ND
Notre Dame 49 at USC 35
USC2024 · Week 14 · Nov 30, 2024 · Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
Win probability · USC
modelUSC aheadND aheadconfidence bandkey play
What moved it - hover a play below
Q4 0:00 · Notre Dame Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (TEAM) to the ND 28
No driver breakdown computed for this play yet.
Play by play - hover to pin the curve
Q1 14:57
Woody Marks run for 2 yds to the USC 16
0.0
Q1 14:27
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Makai Lemon for 10 yds to the USC 26 for a 1ST down
+0.3
Q1 13:54
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Makai Lemon for a loss of 3 yards to the USC 23
0.0
Q1 13:17
Woody Marks run for 14 yds to the USC 37 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q1 12:37
Woody Marks run for no gain to the USC 37
+0.2
Q1 12:00
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Zachariah Branch for 26 yds to the ND 37 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q1 11:09
Woody Marks run for 1 yd to the ND 36
+2.2
Q1 10:31
Jayden Maiava pass incomplete
0.0
Q1 10:27
Woody Marks run for 7 yds to the ND 29
-0.2
Q1 9:49
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Zachariah Branch for 1 yd to the ND 28
-0.4
Q1 9:42
Jeremiyah Love run for 19 yds to the ND 47 for a 1ST down
-5.8
Q1 9:10
Riley Leonard pass complete to Jeremiyah Love for 1 yd to the ND 48
-2.0
Q1 8:37
Riley Leonard run for 5 yds to the USC 47
-0.4
Q1 7:54
Riley Leonard pass complete to Kris Mitchell for 6 yds to the USC 41 for a 1ST down
+0.2
Q1 7:22
Riley Leonard pass complete to Jaden Greathouse for 6 yds to the USC 35
-0.1
Q1 6:46
Riley Leonard run for 6 yds to the USC 29 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q1 6:11
Jeremiyah Love run for 9 yds to the USC 20
+0.1
Q1 5:35
Riley Leonard pass complete to Mitchell Evans for 3 yds to the USC 17 for a 1ST down
+0.1
Q1 4:53
Riley Leonard pass complete to Mitchell Evans for 1 yd to the USC 16
+0.3
Q1 4:18
Jeremiyah Love run for 7 yds to the USC 9
0.0
Q1 3:41
Riley Leonard run for 5 yds to the USC 4 for a 1ST down
+0.1
Q1 3:10
Riley Leonard run for 3 yds to the USC 1
0.0
Q1 2:28
Jeremiyah Love run for 1 yd for a TD (Mitch Jeter KICK)
-13.8
Q1 2:23
Woody Marks run for 9 yds to the USC 29
+5.3
Q1 2:04
USC Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the USC 24
0.0
Q1 1:52
Quinten Joyner run for 12 yds to the USC 36 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q1 1:18
Jayden Maiava pass incomplete
+0.1
Q1 1:13
Quinten Joyner run for 3 yds to the USC 39
0.0
Q1 0:33
Jayden Maiava pass incomplete
+0.2
Q1 0:26
Eddie Czaplicki punt for 46 yds
0.0
Q1 0:19
Riley Leonard pass complete to Jayden Thomas for 8 yds to the ND 23
-4.5
Q2 15:00
Riley Leonard pass complete to Jayden Thomas for 14 yds Jayden Thomas fumbled, recovered by USC Easton Mascarenas-Arnold E. Mascarenas-Arnold return for 0 yds
+0.2
Q2 14:54
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Duce Robinson for 11 yds to the ND 26 for a 1ST down
+6.9
Q2 14:16
Jayden Maiava run for 6 yds to the ND 20
+0.1
Q2 13:43
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Quinten Joyner for 13 yds to the ND 7 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 13:00
Quinten Joyner run for 6 yds to the ND 1
0.0
Q2 12:07
Jadarian Price run for no gain to the ND 25
+8.6
Q2 12:07
Jayden Maiava 1 Yd Run (Michael Lantz Kick)
+6.5
Q2 11:36
Riley Leonard run for 1 yd to the ND 26
-2.3
Q2 10:53
Riley Leonard pass incomplete
+1.3
Q2 10:39
Tyler Buchner pass complete to Mitchell Evans for 23 yds to the ND 49 for a 1ST down
+0.3
Q2 9:54
Riley Leonard pass complete to Jadarian Price for a loss of 1 yard to the ND 48
-1.9
Q2 9:20
Jadarian Price run for 1 yd to the ND 49
