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UNH

New Hampshire 3 at UCF 57

UCF
2024 · Week 1 · Aug 29, 2024 · FBC Mortgage Stadium
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Win probability · UCF
modelUCF aheadUNH aheadconfidence bandkey playUCF scoreUNH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGFGTDSAFETYTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 13:27 · Sean Lehane punt for 52 yds , Xavier Townsend returns for 18 yds to the UCF 47
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+49.0+24.50−24.5−49.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 95Pregame prior+35.7Home team on offense+26.1Score differential+14.8Blowout margin+11.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.7Garbage-time factor+2.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:45: KJ Jefferson run for 3 yds for a TD (Colton Boomer KICK) — UCF win probability +0.7 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UCF has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 9:40: RJ Harvey 1 Yd Run (Colton Boomer Kick) — UCF win probability +0.9 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UCF has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 4:31: Nick Mazzie 38 yd FG GOOD — UNH win probability +1.4 pts (now 2%) (top driver: UNH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:43: RJ Harvey run for 13 yds for a TD (Colton Boomer KICK) — UCF win probability +0.6 pts (now 100%) (top driver: UCF has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 9:15: KJ Jefferson pass complete to Myles Montgomery for 49 yds for a TD (Colton Boomer KICK) — UCF win probability +0.3 pts (now 100%) (top driver: UCF has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UCF made the numbers' call on 7 of 7UNH made the numbers' call on 7 of 11
  1. Q1 10:55UCF 4th & 7 at UNH 7, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.0%−<0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.0%
    91% to make
    Punt
    97.6%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:00UNH 4th & 8 at UNH 27, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.1%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:35UCF 4th & 1 at UNH 29, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    97.6%−0.2
    58% to make
    Punt
    97.2%−0.5
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:56UCF 4th & 12 at UNH 26, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 97.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.2%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.3%
    64% to make
    Punt
    96.9%−0.4
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:50UNH 4th & 13 at UNH 39, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.7%−0.1
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.8%
    average punt
  6. Q1 1:31UCF 4th & 6 at UCF 40, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.0%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:47UCF 4th & 10 at UNH 44, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.4%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    97.4%−0.1
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    97.5%
    average punt
  8. Q2 10:10UNH 4th & 6 at UNH 14, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.7%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.7%
    average punt
  9. Q2 4:31UNH 4th & 4 at UCF 20, down 22
    Close callKicked a field goal · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.5%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    1.5%−<0.1
    75% to make
    Punt
    1.2%−0.4
    average punt
  10. Q2 2:05UCF 4th & 1 at UNH 35, up 19
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    97.8%−0.3
    45% to make
    Punt
    97.6%−0.5
    average punt
  11. Q2 1:36UNH 4th & 2 at UNH 43, down 19
    Close callPunted · 2.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.4%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 13:27UNH 4th & 16 at UNH 19, down 26
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.3
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%
    average punt
  13. Q3 11:21UNH 4th & 4 at UNH 46, down 26
    Close callPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  14. Q3 7:51UNH 4th & 4 at UNH 32, down 33
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  15. Q3 5:04UNH 4th & 2 at UNH 28, down 40
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%−0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 14:55UNH 4th & 14 at UNH 28, down 54
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  17. Q4 7:48UCF 4th & 2 at UNH 2, up 54
