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UCLA

UCLA 19 at Washington 31

WASH
2024 · Week 12 · Nov 15, 2024 · Husky Stadium
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Win probability · WASH
modelWASH aheadUCLA aheadconfidence bandkey playWASH scoreUCLA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDFGFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 5:14 · Brody Richter punt for 17 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UCLA 36
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+33.0+16.50−16.5−33.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 27Home team on offense−0.1Pregame prior+9.2Garbage-time factor+0.0Score differential−0.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 3:51: Jonah Coleman run for 15 yds for a TD (Grady Gross KICK) — WASH win probability +3.9 pts (now 66%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 3:46: Will Rogers pass complete to Keleki Latu for 8 yds for a TD (Grady Gross KICK) — WASH win probability +8.4 pts (now 76%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:51: Ethan Garbers pass complete to Kwazi Gilmer for 1 yd for a TD (Mateen Bhaghani KICK) — UCLA win probability +13.6 pts (now 40%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 3:16: Grady Gross 41 yd FG GOOD — WASH win probability +3.8 pts (now 71%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 5:44: Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Decker DeGraaf for 1 yd for a TD (Grady Gross KICK) — WASH win probability +10.8 pts (now 94%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WASH made the numbers' call on 4 of 5UCLA made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 13:25UCLA 4th & 9 at UCLA 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.4%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:58WASH 4th & 2 at WASH 45, tied
    Close callPunted · 64.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.4%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:28UCLA 4th & 9 at UCLA 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.6%−0.2
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.7%
    average punt
  4. Q1 9:28UCLA 4th & 9 at UCLA 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.6%−0.2
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.7%
    average punt
  5. Q1 7:26WASH 4th & 9 at UCLA 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.7%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.8%
    average punt
  6. Q1 5:14UCLA 4th & 9 at UCLA 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.5%−0.3
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.8%
    average punt
  7. Q2 13:38UCLA 4th & 6 at WASH 10, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 32.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.9%−0.2
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    32.1%
    88% to make
    Punt
    28.4%−3.8
    average punt
  8. Q2 10:45WASH 4th & 1 at WASH 45, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 65.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    65.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    64.2%−1.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:20UCLA 4th & 7 at WASH 22, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 35.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.3%−0.5
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    34.8%
    72% to make
    Punt
    28.9%−5.9
    average punt
  10. Q3 3:16WASH 4th & 5 at UCLA 23, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 65.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.8%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    65.0%
    70% to make
    Punt
    54.0%−11.0
    average punt
  11. Q4 10:58UCLA 4th & 7 at WASH 26, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 32.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.5%−0.9
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    32.3%
    64% to make
    Punt
    22.1%−10.2
    average punt
  12. Q4 4:39UCLA 4th & 1 at UCLA 44, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    6.6%−1.0
    average punt
  13. Q4 3:36UCLA 4th & 20 at UCLA 35, down 11
    Close callWent for it · 5.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.6%−0.6
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.2%
    average punt
  14. Q4 1:56WASH 4th & 1 at UCLA 14, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    95.6%−0.6
    84% to make
    Punt
    94.1%−2.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WASH made the numbers' call on 3 of 4UCLA made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 3:51WASH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 3:46WASH Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:51UCLA Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    32.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 5:44WASH Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.9%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.0%
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 1:54WASH Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 0:09UCLA Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    3.9%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    3.9%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UCLADrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:3139% → 39%
Q1 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
61.1%
Ethan Garbers pass incomplete to Kwazi GilmerSimilar
Q1 14:47
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