0.0
Q2 8:44
Riley Leonard pass complete to Mitchell Evans for 9 yds to the USC 42
0.0
Q2 7:58
Riley Leonard pass complete to Jordan Faison for 8 yds to the USC 34 for a 1ST down
+1.0
Q2 7:19
Jeremiyah Love run for 19 yds to the USC 15 for a 1ST down
-1.0
Q2 6:38
Riley Leonard pass incomplete
0.0
Q2 6:33
Jeremiyah Love run for 3 yds to the USC 12
0.0
Q2 5:57
Riley Leonard run for 3 yds to the USC 9
+0.1
Q2 5:16
Mitch Jeter 27 yd FG MISSED
+0.8
Q2 5:13
Jayden Maiava sacked by Gabriel Rubio for a loss of 5 yards to the USC 15
+9.0
Q2 4:31
Jayden Maiava pass incomplete
+0.4
Q2 4:23
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Zachariah Branch for 11 yds to the USC 26
0.0
Q2 3:43
(03:43) CZAPLICKI, Eddie punt 74 yards to the ND0, Touchback, clock 03:34. PENALTY Before the snap, USC Illegal Shift enforced 5 yards from the USC26 to the USC21. NO PLAY (replay the down).
-0.7
Q2 3:34
Eddie Czaplicki punt for 51 yds , Max Hurleman returns for 7 yds to the ND 35
0.0
Q2 3:26
Jeremiyah Love run for 3 yds to the ND 38
-5.1
Q2 2:48
Riley Leonard pass complete to Eli Raridon for 4 yds to the ND 42
-0.9
Q2 2:15
Jeremiyah Love run for 2 yds to the ND 44
0.0
Q2 2:00
Riley Leonard run for 1 yd to the ND 45 for a 1ST down
-0.3
Q2 1:44
Jeremiyah Love run for 8 yds to the USC 47
-0.3
Q2 1:16
(01:16) LEONARD, Riley pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for HARRISON, Jayden thrown to the USC30; QB hurried by CLIFTON, Nate, clock 01:11. PENALTY USC Tripping on SHELBY, Braylan enforced 15 yards from the USC47 to the USC32 and results in a 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).
-0.5
Q2 1:11
Riley Leonard pass complete to Jeremiyah Love for 20 yds to the USC 12 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 1:03
Timeout Notre Dame, clock 01:03
0.0
Q2 0:59
R. Leonard pass to E. Raridon for 12 yds for a TD (M. Jeter KICK)
-23.7
Q2 0:55
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Zachariah Branch for 7 yds to the USC 29
+7.0
Q2 0:49
Jayden Maiava pass incomplete
0.0
Q2 0:43
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Makai Lemon for 9 yds to the USC 38 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 0:38
Timeout USC, clock 00:38
+0.5
Q2 0:38
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Makai Lemon for 35 yds to the ND 27 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 0:32
(00:32) MAIAVA, Jayden pass deep to the right incomplete intended for LANE, Ja'Kobi thrown to the ND1, clock 00:27. PENALTY ND Pass Interference on GRAY, Christian enforced half the distance from the goal, 15 yards to the ND12 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).
+2.2
Q2 0:24
J. Maiava pass to J. Lane for 12 yds for a TD (M. Lantz KICK)
+18.3
Q2 0:24
Jeremiyah Love run for 8 yds to the ND 33
-9.5
Q3 15:00
Jeremiyah Love run for 10 yds to the ND 35 for a 1ST down
+1.0
Q3 14:39
Riley Leonard pass incomplete
+0.9
Q3 14:36
Jeremiyah Love run for 6 yds to the ND 41
0.0
Q3 14:02
Riley Leonard pass complete to Kris Mitchell for 19 yds to the USC 40 for a 1ST down
-1.4
Q3 13:21
Jeremiyah Love run for 4 yds to the USC 36
-1.2
Q3 12:38
Jadarian Price run for 36 yds for a TD (Mitch Jeter KICK)
-18.3
Q3 12:33
Jayden Maiava pass incomplete
+8.8
Q3 12:28
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Duce Robinson for 30 yds to the ND 47 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q3 12:01
Bryan Jackson run for 2 yds to the ND 45
+1.7
Q3 11:18
Jayden Maiava pass incomplete
0.0
Q3 11:12
(11:12) MAIAVA, Jayden pass deep to the left incomplete intended for LEMON, Makai thrown to the ND15, clock 11:07. PENALTY ND Pass Interference on GRAY, Christian enforced 15 yards to the ND30 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).
