Try the model
NU

Northwestern 6 at Michigan 50

MICH
2024 · Week 13 · Nov 23, 2024 · Michigan Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · MICH
modelMICH aheadNU aheadconfidence bandkey playMICH scoreNU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGFGFGTDTDTDTDFGSAFETYTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · Caleb Komolafe run for no gain to the MICH 39
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 6:44: Kalel Mullings run for 2 yds for a TD (Dominic Zvada KICK) — MICH win probability +2.1 pts (now 79%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 1:57: Luke Akers 26 yd FG GOOD — NU win probability +3.0 pts (now 25%) (top driver: NU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:08: Davis Warren pass complete to Colston Loveland for 3 yds for a TD (Dominic Zvada KICK) — MICH win probability +5.7 pts (now 83%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 12:10: Kalel Mullings run for 10 yds for a TD (Dominic Zvada KICK) — MICH win probability +7.7 pts (now 93%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 5:12: Kalel Mullings run for 1 yd for a TD (Dominic Zvada KICK) — MICH win probability +3.8 pts (now 99%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MICH made the numbers' call on 3 of 4NU made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 5:01NU 4th & 13 at NU 22, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.3%−0.4
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 1:09MICH 4th & 18 at NU 38, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 76.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.1%−0.4
    13% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    76.6%
    38% to make
    Punt
    76.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q2 12:08NU 4th & 7 at NU 41, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.4%−0.4
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.8%
    average punt
  4. Q2 6:25NU 4th & 10 at MICH 10, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 21.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.9%−0.7
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    20.6%
    88% to make
    Punt
    16.4%−4.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 4:14MICH 4th & 2 at MICH 33, up 7
    Close callPunted · 77.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.5%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:57NU 4th & 3 at MICH 8, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 24.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.2%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    23.4%−0.8
    90% to make
    Punt
    18.0%−6.1
    average punt
  7. Q3 10:42NU 4th & 13 at NU 22, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.1%−2.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.2%
    average punt
  8. Q3 1:21NU 4th & 13 at NU 43, down 25
    Close callWent for it · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.9%−0.4
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.2%
    average punt
  9. Q4 12:29NU 4th & 9 at NU 16, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  10. Q4 6:53MICH 4th & 2 at NU 7, up 32
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.1
    91% to make
    Punt
    99.3%−0.5
    average punt
  11. Q4 5:22MICH 4th & 10 at NU 10, up 32
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.8%
    88% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MICH made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 6:44MICH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:08MICH Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 12:10MICH Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 5:12MICH Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 13:40MICH Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 4:10MICH Touchdown, up 43 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NUDrive 1INT
6 plays · 16 yds · 2:1722% → 22%
Q1 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
78.4%
Jack Lausch pass complete to A.J. Henning for 5 yds to the NU 30Similar
Q1 14:15
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+11
78.2%
Cam Porter run for 11 yds to the NU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:28
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
78.0%
Cam Porter run for no gain to the NU 41Similar
