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RUTG

Rutgers 41 at Michigan State 14

MSU
2024 · Week 14 · Nov 30, 2024 · Spartan Stadium
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Win probability · MSU
modelMSU aheadRUTG aheadconfidence bandkey playMSU scoreRUTG score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDFGFGTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · [SG] Kneel down by TEAM at MSU47 (team loss of 5), clock 00:00.
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remainingPregame prior
+58.0+29.00−29.0−58.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 6:02: Antwan Raymond run for 13 yds for a TD (Jai Patel KICK) — RUTG win probability +8.0 pts (now 59%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 1:17: Jai Patel 42 yd FG GOOD — RUTG win probability +17.6 pts (now 76%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 0:00: Jai Patel 30 yd FG GOOD — RUTG win probability +5.7 pts (now 86%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 7:26: Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Ian Strong for 9 yds for a TD (Athan Kaliakmanis pass to KJ Duff for Two-Point Conversion) — RUTG win probability +17.0 pts (now 94%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 10:55: Jai Patel 29 yd FG GOOD — RUTG win probability +2.2 pts (now 99%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 6RUTG made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 8:21MSU 4th & 10 at MSU 25, tied
    Close callWent for it · 55.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    55.4%−0.3
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    55.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:29RUTG 4th & 6 at MSU 6, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 44.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.3%−<0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    44.4%
    91% to make
    Punt
    43.0%−1.3
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:49MSU 4th & 16 at MSU 35, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.6%−0.7
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.3%
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:00RUTG 4th & 4 at RUTG 31, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.9%−0.3
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.3%
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:01MSU 4th & 1 at RUTG 6, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 55.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    55.1%
    69% to convert
    Field goal
    53.1%−2.0
    91% to make
    Punt
    48.2%−6.9
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:59MSU 4th & 4 at MSU 31, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.4%−0.3
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:17RUTG 4th & 13 at MSU 24, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 60.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.4%−1.3
    20% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    60.7%
    68% to make
    Punt
    57.0%−3.7
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:49MSU 4th & 10 at MSU 25, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.2%−1.6
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.9%
    average punt
  9. Q3 2:59MSU 4th & 9 at RUTG 43, down 24
    Close callWent for it · 5.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.1%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    5.7%−0.5
    28% to make
    Punt
    6.2%
    average punt
  10. Q4 15:00RUTG 4th & 4 at MSU 33, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    96.1%−0.2
    49% to make
    Punt
    96.0%−0.3
    average punt
  11. Q4 10:55RUTG 4th & 6 at MSU 11, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 97.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.4%−<0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.5%
    87% to make
    Punt
    96.1%−1.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2RUTG made the numbers' call on 2 of 4
  1. Q1 12:26MSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 9:45RUTG Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 6:02RUTG Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 7:26RUTG Touchdown, up 22 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    93.9%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    93.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 7:21MSU Touchdown, down 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 1:57RUTG Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MSUDrive 1TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 2:3453% → 54%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
52.6%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 6 yds to the MSU 31Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+36
52.6%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 36 yds to the RUTG 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
52.6%
Aidan Chiles run for 4 yds to the RUTG 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 29
+3
52.6%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 3 yds to the RUTG 26Similar
Q1 12:26
3RD & 3
OPP 26
+26
54.2%
Nate Carter run for 26 yds for a TD (Jonathan Kim KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 2TD
5 plays · 50 yds · 2:4146% → 48%
Q1 12:26
1ST & 10
50
+8
53.6%
Kyle Monangai run for 8 yds to the MSU 42Similar
Q1 12:26
2ND & 2
OPP 42
+14
53.6%
Kyle Monangai run for 14 yds to the MSU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:26
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+20
53.5%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Ian Strong for 20 yds to the MSU 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
53.5%
Kyle Monangai run for 1 yd to the MSU 7Similar
Q1 9:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
52.5%
