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MINN

Minnesota 24 at Wisconsin 7

WIS
2024 · Week 14 · Nov 29, 2024 · Camp Randall Stadium
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Win probability · WIS
modelWIS aheadMINN aheadconfidence bandkey playWIS scoreMINN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGFGEnd of GameFG-0.6WIS 2.5%Dragan Kesich 43 yd FG GOODAWAY 24 - HOME 7 · Q4 3:19
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 3:19 · Dragan Kesich 43 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remainingPregame prior
+48.0+24.00−24.0−48.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 140Home team on offense−44.4Score differential−21.5Garbage-time factor−11.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−6.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−10.2Pregame prior−0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 11:37: Max Brosmer pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 7 yds for a TD (Dragan Kesich KICK) — MINN win probability +7.6 pts (now 66%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 8:03: Max Brosmer pass complete to Jameson Geers for 15 yds for a TD (Dragan Kesich KICK) — MINN win probability +10.6 pts (now 93%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 3:13: Braedyn Locke pass complete to Vinny Anthony II for 15 yds for a TD (Nathanial Vakos KICK) — WIS win probability +13.3 pts (now 21%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q3 2:45: Darius Taylor run for 16 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down — MINN win probability +6.2 pts (now 85%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 11:50: Max Brosmer pass incomplete — MINN win probability +5.9 pts (now 91%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WIS made the numbers' call on 10 of 10MINN made the numbers' call on 5 of 8
  1. Q1 13:36MINN 4th & 4 at MINN 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.1%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:47WIS 4th & 8 at WIS 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.4%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:20MINN 4th & 1 at MINN 17, tied
    Close callPunted · 50.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.6%−0.3
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:49WIS 4th & 8 at WIS 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.8%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.0%
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00WIS 4th & 8 at WIS 41, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.8%−0.7
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:57WIS 4th & 20 at WIS 32, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.4%−2.6
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:46MINN 4th & 19 at MINN 44, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.5%−2.8
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.3%
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:37WIS 4th & 8 at WIS 9, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.9%−0.7
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.6%
    average punt
  9. Q2 2:15MINN 4th & 19 at MINN 35, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.5%−2.4
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.9%
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:16WIS 4th & 5 at WIS 28, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.5%−0.5
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.0%
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:36MINN 4th & 5 at midfield, up 14
    Close callPunted · 73.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.2%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.1%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 14:05WIS 4th & 5 at WIS 30, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.3%−0.4
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.7%
    average punt
  13. Q3 0:57MINN 4th & 5 at WIS 31, up 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 85.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.5%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    85.1%−0.5
    54% to make
    Punt
    83.2%−2.3
    average punt
  14. Q4 12:10WIS 4th & 17 at MINN 20, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 14.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.8%−3.0
    13% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    14.8%
    75% to make
    Punt
    8.5%−6.2
    average punt
  15. Q4 9:09MINN 4th & 6 at MINN 37, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.2%−0.4
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.6%
    average punt
  16. Q4 8:08WIS 4th & 10 at WIS 16, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.3%−0.6
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.9%
    average punt
  17. Q4 3:19MINN 4th & 7 at WIS 25, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 96.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.1%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.3%
    66% to make
    Punt
    93.7%−2.6
    average punt
