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WASH

Washington 21 at Oregon 49

ORE
2024 · Week 14 · Nov 30, 2024 · Autzen Stadium
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Win probability · ORE
modelORE aheadWASH aheadconfidence bandkey playORE scoreWASH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 9:51 · Jack McCallister punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ORE 26 , Tez Johnson returns for no gain to the ORE 26
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+40.0+20.00−20.0−40.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 129Pregame prior+8.3Home team on offense+35.2Score differential+30.4Garbage-time factor+10.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+5.6Blowout margin+16.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 8:13: Jordan James run for 1 yd for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK) — ORE win probability +3.6 pts (now 89%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 7:23: Jordan James run for 1 yd for a TD (Andrew Boyle KICK) — ORE win probability +3.0 pts (now 92%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 5:01: Dillon Gabriel run for 4 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK) — ORE win probability +4.1 pts (now 96%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:51: Jonah Coleman 1 Yd Run (Demond Williams Jr. Pass to Denzel Boston for Two-Point Conversion) — WASH win probability +6.6 pts (now 11%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 3:28: Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Tez Johnson for 9 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK) — ORE win probability +4.0 pts (now 98%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ORE made the numbers' call on 1 of 1WASH made the numbers' call on 8 of 8
  1. Q1 5:24WASH 4th & 5 at ORE 8, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 14.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.2%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    14.2%
    90% to make
    Punt
    13.4%−0.8
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:12ORE 4th & 11 at ORE 37, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.1%−0.3
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.4%
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:50WASH 4th & 10 at WASH 43, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.2%−0.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.5%
    average punt
  4. Q2 9:44WASH 4th & 10 at ORE 23, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 18.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.1%−0.4
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    18.5%
    70% to make
    Punt
    16.2%−2.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 5:54WASH 4th & 8 at WASH 27, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.6%−0.5
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.0%
    average punt
  6. Q3 9:21WASH 4th & 17 at ORE 46, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.8%−1.1
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    9.0%−0.9
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    10.0%
    average punt
  7. Q3 0:31WASH 4th & 23 at WASH 23, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−1.0
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.9%
    average punt
  8. Q4 9:51WASH 4th & 5 at WASH 37, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  9. Q4 2:54WASH 4th & 1 at WASH 34, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ORE made the numbers' call on 7 of 7WASH made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 10:36ORE Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 8:13ORE Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 7:23ORE Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 5:01ORE Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:51WASH Touchdown, down 16 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    8.5%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    8.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 3:28ORE Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 12:19ORE Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 5:02ORE Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 1:43WASH Touchdown, down 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OREDrive 1TD
11 plays · 71 yds · 4:1390% → 90%
Q1 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
90.0%
Jordan James run for 4 yds to the ORE 33Similar
Q1 14:18
2ND & 6
OWN 33
+7
89.9%
Jordan James run for 7 yds to the ORE 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:48
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
89.8%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Jordan James for 8 yds to the ORE 48Similar
Q1 13:31
2ND & 2
OWN 48
+16
89.8%
Jordan James run for 16 yds to the WASH 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:46
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+5
89.6%