Kyle Monangai run for 7 yds for a TD (Jai Patel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSUDrive 3DOWNS
4 plays · -23 yds · 1:2453% → 53%
Q1 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
53.3%
Aidan Chiles pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:45
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
53.2%
Makhi Frazier run for 3 yds to the MSU 28Similar
Q1 9:45
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-3
53.0%
Aidan Chiles sacked by Jordan Walker for a loss of 3 yards to the MSU 25Similar
Q1 8:21
4TH & 10
OWN 25
-23
52.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 23 yards to the MSU 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 4FG
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:5248% → 48%
Q1 8:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
52.2%
Athan Kaliakmanis run for 1 yd to the MSU 1Similar
Q1 8:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
52.2%
QB Keeper KALIAKMANIS, Athan rush up the middle for no gain to the MSU1 (VANSUMEREN, Alex). PENALTY Before the snap, RUT Illegal Motion on MONANGAI, Kyle enforced 5 yards from the MSU1 to the MSU6. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 8:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
52.2%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:21
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
52.4%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:29
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+25
52.3%
Jai Patel 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSUDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 3:3452% → 51%
Q1 7:23
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-4
52.4%
Aidan Chiles run for a loss of 4 yards to the MSU 19Similar
Q1 7:23
2ND & 14
OWN 19
+22
52.3%
Aidan Chiles pass complete to Jaron Glover for 22 yds to the MSU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:23
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-8
53.1%
Aidan Chiles sacked by Dariel Djabome for a loss of 8 yards to the MSU 33Similar
Q1 7:23
2ND & 18
OWN 33
0
52.3%
Nate Carter run for no gain to the MSU 33Similar
Q1 7:23
3RD & 18
OWN 33
+2
52.0%
Aidan Chiles pass complete to Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams for 2 yds to the MSU 35Similar
Q1 3:49
4TH & 16
OWN 35
0
51.0%
Ryan Eckley punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:4948% → 48%
Q1 3:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
52.3%
Kyle Monangai run for 5 yds to the RUTG 30Similar
Q1 3:49
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
51.9%
Kyle Monangai run for 4 yds to the RUTG 34Similar
Q1 3:49
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-3
52.0%
Kyle Monangai run for a loss of 3 yards to the RUTG 31Similar
Q1 2:00
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
52.5%
Jakob Anderson punt for 43 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSUDrive 7DOWNS
16 plays · 68 yds · 6:5950% → 53%
Q1 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+10
50.1%
Nick Marsh run for 10 yds to the MSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
50.5%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for no gain to the MSU 36Similar
Q1 2:00
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
50.3%
Aidan Chiles pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 10
OWN 36
+13
49.3%
Aidan Chiles pass complete to Aziah Johnson for 13 yds to the MSU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-10
51.3%
CARTER, Nate rush to the left for a gain of 48 yards to the RUT3 (SALAAM, Al-Shadee). PENALTY MSU Holding on BALDWIN, Brandon enforced 10 yards from the MSU49 to the MSU39 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 20
OWN 39
+23
50.1%
Aidan Chiles pass complete to Jack Velling for 23 yds to the RUTG 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
51.6%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for no gain to the RUTG 38Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 38
0
51.5%
Aidan Chiles pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 38
+23
50.9%
Aidan Chiles pass complete to Jack Velling for 23 yds to the RUTG 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+5
52.2%
Nate Carter run for 5 yds to the RUTG 10Similar
Q2 10:56
2ND & 5
OPP 10
+3
53.1%
Nate Carter run for 3 yds to the RUTG 7Similar
Q2 10:05
3RD & 2
OPP 7
+1
53.7%
Nate Carter run for 1 yd to the RUTG 6Similar
Q2 10:01
4TH & 1
OPP 6
0
53.0%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for no gain to the RUTG 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 8TD
9 plays · 94 yds · 3:5949% → 59%
Q2 10:01
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+8
51.3%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to KJ Duff for 8 yds to the RUTG 14Similar
Q2 10:01
2ND & 2
OWN 14
0
51.0%
Kyle Monangai run for no gain to the RUTG 14Similar
Q2 10:01
3RD & 2
OWN 14
+5
52.1%
Kyle Monangai run for 5 yds to the RUTG 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:01
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+9
50.9%
KALIAKMANIS, Athan pass to the left incomplete intended for STRONG, Ian thrown to the RUT30. PENALTY MSU Pass Interference on WOODS, Ed enforced at the spot of the foul for 9 yards to the RUT28 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 10:01
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+7
50.6%
Kyle Monangai run for 7 yds to the RUTG 35Similar
Q2 10:01
2ND & 3
OWN 35
+1
50.1%
Kyle Monangai run for 1 yd to the RUTG 36Similar
Q2 10:01
3RD & 2
OWN 36
+18
50.7%
Kyle Monangai run for 18 yds to the MSU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:01
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+33
49.0%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Ben Black for 33 yds to the MSU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:02
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
41.0%
