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Indiana 15 at Ohio State 38

OSU
2024 · Week 13 · Nov 23, 2024 · Ohio Stadium
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Win probability · OSU
modelOSU aheadIU aheadconfidence bandkey playOSU scoreIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of GameTD+8.5OSU 87.9%Caleb Downs 79 Yd Punt Return (JaydenFielding Kick)AWAY 7 - HOME 21 · Q3 12:44
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 12:44 · Caleb Downs 79 Yd Punt Return (Jayden Fielding Kick)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+34.5+17.30−17.3−34.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 77Pregame prior+14.1Home team on offense+12.6Score differential+4.3Garbage-time factor+1.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 7:22: Emeka Egbuka 11 Yd pass from Will Howard (Jayden Fielding Kick) — OSU win probability +8.2 pts (now 76%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:21: TreVeyon Henderson 4 Yd Run (Jayden Fielding Kick) — OSU win probability +6.4 pts (now 80%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 12:44: Caleb Downs 79 Yd Punt Return (Jayden Fielding Kick) — OSU win probability +8.5 pts (now 88%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 6:02: Jelani Thurman 1 Yd pass from Will Howard (Jayden Fielding Kick) — OSU win probability +5.3 pts (now 97%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:53: Ty Son Lawton 2 Yd Run (Kurtis Rourke Pass to Omar Cooper Jr. for Two-Point Conversion) — IU win probability +2.6 pts (now 3%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 6IU made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 13:04OSU 4th & 2 at OSU 33, tied
    Close callPunted · 76.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 0:37OSU 4th & 10 at IU 35, down 7
    Close callWent for it · 67.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    67.7%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    67.7%
    45% to make
    Punt
    67.3%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q2 13:35OSU 4th & 1 at IU 2, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 67.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    67.3%
    60% to convert
    Field goal
    65.5%−1.8
    94% to make
    Punt
    60.7%−6.6
    average punt
  4. Q2 9:42IU 4th & 17 at IU 10, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.1%−1.4
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.5%
    average punt
  5. Q2 1:41IU 4th & 15 at IU 30, tied
    Numbers favored punt by 1.9 ptsWent for it · 32.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    30.1%−1.9
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    31.9%
    average punt
  6. Q3 12:44IU 4th & 8 at IU 27, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.8%−1.3
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.2%
    average punt
  7. Q3 11:47IU 4th & 2 at IU 33, down 14
    Close callPunted · 13.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 3:34IU 4th & 11 at OSU 43, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.1%−0.2
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    2.9%−0.3
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    3.3%
    average punt
  9. Q3 2:02OSU 4th & 5 at OSU 14, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.4%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.7%
    average punt
  10. Q4 14:47IU 4th & 21 at IU 30, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−0.9
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.8%
    average punt
  11. Q4 11:18OSU 4th & 1 at midfield, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    98.3%−0.4
    average punt
  12. Q4 8:56OSU 4th & 12 at IU 27, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.6%−0.2
    23% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.8%
    62% to make
    Punt
    98.0%−0.8
    average punt
  13. Q4 4:37IU 4th & 1 at OSU 43, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    0.6%−<0.1
    28% to make
    Punt
    0.7%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5IU made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 6:52IU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    27.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    27.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 7:22OSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:21OSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 12:44OSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 6:02OSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 1:53IU Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    1.5%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    1.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 0:35OSU Touchdown, up 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OSUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:4879% → 78%