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    100.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.1
    94% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.6
    average punt
  18. Q4 5:49UNH 4th & 18 at UNH 40, down 54
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.1
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UCF made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q2 14:45UCF Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 9:40UCF Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:43UCF Touchdown, up 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 9:15UCF Touchdown, up 32 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 6:39UCF Touchdown, up 39 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 3:05UCF Touchdown, up 46 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 1:28UCF Touchdown, up 53 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UCFDrive 1FG
12 plays · 61 yds · 4:0099% → 99%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+25
99.0%
RJ Harvey run for 25 yds to the UNH 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:34
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
99.0%
RJ Harvey run for 4 yds to the UNH 39Similar
Q1 14:19
2ND & 6
OPP 39
+1
99.0%
RJ Harvey run for 1 yd to the UNH 38Similar
Q1 13:53
3RD & 5
OPP 38
+6
98.9%
Johnny Richardson run for 6 yds to the UNH 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:18
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
98.9%
KJ Jefferson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:12
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+12
98.9%
Myles Montgomery run for 12 yds to the UNH 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:58
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+7
98.9%
Myles Montgomery run for 7 yds to the UNH 13Similar
Q1 12:29
2ND & 3
OPP 13
+3
98.8%
Myles Montgomery run for 3 yds to the UNH 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
98.8%
KJ Jefferson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
98.8%
RJ Harvey run for 3 yds to the UNH 7Similar
Q1 11:12
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
98.7%
KJ Jefferson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:55
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+25
98.7%
Colton Boomer 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNHDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:551% → 1%
Q1 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-6
98.7%
Seth Morgan pass complete to Joey Corcoran for a loss of 6 yards to the UNH 19Similar
Q1 10:29
2ND & 16
OWN 19
+1
98.7%
Myles Thomason run for 1 yd to the UNH 20Similar
Q1 9:52
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+7
98.6%
Myles Thomason run for 7 yds to the UNH 27Similar
Q1 9:00
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+26
98.6%
Sean Lehane punt for 47 yds , Xavier Townsend returns for 26 yds to the UNH 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 3FG
12 plays · 22 yds · 3:4499% → 98%
Q1 8:40
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+10
98.5%
Johnny Richardson run for 10 yds to the UNH 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:24
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
98.5%
RJ Harvey run for 3 yds to the UNH 35Similar
Q1 8:08
2ND & 7
OPP 35
0
98.5%
KJ Jefferson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:59
3RD & 7
OPP 35
+5
98.5%
New Hampshire Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the UNH 30Similar
Q1 7:56
3RD & 2
OPP 30
+1
98.5%
RJ Harvey run for 1 yd to the UNH 29Similar
Q1 7:35
4TH & 1
OPP 29
+5
98.4%
KJ Jefferson run for 5 yds to the UNH 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:54
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+2
98.4%
KJ Jefferson run for 2 yds to the UNH 22Similar
Q1 6:27
2ND & 8
OPP 22
+3
98.3%
Myles Montgomery run for 3 yds to the UNH 19Similar
Q1 5:54
3RD & 5
OPP 19
-2
98.2%
KJ Jefferson run for a loss of 2 yards to the UNH 21Similar
Q1 5:15
4TH & 7
OPP 21
-5
98.1%
UCF Penalty, Delay Of Game (Colton Boomer) to the UNH 26Similar
Q1 4:56
4TH & 12
OPP 26
+44
98.2%
Colton Boomer 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNHDrive 4PUNT
9 plays · 14 yds · 2:022% → 2%
Q1 4:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.3%
Seth Morgan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:52
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
98.3%
Seth Morgan pass complete to Josh Fillion for 8 yds to the UNH 33Similar
Q1 4:28
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+9
98.2%
Seth Morgan pass complete to Logan Tomlinson for 9 yds to the UNH 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
