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2024 · Week 13 · Nov 23, 2024 · Reser Stadium
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Win probability · ORST
modelORST aheadWSU aheadconfidence bandkey playORST scoreWSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:59 · Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Trent Walker for 7 yds to the WSU 38 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+28.0+14.00−14.0−28.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 145Pregame prior−0.5Home team on offense+2.7Garbage-time factor−0.9Score differential−1.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.4Blowout margin−1.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 1:41: Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Jermaine Terry II for 43 yds for a TD (Everett Hayes KICK) — ORST win probability +22.0 pts (now 73%) (top driver: ORST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 12:04: John Mateer run for 4 yds for a TD (Dean Janikowski KICK) — WSU win probability +27.9 pts (now 61%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 11:19: Taariq Al-Uqdah 29 Yd Interception Return (Dean Janikowski Kick) — WSU win probability +25.5 pts (now 75%) (top driver: ORST has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 2:45: Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Darrius Clemons for 4 yds for a TD (Everett Hayes KICK) — ORST win probability +34.3 pts (now 62%) (top driver: ORST has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 0:20: Everett Hayes 55 yd FG GOOD — ORST win probability +29.5 pts (now 90%) (top driver: ORST has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ORST made the numbers' call on 6 of 7WSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 13:24WSU 4th & 19 at WSU 16, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.9%−0.2
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:39ORST 4th & 3 at WSU 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 27.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    28.0%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    27.8%−0.2
    38% to make
    Punt
    27.8%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:42ORST 4th & 2 at WSU 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 32.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    32.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    32.5%−0.4
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:31WSU 4th & 4 at ORST 16, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 68.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.9%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    67.8%−0.1
    81% to make
    Punt
    65.2%−2.7
    average punt
  5. Q3 11:29ORST 4th & 11 at WSU 29, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 47.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.3%−1.2
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    47.5%
    58% to make
    Punt
    41.7%−5.8
    average punt
  6. Q3 6:34WSU 4th & 8 at ORST 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.0%−0.7
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.7%
    average punt
  7. Q3 3:09ORST 4th & 1 at midfield, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 48.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    49.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    45.2%−4.2
    average punt
  8. Q4 14:32WSU 4th & 1 at ORST 30, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 33.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    32.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    27.7%−5.2
    56% to make
    Punt
    24.4%−8.5
    average punt
  9. Q4 4:14ORST 4th & 8 at WSU 20, down 7
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.6 ptsWent for it · 22.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    18.8%−1.6
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    20.5%
    75% to make
    Punt
    11.1%−9.4
    average punt
  10. Q4 0:59ORST 4th & 6 at WSU 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 58.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    57.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    53.4%−4.3
    25% to make
    Punt
    54.5%−3.2
    average punt
  11. Q4 0:20ORST 4th & 9 at WSU 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 57.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.1%−6.2
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    63.3%
    40% to make
    Punt
    51.7%−11.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ORST made the numbers' call on 5 of 5WSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 7:05ORST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:19WSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 7:06ORST Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:04WSU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:13ORST Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 9:57WSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    54.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 1:41ORST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 12:04WSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 11:19WSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 2:45ORST Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.8%−2.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WSUDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · -9 yds · 1:3678% → 77%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