Q1 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
78.9%
Quinshon Judkins run for 3 yds to the OSU 28Similar
Q1 14:24
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+2
78.8%
Will Howard pass complete to Quinshon Judkins for 2 yds to the OSU 30Similar
Q1 13:51
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+3
78.7%
Will Howard pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 3 yds to the OSU 33Similar
Q1 13:04
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+12
78.4%
Joe McGuire punt for 49 yds , Myles Price returns for 12 yds to the IU 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 2TD
13 plays · 70 yds · 6:1222% → 27%
Q1 13:04
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
78.5%
Justice Ellison run for 1 yd to the IU 31Similar
Q1 12:29
2ND & 9
OWN 31
0
78.3%
Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete to Myles PriceSimilar
Q1 12:24
3RD & 9
OWN 31
+13
78.4%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Myles Price for 13 yds to the IU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:46
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
77.9%
Justice Ellison run for 3 yds to the IU 47Similar
Q1 11:23
2ND & 7
OWN 47
+15
77.8%
Rourke, Kurtis pass incomplete to Sarratt, Elijah, PENALTY OSU pass interference (Igbinosun, Davison) 15 yards to the OSU38, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN IU.Similar
Q1 11:02
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
77.6%
Ty Son Lawton run for 2 yds to the OSU 36Similar
Q1 10:26
2ND & 8
OPP 36
+2
77.4%
Ty Son Lawton run for 2 yds to the OSU 34Similar
Q1 9:41
3RD & 6
OPP 34
+19
77.2%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Elijah Sarratt for 19 yds to the OSU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:07
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+4
76.8%
Justice Ellison run for 4 yds to the OSU 11Similar
Q1 8:29
2ND & 6
OPP 11
+4
76.5%
Justice Ellison run for 4 yds to the OSU 7Similar
Q1 7:49
3RD & 2
OPP 7
+3
76.4%
Justice Ellison run for 3 yds to the OSU 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:26
1ST & 0
OPP 4
+2
75.9%
Rourke, Kurtis pass incomplete to Williams, Ke'Shawn, PENALTY OSU pass interference (Igbinosun, Davison) 2 yards to the OSU2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN IU.Similar
Q1 6:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
73.5%
Ty Son Lawton 2 Yd Run (Nicolas Radicic Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 3DOWNS
18 plays · 73 yds · 8:1674% → 70%
Q1 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
74.4%
Will Howard pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for a loss of 1 yard to the OSU 24Similar
Q1 6:17
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+9
74.0%
Will Howard pass complete to Carnell Tate for 9 yds to the OSU 33Similar
Q1 5:37
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+5
73.8%
Will Howard pass complete to Quinshon Judkins for 5 yds to the OSU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:02
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
73.6%
Quinshon Judkins run for 5 yds to the OSU 43Similar
Q1 4:25
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+5
73.7%
Will Howard run for 5 yds to the OSU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+7
73.3%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 7 yds to the IU 45Similar
Q1 3:05
2ND & 3
OPP 45
+10
73.3%
Will Howard pass complete to Carnell Tate for 10 yds to the IU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:29
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-10
73.0%
Howard, Will pass complete to Henderson, TreVeyon for no gain to the IU35, PENALTY OSU illegal block (Hinzman, Carson) 10 yards to the IU45, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:01
1ST & 20
OPP 45
-5
71.8%
Will Howard pass complete to TreVeyon Henderson for a loss of 5 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 1:40
2ND & 25
50
-10
71.3%
Will Howard sacked by TEAM for a loss of 10 yards to the IU 40 Ohio State Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Will Howard) to the OSU 40Similar
Q1 1:20
3RD & 35
OWN 40
+25
70.4%
Will Howard pass complete to Carnell Tate for 25 yds to the IU 35Similar
Q1 0:37
4TH & 10
OPP 35
+24
70.0%
Will Howard pass complete to Carnell Tate for 24 yds to the IU 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
72.3%
Quinshon Judkins run for 2 yds to the IU 9Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 9
+5
72.3%
Quinshon Judkins run for 5 yds to the IU 4Similar
Q2 14:18
3RD & 3
OPP 4
+2
71.2%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 2 yds to the IU 2Similar