98.1%
Isaac Seide run for 2 yds to the UNH 44Similar
Q1 3:14
2ND & 8
OWN 44
0
98.0%
Seth Morgan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:55
3RD & 8
OWN 44
0
98.0%
Seth Morgan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:51
4TH & 8
OWN 44
-5
98.1%
New Hampshire Penalty, Delay Of Game (Sean Lehane) to the UNH 39Similar
Q1 2:50
4TH & 13
OWN 39
+26
98.1%
Sean Lehane punt for 51 yds , Xavier Townsend returns for 26 yds to the UCF 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:0198% → 98%
Q1 2:32
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-4
98.1%
Xavier Townsend run for a loss of 4 yards to the UCF 32Similar
Q1 1:57
2ND & 14
OWN 32
+8
98.0%
KJ Jefferson pass complete to RJ Harvey for 8 yds to the UCF 40Similar
Q1 1:35
3RD & 6
OWN 40
0
98.0%
KJ Jefferson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:31
4TH & 6
OWN 40
0
97.9%
Mitch McCarthy punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Myles Thomason at the UNH 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNHDrive 6INT
3 plays · 6 yds · 1:222% → 2%
Q1 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+4
97.9%
Myles Thomason run for 4 yds to the UNH 23Similar
Q1 0:43
2ND & 6
OWN 23
+2
97.8%
Myles Thomason run for 2 yds to the UNH 25Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 25
-37
97.8%
Seth Morgan pass intercepted Deshawn Pace return for 37 yds to the UNH 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 7TD
1 play · 3 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q2 14:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
98.5%
KJ Jefferson run for 3 yds for a TD (Colton Boomer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNHDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · -7 yds · 1:312% → 2%
Q2 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
98.2%
Isaac Seide run for a loss of 2 yards to the UNH 23Similar
Q2 14:12
2ND & 12
OWN 23
0
98.2%
Seth Morgan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:03
3RD & 12
OWN 23
-5
98.2%
Seth Morgan pass complete to Myles Thomason for a loss of 5 yards to the UNH 18Similar
Q2 13:12
4TH & 17
OWN 18
0
98.2%
Team SafetySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:1898% → 98%
Q2 13:05
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
98.4%
Peny Boone run for 4 yds to the UNH 40Similar
Q2 12:41
2ND & 6
OPP 40
-4
98.4%
KJ Jefferson sacked by Flex Ruiz and Brandon Perkins for a loss of 4 yards to the UNH 44Similar
Q2 12:09
3RD & 10
OPP 44
0
98.3%
KJ Jefferson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:47
4TH & 10
OPP 44
0
98.2%
Mitch McCarthy punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Myles Thomason at the UNH 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNHDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 1:332% → 2%
Q2 11:43
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
98.1%
Seth Morgan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:38
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+9
98.1%
Myles Thomason run for 9 yds to the UNH 19Similar
Q2 10:49
3RD & 1
OWN 19
0
98.0%
Myles Thomason run for no gain to the UNH 19Similar
Q2 10:18
4TH & 1
OWN 19
-5
98.4%
(10:18) MORGAN, Seth pass short up the middle incomplete dropped by TOMLINSON, Logan thrown to the UNH22, clock 10:05. PENALTY Before the snap, UNH False Start on RILEY, Beau enforced 5 yards from the UNH19 to the UNH14. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 10:10
4TH & 6
OWN 14
+12
98.5%
Sean Lehane punt for 59 yds , Xavier Townsend returns for 12 yds to the UCF 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 11TD
2 plays · 61 yds · 0:1698% → 99%
Q2 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+60
98.3%
RJ Harvey run for 60 yds to the UNH 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.2%
RJ Harvey 1 Yd Run (Colton Boomer Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNHDrive 12FG
9 plays · 55 yds · 5:081% → 2%
Q2 9:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
98.8%
(09:39) MORGAN, Seth pass short to the right complete for 8 yards to RAMSHAW, Colby caught at the UNH26 and advanced to the UNH33 (ARNOLD, II, Sheldon;BARR, Ethan), clock 09:35. PENALTY Before the snap, UNH Illegal Shift enforced 5 yards from the UNH25 to the UNH20. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 9:21
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+22
98.7%
Seth Morgan pass complete to Logan Tomlinson for 22 yds to the UNH 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:29
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
98.6%
Myles Thomason run for 3 yds to the UNH 45Similar
