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PUR

Purdue 17 at Michigan State 24

MSU
2024 · Week 13 · Nov 22, 2024 · Spartan Stadium
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Win probability · MSU
modelMSU aheadPUR aheadconfidence bandkey playMSU scorePUR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:43 · run for a loss of 2 yards to the PUR 28
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout marginScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScoring-chance index
+31.0+15.50−15.5−31.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 4:24: Montorie Foster Jr. 7 Yd pass from Aidan Chiles (Jonathan Kim Kick) — PUR win probability +0.3 pts (now 23%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  2. TD · Q2 0:41: Nate Carter 20 Yd pass from Aidan Chiles (Jonathan Kim Kick) — MSU win probability +1.1 pts (now 77%) (top driver: MSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 5:49: Devin Mockobee 2 Yd Run (Ben Freehill Kick) — PUR win probability +0.4 pts (now 35%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 13:54: Max Klare 7 Yd pass from Hudson Card (Ben Freehill Kick) — PUR win probability +6.2 pts (now 39%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 3:04: Aidan Chiles pass incomplete to Nick Marsh for a 1ST down Purdue Penalty, Defensive holding (Nyland Green) to the PUR 37 for a 1ST down — MSU win probability +11.7 pts (now 74%) (top driver: MSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 9PUR made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 9:17PUR 4th & 18 at MSU 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 18.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.4%−0.2
    12% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    18.6%
    72% to make
    Punt
    18.1%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 2:52PUR 4th & 4 at PUR 31, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.9%−0.2
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.0%
    average punt
  3. Q2 12:07MSU 4th & 4 at PUR 25, up 1
    Close callKicked a field goal · 78.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.7%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    78.5%−0.2
    66% to make
    Punt
    77.1%−1.6
    average punt
  4. Q2 5:02PUR 4th & 2 at PUR 43, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 24.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    24.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    23.7%−0.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 2:42PUR 4th & 12 at MSU 12, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 24.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.3%−1.0
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    24.3%
    86% to make
    Punt
    20.2%−4.1
    average punt
  6. Q3 13:34MSU 4th & 1 at MSU 34, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 74.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    74.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    73.7%−1.1
    average punt
  7. Q3 11:20MSU 4th & 13 at MSU 34, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.8%−2.5
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.4%
    average punt
  8. Q3 8:21PUR 4th & 5 at MSU 45, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 28.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    29.4%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    27.0%−2.4
    25% to make
    Punt
    29.0%−0.4
    average punt
  9. Q3 2:51MSU 4th & 3 at MSU 43, up 1
    Close callPunted · 71.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.7%−0.6
    average punt
  10. Q3 2:41MSU 4th & 3 at MSU 43, up 1
    Close callPunted · 70.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.7%−0.6
    average punt
  11. Q4 12:30MSU 4th & 8 at MSU 42, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.8%−2.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.9%
    average punt
  12. Q4 11:07PUR 4th & 10 at PUR 31, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.6%−4.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.9%
    average punt
  13. Q4 9:54MSU 4th & 4 at MSU 30, up 1
    Close callPunted · 66.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.8%−0.8
    average punt
  14. Q4 6:05MSU 4th & 6 at MSU 47, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.9%−0.5