22.4%
Wayshawn Parker run for 4 yds to the WSU 29Similar
Q1 14:36
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
22.6%
Wayshawn Parker run for 5 yds to the WSU 34Similar
Q1 13:52
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-15
22.9%
Washington State Penalty, turnover on downs. PENALTY Unsportsmanlike Conduct on WILLIAMS, Kyle enforced (-15 Yards) to the WSU 16Similar
Q1 13:24
4TH & 19
OWN 16
0
23.3%
Nick Haberer punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 2TD
12 plays · 55 yds · 6:1523% → 30%
Q1 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
23.4%
Anthony Hankerson run for 3 yds to the ORST 48Similar
Q1 12:49
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+7
23.7%
Anthony Hankerson run for 7 yds to the WSU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:15
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-1
24.1%
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Anthony Hankerson for 14 yds to the ORST 31 Oregon State Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Anthony Hankerson) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 11:40
1ST & 15
50
-5
24.3%
Oregon State Penalty, Delay Of Game (-5 Yards) to the ORST 45Similar
Q1 11:26
1ST & 20
OWN 45
+13
24.3%
Salahadin Allah run for 13 yds to the WSU 42Similar
Q1 10:43
2ND & 7
OPP 42
-1
25.0%
Gabarri Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the WSU 43Similar
Q1 10:12
3RD & 8
OPP 43
+5
25.2%
Anthony Hankerson run for 5 yds to the WSU 38Similar
Q1 9:39
4TH & 3
OPP 38
+8
25.3%
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Jermaine Terry II for 8 yds to the WSU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:10
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
26.1%
Anthony Hankerson run for 1 yd to the WSU 29Similar
Q1 8:28
2ND & 9
OPP 29
+1
26.4%
Anthony Hankerson run for 1 yd to the WSU 28Similar
Q1 7:45
3RD & 8
OPP 28
+13
26.6%
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Jeremiah Noga for 13 yds to the WSU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:05
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
29.6%
Gabarri Johnson run for 15 yds for a TD (Everett Hayes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 3TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:4671% → 74%
Q1 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
28.8%
John Mateer pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:01
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
28.9%
John Mateer pass complete to Cooper Mathers for 8 yds to the WSU 33Similar
Q1 6:21
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+5
29.3%
John Mateer run for 5 yds to the WSU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:47
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
29.6%
John Mateer pass complete to Kris Hutson for 6 yds to the WSU 44Similar
Q1 5:30
2ND & 4
OWN 44
+17
29.5%
John Mateer pass complete to Kyle Williams for 17 yds to the ORST 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:57
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+11
29.8%
Wayshawn Parker run for 11 yds to the ORST 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:19
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+28
26.4%
John Mateer pass complete to Carlos Hernandez for 28 yds for a TD (Dean Janikowski KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 4DOWNS
8 plays · 37 yds · 3:3328% → 30%
Q1 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+7
27.8%
Salahadin Allah run for 7 yds to the ORST 23Similar
Q1 3:35
2ND & 3
OWN 23
-1
28.3%
Anthony Hankerson run for a loss of 1 yard to the ORST 22Similar
Q1 2:54
3RD & 4
OWN 22
+22
28.2%
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Trent Walker for 22 yds to the ORST 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:14
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
30.0%
Anthony Hankerson run for 3 yds to the ORST 47Similar
Q1 1:35
2ND & 7
OWN 47
+5
30.5%
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Trent Walker for 5 yds to the WSU 48Similar
Q1 1:18
3RD & 2
OPP 48
0
30.6%
Anthony Hankerson run for no gain to the WSU 48Similar
Q1 0:42
4TH & 2
OPP 48
+1
30.2%
Anthony Hankerson run for 1 yd to the WSU 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 5FG
5 plays · 37 yds · 2:0472% → 72%
Q1 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+31
27.9%
John Mateer pass complete to Kris Hutson for 31 yds to the ORST 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:05
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+5
27.3%
John Mateer pass complete to Kris Hutson for 5 yds to the ORST 17Similar
Q2 14:57
2ND & 5
OPP 17
+4
27.4%
Kris Hutson run for 4 yds to the ORST 13Similar
Q2 14:17
3RD & 1
OPP 13
-3
28.1%
John Mateer run for a loss of 3 yards to the ORST 16Similar
Q2 13:31
4TH & 4
OPP 16
+33
27.8%
Dean Janikowski 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 6TD
12 plays · 78 yds · 6:1728% → 41%
Q2 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+6
28.4%
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Trent Walker for 6 yds to the ORST 28Similar
Q2 12:46
2ND & 4
OWN 28
+5
29.0%
Salahadin Allah run for 5 yds to the ORST 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+15
29.1%