Q2 13:35
4TH & 1
OPP 2
0
70.3%
Quinshon Judkins run for no gain to the IU 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 4PUNT
8 plays · 8 yds · 3:5331% → 33%
Q2 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+9
69.4%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Elijah Sarratt for 9 yds to the IU 11Similar
Q2 13:05
2ND & 1
OWN 11
0
68.6%
Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete to Elijah SarrattSimilar
Q2 13:01
3RD & 1
OWN 11
+6
68.9%
Justice Ellison run for 6 yds to the IU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:17
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+2
68.1%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Ty Son Lawton for 2 yds to the IU 19Similar
Q2 11:36
2ND & 8
OWN 19
+7
67.6%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Ty Son Lawton for 7 yds to the IU 26Similar
Q2 10:52
3RD & 1
OWN 26
-5
66.6%
Indiana Penalty, False Start (James Bomba) to the IU 21Similar
Q2 10:31
3RD & 6
OWN 21
-11
67.2%
Kurtis Rourke sacked by JT Tuimoloau and Cody Simon for a loss of 11 yards to the IU 10Similar
Q2 9:42
4TH & 17
OWN 10
+12
67.1%
James Evans punt for 46 yds , Caleb Downs returns for 12 yds to the IU 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 5TD
5 plays · 44 yds · 2:2068% → 76%
Q2 9:42
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+8
68.3%
Will Howard pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 8 yds to the IU 36Similar
Q2 9:21
2ND & 2
OPP 36
+4
68.2%
Will Howard pass complete to TreVeyon Henderson for 4 yds to the IU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:44
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+12
68.7%
Will Howard pass complete to Jeremiah Smith for 12 yds to the IU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:11
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+9
67.7%
Will Howard pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 9 yds to the IU 11Similar
Q2 7:22
2ND & 1
OPP 11
+11
75.8%
Emeka Egbuka 11 Yd pass from Will Howard (Jayden Fielding Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 6FUMBLE
4 plays · -7 yds · 0:5829% → 29%
Q2 7:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
70.7%
Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete to Ty Son LawtonSimilar
Q2 7:16
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
70.8%
Ty Son Lawton run for 2 yds to the IU 27Similar
Q2 6:23
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-9
70.9%
Kurtis Rourke sacked by Cody Simon for a loss of 9 yards to the IU 18 Kurtis Rourke fumbled, forced by Cody Simon, recovered by OSU Ty Hamilton , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 7INT
3 plays · -4 yds · 1:0176% → 74%
Q2 6:23
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
75.7%
Will Howard pass incomplete to Jeremiah SmithSimilar
Q2 6:17
2ND & 10
OPP 18
-4
75.7%
Quinshon Judkins run for a loss of 4 yards to the IU 22Similar
Q2 5:22
3RD & 14
OPP 22
0
73.5%
Will Howard pass intercepted Jailin Walker return for no gain to the IU 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 8DOWNS
10 plays · -4 yds · 3:4130% → 31%
Q2 5:22
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+6
70.1%
Justice Ellison run for 6 yds to the IU 17Similar
Q2 4:50
2ND & 4
OWN 17
+7
69.8%
Justice Ellison run for 7 yds to the IU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:03
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+6
69.3%
Ty Son Lawton run for 6 yds to the IU 30Similar
Q2 3:27
2ND & 4
OWN 30
+5
68.2%
Ty Son Lawton run for 5 yds to the IU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:44
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-8
68.1%
Kurtis Rourke sacked by Cody Simon for a loss of 8 yards to the IU 27Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 18
OWN 27
0
68.7%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Ke'Shawn Williams for no gain to the IU 27Similar
Q2 1:52
3RD & 18
OWN 27
+3
68.7%
Justice Ellison run for 3 yds to the IU 30Similar
Q2 1:41
4TH & 15
OWN 30
-23
69.2%
James Evans run for a loss of 23 yards to the IU 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 9TD
3 plays · 7 yds · 1:2074% → 80%
Q2 1:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
73.7%
Will Howard run for 3 yds to the IU 4Similar
Q2 1:04
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
73.5%
Quinshon Judkins run for no gain to the IU 4Similar
Q2 0:21
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
79.9%
TreVeyon Henderson 4 Yd Run (Jayden Fielding Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 10END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0021% → 21%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
79.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the IU 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 11PUNT TD