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.4%
    average punt
  15. Q4 3:08PUR 4th & 6 at PUR 47, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 37.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    33.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    31.6%−1.8
    average punt
  16. Q4 2:00MSU 4th & 1 at PUR 28, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 73.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    75.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    67.4%−8.5
    60% to make
    Punt
    48.0%−27.9
    average punt
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
PURDrive 1FG
12 plays · 53 yds · 5:4119% → 21%
Q1 14:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
80.8%
Devin Mockobee run for 8 yds to the PUR 33Similar
Q1 14:25
2ND & 2
OWN 33
-1
80.6%
Devin Mockobee run for a loss of 1 yard to the PUR 32Similar
Q1 13:48
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+12
80.5%
Hudson Card pass complete to Max Klare for 12 yds to the PUR 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:16
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-1
80.2%
Devin Mockobee run for a loss of 1 yard to the PUR 43Similar
Q1 12:41
2ND & 11
OWN 43
+10
80.1%
Hudson Card pass complete to Drew Biber for 10 yds to the MSU 47Similar
Q1 12:01
3RD & 1
OPP 47
+18
79.8%
Hudson Card pass complete to Max Klare for 18 yds to the MSU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:18
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+15
79.4%
Hudson Card pass complete to Devin Mockobee for 15 yds to the MSU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:42
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+2
79.2%
Devin Mockobee run for 2 yds to the MSU 12Similar
Q1 10:06
2ND & 8
OPP 12
0
79.0%
pass incomplete to Shamar RigbySimilar
Q1 10:03
3RD & 8
OPP 12
-10
79.1%
Hudson Card sacked by Angelo Grose for a loss of 10 yards to the MSU 22Similar
Q1 9:17
4TH & 18
OPP 22
+40
79.1%
Ben Freehill 40 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSUDrive 2TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 4:5379% → 77%
Q1 9:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
78.5%
pass incomplete to Montorie Foster Jr.Similar
Q1 9:11
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+11
78.4%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 11 yds to the MSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:32
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
78.1%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 1 yd to the MSU 37Similar
Q1 7:52
2ND & 9
OWN 37
0
77.9%
Aidan Chiles pass incomplete to Montorie Foster Jr., broken up by Hudson MillerSimilar
Q1 7:50
3RD & 9
OWN 37
+11
77.7%
Aidan Chiles pass complete to Jack Velling for 11 yds to the MSU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
78.0%
Aidan Chiles pass incomplete to Jack Velling, broken up by Dillon ThienemanSimilar
Q1 7:09
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+6
77.9%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 6 yds to the PUR 46Similar
Q1 6:35
3RD & 4
OPP 46
+14
77.8%
Aidan Chiles run for 14 yds to the PUR 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:51
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+11
77.7%
Nick Marsh run for 11 yds to the PUR 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:11
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+14
77.5%
Aidan Chiles pass complete to Ademola Faleye for 14 yds to the PUR 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
77.2%
Montorie Foster Jr. 7 Yd pass from Aidan Chiles (Jonathan Kim Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:3025% → 22%
Q1 4:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
75.3%
Reggie Love III run for 1 yd to the PUR 26Similar
Q1 3:45
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+5
74.9%
Hudson Card pass complete to Reggie Love III for 5 yds to the PUR 31Similar
Q1 3:04
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
78.0%
pass incomplete to Jaron TibbsSimilar
Q1 2:52
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+41
78.4%
Keelan Crimmins punt for 31 yds Michigan State Penalty, Offensive holding (Marcellius Pulliam) to the MSU 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSUDrive 4FG
