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NEB

Nebraska 10 at Iowa 13

IOWA
2024 · Week 14 · Nov 29, 2024 · Kinnick Stadium
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Win probability · IOWA
modelIOWA aheadNEB aheadconfidence bandkey playIOWA scoreNEB score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 3:31 · Brian Buschini punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Kaden Wetjen at the IOWA 9
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+25.0+12.50−12.5−25.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 131Home team on offense−5.5Pregame prior+0.4Score differential−4.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.9Garbage-time factor+0.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+1.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:38: Dante Dowdell run for 1 yd for a TD (John Hohl KICK) — NEB win probability +11.4 pts (now 65%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 14:44: Jackson Stratton pass complete to Kaleb Johnson for 72 yds for a TD (Drew Stevens KICK) — IOWA win probability +24.3 pts (now 57%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q4 3:24: Kaleb Johnson run for 6 yds to the IOWA 15 — IOWA win probability +7.1 pts (now 55%) (top driver: Not a blowout margin).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 0:16: Timeout Iowa, clock 00:16 — IOWA win probability +21.3 pts (now 67%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 0:00: Drew Stevens 53 yd FG GOOD — IOWA win probability +27.9 pts (now 96%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
IOWA made the numbers' call on 6 of 10NEB made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 12:55IOWA 4th & 10 at IOWA 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.8%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:28NEB 4th & 2 at IOWA 13, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 40.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.7%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    40.5%−0.2
    85% to make
    Punt
    39.3%−1.4
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:01IOWA 4th & 4 at IOWA 30, down 3
    Close callPunted · 58.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.3%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:16NEB 4th & 11 at NEB 35, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.5%−0.6
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.1%
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:52IOWA 4th & 1 at NEB 49, down 3
    Close callPunted · 58.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.3%−0.6
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:58NEB 4th & 11 at NEB 31, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.5%−1.0
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 14:03IOWA 4th & 11 at IOWA 40, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.3%−0.7
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.0%
    average punt
  8. Q2 12:24NEB 4th & 6 at NEB 28, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.2%−0.3
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.6%
    average punt
  9. Q2 10:11IOWA 4th & 10 at NEB 39, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.9%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    55.7%−0.2
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    55.9%
    average punt
  10. Q2 6:36NEB 4th & 6 at NEB 22, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.1%−0.8
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.0%
    average punt
  11. Q2 4:42IOWA 4th & 10 at IOWA 41, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.1%−1.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.4%
    average punt
  12. Q3 9:26NEB 4th & 6 at IOWA 16, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 64.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.1%−0.8
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    63.9%
    81% to make
    Punt
    55.9%−8.0
    average punt
  13. Q3 6:45IOWA 4th & 8 at IOWA 49, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.8%−0.5
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.3%
    average punt
  14. Q3 4:30IOWA 4th & 2 at NEB 2, down 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.4 ptsKicked a field goal · 30.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    28.4%−2.4
    94% to make
    Punt
    18.4%−12.4
    average punt
  15. Q3 0:49NEB 4th & 2 at midfield, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.9 ptsPunted · 69.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.8%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.9%−1.9
    average punt
  16. Q4 11:20NEB 4th & 12 at NEB 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.2%−4.6
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.7%
    average punt
  17. Q4 9:16IOWA 4th & 1 at IOWA 29, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 7.0 ptsPunted · 56.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.1%−7.0