Q2 7:45
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+10
98.6%
Seth Morgan pass complete to Isaac Seide for 10 yds to the UCF 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:17
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+15
98.5%
UCF Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the UCF 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:34
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-4
98.6%
Myles Thomason run for a loss of 4 yards to the UCF 30Similar
Q2 6:02
2ND & 14
OPP 30
+7
99.0%
Seth Morgan run for 7 yds to the UCF 23Similar
Q2 5:23
3RD & 7
OPP 23
+3
99.0%
Seth Morgan pass complete to Logan Tomlinson for 3 yds to the UCF 20Similar
Q2 4:31
4TH & 4
OPP 20
+38
97.6%
Nick Mazzie 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 13DOWNS
7 plays · 37 yds · 2:1799% → 99%
Q2 4:22
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
98.8%
KJ Jefferson run for 5 yds to the UCF 33Similar
Q2 3:58
2ND & 5
OWN 33
+23
98.8%
Myles Montgomery run for 23 yds to the UNH 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:43
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-2
98.8%
Myles Montgomery run for a loss of 2 yards to the UNH 46Similar
Q2 3:13
2ND & 12
OPP 46
-4
98.8%
Johnny Richardson run for a loss of 4 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 2:42
3RD & 16
50
+15
98.9%
KJ Jefferson pass complete to Kobe Hudson for 15 yds to the UNH 35Similar
Q2 2:05
4TH & 1
OPP 35
0
98.9%
KJ Jefferson run for no gain to the UNH 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNHDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:252% → 2%
Q2 2:01
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
98.4%
Myles Thomason run for 1 yd to the UNH 36Similar
Q2 1:57
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+7
98.4%
Seth Morgan pass complete to Zachary Kim for 7 yds to the UNH 43Similar
Q2 1:40
3RD & 2
OWN 43
0
98.0%
Seth Morgan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:36
4TH & 2
OWN 43
0
98.1%
Sean Lehane punt for 37 yds , Xavier Townsend returns for no gain to the UCF 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 15TD
4 plays · 80 yds · 0:4999% → 100%
Q2 1:32
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
98.8%
KJ Jefferson run for 8 yds to the UCF 28Similar
Q2 1:13
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+46
98.9%
KJ Jefferson pass complete to Kobe Hudson for 46 yds to the UNH 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+13
98.9%
KJ Jefferson run for 13 yds to the UNH 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:43
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
99.5%
RJ Harvey run for 13 yds for a TD (Colton Boomer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNHDrive 16END OF HALF
3 plays · -4 yds · 0:450% → 1%
Q2 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
99.6%
(00:43) [NHSG] Kneel down by UNH at UNH23 (team loss of 2), clock 00:42.Similar
Q2 0:22
2ND & 12
OWN 23
-2
99.7%
(00:22) [NHSG] Kneel down by UNH at UNH21 (team loss of 2), clock 00:18.Similar
Q3 14:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
99.5%
(14:58) THOMASON, Myles rush to the right for a gain of 3 yards to the UNH28 (ADAMS, Brandon), clock 14:54. PENALTY UNH Holding on SWAINE, Luke enforced 10 yards from the UNH25 to the UNH15 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNHDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · -6 yds · 1:041% → 1%
Q3 14:31
1ST & 20
OWN 15
+4
99.4%
Seth Morgan pass complete to Joey Corcoran for 4 yds to the UNH 19Similar
Q3 13:53
2ND & 16
OWN 19
0
99.5%
Seth Morgan pass complete to Myles Thomason for no gain to the UNH 19Similar
Q3 13:31
3RD & 16
OWN 19
0
99.4%
Seth Morgan pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:27
4TH & 16
OWN 19
+18
99.4%
Sean Lehane punt for 52 yds , Xavier Townsend returns for 18 yds to the UCF 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 18INT
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:18100% → 100%
Q3 13:09
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
99.5%
KJ Jefferson run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 12:51
2ND & 7
50
+1
99.5%
KJ Jefferson pass intercepted Zedane Williams return for a loss of 1 yard to the UNH 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNHDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:191% → 1%
Q3 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
99.5%
Isaac Seide run for 2 yds to the UNH 42Similar
Q3 11:57
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+4
99.5%
Seth Morgan pass complete to Josh Fillion for 4 yds to the UNH 46Similar
Q3 11:29
