJ Thomas Jr. run for a loss of 4 yards to the ELON 20Similar
Q3 4:58
3RD & 7
OWN 20
-7
96.3%
Matthew Downing sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the ELON 13Similar
Q3 4:13
4TH & 14
OWN 13
0
96.4%
Jeff Yurk punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 18DOWNS
7 plays · 18 yds · 2:4398% → 98%
Q3 4:07
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-3
97.6%
Maalik Murphy pass complete to Que'Sean Brown for a loss of 3 yards to the DUKE 43Similar
Q3 3:36
2ND & 13
OWN 43
+4
97.6%
Star Thomas run for 4 yds to the DUKE 47Similar
Q3 2:52
3RD & 9
OWN 47
+9
97.7%
Maalik Murphy pass complete to Jontavis Robertson for 9 yds to the ELON 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:23
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
97.8%
Star Thomas run for 6 yds to the ELON 38Similar
Q3 1:55
2ND & 4
OPP 38
0
97.9%
pass incomplete to Jordan MooreSimilar
Q3 1:48
3RD & 4
OPP 38
+2
97.8%
Peyton Jones run for 2 yds to the ELON 36Similar
Q3 1:24
4TH & 2
OPP 36
0
97.6%
Maalik Murphy pass incomplete to Nicky Dalmolin, broken up by Caleb CurtainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ELONDrive 19PUNT
8 plays · 5 yds · 3:544% → 3%
Q3 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
96.4%
Matthew Downing pass complete to Rushawn Baker for 3 yds to the ELON 39Similar
Q3 0:50
2ND & 7
OWN 39
0
96.6%
Baker, Rushawn rush left (Freeman,Tre;Aladuge,Desmond).Similar
Q3 0:25
3RD & 7
OWN 39
+6
96.7%
Matthew Downing run for 6 yds to the ELON 45Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 45
+1
96.7%
Matthew Downing run for 1 yd to the ELON 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:25
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
96.6%
Matthew Downing run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 13:40
2ND & 6
50
-4
96.8%
Matthew Downing pass complete to Chandler Brayboy for a loss of 4 yards to the ELON 46Similar
Q4 13:06
3RD & 10
OWN 46
-5
97.2%
Matthew Downing sacked for a loss of 5 yards to the ELON 41Similar
Q4 12:25
4TH & 15
OWN 41
0
97.5%
Jeff Yurk punt for 47 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 20INT
3 plays · 7 yds · 0:4498% → 98%
Q4 12:18
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+12
98.4%
Maalik Murphy pass complete to Javon Harvey for 12 yds to the DUKE 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:56
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-5
98.4%
Maalik Murphy pass complete to Eli Pancol for a loss of 5 yards to the DUKE 19 Duke Penalty, illegal formation (Yards) to the DUKE 19Similar
Q4 11:34
2ND & 15
OWN 19
0
98.1%
Maalik Murphy pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ELONDrive 21DOWNS
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:263% → 3%
Q4 11:22
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
97.3%
pass incomplete to Zimere WinstonSimilar
Q4 11:17
2ND & 10
OPP 45
-1
97.3%
TJ Thomas Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the DUKE 46Similar
Q4 10:32
3RD & 11
OPP 46
+9
97.4%
Matthew Downing pass complete to Jamarien Dalton for 9 yds to the DUKE 37Similar
Q4 9:56
4TH & 2
OPP 37
0
97.4%
Baker, Rushawn rush right (Anderson,David).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 22TD
11 plays · 63 yds · 5:4599% → 100%
Q4 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-4
98.6%
Star Thomas run for a loss of 4 yards to the DUKE 33Similar
Q4 9:12
2ND & 14
OWN 33
+17
98.5%
Maalik Murphy pass complete to Star Thomas for 17 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:36
1ST & 10
50
+2
98.7%
Star Thomas run for 2 yds to the ELON 48Similar
Q4 7:58
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+4
98.7%
Peyton Jones run for 4 yds to the ELON 44Similar
Q4 7:36
3RD & 4
OPP 44
+5
98.7%
Maalik Murphy pass incomplete to Sahmir Hagans for a 1ST down Elon Penalty, off-side (Chuck Nnaeto) to the ELON 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:32
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+9
98.7%
Peyton Jones run for 9 yds to the ELON 30Similar
Q4 6:58
2ND & 1
OPP 30
+12
98.8%
Star Thomas run for 12 yds to the ELON 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:19
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+12
98.9%
Maalik Murphy pass complete to Eli Pancol for 12 yds to the ELON 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-1
98.9%
Star Thomas run for a loss of 1 yard to the ELON 7Similar
Q4 4:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
99.0%
Thomas,Star rush middle (Baker,Khalil;Tucker,Dylan).Similar
Q4 4:06
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
99.8%
Eli Pancol 7 Yd pass from Maalik Murphy (Todd Pelino Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ELONDrive 23FG
12 plays · 54 yds · 3:520% → 1%
Q4 4:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.9%
Jack Salopek pass complete to Dylan Magazu for 5 yds to the ELON 30Similar
Q4 3:32
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+5
99.9%
Jack Salopek pass complete to Zimere Winston for 5 yds to the ELON 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+18
99.9%
Rushawn Baker run for 18 yds to the DUKE 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:25
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-4
99.9%
Rushawn Baker run for a loss of 4 yards to the ELON 49Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 14
OWN 49
+18
99.9%
Jack Salopek pass complete to William Lankford for 18 yds to the DUKE 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:34
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+8
99.9%
Jack Salopek pass complete to Dylan Magazu for 8 yds to the DUKE 25Similar
Q4 1:28
2ND & 2
OPP 25
+2
99.9%
Jack Salopek pass complete to Charlie Mill for 2 yds to the DUKE 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:13
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
99.9%
pass incomplete to Charlie MillSimilar
Q4 1:09
2ND & 10
OPP 23
0
99.9%
pass incomplete to Zimere WinstonSimilar
Q4 1:05
3RD & 10
OPP 23
+2
99.9%
Julian Bumper run for 2 yds to the DUKE 21Similar
Q4 0:14
4TH & 8
OPP 21
+39
99.5%
Jack Berkowitz 39 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
KEY PLAY · Q2 1:44
Maalik Murphy pass complete to Jordan Moore for 7 yds to the DUKE 38
+5.6
TD · Q3 6:18
Jeremiah Hasley 1 Yd pass from Maalik Murphy (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)
+3.8
FG · Q3 11:42
Todd Pelino 42 Yd Field Goal
+2.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com