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Ohio State 31 at Northwestern 7

NU
2024 · Week 12 · Nov 16, 2024 · Wrigley Field
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Win probability · NU
modelNU aheadOSU aheadconfidence bandkey playNU scoreOSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 9:23 · Will Howard pass complete to Jeremiah Smith for 14 yds to the NU 31 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+53.5+26.80−26.8−53.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 43Pregame prior−42.6Home team on offense+2.6Score differential+0.8Garbage-time factor−0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 12:34: Jack Lausch run for 8 yds for a TD (Luke Akers KICK) — NU win probability +2.8 pts (now 13%) (top driver: NU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 6:59: Quinshon Judkins run for 1 yd for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK) — OSU win probability +4.1 pts (now 90%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q2 6:56: Jack Lausch pass incomplete — NU win probability +2.7 pts (now 13%) (top driver: NU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 4:19: Quinshon Judkins run for 1 yd for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK) — OSU win probability +3.3 pts (now 92%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 12:11: Will Howard pass complete to Carnell Tate for 8 yds for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK) — OSU win probability +3.4 pts (now 98%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NU made the numbers' call on 4 of 7OSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 5:03OSU 4th & 1 at NU 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 92.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    92.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    92.0%−0.2
    30% to make
    Punt
    92.0%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:04OSU 4th & 9 at NU 37, tied
    Close callPunted · 91.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.2%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    91.2%−<0.1
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    91.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q2 9:23OSU 4th & 3 at NU 45, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 83.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    83.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    81.9%−1.2
    25% to make
    Punt
    82.6%−0.5
    average punt
  4. Q2 2:49NU 4th & 2 at NU 33, down 7
    Close callPunted · 11.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.5%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q3 8:02NU 4th & 2 at OSU 31, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    4.1%−0.6
    54% to make
    Punt
    3.6%−1.1
    average punt
  6. Q3 4:58NU 4th & 10 at OSU 21, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 3.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.5%−0.5
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    3.1%
    74% to make
    Punt
    0.4%−2.7
    average punt
  7. Q3 0:44OSU 4th & 6 at NU 10, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.0%−<0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.1%
    88% to make
    Punt
    96.9%−1.2
    average punt
  8. Q4 14:14NU 4th & 10 at NU 25, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.7%−0.2
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.9%
    average punt
  9. Q4 11:26OSU 4th & 2 at OSU 42, up 24
    Close callPunted · 98.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.6%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q4 9:16NU 4th & 18 at NU 21, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%−0.3
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.3%
    average punt
  11. Q4 6:34OSU 4th & 2 at NU 36, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    98.9%−0.2
    42% to make
    Punt
    98.8%−0.3
    average punt
  12. Q4 3:49NU 4th & 8 at NU 48, down 24
    Close callWent for it · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.8%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.8%
    average punt
  13. Q4 1:56NU 4th & 16 at OSU 16, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.7%
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    0.6%−0.1
    81% to make
    Punt
    0.5%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1OSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q2 12:34NU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    14.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    14.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 6:59OSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 4:19OSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:47OSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 12:11OSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NUDrive 1FUMBLE
11 plays · 59 yds · 6:503% → 5%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
3.4%
Jack Lausch run for 3 yds to the NU 28Similar
Q1 14:30
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-5
3.5%
Jack Lausch sacked by Sonny Styles for a loss of 5 yards to the NU 23Similar
Q1 13:43
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+12
3.6%
Cam Porter run for 12 yds to the NU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:04
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
3.8%
Jack Lausch pass complete to A.J. Henning for 2 yds to the NU 37Similar
Q1 12:18
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+7
4.0%
Cam Porter run for 7 yds to the NU 44Similar
Q1 11:31
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+20
4.2%
Jack Lausch pass complete to Bryce Kirtz for 20 yds to the OSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:46
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
4.5%
