FS
Fresno State 13 at UCLA 20
U2024 · Week 14 · Nov 30, 2024 · Rose Bowl
Win probability · U
modelU aheadFS aheadconfidence bandkey play
What moved it - hover a play below
Q4 0:28 · (00:28) Kneel down by TEAM at FSU49 (team loss of 2), clock 00:23.
No driver breakdown computed for this play yet.
Play by play - hover to pin the curve
Q1 14:49
T.J. Harden run for 6 yds to the UCLA 30
0.0
Q1 14:14
Ethan Garbers pass complete to J.Michael Sturdivant for 2 yds to the UCLA 32
-0.1
Q1 13:35
UCLA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UCLA 27
0.0
Q1 13:15
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Logan Loya for 19 yds to the UCLA 46 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q1 12:36
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Moliki Matavao for 11 yds to the FRES 43 for a 1ST down
+0.9
Q1 12:00
UCLA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the FRES 48
+1.1
Q1 11:34
Ethan Garbers run for 3 yds to the FRES 45
-0.3
Q1 11:02
Keegan Jones run for 4 yds to the FRES 41
0.0
Q1 10:26
UCLA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the FRES 46
+0.1
Q1 10:00
Ethan Garbers pass incomplete
-0.3
Q1 9:55
Brody Richter punt for 38 yds
-0.3
Q1 9:46
UCLA Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the FRES 26 for a 1ST down
-3.8
Q1 9:28
Mikey Keene pass complete to Bryson Donelson for 1 yd to the FRES 27
+0.1
Q1 8:59
Bryson Donelson run for 2 yds to the FRES 29
-0.3
Q1 8:19
Mikey Keene pass incomplete
0.0
Q1 8:12
Clay Lawrence punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Logan Loya at the UCLA 38
0.0
Q1 8:05
Keegan Jones run for 4 yds to the UCLA 42
+3.1
Q1 7:26
Ethan Garbers pass incomplete
+0.2
Q1 7:20
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Moliki Matavao for 13 yds to the FRES 45 for a 1ST down
-0.2
Q1 6:55
Ethan Garbers pass incomplete
+1.2
Q1 6:51
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Titus Mokiao-Atimalala for 10 yds to the FRES 35 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q1 6:05
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Moliki Matavao for 26 yds Moliki Matavao fumbled, recovered by UCLA for a 1ST down
-0.3
Q1 5:13
T.J. Harden run for 5 yds to the FRES 4
0.0
Q1 4:43
Ethan Garbers pass incomplete
0.0
Q1 4:41
Ethan Garbers pass incomplete
-0.2
Q1 4:36
Mateen Bhaghani 23 yd FG GOOD
+3.8
Q1 4:29
Mikey Keene run for 2 yds to the FRES 16
-2.5
Q1 3:54
Mikey Keene pass complete to Raylen Sharpe for 6 yds to the FRES 22
-0.1
Q1 3:12
Elijah Gilliam run for 1 yd to the FRES 23
0.0
Q1 2:27
Clay Lawrence punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Logan Loya at the UCLA 40
-0.1
Q1 2:20
Keegan Jones run for 2 yds to the UCLA 42
+2.2
Q1 1:41
Keegan Jones run for 2 yds to the UCLA 44
-0.9
Q1 0:58
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Kwazi Gilmer for 7 yds to the FRES 49 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q1 0:30
Ethan Garbers pass incomplete
+0.4
Q1 0:23
Ethan Garbers pass complete to T.J. Harden for 3 yds to the FRES 46
0.0
Q2 14:59
Ethan Garbers pass complete to T.J. Harden for a loss of 8 yards to the UCLA 46
-0.3
Q2 14:15
Brody Richter punt for 49 yds , Jalen Moss returns for 7 yds to the FRES 12
-0.9
Q2 14:01
Ethan Garbers pass incomplete
+1.4
Q2 13:53
Keegan Jones run for no gain to the FRES 12
0.0
Q2 13:31
Ethan Garbers sacked by Phoenix Jackson for a loss of 10 yards to the FRES 22
-0.2
Q2 12:51
Mateen Bhaghani 40 yd FG GOOD
+5.2
Q2 12:21
Mikey Keene pass complete to Jalen Moss for 5 yds to the FRES 29
-4.7
Q2 12:11
Mikey Keene pass complete to Mac Dalena for a loss of 1 yard to the FRES 28