61.1%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Moliki Matavao for 8 yds to the UCLA 33Similar
Q1 14:10
3RD & 2
OWN 33
-7
61.0%
Ethan Garbers sacked by Sebastian Valdez for a loss of 7 yards to the UCLA 26Similar
Q1 13:25
4TH & 9
OWN 26
+13
61.2%
Brody Richter punt for 50 yds , Denzel Boston returns for 13 yds to the WASH 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:1661% → 61%
Q1 13:14
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
61.1%
Will Rogers pass complete to Decker DeGraaf for 7 yds to the WASH 44Similar
Q1 12:44
2ND & 3
OWN 44
+1
61.3%
Jonah Coleman run for 1 yd to the WASH 45Similar
Q1 12:05
3RD & 2
OWN 45
0
61.3%
Will Rogers pass incomplete to Keith ReynoldsSimilar
Q1 11:58
4TH & 2
OWN 45
0
61.1%
Jack McCallister punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Logan Loya at the UCLA 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 23 yds · 2:2539% → 39%
Q1 11:53
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
61.0%
Ethan Garbers pass incomplete to Kwazi GilmerSimilar
Q1 11:49
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+2
61.1%
T.J. Harden run for 2 yds to the UCLA 15Similar
Q1 10:57
3RD & 8
OWN 15
+20
61.2%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Titus Mokiao-Atimalala for 20 yds to the UCLA 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
60.8%
T.J. Harden run for 1 yd to the UCLA 36Similar
Q1 9:55
2ND & 9
OWN 36
0
60.8%
Ethan Garbers pass incomplete to Titus Mokiao-AtimalalaSimilar
Q1 9:46
3RD & 9
OWN 36
+33
61.0%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Moliki Matavao for 33 yds to the WASH 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:28
4TH & 9
OWN 36
+25
61.2%
Brody Richter punt for 25 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WASH 39 Washington Penalty, Offensive Holding (Yards) to the WASH 39Similar
Q1 9:28
4TH & 9
OWN 36
+35
61.2%
Brody Richter punt for 25 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WASH 39 Washington Penalty, Offensive Holding (Russell Davis II) to the WASH 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 22 yds · 1:5661% → 61%
Q1 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+10
61.1%
Will Rogers pass complete to Jonah Coleman for 10 yds to the WASH 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+11
61.1%
Will Rogers pass complete to Keleki Latu for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:15
1ST & 10
50
0
61.6%
Will Rogers pass incomplete to Jeremiah HunterSimilar
Q1 8:11
2ND & 10
50
+1
61.5%
Jonah Coleman run for 1 yd to the UCLA 49Similar
Q1 7:33
3RD & 9
OPP 49
0
61.1%
Will Rogers pass incomplete to Giles JacksonSimilar
Q1 7:26
4TH & 9
OPP 49
0
60.7%
Jack McCallister punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Logan Loya at the UCLA 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 2:0539% → 39%
Q1 7:19
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
60.7%
Keegan Jones run for 2 yds to the UCLA 20Similar
Q1 6:41
2ND & 8
OWN 20
+1
60.7%
Keegan Jones run for 1 yd to the UCLA 21Similar
Q1 5:47
3RD & 7
OWN 21
-2
61.0%
Ethan Garbers sacked by Russell Davis II for a loss of 2 yards to the UCLA 19Similar
Q1 5:14
4TH & 9
OWN 19
0
61.4%
Brody Richter punt for 17 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UCLA 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 6TD
4 plays · 36 yds · 1:1862% → 66%
Q1 5:09
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+3
61.8%
Jonah Coleman run for 3 yds to the UCLA 33Similar
Q1 4:29
2ND & 7
OPP 33
+18
62.1%
Will Rogers pass complete to Cameron Davis for 18 yds to the UCLA 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:51
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
66.0%
Jonah Coleman run for 15 yds for a TD (Grady Gross KICK)Similar
Q1 3:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
66.0%
PENALTY UCLA Offside (Taupaki,Siale) 2 yards from UCLA03 to UCLA01. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 7FG
13 plays · 65 yds · 5:0535% → 38%
Q1 3:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
64.8%
T.J. Harden run for 11 yds to the UCLA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:08
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
64.6%
T.J. Harden run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 35Similar
Q1 2:16
2ND & 11
OWN 35
+18
64.8%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Jack Pedersen for 18 yds to the WASH 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:49
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-5
63.7%
PENALTY UCLA False Start (Jeffers,Jaylan) 5 yards from WASH47 to UCLA48. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 1:27
1ST & 15
OWN 48
+27
64.6%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Moliki Matavao for 27 yds to the WASH 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:50
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
63.1%
Ethan Garbers pass incomplete to Titus Mokiao-AtimalalaSimilar
Q1 0:45
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+8
63.3%
Kwazi Gilmer run for 8 yds to the WASH 17Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 2
OPP 17
+3
64.0%
T.J. Harden run for 3 yds to the WASH 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+5
63.2%
J.Michael Sturdivant run for 5 yds to the WASH 9Similar
Q2 14:20
2ND & 5
OPP 9
-1
63.3%
T.J. Harden run for a loss of 1 yard to the WASH 10Similar
Q2 13:41
3RD & 6
OPP 10
0
64.2%
Ethan Garbers pass incomplete to Kwazi GilmerSimilar
Q2 13:38
4TH & 6
OPP 10
+28
62.0%
Mateen Bhaghani 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 8DOWNS