    average punt
  18. Q4 3:31NEB 4th & 8 at IOWA 40, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.3 ptsPunted · 50.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.8%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    46.7%−2.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    46.5%−2.3
    average punt
  19. Q4 1:46IOWA 4th & 7 at IOWA 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.1%−4.7
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.7%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
IOWA made the numbers' call on 1 of 1NEB made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q2 0:38NEB Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q4 14:44IOWA Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.2%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
IOWADrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:5857% → 57%
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-1
57.1%
Kaleb Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the IOWA 31Similar
Q1 14:16
2ND & 11
OWN 31
0
57.1%
Kaleb Johnson run for no gain to the IOWA 31Similar
Q1 13:34
3RD & 11
OWN 31
+1
57.1%
Jackson Stratton pass complete to Kaleb Johnson for 1 yd to the IOWA 32Similar
Q1 12:55
4TH & 10
OWN 32
0
57.0%
Rhys Dakin punt for 45 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 2FG
10 plays · 64 yds · 5:2043% → 44%
Q1 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
57.2%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Emmett Johnson for 2 yds to the NEB 25Similar
Q1 12:12
2ND & 8
OWN 25
+2
57.2%
Emmett Johnson run for 2 yds to the NEB 27Similar
Q1 11:36
3RD & 6
OWN 27
+13
57.4%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Jahmal Banks for 13 yds to the NEB 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
56.9%
Dylan Raiola pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:50
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+19
57.0%
Emmett Johnson run for 19 yds to the IOWA 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+20
56.8%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Nate Boerkircher for 20 yds to the IOWA 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:38
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+1
56.6%
Rahmir Johnson run for 1 yd to the IOWA 20Similar
Q1 8:55
2ND & 9
OPP 20
+5
56.4%
Emmett Johnson run for 5 yds to the IOWA 15Similar
Q1 8:12
3RD & 4
OPP 15
+2
56.6%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Isaiah Neyor for 2 yds to the IOWA 13Similar
Q1 7:28
4TH & 2
OPP 13
+31
56.4%
John Hohl 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:1957% → 56%
Q1 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-1
56.5%
Kaleb Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the IOWA 23Similar
Q1 6:45
2ND & 11
OWN 23
+7
56.4%
Jackson Stratton pass complete to Luke Lachey for 7 yds to the IOWA 30Similar
Q1 6:07
3RD & 4
OWN 30
0
55.9%
Jackson Stratton pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:01
4TH & 4
OWN 30
0
55.7%
Rhys Dakin punt for 34 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:3844% → 43%
Q1 5:54
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
56.3%
Dante Dowdell run for 5 yds to the NEB 41Similar
Q1 5:23
2ND & 5
OWN 41
0
55.8%
Dylan Raiola pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:17
3RD & 5
OWN 41
-6
56.1%
Dylan Raiola sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the NEB 35 Dylan Raiola fumbled, recovered by NEB Dylan Raiola , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q1 4:16
4TH & 11
OWN 35
+25
57.0%
Brian Buschini punt for 48 yds , Kaden Wetjen returns for 25 yds to the IOWA 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:2357% → 57%
Q1 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
57.0%
Kaleb Johnson run for 4 yds to the IOWA 46Similar
Q1 3:39
2ND & 6
OWN 46
0
57.1%
Jackson Stratton pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:39
3RD & 6
OWN 46
+5
56.6%
Nebraska Penalty, Offsides (John Bullock) to the NEB 49Similar
Q1 3:35
3RD & 1
OPP 49
0
57.1%
Jaziun Patterson run for no gain to the NEB 49Similar
Q1 2:52
4TH & 1
OPP 49
0
56.5%
Rhys Dakin punt for 32 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 14 yds · 2:4844% → 44%
Q1 2:46
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+9
56.2%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Emmett Johnson for 9 yds to the NEB 26Similar
Q1 2:07
2ND & 1
OWN 26
+6
55.2%
Rahmir Johnson run for 6 yds to the NEB 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
55.4%
Rahmir Johnson run for 5 yds to the NEB 37Similar
Q1 1:06
2ND & 5
OWN 37
-8
54.9%
Dylan Raiola sacked by Ethan Hurkett for a loss of 8 yards to the NEB 29Similar
Q1 0:19
3RD & 13
OWN 29
+2
56.2%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Emmett Johnson for 2 yds to the NEB 31Similar
Q2 14:58
4TH & 11
OWN 31
0
56.0%
Brian Buschini punt for 28 yds, downed at the IOWA 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 7PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:4557% → 55%