11 plays · 47 yds · 5:4578% → 77%
Q1 2:52
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+9
78.2%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 9 yds to the MSU 37Similar
Q1 2:06
2ND & 1
OWN 37
+5
78.4%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 5 yds to the MSU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
78.2%
pass incomplete to Nick MarshSimilar
Q1 1:19
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+2
77.9%
Nate Carter run for 2 yds to the MSU 44Similar
Q1 0:30
3RD & 8
OWN 44
+13
77.5%
Aidan Chiles pass complete to Nick Marsh for 13 yds to the PUR 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:58
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
78.4%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 3 yds to the PUR 40Similar
Q2 14:21
2ND & 7
OPP 40
+9
78.2%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 9 yds to the PUR 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:40
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-7
78.4%
Aidan Chiles pass complete to Brennan Parachek for a loss of 7 yards to the PUR 38Similar
Q2 12:56
2ND & 17
OPP 38
0
77.3%
pass incomplete to Ademola FaleyeSimilar
Q2 12:54
3RD & 17
OPP 38
+13
76.9%
Aidan Chiles pass complete to Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams for 13 yds to the PUR 25Similar
Q2 12:07
4TH & 4
OPP 25
+43
76.8%
Jonathan Kim 43 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 5FUMBLE
3 plays · 11 yds · 0:3024% → 24%
Q2 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
76.4%
Hudson Card pass complete to Jahmal Edrine for 11 yds to the PUR 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-3
75.8%
Devin Mockobee run for a loss of 3 yards to the PUR 33 Devin Mockobee fumbled, recovered by MSU Maverick HansenSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSUDrive 6TD
9 plays · 33 yds · 3:4578% → 78%
Q2 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
78.0%
Aidan Chiles pass incomplete to Montorie Foster Jr., broken up by Shitta SillahSimilar
Q2 11:25
2ND & 10
OPP 33
-7
78.0%
Nate Carter run for a loss of 7 yards to the PUR 40Similar
Q2 10:41
3RD & 17
OPP 40
-15
76.2%
Aidan Chiles pass intercepted for a 1ST down Purdue Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Tarrion Grant) to the PUR 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+12
77.8%
Nate Carter run for 12 yds to the PUR 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:37
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+4
77.8%
Aidan Chiles pass complete to Montorie Foster Jr. for 4 yds to the PUR 9Similar
Q2 8:58
2ND & 6
OPP 9
+6
77.7%
Nate Carter run for 2 yds to the PUR 7 for a 1ST down Purdue Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Jeffrey M'Ba) to the PUR 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
77.7%
pass incomplete to Ademola FaleyeSimilar
Q2 8:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
77.6%
Nate Carter run for 1 yd to the PUR 2Similar
Q2 7:45
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
77.5%
Nate Carter 2 Yd Run (Jonathan Kim Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 7MISSED FG
13 plays · 63 yds · 5:0325% → 26%
Q2 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
75.3%
Reggie Love III run for a loss of 1 yard to the PUR 24Similar
Q2 7:10
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+11
75.3%
Hudson Card pass complete to Jahmal Edrine for 11 yds to the PUR 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:34
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
74.6%
Reggie Love III run for 1 yd to the PUR 36Similar
Q2 5:54
2ND & 9
OWN 36
0
74.3%
pass incomplete to Reggie Love IIISimilar
Q2 5:49
3RD & 9
OWN 36
+7
75.1%
Hudson Card pass complete to Max Klare for 7 yds to the PUR 43Similar
Q2 5:02
4TH & 2
OWN 43
+27
74.3%
Hudson Card pass complete to Max Klare for 27 yds to the MSU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:23
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+6
71.5%
Hudson Card pass complete to Drew Biber for 6 yds to the MSU 24Similar
Q2 3:44
2ND & 4
OPP 24
+15
71.0%
Hudson Card pass incomplete to Jahmal Edrine for a 1ST down Michigan State Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Ed Woods) to the MSU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-3
71.0%