Cam Porter run for no gain to the OSU 36Similar
Q1 10:06
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+15
4.7%
Jack Lausch pass complete to Marshall Lang for 15 yds to the OSU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:16
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+3
4.9%
Joseph Himon II run for 3 yds to the OSU 18Similar
Q1 8:30
2ND & 7
OPP 18
0
5.2%
Jack Lausch pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:10
3RD & 7
OPP 18
+2
5.2%
Jack Lausch run for 2 yds to the OSU 33 Jack Lausch fumbled, recovered by OSU Davison Igbinosun D. Igbinosun return for 17 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 2PUNT
11 plays · 30 yds · 4:5995% → 93%
Q1 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+8
5.1%
Will Howard pass complete to Quinshon Judkins for 8 yds to the OSU 41Similar
Q1 7:33
2ND & 2
OWN 41
0
5.1%
Quinshon Judkins run for no gain to the OSU 41Similar
Q1 6:59
3RD & 2
OWN 41
+8
5.3%
Quinshon Judkins run for 8 yds to the OSU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:23
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
5.4%
Will Howard pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:19
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+4
5.5%
Quinshon Judkins run for 4 yds to the NU 47Similar
Q1 5:43
3RD & 6
OPP 47
+5
5.6%
Will Howard pass complete to Carnell Tate for 5 yds to the NU 42Similar
Q1 5:03
4TH & 1
OPP 42
+4
6.0%
Quinshon Judkins run for 4 yds to the NU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:25
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-5
6.0%
Emeka Egbuka sacked by Robert Fitzgerald for a loss of 5 yards to the NU 43Similar
Q1 3:51
2ND & 15
OPP 43
+6
6.3%
Will Howard pass complete to Jeremiah Smith for 6 yds to the NU 37Similar
Q1 3:21
3RD & 9
OPP 37
0
6.4%
Will Howard pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:04
4TH & 9
OPP 37
0
6.8%
Joe McGuire punt for 29 yds, fair catch by A.J. Henning at the NU 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 3TD
13 plays · 92 yds · 5:267% → 13%
Q1 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+5
6.8%
Jack Lausch pass complete to Bryce Kirtz for 5 yds to the NU 13Similar
Q1 2:16
2ND & 5
OWN 13
+21
7.2%
Jack Lausch pass complete to Bryce Kirtz for 21 yds to the NU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
7.5%
Joseph Himon II run for 2 yds to the NU 36Similar
Q1 0:57
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+22
7.9%
Jack Lausch pass complete to A.J. Henning for 22 yds to the OSU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:42
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
8.4%
Jack Lausch run for no gain to the OSU 42Similar
Q1 0:06
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+9
8.7%
Jack Lausch run for 9 yds to the OSU 33Similar
Q2 14:54
3RD & 1
OPP 33
+2
8.7%
Cam Porter run for 2 yds to the OSU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:15
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
9.3%
Jack Lausch pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:08
2ND & 10
OPP 31
0
9.3%
Jack Lausch pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:00
3RD & 10
OPP 31
+12
9.1%
Jack Lausch pass complete to Bryce Kirtz for 12 yds to the OSU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:23
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
9.8%
Calvin Johnson II pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:18
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+11
9.8%
Cam Porter run for 11 yds to the OSU 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
12.6%
Jack Lausch run for 8 yds for a TD (Luke Akers KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 4TD
13 plays · 85 yds · 5:2888% → 90%
Q2 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-1
11.8%
TreVeyon Henderson run for a loss of 1 yard to the OSU 14Similar
Q2 11:48
2ND & 11
OWN 14
+3
12.4%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 3 yds to the OSU 17Similar
Q2 11:14
3RD & 8
OWN 17
+20
13.2%
Will Howard pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 20 yds to the OSU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+11
12.9%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 11 yds to the OSU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
12.9%
Will Howard pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:04
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+7
13.2%
Quinshon Judkins run for 7 yds to the NU 45Similar
Q2 9:29
3RD & 3
OPP 45
0
13.5%
Will Howard pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:23
4TH & 3
OPP 45
+14
14.0%
Will Howard pass complete to Jeremiah Smith for 14 yds to the NU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:42
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+4
13.2%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 4 yds to the NU 27Similar
Q2 8:04
2ND & 6
OPP 27
+12
13.8%
Will Howard pass complete to Jeremiah Smith for 12 yds to the NU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:38
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+14
14.1%
Will Howard pass complete to Carnell Tate for 14 yds to the NU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
10.0%
Quinshon Judkins run for 1 yd for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 5PUNT
3 plays · 2 yds · 1:0113% → 13%
Q2 6:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
12.7%
Jack Lausch pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:42
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
12.8%
Jack Lausch run for 6 yds to the NU 31Similar
Q2 5:55
3RD & 4
OWN 31
-4
13.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the NU 27 fumbled, recovered by NU Caleb Tiernan C. Tiernan return for 0 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 6TD
3 plays · 1 yds · 0:5389% → 92%
Q2 5:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