(12:52) No Huddle-Shotgun Gabriel,Dillon pass complete short right to Ferguson,Terrance caught at UW 38, for 6 yards to the UW 30 (Bruener,Carson) PENALTY ORE Illegal Shift (Ferguson,Terrance) 5 yards from UW 36 to UW 41. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:14
1ST & 15
OPP 41
+9
89.4%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Terrance Ferguson for 9 yds to the WASH 32Similar
Q1 11:55
2ND & 6
OPP 32
+10
89.4%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Traeshon Holden for 10 yds to the WASH 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:29
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+7
89.4%
Jordan James run for 7 yds to the WASH 15Similar
Q1 11:11
2ND & 3
OPP 15
+6
89.3%
Jordan James run for 6 yds to the WASH 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
89.7%
Noah Whittington run for 9 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 2FG
10 plays · 65 yds · 4:4111% → 12%
Q1 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+34
89.4%
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Jeremiah Hunter for 34 yds to the ORE 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:57
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
89.2%
Jonah Coleman run for 2 yds to the ORE 37Similar
Q1 9:21
2ND & 8
OPP 37
+4
89.1%
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Giles Jackson for 4 yds to the ORE 33Similar
Q1 8:47
3RD & 4
OPP 33
+9
88.9%
Demond Williams Jr. run for 9 yds to the ORE 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:08
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+11
88.7%
Adam Mohammed run for 11 yds to the ORE 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:33
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-3
88.6%
Demond Williams Jr. run for a loss of 3 yards to the ORE 16Similar
Q1 6:42
2ND & 13
OPP 16
+1
88.4%
Demond Williams Jr. run for 1 yd to the ORE 15Similar
Q1 5:58
3RD & 12
OPP 15
+7
88.5%
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Denzel Boston for 7 yds to the ORE 8Similar
Q1 5:24
4TH & 5
OPP 8
+26
87.6%
Grady Gross 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 1:0088% → 87%
Q1 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
87.9%
Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Jordan JamesSimilar
Q1 5:01
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+4
87.8%
Jordan James run for 4 yds to the ORE 42Similar
Q1 4:21
3RD & 6
OWN 42
0
87.6%
Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Evan StewartSimilar
Q1 4:21
4TH & 6
OWN 42
-5
87.4%
PENALTY ORE False Start (Boettcher,Bryce) 5 yards from ORE42 to ORE37. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:12
4TH & 11
OWN 37
0
87.2%
Ross James punt for 63 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 4PUNT
9 plays · 23 yds · 4:1513% → 13%
Q1 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
87.5%
Jonah Coleman run for 5 yds to the WASH 25Similar
Q1 3:38
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+8
87.3%
Demond Williams Jr. run for 8 yds to the WASH 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:56
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
87.1%
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Giles Jackson for 2 yds to the WASH 31Similar
Q1 2:02
2ND & 12
OWN 31
+12
87.3%
Demond Williams Jr. run for 12 yds to the WASH 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-8
86.7%
Demond Williams Jr. sacked by Bryce Boettcher for a loss of 8 yards to the WASH 35Similar
Q1 0:57
2ND & 18
OWN 35
+3
87.0%
Jonah Coleman run for 3 yds to the WASH 38Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 15
OWN 38
+5
86.7%
Demond Williams Jr. run for 5 yds to the WASH 43Similar
Q2 14:50
4TH & 10
OWN 43
0
87.0%
Jack McCallister punt for 51 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 5FUMBLE
6 plays · 17 yds · 2:4286% → 85%
Q2 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+4
86.3%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Evan Stewart for 4 yds to the ORE 10Similar
Q2 14:03
2ND & 6
OWN 10
+1
86.1%
Noah Whittington run for 1 yd to the ORE 11Similar
Q2 13:28
3RD & 5
OWN 11
+9
85.6%
Dillon Gabriel run for 9 yds to the ORE 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
85.8%
Noah Whittington run for 2 yds to the ORE 22Similar
Q2 12:15
2ND & 8
OWN 22
0
85.6%
Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Noah WhittingtonSimilar
Q2 12:00
3RD & 8
OWN 22
+1
85.2%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Noah Whittington for 1 yd Noah Whittington fumbled, recovered by WASH Lance HoltzclawSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 6FG
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:4416% → 16%
Q2 11:28
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-3
84.4%
Demond Williams Jr. sacked by Jestin Jacobs for a loss of 3 yards to the ORE 26Similar
Q2 10:52
2ND & 13
OPP 26
+9
84.3%
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Jeremiah Hunter for 9 yds to the ORE 17Similar
Q2 10:25
3RD & 4
OPP 17
-6
84.5%
