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PSU

Penn State 49 at Purdue 10

PUR
2024 · Week 12 · Nov 16, 2024 · Ross-Ade Stadium
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Win probability · PUR
modelPUR aheadPSU aheadconfidence bandkey playPUR scorePSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 12:00 · Riley Thompson punt for 49 yds, downed at the PUR 30
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+59.0+29.50−29.5−59.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 124Pregame prior−17.4Home team on offense−53.5Score differential−33.8Garbage-time factor−14.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−5.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−7.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 2:31: Drew Allar pass complete to Tyler Warren for 15 yds for a TD (Ryan Barker KICK) — PSU win probability +0.5 pts (now 96%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 8:47: Ben Freehill 22 yd FG GOOD — PUR win probability +1.9 pts (now 6%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 6:04: Nicholas Singleton run for 10 yds for a TD (Ryan Barker KICK) — PSU win probability +2.1 pts (now 96%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 11:26: Tyler Warren run for 48 yds for a TD (Ryan Barker KICK) — PSU win probability +2.8 pts (now 99%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 4:42: Drew Allar pass complete to Harrison Wallace III for 46 yds for a TD (Ryan Barker KICK) — PSU win probability +0.3 pts (now 100%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
PUR made the numbers' call on 7 of 9PSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 5
  1. Q1 8:05PUR 4th & 15 at PUR 35, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.2%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 0:55PUR 4th & 4 at PUR 30, down 14
    Close callPunted · 5.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:54PSU 4th & 6 at PSU 33, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.1%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.3%
    average punt
  4. Q2 8:47PUR 4th & 5 at PSU 5, down 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 6.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.8%
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    6.8%−<0.1
    92% to make
    Punt
    5.4%−1.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:05PSU 4th & 1 at PSU 44, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 92.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    92.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    91.7%−0.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:50PUR 4th & 11 at PUR 37, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.4%−0.4
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:34PSU 4th & 3 at PSU 45, up 18
    Close callPunted · 95.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.1%−0.2
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:50PUR 4th & 7 at PUR 28, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.3%−0.3
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.6%
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:24PUR 4th & 17 at PUR 37, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−0.4
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%
    average punt
  10. Q3 2:58PUR 4th & 14 at PUR 21, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:05PUR 4th & 2 at PUR 33, down 39
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  12. Q4 12:00PSU 4th & 4 at PSU 21, up 39
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%−0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%
    average punt
  13. Q4 7:01PSU 4th & 5 at PUR 48, up 32
    Close callPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 4:51PUR 4th & 10 at PUR 15, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
PUR made the numbers' call on 1 of 1PSU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 10:08PSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:31PSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 6:04PSU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 11:26PSU Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 4:42PSU Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 0:32PSU Touchdown, up 38 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 9:50PUR Touchdown, down 33 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 1:51PSU Touchdown, up 38 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
PSUDrive 1TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:5297% → 96%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
2.9%
Drew Allar pass complete to Tyler Warren for 15 yds to the PSU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
3.0%
Kaytron Allen run for 8 yds to the PSU 48Similar