Hudson Card sacked by Maverick Hansen and Alex VanSumeren for a loss of 3 yards to the MSU 12Similar
Q2 2:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 12
0
70.8%
Hudson Card pass incomplete to Max Klare, broken up by Jordan HallSimilar
Q2 2:46
3RD & GOAL
OPP 12
0
71.7%
Hudson Card pass incomplete to Max Klare, broken up by Nikai MartinezSimilar
Q2 2:42
4TH & GOAL
OPP 12
+30
73.6%
Ben Freehill 30 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSUDrive 8TD
10 plays · 84 yds · 1:5075% → 77%
Q2 2:31
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+5
74.6%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 5 yds to the MSU 21Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 5
OWN 21
+3
74.4%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 3 yds to the MSU 24Similar
Q2 1:54
3RD & 2
OWN 24
+2
73.7%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 2 yds to the MSU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
74.5%
pass incomplete to Nick MarshSimilar
Q2 1:37
2ND & 10
OWN 26
0
74.1%
pass incomplete to Kay'Ron Lynch-AdamsSimilar
Q2 1:31
3RD & 10
OWN 26
+10
73.2%
Aidan Chiles run for 10 yds to the MSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
74.9%
Aidan Chiles sacked by Kydran Jenkins for a loss of 1 yard to the MSU 35Similar
Q2 1:07
2ND & 11
OWN 35
+12
74.2%
Aidan Chiles pass complete to Nate Carter for 12 yds to the MSU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+33
76.0%
Aidan Chiles pass complete to Montorie Foster Jr. for 33 yds to the PUR 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:41
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
77.1%
Nate Carter 20 Yd pass from Aidan Chiles (Jonathan Kim Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 19 yds · 0:2427% → 29%
Q2 0:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
73.3%
Hudson Card pass complete to Jahmal Edrine for 14 yds to the PUR 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:29
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
71.9%
pass incomplete to Devin MockobeeSimilar
Q2 0:21
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+5
72.1%
Hudson Card pass complete to Jaron Tibbs for 5 yds to the PUR 44Similar
Q2 0:15
3RD & 5
OWN 44
0
71.0%
Hudson Card pass incomplete to Jahmal Edrine, broken up by Ed WoodsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSUDrive 10PUNT
9 plays · 9 yds · 3:3874% → 71%
Q3 14:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
74.1%
pass incomplete to Nick MarshSimilar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
73.9%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 5 yds to the MSU 30Similar
Q3 14:14
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+4
73.3%
Aidan Chiles pass complete to Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams for 4 yds to the MSU 34Similar
Q3 13:34
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+3
72.7%
Aidan Chiles run for 3 yds to the MSU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:54
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-4
74.2%
Nate Carter run for a loss of 4 yards to the MSU 33Similar
Q3 12:08
2ND & 14
OWN 33
+1
72.6%
Aidan Chiles pass complete to Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams for 1 yd to the MSU 34Similar
Q3 11:24
3RD & 13
OWN 34
0
71.5%
pass incomplete to Nick MarshSimilar
Q3 11:20
4TH & 13
OWN 34
+6
70.8%
Ryan Eckley punt for 45 yds , Andrew Sowinski returns for 6 yds to the PUR 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 11TD
10 plays · 73 yds · 5:2228% → 35%
Q3 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-1
71.9%
Devin Mockobee run for a loss of 1 yard to the PUR 26Similar
Q3 10:34
2ND & 11
OWN 26
+24
72.1%
Hudson Card pass complete to Jahmal Edrine for 24 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:50
1ST & 10
50
+2
68.6%
Hudson Card run for 2 yds to the MSU 48Similar
Q3 9:05
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+3
68.3%
Devin Mockobee run for 3 yds to the MSU 45Similar
Q3 8:25
3RD & 5
OPP 45
0
68.5%
pass incomplete to Devin MockobeeSimilar
Q3 8:21
4TH & 5
OPP 45
+17
70.3%
Hudson Card pass complete to Shamar Rigby for 17 yds to the MSU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:36
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+9
66.0%
Hudson Card pass complete to Jaron Tibbs for 9 yds to the MSU 19Similar