Demond Williams Jr. sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the ORE 23Similar
Q2 9:44
4TH & 10
OPP 23
+41
83.7%
Grady Gross 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 7TD
5 plays · 54 yds · 1:1685% → 89%
Q2 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+7
85.3%
Jordan James run for 7 yds to the WASH 47Similar
Q2 8:59
2ND & 3
OPP 47
+7
85.4%
Jordan James run for 7 yds to the WASH 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+39
85.3%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Traeshon Holden for 39 yds to the WASH 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
88.9%
Jordan James run for 1 yd for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 8FUMBLE
2 plays · -7 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q2 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-7
87.9%
Jonah Coleman run for a loss of 7 yards to the WASH 19 Jonah Coleman fumbled, recovered by ORE Derrick HarmonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 9TD
3 plays · 19 yds · 0:2589% → 92%
Q2 7:48
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+18
88.9%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Jordan James for 18 yds to the WASH 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
91.9%
Jordan James run for 1 yd for a TD (Andrew Boyle KICK)Similar
Q2 7:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+5
91.9%
Sadiq,Kenyon pass attempt failed PENALTY ORE Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Cornelius,Ajani) 5 yards from UW 03 to UW 08. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:249% → 9%
Q2 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
90.7%
Demond Williams Jr. pass incomplete to Jonah ColemanSimilar
Q2 7:11
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-2
90.8%
Jonah Coleman run for a loss of 2 yards to the WASH 23Similar
Q2 6:34
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+4
91.1%
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Keleki Latu for 4 yds to the WASH 27Similar
Q2 5:54
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+29
91.1%
Jack McCallister punt for 47 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WASH 45 , Gary Bryant Jr. returns for 29 yds to the WASH 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 11TD
3 plays · 45 yds · 0:4292% → 96%
Q2 5:43
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+20
92.2%
Noah Whittington run for 20 yds to the WASH 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:16
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+21
92.3%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Terrance Ferguson for 21 yds to the WASH 4 for a 1ST down Washington Penalty, Defensive Offside (Jonah Coleman) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
96.4%
Dillon Gabriel run for 4 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 12TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 4:045% → 11%
Q2 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
95.5%
Demond Williams Jr. pass incomplete to Giles JacksonSimilar
Q2 4:47
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
95.5%
Demond Williams Jr. run for 3 yds to the WASH 28Similar
Q2 4:04
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+23
95.6%
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Giles Jackson for 23 yds to the ORE 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:27
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
95.4%
Jonah Coleman run for 1 yd to the ORE 48Similar
Q2 2:56
2ND & 9
OPP 48
-5
95.5%
PENALTY UW False Start (Tafai,Kahlee) 5 yards from ORE48 to UW 47. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:37
2ND & 14
OWN 47
+3
95.9%
Demond Williams Jr. run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 1:52
3RD & 11
50
+11
95.8%
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Jeremiah Hunter for 11 yds to the ORE 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:21
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-1
95.7%
Demond Williams Jr. sacked for a loss of 1 yard to the ORE 40Similar
Q2 1:13
2ND & 11
OPP 40
+26
96.0%
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Giles Jackson for 12 yds to the ORE 28 for a 1ST down Oregon Penalty, Face Mask (14 yards) (Kobe Savage) to the ORE 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:05
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+13
95.7%
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Denzel Boston for 13 yds to the ORE 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
95.7%
Jonah Coleman run for no gain to the ORE 1Similar
Q2 0:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
88.8%
Jonah Coleman 1 Yd Run (Demond Williams Jr. Pass to Denzel Boston for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 13MISSED FG
11 plays · 38 yds · 0:3792% → 93%
Q2 0:37
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
91.9%
Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Evan StewartSimilar
Q2 0:24
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+6