Q1 14:30
2ND & 2
OWN 48
-6
3.0%
Penn State Penalty, False Start (Kaytron Allen) to the PSU 42Similar
Q1 14:30
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+1
3.0%
Drew Allar run for 1 yd to the PSU 43Similar
Q1 14:30
3RD & 7
OWN 43
+17
3.0%
Drew Allar pass complete to Tyler Warren for 17 yds to the PUR 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:30
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+7
3.0%
Beau Pribula run for 7 yds to the PUR 33Similar
Q1 14:30
2ND & 3
OPP 33
+27
3.0%
Drew Allar pass complete to Tyler Warren for 27 yds to the PUR 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
3.5%
Kaytron Allen run for 2 yds to the PUR 4Similar
Q1 11:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
3.5%
Drew Allar pass complete to Omari Evans for 2 yds to the PUR 2Similar
Q1 10:08
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
3.6%
Drew Allar pass complete to Kaytron Allen for 2 yds for a TD (Ryan Barker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 10 yds · 2:034% → 4%
Q1 10:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
3.7%
Devin Mockobee run for 8 yds to the PUR 33Similar
Q1 10:08
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+7
3.7%
Hudson Card pass complete to Max Klare for 7 yds to the PUR 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:08
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
3.7%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:58
2ND & 10
OWN 40
-5
3.9%
Hudson Card sacked by Dani Dennis-Sutton for a loss of 5 yards to the PUR 35Similar
Q1 8:58
3RD & 15
OWN 35
0
3.8%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:05
4TH & 15
OWN 35
0
3.9%
Keelan Crimmins punt for 58 yds, downed at the PSU 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 3TD
10 plays · 93 yds · 5:3496% → 96%
Q1 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 7
-2
4.0%
Drew Allar pass complete to Tyler Warren for a loss of 2 yards to the PSU 5Similar
Q1 8:05
2ND & 12
OWN 5
+10
4.0%
Nicholas Singleton run for 10 yds to the PSU 15Similar
Q1 8:05
3RD & 2
OWN 15
+9
4.0%
Drew Allar pass complete to Tyler Warren for 9 yds to the PSU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+13
3.9%
Drew Allar pass complete to Nicholas Singleton for 13 yds to the PSU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
3.9%
Drew Allar run for 5 yds to the PSU 42Similar
Q1 8:05
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+4
3.9%
Nicholas Singleton run for 4 yds to the PSU 46Similar
Q1 8:05
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+7
3.9%
Nicholas Singleton run for 7 yds to the PUR 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+14
4.5%
Drew Allar run for 14 yds to the PUR 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+18
4.5%
Drew Allar pass complete to Kaytron Allen for 18 yds to the PUR 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:31
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
4.0%
Drew Allar pass complete to Tyler Warren for 15 yds for a TD (Ryan Barker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:314% → 4%
Q1 2:26
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
4.2%
Reggie Love III run for 5 yds to the PUR 29Similar
Q1 2:26
2ND & 5
OWN 29
+1
4.2%
Reggie Love III run for 1 yd to the PUR 30Similar
Q1 2:26
3RD & 4
OWN 30
0
4.2%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:55
4TH & 4
OWN 30
0
4.4%
Keelan Crimmins punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Zion Tracy at the PSU 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:0196% → 96%
Q1 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
4.3%
Drew Allar pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:55
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+8
4.3%
Drew Allar pass complete to Harrison Wallace III for 8 yds to the PSU 37Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 2
OWN 37
-4
4.4%
Kaytron Allen run for a loss of 4 yards to the PSU 33Similar
Q2 14:54
4TH & 6
OWN 33
0
4.5%
Riley Thompson punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Andrew Sowinski at the PUR 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 6FG
14 plays · 71 yds · 6:075% → 6%
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+17
4.6%
Devin Mockobee run for 17 yds to the PUR 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
4.8%
Devin Mockobee run for 5 yds to the PUR 46Similar
Q2 13:40
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+4
4.9%
Devin Mockobee run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 13:04
3RD & 1
50
+2
5.0%
Devin Mockobee run for 2 yds to the PSU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:04
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
5.0%
Reggie Love III run for 4 yds to the PSU 44Similar
Q2 11:00
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+5
