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ILL

Illinois 38 at Northwestern 28

NU
2024 · Week 14 · Nov 30, 2024 · Wrigley Field
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Win probability · NU
modelNU aheadILL aheadconfidence bandkey playNU scoreILL score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:30 · (00:30) [NHSG] Kneel down by ALTMYER, Luke at UI47 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+47.0+23.50−23.5−47.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:21: Luke Altmyer 1 Yd Run (David Olano Kick) — ILL win probability +4.1 pts (now 70%) (top driver: ILL has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 14:15: Aidan Laughery 64 Yd Run (David Olano Kick) — ILL win probability +9.9 pts (now 78%) (top driver: ILL has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 10:08: Pat Bryant 43 Yd pass from Luke Altmyer (David Olano Kick) — ILL win probability +10.8 pts (now 90%) (top driver: ILL has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 1:34: A.J. Henning 11 Yd pass from Jack Lausch (Luke Akers Kick) — NU win probability +11.7 pts (now 27%) (top driver: NU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 12:15: Aidan Laughery 31 Yd Run (David Olano Kick) — ILL win probability +7.9 pts (now 93%) (top driver: ILL has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NU made the numbers' call on 5 of 7ILL made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 9:31NU 4th & 3 at ILL 3, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 32.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.2%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    32.1%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    31.3%−1.0
    average punt
  2. Q2 11:52NU 4th & 6 at NU 25, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.3%−0.4
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.7%
    average punt
  3. Q2 10:30ILL 4th & 6 at ILL 46, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.8%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.9%
    average punt
  4. Q2 7:45NU 4th & 15 at NU 45, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.4%−1.5
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.9%
    average punt
  5. Q2 0:03NU 4th & 18 at ILL 26, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 34.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.8%−2.6
    12% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    34.4%
    64% to make
    Punt
    28.4%−6.0
    average punt
  6. Q3 12:47NU 4th & 1 at NU 31, down 11
    Close callPunted · 23.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.4%−0.9
    average punt
  7. Q3 5:35NU 4th & 7 at ILL 16, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 12.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.5%−0.8
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    12.3%
    81% to make
    Punt
    5.0%−7.3
    average punt
  8. Q3 4:09ILL 4th & 22 at ILL 6, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.0%−4.4
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.4%
    average punt
  9. Q3 0:13ILL 4th & 21 at ILL 14, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.8%−5.3
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.0%
    average punt
  10. Q4 11:06ILL 4th & 6 at NU 6, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 93.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.6%−0.2
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    92.8%
    91% to make
    Punt
    88.1%−4.7
    average punt
  11. Q4 9:01NU 4th & 2 at ILL 13, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.0%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    4.9%−<0.1
    85% to make
    Punt
    1.5%−3.5
    average punt
  12. Q4 7:00ILL 4th & 6 at ILL 31, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.0%−0.4
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.4%
    average punt
  13. Q4 2:47ILL 4th & 13 at NU 34, up 18
    Close callPunted · 98.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.1%−0.2
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    98.3%
    47% to make
    PuntTheir call
    98.0%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3ILL made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 8:12ILL Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:14NU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    36.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    36.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 13:21ILL Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 14:15ILL Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 10:08ILL Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 1:34NU Touchdown, down 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    23.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    22.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 12:15ILL Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 1:00NU Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    4.7%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    4.4%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NUDrive 1FG