91.9%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Jordan James for 6 yds to the ORE 30Similar
Q2 0:19
3RD & 4
OWN 30
+8
92.0%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Jordan James for 8 yds to the ORE 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:09
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
92.8%
Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Terrance FergusonSimilar
Q2 0:01
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+24
92.9%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Traeshon Holden for 24 yds to the WASH 38 for a 1ST down Washington Penalty, Defensive Offside (Jonah Coleman) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+56
92.5%
Andrew Boyle 56 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 14PUNT
9 plays · 18 yds · 5:199% → 8%
Q3 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
90.8%
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Keleki Latu for 3 yds to the WASH 39Similar
Q3 14:06
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+10
90.7%
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Jonah Coleman for 10 yds to the WASH 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
90.2%
Demond Williams Jr. run for 5 yds to the ORE 46Similar
Q3 12:53
2ND & 5
OPP 46
-5
90.1%
Demond Williams Jr. sacked by Jordan Burch for a loss of 5 yards to the WASH 49Similar
Q3 11:54
3RD & 10
OWN 49
+12
90.9%
Demond Williams Jr. run for 12 yds to the ORE 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:24
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
90.2%
Adam Mohammed run for 3 yds to the ORE 36Similar
Q3 10:48
2ND & 7
OPP 36
-2
90.1%
Demond Williams Jr. sacked by Matayo Uiagalelei for a loss of 2 yards to the ORE 38Similar
Q3 10:05
3RD & 9
OPP 38
-8
90.6%
Demond Williams Jr. sacked by Jordan Burch for a loss of 8 yards to the ORE 46Similar
Q3 9:21
4TH & 17
OPP 46
0
91.7%
Jack McCallister punt for 46 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 15TD
10 plays · 80 yds · 5:3993% → 98%
Q3 9:07
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+16
92.5%
Jordan James run for 16 yds to the ORE 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
92.7%
Jordan James run for 3 yds to the ORE 39Similar
Q3 8:01
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+6
93.0%
Jordan James run for 6 yds to the ORE 45Similar
Q3 7:22
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+17
93.1%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Tez Johnson for 17 yds to the WASH 38 for a 1ST down Washington Penalty, Defensive Holding (Jonah Coleman) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:02
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+16
93.6%
Noah Whittington run for 16 yds to the WASH 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:26
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+5
93.6%
Noah Whittington run for 5 yds to the WASH 17Similar
Q3 5:45
2ND & 5
OPP 17
+4
93.7%
Noah Whittington run for 4 yds to the WASH 13Similar
Q3 4:58
3RD & 1
OPP 13
+2
93.6%
Kenyon Sadiq run for 2 yds to the WASH 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:11
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
94.1%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Terrance Ferguson for 2 yds to the WASH 9Similar
Q3 3:28
2ND & 8
OPP 9
+9
98.1%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Tez Johnson for 9 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · -3 yds · 2:412% → 1%
Q3 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+10
97.9%
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Jeremiah Hunter for 10 yds to the WASH 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
97.8%
Jonah Coleman run for a loss of 1 yard to the WASH 35Similar
Q3 1:56
2ND & 11
OWN 35
-6
98.1%
Demond Williams Jr. sacked by Derrick Harmon for a loss of 6 yards to the WASH 29Similar
Q3 1:10
3RD & 17
OWN 29
-6
98.3%
Demond Williams Jr. sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the WASH 23Similar
Q3 0:31
4TH & 23
OWN 23
0
98.6%
Jack McCallister punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Gary Bryant Jr. at the ORE 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 17TD
9 plays · 64 yds · 3:0299% → 100%
Q3 0:21
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
98.6%
Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Jordan JamesSimilar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+8
98.6%
Jordan James run for 8 yds to the ORE 44Similar
Q4 14:53
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+6
98.7%
Jordan James run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:17
1ST & 10
50
+5
98.8%
Noah Whittington run for 5 yds to the WASH 45Similar
Q4 13:51
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+17
98.9%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Noah Whittington for 17 yds to the WASH 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:34
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+5
98.9%
Noah Whittington run for 5 yds to the WASH 23Similar