5.2%
Reggie Love III run for 5 yds to the PSU 39Similar
Q2 10:41
3RD & 1
OPP 39
+3
4.2%
Hudson Card run for 3 yds to the PSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:41
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+29
4.3%
Hudson Card pass complete to Max Klare for 29 yds to the PSU 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
4.3%
Devin Mockobee run for 2 yds to the PSU 5Similar
Q2 10:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
4.3%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:56
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
4.4%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:47
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
6.2%
Ben Freehill 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 7TD
7 plays · 65 yds · 2:4394% → 96%
Q2 8:47
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
6.1%
Nicholas Singleton run for 1 yd to the PSU 36Similar
Q2 8:47
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+6
6.0%
Nicholas Singleton run for 6 yds to the PSU 42Similar
Q2 8:47
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+2
6.0%
Drew Allar run for 2 yds to the PSU 44Similar
Q2 7:05
4TH & 1
OWN 44
+8
6.3%
Tyler Warren run for 8 yds to the PUR 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:46
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+38
6.1%
Drew Allar pass complete to Tyler Warren for 38 yds to the PUR 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
4.1%
Nicholas Singleton run for 10 yds for a TD (Ryan Barker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 12 yds · 2:144% → 5%
Q2 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
4.2%
Reggie Love III run for a loss of 2 yards to the PUR 23Similar
Q2 5:30
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+15
4.2%
Hudson Card pass complete to Max Klare for 15 yds to the PUR 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-1
4.5%
Reggie Love III run for a loss of 1 yard to the PUR 37Similar
Q2 5:30
2ND & 11
OWN 37
0
4.3%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:01
3RD & 11
OWN 37
0
4.6%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:50
4TH & 11
OWN 37
0
4.6%
Keelan Crimmins punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Zion Tracy at the PSU 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 2:1695% → 96%
Q2 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+11
4.6%
Kaytron Allen run for 11 yds to the PSU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-2
4.4%
Kaytron Allen run for a loss of 2 yards to the PSU 36Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 12
OWN 36
+5
3.7%
Kaytron Allen run for 5 yds to the PSU 41Similar
Q2 1:34
3RD & 7
OWN 41
+4
3.6%
Drew Allar pass complete to Kaytron Allen for 4 yds to the PSU 45Similar
Q2 1:34
4TH & 3
OWN 45
+2
3.8%
Riley Thompson punt for 45 yds , Andrew Sowinski returns for 2 yds to the PUR 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 10MISSED FG
13 plays · 57 yds · 1:225% → 5%
Q2 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
4.7%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:11
2ND & 10
OWN 12
-1
4.7%
Devin Mockobee run for a loss of 1 yard to the PUR 11Similar
Q2 1:11
3RD & 11
OWN 11
+18
4.6%
Hudson Card pass complete to Jahmal Edrine for 18 yds to the PUR 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
4.7%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:41
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+11
4.6%
Hudson Card pass complete to Max Klare for 11 yds to the PUR 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+9
4.9%
Hudson Card pass complete to Max Klare for 9 yds to the PUR 49Similar
Q2 0:20
2ND & 1
OWN 49
-10
4.3%
(00:20) CARD, Hudson scrambles up the middle for a gain of 13 yards to the PSU38, End of Play. PENALTY PUR Holding on MOUSSA, Mahamane enforced 10 yards from the PUR49 to the PUR39 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 0:14
2ND & 11
OWN 39
+30
4.7%
Hudson Card pass complete to Jahmal Edrine for 30 yds to the PSU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:03
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
5.2%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:03
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+49
5.2%
Ben Freehill 49 Yard Field Goal MissedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 2:105% → 5%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
4.6%
Devin Mockobee run for a loss of 1 yard to the PUR 24Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+2
4.6%
Devin Mockobee run for 2 yds to the PUR 26Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+2
4.5%
Hudson Card pass complete to Shamar Rigby for 2 yds to the PUR 28Similar
Q3 12:50
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+13
4.5%