Q1 12:42
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
77.8%
Jack Lausch pass incomplete to Joseph Himon IISimilar
Q1 12:35
3RD & 10
OWN 41
-1
77.8%
Jack Lausch pass intercepted Aamir Hall return for 1 yd to the MICH 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 2TD
13 plays · 53 yds · 5:4478% → 79%
Q1 12:28
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
78.0%
Davis Warren pass complete to Tyler Morris for 4 yds to the NU 49Similar
Q1 11:53
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+5
78.0%
Donovan Edwards run for 5 yds to the NU 44Similar
Q1 11:14
3RD & 1
OPP 44
+2
77.8%
Kalel Mullings run for 2 yds to the NU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:38
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+9
77.8%
Davis Warren pass complete to Tyler Morris for 9 yds to the NU 33Similar
Q1 9:57
2ND & 1
OPP 33
+2
77.7%
Kalel Mullings run for 2 yds to the NU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:21
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
77.7%
Davis Warren pass incomplete to Kalel MullingsSimilar
Q1 9:16
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+8
77.6%
Davis Warren pass complete to Kendrick Bell for 8 yds to the NU 23Similar
Q1 8:41
3RD & 2
OPP 23
+9
77.2%
Donovan Edwards run for 9 yds to the NU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:04
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
77.3%
Donovan Edwards run for 1 yd to the NU 13Similar
Q1 7:23
2ND & 9
OPP 13
+3
77.1%
Davis Warren pass complete to Tyler Morris for 3 yds to the NU 16Similar
Q1 6:48
3RD & 12
OPP 16
+14
76.8%
(06:52) Shotgun Warren,Davis pass incomplete short right to Loveland,Colston thrown to NWU00 PENALTY NWU Pass Interference (Johnson,Theran) 14 yards from NWU16 to NWU02, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
79.4%
Kalel Mullings run for 2 yds for a TD (Dominic Zvada KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 1:3722% → 21%
Q1 6:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
78.5%
Cam Porter run for 1 yd to the NU 26Similar
Q1 5:56
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-9
78.5%
Jack Lausch sacked by Kenneth Grant for a loss of 9 yards to the NU 17Similar
Q1 5:13
3RD & 18
OWN 17
+5
78.8%
Cam Porter run for 5 yds to the NU 22 Northwestern Penalty, Offensive Holding (Cam Porter) declinedSimilar
Q1 5:01
4TH & 13
OWN 22
0
78.9%
Hunter Renner punt for 26 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NU 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 4FG
6 plays · 10 yds · 3:4180% → 79%
Q1 4:50
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+7
79.5%
Davis Warren pass complete to Tyler Morris for 7 yds to the NU 41Similar
Q1 4:13
2ND & 3
OPP 41
+11
79.6%
Davis Warren pass complete to Colston Loveland for 11 yds to the NU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:31
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
79.8%
Davis Warren pass complete to Donovan Edwards for 1 yd to the NU 29Similar
Q1 2:49
2ND & 9
OPP 29
0
79.8%
Donovan Edwards run for no gain to the NU 29 Donovan Edwards fumbled, recovered by MICH Josh PriebeSimilar
Q1 1:53
3RD & 9
OPP 29
-9
79.4%
Davis Warren sacked by Aidan Hubbard for a loss of 9 yards to the NU 38Similar
Q1 1:09
4TH & 18
OPP 38
+56
79.1%
Dominic Zvada 56 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 16 yds · 3:4920% → 20%
Q1 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
79.6%
Jack Lausch pass complete to Bryce Kirtz for 8 yds to the NU 33Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+1
79.1%
Joseph Himon II run for 1 yd to the NU 34Similar
Q2 14:55
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+4
79.4%
Cam Porter run for 4 yds to the NU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-8
79.3%
Jack Lausch sacked by Josaiah Stewart for a loss of 8 yards to the NU 30Similar
Q2 13:31
2ND & 18
OWN 30
+7
80.1%
Jack Lausch pass complete to A.J. Henning for 7 yds to the NU 37Similar
Q2 12:47
3RD & 11
OWN 37
+4
80.3%
Jack Lausch pass complete to Thomas Gordon for 4 yds to the NU 41Similar
Q2 12:08
4TH & 7
OWN 41
0
80.4%
Hunter Renner punt for 56 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 6INT
7 plays · 23 yds · 3:2480% → 80%
Q2 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 3
0
79.6%
Benjamin Hall run for no gain to the MICH 3Similar
Q2 11:20
2ND & 10