0.0
Q2 11:32
Mikey Keene pass complete to Mac Dalena for 9 yds to the FRES 37 for a 1ST down
+1.3
Q2 11:10
Mikey Keene pass incomplete
-0.3
Q2 11:07
Mikey Keene pass complete to Bryson Donelson for 7 yds to the FRES 44
0.0
Q2 10:21
Mikey Keene pass incomplete
-1.1
Q2 10:16
UCLA Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Anthony Adkins) to the UCLA 40 for a 1ST down
+0.3
Q2 10:05
Mikey Keene sacked by Kain Medrano for a loss of 3 yards to the UCLA 43
-1.4
Q2 9:23
Mikey Keene pass complete to Richie Anderson for 15 yds to the UCLA 28 for a 1ST down
+0.2
Q2 9:03
Mikey Keene pass incomplete
-0.2
Q2 8:58
Mac Dalena run for 20 yds to the UCLA 8 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 8:11
Joshua Wood pass incomplete
+0.6
Q2 8:10
Mikey Keene pass complete to Jalen Moss for 1 yd to the UCLA 7
0.0
Q2 7:29
Mikey Keene pass complete to Raylen Sharpe for 7 yds for a TD (Dylan Lynch KICK)
-19.1
Q2 7:28
Keegan Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 24
+7.7
Q2 6:45
Ethan Garbers pass incomplete
0.0
Q2 6:40
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Titus Mokiao-Atimalala for 28 yds to the FRES 48 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 6:02
Keegan Jones run for a loss of 3 yards to the UCLA 49
+1.8
Q2 5:16
Ethan Garbers sacked by Dean Clark for a loss of 7 yards to the UCLA 42
-0.9
Q2 4:34
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Moliki Matavao for 12 yds to the FRES 46
-0.5
Q2 3:52
Brody Richter punt for 46 yds for a touchback
+1.2
Q2 3:44
UCLA Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the FRES 36 for a 1ST down
-7.1
Q2 3:20
Mikey Keene pass incomplete
-0.2
Q2 3:15
Mikey Keene pass incomplete
0.0
Q2 3:10
Mikey Keene sacked by Carson Schwesinger for a loss of 7 yards to the FRES 29
0.0
Q2 2:32
Clay Lawrence punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Logan Loya at the UCLA 24
-0.2
Q2 2:27
Ethan Garbers pass incomplete
+5.6
Q2 2:22
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Jack Pedersen for 13 yds to the UCLA 37 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 1:57
Ethan Garbers pass incomplete
-0.1
Q2 1:53
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Anthony Frias II for 4 yds to the UCLA 41
0.0
Q2 1:30
Ethan Garbers sacked by Jacob Holmes and Devo Bridges for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 40
+0.4
Q2 1:26
Timeout UCLA, clock 01:26
-9.8
Q2 1:24
Brody Richter punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Jalen Moss at the FRES 10
+9.0
Q2 1:16
Bryson Donelson run for 24 yds to the FRES 34 for a 1ST down
-7.1
Q2 1:08
Mikey Keene pass incomplete
0.0
Q2 1:01
Mikey Keene pass complete to Mac Dalena for 6 yds to the FRES 40
0.0
Q2 1:00
Mikey Keene pass complete to Bryson Donelson for 5 yds to the FRES 45 for a 1ST down
-0.6
Q2 0:48
Mikey Keene pass complete to Bryson Donelson for 11 yds to the UCLA 44 for a 1ST down
-0.8
Q2 0:35
Mikey Keene pass incomplete
-0.5
Q2 0:29
Mikey Keene pass complete to Elijah Gilliam for 2 yds to the UCLA 42
0.0
Q2 0:21
Mikey Keene pass complete to Bryson Donelson for 4 yds to the UCLA 38
-1.7
Q2 0:14
Mikey Keene pass complete to Raylen Sharpe for 8 yds to the UCLA 30 for a 1ST down
+0.8
Q2 0:04
Timeout UCLA, clock 00:04
-0.8
Q2 0:00
Dylan Lynch 48 yd FG GOOD
-4.7
Q3 14:52
(14:52) KEENE, Mikey pass short to the left complete for 4 yards to SHARPE, Raylen caught at the FSU16 and advanced to the FSU18 (MOORE, Kaylin), clock 14:46. PENALTY Before the snap, FSU Illegal Substitution enforced 5 yards from the FSU14 to the FSU9. NO PLAY (replay the down).