3RD & 4
OWN 46
0
99.5%
Seth Morgan pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:21
4TH & 4
OWN 46
+4
99.5%
Sean Lehane punt for 46 yds , Xavier Townsend returns for 4 yds to the UCF 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 20TD
5 plays · 88 yds · 1:55100% → 100%
Q3 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+6
99.5%
Myles Montgomery run for 6 yds to the UCF 18Similar
Q3 10:50
2ND & 4
OWN 18
+20
99.5%
KJ Jefferson pass complete to Randy Pittman Jr. for 20 yds to the UCF 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:26
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+7
99.6%
RJ Harvey run for 7 yds to the UCF 45Similar
Q3 10:08
2ND & 3
OWN 45
+6
99.6%
KJ Jefferson run for 6 yds to the UNH 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:15
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+49
99.8%
KJ Jefferson pass complete to Myles Montgomery for 49 yds for a TD (Colton Boomer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNHDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:180% → 0%
Q3 9:09
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
99.8%
Isaac Seide run for 3 yds to the UNH 29Similar
Q3 8:34
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+3
99.8%
Isaac Seide run for 3 yds to the UNH 32Similar
Q3 7:58
3RD & 4
OWN 32
0
99.8%
Seth Morgan pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:51
4TH & 4
OWN 32
0
99.8%
Sean Lehane punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Xavier Townsend at the UCF 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 22TD
3 plays · 70 yds · 1:05100% → 100%
Q3 7:44
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
99.8%
Peny Boone run for 6 yds to the UCF 36Similar
Q3 7:23
2ND & 4
OWN 36
+5
99.8%
Peny Boone run for 5 yds to the UCF 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:39
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+59
99.9%
Peny Boone run for 59 yds for a TD (Colton Boomer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNHDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:250% → 0%
Q3 6:29
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
99.9%
Seth Morgan pass complete to Logan Tomlinson for no gain to the UNH 20Similar
Q3 5:54
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+8
99.9%
Seth Morgan pass complete to Logan Tomlinson for 8 yds to the UNH 28Similar
Q3 5:23
3RD & 2
OWN 28
0
99.9%
Seth Morgan pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:04
4TH & 2
OWN 28
0
99.9%
Sean Lehane punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Xavier Townsend at the UCF 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 24TD
4 plays · 63 yds · 1:52100% → 100%
Q3 4:57
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+24
99.9%
RJ Harvey run for 24 yds to the UNH 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:29
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+1
99.9%
Peny Boone run for 1 yd to the UNH 38Similar
Q3 3:47
2ND & 9
OPP 38
+16
99.9%
Xavier Townsend run for 16 yds to the UNH 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:05
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
99.9%
KJ Jefferson pass complete to Johnny Richardson for 22 yds for a TD (Colton Boomer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNHDrive 25INT
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:390% → 0%
Q3 2:58
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
99.9%
Isaac Seide run for 2 yds to the UNH 26Similar
Q3 2:19
2ND & 8
OWN 26
-9
100.0%
Seth Morgan pass intercepted Antione Jackson return for 9 yds to the UNH 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 26TD
2 plays · 29 yds · 0:43100% → 100%
Q3 2:11
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+4
99.9%
KJ Jefferson pass complete to Xavier Townsend for 4 yds to the UNH 25Similar
Q3 1:28
2ND & 6
OPP 25
+25
99.9%
Myles Montgomery run for 25 yds for a TD (Colton Boomer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNHDrive 27PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 1:260% → 0%
Q3 1:21
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-3
100.0%
Myles Thomason run for a loss of 3 yards to the UNH 29Similar
Q3 0:42
2ND & 13
OWN 29
-1
100.0%
Isaac Seide run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNH 28Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 14
OWN 28
0
100.0%
Seth Morgan pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:55
4TH & 14
OWN 28
+3
100.0%
Sean Lehane punt for 46 yds , Trent Whittemore returns for 3 yds to the UCF 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 28DOWNS
16 plays · 69 yds · 6:53100% → 100%
Q4 14:41