Antwan Raymond run for 13 yds for a TD (Jai Patel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSUDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:0341% → 40%
Q2 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
41.0%
Aidan Chiles pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:02
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
40.8%
Nate Carter run for 6 yds to the MSU 31Similar
Q2 6:02
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
40.9%
Aidan Chiles pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:59
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
40.0%
Ryan Eckley punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 10FG
14 plays · 46 yds · 3:4258% → 76%
Q2 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
42.4%
Kyle Monangai run for 3 yds to the RUTG 33Similar
Q2 4:59
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+10
42.3%
Kyle Monangai run for 10 yds to the RUTG 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+21
40.9%
Kyle Monangai run for 21 yds to the MSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:38
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-2
40.6%
Kyle Monangai run for a loss of 2 yards to the MSU 38Similar
Q2 3:38
2ND & 12
OPP 38
0
40.7%
Kyle Monangai run for no gain to the MSU 38Similar
Q2 3:38
3RD & 12
OPP 38
+11
41.2%
Athan Kaliakmanis run for 11 yds to the MSU 27Similar
Q2 3:38
4TH & 1
OPP 27
+6
42.1%
QB Keeper KALIAKMANIS, Athan rush up the middle for a gain of 2 yards to the MSU25 (HANSEN, Maverick). PENALTY MSU Offsides on DOUSE, D'Quan enforced 6 yards from the MSU27 to the MSU21 and results in a 1ST DOWN [NH]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 3:38
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
40.1%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:27
2ND & 10
OPP 21
-3
40.7%
Athan Kaliakmanis sacked by Ben Roberts for a loss of 3 yards to the MSU 24Similar
Q2 1:22
3RD & 13
OPP 24
0
41.8%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to KJ Duff for no gain to the MSU 24Similar
Q2 1:17
4TH & 13
OPP 24
+42
24.2%
Jai Patel 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSUDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:2818% → 17%
Q2 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
17.6%
Aidan Chiles pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:17
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
17.4%
Aidan Chiles pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:17
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
17.1%
Aidan Chiles pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:49
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+9
17.0%
Ryan Eckley punt for 37 yds , Christian Dremel returns for 9 yds to the RUTG 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 12FG
10 plays · 41 yds · 0:4977% → 86%
Q2 0:49
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+9
22.9%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Ian Strong for 9 yds to the MSU 44Similar
Q2 0:49
2ND & 1
OPP 44
+2
23.0%
Kyle Monangai run for 2 yds to the MSU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:49
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
22.5%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:49
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+14
22.6%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Dymere Miller for 14 yds to the MSU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:21
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
19.6%
Kyle Monangai run for no gain to the MSU 28Similar
Q2 0:21
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+10
19.9%
Michigan State Penalty, Defensive Holding (Ed Woods) to the MSU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:21
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
19.6%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:21
2ND & 10
OPP 12
0
19.6%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 10
OPP 12
+30
13.9%
Jai Patel 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 13TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 7:3475% → 94%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
24.9%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to KJ Duff for 6 yds to the RUTG 31Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+8
24.6%
Kyle Monangai run for 8 yds to the RUTG 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
23.8%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+4
24.0%
Kyle Monangai run for 4 yds to the RUTG 43Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 43
+9
24.1%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Dymere Miller for 9 yds to the MSU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
23.4%
Kyle Monangai run for 2 yds to the MSU 46Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 46
0
23.4%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 46
+16
23.7%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Dymere Miller for 16 yds to the MSU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
23.2%
Antwan Raymond run for 3 yds to the MSU 27Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 27
0
23.1%
Antwan Raymond run for no gain to the MSU 27Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 27
+17
23.6%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Ian Strong for 17 yds to the MSU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+1
23.1%
Kyle Monangai run for 1 yd to the MSU 9Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
23.1%
Kyle Monangai run for no gain to the MSU 9Similar
Q3 7:26
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
6.1%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Ian Strong for 9 yds for a TD (Athan Kaliakmanis pass to KJ Duff for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSUDrive 14DOWNS
9 plays · 32 yds · 4:277% → 5%
Q3 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