6 plays · 2 yds · 2:1521% → 12%
Q3 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
78.8%
Justice Ellison run for 5 yds to the IU 30Similar
Q3 14:17
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
78.2%
Justice Ellison run for 2 yds to the IU 32 Justice Ellison fumbled, forced by Lathan Ransom, recovered by IU Mike KaticSimilar
Q3 13:30
3RD & 3
OWN 32
-5
78.8%
Indiana Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the IU 27Similar
Q3 13:11
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
79.4%
Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete to Myles PriceSimilar
Q3 12:44
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+79
87.9%
Caleb Downs 79 Yd Punt Return (Jayden Fielding Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:5613% → 12%
Q3 12:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
87.4%
Ty Son Lawton run for 8 yds to the IU 33Similar
Q3 12:08
2ND & 2
OWN 33
0
86.5%
Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete to Omar Cooper Jr.Similar
Q3 12:04
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
87.1%
Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete to Ty Son LawtonSimilar
Q3 11:47
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
87.6%
James Evans punt for 42 yds, downed at the OSU 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 13TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 5:4589% → 97%
Q3 11:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+25
88.6%
Will Howard pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:21
1ST & 10
50
+3
89.3%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 3 yds to the IU 47Similar
Q3 10:45
2ND & 7
OPP 47
0
89.4%
TreVeyon Henderson run for no gain to the IU 47Similar
Q3 10:03
3RD & 7
OPP 47
+13
89.4%
Will Howard pass complete to Jeremiah Smith for 13 yds to the IU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
90.1%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 5 yds to the IU 29Similar
Q3 8:46
2ND & 5
OPP 29
+8
90.3%
Quinshon Judkins run for 8 yds to the IU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:01
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+12
90.5%
Jeremiah Smith run for 12 yds to the IU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
91.3%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 5 yds to the IU 4Similar
Q3 6:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
91.4%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 3 yds to the IU 1Similar
Q3 6:02
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
96.7%
Jelani Thurman 1 Yd pass from Will Howard (Jayden Fielding Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 14PUNT
8 plays · 32 yds · 2:274% → 3%
Q3 6:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
96.4%
Ty Son Lawton run for 12 yds to the IU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:34
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+21
96.3%
Ty Son Lawton run for 21 yds to the OSU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:59
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
96.8%
Ty Son Lawton run for 2 yds to the OSU 40Similar
Q3 4:25
2ND & 8
OPP 40
-3
96.9%
Justice Ellison run for a loss of 3 yards to the OSU 43Similar
Q3 3:45
3RD & 11
OPP 43
0
97.1%
Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete to Myles PriceSimilar
Q3 3:34
4TH & 11
OPP 43
0
97.2%
James Evans punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Brandon Inniss at the OSU 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:3298% → 98%
Q3 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+3
97.5%
Quinshon Judkins run for 3 yds to the OSU 12Similar
Q3 2:47
2ND & 7
OWN 12
+2
97.7%
Quinshon Judkins run for 2 yds to the OSU 14Similar
Q3 2:13
3RD & 5
OWN 14
0
97.7%
Will Howard pass incomplete to Jeremiah SmithSimilar
Q3 2:02
4TH & 5
OWN 14
0
97.9%
Joe McGuire punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Myles Price at the IU 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · -11 yds · 2:153% → 2%
Q3 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-7
97.5%
Kurtis Rourke sacked by JT Tuimoloau and Jack Sawyer for a loss of 7 yards to the IU 34Similar
Q3 1:26
2ND & 17
OWN 34
+7
97.9%
Justice Ellison run for 7 yds to the IU 41Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 10
OWN 41
-11
98.3%
Kurtis Rourke sacked by Jack Sawyer for a loss of 11 yards to the IU 30Similar
Q4 14:47
4TH & 21
OWN 30
0
98.4%
James Evans punt for 40 yds , Caleb Downs returns for no gain to the OSU 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 17FG
13 plays · 43 yds · 5:5199% → 99%
Q4 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
98.5%
Will Howard pass complete to Gee Scott Jr. for 3 yds to the OSU 33Similar