-0.2
Q3 11:07
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Walker Lyons for 11 yds to the ND 19 for a 1ST down
+1.1
Q3 10:27
Quinten Joyner run for 14 yds to the ND 5 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q3 9:49
Quinten Joyner run for 4 yds to the ND 1
+0.6
Q3 9:06
Jayden Maiava run for 1 yd for a TD (Michael Lantz KICK)
+18.8
Q3 9:06
Riley Leonard pass complete to Jeremiyah Love for 17 yds to the ND 42 for a 1ST down
-9.2
Q3 8:33
Riley Leonard run for 9 yds to the USC 49
-1.4
Q3 8:01
USC Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Greedy Vance Jr.) to the USC 28 for a 1ST down
-1.0
Q3 7:39
Riley Leonard run for 24 yds to the USC 4 for a 1ST down
-0.1
Q3 7:09
Jadarian Price run for 2 yds to the USC 2
0.0
Q3 6:27
Riley Leonard run for 2 yds for a TD (Mitch Jeter KICK)
-18.4
Q3 6:20
Jayden Maiava pass incomplete
+8.9
Q3 6:16
Jayden Maiava run for 8 yds to the USC 44
0.0
Q3 5:35
Quinten Joyner run for 4 yds to the USC 48 for a 1ST down
+0.3
Q3 4:59
Jayden Maiava pass incomplete
+0.8
Q3 4:51
Jayden Maiava pass incomplete
0.0
Q3 4:46
Bryan Jackson run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line
-0.2
Q3 4:06
Eddie Czaplicki punt for 50 yds for a touchback
+1.2
Q3 3:59
Jadarian Price run for 16 yds to the ND 36 for a 1ST down
-9.5
Q3 3:22
Riley Leonard pass intercepted John Humphrey return for 15 yds to the ND 45
-0.5
Q3 3:08
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Kyron Hudson for 7 yds to the ND 38
+8.3
Q3 2:33
Jayden Maiava pass incomplete
+0.9
Q3 2:28
Jayden Maiava pass incomplete
0.0
Q3 2:23
Jayden Maiava pass incomplete
-0.4
Q3 2:17
Jadarian Price run for 4 yds to the ND 42
-9.5
Q3 1:44
Jadarian Price run for 35 yds to the USC 23 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q3 1:11
Riley Leonard pass complete to Mitchell Evans for 23 yds for a TD (Mitch Jeter KICK)
-10.5
Q3 1:04
Quinten Joyner run for 11 yds to the USC 28 for a 1ST down
+0.4
Q3 0:27
Jayden Maiava pass incomplete
0.0
Q3 0:21
Jayden Maiava pass incomplete
0.0
Q3 0:17
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Kyle Ford for 29 yds to the ND 43 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 15:00
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Makai Lemon for a loss of 3 yards to the ND 46
+1.1
Q4 14:21
Jayden Maiava pass incomplete
-1.3
Q4 14:18
Jayden Maiava pass incomplete
0.0
Q4 14:12
Eddie Czaplicki punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Max Hurleman at the ND 10
0.0
Q4 14:06
Jadarian Price run for 3 yds to the ND 13
-1.1
Q4 13:23
Jadarian Price run for 1 yd to the ND 14
0.0
Q4 12:43
Riley Leonard sacked by Kameryn Fountain for a loss of 4 yards to the ND 10
-1.2
Q4 12:02
James Rendell punt for 42 yds , Zachariah Branch returns for 7 yds to the ND 45
-0.9
Q4 11:52
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Makai Lemon for 24 yds to the ND 21 for a 1ST down
+2.7
Q4 11:09
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Kyron Hudson for 19 yds to the ND 2 for a 1ST down
-0.4
Q4 10:26
Quinten Joyner run for 1 yd to the ND 1
-1.4
Q4 9:46
USC Penalty, False Start (Lake McRee) to the ND 5
0.0
Q4 9:28
Timeout Notre Dame, clock 09:28
-1.6
Q4 9:28
Jake Jensen run for a loss of 1 yard to the ND 6
0.0
Q4 8:43
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Ja'Kobi Lane for 6 yds for a TD (Michael Lantz KICK)
+19.7
Q4 8:43
Riley Leonard pass complete to Jordan Faison for 5 yds to the ND 30
-10.2
Q4 8:06
Jadarian Price run for 2 yds to the ND 32
-0.7
Q4 7:28
(07:28) LEONARD, Riley pass deep to the left incomplete intended for FAISON, Jordan thrown to the USC45, clock 07:22. PENALTY USC Holding on COVINGTON, Jacobe enforced 10 yards from the ND32 to the ND42 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).