Q3 6:57
2ND & 1
OPP 19
+14
65.7%
Hudson Card pass complete to Devin Mockobee for 14 yds to the MSU 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
65.6%
Hudson Card run for 3 yds to the MSU 2Similar
Q3 5:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
65.2%
Devin Mockobee 2 Yd Run (Ben Freehill Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSUDrive 12PUNT
8 plays · 18 yds · 3:0671% → 70%
Q3 5:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
71.3%
Nate Carter run for 1 yd to the MSU 26Similar
Q3 5:07
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+10
70.8%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 10 yds to the MSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:27
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-5
71.6%
Aidan Chiles sacked by Antonio Stevens and Hudson Miller for a loss of 5 yards to the MSU 31Similar
Q3 3:40
2ND & 15
OWN 31
+12
70.0%
Aidan Chiles pass complete to Nick Marsh for 12 yds to the MSU 43Similar
Q3 2:57
3RD & 3
OWN 43
0
71.9%
pass incomplete to Montorie Foster Jr.Similar
Q3 2:51
4TH & 3
OWN 43
0
70.1%
Ryan Eckley punt Michigan State Penalty, personal foul (Caleb Gash) to the MSU 43Similar
Q3 2:41
4TH & 3
OWN 43
0
70.0%
Ryan Eckley punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 13TD
11 plays · 85 yds · 3:4031% → 39%
Q3 2:34
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
69.4%
pass incomplete to Shamar RigbySimilar
Q3 2:32
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+21
69.7%
Hudson Card pass complete to Jaron Tibbs for 21 yds to the PUR 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
67.7%
pass incomplete to Jaron TibbsSimilar
Q3 1:42
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+2
68.3%
Hudson Card pass complete to Max Klare for 2 yds to the PUR 38Similar
Q3 1:00
3RD & 8
OWN 38
+15
67.7%
Hudson Card pass incomplete to Jahmal Edrine, broken up by Angelo Grose for a 1ST down Michigan State Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Angelo Grose) to the MSU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:56
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
64.4%
Hudson Card pass complete to Reggie Love III for 3 yds to the MSU 44Similar
Q3 0:15
2ND & 7
OPP 44
+10
63.9%
Hudson Card pass complete to Max Klare for 10 yds to the MSU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:58
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-11
62.3%
Hudson Card sacked by Khris Bogle for a loss of 11 yards to the MSU 45 Purdue Penalty, intentional grounding (Hudson Card) to the MSU 45Similar
Q4 14:47
2ND & 21
OPP 45
0
65.8%
Hudson Card pass incomplete to Devin Mockobee, broken up by Jalen SatchellSimilar
Q4 14:47
3RD & 21
OPP 45
+38
67.4%
Hudson Card pass complete to Jaron Tibbs for 38 yds to the MSU 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
61.2%
Max Klare 7 Yd pass from Hudson Card (Ben Freehill Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSUDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 1:2469% → 67%
Q4 13:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
68.9%
Aidan Chiles pass complete to Montorie Foster Jr. for 15 yds to the MSU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:19
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
71.1%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 2 yds to the MSU 42Similar
Q4 12:41
2ND & 8
OWN 42
0
71.2%
pass incomplete to Montorie Foster Jr.Similar
Q4 12:38
3RD & 8
OWN 42
0
68.4%
pass incomplete to Nick MarshSimilar
Q4 12:30
4TH & 8
OWN 42
0
66.7%
Ryan Eckley punt for 58 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 1:1634% → 31%
Q4 12:23
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
66.5%
Hudson Card pass incomplete to Jahmal Edrine, broken up by Ed WoodsSimilar
Q4 12:17
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
66.8%
pass incomplete to Devin MockobeeSimilar
Q4 12:11
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+11
68.7%
Hudson Card pass complete to De'Nylon Morrissette for 11 yds to the PUR 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
65.4%
pass incomplete to Kam BrownSimilar
Q4 11:25
2ND & 10
OWN 31
0
66.1%
Hudson Card pass incomplete to Max Klare, broken up by Maverick HansenSimilar
Q4 11:22
3RD & 10
OWN 31
0
67.7%
pass incomplete to Jahmal EdrineSimilar
Q4 11:07
4TH & 10