10.8%
Will Howard run for no gain to the NU 1Similar
Q2 4:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
7.8%
Quinshon Judkins run for 1 yd for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:269% → 10%
Q2 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
9.2%
Jack Lausch pass complete to A.J. Henning for 3 yds to the NU 28Similar
Q2 3:39
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+5
9.5%
Jack Lausch pass complete to A.J. Henning for 5 yds to the NU 33Similar
Q2 2:50
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
9.9%
Jack Lausch pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:49
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
9.5%
Hunter Renner punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Caleb Downs at the OSU 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 8TD
6 plays · 77 yds · 1:4391% → 94%
Q2 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
8.9%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 4 yds to the OSU 27Similar
Q2 2:09
2ND & 6
OWN 27
+34
8.7%
Will Howard pass complete to Gee Scott Jr. for 34 yds to the NU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
7.9%
Will Howard pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:50
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+12
8.0%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 12 yds to the NU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:28
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
7.8%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 2 yds to the NU 25Similar
Q2 0:47
2ND & 8
OPP 25
+25
5.6%
Will Howard pass complete to Carnell Tate for 25 yds for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 9END OF HALF
6 plays · 1 yds · 0:147% → 6%
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
6.6%
Jack Lausch run for 2 yds to the NU 27Similar
Q2 0:40
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-5
6.6%
Northwestern Penalty, False Start (Thomas Gordon) to the NU 22Similar
Q2 0:37
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+3
5.4%
Cam Porter run for 3 yds to the NU 25Similar
Q2 0:31
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+1
5.6%
Cam Porter run for 1 yd to the NU 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 10TD
5 plays · 90 yds · 2:3993% → 98%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+3
6.6%
Quinshon Judkins run for 3 yds to the OSU 13Similar
Q3 14:21
2ND & 7
OWN 13
+2
6.7%
Quinshon Judkins run for 2 yds to the OSU 15Similar
Q3 13:48
3RD & 5
OWN 15
+68
6.9%
Will Howard pass complete to Jeremiah Smith for 68 yds to the NU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:56
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+9
5.9%
Will Howard pass complete to Brandon Inniss for 9 yds to the NU 8Similar
Q3 12:11
2ND & 1
OPP 8
+8
2.5%
Will Howard pass complete to Carnell Tate for 8 yds for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 11DOWNS
15 plays · 54 yds · 7:124% → 3%
Q3 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
4.1%
Cam Porter run for no gain to the NU 25Similar
Q3 11:26
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
4.1%
Jack Lausch pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:23
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+10
4.1%
Jack Lausch pass complete to A.J. Henning for 10 yds to the NU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
4.2%
Jack Lausch pass complete to Cam Porter for 8 yds to the NU 43Similar
Q3 10:02
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+15
4.3%
Ohio State Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Ty Hamilton) to the OSU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:26
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
4.5%
A.J. Henning run for 5 yds to the OSU 34Similar
Q3 8:45
2ND & 5
OPP 34
0
4.4%
Jack Lausch pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:32
3RD & 5
OPP 34
+3
3.8%
Jack Lausch run for 3 yds to the OSU 31Similar
Q3 8:02
4TH & 2
OPP 31
+3
3.8%
Jack Lausch run for 3 yds to the OSU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:18
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+7
4.0%
(07:18) LAUSCH, Jack pass up the middle incomplete intended for GORDON, Thomas broken up by IGBINOSUN, Davison at the OSU21, clock 07:16. PENALTY OSU Pass Interference on IGBINOSUN, Davison enforced at the spot of the foul for 7 yards to the OSU21 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 6:04
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+3
3.0%
Jack Lausch pass complete to Cam Porter for 3 yds to the OSU 18Similar
Q3 5:24
2ND & 7
OPP 18
-1
3.0%
Jack Lausch pass complete to Marshall Lang for a loss of 1 yard to the OSU 19Similar
Q3 5:09
3RD & 8
OPP 19
-2
2.8%
Cam Porter run for a loss of 2 yards to the OSU 21Similar
Q3 4:58
4TH & 10
OPP 21
0
2.6%
Jack Lausch pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 12FG
9 plays · 69 yds · 4:0398% → 99%
Q3 4:47
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
1.7%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 3 yds to the OSU 24Similar
Q3 4:17
2ND & 7
OWN 24
+19
1.7%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 19 yds to the OSU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:44
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+12
1.5%
Will Howard pass complete to TreVeyon Henderson for 12 yds to the NU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:04
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+17
1.5%
Quinshon Judkins run for 17 yds to the NU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:32
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+14
1.4%
Quinshon Judkins run for 14 yds to the NU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:12
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+2
1.4%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 2 yds to the NU 12Similar