+4.3
Q3 14:29
Mikey Keene pass incomplete
0.0
Q3 14:28
Mikey Keene pass incomplete
0.0
Q3 14:24
Mikey Keene pass complete to Jalen Moss for 5 yds to the FRES 14
0.0
Q3 13:44
Clay Lawrence punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Logan Loya at the UCLA 44
-0.5
Q3 13:36
T.J. Harden run for 7 yds to the FRES 49
+6.2
Q3 12:58
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Kwazi Gilmer for 9 yds to the FRES 40 for a 1ST down
+1.1
Q3 12:21
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Moliki Matavao for 35 yds to the FRES 5 for a 1ST down
+1.0
Q3 11:43
T.J. Harden run for 5 yds for a TD (Mateen Bhaghani KICK)
+14.8
Q3 11:41
Bryson Donelson run for 4 yds to the FRES 29
-5.0
Q3 11:09
Mikey Keene pass incomplete
0.0
Q3 11:04
Mikey Keene pass complete to Mac Dalena for 8 yds to the FRES 37 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q3 10:44
(10:44) KEENE, Mikey pass to the right complete for 2 yards to DONELSON, Bryson caught at the FSU31 and advanced to the FSU39 (OLADEJO, Oluwafemi), out of bounds, clock 10:38. PENALTY FSU Holding on PENRIGHT, Toreon enforced 10 yards from the FSU37 to the FSU27 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).
0.0
Q3 10:27
Bryson Donelson run for 3 yds to the FRES 30
0.0
Q3 10:01
Mikey Keene pass complete to Bryson Donelson for 4 yds to the FRES 34
-0.2
Q3 9:20
Mikey Keene pass complete to Jake Tarwater for 10 yds to the FRES 44
0.0
Q3 8:37
Clay Lawrence punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Logan Loya at the UCLA 25
-1.2
Q3 8:28
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Kwazi Gilmer for 13 yds to the UCLA 38 for a 1ST down
+6.9
Q3 7:47
Anthony Frias II run for 8 yds to the UCLA 46
+0.5
Q3 7:08
Anthony Frias II run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down
+0.2
Q3 6:15
Ethan Garbers run for 1 yd to the FRES 49
+0.3
Q3 5:36
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Moliki Matavao for 8 yds to the FRES 41
0.0
Q3 4:50
Anthony Frias II run for 6 yds to the FRES 35 for a 1ST down
-0.8
Q3 4:07
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Kwazi Gilmer for 17 yds to the FRES 18 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q3 3:28
Anthony Frias II run for 4 yds to the FRES 14
+0.5
Q3 2:46
Anthony Frias II run for 4 yds to the FRES 10
0.0
Q3 2:05
Anthony Frias II run for 1 yd to the FRES 9
-0.2
Q3 1:28
Ethan Garbers pass incomplete
-0.6
Q3 1:25
Johnathan Arceneaux run for 7 yds to the FRES 16
-5.1
Q3 1:01
Mikey Keene pass complete to Bryson Donelson for a loss of 2 yards to the FRES 14
0.0
Q3 0:18
Mikey Keene pass complete to Chedon James for 38 yds to the UCLA 48 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 14:58
Mikey Keene pass complete to Mac Dalena for 2 yds to the UCLA 46
-2.0
Q4 14:18
(14:18) KEENE, Mikey pass to the right incomplete thrown to the UCLA50; QB hurried by TOIA, Jay, clock 14:14. PENALTY FSU Holding on DONELSON, Bryson enforced 10 yards from the UCLA46 to the FSU44 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).