7 plays · 19 yds · 2:4363% → 63%
Q2 13:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
62.6%
Will Rogers pass complete to Jeremiah Hunter for 8 yds to the WASH 33Similar
Q2 13:14
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+3
63.4%
Jonah Coleman run for 3 yds to the WASH 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:47
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-9
63.1%
Demond Williams Jr. sacked by Luke Schuermann for a loss of 9 yards to the WASH 27Similar
Q2 12:02
2ND & 19
OWN 27
+11
62.4%
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Giles Jackson for 11 yds to the WASH 38Similar
Q2 11:19
3RD & 8
OWN 38
+8
62.7%
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Jeremiah Hunter for 8 yds to the WASH 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:45
4TH & 1
OWN 45
-1
62.9%
Adam Mohammed run for a loss of 1 yard to the WASH 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 9FUMBLE
7 plays · 13 yds · 3:3039% → 39%
Q2 10:40
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
60.9%
T.J. Harden run for 1 yd to the WASH 43Similar
Q2 10:01
2ND & 9
OPP 43
+1
60.9%
T.J. Harden run for 1 yd to the WASH 42Similar
Q2 9:17
3RD & 8
OPP 42
+10
60.9%
Ethan Garbers run for 10 yds to the WASH 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+14
59.8%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Moliki Matavao for 14 yds to the WASH 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:52
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+1
60.0%
Keegan Jones run for 1 yd to the WASH 17Similar
Q2 7:19
2ND & 9
OPP 17
0
60.0%
Ethan Garbers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:10
3RD & 9
OPP 17
-14
61.2%
Ethan Garbers sacked by Russell Davis II for a loss of 14 yards to the WASH 31 Ethan Garbers fumbled, recovered by UCLA Russell Davis Ii , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 10TD
9 plays · 69 yds · 3:1564% → 76%
Q2 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+15
64.4%
Will Rogers pass complete to Denzel Boston for 15 yds to the WASH 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:38
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
65.9%
Will Rogers pass incomplete to Denzel BostonSimilar
Q2 6:29
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+11
65.2%
Will Rogers pass complete to Giles Jackson for 11 yds to the UCLA 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:44
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+16
66.5%
Will Rogers pass complete to Giles Jackson for 16 yds to the UCLA 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:12
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
67.1%
Will Rogers pass incomplete to Denzel BostonSimilar
Q2 5:04
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+12
67.1%
Jonah Coleman run for 12 yds to the UCLA 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-1
67.3%
Jonah Coleman run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 8Similar
Q2 3:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
67.4%
Will Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:46
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
75.8%
Will Rogers pass complete to Keleki Latu for 8 yds for a TD (Grady Gross KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 11TD
16 plays · 65 yds · 2:4226% → 40%
Q2 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
74.4%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Keegan Jones for 9 yds to the UCLA 44Similar
Q2 2:54
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+3
73.6%
Ethan Garbers run for 3 yds to the UCLA 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
74.3%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to T.J. Harden for 4 yds to the WASH 49Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 6
OPP 49
-5
72.8%
PENALTY UCLA False Start (DiGiorgio,Garrett) 5 yards from WASH49 to UCLA46. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:54
2ND & 11
OWN 46
+15
74.1%
(02:00) Shotgun Garbers,Ethan pass incomplete deep right to Mokiao-Atimalala,Titus thrown to WASH15 PENALTY WASH Pass Interference (Prysock,Ephesians) 15 yards from UCLA46 to WASH39, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:48
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
72.5%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to T.J. Harden for 4 yds to the WASH 35Similar
Q2 1:44
2ND & 6
OPP 35
0
71.1%
Ethan Garbers pass incomplete to Titus Mokiao-AtimalalaSimilar
Q2 1:37
3RD & 6
OPP 35
+21
72.8%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Titus Mokiao-Atimalala for 21 yds to the WASH 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:25
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
71.2%
Ethan Garbers pass incomplete to Titus Mokiao-AtimalalaSimilar
Q2 1:17
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+5
71.1%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Moliki Matavao for 5 yds to the WASH 9Similar
Q2 1:05
3RD & 5
OPP 9
+8
73.6%
Ethan Garbers run for 8 yds to the WASH 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
60.0%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Kwazi Gilmer for 1 yd for a TD (Mateen Bhaghani KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 12END OF HALF
8 plays · 10 yds · 0:3966% → 67%
Q2 0:39
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+2
66.3%
Jonah Coleman run for 2 yds to the WASH 3Similar
Q2 0:36
2ND & 8
OWN 3
+5
66.1%
Will Rogers pass complete to Giles Jackson for 5 yds to the WASH 8Similar
Q2 0:32
3RD & 3
OWN 8
+5
66.3%
Jonah Coleman run for 5 yds to the WASH 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+2