Q3 1:37
2ND & 8
OPP 12
+2
1.3%
Jeremiah Smith run for 2 yds to the NU 10Similar
Q3 0:53
3RD & 6
OPP 10
0
1.3%
Will Howard pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:44
4TH & 6
OPP 10
+28
1.4%
Jayden Fielding 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:282% → 2%
Q3 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
1.7%
Joseph Himon II run for 3 yds to the NU 28Similar
Q3 0:01
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-4
1.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the NU 24 fumbled, recovered by NU Jack Lausch J. Lausch return for 0 ydsSimilar
Q4 14:34
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+1
1.5%
Jack Lausch pass complete to Joseph Himon II for 1 yd to the NU 25Similar
Q4 14:14
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+3
1.5%
Hunter Renner punt for 56 yds , Caleb Downs returns for 3 yds to the OSU 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 2:3899% → 99%
Q4 14:04
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
1.4%
Quinshon Judkins run for 5 yds to the OSU 27Similar
Q4 13:34
2ND & 5
OWN 27
+7
1.3%
Quinshon Judkins run for 7 yds to the OSU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
1.3%
Quinshon Judkins run for 2 yds to the OSU 36Similar
Q4 12:13
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+5
1.2%
(12:13) HOWARD, Will pass deep to the left incomplete intended for TATE, Carnell broken up by FUSSELL, Josh at the NU22, clock 12:09. PENALTY Before the snap, NU Illegal Substitution enforced 5 yards from the OSU36 to the OSU41. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 12:03
2ND & 3
OWN 41
+1
1.2%
Quinshon Judkins run for 1 yd to the OSU 42Similar
Q4 11:30
3RD & 2
OWN 42
0
1.1%
Will Howard pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:26
4TH & 2
OWN 42
0
1.2%
Joe McGuire punt for 41 yds, fair catch by A.J. Henning at the NU 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 2:011% → 1%
Q4 11:17
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+12
1.3%
Jack Lausch pass complete to Bryce Kirtz for 12 yds to the NU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:43
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
1.3%
Jack Lausch pass complete to Caleb Komolafe for 3 yds to the NU 32Similar
Q4 10:02
2ND & 7
OWN 32
0
1.3%
Jack Lausch pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:55
3RD & 7
OWN 32
-11
1.3%
Jack Lausch sacked by Sonny Styles for a loss of 11 yards to the NU 21Similar
Q4 9:16
4TH & 18
OWN 21
0
1.2%
Hunter Renner punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Brandon Inniss at the OSU 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 16DOWNS
6 plays · 28 yds · 2:4099% → 99%
Q4 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
1.0%
Will Howard pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 5 yds to the OSU 41Similar
Q4 8:31
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+15
0.9%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 15 yds to the NU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:54
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+7
0.8%
Will Howard pass complete to TreVeyon Henderson for 7 yds to the NU 37Similar
Q4 7:17
2ND & 3
OPP 37
+1
0.8%
James Peoples run for 1 yd to the NU 36Similar
Q4 6:35
3RD & 2
OPP 36
0
0.7%
Will Howard pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:34
4TH & 2
OPP 36
0
0.8%
Will Howard pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 17DOWNS
13 plays · 48 yds · 4:291% → 1%
Q4 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
0.8%
Jack Lausch pass complete to Bryce Kirtz for 2 yds to the NU 38Similar
Q4 5:48
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+8
0.8%
Jack Lausch run for 8 yds to the NU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:23
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
0.8%
Jack Lausch pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:19
2ND & 10
OWN 46
-10
0.8%
Jack Lausch sacked by Kenyatta Jackson Jr. and Caden Curry for a loss of 10 yards to the NU 36Similar
Q4 4:30
3RD & 20
OWN 36
+12
0.8%
Jack Lausch pass complete to Thomas Gordon for 12 yds to the NU 48Similar
Q4 3:49
4TH & 8
OWN 48
+20
0.8%
Jack Lausch pass complete to Bryce Kirtz for 20 yds to the OSU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:19
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
1.0%
Jack Lausch pass complete to Cam Porter for 3 yds to the OSU 29Similar
Q4 2:57
2ND & 7
OPP 29
0
1.0%
Jack Lausch pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:48
3RD & 7
OPP 29
+23
0.9%
Jack Lausch pass complete to Calvin Johnson II for 23 yds to the OSU 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
0.9%
Jack Lausch pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
0.9%
Jack Lausch pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:07
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
-10
0.9%
Jack Lausch sacked by C.J. Hicks and Arvell Reese for a loss of 10 yards to the OSU 16Similar
Q4 1:56
4TH & GOAL
OPP 16
0
0.7%
Jack Lausch pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 18END OF GAME
3 plays · 25 yds · 1:22100% → 100%
Q4 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+1
0.5%
James Peoples run for 1 yd to the OSU 17Similar
Q4 1:09
2ND & 9
OWN 17
+6
0.5%
James Peoples run for 6 yds to the OSU 23Similar
Q4 0:30
3RD & 3
OWN 23
+18
0.4%
James Peoples run for 18 yds to the OSU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 6:59
Quinshon Judkins run for 1 yd for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK)
-4.1
TD · Q3 12:11
Will Howard pass complete to Carnell Tate for 8 yds for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK)
-3.4
TD · Q2 4:19
Quinshon Judkins run for 1 yd for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK)
-3.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com