Keelan Crimmins punt for 42 yds , Zion Tracy returns for 13 yds to the PSU 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 12TD
3 plays · 57 yds · 1:2496% → 99%
Q3 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
3.9%
Nicholas Singleton run for 2 yds to the PSU 45Similar
Q3 12:20
2ND & 8
OWN 45
+7
3.8%
Drew Allar pass complete to Nicholas Singleton for 7 yds to the PUR 48Similar
Q3 11:26
3RD & 1
OPP 48
+48
1.0%
Tyler Warren run for 48 yds for a TD (Ryan Barker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 13PUNT
9 plays · 12 yds · 4:021% → 1%
Q3 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
0.9%
Hudson Card pass complete to Max Klare for no gain to the PUR 25Similar
Q3 11:26
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+19
0.9%
Hudson Card pass complete to Kam Brown for 19 yds to the PUR 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-10
1.0%
MERRIWEATHER, Jaheim rush to the left for a gain of 8 yards to the PSU48 (WHEATLEY, Zakee). PENALTY PUR Holding on KLARE, Max enforced 10 yards from the PUR44 to the PUR34 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 11:26
1ST & 20
OWN 34
-10
0.9%
MERRIWEATHER, Jaheim rush to the left for a loss of 1 yard to the PUR33 (CARTER, Abdul). PENALTY PUR Holding on STEWART, Corey enforced 10 yards from the PUR34 to the PUR24 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 9:47
1ST & 30
OWN 24
-4
0.7%
(09:47) CARD, Hudson pass deep to the right complete for 47 yards to EDRINE, Jahmal caught at the PSU48 and advanced to the PSU29 (WHEATLEY, Zakee). PENALTY PUR Illegal Forward Pass on CARD, Hudson enforced 4 yards from the PUR24 to the PUR20, penalty results in a loss of down [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 8:40
2ND & 34
OWN 20
+6
0.6%
Hudson Card run for 6 yds to the PUR 26Similar
Q3 8:23
3RD & 28
OWN 26
+11
0.7%
Hudson Card pass complete to CJ Smith for 11 yds to the PUR 37Similar
Q3 7:24
4TH & 17
OWN 37
0
0.7%
Keelan Crimmins punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Zion Tracy at the PSU 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 14TD
6 plays · 77 yds · 2:4299% → 100%
Q3 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
0.8%
Drew Allar pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:24
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+8
0.8%
Drew Allar pass complete to Tyler Warren for 8 yds to the PSU 31Similar
Q3 7:24
3RD & 2
OWN 31
+7
0.8%
Tyler Warren run for 7 yds to the PSU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-4
0.7%
Tyseer Denmark run for a loss of 4 yards to the PSU 34Similar
Q3 6:05
2ND & 14
OWN 34
+20
0.7%
Drew Allar pass complete to Kaytron Allen for 20 yds to the PUR 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:42
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+46
0.4%
Drew Allar pass complete to Harrison Wallace III for 46 yds for a TD (Ryan Barker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 1:440% → 0%
Q3 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
0.4%
Devin Mockobee run for a loss of 1 yard to the PUR 24Similar
Q3 4:10
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
0.4%
Ryan Browne pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:54
3RD & 11
OWN 24
-3
0.4%
Ryan Browne sacked by Coziah Izzard for a loss of 3 yards to the PUR 21Similar
Q3 2:58
4TH & 14
OWN 21
+8
0.4%
Keelan Crimmins punt for 46 yds , Zion Tracy returns for 8 yds to the PSU 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 16TD
5 plays · 59 yds · 2:26100% → 100%
Q3 2:58
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
0.4%
Beau Pribula run for no gain to the PSU 41Similar
Q3 2:58
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+2
0.4%
Beau Pribula run for 2 yds to the PSU 43Similar
Q3 1:50
3RD & 8
OWN 43
+8
0.3%
Beau Pribula pass complete to Khalil Dinkins for 8 yds to the PUR 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:50
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
0.3%
Beau Pribula pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:32
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+49
0.3%
Beau Pribula run for 49 yds for a TD (Ryan Barker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 1:270% → 0%
Q3 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
0.2%
(00:32) LOVE III, Reggie rush to the right for a gain of 2 yards to the PUR27 (COLLINS, Audavion), clock 00:00. PENALTY Before the snap, PSU Illegal Substitution enforced 5 yards from the PUR25 to the PUR30. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 5
OWN 30
+3
0.2%
Devin Mockobee run for 3 yds to the PUR 33Similar
Q4 14:30
2ND & 2
OWN 33
0
0.1%
Ryan Browne pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:20
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
0.1%
Ryan Browne pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:05