OWN 3
+8
79.6%
Davis Warren pass complete to Tyler Morris for 8 yds to the MICH 11Similar
Q2 10:39
3RD & 2
OWN 11
+15
79.6%
Davis Warren pass complete to Max Bredeson for 15 yds to the MICH 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:02
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
80.4%
Benjamin Hall run for no gain to the MICH 26Similar
Q2 9:16
2ND & 10
OWN 26
0
80.1%
Davis Warren pass complete to Benjamin Hall for no gain to the MICH 26Similar
Q2 8:36
3RD & 10
OWN 26
-25
79.7%
Davis Warren pass intercepted Xander Mueller return for 25 yds to the MICH 20Similar
Q2 8:36
3RD & 10
OWN 26
-25
79.7%
Davis Warren pass intercepted Xander Mueller return for 25 yds to the MICH 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 7FG
5 plays · 10 yds · 2:0421% → 21%
Q2 8:29
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+11
78.8%
Caleb Komolafe run for 11 yds to the MICH 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
79.0%
Jack Lausch run for 1 yd to the MICH 8Similar
Q2 7:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
-2
79.0%
Jack Lausch sacked by Ernest Hausmann for a loss of 2 yards to the MICH 10Similar
Q2 6:29
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
0
79.9%
Jack Lausch pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:25
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
+28
78.7%
Luke Akers 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 2:0480% → 79%
Q2 6:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
79.9%
Donovan Edwards run for a loss of 2 yards to the MICH 23Similar
Q2 5:37
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+2
79.7%
Davis Warren pass complete to Donovan Edwards for 2 yds to the MICH 21Similar
Q2 4:55
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+12
79.1%
Davis Warren pass complete to Kalel Mullings for 12 yds to the MICH 33Similar
Q2 4:14
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+27
79.1%
Tommy Doman punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NU 46 , A.J. Henning returns for 27 yds to the NU 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 9FG
7 plays · 46 yds · 1:5922% → 25%
Q2 3:56
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+39
77.9%
Jack Lausch pass complete to Bryce Kirtz for 39 yds to the MICH 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:24
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
76.4%
Cam Porter run for 2 yds to the MICH 13Similar
Q2 2:44
2ND & 8
OPP 13
+5
76.2%
Jack Lausch pass complete to Cam Porter for 5 yds to the MICH 8Similar
Q2 2:01
3RD & 3
OPP 8
0
78.3%
Jack Lausch pass incomplete to Bryce KirtzSimilar
Q2 1:57
4TH & 3
OPP 8
+26
75.3%
Luke Akers 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 10TD
14 plays · 65 yds · 1:3976% → 83%
Q2 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
75.8%
Davis Warren pass complete to Donovan Edwards for 8 yds to the MICH 43Similar
Q2 1:25
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+6
77.2%
Davis Warren pass complete to Fredrick Moore for 6 yds to the MICH 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
77.4%
Davis Warren pass complete to Peyton O'Leary for 6 yds to the NU 45Similar
Q2 0:57
2ND & 4
OPP 45
+4
77.6%
Donovan Edwards run for 4 yds to the NU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:43
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+10
77.5%
Davis Warren pass complete to Donovan Edwards for 10 yds to the NU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:39
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
77.9%
Davis Warren pass incomplete to Donovan EdwardsSimilar
Q2 0:35
2ND & 10
OPP 31
0
77.9%
Davis Warren pass incomplete to Colston LovelandSimilar
Q2 0:26
3RD & 10
OPP 31
+20
76.7%
Davis Warren pass complete to Fredrick Moore for 20 yds to the NU 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:19
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
77.8%
Davis Warren pass incomplete to Tyler MorrisSimilar
Q2 0:11
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+8
77.5%
Davis Warren pass complete to Colston Loveland for 8 yds to the NU 3Similar
Q2 0:08
3RD & 2
OPP 3
+3
83.2%
Davis Warren pass complete to Colston Loveland for 3 yds for a TD (Dominic Zvada KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 11END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0015% → 15%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-1