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
99.9%
Peny Boone run for 1 yd to the UCF 30Similar
Q4 14:21
2ND & 9
OWN 30
+15
99.9%
Jacurri Brown run for 15 yds to the UCF 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:54
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
99.9%
Jacurri Brown run for 4 yds to the UCF 49Similar
Q4 13:31
2ND & 6
OWN 49
+12
99.9%
Johnny Richardson run for 12 yds to the UNH 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:53
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
99.9%
Peny Boone run for 5 yds to the UNH 34Similar
Q4 12:21
2ND & 5
OPP 34
+4
100.0%
Jacurri Brown pass complete to Jarrad Baker for 4 yds to the UNH 30Similar
Q4 11:59
3RD & 1
OPP 30
+1
100.0%
Jacurri Brown run for 1 yd to the UNH 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:23
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+8
100.0%
Johnny Richardson run for 8 yds to the UNH 21Similar
Q4 10:55
2ND & 2
OPP 21
+6
100.0%
Jacurri Brown pass complete to Kylan Fox for 6 yds to the UNH 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:14
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
100.0%
Jacurri Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:12
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+4
100.0%
Jacurri Brown run for 4 yds to the UNH 11Similar
Q4 9:37
3RD & 6
OPP 11
+7
100.0%
Johnny Richardson run for 7 yds to the UNH 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
100.0%
Jacurri Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
100.0%
Johnny Richardson run for 1 yd to the UNH 3Similar
Q4 8:26
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
100.0%
Jacurri Brown run for 1 yd to the UNH 2Similar
Q4 7:48
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
0
100.0%
Jacurri Brown pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNHDrive 29PUNT
7 plays · 38 yds · 1:480% → 0%
Q4 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+15
100.0%
UCF Penalty, Personal Foul (Quadric Bullard) to the UNH 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-5
100.0%
Denzell Gibson run for a loss of 5 yards to the UNH 43Similar
Q4 6:37
2ND & 15
OWN 43
+2
100.0%
Denzell Gibson run for 2 yds to the UNH 45Similar
Q4 5:56
3RD & 13
OWN 45
0
100.0%
Seth Morgan pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:52
4TH & 13
OWN 45
-5
100.0%
New Hampshire Penalty, Delay Of Game (Sean Lehane) to the UNH 40Similar
Q4 5:49
4TH & 18
OWN 40
0
100.0%
Sean Lehane punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Trent Whittemore at the UCF 25Similar
Q4 5:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
100.0%
New Hampshire Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the UCF 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 30FUMBLE
6 plays · 54 yds · 1:51100% → 100%
Q4 5:42
1ST & 5
OWN 30
+3
100.0%
Kam Ingram run for 3 yds to the UCF 33Similar
Q4 5:19
2ND & 2
OWN 33
0
100.0%
Jacurri Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:13
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+5
100.0%
Jacurri Brown run for 5 yds to the UCF 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:43
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
100.0%
Jacurri Brown pass complete to Trent Whittemore for 6 yds to the UCF 44Similar
Q4 4:19
2ND & 4
OWN 44
+5
100.0%
Jacurri Brown pass complete to Kylan Fox for 5 yds to the UCF 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:51
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+30
100.0%
Jacurri Brown run for 30 yds to the UNH 21 Jacurri Brown fumbled, recovered by UNH Sam Rumelhart S. Rumelhart return for 0 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNHDrive 31END OF GAME
7 plays · 34 yds · 3:010% → 0%
Q4 3:36
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+12
100.0%
Matt Vezza run for 12 yds to the UNH 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
100.0%
Denzell Gibson run for no gain to the UNH 33Similar
Q4 2:09
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+2
100.0%
Denzell Gibson run for 2 yds to the UNH 35Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 8
OWN 35
+9
100.0%
Matt Vezza run for 9 yds to the UNH 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
100.0%
Denzell Gibson run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 0:35
2ND & 4
50
+5
100.0%
Denzell Gibson run for 5 yds to the UCF 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q2 4:31
Nick Mazzie 38 yd FG GOOD
-1.4
TD · Q2 9:40
RJ Harvey 1 Yd Run (Colton Boomer Kick)
+0.9
TD · Q2 14:45
KJ Jefferson run for 3 yds for a TD (Colton Boomer KICK)
+0.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com