0.0
Q4 7:22
Jadarian Price run for 5 yds to the ND 33
0.0
Q4 6:47
Riley Leonard sacked by Jamil Muhammad for a loss of 5 yards to the ND 28
0.0
Q4 6:01
Riley Leonard pass incomplete
-1.0
Q4 5:58
James Rendell punt for 60 yds , Zachariah Branch returns for 4 yds to the USC 16
0.0
Q4 5:47
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Makai Lemon for 16 yds to the USC 32 for a 1ST down
+5.3
Q4 5:11
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Lake McRee for 2 yds to the USC 34
0.0
Q4 4:36
Jayden Maiava pass incomplete
+0.2
Q4 4:30
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Duce Robinson for 22 yds to the ND 44 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 4:25
Quinten Joyner run for 23 yds to the ND 21 for a 1ST down
+2.4
Q4 3:39
Jayden Maiava pass intercepted Christian Gray return for 99 yds for a TD USC Penalty, Block below the waist on MAIAVA, Jayden of (Jayden Maiava) to the USC 0 (Mitch Jeter KICK)
-17.2
Q4 3:39
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Makai Lemon for 34 yds to the ND 41 for a 1ST down
-0.4
Q4 3:08
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Kyle Ford for 8 yds to the ND 33
+0.2
Q4 2:45
Quinten Joyner run for 5 yds to the ND 28 for a 1ST down
+0.2
Q4 2:20
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Makai Lemon for 11 yds to the ND 17 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 2:00
Timeout USC, clock 02:00
+0.1
Q4 2:00
Jayden Maiava pass incomplete
0.0
Q4 1:57
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Kyle Ford for 4 yds to the ND 13
-0.2
Q4 1:36
Jayden Maiava pass incomplete
0.0
Q4 1:18
Jayden Maiava pass intercepted Xavier Watts return for 100 yds for a TD (Mitch Jeter KICK)
-2.9
Q4 1:18
Bryan Jackson run for 12 yds to the USC 37 for a 1ST down
-0.2
Q4 1:01
Bryan Jackson run for 11 yds to the USC 48 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 0:39
Bryan Jackson run for 23 yds to the ND 29 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 0:24
Bryan Jackson run for 21 yds to the ND 8 for a 1ST down
+0.2
Q4 0:17
Timeout USC, clock 00:17
0.0
Q4 0:13
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Ja'Kobi Lane for 8 yds for a TD (Michael Lantz KICK)
+2.9
Q4 0:13
(00:13) Kneel down by TEAM at ND23 (team loss of 2), clock 00:03.
0.0
Q4 0:00
Notre Dame Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (TEAM) to the ND 28
+5.1
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:59
R. Leonard pass to E. Raridon for 12 yds for a TD (M. Jeter KICK)
-23.7
TD · Q4 8:43
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Ja'Kobi Lane for 6 yds for a TD (Michael Lantz KICK)
+19.7
TD · Q3 9:06
Jayden Maiava run for 1 yd for a TD (Michael Lantz KICK)
+18.8