84.9%
J. Lausch takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 12TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:4184% → 93%
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
84.2%
Kalel Mullings run for 13 yds to the MICH 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+47
85.0%
Kalel Mullings run for 47 yds to the NU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:31
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
85.5%
Donovan Edwards run for 2 yds to the NU 13Similar
Q3 12:48
2ND & 8
OPP 13
+3
85.6%
Kalel Mullings run for 3 yds to the NU 10Similar
Q3 12:10
3RD & 5
OPP 10
+10
93.3%
Kalel Mullings run for 10 yds for a TD (Dominic Zvada KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 1:2510% → 9%
Q3 12:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
90.5%
Jack Lausch pass incomplete to Marshall LangSimilar
Q3 11:55
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
90.8%
Jack Lausch pass complete to A.J. Henning for 7 yds to the NU 32Similar
Q3 11:20
3RD & 3
OWN 32
-10
90.4%
Jack Lausch sacked by Josaiah Stewart for a loss of 10 yards to the NU 22Similar
Q3 10:42
4TH & 13
OWN 22
+19
91.2%
Hunter Renner punt for 42 yds , Tyler Morris returns for 19 yds to the NU 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 14TD
10 plays · 45 yds · 5:1994% → 99%
Q3 10:31
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+11
93.9%
Davis Warren pass complete to Tyler Morris for 11 yds to the NU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:56
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+7
94.2%
Fredrick Moore run for 7 yds to the NU 27Similar
Q3 9:19
2ND & 3
OPP 27
0
94.4%
Davis Warren pass incomplete to Tyler MorrisSimilar
Q3 9:13
3RD & 3
OPP 27
+4
94.3%
Kalel Mullings run for 4 yds to the NU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:33
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+5
94.6%
Davis Warren pass complete to Kalel Mullings for 5 yds to the NU 18Similar
Q3 7:57
2ND & 5
OPP 18
0
94.7%
Kalel Mullings run for no gain to the NU 18Similar
Q3 7:11
3RD & 5
OPP 18
+6
94.7%
Kalel Mullings run for 6 yds to the NU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:29
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+9
95.0%
Tyler Morris run for 9 yds to the NU 3Similar
Q3 5:50
2ND & 1
OPP 3
+2
95.1%
Kalel Mullings run for 2 yds to the NU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.9%
Kalel Mullings run for 1 yd for a TD (Dominic Zvada KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 15INT
11 plays · 21 yds · 3:402% → 1%
Q3 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-3
98.4%
Joseph Himon II run for a loss of 3 yards to the NU 19Similar
Q3 4:22
2ND & 13
OWN 19
-4
98.3%
Jack Lausch sacked by TJ Guy for a loss of 4 yards to the NU 15Similar
Q3 3:36
3RD & 17
OWN 15
+20
98.3%
Jack Lausch pass complete to Bryce Kirtz for 20 yds to the NU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
98.6%
Jack Lausch pass complete to A.J. Henning for 3 yds to the NU 32Similar
Q3 2:17
2ND & 13
OWN 32
0
98.8%
Jack Lausch pass incomplete to A.J. HenningSimilar
Q3 2:04
3RD & 13
OWN 32
+14
98.9%
Jack Lausch pass complete to Marshall Lang for 14 yds to the NU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
98.9%
Jack Lausch pass incomplete to Bryce KirtzSimilar
Q3 1:41
2ND & 10
OWN 46
-3
98.9%
Jack Lausch run for a loss of 3 yards to the NU 43Similar
Q3 1:26
3RD & 13
OWN 43
0
99.0%
Jack Lausch pass incomplete to Bryce KirtzSimilar
Q3 1:21
4TH & 13
OWN 43
0
99.0%
Jack Lausch pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 16TD
5 plays · 58 yds · 2:2799% → 100%
Q3 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
99.2%
Davis Warren pass complete to Max Bredeson for 4 yds to the MICH 46Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+2
99.3%
Donovan Edwards run for 2 yds to the MICH 48Similar
Q4 14:54
3RD & 4
OWN 48
+8
99.3%
Davis Warren pass complete to Marlin Klein for 8 yds to the NU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:19
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+24
99.4%
Donovan Edwards run for 24 yds to the NU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:40
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
99.8%
Donovan Edwards run for 20 yds for a TD (Dominic Zvada KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:560% → 0%