12 plays · 72 yds · 5:2226% → 29%
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
25.9%
Jack Lausch run for 4 yds to the NU 29Similar
Q1 14:22
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+1
26.2%
Cam Porter run for 1 yd to the NU 30Similar
Q1 13:44
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+17
26.5%
Jack Lausch pass complete to Bryce Kirtz for 17 yds to the NU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:06
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+8
26.9%
Jack Lausch pass complete to Bryce Kirtz for 8 yds to the ILL 45Similar
Q1 12:24
2ND & 2
OPP 45
0
27.4%
Jack Lausch pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:18
3RD & 2
OPP 45
+12
27.4%
Jack Lausch run for 12 yds to the ILL 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:39
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+12
28.0%
Jack Lausch pass complete to A.J. Henning for 12 yds to the ILL 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:02
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+16
28.3%
Cam Porter run for 16 yds to the ILL 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
28.7%
Cam Porter run for 2 yds to the ILL 3Similar
Q1 9:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
29.2%
Jack Lausch pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:40
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
29.0%
Jack Lausch pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:31
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+21
29.3%
Luke Akers 21 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 2TD
3 plays · 73 yds · 1:1171% → 73%
Q1 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
29.2%
Aidan Laughery run for no gain to the ILL 27Similar
Q1 8:49
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+43
29.5%
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 43 yds to the NU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:12
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+30
27.5%
Aidan Laughery 30 Yd Run (David Olano Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 3INT
11 plays · 65 yds · 5:1628% → 31%
Q1 8:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
28.2%
Joseph Himon II run for 8 yds to the NU 33Similar
Q1 7:30
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+9
28.7%
Ryan Boe pass complete to A.J. Henning for 9 yds to the NU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:52
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
29.1%
Ryan Boe pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:47
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+9
28.8%
Jack Lausch pass complete to Thomas Gordon for 9 yds to the ILL 49Similar
Q1 6:04
3RD & 1
OPP 49
+2
29.5%
Cam Porter run for 2 yds to the ILL 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:26
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+14
30.0%
Jack Lausch run for 14 yds to the ILL 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:47
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
30.6%
Jack Lausch pass complete to Joseph Himon II for 4 yds to the ILL 29Similar
Q1 4:11
2ND & 6
OPP 29
+17
30.9%
Caleb Komolafe run for 17 yds to the ILL 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:31
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
31.2%
Jack Lausch pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:25
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+2
31.3%
Caleb Komolafe run for 2 yds to the ILL 10Similar
Q1 2:51
3RD & 8
OPP 10
-5
31.1%
Jack Lausch pass intercepted Xavier Scott return for 5 yds to the ILL 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 4INT TD
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:3070% → 66%
Q1 2:44
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+3
30.2%
Josh McCray run for 3 yds to the ILL 8Similar
Q1 2:14
2ND & 7
OWN 8
-13
33.6%
Devin Turner 13 Yd Interception Return (Luke Akers Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 5TD
11 plays · 65 yds · 3:3467% → 70%
Q1 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+11
33.2%
Josh McCray run for 11 yds to the ILL 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+16
32.6%