  18. Q4 1:45WIS 4th & 1 at WIS 34, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.0%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WIS made the numbers' call on 1 of 1MINN made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 3:18MINN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 11:37MINN Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 8:03MINN Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 3:13WIS Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    15.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    15.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MINNDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:3753% → 52%
Q1 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
47.5%
Darius Taylor run for 3 yds to the MINN 23Similar
Q1 13:59
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+3
47.7%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 3 yds to the MINN 26Similar
Q1 13:36
4TH & 4
OWN 26
0
47.9%
Mark Crawford punt for 42 yds, downed at the WIS 32Similar
Q1 13:19
3RD & 4
OWN 26
0
47.9%
Max Brosmer pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 2PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 2:1848% → 49%
Q1 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
48.0%
Braedyn Locke pass complete to Vinny Anthony II for 5 yds to the WIS 37Similar
Q1 12:29
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+3
48.3%
Tawee Walker run for 3 yds to the WIS 40Similar
Q1 11:55
3RD & 2
OWN 40
+5
48.4%
(11:55) LOCKE, Braedyn pass short to the right incomplete intended for GREEN, Bryson thrown to the WIS43, clock 12:11. PENALTY MIN Pass Interference on WALLEY, Justin enforced at the spot of the foul for 5 yards to the WIS45 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
48.8%
Braedyn Locke pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:47
4TH & 8
OWN 47
0
48.4%
punt for 45 yds , Koi Perich returns for no gain to the MINN 8Similar
Q1 10:47
2ND & 10
OWN 45
-5
48.7%
Wisconsin Penalty, Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on BRUNNER, Joe enforced (-5 Yards) to the WIS 40Similar
Q1 10:47
2ND & 15
OWN 40
+7
48.5%
Braedyn Locke pass complete to Trech Kekahuna for 7 yds to the WIS 47Similar
Q1 10:47
3RD & 8
OWN 47
0
48.5%
Braedyn Locke pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 2:0652% → 51%
Q1 10:26
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+3
48.5%
Marcus Major run for 3 yds to the MINN 11Similar
Q1 9:48
2ND & 7
OWN 11
+5
48.6%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Marcus Major for 5 yds to the MINN 16Similar
Q1 9:00
3RD & 2
OWN 16
+1
48.9%
Darius Taylor run for 1 yd to the MINN 17Similar
Q1 8:20
4TH & 1
OWN 17
0
49.2%
Mark Crawford punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:0149% → 49%
Q1 8:34
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
49.3%
Tawee Walker run for 2 yds to the WIS 46Similar
Q1 7:49
4TH & 8
OWN 46
0
48.8%
Atticus Bertrams punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Koi Perich at the MINN 11Similar
Q1 7:38
2ND & 8
OWN 46
0
49.6%
Braedyn Locke pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:33
3RD & 8
OWN 46
0
49.1%
Braedyn Locke pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 5TD
9 plays · 89 yds · 4:0451% → 56%
Q1 7:22
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+10
48.9%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Elijah Spencer for 10 yds to the MINN 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+12
49.0%
Darius Taylor run for 12 yds to the MINN 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:08
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
48.9%
Darius Taylor run for 5 yds to the MINN 38Similar
Q1 5:33
2ND & 5
OWN 38
+37
48.5%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 37 yds to the WIS 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:20
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+3
48.0%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 3 yds to the WIS 22Similar
Q1 5:02
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
47.9%
Max Brosmer pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:17
3RD & 7
OPP 22
+21
48.3%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Elijah Spencer for 21 yds to the WIS 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
47.9%
Max Brosmer run for no gain to the WIS 1Similar
Q1 3:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
43.6%
Max Brosmer run for 1 yd for a TD (Dragan Kesich KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 2:5045% → 44%
Q1 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+7
45.4%
Darrion Dupree run for 7 yds to the WIS 35Similar
Q1 2:11
2ND & 3
OWN 35
+2
45.6%
Darrion Dupree run for 2 yds to the WIS 37Similar
Q1 1:39
3RD & 1
OWN 37
+2
45.2%
Darrion Dupree run for 2 yds to the WIS 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-2
45.0%
Darrion Dupree run for a loss of 2 yards to the WIS 37Similar
Q1 0:44
2ND & 12
OWN 37
-4
44.5%
Braedyn Locke sacked by Danny Striggow for a loss of 4 yards to the WIS 33Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 16
OWN 33
+8
43.6%
Braedyn Locke pass complete to Tawee Walker for 8 yds to the WIS 41Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 8