(12:12) GULBRANSON, Ben pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for CLEMONS, Darrius broken up by HALL, Stephen at the WSU30, clock 12:03. PENALTY WSU Pass Interference on HALL, Stephen enforced 15 yards to the OSU48 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 12:02
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
30.7%
Salahadin Allah run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 11:28
2ND & 8
50
+17
31.0%
Gabarri Johnson run for 17 yds to the WSU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:48
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
32.3%
Gabarri Johnson run for 5 yds to the WSU 28Similar
Q2 10:03
2ND & 5
OPP 28
-3
32.7%
Salahadin Allah run for a loss of 3 yards to the WSU 31Similar
Q2 9:22
3RD & 8
OPP 31
-5
31.7%
Oregon State Penalty, False Start (Jermaine Terry II) to the WSU 36Similar
Q2 9:03
3RD & 13
OPP 36
+17
30.4%
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Trent Walker for 17 yds to the WSU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:14
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+1
32.4%
Salahadin Allah run for 1 yd to the WSU 18Similar
Q2 7:35
2ND & 9
OPP 18
+17
32.6%
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Jermaine Terry II for 17 yds to the WSU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
41.0%
Salahadin Allah run for 1 yd for a TD (Everett Hayes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 7TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 6:0063% → 75%
Q2 7:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
37.5%
John Mateer pass complete to Josh Meredith for 5 yds to the WSU 30Similar
Q2 6:28
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+7
37.1%
John Mateer run for 7 yds to the WSU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
37.3%
John Mateer pass complete to Josh Meredith for 9 yds to the WSU 46Similar
Q2 5:16
2ND & 1
OWN 46
-1
36.0%
Wayshawn Parker run for a loss of 1 yard to the WSU 45Similar
Q2 4:31
3RD & 2
OWN 45
+2
37.1%
Djouvensky Schlenbaker run for 2 yds to the WSU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
37.1%
John Mateer pass complete to Kyle Williams for 5 yds to the ORST 48Similar
Q2 3:20
2ND & 5
OPP 48
+9
37.3%
Wayshawn Parker run for 9 yds to the ORST 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:47
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
37.1%
John Mateer pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:41
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+14
37.3%
John Mateer pass complete to Josh Meredith for 14 yds to the ORST 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:58
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+8
36.0%
Wayshawn Parker run for 8 yds to the ORST 17Similar
Q2 1:21
2ND & 2
OPP 17
+5
36.3%
John Mateer pass complete to Kris Hutson for 5 yds to the ORST 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:16
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+9
36.3%
John Mateer pass complete to Kyle Williams for 9 yds to the ORST 3Similar
Q2 1:04
2ND & 1
OPP 3
+3
25.4%
John Mateer run for 3 yds for a TD (Dean Janikowski KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 8TD
6 plays · 61 yds · 0:4430% → 48%
Q2 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+31
29.7%
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Trent Walker for 31 yds to the WSU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:38
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+24
33.1%
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Taz Reddicks for 24 yds to the WSU 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
33.1%
Anthony Hankerson run for 5 yds to the WSU 1Similar
Q2 0:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
34.2%
(00:21) GULBRANSON, Ben pass short to the right incomplete intended for CAUFIELD, Bryce thrown to the WSU0, clock 00:16. PENALTY WSU Holding on MOKU, Tanner enforced half the distance from the goal, 1 yards from the WSU1 to the WSU0 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 0:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
47.7%
Ben Gulbranson run for 1 yd for a TD (Everett Hayes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 9END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0057% → 57%
Q2 0:07
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-1
43.4%
(00:07) Kneel down by MATEER, John at WSU17 (team loss of 1).Similar
Q2 0:07
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
43.4%
PENALTY WSU Unsportsmanlike Conduct on CUSANO, Frank OSU Unsportsmanlike Conduct on REICHLE, Jake , Offsetting penalties [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 10FG
9 plays · 46 yds · 3:3045% → 55%
Q3 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
44.7%
Salahadin Allah run for 3 yds to the ORST 28Similar
Q3 14:25
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+8
45.2%
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Jermaine Terry II for 8 yds to the ORST 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:52
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
46.6%
Ben Gulbranson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:46
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+16
46.1%
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Jermaine Terry II for 16 yds to the WSU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:06
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+20
49.3%