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Pat Bryant for 16 yds to the NU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:06
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-10
32.7%
MCCRAY, Josh rush to the left for a gain of 1 yard to the NU37 (FITZGERALD, Robert;FLAKES, Brendan), clock 01:06. PENALTY UI Holding on DAVIS, J.C. enforced 10 yards from the NU38 to the NU48 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 0:42
1ST & 20
OPP 48
+5
33.4%
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Josh McCray for 5 yds to the NU 43Similar
Q1 0:06
2ND & 15
OPP 43
0
33.9%
Luke Altmyer pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 15
OPP 43
+38
34.5%
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Collin Dixon for 38 yds to the NU 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
32.7%
Josh McCray run for 3 yds to the NU 2Similar
Q2 14:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
32.5%
Josh McCray run for 1 yd to the NU 1Similar
Q2 13:21
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
29.8%
Luke Altmyer 1 Yd Run (David Olano Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:2131% → 31%
Q2 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
31.3%
Ryan Boe pass complete to A.J. Henning for 4 yds to the NU 25Similar
Q2 12:33
2ND & 6
OWN 25
0
31.7%
Cam Porter run for no gain to the NU 25Similar
Q2 11:53
3RD & 6
OWN 25
0
31.1%
Ryan Boe pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:52
4TH & 6
OWN 25
+10
30.7%
Hunter Renner punt for 43 yds , Hank Beatty returns for 10 yds to the ILL 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:0670% → 68%
Q2 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
30.3%
Ca'Lil Valentine run for 1 yd to the ILL 43Similar
Q2 11:08
2ND & 9
OWN 43
0
30.5%
Luke Altmyer pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:04
3RD & 9
OWN 43
+3
31.0%
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Tanner Arkin for 3 yds to the ILL 46Similar
Q2 10:30
4TH & 6
OWN 46
+11
31.9%
Hugh Robertson punt for 47 yds , A.J. Henning returns for 11 yds to the NU 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 8PUNT
11 plays · 27 yds · 2:3932% → 32%
Q2 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+9
32.2%
Cam Porter run for 9 yds to the NU 27Similar
Q2 9:38
2ND & 1
OWN 27
+6
33.3%
Jack Lausch pass complete to Thomas Gordon for 6 yds to the NU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
32.7%
Jack Lausch pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:00
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+7
32.6%
Jack Lausch pass complete to A.J. Henning for 7 yds to the NU 40Similar
Q2 8:29
3RD & 3
OWN 40
+10
33.8%
(08:29) LAUSCH, Jack pass to the right complete for 8 yards to LANG, Marshall caught at the NU47 and advanced to the NU48 (BAILEY, Matthew), out of bounds, clock 08:25. PENALTY UI Holding on BAILEY, Matthew enforced 10 yards from the NU40 to the NU50 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 8:08
1ST & 10
50
0
34.2%
Ryan Boe pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:00
2ND & 10
50
0
34.0%
Jack Lausch pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:59
3RD & 10
50
-5
32.4%
Northwestern Penalty, False Start (Ben Wrather) to the NU 45Similar
Q2 7:56
3RD & 15
OWN 45
0
31.5%
Jack Lausch pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:45
4TH & 15
OWN 45
+5
31.0%
Hunter Renner punt for 41 yds , Hank Beatty returns for 5 yds to the ILL 19Similar
Q2 7:41
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-5
31.7%
Illinois Penalty, False Start (Collin Dixon) to the ILL 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 9INT
5 plays · 32 yds · 2:1768% → 70%
Q2 7:35
1ST & 15
OWN 14
+11
31.9%
Aidan Laughery run for 11 yds to the ILL 25Similar
Q2 7:06
2ND & 4
OWN 25
+14
31.1%
Aidan Laughery run for 14 yds to the ILL 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:28
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+9
30.4%
Aidan Laughery run for 9 yds to the ILL 48Similar
Q2 5:59
2ND & 1
OWN 48
+3
30.2%
Aidan Laughery run for 3 yds to the NU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:18
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
30.2%
Luke Altmyer pass intercepted Devin Turner return for no gain to the NU 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 10MISSED FG
17 plays · 60 yds · 5:0833% → 34%
Q2 5:11
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+7
32.5%
Joseph Himon II run for 7 yds to the NU 21Similar
Q2 4:30
2ND & 3
OWN 21
0
33.1%
Ryan Boe pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:26
3RD & 3
OWN 21
+4
31.9%
Jack Lausch pass complete to Thomas Gordon for 4 yds to the NU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