OWN 41
0
43.8%
Atticus Bertrams punt for 34 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 7TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:1656% → 66%
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
43.6%
Darius Taylor run for 5 yds to the MINN 30Similar
Q2 13:52
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
42.9%
Darius Taylor run for 4 yds to the MINN 34Similar
Q2 13:16
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+40
42.8%
Marcus Major run for 40 yds to the WIS 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:05
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
42.0%
Max Brosmer pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:59
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+14
42.0%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Elijah Spencer for 14 yds to the WIS 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:01
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+5
41.7%
Daniel Jackson run for 5 yds to the WIS 7Similar
Q2 11:37
2ND & 5
OPP 7
+7
34.1%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 7 yds for a TD (Dragan Kesich KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 7 yds · 2:5036% → 33%
Q2 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
35.7%
Braedyn Locke pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:25
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
35.6%
Braedyn Locke pass complete to Trech Kekahuna for 4 yds to the WIS 29Similar
Q2 10:26
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+13
35.0%
Braedyn Locke pass complete to Trech Kekahuna for 13 yds to the WIS 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
35.8%
Tawee Walker run for no gain to the WIS 42Similar
Q2 9:23
2ND & 10
OWN 42
-10
35.5%
Braedyn Locke sacked by Justin Walley for a loss of 10 yards to the WIS 32Similar
Q2 8:57
4TH & 20
OWN 32
0
33.6%
Atticus Bertrams punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Koi Perich at the MINN 32Similar
Q2 8:40
3RD & 20
OWN 32
0
33.4%
Braedyn Locke pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 12 yds · 3:0467% → 69%
Q2 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+21
32.7%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Elijah Spencer for 21 yds to the WIS 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:43
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
31.4%
Max Brosmer run for 2 yds to the WIS 45Similar
Q2 7:06
2ND & 8
OPP 45
0
30.8%
Darius Taylor run for no gain to the WIS 45Similar
Q2 6:26
3RD & 8
OPP 45
-11
30.5%
Max Brosmer sacked by Elijah Hills for a loss of 11 yards to the MINN 44Similar
Q2 5:46
4TH & 19
OWN 44
+9
31.4%
Mark Crawford punt for 51 yds , Vinny Anthony II returns for 9 yds to the WIS 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:1131% → 30%
Q2 5:33
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+2
31.1%
Tawee Walker run for 2 yds to the WIS 9Similar
Q2 4:59
2ND & 8
OWN 9
0
30.7%
Tawee Walker run for no gain to the WIS 9Similar
Q2 4:37
4TH & 8
OWN 9
+2
30.1%
Atticus Bertrams punt for 49 yds , Koi Perich returns for 2 yds to the MINN 44Similar
Q2 4:22
3RD & 8
OWN 9
0
30.0%
Braedyn Locke pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · -9 yds · 1:5071% → 71%
Q2 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
28.6%
Darius Taylor run for 5 yds to the MINN 49Similar
Q2 3:22
2ND & 5
OWN 49
-10
28.1%
(03:22) TAYLOR, Darius rush to the right for a gain of 6 yards to the WIS45 (BROWN, Austin), out of bounds, clock 03:40. PENALTY MIN Holding on KALLERUP, Nick enforced 10 yards from the MIN49 to the MIN39. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 3:12
3RD & 15
OWN 39
-5
28.7%
Minnesota Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MINN 34Similar
Q2 3:00
2ND & 15
OWN 39
0
28.3%
Max Brosmer pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:51
3RD & 20
OWN 34
+1
29.3%
Darius Taylor run for 1 yd to the MINN 35Similar
Q2 2:15
4TH & 19
OWN 35
0
29.3%
Mark Crawford punt for 42 yds, downed at the WIS 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:2729% → 28%
Q2 2:26
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
29.4%
Darrion Dupree run for 2 yds to the WIS 25Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 8
OWN 25
+3
28.5%
Darrion Dupree run for 3 yds to the WIS 28Similar
Q2 1:16
4TH & 5
OWN 28
+3
27.7%
Atticus Bertrams punt for 45 yds , Koi Perich returns for 3 yds to the MINN 45Similar
Q2 0:59
3RD & 5
OWN 28
0
28.2%
Braedyn Locke pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:2675% → 76%
Q2 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
24.9%
Darius Taylor run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 0:36
4TH & 5
50
+43
25.9%
Mark Crawford punt for 43 yds , Vinny Anthony II returns for no gain to the WIS 7 , returns for no gain to the WIS 7Similar
Q2 0:23
2ND & 5
50
0
24.1%
Max Brosmer pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:20
3RD & 5
50
0
24.2%
Max Brosmer pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 14END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0027% → 27%
Q2 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 7