Q2 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-1
56.8%
Kaleb Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the IOWA 40Similar
Q2 14:11
2ND & 11
OWN 40
0
55.8%
Jackson Stratton pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:08
3RD & 11
OWN 40
0
55.1%
Jackson Stratton pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:03
4TH & 11
OWN 40
0
54.5%
Rhys Dakin punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:3245% → 44%
Q2 13:56
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-1
54.8%
Emmett Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the NEB 23Similar
Q2 13:21
2ND & 11
OWN 23
0
54.9%
Dylan Raiola pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:13
3RD & 11
OWN 23
+10
55.5%
Dylan Raiola run for 10 yds to the NEB 33Similar
Q2 12:26
4TH & 1
OWN 33
-5
55.1%
Nebraska Penalty, Delay Of Game (Vincent Shavers Jr.) to the NEB 28Similar
Q2 12:24
4TH & 6
OWN 28
0
55.8%
Brian Buschini punt for 22 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 11 yds · 2:0357% → 55%
Q2 12:14
1ST & 10
50
+11
57.1%
Kaleb Johnson run for 11 yds to the NEB 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:44
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
57.3%
Jackson Stratton run for 2 yds to the NEB 37Similar
Q2 11:00
2ND & 8
OPP 37
-2
57.3%
Kaleb Johnson run for a loss of 2 yards to the NEB 39Similar
Q2 10:17
3RD & 10
OPP 39
0
56.5%
Jackson Stratton pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:11
4TH & 10
OPP 39
0
54.6%
Rhys Dakin punt for 34 yds, downed at the NEB 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 3:2545% → 46%
Q2 10:01
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+3
54.7%
Dante Dowdell run for 3 yds to the NEB 8Similar
Q2 9:19
2ND & 7
OWN 8
+10
54.5%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Jahmal Banks for 10 yds to the NEB 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+5
53.8%
Dante Dowdell run for 5 yds to the NEB 23Similar
Q2 8:11
2ND & 5
OWN 23
+1
52.6%
Dante Dowdell run for 1 yd to the NEB 24Similar
Q2 7:35
3RD & 4
OWN 24
+3
53.2%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Jacory Barney Jr. for 3 yds to the NEB 27Similar
Q2 6:52
4TH & 1
OWN 27
-5
53.7%
Nebraska Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the NEB 22Similar
Q2 6:36
4TH & 6
OWN 22
0
54.2%
Brian Buschini punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Kaden Wetjen at the IOWA 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:4655% → 52%
Q2 6:28
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
54.9%
Kaleb Johnson run for 4 yds to the IOWA 45Similar
Q2 5:55
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+2
55.1%
Kaleb Johnson run for 2 yds to the IOWA 47Similar
Q2 5:21
3RD & 4
OWN 47
-6
54.5%
Jackson Stratton sacked by James Williams for a loss of 6 yards to the IOWA 41Similar
Q2 4:42
4TH & 10
OWN 41
0
51.5%
Rhys Dakin punt for 33 yds, downed at the NEB 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 12TD
15 plays · 74 yds · 3:5848% → 65%
Q2 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
51.9%
Emmett Johnson run for no gain to the NEB 26Similar
Q2 4:07
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+23
52.0%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Jacory Barney Jr. for 23 yds to the NEB 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+9
49.7%
Emmett Johnson run for 9 yds to the IOWA 42Similar
Q2 2:48
2ND & 1
OPP 42
+2
48.7%
Emmett Johnson run for 2 yds to the IOWA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:09
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
48.1%
Emmett Johnson run for 2 yds to the IOWA 38Similar
Q2 1:58
2ND & 8
OPP 38
+12
46.2%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Jahmal Banks for 12 yds to the IOWA 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:34
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+8
44.6%
Emmett Johnson run for 8 yds to the IOWA 18Similar
Q2 0:58
2ND & 2
OPP 18
+6
44.1%
Dylan Raiola run for 6 yds to the IOWA 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:52
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+9
44.9%
Rahmir Johnson run for 9 yds to the IOWA 3Similar
Q2 0:44
2ND & 1
OPP 3
0
45.8%
Dylan Raiola pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:41
3RD & 1
OPP 3
+2
46.3%
Dante Dowdell run for 2 yds to the IOWA 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
35.0%
Dante Dowdell run for 1 yd for a TD (John Hohl KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 13END OF HALF
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0039% → 39%
Q2 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
38.6%
Kaleb Johnson run for no gain to the IOWA 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 14MISSED FG
14 plays · 65 yds · 5:2762% → 67%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+3
38.3%
Emmett Johnson run for 3 yds to the NEB 22Similar
Q3 14:19
2ND & 7
OWN 22
+25
38.1%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Thomas Fidone II for 25 yds to the NEB 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:43