Q4 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
99.8%
Jack Lausch pass incomplete to A.J. HenningSimilar
Q4 13:19
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+1
99.8%
Cam Porter run for 1 yd to the NU 16Similar
Q4 12:37
3RD & 9
OWN 16
0
99.8%
Jack Lausch pass incomplete to Marshall LangSimilar
Q4 12:29
4TH & 9
OWN 16
0
99.8%
Hunter Renner punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Tyler Morris at the MICH 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 18FG
14 plays · 53 yds · 7:01100% → 100%
Q4 12:23
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
99.8%
Jordan Marshall run for 8 yds to the MICH 45Similar
Q4 11:44
2ND & 2
OWN 45
+1
99.8%
Jordan Marshall run for 1 yd to the MICH 46Similar
Q4 11:06
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+5
99.8%
Jordan Marshall run for 5 yds to the NU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:26
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
99.8%
Jordan Marshall run for 6 yds to the NU 43Similar
Q4 9:52
2ND & 4
OPP 43
0
99.9%
Davis Warren pass incomplete to Kendrick BellSimilar
Q4 9:44
3RD & 4
OPP 43
+28
99.9%
Davis Warren pass complete to Tyler Morris for 28 yds to the NU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:59
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
99.9%
Jordan Marshall run for no gain to the NU 15Similar
Q4 8:18
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+4
99.9%
Davis Warren pass complete to Micah Ka'apana for 4 yds to the NU 11Similar
Q4 7:32
3RD & 6
OPP 11
+4
99.9%
Davis Warren pass complete to Peyton O'Leary for 4 yds to the NU 7Similar
Q4 6:53
4TH & 2
OPP 7
+2
99.9%
Jordan Marshall run for 2 yds to the NU 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-5
99.9%
Jordan Marshall run for a loss of 5 yards to the NU 10Similar
Q4 5:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
0
99.9%
Davis Warren pass incomplete to Marlin KleinSimilar
Q4 5:24
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
0
99.9%
Davis Warren pass incomplete to Tyler MorrisSimilar
Q4 5:22
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
+28
99.9%
Dominic Zvada 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 19SF
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:420% → 0%
Q4 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
99.9%
Caleb Komolafe run for no gain to the NU 14Similar
Q4 4:33
2ND & 10
OWN 14
0
99.9%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Donnie GraySimilar
Q4 4:28
3RD & 10
OWN 14
0
100.0%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete for a SAFETY Northwestern Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Ryan Hilinski) to the NU 0Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 20TD
2 plays · 20 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 4:10
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
99.9%
T. Dunlap run for 20 yds for a TD,Michigan penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (D. Giudice) (C. Mentzer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 21Uncategorized
9 plays · 24 yds · 3:560% → 0%
Q4 3:56
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
100.0%
Caleb Komolafe run for 5 yds to the NU 42Similar
Q4 3:15
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+4
100.0%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Donnie Gray for 4 yds to the NU 46Similar
Q4 2:36
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+2
100.0%
Caleb Komolafe run for 2 yds to the NU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
100.0%
Michigan Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Brandyn Hillman) to the MICH 49Similar
Q4 1:10
2ND & 7
OPP 49
+3
100.0%
Caleb Komolafe run for 3 yds to the MICH 46Similar
Q4 0:46
3RD & 4
OPP 46
+7
100.0%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Drew Wagner for 7 yds to the MICH 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
100.0%
Caleb Komolafe run for no gain to the MICH 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 12:10
Kalel Mullings run for 10 yds for a TD (Dominic Zvada KICK)
+7.7
TD · Q2 0:08
Davis Warren pass complete to Colston Loveland for 3 yds for a TD (Dominic Zvada KICK)
+5.7
TD · Q3 5:12
Kalel Mullings run for 1 yd for a TD (Dominic Zvada KICK)
+3.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com