Gabarri Johnson pass complete to Anthony Hankerson for 20 yds to the WSU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:26
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
50.5%
Gabarri Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:21
2ND & 10
OPP 28
-1
50.5%
Anthony Hankerson run for a loss of 1 yard to the WSU 29Similar
Q3 11:38
3RD & 11
OPP 29
0
49.1%
Ben Gulbranson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:29
4TH & 11
OPP 29
+46
54.7%
Everett Hayes 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 11TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:3146% → 62%
Q3 11:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
54.5%
John Mateer run for 16 yds to the WSU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:56
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+10
53.2%
John Mateer run for 10 yds to the ORST 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:24
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-8
51.9%
Wayshawn Parker run for 2 yds to the WSU 47 Washington State Penalty, Offensive Holding (Jackson Lataimua) to the WSU 43Similar
Q3 9:57
1ST & 18
OWN 43
+57
38.2%
John Mateer pass complete to Kyle Williams for 57 yds for a TD (Dean Janikowski KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 12INT
5 plays · 23 yds · 1:5842% → 45%
Q3 9:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
42.1%
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Trent Walker for 9 yds to the ORST 34Similar
Q3 9:16
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+12
44.8%
Anthony Hankerson run for 12 yds to the ORST 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
46.3%
Anthony Hankerson run for 2 yds to the ORST 48Similar
Q3 8:02
2ND & 8
OWN 48
0
46.8%
Ben Gulbranson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:59
3RD & 8
OWN 48
-2
45.0%
Ben Gulbranson pass intercepted Ethan O'Connor return for 2 yds to the ORST 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:1963% → 59%
Q3 7:53
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
36.6%
Wayshawn Parker run for 3 yds to the ORST 46Similar
Q3 7:17
2ND & 7
OPP 46
0
36.9%
John Mateer pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:10
3RD & 7
OPP 46
-1
37.4%
John Mateer sacked by Semisi Saluni for a loss of 1 yard to the ORST 47Similar
Q3 6:34
4TH & 8
OPP 47
0
41.1%
Nick Haberer punt for 38 yds, downed at the ORST 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 14TD
9 plays · 91 yds · 4:4544% → 73%
Q3 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+7
43.9%
Anthony Hankerson run for 7 yds to the ORST 16Similar
Q3 5:42
2ND & 3
OWN 16
+25
44.7%
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Trent Walker for 25 yds to the ORST 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
47.7%
Anthony Hankerson run for 5 yds to the ORST 46Similar
Q3 4:20
2ND & 5
OWN 46
0
49.3%
Jake Reichle run for no gain to the ORST 46Similar
Q3 3:43
3RD & 5
OWN 46
+4
48.1%
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Trent Walker for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 3:09
4TH & 1
50
+3
47.8%
Ben Gulbranson run for 3 yds to the WSU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:34
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
51.3%
Ben Gulbranson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:27
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+4
51.0%
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Trent Walker for 4 yds to the WSU 43Similar
Q3 1:41
3RD & 6
OPP 43
+43
73.0%
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Jermaine Terry II for 43 yds for a TD (Everett Hayes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 15TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 4:3633% → 61%
Q3 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+25
66.8%
Kyle Williams run for 10 yds to the WSU 35 for a 1ST down Oregon State Penalty, Personal Foul (Exodus Ayers) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:24
1ST & 10
50
+7
62.9%
Wayshawn Parker run for 7 yds to the ORST 43Similar
Q3 0:54
2ND & 3
OPP 43
+4
62.7%
John Mateer pass complete to Carlos Hernandez for 4 yds to the ORST 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:15
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-4
64.0%
Leo Pulalasi run for a loss of 4 yards to the ORST 43Similar
Q4 14:59
2ND & 14
OPP 43
0
66.7%
John Mateer pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:53
3RD & 14
OPP 43
-5
68.3%
Washington State Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the ORST 48Similar
Q4 14:52
3RD & 19
OPP 48
+18
68.5%
John Mateer pass complete to Kris Hutson for 18 yds to the ORST 30Similar
Q4 14:32
4TH & 1
OPP 30
+4
66.2%
John Mateer run for 4 yds to the ORST 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:01
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-3
65.4%
John Mateer run for a loss of 3 yards to the ORST 29Similar
Q4 13:23
2ND & 13
OPP 29
+24
68.3%
John Mateer run for 24 yds to the ORST 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
66.6%
John Mateer run for 1 yd to the ORST 4Similar
Q4 12:04
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
38.7%
John Mateer run for 4 yds for a TD (Dean Janikowski KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 16INT TD
2 plays · 1 yds · 0:4350% → 25%
Q4 12:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
50.1%
Anthony Hankerson run for 1 yd to the ORST 26Similar
Q4 11:19
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-29