Q4 13:00
2ND & 5
OPP 23
+7
98.9%
Dillon Gabriel run for 7 yds to the WASH 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:25
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
99.0%
Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Evan StewartSimilar
Q4 12:19
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+16
99.9%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Terrance Ferguson for 16 yds for a TD (Andrew Boyle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 2:080% → 0%
Q4 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-4
99.9%
Demond Williams Jr. sacked by Teitum Tuioti for a loss of 4 yards to the WASH 28Similar
Q4 11:17
2ND & 14
OWN 28
+5
99.9%
Demond Williams Jr. run for 5 yds to the WASH 33Similar
Q4 10:35
3RD & 9
OWN 33
+4
99.9%
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Giles Jackson for 4 yds to the WASH 37Similar
Q4 9:51
4TH & 5
OWN 37
0
99.9%
Jack McCallister punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ORE 26 , Tez Johnson returns for no gain to the ORE 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 19TD
10 plays · 74 yds · 4:39100% → 100%
Q4 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+10
99.9%
Dante Moore pass complete to Tez Johnson for 10 yds to the ORE 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
99.9%
Da'Jaun Riggs run for 5 yds to the ORE 41Similar
Q4 8:20
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+6
99.9%
Dante Moore pass complete to Jeremiah McClellan for 6 yds to the ORE 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:59
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+11
99.9%
Dante Moore pass complete to Kenyon Sadiq for 11 yds to the WASH 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:16
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+10
99.9%
(07:20) Shotgun Moore,Dante pass incomplete deep left to Holden,Traeshon thrown to UW 12 broken up by Esteen,Makell PENALTY UW Holding (Prysock,Ephesians) 10 yards from UW 42 to UW 32, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:10
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+14
99.9%
Washington Penalty, Chop Block (Carson Bruener) to the WASH 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:47
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+7
99.9%
Da'Jaun Riggs run for 7 yds to the WASH 6Similar
Q4 6:05
2ND & 3
OPP 6
+19
99.9%
Da'Jaun Riggs run for 4 yds to the WASH 2 for a 1ST down Washington Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the WASH 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:26
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+16
99.9%
Da'Jaun Riggs run for 16 yds to the WASH 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
Da'Jaun Riggs run for 1 yd for a TD (Gage Hurych KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 20TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:130% → 0%
Q4 4:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.9%
Jonah Coleman run for 2 yds to the WASH 27Similar
Q4 4:12
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-1
100.0%
Jonah Coleman run for a loss of 1 yard to the WASH 26Similar
Q4 3:28
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+8
100.0%
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Adam Mohammed for 8 yds to the WASH 34Similar
Q4 2:54
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+3
99.9%
Adam Mohammed run for 3 yds to the WASH 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:23
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+23
100.0%
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Denzel Boston for 23 yds to the ORE 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:59
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+6
100.0%
Adam Mohammed run for 6 yds to the ORE 34Similar
Q4 1:54
2ND & 4
OPP 34
+6
99.9%
Demond Williams Jr. run for 6 yds to the ORE 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:50
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
99.9%
Demond Williams Jr. pass incomplete to Jeremiah HunterSimilar
Q4 1:43
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+28
100.0%
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Giles Jackson for 28 yds for a TD (Grady Gross KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 21END OF GAME
4 plays · -4 yds · 1:35100% → 100%
Q4 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
99.9%
D. Moore takes a kneeSimilar
Q4 0:52
2ND & 12
OWN 23
-1
100.0%
D. Moore takes a kneeSimilar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 13
OWN 22
-1
100.0%
D. Moore takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:51
Jonah Coleman 1 Yd Run (Demond Williams Jr. Pass to Denzel Boston for Two-Point Conversion)
-6.6
TD · Q2 5:01
Dillon Gabriel run for 4 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)
+4.1
TD · Q3 3:28
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Tez Johnson for 9 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)
+4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com