33.1%
Joseph Himon II run for 6 yds to the NU 31Similar
Q2 3:09
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+1
34.8%
Caleb Komolafe run for 1 yd to the NU 32Similar
Q2 2:31
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+8
32.9%
Jack Lausch pass complete to A.J. Henning for 8 yds to the NU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
35.3%
Jack Lausch pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:59
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
34.0%
Jack Lausch pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:53
3RD & 10
OWN 40
+26
33.2%
Jack Lausch pass complete to A.J. Henning for 26 yds to the ILL 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+8
38.2%
Caleb Komolafe run for 8 yds to the ILL 26Similar
Q2 1:38
2ND & 2
OPP 26
+8
38.3%
Jack Lausch pass complete to Thomas Gordon for 8 yds to the ILL 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:14
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+5
38.5%
Cam Porter run for 5 yds to the ILL 13Similar
Q2 0:36
2ND & 5
OPP 13
0
38.8%
Jack Lausch pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:36
3RD & 5
OPP 13
-5
36.9%
Northwestern Penalty, Delay Of Game (-5 Yards) to the ILL 18Similar
Q2 0:24
3RD & 10
OPP 18
-8
36.7%
Jack Lausch sacked by Malachi Hood for a loss of 8 yards to the ILL 26Similar
Q2 0:03
4TH & 18
OPP 26
+44
34.0%
Luke Akers 44 Yard Field Goal MissedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 11TD
2 plays · 69 yds · 0:3468% → 78%
Q3 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
32.2%
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Pat Bryant for 5 yds to the ILL 36Similar
Q3 14:15
2ND & 5
OWN 36
+64
22.3%
Aidan Laughery 64 Yd Run (David Olano Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:2223% → 22%
Q3 14:09
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
22.7%
Cam Porter run for 3 yds to the NU 25Similar
Q3 13:28
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+6
23.0%
Cam Porter run for 6 yds to the NU 31Similar
Q3 12:50
3RD & 1
OWN 31
0
22.6%
Jack Lausch pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:47
4TH & 1
OWN 31
0
22.0%
Hunter Renner punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Hank Beatty at the ILL 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 13TD
5 plays · 62 yds · 2:3179% → 90%
Q3 12:39
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+7
21.5%
Josh McCray run for 7 yds to the ILL 45Similar
Q3 12:05
2ND & 3
OWN 45
+2
21.0%
Josh McCray run for 2 yds to the ILL 47Similar
Q3 11:25
3RD & 1
OWN 47
+4
21.3%
Jordan Anderson run for 4 yds to the NU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:48
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
20.3%
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Pat Bryant for 6 yds to the NU 43Similar
Q3 10:08
2ND & 4
OPP 43
+43
9.6%
Pat Bryant 43 Yd pass from Luke Altmyer (David Olano Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 14FG
10 plays · 59 yds · 4:2712% → 16%
Q3 10:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
12.3%
Jack Lausch run for no gain to the NU 25Similar
Q3 9:25
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
11.9%
Jack Lausch pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:12
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+25
11.8%
Jack Lausch pass complete to A.J. Henning for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:33
1ST & 10
50
+2
13.0%
Caleb Komolafe run for 2 yds to the ILL 48Similar
Q3 7:56
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+11
12.9%
Ryan Boe pass complete to A.J. Henning for 11 yds to the ILL 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:06
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+18
12.9%
Ryan Boe pass complete to Hayden Eligon II for 18 yds to the ILL 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:27
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+3
13.2%
Cam Porter run for 3 yds to the ILL 16Similar
Q3 5:45
2ND & 7
OPP 16
0
13.0%
Ryan Boe pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:39
3RD & 7
OPP 16
0
12.6%
Ryan Boe pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:35
4TH & 7
OPP 16
+34
15.9%
Luke Akers 34 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · -12 yds · 1:1688% → 88%
Q3 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-2
12.2%
Ca'Lil Valentine run for a loss of 2 yards to the ILL 16Similar
Q3 4:45
2ND & 12
OWN 16
+8
12.1%
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 8 yds to the ILL 24Similar
Q3 4:17
3RD & 4
OWN 24
-13
11.5%
Illinois Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Luke Altmyer) to the ILL 11Similar
Q3 4:15
4TH & 17