-1
27.0%
(00:05) Kneel down by LOCKE, Braedyn at WIS6 (team loss of 1).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:5927% → 27%
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
27.1%
Braedyn Locke pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:31
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
26.7%
Braedyn Locke pass complete to JT Seagreaves for 5 yds to the WIS 30Similar
Q3 14:05
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
26.3%
Atticus Bertrams punt for 53 yds, fair catch by Koi Perich at the MINN 17Similar
Q3 13:57
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
26.6%
Braedyn Locke pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 16TD
11 plays · 83 yds · 5:4275% → 93%
Q3 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+8
25.3%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 8 yds to the MINN 25Similar
Q3 13:27
2ND & 2
OWN 25
+1
24.8%
Darius Taylor run for 1 yd to the MINN 26Similar
Q3 12:49
3RD & 1
OWN 26
+3
24.8%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 3 yds to the MINN 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
23.9%
Darius Taylor run for 5 yds to the MINN 34Similar
Q3 11:35
2ND & 5
OWN 34
+1
23.0%
Darius Taylor run for 1 yd to the MINN 35Similar
Q3 10:57
3RD & 4
OWN 35
+5
22.6%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Darius Taylor for 5 yds to the MINN 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:16
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
20.8%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Le'Meke Brockington for 8 yds to the MINN 48Similar
Q3 9:31
2ND & 2
OWN 48
+15
18.8%
Wisconsin Penalty, Personal Foul (Christian Alliegro) to the WIS 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:10
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+8
18.3%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Darius Taylor for 8 yds to the WIS 23Similar
Q3 8:29
2ND & 2
OPP 23
+8
17.7%
Darius Taylor run for 8 yds to the WIS 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:03
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
7.1%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Jameson Geers for 15 yds for a TD (Dragan Kesich KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 17TD
12 plays · 65 yds · 4:3011% → 21%
Q3 7:43
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
11.0%
Tawee Walker run for 4 yds to the WIS 39Similar
Q3 7:10
2ND & 6
OWN 39
0
11.2%
Braedyn Locke pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:04
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+8
11.1%
Braedyn Locke pass complete to C.J. Williams for 8 yds to the WIS 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:31
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
11.2%
Darrion Dupree run for 1 yd to the WIS 48Similar
Q3 5:57
2ND & 9
OWN 48
+12
8.4%
Braedyn Locke pass complete to Trech Kekahuna for 12 yds to the MINN 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:40
2ND & 10
OPP 40
-5
8.5%
Wisconsin Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MINN 45Similar
Q3 5:25
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
8.5%
Braedyn Locke pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:19
2ND & 15
OPP 45
0
8.1%
Tawee Walker run for no gain to the MINN 45Similar
Q3 4:36
3RD & 15
OPP 45
+15
7.4%
Minnesota Penalty, Personal Foul (Joey Gerlach) to the MINN 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:05
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+16
7.6%
Braedyn Locke pass complete to JT Seagreaves for 16 yds to the MINN 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:38
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+9
7.6%
Braedyn Locke pass complete to Vinny Anthony II for 9 yds to the MINN 15Similar
Q3 3:13
2ND & 1
OPP 15
+15
20.9%
Braedyn Locke pass complete to Vinny Anthony II for 15 yds for a TD (Nathanial Vakos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 18MISSED FG
7 plays · 35 yds · 2:1385% → 84%
Q3 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+16
14.7%
Darius Taylor run for 16 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:19
1ST & 10
50
+14
13.3%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Le'Meke Brockington for 14 yds to the WIS 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:47
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+3
13.0%
Darius Taylor run for 3 yds to the WIS 33Similar
Q3 1:17
2ND & 7
OPP 33
+2
12.3%
Darius Taylor run for 2 yds to the WIS 31Similar
Q3 0:57
4TH & 5
OPP 31
+49
14.2%
Dragan Kesich 49 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
Q3 0:40
3RD & 5
OPP 31
0
12.2%
Max Brosmer pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+10
15.9%
(00:32) LOCKE, Braedyn pass to the right incomplete intended for GREEN, Bryson thrown to the WIS40, clock 00:47. PENALTY MIN Holding on PERICH, Koi enforced 10 yards from the WIS31 to the WIS41 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 19MISSED FG
10 plays · 49 yds · 3:2817% → 15%
Q3 0:27
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
17.3%
Tawee Walker run for 1 yd to the WIS 42Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 9