67.1%
Will Rogers pass complete to Giles Jackson for 2 yds to the WASH 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 13INT
3 plays · -3 yds · 0:0065% → 65%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
65.2%
Jonah Coleman run for 1 yd to the WASH 26Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+4
65.0%
Will Rogers pass complete to Giles Jackson for 4 yds to the WASH 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 14FG
4 plays · 3 yds · 2:1340% → 38%
Q3 13:33
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+7
59.9%
T.J. Harden run for 7 yds to the WASH 18Similar
Q3 13:33
2ND & 3
OPP 18
0
59.9%
T.J. Harden run for no gain to the WASH 18Similar
Q3 13:33
3RD & 3
OPP 18
-4
61.1%
Ethan Garbers sacked by Voi Tunuufi for a loss of 4 yards to the WASH 22Similar
Q3 11:20
4TH & 7
OPP 22
+40
61.6%
Mateen Bhaghani 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 15INT
3 plays · 11 yds · 0:2864% → 66%
Q3 11:04
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+12
63.7%
Will Rogers pass complete to Adam Mohammed for 12 yds to the WASH 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-1
65.9%
Adam Mohammed run for a loss of 1 yard to the WASH 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 16FUMBLE
4 plays · 21 yds · 1:3541% → 43%
Q3 9:47
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
59.2%
Ethan Garbers pass incomplete to Kwazi GilmerSimilar
Q3 9:41
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+7
59.2%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Titus Mokiao-Atimalala for 7 yds to the WASH 32Similar
Q3 8:56
3RD & 3
OPP 32
+5
59.0%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Logan Loya for 5 yds to the WASH 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:12
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+9
57.3%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Jack Pedersen for 9 yds Jack Pedersen fumbled, recovered by UCLA Kamren FabiculananSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 17FG
11 plays · 57 yds · 4:4864% → 71%
Q3 8:04
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+16
63.5%
Demond Williams Jr. run for 16 yds to the WASH 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:23
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
64.7%
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Giles Jackson for 6 yds to the WASH 42Similar
Q3 7:03
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+10
66.5%
Jonah Coleman run for 10 yds to the UCLA 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:26
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
67.5%
Demond Williams Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:17
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+10
67.1%
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Keleki Latu for 10 yds to the UCLA 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:50
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
67.7%
Jonah Coleman run for 4 yds to the UCLA 34Similar
Q3 5:19
2ND & 6
OPP 34
+6
68.7%
Jonah Coleman run for 6 yds to the UCLA 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:54
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+1
68.5%
Jonah Coleman run for 1 yd to the UCLA 27Similar
Q3 4:17
2ND & 9
OPP 27
0
68.5%
UCLA Penalty, Personal Foul (Yards) to the UCLA 27Similar
Q3 3:47
3RD & 9
OPP 27
+4
67.0%
Demond Williams Jr. run for 4 yds to the UCLA 23Similar
Q3 3:16
4TH & 5
OPP 23
+41
70.8%
Grady Gross 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 18MISSED FG
16 plays · 49 yds · 7:1132% → 33%
Q3 3:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
67.7%
Ethan Garbers pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:58
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
67.9%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to T.J. Harden for 9 yds to the UCLA 34Similar
Q3 2:28
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
66.4%
T.J. Harden run for 3 yds to the UCLA 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:07
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-1
66.5%
T.J. Harden run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 36Similar
Q3 1:31
2ND & 11
OWN 36
-5
67.4%
PENALTY UCLA False Start (Holstege,Spencer) 5 yards from UCLA36 to UCLA31. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 1:08
2ND & 16
OWN 31
+19
68.3%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to T.J. Harden for 19 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
50
0
63.3%
Keegan Jones run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 14:56
2ND & 10
50
+7
64.8%
T.J. Harden run for 7 yds to the WASH 43Similar
Q4 14:09
3RD & 3
OPP 43
+4
63.9%
Ethan Garbers run for 4 yds to the WASH 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:20
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+10
63.4%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Jack Pedersen for 10 yds to the WASH 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:48
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-5
61.4%
PENALTY UCLA False Start (Mahe,Yutaka) 5 yards from WASH29 to WASH34. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:24
1ST & 15
OPP 34
0
63.7%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Kwazi Gilmer for no gain to the WASH 34Similar
Q4 11:40
2ND & 15
OPP 34
+8
64.9%
Ethan Garbers run for 8 yds to the WASH 26Similar
Q4 11:03
3RD & 7
OPP 26
0
64.0%
Ethan Garbers pass incomplete to Logan LoyaSimilar
Q4 10:58
4TH & 7
OPP 26
+44
66.6%
Mateen Bhaghani 44 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 19TD