OWN 11
-5
12.0%
Illinois Penalty, False Start (James Kreutz) to the ILL 6Similar
Q3 4:09
4TH & 22
OWN 6
0
12.1%
Hugh Robertson punt for 34 yds, fair catch by A.J. Henning at the ILL 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 16TD
5 plays · 40 yds · 2:2916% → 27%
Q3 4:03
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+6
15.5%
Jack Lausch pass complete to A.J. Henning for 6 yds to the ILL 34Similar
Q3 3:25
2ND & 4
OPP 34
+4
16.0%
Cam Porter run for 4 yds to the ILL 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:49
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+17
15.6%
Jack Lausch pass complete to Hayden Eligon II for 17 yds to the ILL 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:15
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+2
15.7%
Cam Porter run for 2 yds to the ILL 11Similar
Q3 1:34
2ND & 8
OPP 11
+11
27.4%
A.J. Henning 11 Yd pass from Jack Lausch (Luke Akers Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · -11 yds · 1:1680% → 78%
Q3 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
20.1%
Aidan Laughery run for no gain to the ILL 25Similar
Q3 1:01
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
20.6%
Luke Altmyer pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:50
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-11
21.4%
Luke Altmyer sacked by Aidan Hubbard for a loss of 11 yards to the ILL 14Similar
Q3 0:13
4TH & 21
OWN 14
0
22.4%
Hugh Robertson punt for 35 yds, fair catch by A.J. Henning at the ILL 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 18INT
3 plays · -1 yds · 0:5326% → 22%
Q3 0:03
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
25.7%
Caleb Komolafe run for no gain to the ILL 49Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 10
OPP 49
-1
25.0%
Caleb Komolafe run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 14:10
3RD & 11
50
-28
22.3%
Jack Lausch pass intercepted Mac Resetich return for 28 yds to the NU 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 19TD
4 plays · 42 yds · 1:4783% → 93%
Q4 14:02
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+9
16.9%
Aidan Laughery run for 9 yds to the NU 33Similar
Q4 13:27
2ND & 1
OPP 33
0
14.9%
Josh McCray run for no gain to the NU 33Similar
Q4 12:45
3RD & 1
OPP 33
+2
14.7%
Josh McCray run for 2 yds to the NU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:15
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+31
6.8%
Aidan Laughery 31 Yd Run (David Olano Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 20FUMBLE
1 play · -15 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q4 12:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-15
10.5%
Ryan Boe sacked for a loss of 15 yards to the NU 9 Ryan Boe fumbled, recovered by ILL Matthew Bailey , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 21FG
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:5594% → 96%
Q4 12:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
6.5%
Josh McCray run for 3 yds to the NU 6Similar
Q4 11:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
5.7%
Luke Altmyer pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:15
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
5.7%
Luke Altmyer pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:06
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+24
4.1%
David Olano 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 22DOWNS
12 plays · 62 yds · 2:035% → 5%
Q4 11:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
4.6%
Jack Lausch pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:57
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+15
4.5%
LAUSCH, Jack pass deep to the left intercepted by COX JR., Torrie at the NU47 intended for JOHNSON II, Calvin. Cox Jr. return for 0 yards to the NU47, End of Play, clock 10:57. PENALTY UI Pass Interference on COX JR., Torrie enforced 15 yards to the NU40 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
4.8%
Jack Lausch pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:45
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+11
4.6%
Jack Lausch pass complete to Drew Wagner for 11 yds to the ILL 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:27
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
4.9%
Jack Lausch pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:21
2ND & 10
OPP 49
0
4.9%
Jack Lausch pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:19
3RD & 10
OPP 49
+28
4.6%
Jack Lausch pass complete to Cam Porter for 28 yds Cam Porter fumbled, recovered by NU Calvin Johnson II C. Johnson II return for 0 yds for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:44
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