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+7
35.8%
Emmett Johnson run for 7 yds to the IOWA 46Similar
Q3 13:26
2ND & 3
OPP 46
-5
35.3%
Nebraska Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the NEB 49Similar
Q3 13:14
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+6
35.5%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Carter Nelson for 6 yds to the IOWA 45Similar
Q3 12:32
3RD & 2
OPP 45
+5
34.8%
Dante Dowdell run for 5 yds to the IOWA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:53
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
33.9%
Heinrich Haarberg pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:41
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+5
33.8%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Rahmir Johnson for 5 yds to the IOWA 35Similar
Q3 10:59
3RD & 5
OPP 35
+15
33.8%
(10:59) RAIOLA, Dylan pass deep to the right incomplete intended for BANKS, Jahmal thrown to the UI10, clock 10:56. PENALTY UI Pass Interference on HALL, TJ enforced 15 yards to the UI20 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 10:52
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+1
31.4%
Emmett Johnson run for 1 yd to the IOWA 19Similar
Q3 10:18
2ND & 9
OPP 19
0
31.1%
Dylan Raiola pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:14
3RD & 9
OPP 19
+3
32.1%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Emmett Johnson for 3 yds to the IOWA 16Similar
Q3 9:26
4TH & 6
OPP 16
+34
33.0%
John Hohl 34 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 29 yds · 2:3932% → 31%
Q3 9:24
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
32.3%
Jackson Stratton run for no gain to the IOWA 22 Nick Jackson fumbled, recovered by IOWA Jackson Stratton J. Stratton return for 2 ydsSimilar
Q3 8:46
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+25
31.7%
Kaleb Johnson run for 25 yds to the IOWA 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
34.3%
Jacob Gill run for 1 yd to the IOWA 48Similar
Q3 7:32
2ND & 9
OWN 48
+1
33.6%
Jackson Stratton pass complete to Addison Ostrenga for 1 yd to the IOWA 49Similar
Q3 6:52
3RD & 8
OWN 49
0
32.3%
Jackson Stratton pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:45
4TH & 8
OWN 49
+47
31.2%
Rhys Dakin punt for 47 yds , Vincent Shavers Jr. returns for no gain to the NEB 4 , returns for no gain to the NEB 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 16FG
4 plays · 2 yds · 2:0236% → 38%
Q3 6:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
35.6%
Kaleb Johnson run for 2 yds to the NEB 2Similar
Q3 5:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-2
33.5%
Kaleb Johnson run for a loss of 2 yards to the NEB 4Similar
Q3 5:03
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
31.7%
Jackson Stratton pass complete to Luke Lachey for 2 yds to the NEB 2Similar
Q3 4:30
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+20
38.3%
Drew Stevens 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 30 yds · 3:3167% → 71%
Q3 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
33.1%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Emmett Johnson for 3 yds to the NEB 23Similar
Q3 3:47
2ND & 7
OWN 23
0
31.7%
Dylan Raiola pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:39
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+19
33.0%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Nate Boerkircher for 19 yds to the NEB 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:58
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
28.5%
Emmett Johnson run for no gain to the NEB 42Similar
Q3 2:15
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+3
28.6%
Emmett Johnson run for 3 yds to the NEB 45Similar
Q3 1:37
3RD & 7
OWN 45
+5
28.1%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Isaiah Neyor for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 0:49
4TH & 2
50
0
28.6%
Brian Buschini punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Kaden Wetjen at the IOWA 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 18TD
3 plays · 86 yds · 0:5934% → 57%
Q3 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+17
33.7%
Jackson Stratton pass complete to Jacob Gill for 17 yds to the IOWA 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-3
32.4%
Kaleb Johnson run for a loss of 3 yards to the IOWA 28Similar
Q4 14:44
2ND & 13
OWN 28
+72
56.7%
Jackson Stratton pass complete to Kaleb Johnson for 72 yds for a TD (Drew Stevens KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 3:2347% → 45%
Q4 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
53.0%
Dylan Raiola sacked for 0 yards to the NEB 25 Dylan Raiola fumbled, recovered by NEB Dylan Raiola , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 14:04
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
53.2%
Dante Dowdell run for 7 yds to the NEB 32Similar
Q4 13:17
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+8
52.1%