8 plays · 74 yds · 5:0472% → 94%
Q4 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+32
71.9%
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Denzel Boston for 32 yds to the UCLA 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:05
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
75.8%
Jonah Coleman run for 3 yds to the UCLA 39Similar
Q4 9:22
2ND & 7
OPP 39
+12
76.0%
Demond Williams Jr. run for 12 yds to the UCLA 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:33
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+6
78.1%
Demond Williams Jr. run for 6 yds to the UCLA 21Similar
Q4 7:54
2ND & 4
OPP 21
+14
80.0%
Jonah Coleman run for 14 yds to the UCLA 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
82.3%
Jonah Coleman run for 3 yds to the UCLA 4Similar
Q4 6:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
83.1%
Jonah Coleman run for 3 yds to the UCLA 1Similar
Q4 5:44
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
93.8%
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Decker DeGraaf for 1 yd for a TD (Grady Gross KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 20DOWNS
11 plays · -12 yds · 1:548% → 5%
Q4 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
91.6%
Ethan Garbers pass incomplete to Kwazi GilmerSimilar
Q4 5:21
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+6
92.1%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to J.Michael Sturdivant for 6 yds to the UCLA 41Similar
Q4 5:02
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+3
91.5%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Keegan Jones for 3 yds to the UCLA 44Similar
Q4 4:39
4TH & 1
OWN 44
+1
92.0%
Ethan Garbers run for 1 yd to the UCLA 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:14
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
91.9%
Ethan Garbers pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:14
2ND & 10
OWN 45
-5
92.0%
(04:14) PENALTY UCLA False Start (DiGiorgio,Garrett) 5 yards from UCLA45 to UCLA40. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:03
2ND & 15
OWN 40
+5
93.2%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Moliki Matavao for 5 yds to the UCLA 45Similar
Q4 3:51
3RD & 10
OWN 45
-10
92.6%
Ethan Garbers sacked by Alphonzo Tuputala for a loss of 10 yards to the UCLA 35Similar
Q4 3:36
4TH & 20
OWN 35
-12
95.1%
Ethan Garbers sacked by Russell Davis II for a loss of 12 yards to the UCLA 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 21TD
8 plays · 23 yds · 1:3896% → 100%
Q4 3:32
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
96.1%
Jonah Coleman run for 3 yds to the UCLA 20Similar
Q4 2:53
2ND & 7
OPP 20
+4
96.6%
Jonah Coleman run for 4 yds to the UCLA 16Similar
Q4 2:02
3RD & 3
OPP 16
+3
96.5%
Demond Williams Jr. run for 3 yds to the UCLA 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:56
4TH & 1
OPP 14
0
97.3%
Demond Williams Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:56
4TH & 1
OPP 14
+12
97.3%
(02:00) Shotgun Williams Jr.,Demond pass incomplete short right to Boston,Denzel thrown to UCLA00, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY UCLA Pass Interference (Kirkwood,Devin) 12 yards from UCLA14 to UCLA02, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.5%
Jonah Coleman run for 2 yds for a TD (Grady Gross KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 22TD
13 plays · 80 yds · 1:332% → 4%
Q4 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
98.1%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Moliki Matavao for 7 yds to the UCLA 27Similar
Q4 1:23
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+7
98.0%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Kwazi Gilmer for 7 yds to the UCLA 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
98.0%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Keegan Jones for 4 yds to the UCLA 38Similar
Q4 1:06
2ND & 6
OWN 38
+15
98.0%
Ethan Garbers run for 15 yds to the WASH 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:01
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
98.0%
Ethan Garbers run for 2 yds to the WASH 45Similar
Q4 0:55
2ND & 8
OPP 45
0
97.9%
Ethan Garbers pass incomplete to Kwazi GilmerSimilar
Q4 0:46
3RD & 8
OPP 45
+25
98.0%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to T.J. Harden for 25 yds to the WASH 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:35
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
97.5%
Ethan Garbers pass incomplete to Jack PedersenSimilar
Q4 0:25
2ND & 10
OPP 20
0
97.6%
Ethan Garbers pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:17
3RD & 10
OPP 20
+18
97.8%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to T.J. Harden for 18 yds to the WASH 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
97.5%
Ethan Garbers pass incomplete to Kwazi GilmerSimilar
Q4 0:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
95.8%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Moliki Matavao for 2 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 23END OF GAME
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-1
98.3%
T. Purcell takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:51
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Kwazi Gilmer for 1 yd for a TD (Mateen Bhaghani KICK)
-13.6
TD · Q4 5:44
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Decker DeGraaf for 1 yd for a TD (Grady Gross KICK)
+10.8
TD · Q2 3:46
Will Rogers pass complete to Keleki Latu for 8 yds for a TD (Grady Gross KICK)
+8.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com