5.5%
Jack Lausch pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:38
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+5
5.4%
(09:38) LAUSCH, Jack pass to the right complete for 6 yards to HENNING, A.J. caught at the UI15 and advanced to the UI15 (ZARDZIN, Luke), clock 09:31. PENALTY UI Offsides on JACAS, Gabe enforced 5 yards from the UI21 to the UI16 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 9:29
2ND & 5
OPP 16
+3
5.5%
Caleb Komolafe run for 3 yds to the ILL 13Similar
Q4 9:01
3RD & 2
OPP 13
0
5.2%
Jack Lausch pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:01
4TH & 2
OPP 13
0
5.1%
Jack Lausch pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 23PUNT
9 plays · 18 yds · 1:4997% → 97%
Q4 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+4
3.3%
Josh McCray run for 4 yds to the ILL 17Similar
Q4 8:03
2ND & 6
OWN 17
+10
3.2%
Josh McCray run for 10 yds to the ILL 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:14
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-3
2.7%
Aidan Laughery run for a loss of 3 yards to the ILL 24Similar
Q4 7:10
2ND & 13
OWN 24
+3
2.9%
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 3 yds to the ILL 27Similar
Q4 7:05
3RD & 10
OWN 27
+4
2.8%
Aidan Laughery run for 4 yds to the ILL 31Similar
Q4 7:00
4TH & 6
OWN 31
+21
2.6%
Hugh Robertson punt for 45 yds , A.J. Henning returns for 21 yds to the NU 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 24INT
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:072% → 2%
Q4 6:46
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
1.8%
Ryan Boe pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:40
2ND & 10
OWN 45
0
1.7%
Ryan Boe pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:39
3RD & 10
OWN 45
-3
1.7%
Ryan Boe pass intercepted Torrie Cox Jr. return for 3 yds to the ILL 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 25PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 3:4698% → 99%
Q4 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
2.3%
Ca'Lil Valentine run for 5 yds to the NU 46Similar
Q4 5:39
2ND & 5
OPP 46
+15
1.8%
Ca'Lil Valentine run for 15 yds to the NU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:54
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
1.5%
Ca'Lil Valentine run for no gain to the NU 31Similar
Q4 4:15
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+2
1.5%
Ca'Lil Valentine run for 2 yds to the NU 29Similar
Q4 3:32
3RD & 8
OPP 29
-5
1.3%
Ca'Lil Valentine run for a loss of 5 yards to the NU 34Similar
Q4 2:47
4TH & 13
OPP 34
0
1.4%
Hugh Robertson punt for 34 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 26TD
10 plays · 80 yds · 1:391% → 4%
Q4 2:39
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
0.8%
Jack Lausch pass complete to Thomas Gordon for 6 yds to the NU 26Similar
Q4 2:20
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+13
0.8%
Jack Lausch pass complete to Calvin Johnson II for 13 yds to the NU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+8
0.7%
Jack Lausch pass complete to Calvin Johnson II for 8 yds to the NU 47Similar
Q4 1:56
2ND & 2
OWN 47
+5
0.7%
Jack Lausch pass complete to Thomas Gordon for 5 yds to the ILL 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:53
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
0.7%
Jack Lausch pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:48
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+18
0.7%
Jack Lausch pass complete to Calvin Johnson II for 18 yds to the ILL 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:33
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
0.9%
Jack Lausch pass complete to Jake Arthurs for 2 yds to the ILL 28Similar
Q4 1:16
2ND & 8
OPP 28
0
0.9%
Jack Lausch pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:14
3RD & 8
OPP 28
+13
0.8%
Jack Lausch pass complete to Drew Wagner for 13 yds to the ILL 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
4.4%
Jack Lausch pass complete to Thomas Gordon for 15 yds for a TD (Jack Lausch pass to Marshall Lang for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 27END OF 4TH QUARTER
2 plays · -3 yds · 0:2796% → 96%
Q4 0:57
1ST & 10
50
-2
4.2%
(00:57) [NHSG] Kneel down by ALTMYER, Luke at UI48 (team loss of 2), clock 00:53.Similar
Q4 0:30
2ND & 12
OWN 48
-1
4.4%
(00:30) [NHSG] Kneel down by ALTMYER, Luke at UI47 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 1:34
A.J. Henning 11 Yd pass from Jack Lausch (Luke Akers Kick)
+11.7
TD · Q3 10:08
Pat Bryant 43 Yd pass from Luke Altmyer (David Olano Kick)
-10.8
TD · Q3 14:15
Aidan Laughery 64 Yd Run (David Olano Kick)
-9.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com