OWN 31
0
69.0%
Keelan Crimmins punt for 45 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSUDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:1368% → 65%
Q4 11:07
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+6
68.1%
Nate Carter run for 6 yds to the MSU 30Similar
Q4 10:32
2ND & 4
OWN 30
0
69.4%
Aidan Chiles run for no gain to the MSU 30Similar
Q4 10:00
3RD & 4
OWN 30
0
66.8%
pass incomplete to Nick MarshSimilar
Q4 9:54
4TH & 4
OWN 30
+8
65.4%
Ryan Eckley punt for 48 yds , Andrew Sowinski returns for 8 yds to the PUR 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 17INT
3 plays · 28 yds · 0:4136% → 40%
Q4 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
64.5%
Reggie Love III run for 1 yd to the PUR 31Similar
Q4 9:06
2ND & 9
OWN 31
+27
64.4%
Hudson Card pass complete to Jahmal Edrine for 27 yds to the MSU 42 for a 1ST down Michigan State Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Ed Woods) to the MSU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:01
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
59.6%
Hudson Card pass incomplete to Max Klare, broken up by Cal HaladaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSUDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 2:4968% → 67%
Q4 8:54
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
68.1%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 5 yds to the MSU 36Similar
Q4 8:11
2ND & 5
OWN 36
+7
70.8%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 7 yds to the MSU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-3
71.2%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for a loss of 3 yards to the MSU 40Similar
Q4 6:51
2ND & 13
OWN 40
+7
68.0%
Aidan Chiles pass complete to Brennan Parachek for 7 yds to the MSU 47Similar
Q4 6:10
3RD & 6
OWN 47
0
69.7%
pass incomplete to Nick MarshSimilar
Q4 6:05
4TH & 6
OWN 47
0
66.7%
Ryan Eckley punt for 53 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 19DOWNS
9 plays · 27 yds · 2:4937% → 37%
Q4 5:57
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
62.9%
Devin Mockobee run for 5 yds to the PUR 25Similar
Q4 5:24
2ND & 5
OWN 25
0
61.6%
pass incomplete to Jahmal EdrineSimilar
Q4 5:16
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+6
64.2%
Hudson Card pass complete to Devin Mockobee for 6 yds to the PUR 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:34
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+12
61.5%
Hudson Card pass complete to Devin Mockobee for 12 yds to the PUR 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
57.9%
pass incomplete to De'Nylon MorrissetteSimilar
Q4 3:50
2ND & 5
OWN 48
-1
57.7%
Hudson Card run for a loss of 1 yard to the PUR 47Similar
Q4 3:49
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+5
59.7%
Michigan State Penalty, off-side (Anthony Jones) to the PUR 48Similar
Q4 3:10
3RD & 6
OWN 47
0
57.9%
pass incomplete to Jaron TibbsSimilar
Q4 3:08
4TH & 6
OWN 47
0
62.6%
pass incomplete to De'Nylon MorrissetteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSUDrive 20Uncategorized
7 plays · 19 yds · 2:2174% → 83%
Q4 3:04
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+10
74.3%
Aidan Chiles pass incomplete to Nick Marsh for a 1ST down Purdue Penalty, Defensive holding (Nyland Green) to the PUR 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:01
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
74.4%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 4 yds to the PUR 33Similar
Q4 2:10
2ND & 6
OPP 33
+1
76.5%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 1 yd to the PUR 32Similar
Q4 2:03
3RD & 5
OPP 32
+4
74.7%
Aidan Chiles run for 4 yds to the PUR 28Similar
Q4 2:00
4TH & 1
OPP 28
+1
73.8%
Aidan Chiles run for 1 yd to the PUR 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:28
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-1
82.1%
run for a loss of 1 yard to the PUR 28Similar
Q4 0:43
2ND & 11
OPP 28
-2
83.2%
run for a loss of 2 yards to the PUR 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+16.8
KEY PLAY · Q4 3:04
Aidan Chiles pass incomplete to Nick Marsh for a 1ST down Purdue Penalty, Defensive holding (Nyland Green) to the PUR 37 for a 1ST down
+11.7
TD · Q4 13:54
Max Klare 7 Yd pass from Hudson Card (Ben Freehill Kick)
-6.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com