Q4 14:06
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+8
98.6%
Quinshon Judkins run for 8 yds to the OSU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
98.7%
Quinshon Judkins run for no gain to the OSU 41Similar
Q4 12:44
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+3
98.8%
Quinshon Judkins run for 3 yds to the OSU 44Similar
Q4 12:02
3RD & 7
OWN 44
+6
98.9%
Will Howard pass complete to TreVeyon Henderson for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 11:18
4TH & 1
50
+25
98.9%
Will Howard pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 25 yds to the IU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:39
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
99.0%
Will Howard pass incomplete to Brandon InnissSimilar
Q4 10:35
2ND & 10
OPP 25
-5
99.0%
Ohio State Penalty, False Start (Tegra Tshabola) to the IU 30Similar
Q4 10:20
2ND & 15
OPP 30
-7
99.0%
Will Howard pass complete to Gee Scott Jr. for 3 yds to the IU 27 Ohio State Penalty, Illegal Block (Donovan Jackson) to the IU 37Similar
Q4 10:05
2ND & 22
OPP 37
+1
99.0%
Quinshon Judkins run for 1 yd to the IU 36Similar
Q4 9:14
3RD & 21
OPP 36
+9
99.3%
Will Howard pass complete to Jeremiah Smith for 9 yds to the IU 27Similar
Q4 8:56
4TH & 12
OPP 27
+45
99.4%
Jayden Fielding 45 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 18TD
18 plays · 75 yds · 7:021% → 3%
Q4 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.1%
Ty Son Lawton run for 2 yds to the IU 27Similar
Q4 8:18
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+5
99.1%
Ty Son Lawton run for 5 yds to the IU 32Similar
Q4 7:39
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+5
99.2%
Ty Son Lawton run for 5 yds to the IU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:04
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-1
99.3%
Justice Ellison run for a loss of 1 yard to the IU 36Similar
Q4 6:28
2ND & 11
OWN 36
+12
99.3%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Elijah Sarratt for 12 yds to the IU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:59
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
99.3%
Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete to Omar Cooper Jr.Similar
Q4 5:51
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+3
99.3%
Justice Ellison run for 3 yds to the OSU 49Similar
Q4 5:18
3RD & 7
OPP 49
+6
99.4%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Ke'Shawn Williams for 6 yds to the OSU 43Similar
Q4 4:37
4TH & 1
OPP 43
+8
99.4%
Kurtis Rourke run for 8 yds to the OSU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:02
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
99.3%
Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete to Ke'Shawn WilliamsSimilar
Q4 3:53
2ND & 10
OPP 35
0
99.4%
Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete to Elijah SarrattSimilar
Q4 3:51
3RD & 10
OPP 35
+11
99.4%
Justice Ellison run for 11 yds to the OSU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:26
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+5
99.3%
Rourke, Kurtis pass complete to Cooper Jr., Omar for 7 yards to the OSU17, PENALTY OSU substitution infraction 5 yards to the OSU19, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:21
1ST & 5
OPP 19
+5
99.3%
Kurtis Rourke run for 5 yds to the OSU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:38
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
99.3%
Justice Ellison run for 1 yd to the OSU 13Similar
Q4 1:58
2ND & 9
OPP 13
+11
99.4%
Rourke, Kurtis pass incomplete to Cooper Jr., Omar, PENALTY OSU pass interference (Igbinosun, Davison) 11 yards to the OSU2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN IU.Similar
Q4 1:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
96.7%
Ty Son Lawton 2 Yd Run (Kurtis Rourke Pass to Omar Cooper Jr. for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 19TD
5 plays · 40 yds · 1:1799% → 100%
Q4 1:52
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+39
98.7%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 39 yds to the IU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.2%
Will Howard run for no gain to the IU 1Similar
Q4 0:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.8%
Will Howard 1 Yd Run (Jayden Fielding Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 20END OF GAME
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.5%
Ty Son Lawton run for 3 yds to the IU 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 12:44
Caleb Downs 79 Yd Punt Return (Jayden Fielding Kick)
+8.5
TD · Q2 7:22
Emeka Egbuka 11 Yd pass from Will Howard (Jayden Fielding Kick)
+8.2
TD · Q2 0:21
TreVeyon Henderson 4 Yd Run (Jayden Fielding Kick)
+6.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com