+1.8
Q4 14:13
Mikey Keene pass complete to Bryson Donelson for 6 yds to the 50 yard line
+0.5
Q4 13:27
Mikey Keene pass complete to Mac Dalena for 2 yds to the UCLA 48
-0.5
Q4 12:45
Clay Lawrence punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Logan Loya at the UCLA 8
+0.3
Q4 12:39
Anthony Frias II run for 3 yds to the UCLA 11
+5.4
Q4 12:02
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Logan Loya for 21 yds to the UCLA 32 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 11:28
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Kwazi Gilmer for 3 yds to the UCLA 35
-0.1
Q4 10:48
UCLA Penalty, False Start (Sam Yoon) to the UCLA 30
0.0
Q4 10:27
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Moliki Matavao for 9 yds to the UCLA 39
+1.0
Q4 9:37
Ethan Garbers pass incomplete
-0.4
Q4 9:30
Brody Richter punt for 61 yds for a touchback
-0.5
Q4 9:19
Bryson Donelson run for 2 yds to the FRES 22
-2.6
Q4 8:48
Mikey Keene pass incomplete
+0.4
Q4 8:44
Mikey Keene pass complete to Elijah Gilliam for 6 yds to the FRES 28
0.0
Q4 8:01
Clay Lawrence punt for 49 yds , Logan Loya returns for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 22
-0.1
Q4 7:50
Ethan Garbers pass incomplete
+2.4
Q4 7:46
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Anthony Frias II for 14 yds to the UCLA 36 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 7:07
Ethan Garbers run for 9 yds to the UCLA 45
+0.9
Q4 6:25
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Titus Mokiao-Atimalala for 7 yds to the FRES 48 for a 1ST down
+0.1
Q4 5:51
Ethan Garbers pass incomplete
+0.3
Q4 5:46
Anthony Frias II run for 4 yds to the FRES 44
0.0
Q4 4:58
GARBERS, Ethan pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for MOKIAO-ATIMALALA, Titus thrown to the FSU22, clock 04:58 (After official review, play stands as called on the field). PENALTY FSU Roughing the Passer on NOMURA, Tuasivi enforced 15 yards from the FSU44 to the FSU29 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).
+1.1
Q4 4:57
Anthony Frias II run for 1 yd to the FRES 28
+0.7
Q4 4:10
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Moliki Matavao for 6 yds to the FRES 22
+0.7
Q4 3:37
Timeout UCLA, clock 03:37
-0.4
Q4 3:36
Ethan Garbers run for 7 yds to the FRES 15 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 2:52
Anthony Frias II run for no gain to the FRES 15
+2.8
Q4 2:05
Anthony Frias II run for 6 yds to the FRES 9
+1.9
Q4 1:58
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Kwazi Gilmer for 5 yds to the FRES 4 for a 1ST down
+0.6
Q4 1:52
Anthony Frias II run for 1 yd to the FRES 3
+0.1
Q4 1:49
Timeout UCLA, clock 01:49
0.0
Q4 1:47
Anthony Frias II run for 1 yd to the FRES 2
0.0
Q4 1:44
Timeout UCLA, clock 01:44
-0.2
Q4 1:38
Ethan Garbers pass complete to J.Michael Sturdivant for 2 yds for a TD (Mateen Bhaghani KICK)
+10.0
Q4 1:37
Mikey Keene pass complete to Richie Anderson for 8 yds to the FRES 33
-1.6
Q4 1:17
Mikey Keene pass complete to Bryson Donelson for 8 yds to the FRES 41 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 1:04
Mikey Keene pass complete to Raylen Sharpe for 14 yds to the UCLA 45 for a 1ST down
+0.1
Q4 0:54
Mikey Keene pass incomplete
0.0
Q4 0:47
Mikey Keene pass complete to Mac Dalena for 21 yds fumbled, forced by Ramon Henderson, recovered by FRES Mac Dalena M. Dalena return for 0 yds for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 0:36
Mikey Keene pass incomplete
-0.4
Q4 0:31
Dylan Lynch 42 yd FG GOOD
-4.7
Q4 0:28
(00:28) Kneel down by TEAM at FSU49 (team loss of 2), clock 00:23.
+3.9
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 7:29
Mikey Keene pass complete to Raylen Sharpe for 7 yds for a TD (Dylan Lynch KICK)
-19.1
TD · Q3 11:43
T.J. Harden run for 5 yds for a TD (Mateen Bhaghani KICK)
+14.8
TD · Q4 1:38
Ethan Garbers pass complete to J.Michael Sturdivant for 2 yds for a TD (Mateen Bhaghani KICK)
+10