OWN 42
+10
17.0%
Braedyn Locke pass complete to Vinny Anthony II for 10 yds to the MINN 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:26
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
17.4%
Tawee Walker run for 2 yds to the MINN 46Similar
Q4 14:06
2ND & 8
OPP 46
+15
17.3%
Braedyn Locke pass complete to Trech Kekahuna for 15 yds to the MINN 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:26
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+18
17.9%
Tawee Walker run for 18 yds to the MINN 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:02
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+3
17.4%
Tawee Walker run for 3 yds to the MINN 10Similar
Q4 12:45
3RD & 7
OPP 10
-10
16.6%
(12:45) LOCKE, Braedyn scrambles to the right for no gain to the MIN10 (BARANOWSKI, Maverick), out of bounds, clock 12:38. PENALTY WIS Holding on MAHLMAN, Riley enforced 10 yards from the MIN10 to the MIN20 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 12:29
2ND & 7
OPP 10
0
17.1%
Braedyn Locke pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:10
4TH & 17
OPP 20
+37
14.5%
Nathanial Vakos 37 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
Q4 11:59
3RD & 17
OPP 20
0
15.2%
Braedyn Locke pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 2:5191% → 93%
Q4 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
9.4%
Max Brosmer pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:45
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+4
9.4%
Darius Taylor run for 4 yds to the MINN 24Similar
Q4 11:02
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+9
9.1%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Elijah Spencer for 9 yds to the MINN 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
8.0%
Darius Taylor run for 5 yds to the MINN 38Similar
Q4 9:35
2ND & 5
OWN 38
-1
6.9%
Darius Taylor run for a loss of 1 yard to the MINN 37Similar
Q4 9:09
4TH & 6
OWN 37
0
7.4%
Mark Crawford punt for 47 yds, downed at the WIS 16Similar
Q4 8:59
3RD & 6
OWN 37
0
7.2%
Max Brosmer pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:308% → 7%
Q4 8:38
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
7.9%
Tawee Walker run for no gain to the WIS 16Similar
Q4 8:13
2ND & 10
OWN 16
0
7.6%
Braedyn Locke pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:13
3RD & 10
OWN 16
0
7.4%
Braedyn Locke pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:08
4TH & 10
OWN 16
0
7.4%
Atticus Bertrams punt for 44 yds , Koi Perich returns for no gain to the MINN 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 22FG
11 plays · 35 yds · 4:4294% → 98%
Q4 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
6.3%
Darius Taylor run for 2 yds to the MINN 42Similar
Q4 6:53
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+16
5.7%
Darius Taylor run for 16 yds to the WIS 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:08
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-2
5.0%
Darius Taylor run for a loss of 2 yards to the WIS 44Similar
Q4 5:25
2ND & 12
OPP 44
+10
4.9%
Darius Taylor run for 10 yds to the WIS 34Similar
Q4 4:38
3RD & 2
OPP 34
+6
4.3%
Darius Taylor run for 6 yds to the WIS 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:57
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
3.6%
Darius Taylor run for 3 yds to the WIS 25Similar
Q4 3:31
3RD & 7
OPP 25
0
2.9%
Darius Taylor run for no gain to the WIS 25Similar
Q4 3:19
4TH & 7
OPP 25
+43
2.5%
Dragan Kesich 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
Q4 3:15
2ND & 7
OPP 25
0
2.2%
Darius Taylor run for no gain to the WIS 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 23DOWNS
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:302% → 2%
Q4 3:15
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
2.4%
Tawee Walker run for 1 yd to the WIS 26Similar
Q4 2:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
2.4%
Braedyn Locke pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:42
3RD & 9
OWN 26
-5
2.3%
Wisconsin Penalty, False Start (Joe Brunner) to the WIS 21Similar
Q4 2:13
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+13
2.2%
Braedyn Locke pass complete to Trech Kekahuna for 13 yds to the WIS 34Similar
Q4 1:45
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
2.0%
Tawee Walker run for no gain to the WIS 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 24END OF 4TH QUARTER
3 plays · 17 yds · 1:2898% → 99%
Q4 1:39
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
1.6%
Darius Taylor run for 3 yds to the WIS 31Similar
Q4 0:55
2ND & 7
OPP 31
+2
1.5%
Darius Taylor run for 2 yds to the WIS 29Similar
Q4 0:11
3RD & 5
OPP 29
+12
1.4%
Darius Taylor run for 12 yds to the WIS 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 3:13
Braedyn Locke pass complete to Vinny Anthony II for 15 yds for a TD (Nathanial Vakos KICK)
+13.3
TD · Q3 8:03
Max Brosmer pass complete to Jameson Geers for 15 yds for a TD (Dragan Kesich KICK)
-10.6
TD · Q2 11:37
Max Brosmer pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 7 yds for a TD (Dragan Kesich KICK)
-7.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com