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
0.1%
Keelan Crimmins punt for 52 yds , Zion Tracy returns for no gain to the PSU 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 2:05100% → 100%
Q4 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+4
0.3%
Corey Smith run for 4 yds to the PSU 19Similar
Q4 13:35
2ND & 6
OWN 19
+4
0.3%
Corey Smith run for 4 yds to the PSU 23Similar
Q4 12:55
3RD & 2
OWN 23
-2
0.3%
Beau Pribula run for a loss of 2 yards to the PSU 21Similar
Q4 12:00
4TH & 4
OWN 21
0
0.3%
Riley Thompson punt for 49 yds, downed at the PUR 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 19TD
5 plays · 70 yds · 1:580% → 0%
Q4 11:48
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+18
0.1%
Jaheim Merriweather run for 18 yds to the PUR 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:48
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+15
0.1%
Penn State Penalty, Personal Foul (Dejuan Lane) to the PSU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:48
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
0.1%
Ryan Browne pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:48
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+5
0.1%
Ryan Browne run for 5 yds to the PSU 20Similar
Q4 9:50
3RD & 5
OPP 20
+20
0.1%
Ryan Browne pass complete to Max Klare for 20 yds for a TD (Ben Freehill KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 27 yds · 2:49100% → 100%
Q4 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
0.2%
Corey Smith run for 9 yds to the PSU 34Similar
Q4 9:50
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+13
0.2%
Corey Smith run for 13 yds to the PSU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+8
0.2%
Beau Pribula pass complete to Luke Reynolds for 8 yds to the PUR 45Similar
Q4 7:04
2ND & 2
OPP 45
-3
0.1%
Beau Pribula pass complete to Khalil Dinkins for a loss of 3 yards to the PUR 48Similar
Q4 7:04
3RD & 5
OPP 48
0
0.1%
Beau Pribula pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:01
4TH & 5
OPP 48
0
0.1%
Riley Thompson punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Andrew Sowinski at the PUR 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 2:030% → 0%
Q4 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-2
0.1%
Jaheim Merriweather run for a loss of 2 yards to the PUR 13Similar
Q4 6:54
2ND & 12
OWN 13
+8
0.0%
Ryan Browne pass complete to Andrew Sowinski for 8 yds to the PUR 21Similar
Q4 6:54
3RD & 4
OWN 21
-6
0.1%
Ryan Browne sacked by Amin Vanover for a loss of 6 yards to the PUR 15Similar
Q4 4:51
4TH & 10
OWN 15
+16
0.0%
Keelan Crimmins punt for 53 yds , Tyseer Denmark returns for 16 yds to the PSU 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 22TD
8 plays · 52 yds · 3:00100% → 100%
Q4 4:51
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
0.1%
Corey Smith run for 3 yds to the PUR 49Similar
Q4 4:51
2ND & 7
OPP 49
+5
0.1%
Corey Smith run for 5 yds to the PUR 44Similar
Q4 4:51
3RD & 2
OPP 44
+3
0.1%
Corey Smith run for 3 yds to the PUR 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:05
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
0.1%
Beau Pribula pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:05
2ND & 10
OPP 41
-4
0.1%
Corey Smith run for a loss of 4 yards to the PUR 45Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 14
OPP 45
+21
0.1%
Beau Pribula pass complete to Luke Reynolds for 21 yds to the PUR 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:51
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+24
0.1%
Beau Pribula pass complete to Luke Reynolds for 24 yds for a TD (Ryan Barker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 23END OF GAME
6 plays · 43 yds · 1:370% → 0%
Q4 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
0.0%
Elijah Jackson run for 1 yd to the PUR 26Similar
Q4 1:51
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
0.0%
Christian Gelov pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:51
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+12
0.0%
Christian Gelov run for 12 yds to the PUR 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+26
0.0%
Christian Gelov pass complete to Shamar Rigby for 26 yds to the PSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:51
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
0.0%
Christian Gelov pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:14
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+4
0.0%
Antonio Harris run for 4 yds to the PSU 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 11:26
Tyler Warren run for 48 yds for a TD (Ryan Barker KICK)
-2.8
TD · Q2 6:04
Nicholas Singleton run for 10 yds for a TD (Ryan Barker KICK)
-2.1
FG · Q2 8:47
Ben Freehill 22 yd FG GOOD
+1.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com