Dylan Raiola run for 8 yds to the NEB 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:44
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-1
49.1%
Dante Dowdell run for a loss of 1 yard to the NEB 39Similar
Q4 12:06
2ND & 11
OWN 39
-1
50.8%
Emmett Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the NEB 38Similar
Q4 11:25
3RD & 12
OWN 38
0
52.8%
Dylan Raiola pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:20
4TH & 12
OWN 38
0
54.9%
Brian Buschini punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Kaden Wetjen at the IOWA 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:5757% → 55%
Q4 11:13
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
56.9%
Seth Anderson run for 9 yds to the IOWA 29Similar
Q4 10:31
2ND & 1
OWN 29
-1
59.6%
Kamari Moulton run for a loss of 1 yard to the IOWA 28Similar
Q4 9:57
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+1
55.9%
Kamari Moulton run for 1 yd to the IOWA 29Similar
Q4 9:16
4TH & 1
OWN 29
0
54.7%
Rhys Dakin punt for 49 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 21PUNT
12 plays · 38 yds · 5:3848% → 52%
Q4 9:09
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+7
52.4%
Dante Dowdell run for 7 yds to the NEB 29Similar
Q4 8:31
2ND & 3
OWN 29
0
49.8%
Dylan Raiola pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:26
3RD & 3
OWN 29
+6
51.9%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Jahmal Banks for 6 yds to the NEB 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:49
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
50.5%
Emmett Johnson run for 9 yds to the NEB 44Similar
Q4 7:12
2ND & 1
OWN 44
0
44.9%
Dylan Raiola pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:07
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+4
46.1%
Dante Dowdell run for 4 yds to the NEB 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+8
44.8%
Dante Dowdell run for 8 yds to the IOWA 44Similar
Q4 5:44
2ND & 2
OPP 44
+2
43.3%
Emmett Johnson run for 2 yds to the IOWA 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:02
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
43.8%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Jacory Barney Jr. for 3 yds to the IOWA 39Similar
Q4 4:22
2ND & 7
OPP 39
-1
43.7%
Carter Nelson run for a loss of 1 yard to the IOWA 40Similar
Q4 3:37
3RD & 8
OPP 40
0
44.4%
Dylan Raiola pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:31
4TH & 8
OPP 40
0
47.9%
Brian Buschini punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Kaden Wetjen at the IOWA 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 22PUNT
8 plays · 17 yds · 1:3855% → 51%
Q4 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+6
55.0%
Kaleb Johnson run for 6 yds to the IOWA 15Similar
Q4 2:57
2ND & 4
OWN 15
+8
56.1%
Jackson Stratton pass complete to Zach Ortwerth for 8 yds to the IOWA 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:16
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-4
57.1%
Kamari Moulton run for a loss of 4 yards to the IOWA 19Similar
Q4 1:59
2ND & 14
OWN 19
+7
56.0%
Jackson Stratton pass complete to Addison Ostrenga for 7 yds to the IOWA 26Similar
Q4 1:51
3RD & 7
OWN 26
0
53.2%
Jackson Stratton pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:46
4TH & 7
OWN 26
0
51.1%
Rhys Dakin punt for 54 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 23FUMBLE
9 plays · 16 yds · 1:1851% → 54%
Q4 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
49.5%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Carter Nelson for 5 yds to the NEB 25Similar
Q4 1:13
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+6
47.9%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Emmett Johnson for 6 yds Emmett Johnson fumbled, recovered by NEB Emmett Johnson E. Johnson return for 0 yds for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+8
48.0%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Jaylen Lloyd for 8 yds to the NEB 39Similar
Q4 0:43
2ND & 2
OWN 39
+1
44.0%
Emmett Johnson run for 1 yd to the NEB 40Similar
Q4 0:31
3RD & 1
OWN 40
+3
45.2%
Dante Dowdell run for 3 yds to the NEB 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:22
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-7
46.0%
Dylan Raiola sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the NEB 36 Dylan Raiola fumbled, recovered by IOWA Max Llewellyn , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 24FG
3 plays · 1 yds · 0:1664% → 96%
Q4 0:16
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
64.3%
Kaleb Johnson run for 2 yds to the NEB 34Similar
Q4 0:14
2ND & 8
OPP 34
-1
67.6%
Kaleb Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the NEB 35Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 9
OPP 35
+53
95.5%
Drew Stevens 53 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q4 0:00
Drew Stevens 53 yd FG GOOD
+27.9
TD · Q4 14:44
Jackson Stratton pass complete to Kaleb Johnson for 72 yds for a TD (Drew Stevens KICK)
+24.3
KEY PLAY · Q4 0:16
Timeout Iowa, clock 00:16
+21.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com