24.6%
Taariq Al-Uqdah 29 Yd Interception Return (Dean Janikowski Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 17TD
20 plays · 75 yds · 8:3425% → 62%
Q4 11:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
24.7%
Ben Gulbranson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:11
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+10
24.5%
(11:11) GULBRANSON, Ben pass to the left incomplete intended for WALKER, Trent thrown to the OSU25, clock 11:06. PENALTY WSU Holding on HALL, Stephen enforced 10 yards from the OSU25 to the OSU35 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 11:06
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
25.3%
Anthony Hankerson run for 6 yds to the ORST 41Similar
Q4 10:27
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+3
26.6%
Anthony Hankerson run for 3 yds to the ORST 44Similar
Q4 9:48
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+1
26.4%
Ben Gulbranson run for 1 yd to the ORST 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:07
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
26.5%
Ben Gulbranson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:02
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+7
25.2%
Anthony Hankerson run for 7 yds to the WSU 48Similar
Q4 8:21
3RD & 3
OPP 48
+4
28.1%
Ben Gulbranson run for 4 yds to the WSU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:42
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+11
28.3%
Gabarri Johnson run for 11 yds to the WSU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:58
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+9
28.2%
Anthony Hankerson run for 9 yds to the WSU 24Similar
Q4 6:16
2ND & 1
OPP 24
+2
28.6%
Ben Gulbranson run for 2 yds to the WSU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:39
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-5
27.0%
(05:39) GULBRANSON, Ben pass to the left complete for 4 yards to WALKER, Trent caught at the WSU26 and advanced to the WSU18 (GUSHIKEN, Kapena), out of bounds, clock 05:33. PENALTY OSU Illegal Touch-Pass on WALKER, Trent enforced 5 yards from the WSU22 to the WSU27, penalty results in a loss of down [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 5:00
2ND & 15
OPP 27
+7
23.7%
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Trent Walker for 7 yds to the WSU 20Similar
Q4 4:46
3RD & 8
OPP 20
0
24.2%
Ben Gulbranson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:14
4TH & 8
OPP 20
+15
21.9%
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Jeremiah Noga for 15 yds to the WSU 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
27.4%
Ben Gulbranson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
27.4%
Anthony Hankerson run for 1 yd to the WSU 4Similar
Q4 2:45
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
61.7%
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Darrius Clemons for 4 yds for a TD (Everett Hayes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 18FUMBLE
3 plays · 24 yds · 0:4653% → 56%
Q4 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
47.4%
John Mateer run for 11 yds to the WSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+13
44.2%
John Mateer pass complete to Kyle Williams for 13 yds Kyle Williams fumbled, recovered by ORST Jaden Robinson J. Robinson return for 0 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 19FG
12 plays · 12 yds · 1:3261% → 90%
Q4 1:52
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
60.6%
Anthony Hankerson run for 4 yds to the WSU 45Similar
Q4 1:14
2ND & 6
OPP 45
0
61.2%
Gabarri Johnson run for no gain to the WSU 45Similar
Q4 1:03
3RD & 6
OPP 45
0
59.0%
Ben Gulbranson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:59
4TH & 6
OPP 45
+7
55.3%
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Trent Walker for 7 yds to the WSU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:41
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
61.4%
Anthony Hankerson run for 2 yds to the WSU 36Similar
Q4 0:36
2ND & 8
OPP 36
-1
62.7%
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Trent Walker for a loss of 1 yard to the WSU 37Similar
Q4 0:30
3RD & 9
OPP 37
0
60.7%
Ben Gulbranson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:20
4TH & 9
OPP 37
+55
90.3%
Everett Hayes 55 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 20FUMBLE
4 plays · 16 yds · 0:1321% → 17%
Q4 0:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
79.1%
John Mateer pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:12
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
81.0%
John Mateer pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:07
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+5
82.7%
John Mateer pass complete to Josh Meredith for 5 yds Gabarri Johnson fumbled, recovered by ORST Skyler Thomas S. Thomas return for 0 ydsSimilar
Q4 0:06
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+5
82.7%
John Mateer pass complete to Josh Meredith for 5 yds Kyle Williams fumbled, recovered by ORST Skyler Thomas S. Thomas return for 0 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 2:45
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Darrius Clemons for 4 yds for a TD (Everett Hayes KICK)
+34.3
FG · Q4 0:20
Everett Hayes 55 yd FG GOOD
+29.5
TD · Q4 12:04
John Mateer run for 4 yds for a TD (Dean Janikowski KICK)
-27.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com