7.4%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 17 yds to the MSU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+7
7.7%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 7 yds to the MSU 49Similar
Q3 7:26
2ND & 3
OWN 49
+7
7.9%
Aidan Chiles pass complete to Nick Marsh for 7 yds to the RUTG 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:26
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-5
8.0%
Michigan State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the RUTG 49Similar
Q3 7:26
1ST & 15
OPP 49
+6
7.8%
Aidan Chiles pass complete to Nick Marsh for 6 yds to the RUTG 43Similar
Q3 7:26
2ND & 9
OPP 43
0
7.9%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for no gain to the RUTG 43Similar
Q3 7:26
3RD & 9
OPP 43
0
7.9%
Aidan Chiles pass complete to Nate Carter for no gain to the RUTG 43Similar
Q3 2:59
4TH & 9
OPP 43
0
5.4%
Aidan Chiles pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 15FG
13 plays · 46 yds · 7:0496% → 99%
Q3 2:59
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
3.7%
Kyle Monangai run for 3 yds to the RUTG 46Similar
Q3 2:59
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+15
3.7%
KALIAKMANIS, Athan pass deep to the left incomplete intended for STRONG, Ian thrown to the MSU19. PENALTY MSU Pass Interference on BRINSON IV, Andrew enforced 15 yards to the MSU39 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 2:59
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+1
3.6%
Kyle Monangai run for 1 yd to the MSU 38Similar
Q3 2:59
2ND & 9
OPP 38
+4
3.6%
Kyle Monangai run for 4 yds to the MSU 34Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 5
OPP 34
+1
2.8%
Kyle Monangai run for 1 yd to the MSU 33Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 4
OPP 33
+7
3.3%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to KJ Duff for 7 yds to the MSU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+9
2.7%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Dymere Miller for 9 yds to the MSU 17Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 17
0
2.7%
Kyle Monangai run for no gain to the MSU 17Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 17
+2
2.8%
Athan Kaliakmanis run for 2 yds to the MSU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+5
2.7%
Kyle Monangai run for 5 yds to the MSU 10Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 10
0
2.7%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 10
-1
2.8%
Kyle Monangai run for a loss of 1 yard to the MSU 11Similar
Q4 10:55
4TH & 6
OPP 11
+29
0.6%
Jai Patel 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSUDrive 16TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:340% → 1%
Q4 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
0.2%
Aidan Chiles pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:55
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
0.2%
Aidan Chiles pass complete to Jack Velling for 8 yds to the MSU 33Similar
Q4 10:55
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+15
0.2%
CHILES, Aidan pass deep to the left incomplete intended for FOSTER JR., Montorie thrown to the RUT40. PENALTY RUT Pass Interference on SALAAM, Al-Shadee enforced 15 yards to the MSU48 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+14
0.3%
Aidan Chiles pass complete to Nate Carter for 14 yds to the RUTG 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:55
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+9
0.3%
Aidan Chiles pass complete to Nate Carter for 9 yds to the RUTG 29Similar
Q4 10:55
2ND & 1
OPP 29
+6
0.2%
Nate Carter run for 6 yds to the RUTG 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:55
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+18
0.3%
Aidan Chiles pass complete to Jack Velling for 18 yds to the RUTG 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
1.1%
Aidan Chiles pass complete to Jack Velling for 5 yds for a TD (Jonathan Kim KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 17TD
8 plays · 56 yds · 5:2199% → 100%
Q4 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-2
1.4%
Antwan Raymond run for a loss of 2 yards to the RUTG 42Similar
Q4 7:18
2ND & 12
OWN 42
+24
1.4%
Antwan Raymond run for 24 yds to the MSU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:18
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
1.3%
Antwan Raymond run for 4 yds to the MSU 30Similar
Q4 7:18
2ND & 6
OPP 30
+14
1.3%
Antwan Raymond run for 14 yds to the MSU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:18
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+10
1.4%
Antwan Raymond run for 10 yds to the MSU 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
1.4%
Ja'shon Benjamin run for 1 yd to the MSU 5Similar
Q4 1:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
0.1%
Antwan Raymond run for 5 yds for a TD (Jai Patel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSUDrive 18INT
3 plays · 8 yds · 0:370% → 0%
Q4 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
0.0%
Makhi Frazier run for 8 yds to the MSU 33Similar
Q4 1:14
2ND & 2
OWN 33
0
0.0%
Alessio Milivojevic pass intercepted Bo Mascoe return for no gain to the MSU 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 19END OF GAME
2 plays · -10 yds · 1:14100% → 100%
Q4 1:14
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-5
0.1%
[SG] Kneel down by TEAM at MSU42 (team loss of 5).Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 15
OPP 42
-5
0.1%
[SG] Kneel down by TEAM at MSU47 (team loss of 5), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q2 1:17
Jai Patel 42 yd FG GOOD
-17.6
TD · Q3 7:26
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Ian Strong for 9 yds for a TD (Athan Kaliakmanis pass to KJ Duff for Two-Point Conversion)
-17
TD · Q2 6:02
Antwan Raymond run for 13 yds for a TD (Jai Patel KICK)
-8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com